Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#182
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#169
Pace76.9#30
Improvement+2.1#68

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#186
First Shot+1.0#147
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#297
Layup/Dunks+2.8#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#213
Freethrows-0.9#239
Improvement+1.4#88

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#189
First Shot+3.4#75
After Offensive Rebounds-4.1#358
Layups/Dunks+2.8#79
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#145
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#188
Freethrows+0.1#176
Improvement+0.7#128
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 7.0% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.1
.500 or above 45.5% 62.2% 35.5%
.500 or above in Conference 49.2% 66.0% 39.1%
Conference Champion 4.6% 9.3% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 2.7% 9.4%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round4.5% 6.9% 3.1%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Liberty (Home) - 37.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 410 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 25 @Nebraska L 66-96 5%     0 - 1 -12.1 -4.5 -4.9
  Thu, Nov 13 38 @LSU L 81-98 6%     0 - 2 -1.3 +6.5 -6.1
  Mon, Nov 24 198 James Madison L 72-80 65%     0 - 3 -13.4 -3.6 -10.1
  Wed, Nov 26 221 Nebraska Omaha W 74-61 69%     1 - 3 +6.2 -6.2 +12.0
  Wed, Dec 3 189 Florida Gulf Coast W 89-83 63%     2 - 3 +1.2 +5.1 -4.4
  Sat, Dec 6 312 Jacksonville W 88-65 83%     3 - 3 +11.3 +12.3 -0.5
  Tue, Dec 16 35 @Miami (FL) L 81-98 6%     3 - 4 -0.7 +10.3 -9.7
  Sat, Dec 20 204 LIU Brooklyn W 86-79 67%     4 - 4 +1.0 +2.8 -2.4
  Sun, Dec 28 101 Liberty L 74-77 37%    
  Fri, Jan 2 125 New Mexico St. L 74-75 48%    
  Sun, Jan 4 218 UTEP W 75-70 68%    
  Wed, Jan 7 237 @Jacksonville St. L 72-73 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 264 @Missouri St. W 72-71 53%    
  Wed, Jan 14 154 @Kennesaw St. L 81-86 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 121 Sam Houston St. L 82-83 46%    
  Thu, Jan 22 218 @UTEP L 72-73 47%    
  Sat, Jan 24 125 @New Mexico St. L 71-78 27%    
  Wed, Jan 28 237 Jacksonville St. W 75-69 71%    
  Wed, Feb 4 157 @Middle Tennessee L 74-79 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 144 @Western Kentucky L 79-85 31%    
  Thu, Feb 12 286 Delaware W 78-70 77%    
  Sat, Feb 14 188 Louisiana Tech W 70-67 61%    
  Thu, Feb 19 101 @Liberty L 71-80 21%    
  Sat, Feb 21 264 Missouri St. W 75-68 73%    
  Thu, Feb 26 121 @Sam Houston St. L 79-86 27%    
  Sat, Feb 28 188 @Louisiana Tech L 67-70 40%    
  Thu, Mar 5 157 Middle Tennessee W 77-76 54%    
  Sat, Mar 7 144 Western Kentucky W 83-82 51%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.8 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.4 2.8 4.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.2 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.2 3.4 0.5 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.9 3.8 0.6 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.1 3.7 0.9 0.0 10.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.3 3.0 0.8 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.2 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.8 4.6 7.3 9.5 11.8 12.9 12.6 11.3 9.1 6.7 4.5 2.7 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 93.9% 0.6    0.6 0.1
16-4 74.3% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
15-5 51.1% 1.4    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 22.8% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1
13-7 4.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 36.8% 36.8% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.7% 26.4% 26.4% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.4% 19.3% 19.3% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
15-5 2.7% 16.4% 16.4% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.2
14-6 4.5% 13.2% 13.2% 13.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 3.9
13-7 6.7% 12.0% 12.0% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 5.9
12-8 9.1% 9.0% 9.0% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 8.3
11-9 11.3% 5.0% 5.0% 14.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 10.8
10-10 12.6% 2.6% 2.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.2
9-11 12.9% 1.5% 1.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.7
8-12 11.8% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.6
7-13 9.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 9.4
6-14 7.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.3
5-15 4.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.6
4-16 2.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.8
3-17 1.3% 1.3
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.6 0.9 0.4 95.4 0.0%