Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -1.5 185
Expected Predictive Rating -3.8 230
Pace 77.9 14
Improvement -0.6 205

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 206 C C+ C- C- C+
Defense C 178 C- D B+ C D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 21 C- 56% 227 +3.3 72
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 99 C- 36% 243 -0.4 197
Three Pointers 33% 330 C+ 35% 124 -3.3 300
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.5 119 C- -0.8 197
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 185
Second Chance B- 33.1% 100 C 1.04 161 C+ 0.34 106
Turnovers C- 17.5% 221
Freethrows C 0.31 167 D 68% 307 C- 0.21 207
Total Offense C- -1.3 206

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 48% 189 B- 9.7% 108
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 27% 144 C+ 4.6% 151
Three Pointers C- 82% 229 B- 0.6% 97
Total C- 53% 230 C 5.6% 189

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 251 C 57% 171 -1.4 126
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 346 D- 43% 335 -1.8 48
Three Pointers 49% 13 C+ 33% 151 +3.7 337
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 284 C +0.1 181
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 202
Second Chance D- 34.8% 330 C 1.04 199 D 0.36 304
Turnovers B+ 20.4% 28
Freethrows C 0.31 206 C 72% 177 C 0.22 204
Total Defense C -0.2 178

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 309 B 15.5% 47
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 41% 347 B- 6.6% 79
Three Pointers D- 90% 334 C- 0.7% 207
Total F+ 66% 353 B- 6.9% 79

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 14.7 9 17.4 196
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 46 0.18 201
Improvement -2.1 #290 +1.5 #96

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 224 188 153
Conference Record 6 - 14 8 - 12 9 - 11
Conference Finish 12 9 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 4% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.9
.500 or above 5% 7% 1%
.500 or above in Conference 3% 5% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 29% 17% 49%
First Four2% 1% 2%
First Round3% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Home) - 64.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 49 - 512 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 13 @Nebraska L 66 - 96 3% -21  2% 0 - 1 D -8 D+ -2 D+ A- F D+ -3 F D- A+
 Thu, Nov 13 54 @LSU L 81 - 98 9% -10  1% 0 - 2 C- -4 C+ +2 C- B B+ D+ -4 B F A-
 Mon, Nov 24 210 James Madison L 72 - 80 66% +1  60% 0 - 3 D- -14 D -5 D+ D B F+ -9 A+ F D
 Wed, Nov 26 240 Nebraska Omaha W 74 - 61 71% +8  94% 1 - 3 B- +6 F+ -9 D- C- A A+ +14 A+ F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 253 Florida Gulf Coast W 89 - 83 74% +6  86% 2 - 3 C- -2 C +1 D B+ C- D+ -4 B- D- C+
