IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Furman
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.9	#165
Expected Predictive Rating	-7.2	#319

Pace	65.0	#287
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.0	#130

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.0	#236

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.4%	20.1%	10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.0	13.8	14.4

.500 or above	66.0%	77.9%	54.4%
.500 or above in Conference	76.6%	82.2%	71.1%
Conference Champion	18.9%	23.3%	14.6%
Last Place in Conference	2.9%	1.8%	4.0%

First Four	1.4%	1.2%	1.6%
First Round	14.9%	19.4%	10.4%
Second Round	1.2%	1.8%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.4%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Troy (Home) - 49.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	4 - 6	4 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 4	16 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	88	High Point	L	71-97	26%	0 - 1			-20.2	-3.8	-15.4
Nov 07, 2025	118	Troy	L	70-71	49%
Nov 14, 2025	96	@ Northern Iowa	L	64-73	19%
Nov 23, 2025	242	Queens	W	76-69	71%
Nov 27, 2025	128	Richmond	L	67-69	41%
Dec 03, 2025	228	@ Elon	L	68-69	49%
Dec 06, 2025	154	Harvard	W	70-68	57%
Dec 18, 2025	236	@ Manhattan	W	73-72	51%
Dec 21, 2025	319	Charleston Southern	W	76-65	83%
Dec 31, 2025	240	Mercer	W	76-70	71%
Jan 03, 2026	267	Western Carolina	W	77-69	74%
Jan 07, 2026	134	@ Chattanooga	L	69-74	34%
Jan 10, 2026	276	VMI	W	75-67	75%
Jan 14, 2026	188	@ Samford	L	75-77	45%
Jan 17, 2026	241	Wofford	W	70-64	69%
Jan 21, 2026	352	@ The Citadel	W	71-64	71%
Jan 24, 2026	256	@ UNC Greensboro	W	72-71	53%
Jan 29, 2026	188	Samford	W	78-74	64%
Feb 01, 2026	134	Chattanooga	W	72-71	54%
Feb 04, 2026	146	@ East Tennessee St.	L	67-71	38%
Feb 08, 2026	256	UNC Greensboro	W	75-68	72%
Feb 11, 2026	240	@ Mercer	W	74-73	51%
Feb 14, 2026	276	@ VMI	W	72-70	56%
Feb 18, 2026	146	East Tennessee St.	W	70-68	57%
Feb 21, 2026	241	@ Wofford	W	68-67	52%
Feb 25, 2026	352	The Citadel	W	74-61	88%
Feb 28, 2026	267	@ Western Carolina	W	74-72	55%
Projected Record						15 - 12	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.2	0.9	2.4	4.3	5.7	3.1	1.7	0.6		18.9	1st
2nd											0.2	2.1	4.5	5.5	3.3	1.3	0.2				17.1	2nd
3rd										0.3	2.1	5.0	5.0	1.5	0.3	0.0					14.1	3rd
4th									0.2	2.0	5.8	4.1	1.7	0.1							13.9	4th
5th								0.2	1.6	4.7	3.7	0.8									11.0	5th
6th							0.1	1.7	3.7	2.6	0.4										8.5	6th
7th						0.0	1.0	3.3	2.1	0.3	0.1										6.8	7th
8th					0.1	0.8	2.1	1.6	0.2	0.1											4.9	8th
9th			0.1	0.1	0.8	1.4	0.8	0.2													3.3	9th
10th		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0														1.3	10th

Total		0.1	0.3	0.4	1.4	2.5	4.0	6.9	7.8	10.0	12.2	12.2	12.1	9.5	7.9	7.1	3.3	1.7	0.6			Total

Southern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.6		0.6
17-1	100.0%	1.7		1.7
16-2	94.2%	3.1		2.4	0.7
15-3	81.2%	5.7		4.1	1.6	0.1
14-4	54.1%	4.3		2.4	1.7	0.2
13-5	25.2%	2.4		0.9	1.1	0.4
12-6	7.2%	0.9		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.2
11-7	1.9%	0.2			0.0	0.1	0.1
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	18.9%	18.9		12.3	5.4	1.0	0.3

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.6%		43.8%	43.8%		11.1								0.0				0.1	0.1	0.0				0.3
17-1	1.7%		51.1%	51.1%		12.2												0.2	0.4	0.3				0.8
16-2	3.3%		49.4%	49.4%		13.0													0.5	0.8	0.3	0.0		1.7
15-3	7.1%		38.2%	38.2%		13.4													0.5	1.1	0.9	0.2	0.1	4.4
14-4	7.9%		29.9%	29.9%		13.9													0.2	0.4	1.1	0.5	0.1	5.5
13-5	9.5%		24.0%	24.0%		13.9													0.1	0.6	1.0	0.5	0.0	7.2
12-6	12.1%		16.6%	16.6%		14.8														0.2	0.5	0.7	0.5	10.1
11-7	12.2%		10.6%	10.6%		15.3															0.2	0.6	0.5	10.9
10-8	12.2%		9.6%	9.6%		15.5															0.2	0.2	0.8	11.1
9-9	10.0%		5.7%	5.7%		15.8																0.1	0.5	9.4
8-10	7.8%		1.9%	1.9%		15.8																0.0	0.1	7.6
7-11	6.9%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	6.9
6-12	4.0%																							4.0
5-13	2.5%																							2.5
4-14	1.4%																							1.4
3-15	0.4%																							0.4
2-16	0.3%																							0.3
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18

Total	100%		15.4%	15.4%	0.0%	14.0								0.0				0.2	1.8	3.5	4.2	3.0	2.7	84.6		0.0%