Furman
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -1.7 184
Results Rating -2.1 196
Consistency 0.13 88
Pace 65.0 272
Improvement -2.1 260

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 219 C+ C- D D B
Defense C 164 C+ C D- B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 153 B 63% 71 +2.5 91
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 311 A- 47% 18 -1.9 272
Three Pointers 47% 53 D- 30% 320 +0.4 163
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 61 C +0.3 154
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 133
Second Chance C 29.4% 203 D+ 0.96 285 C- 0.28 241
Opponents' Steals D- 11.6% 343
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 188
Turnovers D 18.9% 314
Freethrows D+ 0.28 248 D- 67% 330 D 0.19 291
Total Offense C- -1.9 219

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 58% 44 D+ 12.7% 284
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 7% 363 D- 8.4% 339
Three Pointers C+ 86% 147 C 0.9% 184
Total B- 60% 91 D+ 6.5% 287


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 193 B 54% 68 -1.8 116
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 156 D 42% 315 +0.9 263
Three Pointers 40% 198 C+ 33% 114 -1.0 139
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 148 C+ -1.6 115
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.99 125
Second Chance C 30.2% 179 C 1.02 155 C 0.31 170
Turnovers from Steals F+ 6.5% 347
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 150
Turnovers D- 14.0% 334
Freethrows B+ 0.25 28 B- 71% 85 B+ 0.17 31
Total Defense C +0.2 164

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 164 C 10.8% 176
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 41 D+ 2.9% 299
Three Pointers C+ 82% 117 B 1.7% 46
Total B- 52% 105 C 5.5% 182

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 251 17.3 179
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 230 0.19 240
Consistency 0.12 131 0.10 35
Improvement -1.9 287 -0.2 200

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 203 190 167
Results Rating Rank 227 206 142
Conference Record 10 - 8 10 - 8 10 - 8
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14% 29% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.8 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round14% 29% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 34 - 44 - 8
Quad 413 - 517 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 94 High Point L 71 - 97 23% -17  6% 0 - 1 F -20 D- -7 C+ D F F -12 F C+ F
