Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#310
Expected Predictive Rating-10.5#322
Pace74.4#57
Improvement-3.1#344

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#222
First Shot+1.0#150
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#326
Layup/Dunks+0.1#184
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#47
Freethrows+0.1#177
Improvement-2.5#344

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#338
First Shot-5.8#345
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#183
Layups/Dunks-4.2#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#275
Freethrows+0.9#127
Improvement-0.6#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.5% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 2.2% 3.5% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 15.7% 22.7% 8.0%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 21.5% 12.9% 30.9%
First Four0.9% 1.0% 0.7%
First Round0.8% 1.0% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cleveland St. (Home) - 52.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 72 - 13
Quad 48 - 99 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 81   @ Oklahoma St. L 76-89 6%     0 - 1 -3.4 +3.9 -6.6
  Nov 08, 2024 133   St. Thomas L 76-90 27%     0 - 2 -15.5 -0.7 -14.5
  Nov 13, 2024 324   @ Western Illinois W 87-73 44%     1 - 2 +7.9 +14.0 -5.7
  Nov 16, 2024 79   @ Providence L 65-79 6%     1 - 3 -3.9 +0.3 -4.8
  Nov 19, 2024 273   SIU Edwardsville W 82-57 55%     2 - 3 +15.9 +5.4 +10.1
  Nov 22, 2024 243   @ Evansville L 81-98 27%     2 - 4 -18.3 -2.8 -13.3
  Nov 25, 2024 29   @ Ohio St. L 69-102 2%     2 - 5 -17.0 +0.7 -16.5
  Nov 30, 2024 278   Campbell L 66-72 56%     2 - 6 -15.4 -10.4 -4.8
  Dec 04, 2024 356   @ IU Indianapolis L 75-84 60%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -19.4 -0.9 -18.9
  Dec 07, 2024 259   Cleveland St. W 74-73 53%    
  Dec 11, 2024 172   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 78-82 35%    
  Dec 14, 2024 126   @ UC Santa Barbara L 71-84 11%    
  Dec 21, 2024 73   @ Drake L 61-79 4%    
  Dec 29, 2024 150   Purdue Fort Wayne L 78-83 31%    
  Jan 02, 2025 136   @ Wright St. L 74-86 13%    
  Jan 04, 2025 216   @ Northern Kentucky L 71-79 23%    
  Jan 11, 2025 172   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-85 18%    
  Jan 17, 2025 275   Robert Morris W 75-74 55%    
  Jan 19, 2025 229   Youngstown St. L 74-75 47%    
  Jan 22, 2025 356   IU Indianapolis W 82-73 78%    
  Jan 25, 2025 259   @ Cleveland St. L 71-76 31%    
  Jan 30, 2025 144   @ Oakland L 65-77 14%    
  Feb 01, 2025 298   @ Detroit Mercy L 74-78 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 150   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 75-86 16%    
  Feb 14, 2025 216   Northern Kentucky L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 16, 2025 136   Wright St. L 77-83 29%    
  Feb 21, 2025 275   @ Robert Morris L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 23, 2025 229   @ Youngstown St. L 71-78 27%    
  Feb 27, 2025 298   Detroit Mercy W 77-75 58%    
  Mar 01, 2025 144   Oakland L 68-74 31%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 2.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.2 2.8 0.5 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.4 4.0 1.1 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.5 5.1 1.4 0.1 14.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 3.5 7.1 5.7 1.6 0.1 18.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.6 5.7 7.8 4.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 23.0 10th
11th 0.2 1.1 2.6 4.0 3.3 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 13.3 11th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.1 6.7 9.8 13.3 14.4 14.0 12.3 9.4 7.0 4.3 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 89.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 53.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-6 28.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 6.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 43.5% 43.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.2% 11.9% 11.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-6 0.5% 13.3% 13.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-7 1.2% 8.8% 8.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.1
12-8 2.3% 5.1% 5.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.2
11-9 4.3% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.1
10-10 7.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.2 6.8
9-11 9.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 9.3
8-12 12.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.2
7-13 14.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.9
6-14 14.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.3
5-15 13.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.3
4-16 9.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.8
3-17 6.7% 6.7
2-18 3.1% 3.1
1-19 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%