Illinois-Chicago
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#201
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#285
Pace72.0#124
Improvement-2.4#330

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#230
First Shot-5.3#323
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#31
Layup/Dunks-2.4#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#217
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#332
Freethrows+3.8#21
Improvement-2.0#328

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#181
First Shot+2.2#101
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#331
Layups/Dunks+0.5#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#257
Freethrows+0.8#130
Improvement-0.4#222
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 2.1% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.0 14.5
.500 or above 9.9% 24.2% 8.1%
.500 or above in Conference 18.8% 40.3% 16.2%
Conference Champion 0.6% 2.7% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 21.3% 9.1% 22.8%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round1.0% 2.0% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Belmont (Away) - 10.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 61 - 7
Quad 34 - 95 - 17
Quad 46 - 311 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 297 Detroit Mercy W 91-71 77%     1 - 0 +9.5 +2.2 +4.9
  Fri, Nov 7 167 @Oregon St. L 73-76 31%     1 - 1 -0.5 +1.9 -2.5
  Sat, Nov 15 349 @Chicago St. W 67-63 75%     2 - 1 -5.7 -4.5 -0.8
  Thu, Nov 20 97 High Point L 80-90 22%     2 - 2 -4.7 +3.3 -7.6
  Sat, Nov 22 324 Southern Indiana W 84-73 74%     3 - 2 +1.7 +4.2 -3.1
  Wed, Nov 26 185 @Robert Morris L 74-88 35%     3 - 3 -12.7 +4.7 -17.9
  Wed, Dec 3 352 Arkansas Pine Bluff L 62-63 89%     3 - 4 -17.0 -19.3 +2.4
  Sun, Dec 7 78 @Yale L 66-80 11%     3 - 5 -3.6 -1.9 -2.7
  Sat, Dec 13 80 @Belmont L 70-83 11%    
  Wed, Dec 17 98 Northern Iowa L 64-69 32%    
  Sun, Dec 21 197 @Charlotte L 69-72 38%    
  Thu, Jan 1 112 Murray St. L 78-81 38%    
  Sun, Jan 4 214 @Valparaiso L 70-72 42%    
  Wed, Jan 7 125 Southern Illinois L 74-76 42%    
  Sat, Jan 10 91 @Illinois St. L 68-79 15%    
  Tue, Jan 13 98 @Northern Iowa L 61-72 16%    
  Sat, Jan 17 130 Drake L 69-71 43%    
  Tue, Jan 20 269 Evansville W 74-68 70%    
  Sat, Jan 24 116 @Bradley L 68-77 21%    
  Tue, Jan 27 187 Indiana St. W 78-76 58%    
  Sat, Jan 31 125 @Southern Illinois L 71-79 23%    
  Tue, Feb 3 112 @Murray St. L 75-84 21%    
  Fri, Feb 6 80 Belmont L 73-80 26%    
  Thu, Feb 12 130 @Drake L 66-74 24%    
  Sun, Feb 15 91 Illinois St. L 71-76 31%    
  Wed, Feb 18 269 @Evansville L 71-72 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 214 Valparaiso W 73-69 63%    
  Tue, Feb 24 116 Bradley L 71-74 40%    
  Sun, Mar 1 187 @Indiana St. L 75-79 36%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.3 2.2 0.5 0.0 5.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 3.2 3.2 0.9 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.2 4.5 1.3 0.1 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.8 5.4 1.7 0.1 15.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.8 6.7 5.2 1.6 0.2 18.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.8 6.2 3.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 18.4 10th
11th 0.2 1.0 2.5 4.3 3.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 13.7 11th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.8 6.2 9.2 12.0 13.6 13.7 12.4 10.2 7.2 5.2 3.2 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 76.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 86.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-5 52.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 22.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
13-7 4.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 18.2% 18.2% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.3% 13.5% 13.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-6 0.9% 11.2% 11.2% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
13-7 1.7% 6.1% 6.1% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6
12-8 3.2% 4.4% 4.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.1
11-9 5.2% 3.8% 3.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.0
10-10 7.2% 1.7% 1.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.1
9-11 10.2% 1.3% 1.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 10.0
8-12 12.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.3
7-13 13.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.6
6-14 13.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.5
5-15 12.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.0
4-16 9.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.2
3-17 6.2% 6.2
2-18 2.8% 2.8
1-19 1.0% 1.0
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%