 Fri, Nov 7 150 Troy L 61 - 64 53% -7  0% 0 - 2 D+ -6 F -15 D+ D F A +9 B A A-
 Fri, Nov 14 90 @Northern Iowa L 54 - 70 15% -10  3% 0 - 3 D+ -7 D- -8 D+ D D C -0 C A- F+
 Sun, Nov 23 201 Queens W 90 - 79 64% +11  95% 1 - 3 B- +6 A+ +17 A+ F A+ F -10 B F F
 Thu, Nov 27 134 Richmond W 73 - 72 37% +6  96% 2 - 3 C+ +3 C- -1 B+ B+ F B +4 C B A+
 Fri, Nov 28 98 Illinois St. L 65 - 72 25% -4  12% 2 - 4 C- -2 D+ -4 B+ F D- C+ +2 B D D+
 Wed, Dec 3 234 @Elon W 97 - 88 47% -1  49% 3 - 4 B- +8 A+ +16 A- F+ A D- -8 C+ D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 151 Harvard W 79 - 69 54% +7  90% 4 - 4 B- +7 B +6 A+ B+ F C+ +1 C+ B F
 Thu, Dec 18 325 @Manhattan W 75 - 68 71% +2  74% 5 - 4 C -1 D- -6 C D+ F B+ +6 C C B-
 Sun, Dec 21 251 Charleston Southern W 84 - 76 73% +6  85% 6 - 4 C +0 C -0 C B- B- C -0 B B- F
 Wed, Dec 31 177 Mercer W 74 - 72 59% +3  82% 7 - 4 1 - 0 C- -2 D+ -3 B F+ C+ C+ +1 A D- F
 Sat, Jan 3 230 Western Carolina L 77 - 80 OT 69% -3  21% 7 - 5 1 - 1 D -10 D -6 C- D B- D+ -4 C F+ C
 Wed, Jan 7 286 @Chattanooga W 78 - 67 59% +5  64% 8 - 5 2 - 1 B- +7 C +1 C B D- B+ +6 C+ B B
 Sat, Jan 10 358 VMI W 69 - 48 94% +10  83% 9 - 5 3 - 1 C+ +2 F -14 F+ B+ F A+ +17 A+ D+ A+
 Wed, Jan 14 190 @Samford W 77 - 73 39% +2  56% 10 - 5 4 - 1 B- +5 C +0 C C- C- B +5 B- C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 17 242 Wofford L 70 - 74 71% +3  72% 10 - 6 4 - 2 D- -11 D -5 F A+ F+ D- -7 D D D
 Wed, Jan 21 345 @The Citadel L 75 - 77 OT 78% +6  68% 10 - 7 4 - 3 D- -12 D -5 D- F C+ D- -7 C+ F F+
 Fri, Jan 23 300 @UNC Greensboro W 89 - 66 63% +5  89% 11 - 7 5 - 3 A- +18 A+ +17 A D A+ B- +3 C+ C+ D+
 Thu, Jan 29 190 Samford W 78 - 73 62% +4  75% 12 - 7 6 - 3 C +0 B- +5 A A+ F D -5 B F F
 Sun, Feb 1 286 Chattanooga W 75 - 70 79% +12  95% 13 - 7 7 - 3 D+ -5 C- -2 B- B- F C- -3 B+ F B-
 Wed, Feb 4 141 @East Tennessee St. L 71 - 75 OT 29% +5  82% 13 - 8 7 - 4 C +0 D -5 A D F B+ +5 C+ A+ F+
 Sun, Feb 8 300 UNC Greensboro L 64 - 67 81% -4  13% 13 - 9 7 - 5 D- -14 F -13 F D- F+ C- -2 D- A D+
 Wed, Feb 11 177 @Mercer L 64 - 69 36% +2  67% 13 - 10 7 - 6 C- -3 F+ -10 F D+ A- B+ +6 A+ B F
 Sat, Feb 14 358 @VMI W 90 - 72 86% +12  99% 14 - 10 8 - 6 C+ +5 B- +5 A- C C- C -0 D+ A F
 Wed, Feb 18 141 East Tennessee St. L 69 - 78 51% -3  22% 14 - 11 8 - 7 D -11 D -6 F C- A+ D -5 D- A+ C
 Sat, Feb 21 242 @Wofford W 76 - 67 49% +4  74% 15 - 11 9 - 7 B- +8 B- +4 A F+ C- B +4 C B+ F+
 Wed, Feb 25 345 The Citadel W 72 - 51 90% +5  79% 16 - 11 10 - 7 B- +5 C +1 F A+ D- A- +8 B- A- F
