Denver
Summit League
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#318
Expected Predictive Rating-12.4#327
Pace67.8#220
Improvement+1.0#104

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#293
First Shot-2.2#237
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#308
Layup/Dunks+0.1#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#242
Freethrows-0.6#216
Improvement+0.3#151

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#316
First Shot-5.5#325
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#135
Layups/Dunks-4.0#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#243
Freethrows-0.5#214
Improvement+0.7#115
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.8% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 2.8% 7.9% 1.9%
.500 or above in Conference 16.4% 23.2% 15.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 17.6% 12.1% 18.5%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
First Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Away) - 15.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 12
Quad 48 - 99 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2021 349   IUPUI W 63-47 68%     1 - 0 +1.8 -8.3 +11.4
  Nov 16, 2021 278   @ Texas San Antonio L 64-78 28%     1 - 1 -17.4 -13.0 -4.2
  Nov 17, 2021 299   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-69 44%     1 - 2 -9.8 -5.9 -4.0
  Nov 21, 2021 354   Houston Baptist W 74-61 82%     2 - 2 -6.2 -5.4 +0.2
  Nov 24, 2021 246   @ Air Force L 65-66 23%     2 - 3 -2.4 -0.4 -2.1
  Nov 27, 2021 132   @ Utah Valley L 68-77 OT 9%     2 - 4 -3.7 -5.1 +1.9
  Dec 02, 2021 80   @ Wyoming L 64-77 5%     2 - 5 -3.6 +0.5 -5.2
  Dec 05, 2021 141   @ Texas St. L 58-71 10%     2 - 6 -8.2 -9.5 +0.7
  Dec 09, 2021 200   @ New Mexico L 72-83 15%    
  Dec 11, 2021 305   @ Dixie St. L 74-78 34%    
  Dec 15, 2021 198   UC San Diego L 68-73 32%    
  Dec 20, 2021 159   Western Illinois L 71-78 26%    
  Dec 22, 2021 323   St. Thomas W 76-72 63%    
  Dec 30, 2021 166   @ Oral Roberts L 69-82 13%    
  Jan 01, 2022 223   @ UMKC L 61-71 18%    
  Jan 06, 2022 194   North Dakota St. L 64-69 32%    
  Jan 08, 2022 332   North Dakota W 73-68 69%    
  Jan 13, 2022 245   @ South Dakota L 67-75 24%    
  Jan 15, 2022 68   @ South Dakota St. L 70-89 4%    
  Jan 22, 2022 336   Nebraska Omaha W 74-68 72%    
  Jan 27, 2022 223   UMKC L 64-68 37%    
  Jan 29, 2022 166   Oral Roberts L 72-79 28%    
  Feb 03, 2022 332   @ North Dakota L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 05, 2022 194   @ North Dakota St. L 61-72 16%    
  Feb 10, 2022 68   South Dakota St. L 73-86 11%    
  Feb 12, 2022 245   South Dakota L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 19, 2022 336   @ Nebraska Omaha W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 24, 2022 323   @ St. Thomas L 73-75 41%    
  Feb 26, 2022 159   @ Western Illinois L 68-81 13%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.8 5.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 14.9 6th
7th 0.3 3.3 8.0 7.2 2.6 0.3 0.0 21.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.3 8.5 5.8 1.6 0.1 0.0 21.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 4.3 6.3 3.7 0.7 0.0 16.1 9th
10th 0.3 1.3 3.3 3.3 1.5 0.2 0.0 10.0 10th
Total 0.3 1.4 4.4 8.2 12.4 15.8 16.0 14.2 11.0 7.7 4.7 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 42.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 22.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 9.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 9.4% 9.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.4% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.2% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
11-7 2.2% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.2
10-8 4.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 4.6
9-9 7.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 7.6
8-10 11.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.9
7-11 14.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.1
6-12 16.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 16.0
5-13 15.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.8
4-14 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.4
3-15 8.2% 8.2
2-16 4.4% 4.4
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%