Butler
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.3#50
Expected Predictive Rating+13.4#41
Pace73.3#76
Improvement-1.1#257

Offense
Total Offense+5.9#59
First Shot+1.9#117
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#14
Layup/Dunks+1.9#106
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#295
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#143
Freethrows+0.9#118
Improvement-1.8#311

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#63
First Shot+4.0#59
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#158
Layups/Dunks-5.0#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#136
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#36
Freethrows+3.8#12
Improvement+0.6#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 3.9% 8.4% 2.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 49.1% 66.0% 42.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 47.5% 64.5% 40.7%
Average Seed 9.0 8.6 9.3
.500 or above 94.1% 98.1% 92.5%
.500 or above in Conference 64.5% 80.5% 57.9%
Conference Champion 1.1% 2.7% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.5% 2.2%
First Four10.9% 10.0% 11.2%
First Round43.1% 60.6% 36.0%
Second Round18.6% 28.0% 14.8%
Sweet Sixteen3.6% 5.6% 2.7%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.7% 0.7%
Final Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Away) - 28.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 8
Quad 26 - 49 - 12
Quad 35 - 115 - 13
Quad 46 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 339 Southern Indiana W 88-58 98%     1 - 0 +15.6 +4.7 +9.0
  Sat, Nov 8 354 IU Indianapolis W 112-80 99%     2 - 0 +15.3 +4.3 +3.8
  Tue, Nov 11 336 Chicago St. W 98-66 98%     3 - 0 +18.3 +13.9 +3.0
  Sat, Nov 15 42 @SMU L 85-87 32%     3 - 1 +13.1 +12.6 +0.7
  Fri, Nov 21 90 South Carolina W 79-72 65%     4 - 1 +13.2 +11.1 +2.2
  Sun, Nov 23 26 Virginia W 80-73 32%     5 - 1 +22.1 +13.0 +9.2
  Fri, Nov 28 153 Wright St. W 94-69 88%     6 - 1 +22.4 +13.8 +6.8
  Tue, Dec 2 216 Eastern Michigan W 84-68 93%     7 - 1 +9.5 +14.1 -3.7
  Sat, Dec 6 51 Boise St. L 68-77 62%     7 - 2 -1.9 +2.7 -5.0
  Sat, Dec 13 78 Providence W 113-110 2OT 73%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +7.1 +18.2 -11.6
  Tue, Dec 16 7 @Connecticut L 60-79 10%     8 - 3 1 - 1 +5.4 +0.5 +4.9
  Sat, Dec 20 57 Northwestern W 61-58 55%     9 - 3 +12.0 -5.5 +17.6
  Mon, Dec 22 353 NJIT W 101-52 98%     10 - 3 +32.7 +19.8 +11.0
  Tue, Dec 30 36 @Creighton L 73-79 29%    
  Sat, Jan 3 32 Villanova L 71-72 48%    
  Tue, Jan 6 19 St. John's L 78-81 38%    
  Wed, Jan 14 97 @Xavier W 79-77 57%    
  Sat, Jan 17 54 @Seton Hall L 70-72 42%    
  Tue, Jan 20 115 DePaul W 79-69 82%    
  Fri, Jan 23 105 Marquette W 82-73 80%    
  Wed, Jan 28 19 @St. John's L 75-84 20%    
  Sat, Jan 31 99 Georgetown W 82-74 76%    
  Wed, Feb 4 78 @Providence W 85-84 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 105 @Marquette W 79-76 61%    
  Wed, Feb 11 7 Connecticut L 68-76 23%    
  Sun, Feb 15 54 Seton Hall W 73-69 64%    
  Wed, Feb 18 99 @Georgetown W 79-77 57%    
  Sat, Feb 21 97 Xavier W 82-74 76%    
  Wed, Feb 25 32 @Villanova L 68-75 27%    
  Wed, Mar 4 36 Creighton W 77-76 51%    
  Sat, Mar 7 115 @DePaul W 76-72 64%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.7 3.3 1.0 0.1 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.5 5.1 6.5 3.8 0.8 0.1 18.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.0 7.3 7.6 3.3 0.5 0.0 22.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.8 5.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 17.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 4.6 3.0 0.7 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 2.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.5 6.4 9.7 13.3 14.9 15.0 12.9 9.9 6.3 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 79.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 56.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 27.4% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1
15-5 6.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 8.8% 91.2% 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.5% 100.0% 16.4% 83.6% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.4% 99.5% 12.4% 87.1% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5%
15-5 3.3% 99.5% 8.3% 91.2% 7.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
14-6 6.3% 96.5% 7.8% 88.7% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.2 96.2%
13-7 9.9% 89.7% 5.9% 83.9% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.5 2.8 1.8 0.4 1.0 89.1%
12-8 12.9% 79.9% 4.0% 75.9% 9.4 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.3 3.6 1.5 0.0 2.6 79.1%
11-9 15.0% 63.5% 2.9% 60.6% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.0 2.9 0.0 5.5 62.4%
10-10 14.9% 42.4% 1.4% 41.0% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.1 0.1 8.6 41.5%
9-11 13.3% 16.1% 0.8% 15.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 0.1 11.1 15.4%
8-12 9.7% 3.6% 0.8% 2.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 9.4 2.8%
7-13 6.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4 0.1%
6-14 3.5% 0.6% 0.6% 11.8 0.0 0.0 3.4
5-15 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 1.8
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 49.1% 3.0% 46.0% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.4 4.6 7.5 10.4 12.6 9.6 0.3 0.0 50.9 47.5%