 Sat, Feb 28 230 @Western Carolina L 67 - 86 47% -4  37% 16 - 12 10 - 8 F -20 D -4 B F C+ F -17 D+ F F
 Sat, Mar 7 190 Samford W 73 - 72 51%
Totals 17 - 12 10 - 8 -2 C- -2 D+ C B C +0 D- D- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- B A- D- C 39% 26% 47% B C+ C D+ C- D D+ D- D C B D C+ C+ 38% 21% 40% C C+ C C C D- B+ B- B+
1.06 63% 47% 30% 0 +1 1.05 29% 1.0 .28 19% .28 67% .19 1.08 54% 42% 33% -2 0 0.99 30% 1.0 .31 14% .25 71% .20
Nov
3		 High Point D- A- A+ F+ B- 40% 17% 44% C C+ A+ F D F A- C+ B+ F F D F+ F 43% 28% 30% A+ F A- F+ C+ F A+ A+ A+
0.97 68% 50% 29% +3 +1 1.08 44% 0.6 .26 30% .37 74% .27 1.33 81% 41% 39% +13 -1 1.26 26% 1.3 .34 8% .22 53% .12
Nov
7		 Troy F F F A D 41% 11% 48% B+ D+ D+ D- D F D D- D- A B F A- B 35% 10% 55% C+ B A+ B A A- B+ B+ A-
0.89 42% 20% 41% -4 +1 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 25% .23 67% .16 0.94 50% 60% 29% -5 +1 0.94 24% 0.9 .21 20% .24 69% .17
Nov
14		 Northern Iowa D- A+ A+ F D- 39% 4% 57% A D+ D+ F+ D D D F F C C- F B+ C- 45% 19% 36% C+ C C A+ A- F+ D- F F
0.84 74% 50% 14% -10 +2 0.86 22% 0.8 .17 20% .22 55% .12 1.09 62% 56% 29% +3 +1 1.09 22% 0.7 .16 11% .30 82% .24
Nov
23		 Queens A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 41% 6% 53% A- A+ B- F F A+ C F+ D+ F B- F+ B- B- 27% 25% 48% A B B+ F F F B- F+ C
1.43 81% 67% 41% +16 +2 1.39 37% 0.6 .23 6% .36 67% .24 1.25 57% 46% 32% 0 -1 1.00 24% 1.9 .45 6% .29 82% .24
Nov
27		 Richmond C- A+ B- D+ B+ 26% 26% 49% C- B+ B B B+ F A+ F D- B C B C B- 41% 12% 47% F C F A+ B A+ C+ F D
1.06 83% 42% 30% +5 -2 1.09 35% 1.3 .44 23% .40 43% .17 1.04 60% 33% 35% +1 +1 1.06 39% 0.5 .19 25% .33 88% .29
Nov
28		 Illinois St. D+ D+ B+ B+ B 39% 14% 47% A B+ F+ F F D- F F F C+ D- D B- C+ 20% 37% 43% A+ B C+ F D D+ D+ B C-
0.97 55% 43% 38% +2 +1 1.08 19% 0.7 .13 19% .20 55% .11 1.08 70% 42% 32% +2 -3 1.00 27% 1.3 .36 15% .32 67% .21
Dec
3		 Elon A+ A+ C- B 38% 0% 62% A+ A- C F F+ A A+ B+ A+ D- B+ A+ C- B 45% 2% 53% F+ C+ C D D+ F F+ D- F
1.35 75% 34% +7 +3 1.21 33% 0.8 .28 11% .49 77% .38 1.23 50% 0% 35% -3 +3 1.02 33% 1.1 .35 8% .38 76% .29
Dec
6		 Harvard B A+ A+ F A+ 41% 11% 48% B- A+ D+ A+ B+ F A+ A- A+ C+ B D F+ C- 35% 38% 27% A+ C+ B C+ B F B+ A+ A+
1.16 83% 100% 24% +10 +1 1.25 26% 1.5 .39 23% .38 80% .31 1.01 53% 43% 40% +2 -3 1.02 23% 0.9 .20 13% .19 55% .10
Dec
18		 Manhattan D- C+ A C+ C- 42% 8% 50% A- C C+ F+ D+ F C+ F F B+ F C+ A C- 28% 30% 43% A- C F+ A C B- C+ A+ B+
