Denver
Summit League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#321
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#293
Pace71.8#100
Improvement-0.5#214

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#278
First Shot-2.6#252
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#246
Layup/Dunks-4.5#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#198
Freethrows+0.9#129
Improvement+0.8#112

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#327
First Shot-5.4#336
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#173
Layups/Dunks-8.6#362
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#74
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#16
Freethrows-4.7#356
Improvement-1.4#292
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.8% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 3.0% 6.3% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 17.1% 22.9% 15.1%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 36.1% 28.9% 38.7%
First Four1.0% 1.3% 0.9%
First Round0.8% 1.3% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland St. (Away) - 26.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 82 - 11
Quad 47 - 109 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 93   @ Stanford L 62-85 6%     0 - 1 -14.3 -6.5 -8.1
  Nov 12, 2024 99   @ Colorado St. L 65-74 6%     0 - 2 -0.6 -0.7 -0.1
  Nov 17, 2024 122   Montana St. W 79-78 22%     1 - 2 +0.3 -1.5 +1.7
  Nov 24, 2024 190   @ Montana L 73-83 16%     1 - 3 -8.3 -3.8 -3.9
  Nov 25, 2024 155   Cal St. Northridge L 60-89 19%     1 - 4 -28.7 -12.8 -15.2
  Nov 26, 2024 291   Utah Tech L 54-68 42%     1 - 5 -20.8 -14.8 -7.8
  Dec 01, 2024 309   @ Portland L 90-101 2OT 34%     1 - 6 -15.6 -3.9 -9.4
  Dec 04, 2024 320   Sacramento St. W 80-59 61%     2 - 6 +9.1 +11.9 -0.5
  Dec 07, 2024 256   @ Portland St. L 75-82 26%    
  Dec 15, 2024 307   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 68-72 34%    
  Dec 17, 2024 228   @ Cal Poly L 77-85 22%    
  Dec 21, 2024 180   Northern Colorado L 76-81 32%    
  Jan 02, 2025 120   @ South Dakota St. L 70-84 9%    
  Jan 04, 2025 224   @ South Dakota L 79-87 22%    
  Jan 09, 2025 289   North Dakota W 75-74 53%    
  Jan 11, 2025 187   North Dakota St. L 72-77 34%    
  Jan 15, 2025 306   Nebraska Omaha W 75-74 56%    
  Jan 18, 2025 133   @ St. Thomas L 69-82 11%    
  Jan 23, 2025 261   @ Oral Roberts L 74-80 28%    
  Jan 30, 2025 292   UMKC W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 01, 2025 306   @ Nebraska Omaha L 72-77 35%    
  Feb 06, 2025 224   South Dakota L 82-84 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 133   St. Thomas L 72-79 25%    
  Feb 13, 2025 289   @ North Dakota L 72-77 32%    
  Feb 15, 2025 187   @ North Dakota St. L 69-80 17%    
  Feb 19, 2025 261   Oral Roberts L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 27, 2025 292   @ UMKC L 68-73 33%    
  Mar 01, 2025 120   South Dakota St. L 73-81 23%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.2 2.2 0.5 0.0 7.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.8 3.3 0.5 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 6.5 4.5 0.6 0.0 13.7 6th
7th 0.2 2.8 7.4 5.6 0.8 16.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.4 8.3 6.0 1.0 0.1 20.7 8th
9th 1.0 3.6 7.2 7.8 4.1 0.9 0.0 24.6 9th
Total 1.0 3.6 8.1 12.4 15.4 16.3 14.7 11.4 7.7 5.0 2.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 83.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
12-4 44.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 17.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.1% 10.6% 10.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.5% 7.5% 7.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
11-5 1.1% 8.1% 8.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.0
10-6 2.8% 6.4% 6.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 2.6
9-7 5.0% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 4.8
8-8 7.7% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.5
7-9 11.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 11.2
6-10 14.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 14.5
5-11 16.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 16.2
4-12 15.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.4
3-13 12.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.4
2-14 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
1-15 3.6% 3.6
0-16 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%