Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -0.1 157
Results Rating +1.3 141
Consistency 0.17 303
Pace 80.5 5
Improvement +8.3 3

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 182 C C C- D+ B
Defense C 155 C C C- C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 49% 5 C- 56% 236 +4.8 29
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 136 D+ 34% 288 -1.9 274
Three Pointers 34% 317 C+ 35% 122 -2.9 276
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 41 C- -1.1 212
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 171
Second Chance C+ 32.4% 116 C- 0.99 241 C 0.32 153
Opponents' Steals D 10.7% 297
Other Turnovers B- 6.6% 96
Turnovers C- 17.4% 220
Freethrows C 0.31 174 F 65% 360 D+ 0.20 265
Total Offense C -0.7 182

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 57% 52 C- 12.1% 250
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 30% 110 D+ 6.4% 270
Three Pointers B 90% 58 C- 1.2% 267
Total B 62% 58 D- 7.4% 335

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 323 C+ 57% 150 -3.7 62
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 243 C 39% 211 -0.7 130
Three Pointers 49% 12 C 34% 162 +3.8 333
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 140 C -0.5 163
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 151
Second Chance B- 27.3% 71 D- 1.16 342 C 0.32 207
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.8% 228
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 179
Turnovers C- 16.1% 219
Freethrows C 0.30 178 D 75% 322 C 0.23 212
Total Defense C +0.6 155

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 56% 328 C- 9.6% 224
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 172 D+ 3.3% 273
Three Pointers C+ 81% 114 B- 1.3% 89
Total D+ 61% 298 D+ 4.4% 276

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.1 17 16.9 104
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 140 0.20 282
Consistency 0.15 343 0.10 47
Improvement +2.0 86 +6.3 5

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 183 159 136
Results Rating Rank 171 143 100
Conference Record 12 - 8 13 - 7 14 - 6
Conference Finish 4 3 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12% 15% 7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.6 14.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 12% 18% 1%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round12% 15% 7%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: UC Riverside (Away) - 64.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 37 - 58 - 10