1.08 62% 50% 36% +4 +2 1.14 39% 0.9 .36 24% .27 36% .10 0.98 67% 38% 26% -3 -2 0.93 33% 0.9 .29 17% .28 69% .19
Dec
21		 Charleston Southern C D+ D C+ C 38% 21% 41% C+ C F A+ B- B- B A- A- C D D+ A+ B+ 43% 8% 49% D B A- D B- F A+ A+ A+
1.13 52% 33% 35% -3 0 0.96 20% 1.8 .35 11% .39 77% .30 1.02 63% 40% 26% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.0 .23 12% .14 56% .08
Dec
31		 Mercer D+ C B- A B- 45% 14% 41% B+ B B- F F+ C+ A+ F B C+ A+ D+ B- A 32% 35% 33% A+ A C F D- F A+ D- A+
1.10 57% 43% 43% +5 +1 1.16 36% 0.6 .22 16% .39 59% .23 1.07 39% 40% 32% -7 -2 0.84 33% 1.2 .40 10% .15 78% .12
Jan
3		 Western Carolina D A+ D D+ C 27% 25% 48% D- C- C- F D B- D F F D+ A+ B+ F D+ 40% 33% 27% A C F C- F+ C B- A B
1.08 80% 36% 33% +5 -1 1.09 26% 0.8 .21 14% .28 47% .13 1.12 41% 33% 53% -1 -1 0.98 41% 1.1 .44 17% .27 63% .17
Jan
7		 Chattanooga C D+ F A- C- 45% 8% 47% A- C C- A+ B D- C B- C+ B+ A+ A F C+ 27% 18% 55% C C+ D- A+ B B A+ C A+
1.14 55% 0% 39% -1 +2 1.04 31% 1.4 .44 16% .35 75% .26 0.98 40% 30% 40% -1 0 0.98 26% 0.7 .18 17% .14 75% .11
Jan
10		 VMI F D+ A- D F 24% 15% 61% C- F+ A C- B+ F A F C A+ A+ A A+ A+ 31% 18% 51% B- A+ D- C D+ A+ C+ C+ B-
1.05 60% 50% 32% 0 0 1.02 49% 1.0 .49 30% .39 56% .22 0.73 29% 25% 22% -21 0 0.60 30% 0.9 .28 24% .26 69% .18
Jan
14		 Samford C C+ A+ F C 27% 24% 49% C C A F C- C- D+ F+ D B C- A+ A+ B+ 46% 15% 38% F B- A- F C+ C- D+ F F+
1.10 60% 69% 26% +2 -1 1.04 37% 0.7 .27 14% .27 69% .18 1.04 63% 25% 25% -5 +1 0.94 18% 1.3 .24 13% .38 78% .29
Jan
17		 Wofford D F A+ F F+ 23% 26% 51% F F A- A+ A+ F+ C- B- C D- D- F B D- 44% 16% 40% C D C+ F D D A D- A-
1.10 45% 58% 25% -5 -2 0.89 37% 1.4 .51 19% .29 80% .23 1.16 64% 50% 30% +2 +1 1.08 27% 1.3 .33 13% .23 77% .18
Jan
21		 The Citadel D A C+ F F+ 44% 9% 47% B- D- C- F F C+ C- A+ B- D- F A+ A+ B- 37% 10% 53% F+ C+ D F F F+ F F F
1.07 75% 40% 23% 0 +2 1.05 31% 0.6 .18 14% .27 81% .22 1.10 67% 20% 23% -7 +1 0.90 31% 1.3 .38 14% .50 77% .38
Jan
23		 UNC Greensboro A+ A+ F A+ A+ 36% 15% 49% B- A F A+ D A+ D- A+ C B- F A+ A+ B- 40% 13% 47% F C+ B+ D- C+ D+ B- D+ C+
1.40 74% 25% 50% +15 +1 1.34 20% 1.4 .28 8% .20 92% .19 1.04 74% 17% 23% -4 +1 0.96 22% 1.1 .25 14% .33 72% .24
Jan
29		 Samford B- A+ A+ F A 37% 23% 40% B- A B- A+ A+ F A+ C A+ D A- F A+ C+ 18% 38% 44% A+ B F C F F C- A+ B+
1.21 81% 70% 24% +10 0 1.21 29% 1.7 .50 22% .40 75% .30 1.13 50% 52% 25% -2 -4 0.91 36% 1.1 .39 6% .36 55% .20
Feb
1		 Chattanooga C- D+ A+ C+ C+ 50% 11% 39% A- B- D- A+ B- F B B B+ C- A D B+ B+ 25% 22% 53% B- B+ F D+ F B- D+ C D+
