IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.6	#264
Expected Predictive Rating	-1.9	#195

Pace	63.2	#332
Improvement	+0.7	#130

Offense
Total Offense	-1.4	#206

First Shot	+0.1	#169
After Offensive Rebound	-1.5	#275

Layup/Dunks	-1.9	#255
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.3	#249
3 Pt Jumpshots	+2.1	#112
Freethrows	+1.2	#105

Improvement	+0.3	#146

Defense
Total Defense	-4.2	#317

First Shot	-3.5	#297
After Offensive Rebounds	-0.7	#247

Layups/Dunks	-2.4	#268
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.4	#171
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.3	#202
Freethrows	-1.1	#264

Improvement	+0.4	#154

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.7%	3.8%	2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	15.1	15.4

.500 or above	19.3%	31.8%	12.8%
.500 or above in Conference	35.3%	42.0%	31.8%
Conference Champion	0.9%	1.3%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	3.1%	2.4%	3.5%

First Four	0.7%	0.6%	0.7%
First Round	2.4%	3.5%	1.9%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Campbell (Away) - 34.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	4 - 8	4 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 5	13 - 18

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	17 @Kansas	L	51-94	2%	0 - 1			-22.9	-5.1	-21.4
Fri, Nov 7	192 @Buffalo	L	76-83	27%	0 - 2			-6.1	+7.5	-14.3
Thu, Nov 13	128 @St. Thomas	L	61-80	16%	0 - 3			-14.2	-10.3	-3.8
Sat, Nov 15	98 @Minnesota	L	65-72 OT	10%	0 - 4			+1.3	-4.8	+6.2
Fri, Nov 21	75 Yale	L	67-73	12%	0 - 5			+1.4	+1.8	-1.2
Sat, Nov 22	163 Massachusetts	W	79-75	31%	1 - 5			+3.7	+10.9	-7.1
Mon, Nov 24	161 Iona	W	80-75	30%	2 - 5			+4.7	+9.4	-4.5
Thu, Dec 4	183 Robert Morris	L	78-80	46%	2 - 6	0 - 1		-6.6	+5.2	-11.9
Sun, Dec 7	153 @Wright St.	L	58-86	19%	2 - 7	0 - 2		-24.4	-10.9	-14.4
Thu, Dec 11	356 @IU Indianapolis	W	85-75	70%	3 - 7	1 - 2		-1.0	+1.8	-3.2
Wed, Dec 17	154 UC Santa Barbara	W	67-64	39%	4 - 7			+0.2	+5.8	-4.9
Tue, Dec 23	231 @Campbell	L	72-76	34%
Thu, Jan 1	217 @Purdue Fort Wayne	L	73-78	32%
Mon, Jan 5	222 Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	75-74	54%
Fri, Jan 9	356 IU Indianapolis	W	88-77	85%
Sun, Jan 11	199 Northern Kentucky	L	72-73	49%
Thu, Jan 15	328 @Cleveland St.	W	77-76	54%
Sun, Jan 18	135 Oakland	L	77-81	35%
Thu, Jan 22	164 @Youngstown St.	L	66-74	23%
Sat, Jan 24	183 @Robert Morris	L	66-73	26%
Fri, Jan 30	328 Cleveland St.	W	80-73	75%
Sun, Feb 1	153 Wright St.	L	69-72	38%
Wed, Feb 4	199 @Northern Kentucky	L	69-75	28%
Sat, Feb 7	296 Detroit Mercy	W	74-69	66%
Thu, Feb 12	217 Purdue Fort Wayne	W	76-75	54%
Sun, Feb 15	222 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	72-77	33%
Fri, Feb 20	135 @Oakland	L	74-84	18%
Sun, Feb 22	296 @Detroit Mercy	L	71-72	46%
Sat, Feb 28	164 Youngstown St.	L	69-71	42%
Projected Record					12 - 17	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0					0.9	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	1.0	0.9	0.3	0.0						2.4	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	1.7	1.6	0.5	0.1							4.3	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	2.5	2.9	0.8	0.1	0.0							6.6	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.8	4.5	1.4	0.1									9.2	5th
6th								0.0	0.5	3.6	5.7	2.2	0.1										12.2	6th
7th							0.1	0.9	4.4	7.2	3.4	0.3											16.2	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.6	5.0	7.7	3.7	0.5	0.0											18.7	8th
9th				0.0	0.7	2.8	6.0	6.2	2.6	0.4	0.0												18.7	9th
10th		0.0	0.1	0.7	2.3	3.1	2.2	0.7	0.1														9.2	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0																1.5	11th

Total		0.0	0.3	1.2	3.4	6.3	9.9	12.9	15.4	15.3	12.7	9.9	6.4	3.6	1.8	0.7	0.1	0.0						Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-4	83.7%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-5	45.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-6	20.5%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3	0.0%																					0.0		0.0
16-4	0.1%		18.6%	18.6%		13.6														0.0	0.0			0.1
15-5	0.7%		20.4%	20.4%		14.1														0.0	0.1	0.0		0.5
14-6	1.8%		14.2%	14.2%		14.5														0.0	0.1	0.1		1.5
13-7	3.6%		9.5%	9.5%		14.8														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	3.3
12-8	6.4%		7.4%	7.4%		15.1															0.1	0.3	0.1	5.9
11-9	9.9%		5.3%	5.3%		15.4															0.0	0.3	0.2	9.4
10-10	12.7%		3.0%	3.0%		15.6																0.1	0.3	12.3
9-11	15.3%		1.7%	1.7%		15.9																0.0	0.2	15.0
8-12	15.4%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	15.2
7-13	12.9%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	12.8
6-14	9.9%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	9.9
5-15	6.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	6.3
4-16	3.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	3.4
3-17	1.2%																							1.2
2-18	0.3%																							0.3
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20

Total	100%		2.7%	2.7%	0.0%	15.2														0.1	0.4	1.1	1.2	97.3		0.0%