Howard
Mid-Eastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#284
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#292
Pace67.9#214
Improvement-1.8#295

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#203
First Shot+0.8#155
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#282
Layup/Dunks+0.1#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#36
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#149
Freethrows-3.4#336
Improvement-0.1#198

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#334
First Shot-5.9#347
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#153
Layups/Dunks+1.2#133
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#274
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#333
Freethrows-1.1#259
Improvement-1.7#315
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.7% 21.9% 13.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.4 15.9
.500 or above 38.7% 67.1% 38.4%
.500 or above in Conference 82.6% 93.0% 82.5%
Conference Champion 15.1% 26.0% 15.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.3% 1.2%
First Four9.9% 8.9% 9.9%
First Round8.7% 17.9% 8.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cincinnati (Away) - 1.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 412 - 813 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 7   @ Kansas L 57-87 1%     0 - 1 -8.7 -6.2 -2.0
  Nov 08, 2024 63   @ Missouri L 62-77 5%     0 - 2 -2.9 -6.6 +3.5
  Nov 13, 2024 318   Tennessee St. W 88-84 OT 59%     1 - 2 -4.9 +6.5 -11.6
  Nov 18, 2024 253   @ Florida International W 75-70 33%     2 - 2 +3.0 +2.1 +0.8
  Nov 24, 2024 268   Boston University L 62-69 48%     2 - 3 -13.0 -7.0 -6.6
  Nov 25, 2024 296   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 77-95 40%     2 - 4 -21.9 +0.7 -22.8
  Nov 30, 2024 254   Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 56%     2 - 5 -12.1 -2.3 -9.6
  Dec 08, 2024 25   @ Cincinnati L 60-83 1%    
  Dec 14, 2024 140   UNC Wilmington L 70-75 33%    
  Dec 17, 2024 167   Drexel L 69-72 39%    
  Dec 28, 2024 264   @ Hampton L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 01, 2025 107   @ Yale L 70-83 10%    
  Jan 04, 2025 348   Delaware St. W 78-69 79%    
  Jan 06, 2025 358   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-71 67%    
  Jan 11, 2025 340   Morgan St. W 81-73 75%    
  Jan 13, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 77-61 93%    
  Jan 25, 2025 153   @ Norfolk St. L 67-77 18%    
  Feb 01, 2025 281   NC Central W 75-72 61%    
  Feb 03, 2025 303   South Carolina St. W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 15, 2025 348   @ Delaware St. W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 17, 2025 358   Maryland Eastern Shore W 79-68 83%    
  Feb 22, 2025 340   @ Morgan St. W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 24, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 74-64 82%    
  Mar 01, 2025 281   @ NC Central L 72-75 39%    
  Mar 03, 2025 303   @ South Carolina St. L 72-74 43%    
  Mar 06, 2025 153   Norfolk St. L 70-74 37%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.1 4.8 2.2 0.5 15.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 7.7 10.1 5.7 1.1 26.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 8.5 9.0 2.7 0.1 22.8 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 6.9 6.1 1.1 0.0 16.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.9 3.5 0.4 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 2.8 1.8 0.2 5.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.6 0.0 2.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 5.0 9.0 13.0 16.8 18.1 15.2 10.9 5.9 2.2 0.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
13-1 100.0% 2.2    2.0 0.2
12-2 80.6% 4.8    3.2 1.5 0.0
11-3 46.5% 5.1    2.1 2.6 0.4
10-4 15.1% 2.3    0.4 1.1 0.7 0.1
9-5 1.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 15.1% 15.1 8.2 5.5 1.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.5% 47.7% 47.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
13-1 2.2% 41.4% 41.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.3
12-2 5.9% 30.7% 30.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 4.1
11-3 10.9% 25.8% 25.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.6 8.1
10-4 15.2% 18.1% 18.1% 16.0 0.1 2.7 12.5
9-5 18.1% 12.8% 12.8% 16.0 0.0 2.3 15.8
8-6 16.8% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3 15.4
7-7 13.0% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.8 12.2
6-8 9.0% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.4 8.6
5-9 5.0% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.2 4.9
4-10 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 2.2
3-11 0.8% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-12 0.2% 0.2
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.7% 13.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 12.2 86.3 0.0%