Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#215
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#92
Pace68.0#212
Improvement+1.2#92

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#263
First Shot-1.5#220
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#279
Layup/Dunks-4.3#303
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#52
Freethrows+1.8#74
Improvement+2.8#15

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#137
First Shot+1.9#111
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#227
Layups/Dunks-4.5#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#46
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#79
Freethrows+1.0#134
Improvement-1.6#300
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.8% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 79.2% 88.5% 68.8%
.500 or above in Conference 40.1% 45.4% 34.1%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.5% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.1% 6.3% 10.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.4% 1.8% 1.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Michigan (Away) - 52.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 35 - 75 - 10
Quad 413 - 318 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 150   @ Georgia L 51-58 27%     0 - 1 -2.6 -17.5 +14.4
  Nov 18, 2021 226   Ball St. W 73-60 53%     1 - 1 +10.3 -4.7 +14.8
  Nov 19, 2021 312   Green Bay W 63-60 74%     2 - 1 -5.8 -12.7 +7.0
  Nov 21, 2021 174   UNC Greensboro W 74-71 OT 43%     3 - 1 +2.7 +3.0 -0.3
  Nov 24, 2021 332   North Dakota W 65-56 88%     4 - 1 -5.7 -9.2 +4.5
  Nov 28, 2021 308   North Florida W 84-69 82%     5 - 1 +3.4 +7.9 -3.9
  Dec 01, 2021 213   Florida Gulf Coast W 77-61 61%     6 - 1 +11.1 -1.0 +11.7
  Dec 04, 2021 275   Stetson W 72-65 75%     7 - 1 -2.1 -7.1 +4.9
  Dec 11, 2021 266   @ Eastern Michigan W 71-70 53%    
  Dec 15, 2021 164   @ Jacksonville St. L 63-68 31%    
  Dec 19, 2021 348   Bethune-Cookman W 75-60 92%    
  Dec 21, 2021 354   Houston Baptist W 78-61 94%    
  Dec 30, 2021 203   Old Dominion W 63-60 60%    
  Jan 01, 2022 220   Charlotte W 68-65 62%    
  Jan 08, 2022 130   @ Western Kentucky L 66-73 25%    
  Jan 13, 2022 46   @ UAB L 60-75 9%    
  Jan 15, 2022 190   @ Middle Tennessee L 65-69 36%    
  Jan 20, 2022 126   Marshall L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 22, 2022 130   Western Kentucky L 69-70 45%    
  Jan 27, 2022 278   @ Texas San Antonio W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 29, 2022 169   @ UTEP L 62-67 32%    
  Feb 03, 2022 281   Southern Miss W 68-61 75%    
  Feb 05, 2022 85   Louisiana Tech L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 10, 2022 126   @ Marshall L 72-80 24%    
  Feb 17, 2022 190   Middle Tennessee W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 19, 2022 186   Rice W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 24, 2022 220   @ Charlotte L 65-68 41%    
  Feb 26, 2022 203   @ Old Dominion L 60-63 38%    
  Mar 03, 2022 183   Florida Atlantic W 70-68 57%    
  Mar 05, 2022 183   @ Florida Atlantic L 67-71 35%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.6 3.6 0.7 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.9 5.0 1.4 0.1 9.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.4 2.5 0.2 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.7 4.0 0.4 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.5 5.0 1.1 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.9 1.8 0.1 9.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.1 2.2 0.2 0.0 8.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.0 1.9 0.2 0.0 7.2 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.1 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.4 6.3 9.1 11.7 13.5 13.9 12.7 10.2 7.5 4.8 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 89.7% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 57.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 26.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 8.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 16.8% 16.8% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.5% 14.7% 14.7% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.3% 11.5% 11.5% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
13-5 2.8% 7.5% 7.5% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.6
12-6 4.8% 5.6% 5.6% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.6
11-7 7.5% 3.1% 3.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.3
10-8 10.2% 1.8% 1.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.0
9-9 12.7% 0.9% 0.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.6
8-10 13.9% 0.6% 0.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.8
7-11 13.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 13.5
6-12 11.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 11.6
5-13 9.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.1
4-14 6.3% 6.3
3-15 3.4% 3.4
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 98.5 0.0%