Columbia
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#192
Expected Predictive Rating+8.4#78
Pace70.3#146
Improvement-3.5#351

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#115
First Shot+2.5#103
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#202
Layup/Dunks+2.9#88
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#106
Freethrows-0.4#213
Improvement-2.1#324

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#291
First Shot-3.9#301
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#162
Layups/Dunks-0.5#186
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#212
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#331
Freethrows+1.7#84
Improvement-1.3#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 9.1% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 13.7
.500 or above 92.3% 95.2% 82.4%
.500 or above in Conference 59.7% 62.2% 51.1%
Conference Champion 8.7% 9.5% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 6.3% 10.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round8.3% 9.0% 5.5%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Home) - 77.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 32 - 44 - 7
Quad 413 - 316 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 335   @ Loyola Maryland W 81-78 71%     1 - 0 -4.1 -0.8 -3.6
  Nov 06, 2024 56   @ Villanova W 90-80 10%     2 - 0 +22.6 +25.3 -2.3
  Nov 09, 2024 348   Delaware St. W 83-62 90%     3 - 0 +5.7 -1.8 +6.0
  Nov 12, 2024 251   Lehigh W 76-75 73%     4 - 0 -6.9 +5.5 -12.3
  Nov 16, 2024 361   Mercyhurst W 77-63 93%     5 - 0 -3.7 +4.8 -7.0
  Nov 20, 2024 342   @ LIU Brooklyn W 80-72 75%     6 - 0 -0.5 +4.1 -4.6
  Nov 23, 2024 327   Stony Brook W 82-63 85%     7 - 0 +6.7 +5.7 +1.7
  Nov 25, 2024 350   New Hampshire W 83-57 90%     8 - 0 +10.4 +4.9 +5.3
  Dec 04, 2024 237   @ Albany L 73-88 49%     8 - 1 -16.1 -4.4 -10.9
  Dec 28, 2024 283   Fairfield W 79-71 78%    
  Dec 30, 2024 58   @ Rutgers L 71-85 10%    
  Jan 11, 2025 149   Cornell W 83-82 54%    
  Jan 18, 2025 107   Yale L 78-80 41%    
  Jan 20, 2025 108   @ Princeton L 74-82 22%    
  Jan 25, 2025 279   @ Penn W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 31, 2025 241   Harvard W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 01, 2025 319   Dartmouth W 81-70 83%    
  Feb 08, 2025 164   Brown W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 14, 2025 319   @ Dartmouth W 78-73 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 241   @ Harvard L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 21, 2025 164   @ Brown L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 22, 2025 107   @ Yale L 75-83 22%    
  Feb 28, 2025 108   Princeton L 77-79 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 279   Penn W 80-72 76%    
  Mar 08, 2025 149   @ Cornell L 80-85 33%    
Projected Record 16 - 9 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 2.7 2.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 8.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 5.3 4.9 1.4 0.1 13.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.5 7.8 5.4 1.0 0.0 16.8 3rd
4th 0.2 3.1 8.7 5.7 0.7 0.0 18.4 4th
5th 0.3 3.2 8.3 4.9 0.6 0.0 17.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.5 3.7 0.4 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.0 3.6 8th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.8 7.4 11.7 15.4 16.5 15.9 12.2 8.6 4.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.5    0.4 0.0
12-2 94.5% 1.7    1.4 0.3 0.0
11-3 67.5% 2.9    1.7 1.1 0.1
10-4 31.9% 2.7    0.7 1.3 0.7 0.1
9-5 7.0% 0.9    0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 8.7% 8.7 4.3 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 34.4% 34.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.5% 32.3% 32.3% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-2 1.8% 32.0% 32.0% 12.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.2
11-3 4.2% 25.8% 25.8% 12.8 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.1
10-4 8.6% 19.3% 19.3% 13.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 6.9
9-5 12.2% 15.5% 15.5% 13.5 0.1 0.9 0.8 0.1 10.3
8-6 15.9% 11.8% 11.8% 13.8 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 14.0
7-7 16.5% 5.5% 5.5% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 15.6
6-8 15.4% 0.7% 0.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 15.3
5-9 11.7% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 11.7
4-10 7.4% 7.4
3-11 3.8% 3.8
2-12 1.5% 1.5
1-13 0.4% 0.4
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 1.3 3.3 2.7 0.8 0.0 91.7 0.0%