Colgate
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.0 250
Results Rating -4.4 240
Consistency 0.13 69
Pace 67.3 210
Improvement -3.5 309

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 190 C+ D C+ D+ D+
Defense D+ 293 C- C D C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 223 C- 56% 209 -1.4 237
2 Pt. Jumpers 43% 118 B 43% 47 +3.1 43
Three Pointers 38% 251 B 37% 70 -0.2 182
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.7 286 B- +2.2 98
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 126
Second Chance D+ 26.5% 291 D+ 0.97 264 D 0.26 302
Opponents' Steals C 9.2% 164
Other Turnovers C+ 6.7% 111
Turnovers C+ 15.9% 133
Freethrows D+ 0.27 278 C+ 73% 164 D+ 0.20 255
Total Offense C- -1.0 190

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 46% 216 C+ 10.1% 126
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 166 B 2.8% 43
Three Pointers B 89% 66 B- 0.6% 119
Total C- 54% 199 B- 4.7% 75


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 134 C- 60% 227 +1.8 237
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 209 B 35% 67 -1.1 104
Three Pointers 40% 201 D+ 35% 249 +0.5 213
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 221 C- +0.9 213
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 219
Second Chance C 30.7% 199 C 1.03 172 C 0.32 202
Turnovers from Steals D 7.8% 304
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 265
Turnovers D 14.4% 318
Freethrows C- 0.31 215 C+ 71% 122 C 0.22 200
Total Defense D+ -4.0 293

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 211 D 7.5% 316
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 269 C 4.7% 187
Three Pointers B- 80% 73 C- 0.7% 191
Total C 56% 199 D+ 4.2% 295

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 197 17.4 190
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 200 0.14 75
Consistency 0.10 33 0.12 140
Improvement -0.5 213 -3.0 317

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 262 246 226
Results Rating Rank 253 237 196
Conference Record 11 - 7 11 - 7 11 - 7
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21% 35% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four7% 12% 0%
First Round17% 28% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 415 - 717 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 10 @Michigan St. L 69 - 80 1% -6  3% 0 - 1 B+ +12 B +7 A+ D+ D B +5 A+ D+ D
 Fri, Nov 7 289 Northeastern L 65 - 68 70% +1  65% 0 - 2 D- -13 F -15 F F C B- +2 B A+ F
 Tue, Nov 11 212 Drexel W 90 - 83 54% +7  81% 1 - 2 C +1 A+ +16 A+ D+ D- F -15 F C- F+
 Fri, Nov 14 5 @Illinois L 65 - 84 1% -11  1% 1 - 3 B- +6 C +2 B- D+ A+ B +4 A+ C D
