Butler
Big East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.3#103
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#183
Pace61.7#334
Improvement+0.6#123

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#168
First Shot+2.8#101
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#312
Layup/Dunks-3.6#300
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#19
Freethrows+2.3#49
Improvement-1.0#282

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#66
First Shot+1.1#137
After Offensive Rebounds+3.1#25
Layups/Dunks+0.8#162
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#171
Freethrows+0.1#180
Improvement+1.6#47
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 1.4% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 11.4% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.6% 9.8% 2.3%
Average Seed 9.8 9.3 10.1
.500 or above 14.4% 31.3% 11.1%
.500 or above in Conference 18.4% 29.5% 16.2%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 24.7% 17.4% 26.2%
First Four1.0% 2.5% 0.7%
First Round4.0% 10.0% 2.9%
Second Round1.7% 4.4% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 1.3% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma (Away) - 16.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 12
Quad 23 - 55 - 17
Quad 32 - 17 - 19
Quad 44 - 011 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 336   IUPUI W 56-47 95%     1 - 0 -6.2 -10.6 +6.1
  Nov 12, 2021 340   Central Arkansas W 85-53 96%     2 - 0 +16.1 +8.7 +9.3
  Nov 13, 2021 242   Troy W 70-59 86%     3 - 0 +3.9 -0.2 +4.7
  Nov 17, 2021 22   Michigan St. L 52-73 26%     3 - 1 -10.0 -12.3 +2.0
  Nov 22, 2021 7   Houston L 52-70 11%     3 - 2 -0.5 -6.8 +4.7
  Nov 23, 2021 82   Texas A&M L 50-57 41%     3 - 3 -0.5 -10.8 +9.4
  Dec 07, 2021 35   @ Oklahoma L 58-68 17%    
  Dec 11, 2021 346   Eastern Illinois W 74-53 97%    
  Dec 18, 2021 2   Purdue L 59-74 8%    
  Dec 23, 2021 61   @ St. John's L 67-73 28%    
  Dec 29, 2021 85   DePaul W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 01, 2022 15   @ Connecticut L 58-72 10%    
  Jan 04, 2022 28   Seton Hall L 62-68 31%    
  Jan 07, 2022 37   Xavier L 62-66 37%    
  Jan 13, 2022 134   @ Georgetown L 65-66 48%    
  Jan 16, 2022 8   @ Villanova L 56-72 7%    
  Jan 20, 2022 15   Connecticut L 61-69 24%    
  Jan 23, 2022 54   @ Providence L 61-68 26%    
  Jan 26, 2022 83   Creighton W 66-65 54%    
  Jan 29, 2022 134   Georgetown W 68-63 68%    
  Feb 02, 2022 37   @ Xavier L 59-69 19%    
  Feb 05, 2022 61   St. John's L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 08, 2022 83   @ Creighton L 63-68 33%    
  Feb 12, 2022 71   Marquette W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 15, 2022 85   @ DePaul L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 20, 2022 54   Providence L 64-65 47%    
  Feb 23, 2022 28   @ Seton Hall L 59-71 16%    
  Feb 26, 2022 71   @ Marquette L 66-72 31%    
  Mar 05, 2022 8   Villanova L 59-69 20%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 2.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 1.8 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.1 2.1 0.5 0.1 7.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 3.8 2.4 0.5 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 4.8 3.0 0.6 10.8 7th
8th 0.4 2.5 5.6 3.8 0.9 0.0 13.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.5 6.2 4.2 0.9 0.1 15.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.9 6.6 4.4 0.9 0.0 18.8 10th
11th 0.3 1.7 3.6 4.7 3.8 1.9 0.4 0.0 16.4 11th
Total 0.3 1.7 3.9 6.5 9.6 12.4 13.6 13.1 11.5 9.2 7.2 4.8 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 66.7% 0.0    0.0
16-4 56.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 31.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 13.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.3% 92.0% 12.0% 80.0% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.9%
15-5 0.5% 95.8% 12.5% 83.3% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 95.2%
14-6 0.8% 84.0% 9.9% 74.1% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 82.2%
13-7 1.9% 56.7% 8.2% 48.5% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8 52.8%
12-8 3.0% 32.2% 4.4% 27.8% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0 29.1%
11-9 4.8% 11.9% 3.1% 8.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.2 9.0%
10-10 7.2% 3.8% 2.1% 1.7% 11.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.9 1.7%
9-11 9.2% 1.1% 1.0% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1 0.1%
8-12 11.5% 0.7% 0.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.4
7-13 13.1% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 13.0
6-14 13.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.5
5-15 12.4% 12.4
4-16 9.6% 9.6
3-17 6.5% 6.5
2-18 3.9% 3.9
1-19 1.7% 1.7
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.6% 1.0% 3.5% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 95.4 3.6%