 Sat, Dec 6 308 Jacksonville W 88 - 65 83% +18  95% 3 - 3 B +11 A- +9 A+ D C- B- +2 B F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 40 @Miami (FL) L 81 - 98 6% -6  10% 3 - 4 C -1 B +7 B B C+ D- -7 F C C
 Sat, Dec 20 214 LIU Brooklyn W 86 - 79 67% +2  46% 4 - 4 C +1 C+ +3 A C- D+ C- -2 C- C A
 Sun, Dec 28 100 Liberty L 94 - 97 OT 36% +0  50% 4 - 5 0 - 1 C -1 B+ +8 C+ A+ C F+ -9 C F C
 Fri, Jan 2 157 New Mexico St. W 89 - 74 56% +11  86% 5 - 5 1 - 1 B+ +12 A- +9 A- A+ D- B- +2 F A A+
 Sun, Jan 4 246 UTEP W 76 - 64 72% +2  53% 6 - 5 2 - 1 C+ +4 C+ +2 C+ A+ C+ B- +3 B- C+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 200 @Jacksonville St. L 64 - 71 41% -1  34% 6 - 6 2 - 2 D+ -6 D -4 C D- D C- -2 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 202 @Missouri St. L 71 - 79 42% -6  8% 6 - 7 2 - 3 D+ -7 D -5 F B- B C- -2 C- F A
 Wed, Jan 14 165 @Kennesaw St. L 86 - 89 34% +4  72% 6 - 8 2 - 4 C -0 B +6 F+ A+ B D -6 F+ B- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 114 Sam Houston St. L 63 - 76 43% -7  3% 6 - 9 2 - 5 D- -13 F -17 F D- F B +5 C+ B A
 Thu, Jan 22 246 @UTEP L 77 - 83 50% -5  7% 6 - 10 2 - 6 D+ -8 C +1 B+ D- C F+ -8 F F A
 Sat, Jan 24 157 @New Mexico St. W 81 - 78 33% +4  71% 7 - 10 3 - 6 B- +6 C -0 C+ F A+ B+ +6 A- C+ A
 Wed, Jan 28 200 Jacksonville St. L 74 - 78 64% +4  69% 7 - 11 3 - 7 D -9 F -12 C D- F B- +3 D+ A B
 Wed, Feb 4 171 @Middle Tennessee W 88 - 84 OT 35% +1  58% 8 - 11 4 - 7 B- +6 C +1 C- D+ B- B+ +5 C A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 168 @Western Kentucky L 70 - 80 35% +1  55% 8 - 12 4 - 8 D+ -8 C- -1 C- C D+ D- -7 C+ D- F
 Thu, Feb 12 263 Delaware L 66 - 68 75% -3  36% 8 - 13 4 - 9 D -11 F -11 F B C- C -0 C- F A+
 Sat, Feb 14 218 Louisiana Tech W 77 - 64 68% +4  77% 9 - 13 5 - 9 B- +7 B- +5 B A+ F B- +3 D- B+ A
 Thu, Feb 19 100 @Liberty L 89 - 90 OT 18% -1  38% 9 - 14 5 - 10 B- +7 B- +4 C B D B- +3 D+ C+ A
 Sat, Feb 21 202 Missouri St. W 78 - 74 64%
 Thu, Feb 26 114 @Sam Houston St. L 78 - 86 24%
 Sat, Feb 28 218 @Louisiana Tech L 71 - 72 45%
 Thu, Mar 5 171 Middle Tennessee W 77 - 75 58%
 Sat, Mar 7 168 Western Kentucky W 80 - 78 58%
Totals 11 - 17 7 - 13 -2 C- -1 B+ C- C+ C +0 C+ D C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- C- C+ C- 46% 45% 33% C+ C B- C C+ C- C D C- C C D- C+ C 36% 15% 49% D+ C- D- C D B+ C C C
1.07 56% 36% 35% -1 0 1.01 33% 1.0 .34 17% .31 68% .21 1.09 57% 43% 33% 0 +1 1.04 35% 1.0 .36 20% .31 72% .22
Nov
8		 Nebraska D+ F A+ D+ D- 48% 17% 34% A+ D+ A+ C A- F F C- F D+ C+ C+ F F 37% 10% 53% C- F C- F D- A+ A+ A+ A+
0.86 36% 50% 30% -11 +1 0.83 39% 0.8 .32 26% .11 67% .07 1.25 64% 33% 52% +16 +1 1.36 28% 1.3 .38 20% .13 63% .08
Nov
13		 LSU C+ D+ A+ F D 48% 13% 38% A C- C+ B+ B B+ C+ D- C- D+ D- C+ A+ B 43% 25% 31% B B D- F F A- F F F
1.04 52% 50% 26% -6 +2 0.93 31% 1.1 .33 13% .31 62% .19 1.26 68% 38% 25% 0 0 1.02 39% 1.8 .68 18% .53 88% .47
Nov
24		 James Madison D F A+ B- D 38% 15% 47% C+ D+ B F D B A F C+ F+ A+ D A+ A+ 32% 10% 58% D+ A+ F D F D F D F
