IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Butler
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.8	#69
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#121

Pace	68.7	#175
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+5.1	#52

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.7	#97

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	1.6%	1.7%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	4.6%	4.7%	1.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	22.1%	22.8%	6.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	20.5%	21.2%	5.9%
Average Seed	8.2	8.2	8.5

.500 or above	52.6%	53.8%	23.4%
.500 or above in Conference	32.9%	33.7%	15.2%
Conference Champion	1.2%	1.2%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	15.2%	14.6%	27.4%

First Four	4.0%	4.1%	1.1%
First Round	19.8%	20.4%	6.0%
Second Round	10.2%	10.5%	3.4%
Sweet Sixteen	3.0%	3.1%	0.7%
Elite Eight	1.0%	1.0%	0.4%
Final Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Southern Indiana (Home) - 95.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	2 - 4	3 - 10
Quad 2	4 - 5	7 - 15
Quad 3	4 - 1	11 - 16
Quad 4	6 - 0	16 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2025	305	Southern Indiana	W	82-64	96%
Nov 08, 2025	359	IU Indianapolis	W	91-66	99%
Nov 11, 2025	347	Chicago St.	W	85-63	98%
Nov 15, 2025	47	@ SMU	L	72-79	27%
Nov 21, 2025	77	South Carolina	W	70-69	52%
Nov 23, 2025	43	Virginia	L	64-68	34%
Nov 28, 2025	194	Wright St.	W	80-67	87%
Dec 02, 2025	256	Eastern Michigan	W	80-64	92%
Dec 06, 2025	53	Boise St.	W	72-71	52%
Dec 13, 2025	68	Providence	W	76-73	59%
Dec 16, 2025	4	@ Connecticut	L	62-79	8%
Dec 20, 2025	61	Northwestern	L	69-70	47%
Dec 22, 2025	355	NJIT	W	82-58	98%
Dec 30, 2025	25	@ Creighton	L	69-79	21%
Jan 03, 2026	44	Villanova	L	67-68	46%
Jan 06, 2026	11	St. John's	L	72-80	25%
Jan 14, 2026	65	@ Xavier	L	72-76	38%
Jan 17, 2026	100	@ Seton Hall	W	68-67	50%
Jan 20, 2026	80	DePaul	W	75-71	64%
Jan 23, 2026	45	Marquette	L	71-72	47%
Jan 28, 2026	11	@ St. John's	L	69-83	13%
Jan 31, 2026	76	Georgetown	W	75-71	61%
Feb 04, 2026	68	@ Providence	L	73-76	39%
Feb 07, 2026	45	@ Marquette	L	68-75	29%
Feb 11, 2026	4	Connecticut	L	65-76	19%
Feb 15, 2026	100	Seton Hall	W	71-65	69%
Feb 18, 2026	76	@ Georgetown	L	72-74	42%
Feb 21, 2026	65	Xavier	W	75-73	58%
Feb 25, 2026	44	@ Villanova	L	64-71	28%
Mar 04, 2026	25	Creighton	L	72-76	38%
Mar 07, 2026	80	@ DePaul	L	72-74	44%
Projected Record						16 - 15	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big East Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0		1.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.0	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0				3.2	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.5	1.4	1.9	1.4	0.4	0.1	0.0					5.7	3rd
4th										0.2	1.2	2.7	3.0	1.4	0.3	0.0							8.8	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	1.6	4.0	3.3	1.1	0.2	0.0								10.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.4	2.2	4.8	3.6	1.0	0.1										11.9	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	2.7	5.0	3.2	0.8	0.1	0.0										12.1	7th
8th					0.0	0.7	3.1	5.3	3.0	0.6	0.1												12.7	8th
9th				0.1	0.9	3.3	4.8	2.8	0.5	0.0													12.3	9th
10th		0.0	0.4	1.7	3.7	3.8	1.9	0.3	0.0														11.8	10th
11th	0.3	1.3	2.3	2.9	2.1	0.9	0.2	0.0															9.9	11th

Total	0.3	1.3	2.7	4.7	6.7	8.6	10.3	11.4	10.9	10.2	9.6	7.5	5.9	4.1	2.8	1.6	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Big East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	91.7%	0.2		0.2	0.0
17-3	70.4%	0.3		0.2	0.1
16-4	34.4%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.0
15-5	19.8%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
14-6	3.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.2%	1.2		0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%								0.0
19-1	0.0%							0.0	0.0	0.0
18-2	0.2%		100.0%	47.2%	52.8%	2.5		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
17-3	0.4%		100.0%	25.4%	74.6%	3.5		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0													100.0%
16-4	0.9%		100.0%	19.4%	80.6%	4.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0										100.0%
15-5	1.6%		98.5%	13.0%	85.4%	5.8		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0							0.0		98.2%
14-6	2.8%		96.0%	10.3%	85.7%	6.8			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0						0.1		95.5%
13-7	4.1%		87.6%	5.6%	82.0%	7.9			0.0		0.1	0.2	0.4	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.4	0.1						0.5		86.9%
12-8	5.9%		74.4%	3.9%	70.4%	8.8				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.2	1.0	0.4	0.0					1.5		73.3%
11-9	7.5%		52.9%	2.7%	50.1%	9.4						0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.5	0.6	0.0					3.5		51.6%
10-10	9.6%		30.6%	1.9%	28.8%	9.9							0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.1	0.9	0.0					6.7		29.3%
9-11	10.2%		11.1%	0.9%	10.2%	10.4								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0					9.1		10.3%
8-12	10.9%		2.9%	0.6%	2.3%	11.0											0.1	0.2	0.0			0.0		10.6		2.4%
7-13	11.4%		0.5%	0.4%	0.1%	11.5											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			11.3		0.1%
6-14	10.3%		0.2%	0.2%		14.8															0.0	0.0		10.2
5-15	8.6%																							8.6
4-16	6.7%																							6.7
3-17	4.7%																							4.7
2-18	2.7%																							2.7
1-19	1.3%																							1.3
0-20	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		22.1%	1.9%	20.1%	8.2		0.1	0.3	0.5	0.8	1.1	1.8	2.6	3.3	4.0	4.7	2.8	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		77.9		20.5%