Furman
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#165
Expected Predictive Rating-7.3#329
Pace65.9#256
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#127
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#229
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.4% 18.6% 12.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.6 14.3
.500 or above 67.8% 79.6% 56.9%
.500 or above in Conference 76.6% 82.7% 70.8%
Conference Champion 20.3% 25.5% 15.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 1.5% 3.9%
First Four1.3% 1.0% 1.6%
First Round15.4% 18.8% 12.3%
Second Round1.1% 1.6% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Troy (Home) - 48.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 64 - 9
Quad 412 - 416 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 88   High Point L 71-97 27%     0 - 1 -20.3 -4.3 -14.9
  Nov 07, 2025 117   Troy L 71-72 48%    
  Nov 14, 2025 109   @ Northern Iowa L 65-72 24%    
  Nov 23, 2025 245   Queens W 77-70 73%    
  Nov 27, 2025 129   Richmond L 67-69 41%    
  Dec 03, 2025 230   @ Elon W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 06, 2025 162   Harvard W 70-67 60%    
  Dec 18, 2025 239   @ Manhattan W 74-73 53%    
  Dec 21, 2025 320   Charleston Southern W 77-66 84%    
  Dec 31, 2025 242   Mercer W 77-70 73%    
  Jan 03, 2026 270   Western Carolina W 77-69 75%    
  Jan 07, 2026 137   @ Chattanooga L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 10, 2026 284   VMI W 76-67 78%    
  Jan 14, 2026 182   @ Samford L 76-78 43%    
  Jan 17, 2026 231   Wofford W 71-65 71%    
  Jan 21, 2026 345   @ The Citadel W 72-64 73%    
  Jan 24, 2026 229   @ UNC Greensboro W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 29, 2026 182   Samford W 79-75 63%    
  Feb 01, 2026 137   Chattanooga W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 04, 2026 148   @ East Tennessee St. L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 08, 2026 229   UNC Greensboro W 70-64 69%    
  Feb 11, 2026 242   @ Mercer W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 14, 2026 284   @ VMI W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 18, 2026 148   East Tennessee St. W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 21, 2026 231   @ Wofford W 68-67 51%    
  Feb 25, 2026 345   The Citadel W 75-61 87%    
  Feb 28, 2026 270   @ Western Carolina W 74-72 57%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 3.2 4.8 5.2 4.0 1.7 0.4 20.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.6 5.6 3.7 1.2 0.1 17.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 5.3 4.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 14.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.0 4.3 1.1 0.1 12.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 4.3 3.3 0.8 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 3.8 2.7 0.5 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.2 1.1 2.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.1 3.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.5 4.4 5.9 7.9 9.7 10.6 12.1 11.6 11.1 8.8 6.4 4.1 1.7 0.4 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 1.7    1.7 0.0
16-2 96.6% 4.0    3.6 0.4 0.0
15-3 81.1% 5.2    3.8 1.3 0.1
14-4 54.3% 4.8    2.5 1.9 0.4 0.0
13-5 28.5% 3.2    1.0 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.9% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.3% 20.3 13.2 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 70.5% 68.2% 2.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.1%
17-1 1.7% 51.2% 51.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.8
16-2 4.1% 45.1% 45.1% 12.5 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.3
15-3 6.4% 34.8% 34.8% 13.2 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.2
14-4 8.8% 28.2% 28.2% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 6.3
13-5 11.1% 21.6% 21.6% 14.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.2 8.7
12-6 11.6% 15.8% 15.8% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 9.7
11-7 12.1% 11.7% 11.7% 16.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 10.7
10-8 10.6% 8.3% 8.3% 17.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 9.7
9-9 9.7% 6.1% 6.1% 18.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 9.1
8-10 7.9% 3.4% 3.4% 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 7.7
7-11 5.9% 2.5% 2.5% 17.0 0.0 0.1 5.8
6-12 4.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 4.3
5-13 2.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.5
4-14 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5
3-15 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.4% 15.4% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.1 3.4 4.0 3.3 2.5 84.6 0.0%