1.07 30% 63% 36% -5 +1 0.92 35% 0.7 .25 10% .45 59% .26 1.18 38% 40% 21% -18 +1 0.68 51% 1.2 .59 15% .52 73% .38
Nov
26		 Nebraska Omaha F+ C- F B- D 27% 23% 50% D- D- D B- C- A B F D- A+ A+ F A+ A+ 34% 15% 51% D+ A+ F+ F F A+ F B- F+
1.03 60% 23% 36% -2 -1 0.96 25% 1.1 .28 10% .34 50% .17 0.85 38% 57% 21% -14 0 0.74 32% 1.5 .49 28% .38 70% .27
Dec
3		 Florida Gulf Coast C D+ F C D 40% 14% 46% B- D D+ A+ B+ C- A+ A+ A+ D+ C B+ A A- 49% 11% 40% F B- F B D- C+ F+ F F
1.17 55% 29% 35% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.4 .41 17% .56 86% .48 1.09 59% 33% 27% -4 +2 0.98 41% 0.9 .38 18% .34 86% .29
Dec
6		 Jacksonville A- B F A+ A+ 48% 18% 34% C+ A+ F+ C+ D C- A+ A A+ B- A+ A- C- B 23% 19% 58% B B F B F A+ C A- B-
1.29 67% 25% 67% +18 +1 1.41 23% 1.0 .23 16% .52 77% .40 0.95 33% 30% 33% -8 -1 0.85 43% 0.9 .41 26% .28 64% .18
Dec
16		 Miami (FL) B A- A+ F B 43% 26% 30% C+ B A D- B C+ A C- A- D- F F B+ F+ 55% 9% 36% F F F+ B+ C C F D+ F
1.07 65% 50% 25% +2 0 1.06 35% 0.9 .32 18% .34 67% .23 1.29 74% 80% 30% +11 +3 1.29 44% 0.9 .41 16% .49 71% .34
Dec
20		 LIU Brooklyn C+ A+ F B A 52% 17% 31% B- A C D C- D+ B+ D+ B C- B- F C C+ 49% 11% 40% F C- F A+ C A D+ C C-
1.13 78% 11% 38% +7 +1 1.19 34% 0.9 .31 20% .39 67% .26 1.04 54% 50% 33% -1 +2 1.04 45% 0.7 .33 26% .30 65% .20
Dec
28		 Liberty B+ F A+ B+ C- 60% 16% 24% A C+ A+ C+ A+ C A+ D A+ F+ F B D+ C- 34% 5% 61% B C F C- F C C+ F+ C
1.22 42% 78% 38% -1 +2 1.04 50% 1.3 .63 18% .37 70% .25 1.26 71% 33% 38% +8 +2 1.21 31% 1.0 .31 13% .24 75% .18
Jan
2		 New Mexico St. A- A F A+ A- 40% 25% 35% C A- A A+ A+ D- A- D B+ B- D+ F D- F 31% 18% 51% D- F A+ C- A A+ A- A- A
1.25 68% 25% 41% +5 0 1.10 41% 1.5 .62 18% .45 73% .33 1.04 63% 56% 38% +8 0 1.18 20% 1.0 .20 21% .21 67% .14
Jan
4		 UTEP C+ B+ B- F C- 53% 16% 31% A C+ B A+ A+ C+ A+ F B+ B- A+ C+ D+ B+ 35% 17% 48% F B- D- A C+ C+ B+ F C
1.14 67% 43% 21% -1 +2 1.04 39% 1.3 .52 18% .49 63% .31 0.96 39% 33% 36% -6 0 0.90 32% 0.8 .24 18% .22 83% .18
Jan
7		 Jacksonville St. D C+ A- F C 46% 23% 31% C- C F B+ D- D B- A A- C- C F F F 44% 10% 46% C- F F F F A+ D- F F
0.99 59% 45% 27% -1 0 1.00 18% 1.2 .21 19% .36 84% .30 1.10 56% 50% 42% +6 +2 1.17 38% 1.2 .46 25% .41 75% .31
Jan
10		 Missouri St. D A D- F F 30% 42% 28% D F C- A B- B D F F C- D+ F B- D+ 14% 20% 66% B- C- D- F F A F B+ F
0.99 75% 32% 20% -3 -3 0.89 30% 1.3 .38 15% .31 58% .18 1.11 67% 56% 31% +2 -2 1.02 36% 1.5 .55 22% .56 61% .34
Jan
14		 Kennesaw St. B F F A+ F 53% 13% 35% B+ F+ A+ A A+ B C- D+ D+ D B- A+ F F 31% 15% 55% B F+ D+ A- B- D+ F A+ D+
1.16 31% 29% 47% -9 +2 0.89 44% 1.2 .53 14% .39 72% .28 1.21 53% 13% 47% +5 0 1.13 37% 0.8 .30 15% .46 59% .27
Jan
17		 Sam Houston St. F F F A F 37% 21% 42% C F C+ F D- F A+ F A+ B F A- B+ C+ 29% 20% 51% B C+ B- B- B A F A+ F+
0.84 25% 11% 39% -15 0 0.72 32% 0.7 .22 24% .68 62% .42 1.01 73% 30% 31% 0 -1 1.02 33% 0.9 .30 23% .45 54% .24
