Preseason Rankings
Colgate
Patriot League
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#227
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.4#202
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#219
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#251
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.9% 36.6% 21.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.3 14.0 15.0
.500 or above 61.0% 86.1% 60.6%
.500 or above in Conference 82.8% 94.2% 82.6%
Conference Champion 28.7% 47.8% 28.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 0.0% 2.4%
First Four5.8% 3.8% 5.8%
First Round21.2% 38.1% 20.9%
Second Round0.5% 1.0% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan St. (Away) - 1.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 415 - 717 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 21   @ Michigan St. L 58-81 1%    
  Nov 07, 2025 218   Northeastern W 72-70 60%    
  Nov 11, 2025 225   Drexel W 66-63 60%    
  Nov 14, 2025 15   @ Illinois L 65-89 1%    
  Nov 17, 2025 213   @ Siena L 69-73 37%    
  Nov 20, 2025 165   @ Cornell L 75-81 30%    
  Nov 28, 2025 296   Albany W 74-70 63%    
  Nov 30, 2025 163   Fordham L 73-76 38%    
  Dec 10, 2025 124   @ St. Bonaventure L 62-71 21%    
  Dec 21, 2025 5   @ Florida L 61-89 1%    
  Dec 28, 2025 178   Harvard W 69-68 52%    
  Dec 31, 2025 308   @ Lafayette W 69-67 55%    
  Jan 03, 2026 353   @ Army W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 07, 2026 303   American W 69-62 73%    
  Jan 10, 2026 302   Lehigh W 73-66 73%    
  Jan 14, 2026 316   @ Loyola Maryland W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 17, 2026 286   Bucknell W 73-67 70%    
  Jan 21, 2026 303   @ American W 66-65 54%    
  Jan 24, 2026 280   Boston University W 69-63 69%    
  Jan 28, 2026 346   Holy Cross W 76-65 83%    
  Jan 31, 2026 302   @ Lehigh W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 04, 2026 353   Army W 77-65 85%    
  Feb 07, 2026 286   @ Bucknell W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 11, 2026 346   @ Holy Cross W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 14, 2026 230   Navy W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 16, 2026 280   @ Boston University L 65-66 50%    
  Feb 21, 2026 316   Loyola Maryland W 74-66 75%    
  Feb 25, 2026 308   Lafayette W 72-64 73%    
  Feb 28, 2026 230   @ Navy L 69-72 40%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.8 6.5 6.9 6.1 3.1 1.1 28.7 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 5.2 6.6 3.9 1.3 0.2 19.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.2 5.1 4.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 13.9 3rd
4th 0.2 1.9 4.6 3.5 1.0 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.8 2.8 0.5 0.0 8.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.2 0.3 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.2 0.2 3.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.8 4.5 6.2 8.1 10.1 11.2 11.7 12.2 10.6 8.3 6.3 3.1 1.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.1    1.1
17-1 100.0% 3.1    3.1 0.1
16-2 96.6% 6.1    5.5 0.6
15-3 83.7% 6.9    5.4 1.4 0.1
14-4 61.4% 6.5    3.9 2.4 0.3 0.0
13-5 31.1% 3.8    1.4 1.7 0.6 0.1
12-6 8.8% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 28.7% 28.7 20.6 6.5 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.1% 65.4% 65.4% 12.7 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4
17-1 3.1% 55.1% 55.1% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.4
16-2 6.3% 49.1% 49.1% 14.4 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.3 3.2
15-3 8.3% 40.1% 40.1% 15.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.6 4.9
14-4 10.6% 34.5% 34.5% 16.9 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.5 7.0
13-5 12.2% 26.5% 26.5% 17.2 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.8 9.0
12-6 11.7% 20.1% 20.1% 19.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 9.4
11-7 11.2% 14.8% 14.8% 18.4 0.0 0.3 1.6 9.5
10-8 10.1% 9.6% 9.6% 17.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 9.1
9-9 8.1% 7.3% 7.3% 16.8 0.0 0.6 7.6
8-10 6.2% 5.5% 5.5% 16.3 0.0 0.3 5.8
7-11 4.5% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 4.4
6-12 2.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-13 1.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.8
4-14 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.2% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2
1-17 0.1% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 21.9% 21.9% 0.0% 16.3 0.1 0.7 2.2 4.5 6.5 9.9 78.1 0.0%