Columbia
Ivy League
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.1#346
Expected Predictive Rating-11.9#337
Pace73.0#61
Improvement+0.2#160

Offense
Total Offense-8.0#351
First Shot-8.8#357
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#117
Layup/Dunks-2.8#294
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#334
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#255
Freethrows-1.2#275
Improvement+0.3#142

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#297
First Shot-3.1#277
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#275
Layups/Dunks-4.4#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#204
Freethrows+0.9#114
Improvement+0.0#194
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 99.2% 95.4% 99.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Away) - 6.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 61 - 12
Quad 44 - 105 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 20   @ Rutgers L 35-75 1%     0 - 1 -23.5 -26.9 +5.4
  Nov 10, 2022 177   Umass Lowell L 62-89 20%     0 - 2 -30.0 -16.8 -11.2
  Nov 13, 2022 323   @ Sacred Heart L 85-88 29%     0 - 3 -9.4 +0.1 -9.2
  Nov 16, 2022 356   Delaware St. W 70-65 69%     1 - 3 -12.3 -13.4 +1.0
  Nov 18, 2022 288   @ Maine L 70-93 22%     1 - 4 -27.0 -0.8 -27.5
  Nov 23, 2022 324   @ Binghamton L 79-81 30%     1 - 5 -8.5 +4.3 -12.9
  Nov 26, 2022 25   @ Providence L 64-78 1%     1 - 6 +1.7 -3.4 +5.4
  Nov 28, 2022 316   @ Marist L 39-52 27%     1 - 7 -18.5 -32.2 +12.9
  Dec 03, 2022 272   New Hampshire W 56-52 36%     2 - 7 -4.5 -16.2 +11.9
  Dec 06, 2022 217   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-73 25%     2 - 8 -12.0 -11.7 -0.6
  Dec 09, 2022 307   Fairleigh Dickinson L 73-76 OT 45%     2 - 9 -13.7 -17.3 +3.9
  Dec 12, 2022 261   @ Lafayette W 57-45 19%     3 - 9 +9.4 -8.1 +18.6
  Dec 28, 2022 292   Maryland Eastern Shore L 67-74 OT 41%     3 - 10 -16.7 -8.2 -8.4
  Dec 31, 2022 92   Yale W 62-60 9%     4 - 10 1 - 0 +4.6 -6.6 +11.3
  Jan 06, 2023 115   Princeton L 49-68 13%     4 - 11 1 - 1 -18.8 -24.1 +5.1
  Jan 07, 2023 148   Penn L 55-84 17%     4 - 12 1 - 2 -30.7 -22.0 -8.3
  Jan 14, 2023 157   @ Harvard L 51-73 8%     4 - 13 1 - 3 -18.8 -12.7 -8.0
  Jan 16, 2023 105   Cornell L 85-102 11%     4 - 14 1 - 4 -15.8 -0.1 -14.2
  Jan 21, 2023 207   @ Brown L 85-97 12%     4 - 15 1 - 5 -11.1 +4.2 -13.6
  Jan 28, 2023 275   @ Dartmouth L 73-83 20%     4 - 16 1 - 6 -13.1 -0.3 -12.7
  Feb 03, 2023 148   @ Penn L 65-81 6%    
  Feb 04, 2023 115   @ Princeton L 62-80 4%    
  Feb 11, 2023 92   @ Yale L 59-79 3%    
  Feb 17, 2023 157   Harvard L 61-71 19%    
  Feb 18, 2023 275   Dartmouth L 68-71 38%    
  Feb 25, 2023 207   Brown L 64-72 25%    
  Mar 04, 2023 105   @ Cornell L 71-90 4%    
Projected Record 5 - 22 2 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 6th
7th 1.3 2.1 0.2 0.0 3.7 7th
8th 33.1 41.1 19.1 2.5 0.0 95.8 8th
Total 33.1 41.1 20.4 4.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0% 0.0
6-8 0.1% 0.1
5-9 0.6% 0.6
4-10 4.8% 4.8
3-11 20.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.3
2-12 41.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 41.1
1-13 33.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 33.1
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 33.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0