Jan
22		 UTEP C B+ D A+ A 38% 36% 26% D- B+ D+ F D- C A F B- F+ D F+ F F 32% 26% 42% D+ F D+ F F A B- D+ C+
1.07 67% 35% 50% +8 -2 1.15 31% 0.8 .25 18% .46 63% .29 1.16 65% 43% 41% +8 -1 1.15 29% 1.3 .39 22% .25 71% .18
Jan
24		 New Mexico St. C C+ A+ F C 39% 19% 42% B- C+ F F+ F A+ B- F C- B+ A+ A+ C- A 30% 28% 43% C+ A- F A+ C+ A F A- F
1.07 59% 55% 25% -2 0 0.98 20% 1.0 .20 8% .40 68% .27 1.03 44% 27% 35% -7 -2 0.85 43% 0.7 .29 20% .45 67% .30
Jan
28		 Jacksonville St. F C C+ F+ D+ 50% 10% 40% A- C D- D+ D- F B D C+ B- F A A+ C- 62% 8% 30% F D+ A+ C A B F C- F
0.93 58% 40% 29% -3 +2 1.00 22% 1.0 .22 24% .36 73% .26 0.98 68% 25% 20% -1 +3 1.06 18% 1.0 .18 20% .50 69% .34
Feb
4		 Middle Tennessee C D C A C 48% 34% 18% D- C- C- F+ D+ B- A+ F+ A+ B+ D- F B- C+ 21% 7% 71% D- C A A+ A+ D+ F D F
1.07 52% 37% 40% -2 -1 0.96 25% 0.9 .23 13% .52 70% .37 1.02 67% 50% 33% +1 +1 1.05 22% 0.3 .07 15% .47 70% .33
Feb
7		 Western Kentucky C- A F B C 35% 31% 33% D+ C- C+ C C D+ D A C D- C A+ B B- 40% 12% 47% D- C+ F B- D- F A+ F A-
1.03 71% 20% 38% +1 -2 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 19% .34 79% .27 1.17 52% 14% 30% -8 +1 0.88 44% 0.9 .40 10% .21 85% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Delaware F F+ F+ F+ F 37% 24% 39% C+ F B- B+ B C- F C- F C D- F B C- 31% 10% 58% D C- F F F A+ B- B B
0.99 50% 31% 29% -8 -1 0.85 33% 1.1 .37 15% .16 78% .12 1.02 67% 60% 32% +3 +1 1.10 31% 1.1 .34 24% .22 73% .16
Feb
14		 Louisiana Tech B- C F+ A B 43% 21% 36% C B A+ D+ A+ F B- F C- B- D B B D 53% 12% 35% F D- A C+ B+ A C A- B-
1.14 55% 30% 41% +1 0 1.04 52% 1.0 .52 24% .35 61% .21 0.95 62% 33% 29% -1 +2 1.04 26% 0.8 .19 24% .27 57% .16
Feb
19		 Liberty B- D- D- A+ C 54% 21% 25% B+ C A D- B D A- A+ A+ B- B+ F F D+ 47% 4% 49% C- D+ B- C- C+ A F D F
1.12 48% 33% 50% 0 +1 1.04 41% 1.1 .44 20% .30 89% .27 1.14 54% 50% 48% +9 +3 1.25 17% 1.0 .17 19% .34 73% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 0.8 3rd
4th 0.6 1.4 2.0 4th
5th 3.0 0.7 3.7 5th
6th 0.1 6.1 0.1 6.4 6th
7th 2.7 4.5 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.3 12.1 1.2 13.5 8th
9th 0.1 4.8 13.2 0.0 18.1 9th
10th 0.0 2.0 14.9 3.4 20.3 10th
11th 0.6 8.0 9.3 0.1 18.1 11th
12th 3.0 5.7 1.2 9.9 12th
Total 3.6 15.8 30.5 31.6 15.4 3.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 3.1% 8.8% 8.8% 13.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.8
9-11 15.4% 4.4% 4.4% 14.9 0.1 0.5 0.0 14.8
8-12 31.6% 3.3% 3.3% 15.8 0.3 0.8 30.5
7-13 30.5% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8 29.6
6-14 15.8% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 15.4
5-15 3.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 3.5
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 15.5 96.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 13.9 30.5 51.2 18.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0%
Lose Out 2.0%