IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.5	#225
Expected Predictive Rating	-4.5	#301

Pace	78.9	#16
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.7	#248

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.8	#188

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.1%	5.1%	2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.1	13.9	14.5

.500 or above	39.9%	49.5%	26.7%
.500 or above in Conference	48.2%	53.9%	40.4%
Conference Champion	3.8%	5.0%	2.0%
Last Place in Conference	8.0%	6.0%	10.7%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	4.1%	5.1%	2.7%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota (Away) - 57.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 7	4 - 11
Quad 4	10 - 6	14 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2025	96	@ Northern Iowa	L	57-86	13%	0 - 1			-20.6	-12.8	-7.1
Nov 09, 2025	315	@ North Dakota	W	78-76	58%
Nov 11, 2025	216	@ North Dakota St.	L	72-75	38%
Nov 16, 2025	118	Troy	L	74-77	39%
Nov 26, 2025	189	Idaho	L	76-77	43%
Nov 28, 2025	290	Idaho St.	W	74-71	61%
Dec 04, 2025	249	Cal St. Bakersfield	W	76-72	65%
Dec 06, 2025	108	@ UC Irvine	L	70-80	18%
Dec 10, 2025	232	Fresno St.	W	80-77	61%
Dec 13, 2025	262	@ Delaware	L	79-80	46%
Dec 22, 2025	258	Sacramento St.	W	75-71	64%
Dec 27, 2025	98	@ Stanford	L	71-83	16%
Jan 01, 2026	218	@ UC Davis	L	72-75	38%
Jan 03, 2026	123	UC Santa Barbara	L	72-75	40%
Jan 08, 2026	273	Cal Poly	W	87-82	68%
Jan 10, 2026	342	@ Cal St. Fullerton	W	76-73	61%
Jan 15, 2026	143	@ UC San Diego	L	70-77	29%
Jan 17, 2026	278	Long Beach St.	W	73-67	68%
Jan 25, 2026	107	@ Hawaii	L	67-77	19%
Jan 29, 2026	218	UC Davis	W	75-72	59%
Jan 31, 2026	143	UC San Diego	L	73-74	46%
Feb 05, 2026	273	@ Cal Poly	L	84-85	46%
Feb 07, 2026	280	UC Riverside	W	77-71	67%
Feb 14, 2026	107	Hawaii	L	70-74	36%
Feb 19, 2026	123	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	69-78	24%
Feb 21, 2026	278	@ Long Beach St.	L	70-71	48%
Feb 26, 2026	108	UC Irvine	L	73-77	36%
Feb 28, 2026	280	@ UC Riverside	L	74-75	47%
Mar 05, 2026	249	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	73-75	44%
Mar 07, 2026	342	Cal St. Fullerton	W	79-70	77%
Projected Record						14 - 16	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.4	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0		3.8	1st
2nd													0.3	1.3	2.2	1.7	0.6	0.1	0.0				6.1	2nd
3rd												0.4	2.1	3.1	2.1	0.8	0.2						8.7	3rd
4th										0.0	0.9	3.6	3.7	2.1	0.5	0.1							11.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	1.2	4.1	4.9	2.0	0.3									12.5	5th
6th								0.2	2.4	4.6	4.5	1.6	0.1										13.3	6th
7th							0.2	2.2	3.8	4.4	1.0	0.1											11.7	7th
8th						0.4	1.7	4.7	2.8	0.9	0.2												10.7	8th
9th				0.0	0.6	2.5	4.0	2.8	0.6	0.0													10.6	9th
10th		0.0	0.1	0.7	2.0	2.6	1.6	0.4															7.3	10th
11th	0.1	0.5	0.6	1.3	1.1	0.6	0.1																4.3	11th

Total	0.1	0.5	0.8	2.0	3.7	6.1	7.6	10.3	9.7	11.2	10.6	10.6	8.2	6.9	5.2	3.5	1.6	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0			Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0
18-2	92.3%	0.5		0.3	0.1
17-3	92.2%	0.9		0.6	0.2	0.1
16-4	53.4%	0.9		0.5	0.3	0.1
15-5	26.8%	0.9		0.3	0.5	0.1	0.0
14-6	8.1%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.2
13-7	1.1%	0.1			0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.8%	3.8		1.9	1.3	0.5	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%															0.0
19-1	0.1%																							0.1
18-2	0.5%		38.5%	38.5%		13.0													0.0	0.1	0.0			0.3
17-3	0.9%		40.1%	40.1%		12.6													0.2	0.2	0.0			0.6
16-4	1.6%		18.8%	18.8%		13.5													0.1	0.0	0.2	0.0		1.3
15-5	3.5%		22.5%	22.5%		13.4													0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	2.7
14-6	5.2%		18.4%	18.4%		14.4														0.2	0.2	0.5	0.1	4.2
13-7	6.9%		6.6%	6.6%		14.3															0.3	0.1		6.4
12-8	8.2%		4.2%	4.2%		15.1														0.1		0.1	0.2	7.8
11-9	10.6%		3.6%	3.6%		15.2															0.1	0.2	0.2	10.3
10-10	10.6%		1.4%	1.4%		15.7																0.0	0.1	10.4
9-11	11.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.1
8-12	9.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	9.6
7-13	10.3%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	10.3
6-14	7.6%																							7.6
5-15	6.1%																							6.1
4-16	3.7%																							3.7
3-17	2.0%																							2.0
2-18	0.8%																							0.8
1-19	0.5%																							0.5
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		4.1%	4.1%	0.0%	14.1										0.0			0.5	0.9	1.0	1.0	0.7	95.9		0.0%