Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#273
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#186
Pace61.4#338
Improvement+3.0#19

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#260
First Shot-2.8#264
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#177
Layup/Dunks-2.4#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#332
Freethrows-0.5#220
Improvement+0.8#100

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#286
First Shot-3.7#285
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#155
Layups/Dunks+0.1#196
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#338
Freethrows-1.8#281
Improvement+2.3#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 2.3% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 11.0% 23.5% 9.0%
.500 or above in Conference 20.1% 29.8% 18.5%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 21.9% 16.2% 22.9%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
First Round1.0% 2.0% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fresno St. (Away) - 13.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 33 - 83 - 14
Quad 47 - 610 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 17   @ USC L 49-89 2%     0 - 1 -22.0 -12.0 -11.3
  Nov 13, 2021 64   @ Notre Dame L 52-68 7%     0 - 2 -5.6 -10.3 +2.4
  Nov 19, 2021 203   Eastern Washington L 64-67 OT 45%     0 - 3 -7.9 -12.7 +4.8
  Nov 20, 2021 308   Dixie St. W 79-73 69%     1 - 3 -5.2 -3.7 -1.7
  Nov 28, 2021 154   @ San Diego W 56-52 18%     2 - 3 +7.8 -4.0 +12.4
  Dec 04, 2021 130   @ Fresno St. L 58-69 14%    
  Dec 07, 2021 68   Boise St. L 58-68 16%    
  Dec 10, 2021 166   @ North Dakota St. L 59-68 20%    
  Dec 18, 2021 272   Portland St. W 68-65 61%    
  Dec 30, 2021 69   @ UC Irvine L 54-70 7%    
  Jan 01, 2022 193   @ UC San Diego L 63-71 24%    
  Jan 06, 2022 204   Cal St. Bakersfield L 62-63 46%    
  Jan 08, 2022 314   Cal Poly W 65-59 70%    
  Jan 13, 2022 208   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 62-69 26%    
  Jan 15, 2022 291   @ Long Beach St. L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 20, 2022 211   UC Davis L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 22, 2022 138   UC Riverside L 59-64 32%    
  Jan 25, 2022 119   UC Santa Barbara L 62-68 29%    
  Jan 28, 2022 186   @ Hawaii L 64-72 25%    
  Feb 03, 2022 193   UC San Diego L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 05, 2022 69   UC Irvine L 57-67 19%    
  Feb 10, 2022 314   @ Cal Poly L 62-63 48%    
  Feb 12, 2022 204   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 59-66 27%    
  Feb 17, 2022 291   Long Beach St. W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 19, 2022 208   Cal St. Fullerton L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 24, 2022 138   @ UC Riverside L 56-67 16%    
  Feb 26, 2022 211   @ UC Davis L 65-72 28%    
  Mar 01, 2022 119   @ UC Santa Barbara L 59-71 15%    
  Mar 05, 2022 186   Hawaii L 67-69 44%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 2.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.6 0.4 0.1 4.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.2 0.5 0.0 6.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.6 3.0 0.7 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.9 3.9 0.8 0.1 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.3 4.3 1.0 0.1 13.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.0 6.5 3.9 1.2 0.1 16.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.1 5.2 5.5 3.5 0.8 0.1 17.7 10th
11th 0.4 1.5 3.0 4.2 3.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 14.5 11th
Total 0.4 1.5 3.4 6.4 9.9 11.4 13.4 12.0 11.8 9.7 7.6 5.3 3.3 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 81.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 29.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 8.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.6% 9.4% 9.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-6 1.0% 8.9% 8.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-7 2.1% 6.3% 6.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.9
12-8 3.3% 4.9% 4.9% 15.3 0.1 0.1 3.1
11-9 5.3% 3.4% 3.4% 15.5 0.1 0.1 5.1
10-10 7.6% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.5
9-11 9.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.5
8-12 11.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.7
7-13 12.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.0
6-14 13.4% 13.4
5-15 11.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.4
4-16 9.9% 9.9
3-17 6.4% 6.4
2-18 3.4% 3.4
1-19 1.5% 1.5
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 98.8 0.0%