IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Howard
Mid-Eastern
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.7	#324
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.0	#59
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.7	#282

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.0	#346

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.8%	23.5%	14.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	17.2	15.4	15.8

.500 or above	36.0%	70.3%	34.9%
.500 or above in Conference	67.7%	85.7%	67.2%
Conference Champion	21.5%	36.1%	21.1%
Last Place in Conference	5.8%	0.5%	6.0%

First Four	11.1%	11.4%	11.1%
First Round	9.9%	20.1%	9.6%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Missouri (Home) - 2.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 4	12 - 10	12 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	37	Missouri	L	68-88	3%
Nov 09, 2025	283	Grambling St.	W	69-68	51%
Nov 13, 2025	326	Alcorn St.	W	72-69	61%
Nov 19, 2025	350	@ Stetson	L	75-76	48%
Nov 22, 2025	335	Niagara	W	71-70	53%
Nov 23, 2025	3	@ Duke	L	56-91	0.1%
Nov 29, 2025	269	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	70-77	27%
Dec 09, 2025	351	N.C. A&T	W	78-75	59%
Dec 13, 2025	236	Hampton	L	69-74	32%
Dec 16, 2025	227	@ Drexel	L	63-72	22%
Dec 20, 2025	118	@ UNC Wilmington	L	66-81	9%
Dec 30, 2025	71	@ Northwestern	L	61-82	4%
Jan 03, 2026	311	@ South Carolina St.	L	73-77	36%
Jan 10, 2026	360	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	73-70	59%
Jan 12, 2026	338	Delaware St.	W	80-76	64%
Jan 17, 2026	329	@ NC Central	L	73-76	41%
Jan 24, 2026	355	Morgan St.	W	82-76	70%
Jan 26, 2026	362	@ Coppin St.	W	75-70	65%
Jan 31, 2026	251	Norfolk St.	L	72-74	44%
Feb 07, 2026	311	South Carolina St.	W	76-74	56%
Feb 09, 2026	92	Yale	L	69-81	15%
Feb 14, 2026	360	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	76-67	77%
Feb 16, 2026	338	@ Delaware St.	L	77-79	43%
Feb 21, 2026	329	NC Central	W	76-73	61%
Feb 28, 2026	355	@ Morgan St.	W	79-78	51%
Mar 02, 2026	362	Coppin St.	W	78-67	81%
Mar 05, 2026	251	@ Norfolk St.	L	69-77	27%
Projected Record						12 - 15	8 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st								0.0	0.5	2.7	4.9	6.0	4.5	2.3	0.6		21.5	1st
2nd							0.0	1.2	6.2	8.4	5.7	2.1	0.4				24.0	2nd
3rd						0.0	1.5	6.6	6.5	2.2	0.4	0.0					17.3	3rd
4th					0.0	1.1	5.6	4.8	0.9	0.1							12.4	4th
5th				0.0	0.8	4.3	3.8	0.7	0.0								9.5	5th
6th			0.0	0.7	2.9	3.0	0.5	0.0									7.1	6th
7th		0.0	0.6	1.9	2.1	0.3	0.0										5.0	7th
8th	0.2	0.6	1.2	0.9	0.2	0.0											3.1	8th

Total	0.2	0.7	1.8	3.5	6.0	8.7	11.4	13.3	14.1	13.3	11.1	8.1	4.9	2.3	0.6			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.6		0.6
13-1	100.0%	2.3		2.2	0.1
12-2	92.0%	4.5		3.8	0.7
11-3	73.8%	6.0		4.1	1.8	0.1
10-4	44.4%	4.9		2.6	2.1	0.3	0.0
9-5	20.1%	2.7		0.6	1.3	0.7	0.1
8-6	3.5%	0.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
7-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0		0.0

Total	21.5%	21.5		14.0	6.1	1.3	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.6%		58.3%	58.3%		16.4													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3
13-1	2.3%		55.2%	55.2%		17.8													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	1.0
12-2	4.9%		42.1%	42.1%		17.6													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.5	2.8
11-3	8.1%		32.5%	32.5%		18.0													0.0		0.0	0.5	2.5	5.4
10-4	11.1%		24.5%	24.5%		17.6															0.0	0.2	2.8	8.4
9-5	13.3%		17.8%	17.8%		16.7																0.0	2.4	11.0
8-6	14.1%		11.5%	11.5%		16.6																0.0	1.7	12.5
7-7	13.3%		6.1%	6.1%		16.2																	0.8	12.5
6-8	11.4%		3.6%	3.6%		16.0																	0.4	11.0
5-9	8.7%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																	0.3	8.5
4-10	6.0%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.1	5.9
3-11	3.5%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.1	3.4
2-12	1.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.8
1-13	0.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	0.7
0-14	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		14.8%	14.8%	0.0%	17.2													0.0	0.1	0.5	1.9	13.5	85.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%