Quad 410 - 319 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 95 @Northern Iowa L 57 - 86 20% -17  7% 0 - 1 F -20 F -12 F D- F D- -8 D D+ C-
 Sun, Nov 9 291 @North Dakota W 93 - 85 67% +4  66% 1 - 1 C+ +3 B- +5 B C+ D+ C- -3 D D- F
 Tue, Nov 11 137 @North Dakota St. L 68 - 90 33% -5  20% 1 - 2 F+ -18 F -15 F B+ F C+ +0 A F F+
 Sun, Nov 16 151 Troy W 94 - 85 59% +4  74% 2 - 2 B- +6 A +13 A- A+ D D- -7 F+ A+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 179 Idaho L 64 - 78 54% -4  30% 2 - 3 F+ -15 F -15 F C C C+ +0 A+ F D+
 Fri, Nov 28 249 Idaho St. L 50 - 82 68% -18  10% 2 - 4 F -37 F -34 F D F C -0 C- F C+
 Thu, Dec 4 332 Cal St. Bakersfield W 87 - 66 90% +7  73% 3 - 4 1 - 0 B- +7 C -0 B- B C B+ +6 A+ F A
 Sat, Dec 6 123 @UC Irvine L 71 - 85 29% +0  56% 3 - 5 1 - 1 D -8 B- +4 C+ F+ A+ F -12 C F F+
 Wed, Dec 10 129 Fresno St. W 89 - 87 53% +4  72% 4 - 5 C +1 A +13 A+ F B F -12 F A- D
 Sat, Dec 13 268 @Delaware W 88 - 66 62% +19  98% 5 - 5 A +19 A +14 A+ D+ C+ B+ +6 B- B- A
 Mon, Dec 22 274 Sacramento St. W 100 - 88 81% +4  77% 6 - 5 C+ +3 B- +4 A- F B+ C- -3 C+ A- F
 Sat, Dec 27 75 @Stanford L 80 - 88 15% -1  45% 6 - 6 C+ +3 B- +5 A- F C- C- -2 F A+ B
 Thu, Jan 1 175 @UC Davis L 80 - 89 42% -6  21% 6 - 7 1 - 2 D+ -7 C- -1 D+ D+ D D -5 F A- B-
 Sat, Jan 3 142 UC Santa Barbara W 74 - 65 57% +6  94% 7 - 7 2 - 2 B- +7 F+ -8 D+ B- F A+ +15 A+ A C+
 Thu, Jan 8 222 Cal Poly W 95 - 90 73% -3  18% 8 - 7 3 - 2 C -1 C+ +2 A B- D+ D+ -4 C+ C- F+
 Sat, Jan 10 205 @Cal St. Fullerton L 79 - 86 48% +1  65% 8 - 8 3 - 3 D+ -6 D -4 D+ D+ C C -1 D C- D+
 Thu, Jan 15 132 @UC San Diego W 84 - 79 32% +2  62% 9 - 8 4 - 3 B +10 A- +10 C- A A+ C -1 A F+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 265 Long Beach St. L 80 - 87 80% -0  38% 9 - 9 4 - 4 F+ -16 F+ -9 F A- D D- -7 F+ B- C-
 Sat, Jan 24 116 @Hawaii L 68 - 89 28% -9  1% 9 - 10 4 - 5 F+ -15 D- -7 C D- D+ D -6 F A B+
 Thu, Jan 29 175 UC Davis W 94 - 78 65% +4  53% 10 - 10 5 - 5 B+ +12 B- +5 A D- B+ B +5 B C+ D+
 Sat, Jan 31 132 UC San Diego W 81 - 64 55% +7  80% 11 - 10 6 - 5 A- +16 C +1 B A- F A+ +13 A+ C+ D+
 Thu, Feb 5 222 @Cal Poly W 97 - 96 52% +5  80% 12 - 10 7 - 5 C +1 B+ +8 A- B+ C- D- -8 F C- D+
 Sat, Feb 7 281 UC Riverside W 88 - 74 82% +3  66% 13 - 10 8 - 5 C+ +4 B +6 A B+ C C- -3 B- D- D+
 Sat, Feb 14 116 Hawaii W 84 - 60 49% +14  95% 14 - 10 9 - 5 A+ +24 A- +10 A+ C C- A+ +13 A- A A+
 Thu, Feb 19 142 @UC Santa Barbara W 85 - 83 OT 34% -2  29% 15 - 10 10 - 5 B- +6 D -4 F B A+ A +10 A+ B+ C+
 Sat, Feb 21 265 @Long Beach St. W 78 - 76 61% +8  91% 16 - 10 11 - 5 C -1 C- -0 F A+ A C -1 D D C+
 Thu, Feb 26 123 UC Irvine L 67 - 68 50% -3  25% 16 - 11 11 - 6 C -1 D -6 C B F B +5 C+ D A+
