Illinois-Chicago
Horizon
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#261
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#290
Pace69.6#166
Improvement-0.8#245

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#267
First Shot-2.6#250
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#218
Layup/Dunks-0.3#189
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#25
Freethrows-4.5#353
Improvement-1.1#281

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#238
First Shot-0.6#188
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#272
Layups/Dunks-5.4#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#105
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.7#7
Freethrows-4.0#336
Improvement+0.3#152
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.7% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 20.3% 27.1% 11.5%
.500 or above in Conference 38.5% 43.4% 32.3%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 4.1% 6.7%
First Four1.8% 1.8% 1.7%
First Round2.2% 2.8% 1.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Michigan (Away) - 56.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 410 - 913 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 98   @ Dayton L 54-64 11%     0 - 1 -1.8 -6.1 +2.8
  Nov 13, 2021 182   @ Valparaiso W 74-70 OT 24%     1 - 1 +6.2 -2.0 +7.9
  Nov 20, 2021 33   @ Loyola Chicago L 63-80 4%     1 - 2 -2.2 +4.7 -8.7
  Nov 25, 2021 193   Hawaii L 80-88 34%     1 - 3 -9.2 +8.4 -17.8
  Nov 26, 2021 178   San Diego L 52-64 32%     1 - 4 -12.5 -16.3 +3.2
  Dec 02, 2021 114   Oakland L 77-81 28%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -3.4 +0.4 -3.5
  Dec 05, 2021 204   Detroit Mercy L 56-64 48%     1 - 6 0 - 2 -12.7 -20.9 +8.0
  Dec 11, 2021 325   @ Central Michigan W 75-73 57%    
  Dec 14, 2021 90   DePaul L 70-78 23%    
  Dec 19, 2021 319   Northern Illinois W 68-61 74%    
  Dec 30, 2021 271   Purdue Fort Wayne W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 01, 2022 154   Cleveland St. L 66-69 39%    
  Jan 06, 2022 197   @ Wright St. L 71-78 26%    
  Jan 08, 2022 232   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 10, 2022 349   @ IUPUI W 66-60 70%    
  Jan 13, 2022 272   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-69 42%    
  Jan 15, 2022 312   @ Green Bay W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 20, 2022 232   Northern Kentucky W 67-66 55%    
  Jan 22, 2022 197   Wright St. L 74-75 46%    
  Jan 27, 2022 204   @ Detroit Mercy L 68-75 28%    
  Jan 29, 2022 114   @ Oakland L 65-77 14%    
  Feb 03, 2022 307   Robert Morris W 75-69 71%    
  Feb 05, 2022 236   Youngstown St. W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 10, 2022 154   @ Cleveland St. L 63-72 21%    
  Feb 12, 2022 271   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 72-74 41%    
  Feb 14, 2022 349   IUPUI W 69-57 86%    
  Feb 17, 2022 236   @ Youngstown St. L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 19, 2022 307   @ Robert Morris W 73-72 50%    
  Feb 24, 2022 312   Green Bay W 71-65 72%    
  Feb 26, 2022 272   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 70-66 63%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 10 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.1 2.6 0.6 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.2 3.1 0.6 0.1 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.5 3.1 0.6 0.0 13.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.6 5.6 3.3 0.6 0.0 13.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.5 5.2 3.0 0.6 0.0 13.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.0 3.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 10.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.5 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 8.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.5 4.3 6.7 9.3 11.9 12.6 12.5 11.5 9.8 7.2 5.0 2.9 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
19-3 89.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
18-4 68.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-5 37.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-6 16.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-7 2.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-4 0.2% 29.1% 29.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-5 0.7% 20.5% 20.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-6 1.3% 18.9% 18.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
15-7 2.9% 11.9% 11.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.5
14-8 5.0% 7.9% 7.9% 15.9 0.1 0.3 4.6
13-9 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 15.9 0.0 0.5 6.7
12-10 9.8% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 9.2
11-11 11.5% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4 11.1
10-12 12.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 12.3
9-13 12.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.5
8-14 11.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.8
7-15 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.3
6-16 6.7% 6.7
5-17 4.3% 4.3
4-18 2.5% 2.5
3-19 1.1% 1.1
2-20 0.4% 0.4
1-21 0.1% 0.1
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.6 96.9 0.0%