 Mon, Nov 17 208 @Siena W 72 - 69 30% +0  46% 2 - 3 C+ +3 C+ +3 B D+ C+ C+ +1 C+ D- C-
 Thu, Nov 20 166 @Cornell L 94 - 95 2OT 23% +0  43% 2 - 4 C +2 F+ -9 D- D+ C A +10 B- A+ B
 Fri, Nov 28 321 Albany W 69 - 67 69% -2  29% 3 - 4 D+ -8 D- -6 B- F C+ C- -2 F+ A D+
 Sun, Nov 30 163 Fordham W 72 - 62 32% +9  93% 4 - 4 B +10 B +6 A F+ C+ B +5 B- B- B-
 Wed, Dec 10 138 @St. Bonaventure L 77 - 85 19% +3  62% 4 - 5 C- -4 C +1 D A- A+ D -5 C C C
 Sun, Dec 21 3 @Florida L 60 - 90 1% -17  4% 4 - 6 C -1 B- +4 A+ D D- D- -8 C- F D+
 Sun, Dec 28 151 Harvard L 69 - 78 40% -2  30% 4 - 7 D -11 D -4 C- D D+ D- -7 F B+ F+
 Wed, Dec 31 325 @Lafayette W 85 - 77 60% +1  61% 5 - 7 1 - 0 C +0 C+ +3 B F B C- -2 C F C
 Sat, Jan 3 339 @Army W 76 - 69 67% +3  70% 6 - 7 2 - 0 C- -2 B +7 C+ D B+ F+ -8 D+ F F
 Wed, Jan 7 255 American W 64 - 62 62% -5  9% 7 - 7 3 - 0 D+ -6 D+ -4 D C- B- C- -2 F A+ B
 Sat, Jan 10 296 Lehigh L 77 - 78 72% -2  26% 7 - 8 3 - 1 D- -12 C+ +2 B- D C F -14 F+ D+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 319 @Loyola Maryland W 86 - 80 57% +3  83% 8 - 8 4 - 1 C -1 C+ +3 C- D+ B- D+ -4 D+ B F
 Sat, Jan 17 331 Bucknell W 95 - 76 81% +14  97% 9 - 8 5 - 1 C+ +5 A +12 A+ A A- D- -8 C- C+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 255 @American L 66 - 70 39% -1  44% 9 - 9 5 - 2 D+ -6 D- -7 D F C- C+ +1 C F A+
 Sat, Jan 24 258 Boston University W 80 - 79 OT 63% -3  10% 10 - 9 6 - 2 D+ -7 D- -7 C B- F C -1 D A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 28 330 Holy Cross W 79 - 74 80% -0  38% 11 - 9 7 - 2 D -9 C +1 C- C+ A F -10 F B F
 Sat, Jan 31 296 @Lehigh L 76 - 77 OT 50% -1  30% 11 - 10 7 - 3 D+ -6 D+ -3 D+ A F C- -3 F D A+
 Wed, Feb 4 339 Army W 69 - 55 84% +8  57% 12 - 10 8 - 3 C -1 D- -8 C- D+ F A- +8 B+ B+ B
 Sat, Feb 7 331 @Bucknell W 78 - 59 62% +14  99% 13 - 10 9 - 3 B +11 D+ -3 D D- A- A+ +13 A+ B- D
 Wed, Feb 11 330 @Holy Cross W 74 - 70 61% +5  77% 14 - 10 10 - 3 C- -4 D+ -4 F C+ B- C -0 A- D- C+
 Sat, Feb 14 147 Navy L 80 - 84 OT 39% -5  7% 14 - 11 10 - 4 D+ -6 B- +4 A- C+ C+ F -10 F A F
 Mon, Feb 16 258 @Boston University L 58 - 85 40% -14  0% 14 - 12 10 - 5 F -29 F+ -10 F B- B F -26 D- F F
 Sat, Feb 21 319 Loyola Maryland W 101 - 98 OT 77% +5  86% 15 - 12 11 - 5 D -10 C- -2 C- F B+ F+ -8 D+ A- F
 Wed, Feb 25 325 Lafayette L 69 - 70 79% -3  17% 15 - 13 11 - 6 D- -15 D+ -4 C F A+ F -11 D+ D+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 147 @Navy L 69 - 85 20% -9  1% 15 - 14 11 - 7 D- -12 C +1 C+ C- F+ F -14 F F D-
 Thu, Mar 5 319 Loyola Maryland W 90 - 77 77% +7  96% 16 - 14 C +0 A+ +15 A+ C B F -13 D F F