 Sat, Feb 28 281 @UC Riverside W 80 - 76 64%
 Thu, Mar 5 332 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 86 - 78 78%
 Sat, Mar 7 205 Cal St. Fullerton W 89 - 84 70%
Totals 18 - 12 13 - 7 +0 C -1 A- C- B C +1 C+ F D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- D+ C+ C- 49% 41% 34% B C C+ C- C C- C F D+ C C+ C C C 33% 19% 49% C C B- D- C C- C D C
1.08 56% 34% 35% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.0 .32 17% .31 65% .20 1.08 57% 39% 34% -1 0 1.01 27% 1.2 .32 16% .30 75% .23
Nov
6		 Northern Iowa F F C+ D+ F 36% 21% 43% C- F B- F D- F A+ B- A+ D- D- A+ D- D 42% 8% 49% D- D B F D+ C- A F B+
0.79 29% 40% 30% -12 0 0.77 29% 0.5 .13 28% .44 74% .33 1.20 68% 20% 38% +6 +2 1.17 18% 1.5 .27 14% .16 80% .13
Nov
9		 North Dakota B- A- F A+ B+ 47% 20% 33% C- B A- D- C+ D+ A+ F B+ C- F B+ A+ D- 34% 17% 48% B D B+ F D- F C- B+ C+
1.23 71% 20% 47% +9 +1 1.22 42% 1.0 .42 21% .52 61% .32 1.12 80% 30% 25% 0 0 1.02 23% 1.6 .36 11% .34 65% .22
Nov
11		 North Dakota St. F D- F F F 50% 23% 27% B- F C+ A+ B+ F C+ D- C C+ B- F+ A+ A+ 30% 18% 52% C- A F F F F+ F D- F
0.84 54% 23% 20% -11 0 0.80 31% 1.2 .36 25% .26 69% .18 1.12 56% 45% 22% -9 0 0.84 39% 1.4 .54 12% .37 77% .28
Nov
16		 Troy A B- A+ B B 56% 9% 35% A+ A- A+ A+ A+ D C- D+ C- D- F+ F C- F 37% 9% 54% C F+ A+ A+ A+ F D F F
1.29 60% 60% 37% +5 +3 1.17 45% 1.3 .61 19% .27 69% .19 1.16 65% 60% 34% +5 +1 1.15 21% 0.7 .15 11% .34 86% .29
Nov
26		 Idaho F A F F F 36% 24% 40% C+ F C C+ C C B+ F+ B- C+ C A A+ A+ 26% 7% 67% D+ A+ C- F F D+ F F F
0.87 70% 23% 14% -11 -1 0.78 26% 1.1 .28 15% .40 68% .27 1.06 57% 25% 25% -10 +1 0.83 29% 1.6 .47 15% .43 81% .35
Nov
28		 Idaho St. F F F F F 21% 26% 53% F F C F D F C- C+ C C A F C+ D 25% 22% 53% A C- A F F C+ C D- C-
0.66 25% 13% 20% -25 -2 0.49 30% 0.9 .26 20% .31 79% .25 1.09 46% 73% 33% +4 -1 1.08 25% 1.9 .46 19% .31 79% .24
Dec
4		 Cal St. Bakersfield C C A+ C- C 57% 8% 35% A+ B- B- B- B C B F F+ B+ A+ A A+ A+ 31% 31% 38% C A+ F+ F F A F+ D F
1.17 59% 75% 33% +3 +3 1.14 41% 1.1 .46 18% .41 52% .21 0.89 40% 27% 22% -16 -2 0.67 38% 1.2 .45 24% .43 79% .34
Dec
6		 UC Irvine B- F+ F A+ C 48% 19% 33% B+ C+ F D F+ A+ B- F C F A- D D C+ 42% 27% 31% C- C F F F F+ D- C+ D
1.02 43% 27% 42% -5 +1 0.93 24% 0.8 .19 10% .29 61% .18 1.22 45% 43% 38% -2 -1 0.96 41% 1.9 .76 14% .35 67% .23
Dec
10		 Fresno St. A B A+ A+ A+ 48% 11% 41% A A+ C F F B C- A+ B F D B F F 37% 11% 52% D F A- A- A- D B- F C-
1.25 65% 67% 45% +14 +2 1.33 29% 0.6 .18 17% .24 93% .22 1.22 65% 33% 46% +12 +1 1.28 23% 0.9 .20 15% .27 88% .23
Dec