1.14 55% 60% 35% +1 +2 1.09 26% 1.6 .41 18% .39 76% .30 1.06 46% 45% 30% -5 -1 0.90 36% 1.2 .42 17% .29 75% .22
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 East Tennessee St. D A+ A+ D+ A 45% 9% 47% B+ A D D D F F F F B+ B A F C+ 44% 25% 31% B- C+ A- A+ A+ F+ D+ B- C-
0.98 76% 75% 32% +10 +2 1.26 25% 0.9 .21 29% .19 60% .12 1.03 54% 29% 41% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.6 .14 12% .35 73% .25
Feb
8		 UNC Greensboro F D- A F F 59% 9% 33% A+ F D+ F D- F+ A- B A- C- A+ F+ F D 44% 19% 38% F+ D- B A+ A D+ C+ C+ C+
1.02 52% 50% 27% -6 +3 0.96 27% 0.9 .24 17% .33 76% .25 1.06 33% 44% 56% +2 +1 1.08 23% 0.6 .14 14% .35 68% .24
Feb
11		 Mercer F+ F F D F 35% 9% 56% B F F+ B+ D+ A- D F F B+ A+ D- A- A+ 53% 14% 33% F A+ C- A B F C F D-
0.96 42% 20% 32% -9 +1 0.87 25% 1.1 .28 14% .23 62% .14 1.04 37% 43% 29% -13 +2 0.80 34% 0.8 .27 11% .35 86% .30
Feb
14		 VMI B- A+ A+ C+ A- 26% 8% 66% B- A- F+ A+ C C- B C+ B C A+ F D C- 28% 4% 69% D- D+ B A+ A F D+ F F
1.27 85% 100% 36% +14 +1 1.32 30% 1.3 .40 17% .34 75% .25 1.01 33% 50% 35% -5 +1 0.94 21% 0.6 .12 10% .31 85% .27
Feb
18		 East Tennessee St. D B+ A+ F F 30% 12% 58% C F B- D- C- A+ A+ C+ A+ D A+ D F F+ 41% 18% 41% C- D- D+ A+ A+ C C- B- C
1.01 67% 50% 17% -11 +1 0.82 33% 0.8 .28 13% .47 75% .35 1.14 43% 44% 52% +6 +1 1.16 30% 0.5 .16 16% .33 74% .24
Feb
21		 Wofford B- C F A+ A 55% 11% 34% B+ A F+ D- F+ C- C+ C- C B C- F A+ B- 48% 8% 44% F+ C B+ B B+ F+ C- A+ A-
1.19 58% 20% 56% +9 +2 1.26 22% 1.0 .22 16% .31 76% .24 1.05 58% 75% 23% -4 +2 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 11% .33 53% .18
Feb
25		 The Citadel C F+ A+ F F 53% 5% 43% A F A+ C- A+ D- A+ A- A+ A- A F A+ B+ 36% 8% 56% F B- A+ F A- F A+ A+ A+
1.20 52% 50% 24% -9 +3 0.90 56% 1.0 .56 18% .51 76% .39 0.85 44% 75% 25% -10 +1 0.86 14% 1.2 .17 12% .15 25% .04
Feb
28		 Western Carolina D A- F+ D- C+ 63% 6% 31% A+ B F C- F C+ F F F F B F C D+ 40% 18% 42% D+ D+ D- F F F F A+ C-
1.05 69% 33% 31% +5 +4 1.20 13% 1.0 .13 14% .22 25% .05 1.35 50% 56% 33% -1 0 1.02 39% 1.7 .67 6% .37 59% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 14.5% 14.5% 14.8 0.1 4.1 9.0 1.3 85.5
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.5% 14.5% 0.0% 14.8 85.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 14.5% 100.0% 14.8 1.0 28.3 61.9 8.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 18.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 17.6%
Lose Out 49.7%