Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#173
Expected Predictive Rating+2.1#136
Pace76.3#36
Improvement-3.0#341

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#177
First Shot+2.2#119
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#335
Layup/Dunks+0.1#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#166
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#95
Freethrows-0.8#235
Improvement-2.6#345

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#183
First Shot+0.9#134
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#287
Layups/Dunks-3.3#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#137
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#174
Freethrows+3.2#25
Improvement-0.3#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.8% 21.4% 17.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 98.8% 99.6% 98.2%
.500 or above in Conference 96.3% 97.4% 95.4%
Conference Champion 20.5% 23.7% 18.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Four0.5% 0.3% 0.6%
First Round18.6% 21.2% 16.7%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Away) - 42.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 34 - 6
Quad 418 - 523 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 114 Hofstra W 81-73 45%     1 - 0 +8.3 +3.5 +4.3
  Tue, Nov 11 346 @UMKC W 105-91 77%     2 - 0 +5.2 +11.1 -8.5
  Fri, Nov 14 199 Fordham W 76-71 67%     3 - 0 -0.5 +1.6 -2.2
  Tue, Nov 18 259 Princeton W 89-69 76%     4 - 0 +11.6 +5.4 +4.3
  Fri, Nov 21 66 Akron L 75-96 19%     4 - 1 -12.5 -5.9 -4.7
  Sat, Nov 22 157 Oregon St. W 91-84 2OT 46%     5 - 1 +7.2 +2.1 +3.8
  Mon, Nov 24 277 Green Bay L 75-80 69%     5 - 2 -11.1 +0.4 -11.7
  Mon, Dec 1 284 @Delaware W 89-66 60%     6 - 2 +19.4 +15.1 +4.3
  Fri, Dec 5 168 Quinnipiac L 68-89 61%     6 - 3 0 - 1 -24.7 -7.9 -15.9
  Sun, Dec 7 269 @Sacred Heart W 81-69 57%     7 - 3 1 - 1 +9.2 +4.1 +5.1
  Wed, Dec 10 296 Bryant W 69-63 81%     8 - 3 -4.3 -3.8 -0.2
  Sat, Dec 13 18 @St. John's L 64-91 4%     8 - 4 -6.9 -4.2 -0.5
  Sat, Dec 20 188 @Vermont L 74-76 42%    
  Mon, Dec 29 300 @Mount St. Mary's W 77-74 63%    
  Fri, Jan 2 165 Siena W 74-72 59%    
  Sun, Jan 4 161 @Marist L 70-74 37%    
  Fri, Jan 9 352 Niagara W 80-65 92%    
  Sun, Jan 11 339 Canisius W 76-63 89%    
  Wed, Jan 14 348 @Rider W 74-66 77%    
  Mon, Jan 19 290 @St. Peter's W 73-70 62%    
  Thu, Jan 22 270 Merrimack W 76-68 76%    
  Sat, Jan 24 321 Manhattan W 87-75 85%    
  Fri, Jan 30 298 Fairfield W 81-72 81%    
  Thu, Feb 5 165 @Siena L 71-75 37%    
  Sat, Feb 7 300 Mount St. Mary's W 80-71 81%    
  Fri, Feb 13 339 @Canisius W 73-66 74%    
  Sun, Feb 15 352 @Niagara W 77-68 79%    
  Fri, Feb 20 290 St. Peter's W 76-67 79%    
  Sun, Feb 22 270 @Merrimack W 73-71 56%    
  Fri, Feb 27 348 Rider W 77-63 89%    
  Sun, Mar 1 321 @Manhattan W 84-78 69%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 14 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.4 6.1 6.2 3.1 0.7 20.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.5 8.0 5.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 23.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.7 7.7 4.4 0.9 0.1 20.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 5.0 6.2 2.7 0.5 0.0 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.0 3.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.3 0.7 0.1 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 2.1 4.2 7.4 11.4 14.9 16.9 16.3 12.8 8.4 3.4 0.7 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 97.6% 0.7    0.6 0.0
18-2 92.8% 3.1    2.6 0.5 0.0
17-3 74.8% 6.2    4.1 1.9 0.2 0.0
16-4 47.6% 6.1    2.9 2.5 0.7 0.0
15-5 20.9% 3.4    0.9 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0
14-6 5.2% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 20.5% 20.5 11.3 6.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.7% 40.0% 40.0% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4
18-2 3.4% 37.5% 37.5% 13.3 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 2.1
17-3 8.4% 32.2% 32.2% 13.8 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.7
16-4 12.8% 27.5% 27.5% 14.2 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.1 0.1 9.3
15-5 16.3% 23.6% 23.6% 14.5 0.2 1.6 1.8 0.2 12.4
14-6 16.9% 18.2% 18.2% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 0.4 13.8
13-7 14.9% 14.0% 14.0% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.5 12.8
12-8 11.4% 11.0% 11.0% 15.4 0.1 0.6 0.6 10.1
11-9 7.4% 7.5% 7.5% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 6.8
10-10 4.2% 5.1% 5.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.0
9-11 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.1
8-12 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
7-13 0.5% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.4
6-14 0.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 18.8% 18.8% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.4 2.4 6.4 7.2 2.3 81.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 12.0 17.3 65.4 17.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%