 Sun, Mar 8 296 @Lehigh L 74 - 75 50%
Totals 16 - 15 11 - 7 -5 C- -1 D B- D+ D+ -4 B C+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- B B B- 37% 43% 38% D+ C+ D+ D+ D C+ D+ C+ D+ D+ C- B D+ C- 40% 19% 40% C- C- C C C D C- C+ C
1.07 56% 43% 37% +2 -1 1.05 26% 1.0 .26 16% .27 73% .20 1.14 60% 35% 35% +1 0 1.05 31% 1.0 .32 14% .31 71% .19
Nov
3		 Michigan St. B A+ A A A+ 24% 24% 52% C- A+ F A D+ D F D F B D- A+ A+ A+ 34% 32% 34% B+ A+ F+ C+ D+ D F A+ F
1.00 69% 46% 39% +9 -1 1.17 10% 1.0 .10 19% .11 67% .07 1.16 69% 20% 25% -7 -2 0.85 46% 1.1 .49 14% .62 65% .41
Nov
7		 Northeastern F D A+ F F 41% 24% 35% D F C- F F C D- A D+ B- D- A+ A+ A- 51% 12% 37% F B C- A+ A+ F F D+ F
0.97 55% 58% 24% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.6 .18 16% .28 81% .23 1.01 65% 17% 21% -6 +2 0.94 28% 0.4 .10 10% .42 72% .30
Nov
11		 Drexel A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 40% 33% 28% D A+ F A+ D+ D- A+ A+ A+ F B- F F F 39% 4% 57% F F F A- C- F+ C+ A+ B+
1.30 65% 64% 58% +21 -1 1.42 17% 1.7 .28 19% .48 89% .42 1.19 52% 50% 45% +8 +2 1.22 38% 0.7 .28 16% .26 53% .14
Nov
14		 Illinois C A+ B- F+ A- 19% 49% 32% F B- D- B D+ A+ C- A+ B- B C+ A+ A A+ 25% 15% 60% A- A+ D B C D F F F
0.97 73% 39% 28% 0 -5 0.93 17% 1.0 .17 7% .15 89% .13 1.26 62% 25% 28% -6 0 0.89 45% 1.2 .52 10% .40 88% .35
Nov
17		 Siena C+ B- A+ D- B 55% 23% 21% B B F A- D+ C+ B B+ B+ C+ B- F A C+ 36% 32% 32% B- C+ F C D- C- D F F+
1.12 62% 55% 30% +4 +1 1.13 22% 1.2 .26 16% .31 76% .24 1.07 56% 50% 25% -1 -2 0.96 36% 1.0 .36 16% .33 83% .28
Nov
20		 Cornell F+ B D F D 43% 27% 30% D- D- D- B D+ C F A- F A D+ A+ C B 40% 11% 49% C+ B- A+ A+ A+ B F D- F
1.02 66% 35% 27% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.2 .29 14% .17 77% .13 1.04 64% 29% 35% +2 +1 1.10 20% 0.3 .05 20% .41 80% .33
Nov
28		 Albany D- B- C- A- B 31% 21% 48% D B- F+ F F C+ F F F C- C+ D- F F+ 43% 21% 36% C- F+ A- A A D+ A+ A+ A+
1.07 63% 36% 40% +5 -1 1.12 26% 0.9 .24 14% .16 33% .05 1.04 57% 45% 42% +5 0 1.13 26% 0.8 .19 19% .06 33% .02
Nov
30		 Fordham B B+ A+ B+ A 29% 22% 49% C A A- F F+ C+ F+ A+ C- B C A- A B 45% 24% 31% C B- B+ C- B- B- A+ F A-
1.12 64% 55% 38% +8 -1 1.16 35% 0.5 .18 16% .20 82% .17 0.96 57% 33% 25% -6 0 0.90 29% 1.0 .29 19% .13 86% .11
Dec
10		 St. Bonaventure C B- B- F D 37% 30% 33% D- D A- B- A- A+ C+ F F+ D F C A+ C- 38% 33% 29% B C F A C C F D F
1.10 62% 41% 26% -2 -1 0.96 37% 1.1 .41 9% .30 53% .16 1.22 75% 41% 27% +4 -2 1.08 43% 0.8 .35 17% .42 79% .33
Dec
21		 Florida B- F C A+ A+ 33% 33% 33% D+ A+ D+ F D D- F F F D- D- F B C- 48% 10% 42% C- C- F C- F D+ F A- F
