Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.1#335
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#264
Pace65.3#282
Improvement-1.8#296

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#343
First Shot-6.2#331
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#201
Layup/Dunks+0.7#159
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#253
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#252
Freethrows-3.1#330
Improvement+0.3#158

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#296
First Shot-4.2#313
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#143
Layups/Dunks-3.6#304
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#102
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#196
Freethrows-1.6#278
Improvement-2.1#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.8% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 15.2% 22.4% 8.8%
.500 or above in Conference 22.4% 27.2% 18.2%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.9% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 35.6% 29.9% 40.6%
First Four1.8% 2.0% 1.7%
First Round1.3% 1.7% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Away) - 46.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 411 - 1211 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 192   Columbia L 78-81 29%     0 - 1 -7.4 -6.4 -0.7
  Nov 12, 2024 347   @ NJIT W 68-50 47%     1 - 1 +8.7 -2.1 +12.5
  Nov 16, 2024 55   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-83 3%     1 - 2 -13.4 -9.1 -3.7
  Nov 19, 2024 145   @ Boston College L 61-82 10%     1 - 3 -17.1 -4.6 -14.1
  Nov 26, 2024 346   VMI W 70-67 69%     2 - 3 -12.3 -4.7 -7.4
  Dec 02, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 68-57 74%     3 - 3 -5.8 +1.0 -5.0
  Dec 07, 2024 348   @ Delaware St. L 68-69 47%    
  Dec 14, 2024 254   @ Mount St. Mary's L 63-71 23%    
  Dec 21, 2024 264   Hampton L 65-66 45%    
  Dec 28, 2024 97   @ DePaul L 60-79 4%    
  Jan 02, 2025 326   @ Holy Cross L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 05, 2025 251   Lehigh L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 08, 2025 282   @ Army L 63-70 27%    
  Jan 11, 2025 305   Navy W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 13, 2025 236   American L 63-66 39%    
  Jan 18, 2025 251   @ Lehigh L 68-76 23%    
  Jan 22, 2025 231   Lafayette L 63-66 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 326   Holy Cross W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 29, 2025 260   @ Bucknell L 62-70 25%    
  Feb 01, 2025 268   Boston University L 65-66 46%    
  Feb 05, 2025 231   @ Lafayette L 60-69 20%    
  Feb 08, 2025 246   @ Colgate L 62-71 22%    
  Feb 12, 2025 282   Army L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 236   @ American L 60-69 21%    
  Feb 19, 2025 268   @ Boston University L 62-69 26%    
  Feb 22, 2025 246   Colgate L 65-68 40%    
  Feb 26, 2025 260   Bucknell L 65-67 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 305   @ Navy L 67-73 31%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.9 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 2.0 2.7 0.6 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.2 1.9 3.9 1.0 0.0 7.1 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 4.8 1.8 0.1 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.5 3.3 0.2 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 6.1 4.5 0.6 14.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.1 6.8 5.0 1.0 0.0 18.3 9th
10th 0.6 2.3 4.6 6.9 6.4 3.7 0.8 0.0 25.3 10th
Total 0.6 2.3 4.8 8.3 10.9 13.0 14.0 13.0 10.8 8.2 6.1 3.8 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 96.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-4 83.2% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 58.4% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 24.3% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 5.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.2% 25.5% 25.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.5% 21.3% 21.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
13-5 1.2% 13.5% 13.5% 15.7 0.1 0.1 1.1
12-6 2.3% 10.2% 10.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.0
11-7 3.8% 9.0% 9.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.5
10-8 6.1% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 5.6
9-9 8.2% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.3 7.9
8-10 10.8% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 10.5
7-11 13.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 12.8
6-12 14.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.9
5-13 13.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.0
4-14 10.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.9
3-15 8.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.3
2-16 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.8
1-17 2.3% 2.3
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.1 97.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%