13		 Delaware A D- A+ A+ A+ 43% 19% 38% B+ A+ A- F D+ C+ D D+ D B+ A+ F C- B 29% 13% 58% D+ B- F+ A+ B- A F C- F
1.30 52% 70% 50% +13 +1 1.28 38% 0.7 .26 13% .24 79% .19 0.98 43% 50% 36% -1 0 1.00 26% 0.6 .15 22% .34 78% .27
Dec
22		 Sacramento St. B- B- A+ B A- 50% 9% 41% B A- F+ F F B+ A+ B A+ C- B+ F+ B C 32% 32% 35% B+ C+ A+ F A- F D+ F F+
1.23 62% 80% 38% +8 +2 1.22 25% 0.7 .17 13% .43 77% .33 1.08 48% 43% 30% -4 -2 0.91 15% 1.5 .23 10% .37 89% .33
Dec
27		 Stanford B- D+ F+ A+ B+ 44% 21% 35% B A- F F F C- A+ B A+ C- D+ B- F F 39% 7% 54% C F A+ A+ A+ B F B- F
1.06 52% 30% 47% +3 0 1.08 17% 0.8 .13 20% .50 80% .40 1.17 61% 33% 44% +9 +2 1.24 24% 0.5 .12 17% .61 71% .43
Jan
1		 UC Davis C- C F C- D- 55% 7% 38% A D+ C+ F D+ D A+ F B D F+ C- F F 24% 29% 47% A+ F B+ A- A- B- B+ D+ B
1.05 58% 0% 33% -3 +3 1.02 33% 0.8 .26 21% .43 62% .26 1.16 69% 38% 50% +14 -2 1.25 22% 0.9 .19 20% .29 78% .23
Jan
3		 UC Santa Barbara F+ B- A+ F D- 52% 14% 33% A- D+ B C B- F A+ F A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ 46% 5% 48% F A+ A B+ A C+ D+ F D-
1.01 64% 67% 14% -3 +2 1.00 31% 1.1 .34 22% .65 62% .40 0.89 54% 0% 19% -15 +3 0.77 24% 0.9 .21 19% .34 85% .29
Jan
8		 Cal Poly C+ C B- A+ A 53% 13% 34% B+ A A- D- B- D+ A+ F B D+ C B+ D+ C- 23% 13% 64% A C+ A F C- F+ C C+ C+
1.17 61% 43% 50% +10 +2 1.26 41% 0.9 .38 17% .40 59% .24 1.11 57% 25% 36% 0 0 1.02 23% 1.4 .32 16% .31 76% .24
Jan
10		 Cal St. Fullerton D C F C+ D 47% 15% 38% B D+ D+ C- D+ C D- F F C C A+ F D+ 41% 15% 44% D- D B- F+ C- D+ F B F+
1.01 61% 22% 35% -1 +1 1.03 26% 1.0 .26 18% .25 38% .09 1.10 59% 25% 42% +4 +1 1.11 23% 1.1 .26 14% .42 68% .28
Jan
15		 UC San Diego A- D A- D C- 48% 20% 31% B- C- A- A A A+ A+ D- A+ C B+ D+ A+ A 38% 17% 45% B- A B+ F F+ F C- D- D+
1.16 50% 45% 29% -5 +1 0.94 36% 1.2 .44 10% .44 66% .29 1.09 52% 40% 26% -7 +1 0.88 21% 1.7 .36 8% .29 74% .21
Jan
17		 Long Beach St. F+ F D- F F 56% 11% 33% A F A- C+ A- D A+ D+ A D- F C C- F+ 26% 20% 54% D F+ A+ F B- C- F F F
1.01 47% 33% 22% -13 +2 0.81 37% 1.3 .46 19% .45 72% .33 1.10 79% 36% 34% +5 -1 1.11 18% 1.3 .24 16% .42 82% .35
Jan
24		 Hawaii D- F+ B C- C 45% 28% 28% D+ C A- F D- D+ C- F F D D+ F F F 30% 19% 51% A F D A+ A B+ F C F
0.88 46% 44% 31% -5 0 0.91 35% 0.5 .19 18% .30 47% .14 1.15 63% 50% 41% +9 0 1.19 34% 0.6 .21 22% .48 72% .35
Jan
29		 UC Davis B- A+ F B+ A 48% 8% 43% B+ A D F+ D- B+ B- F F+ B B- A+ D- B 35% 25% 40% B- B B D C+ D+ D+ A+ B-
