Columbia
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#335
Expected Predictive Rating-15.3#341
Pace69.3#179
Improvement-1.4#282

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#297
First Shot-2.2#249
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#310
Layup/Dunks+0.5#146
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#216
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#148
Freethrows-2.4#310
Improvement-3.1#353

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#341
First Shot-4.4#308
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#315
Layups/Dunks+0.3#182
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#344
Freethrows-1.7#276
Improvement+1.7#40
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.5% 2.0% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 1.9% 3.4% 1.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 80.5% 73.4% 81.4%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 11.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 31 - 91 - 12
Quad 45 - 96 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 248   @ Fordham L 67-77 17%     0 - 1 -11.7 -1.9 -10.1
  Nov 12, 2021 252   Marist L 67-82 35%     0 - 2 -22.8 -1.8 -22.5
  Nov 17, 2021 322   Binghamton W 85-77 OT 52%     1 - 2 -4.2 +0.7 -5.4
  Nov 23, 2021 313   @ Lehigh L 72-79 28%     1 - 3 -12.6 -7.2 -4.9
  Nov 26, 2021 125   @ Boston College L 60-73 6%     1 - 4 -7.3 -5.0 -3.4
  Nov 29, 2021 276   Lafayette L 50-73 40%     1 - 5 -32.2 -25.2 -8.1
  Dec 01, 2021 210   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 67-80 12%    
  Dec 04, 2021 352   Maine W 68-61 74%    
  Dec 06, 2021 113   @ Colgate L 67-85 4%    
  Dec 11, 2021 297   @ Albany L 66-73 24%    
  Dec 13, 2021 311   Sacred Heart L 72-73 48%    
  Dec 28, 2021 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-64 74%    
  Jan 02, 2022 124   @ Yale L 64-81 5%    
  Jan 07, 2022 150   @ Princeton L 64-80 7%    
  Jan 08, 2022 192   @ Penn L 66-79 12%    
  Jan 15, 2022 135   Harvard L 67-78 16%    
  Jan 17, 2022 188   @ Cornell L 71-85 12%    
  Jan 22, 2022 216   Brown L 65-71 29%    
  Jan 29, 2022 232   Dartmouth L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 04, 2022 192   Penn L 69-76 25%    
  Feb 05, 2022 150   Princeton L 67-77 19%    
  Feb 12, 2022 124   Yale L 67-78 15%    
  Feb 18, 2022 135   @ Harvard L 64-81 7%    
  Feb 19, 2022 232   @ Dartmouth L 61-72 17%    
  Feb 26, 2022 216   @ Brown L 62-74 13%    
  Mar 05, 2022 188   Cornell L 74-82 25%    
Projected Record 6 - 20 2 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.1 1.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 2.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.3 0.9 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.3 3.3 7.0 6.7 1.6 0.1 18.9 7th
8th 12.9 22.6 20.0 10.5 2.5 0.1 68.7 8th
Total 12.9 22.9 23.3 18.1 11.9 6.1 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
10-4 57.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-5 14.3% 0.0    0.0
8-6 2.7% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.0% 0.0
10-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0
9-5 0.1% 0.1
8-6 0.4% 0.4
7-7 1.4% 1.4
6-8 2.9% 2.9
5-9 6.1% 6.1
4-10 11.9% 11.9
3-11 18.1% 18.1
2-12 23.3% 23.3
1-13 22.9% 22.9
0-14 12.9% 12.9
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%