Howard
Mid-Eastern
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#274
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#270
Pace77.0#34
Improvement-0.4#215

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#202
First Shot+0.3#174
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#240
Layup/Dunks+0.7#147
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#73
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#99
Freethrows-4.9#355
Improvement-1.9#315

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#322
First Shot-4.3#307
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#250
Layups/Dunks-4.8#319
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#89
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#121
Freethrows-2.8#311
Improvement+1.5#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.7% 32.2% 24.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 61.1% 81.6% 57.2%
.500 or above in Conference 90.0% 94.9% 89.1%
Conference Champion 33.7% 42.5% 32.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.4% 1.0%
First Four23.4% 26.6% 22.8%
First Round13.6% 18.6% 12.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgetown (Away) - 16.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 42 - 6
Quad 414 - 815 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 181   @ Bradley W 76-64 21%     1 - 0 +14.2 +11.2 +3.9
  Nov 16, 2021 7   @ Villanova L 81-100 1%     1 - 1 +1.9 +19.9 -18.9
  Nov 20, 2021 263   @ High Point L 63-73 36%     1 - 2 -12.5 -14.2 +2.4
  Nov 21, 2021 331   William & Mary W 82-76 70%     2 - 2 -5.5 +0.0 -5.8
  Nov 26, 2021 257   Austin Peay L 67-69 57%     2 - 3 -10.0 -12.8 +2.9
  Nov 30, 2021 293   @ Mount St. Mary's L 70-72 44%     2 - 4 -6.5 +1.1 -7.7
  Dec 04, 2021 329   American W 90-56 78%     3 - 4 +19.7 +5.6 +12.6
  Dec 15, 2021 147   @ Georgetown L 74-85 16%    
  Dec 18, 2021 284   N.C. A&T W 78-77 52%    
  Dec 21, 2021 151   @ Harvard L 71-81 17%    
  Dec 23, 2021 135   @ Yale L 72-83 15%    
  Dec 30, 2021 333   @ Hampton W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 04, 2022 206   @ Penn L 75-82 25%    
  Jan 08, 2022 356   @ Delaware St. W 84-74 83%    
  Jan 10, 2022 330   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-70 77%    
  Jan 15, 2022 252   Norfolk St. W 78-76 56%    
  Jan 17, 2022 84   Notre Dame L 73-82 20%    
  Jan 22, 2022 314   @ Morgan St. L 79-80 50%    
  Jan 24, 2022 306   @ Coppin St. L 80-81 47%    
  Jan 29, 2022 334   @ NC Central W 78-75 63%    
  Jan 31, 2022 352   @ South Carolina St. W 85-78 74%    
  Feb 12, 2022 356   Delaware St. W 87-71 93%    
  Feb 14, 2022 330   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-73 58%    
  Feb 19, 2022 314   Morgan St. W 83-77 70%    
  Feb 21, 2022 306   Coppin St. W 83-78 68%    
  Feb 26, 2022 334   NC Central W 81-72 80%    
  Feb 28, 2022 352   South Carolina St. W 88-75 87%    
  Mar 03, 2022 252   @ Norfolk St. L 75-79 35%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.0 5.5 10.9 9.8 5.1 1.2 33.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 7.6 10.5 4.8 0.7 25.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 6.7 7.4 1.9 0.1 17.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.5 4.7 1.0 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.0 2.8 0.4 0.0 7.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 1.6 1.3 0.2 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.8 5.5 9.1 13.5 17.0 17.9 15.7 10.5 5.1 1.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.2    1.2
13-1 100.0% 5.1    5.0 0.1
12-2 93.7% 9.8    8.1 1.7 0.0
11-3 69.4% 10.9    6.1 4.3 0.5
10-4 30.9% 5.5    1.5 2.7 1.2 0.2
9-5 6.1% 1.0    0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 33.7% 33.7 22.0 9.1 2.1 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.2% 61.0% 61.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5
13-1 5.1% 50.2% 50.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.4 2.6
12-2 10.5% 43.1% 43.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.4 6.0
11-3 15.7% 38.4% 38.4% 16.0 0.0 6.0 9.7
10-4 17.9% 29.7% 29.7% 16.0 0.0 5.3 12.6
9-5 17.0% 20.2% 20.2% 16.0 0.0 3.4 13.6
8-6 13.5% 13.2% 13.2% 16.0 1.8 11.7
7-7 9.1% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 0.8 8.2
6-8 5.5% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.4 5.1
5-9 2.8% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.1 2.7
4-10 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
3-11 0.5% 0.5
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 25.7% 25.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 25.2 74.3 0.0%