1.18 76% 20% 38% +10 +2 1.27 26% 0.8 .21 16% .34 52% .18 0.98 55% 21% 39% -2 -1 0.96 23% 1.1 .26 16% .37 64% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 UC San Diego C C B+ C B- 48% 17% 35% B B A+ C- A- F A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ 43% 16% 41% C+ A+ D+ A- C+ D+ C- A+ A-
1.08 56% 44% 33% 0 +1 1.04 40% 1.0 .40 21% .39 78% .30 0.85 42% 22% 30% -12 +1 0.80 29% 0.9 .25 15% .28 44% .12
Feb
5		 Cal Poly B+ D A+ A+ A- 49% 17% 33% B- A- D A+ B+ C- F D F D- F D- F 33% 0% 67% D+ F A+ F C- D+ A F B+
1.22 55% 55% 48% +8 +1 1.21 27% 1.6 .43 16% .15 70% .10 1.20 74% 38% +10 +2 1.26 16% 2.0 .32 19% .22 93% .20
Feb
7		 UC Riverside B C+ B A+ A 62% 17% 21% A- A C- A+ B+ C C+ F F C- C D- A- B- 25% 13% 63% C B- F C D- D+ A F B-
1.21 61% 44% 55% +9 +2 1.25 29% 1.3 .39 15% .36 45% .16 1.02 57% 43% 29% -5 0 0.93 35% 0.9 .30 18% .22 92% .20
Feb
14		 Hawaii A- C- C- A+ A+ 48% 21% 31% C+ A+ D A+ C C- B B- B A+ A D- A- A 35% 14% 51% B- A- C+ A+ A A+ C- A C+
1.17 52% 36% 56% +7 +1 1.17 21% 1.3 .27 17% .35 71% .25 0.84 47% 43% 28% -8 +1 0.88 29% 0.7 .20 25% .37 65% .24
Feb
19		 UC Santa Barbara D D- F F F 48% 27% 24% C- F B C B A+ B F+ C A A+ A+ C+ A+ 20% 18% 63% B+ A+ B+ B B+ C+ F D- F
1.02 53% 22% 19% -12 0 0.77 32% 1.1 .36 7% .39 67% .26 1.00 45% 20% 34% -5 -1 0.89 27% 0.9 .25 19% .48 81% .39
Feb
21		 Long Beach St. C- F+ F F F 68% 16% 16% A F A- A+ A+ A F+ F F C B B- F D- 25% 29% 45% B- D C- F+ D C+ D- C D
1.09 50% 22% 22% -11 +3 0.86 37% 1.5 .55 13% .29 50% .14 1.06 54% 33% 43% +4 -2 1.06 27% 1.2 .33 18% .32 74% .24
Feb
26		 UC Irvine D C- C+ F D 58% 10% 33% A+ C B B- B F A+ F A- B B F+ A- B- 47% 25% 27% D C+ B F D A+ A F B
0.92 50% 40% 24% -10 +3 0.88 38% 1.0 .38 23% .37 62% .23 0.93 50% 46% 29% -4 0 0.94 27% 1.4 .37 25% .20 82% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.7 11.0 11.7 1st
2nd 0.1 10.4 18.1 28.6 2nd
3rd 9.3 31.9 7.0 48.1 3rd
4th 0.3 8.2 8.5 4th
5th 1.6 0.5 2.1 5th
6th 0.8 0.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 2.8 18.1 43.0 36.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 30.5% 11.0    0.6 4.1 6.3
13-7 1.7% 0.7    0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total 11.7% 11.7 0.6 4.1 6.6 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 36.1% 18.7% 18.7% 13.5 0.2 3.3 3.0 0.1 29.4
13-7 43.0% 9.4% 9.4% 14.0 0.0 0.9 2.5 0.7 0.0 38.9
12-8 18.1% 5.9% 5.9% 14.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 17.0
11-9 2.8% 3.6% 3.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 12.0% 12.0% 0.0% 13.7 88.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.7% 100.0% 13.5 3.6 49.4 45.1 1.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 9.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 17.3%
Lose Out 1.4%