Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.2#106
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#48
Pace70.7#141
Improvement+0.0#162

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#153
First Shot-0.9#200
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#83
Layup/Dunks+2.4#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#317
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#300
Freethrows+3.8#15
Improvement+0.2#158

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#75
First Shot+2.6#100
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#110
Layups/Dunks-7.1#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+11.7#1
Freethrows-3.3#329
Improvement-0.1#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 36.7% 39.3% 30.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.0% 2.6% 0.9%
Average Seed 12.4 12.3 12.9
.500 or above 99.1% 99.5% 98.0%
.500 or above in Conference 97.8% 98.7% 95.5%
Conference Champion 52.8% 58.8% 37.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Four1.1% 1.2% 0.7%
First Round36.1% 38.6% 30.0%
Second Round6.1% 7.0% 3.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.3% 1.6% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marist (Away) - 71.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 2
Quad 21 - 12 - 3
Quad 36 - 38 - 7
Quad 416 - 224 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 172   Appalachian St. W 65-53 76%     1 - 0 +8.8 -3.7 +13.3
  Nov 13, 2021 135   Harvard W 90-87 OT 69%     2 - 0 +2.1 -0.6 +2.1
  Nov 16, 2021 131   Hofstra W 82-74 68%     3 - 0 +7.3 +1.9 +5.1
  Nov 19, 2021 174   Liberty W 54-50 67%     4 - 0 +3.6 -9.9 +14.1
  Nov 20, 2021 307   North Alabama W 81-65 87%     5 - 0 +7.8 +0.3 +6.5
  Nov 25, 2021 13   Alabama W 72-68 15%     6 - 0 +19.5 +1.2 +18.1
  Nov 26, 2021 66   Belmont L 65-72 38%     6 - 1 +0.3 -6.8 +7.3
  Nov 28, 2021 9   Kansas L 83-96 12%     6 - 2 +4.0 +12.5 -7.9
  Dec 01, 2021 252   @ Marist W 69-63 71%    
  Dec 03, 2021 264   Rider W 74-61 88%    
  Dec 12, 2021 124   Yale W 71-69 55%    
  Dec 18, 2021 28   Seton Hall L 65-74 22%    
  Dec 21, 2021 162   Delaware W 75-71 64%    
  Dec 31, 2021 306   Siena W 74-59 92%    
  Jan 02, 2022 239   @ Fairfield W 69-64 67%    
  Jan 07, 2022 200   @ St. Peter's W 68-65 62%    
  Jan 09, 2022 132   @ Monmouth L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 14, 2022 250   Manhattan W 71-59 86%    
  Jan 16, 2022 185   Niagara W 70-62 78%    
  Jan 21, 2022 252   Marist W 72-60 86%    
  Jan 23, 2022 296   @ Quinnipiac W 77-68 78%    
  Jan 30, 2022 200   St. Peter's W 71-62 79%    
  Feb 04, 2022 280   @ Canisius W 77-69 76%    
  Feb 06, 2022 185   @ Niagara W 67-65 58%    
  Feb 11, 2022 306   @ Siena W 71-62 80%    
  Feb 13, 2022 132   Monmouth W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 20, 2022 239   Fairfield W 72-61 84%    
  Feb 25, 2022 280   Canisius W 80-66 89%    
  Feb 27, 2022 264   @ Rider W 71-64 73%    
  Mar 03, 2022 250   @ Manhattan W 68-62 70%    
  Mar 05, 2022 296   Quinnipiac W 80-65 90%    
Projected Record 23 - 8 15 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.2 7.0 11.4 12.9 10.7 6.4 1.6 52.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.3 6.3 7.1 4.2 1.5 0.2 23.4 2nd
3rd 0.5 2.2 4.2 2.9 1.1 0.1 11.1 3rd
4th 0.2 1.6 2.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.2 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.4 3.8 6.0 9.6 11.8 15.3 15.7 14.5 10.9 6.4 1.6 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 1.6    1.6
19-1 100.0% 6.4    6.4 0.0
18-2 98.0% 10.7    10.0 0.7
17-3 89.5% 12.9    11.1 1.8 0.1
16-4 72.9% 11.4    7.8 3.3 0.3
15-5 46.1% 7.0    3.6 2.9 0.6 0.0
14-6 19.0% 2.2    0.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-7 5.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 52.8% 52.8 41.0 9.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 1.6% 81.4% 64.1% 17.3% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 48.2%
19-1 6.4% 64.5% 58.4% 6.1% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 2.3 14.7%
18-2 10.9% 51.7% 48.2% 3.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.2 1.0 0.1 5.3 6.9%
17-3 14.5% 47.7% 46.2% 1.5% 12.3 0.1 0.6 3.5 2.4 0.3 7.6 2.7%
16-4 15.7% 39.0% 38.6% 0.4% 12.7 0.0 0.1 2.3 2.8 0.8 0.0 9.6 0.6%
15-5 15.3% 33.7% 33.7% 13.0 0.0 1.2 2.7 1.2 0.1 10.1
14-6 11.8% 27.4% 27.4% 13.3 0.3 1.7 1.0 0.2 8.6
13-7 9.6% 23.2% 23.2% 13.5 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.2 7.4
12-8 6.0% 20.6% 20.6% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 4.7
11-9 3.8% 10.7% 10.7% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.4
10-10 2.4% 10.3% 10.3% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.2
9-11 1.3% 9.5% 9.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1
8-12 0.5% 8.0% 8.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.5
7-13 0.3% 7.4% 7.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 36.7% 35.4% 1.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 3.5 12.4 12.4 5.1 1.1 0.1 63.3 2.0%