0.93 29% 35% 65% +5 -2 1.08 17% 0.5 .09 20% .15 38% .06 1.39 70% 60% 30% +5 +2 1.17 56% 1.1 .61 14% .48 67% .32
Dec
28		 Harvard D B+ F D C- 48% 20% 31% C C- F A+ D D+ F A D- D- C+ A+ F F 38% 20% 42% C F A+ F B+ F+ A+ D+ A+
1.00 65% 18% 29% -3 +1 0.98 19% 1.3 .25 17% .18 80% .14 1.13 57% 27% 57% +12 0 1.25 13% 1.3 .17 15% .10 83% .09
Dec
31		 Lafayette C+ B+ A+ B- B+ 40% 23% 37% C B F+ F F B A+ C- A+ C- C+ F A C 45% 16% 39% C- C A F F C F C+ F
1.16 67% 50% 37% +8 0 1.17 23% 0.4 .09 12% .51 73% .37 1.05 55% 50% 26% -4 +1 0.96 18% 1.8 .32 16% .46 68% .31
Jan
3		 Army B D C+ A+ B- 33% 20% 47% D+ C+ C+ F D B+ F+ A+ C F+ A- B+ D- D+ 40% 9% 51% D D+ F F F F F A+ D
1.24 56% 40% 43% +6 0 1.14 33% 0.9 .30 11% .30 88% .26 1.13 47% 25% 38% -3 +2 1.00 35% 1.2 .41 13% .38 55% .21
Jan
7		 American D+ D+ F B- D- 50% 24% 26% C D B+ F C- B- A+ F B- C- B B F F 57% 6% 36% F F B+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+
1.08 57% 30% 36% -1 0 1.00 38% 0.8 .29 17% .47 61% .28 1.04 52% 33% 53% +6 +3 1.21 21% 0.5 .10 19% .12 50% .06
Jan
10		 Lehigh C+ F A+ A+ B- 45% 27% 29% C- B- C+ F D C A- B- A F B+ A+ F D- 45% 20% 35% D- F+ F A+ D+ F F D F
1.18 45% 62% 43% +4 0 1.10 36% 0.8 .27 15% .38 76% .29 1.20 50% 20% 59% +6 0 1.14 37% 0.6 .24 11% .45 77% .34
Jan
14		 Loyola Maryland C+ B C- B C+ 29% 36% 35% F C- F A+ D+ B- B A A D+ D- C- C+ D 29% 19% 53% A- D+ C+ A B F F A- D-
1.19 69% 40% 37% +5 -3 1.07 21% 1.6 .33 12% .35 82% .28 1.11 65% 36% 32% 0 0 1.02 25% 0.8 .20 8% .35 65% .23
Jan
17		 Bucknell A A+ A A+ A+ 33% 19% 48% C A+ C+ A+ A A- B F+ C+ D- F A A+ C 41% 8% 51% F C- A+ F C+ F F F F
1.33 76% 50% 44% +16 0 1.33 34% 1.4 .48 14% .36 68% .24 1.06 67% 25% 23% -6 +2 0.94 16% 1.6 .26 15% .40 92% .36
Jan
21		 American D- B- C+ D C- 30% 36% 34% F D D- F F C- B+ F+ C+ C+ D+ A+ C- C+ 45% 16% 39% C- C F F F A+ D+ F F+
0.98 64% 41% 31% +2 -3 1.00 25% 0.8 .19 19% .42 65% .28 1.04 60% 14% 35% -2 +1 1.00 38% 1.3 .48 28% .29 86% .25
Jan
24		 Boston University D- F C A+ C+ 41% 30% 30% D C B C- B- F F+ F F C F+ F A+ D+ 46% 15% 40% D- D A A+ A+ C- F D+ F
1.10 45% 44% 56% +6 -1 1.13 36% 1.0 .36 19% .20 58% .12 1.09 68% 86% 26% +7 +1 1.19 18% 0.6 .11 18% .45 74% .33
Jan
28		 Holy Cross C F A A C 38% 32% 30% F C- C- B C+ A F+ C+ D- F F F C F 35% 27% 38% C- F A+ F B F A+ A+ A+
1.19 48% 50% 41% +3 -2 1.05 28% 1.3 .36 9% .20 75% .15 1.12 68% 60% 33% +9 -1 1.18 7% 2.0 .14 11% .17 50% .08
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Lehigh D+ C A+ F D+ 46% 30% 24% D D+ C A+ A F B A+ A C- B+ D F F 38% 15% 48% F+ F B F D A+ B- D C+
