Howard
Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#265
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#208
Pace71.4#130
Improvement+3.8#19

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#310
First Shot-4.2#300
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#249
Layup/Dunks-1.8#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#167
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#318
Freethrows+2.2#62
Improvement-0.1#177

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#178
First Shot+2.2#110
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#334
Layups/Dunks-2.5#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#13
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#78
Freethrows-0.6#233
Improvement+3.8#5
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.8% 42.0% 34.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 93.2% 99.4% 92.9%
.500 or above in Conference 96.2% 98.7% 96.1%
Conference Champion 45.3% 57.3% 44.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
First Four22.3% 15.9% 22.6%
First Round23.1% 34.4% 22.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern (Away) - 4.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 31 - 12 - 4
Quad 416 - 718 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 60 Missouri L 67-88 14%     0 - 1 -15.2 -7.2 -7.4
  Sun, Nov 9 245 Grambling St. L 70-73 58%     0 - 2 -10.8 +0.3 -11.4
  Thu, Nov 13 337 Alcorn St. W 72-64 78%     1 - 2 -6.0 -3.6 -2.0
  Wed, Nov 19 349 @Stetson L 60-64 64%     1 - 3 -13.4 -15.9 +2.4
  Sat, Nov 22 352 Niagara W 80-70 76%     2 - 3 -3.2 -3.9 -0.1
  Sun, Nov 23 4 @Duke L 56-93 1%     2 - 4 -12.1 -4.8 -7.0
  Sat, Nov 29 300 @Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 46%     2 - 5 -8.6 +0.3 -8.8
  Tue, Dec 9 301 N.C. A&T W 73-69 58%     3 - 5 -3.7 -0.6 -3.0
  Sat, Dec 13 238 Hampton W 61-57 46%     4 - 5 -0.6 -11.7 +11.2
  Tue, Dec 16 274 @Drexel W 74-66 40%     5 - 5 +5.0 +3.5 +1.8
  Sat, Dec 20 120 @UNC Wilmington W 67-66 14%     6 - 5 +6.8 -1.4 +8.2
  Tue, Dec 30 57 @Northwestern L 64-82 5%    
  Sat, Jan 3 358 @South Carolina St. W 76-70 72%    
  Sat, Jan 10 345 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-65 63%    
  Mon, Jan 12 346 Delaware St. W 73-64 81%    
  Sat, Jan 17 348 @NC Central W 71-67 63%    
  Sat, Jan 24 360 Morgan St. W 82-69 88%    
  Mon, Jan 26 364 @Coppin St. W 77-67 84%    
  Sat, Jan 31 243 Norfolk St. W 70-68 58%    
  Sat, Feb 7 358 South Carolina St. W 79-67 87%    
  Mon, Feb 9 76 Yale L 71-81 18%    
  Sat, Feb 14 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-62 80%    
  Mon, Feb 16 346 @Delaware St. W 70-67 62%    
  Sat, Feb 21 348 NC Central W 74-64 81%    
  Sat, Feb 28 360 @Morgan St. W 79-72 72%    
  Mon, Mar 2 364 Coppin St. W 80-64 93%    
  Thu, Mar 5 243 @Norfolk St. L 67-71 36%    
Projected Record 16 - 11 10 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.1 5.5 13.0 14.6 8.7 2.4 45.3 1st
2nd 0.1 2.1 8.6 11.6 7.2 1.5 31.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 5.3 5.0 1.4 0.0 13.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.1 0.1 2.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.4 5.3 9.9 15.0 18.5 20.3 16.1 8.7 2.4 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 2.4    2.4
13-1 100.0% 8.7    8.2 0.5
12-2 90.4% 14.6    11.4 3.1 0.0
11-3 64.1% 13.0    7.4 5.2 0.4 0.0
10-4 29.5% 5.5    1.6 2.9 0.9 0.1
9-5 7.2% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 45.3% 45.3 31.2 12.1 1.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 2.4% 58.2% 58.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 1.0
13-1 8.7% 53.1% 53.1% 15.6 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.0 4.1
12-2 16.1% 49.2% 49.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.1 6.8 8.2
11-3 20.3% 40.3% 40.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 7.8 12.1
10-4 18.5% 32.3% 32.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.9 12.5
9-5 15.0% 24.0% 24.0% 16.0 0.0 3.6 11.4
8-6 9.9% 19.4% 19.4% 16.0 0.0 1.9 7.9
7-7 5.3% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7 4.6
6-8 2.4% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 0.3 2.1
5-9 1.0% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.1 0.9
4-10 0.3% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-11 0.1% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 34.8% 34.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.8 30.4 65.2 0.0%