1.07 57% 67% 8% -1 -1 0.98 34% 1.4 .48 20% .35 85% .30 1.08 50% 43% 52% +11 +1 1.25 18% 1.4 .25 25% .24 77% .19
Feb
4		 Army D- B+ C+ C- C 35% 33% 33% F C- A F D+ F C+ C C+ A- B B+ B B 22% 18% 60% A B+ B A- B+ B F B+ F+
1.07 69% 40% 33% +4 -2 1.07 41% 0.8 .31 22% .38 74% .28 0.86 50% 25% 30% -8 -1 0.84 25% 0.8 .19 20% .35 67% .23
Feb
7		 Bucknell D+ C- A F+ D 36% 26% 38% D+ D F+ D+ D- A- C+ F C- A+ C+ D+ A+ A+ 31% 22% 47% B+ A+ A F B- D F C+ F
1.06 58% 50% 30% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.0 .26 14% .33 67% .22 0.80 53% 36% 13% -17 -1 0.67 19% 1.3 .24 18% .45 74% .33
Feb
11		 Holy Cross D+ F+ C F F 39% 28% 33% D- F F+ A+ C+ B- C+ A B C F+ B- A+ B+ 22% 33% 45% A- A- F A+ D- C+ F F F
1.08 52% 40% 28% -5 -1 0.91 21% 1.7 .36 12% .28 82% .23 1.02 64% 38% 23% -7 -3 0.84 39% 0.7 .26 18% .48 85% .41
Feb
14		 Navy B- F D A+ A- 37% 20% 43% B A- F+ A+ C+ C+ A+ F A+ F D- D+ F F 38% 23% 38% C- F A A- A F F B F
1.12 47% 33% 50% +5 0 1.13 24% 1.4 .32 17% .44 65% .29 1.17 65% 42% 40% +7 0 1.15 24% 0.9 .21 14% .47 69% .32
Feb
16		 Boston University F+ F F+ A- F 34% 30% 36% F+ F C B+ B- B F A+ D+ F A- A+ F F+ 33% 14% 53% C D- F F F F A+ A+ A+
1.01 19% 36% 41% -10 -1 0.79 31% 1.2 .36 10% .20 90% .18 1.48 50% 14% 54% +10 0 1.22 39% 1.8 .71 12% .16 63% .10
Feb
21		 Loyola Maryland C- D+ A+ F+ D+ 48% 10% 42% A C- F F F B+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A- A D- C- 46% 6% 49% F D+ B+ A A- F D+ F D-
1.16 59% 83% 28% +1 +2 1.08 14% 1.0 .14 11% .45 89% .40 1.12 48% 25% 37% -3 +2 1.01 22% 0.8 .18 9% .29 78% .23
Feb
25		 Lafayette D+ C C- A- C 44% 27% 29% C C F F F A+ D B D+ F C A+ C+ C 58% 6% 37% F D+ D- B- D+ F B- A+ B+
1.11 61% 36% 40% +3 0 1.08 19% 0.8 .16 8% .24 79% .19 1.12 57% 0% 32% -4 +3 1.00 30% 0.8 .25 8% .26 60% .16
Feb
28		 Navy C D C- A- B- 25% 27% 47% D+ C+ C D+ C- F+ D+ A C F F A+ F F 29% 24% 47% B- F F D F D- F A F+
1.04 54% 36% 38% +1 -2 1.00 31% 0.9 .29 21% .23 83% .19 1.28 77% 27% 43% +9 -1 1.18 39% 1.1 .44 15% .46 65% .30
Mar
5		 Loyola Maryland A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 17% 36% B A+ C- B C B A+ B A+ F D+ A+ D+ D+ 43% 8% 49% D- D C+ F F F D+ A- C
1.40 77% 63% 41% +17 +1 1.38 30% 1.3 .39 12% .41 78% .32 1.19 61% 0% 35% -1 +2 1.04 26% 1.6 .42 9% .29 65% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 21.5% 21.5% 15.8 0.1 4.9 16.5 78.6
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 21.5% 21.5% 0.0% 15.8 78.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 21.5% 100.0% 15.8 0.3 22.8 76.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 40.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 38.1%