Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.1#329
Expected Predictive Rating-17.0#349
Pace69.4#185
Improvement-1.2#254

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#246
First Shot-2.4#241
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#211
Layup/Dunks+0.3#182
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#130
Freethrows-2.8#325
Improvement+1.3#87

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#350
First Shot-6.5#353
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#248
Layups/Dunks-5.9#351
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#136
Freethrows-1.2#275
Improvement-2.5#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 3.8% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.4% 9.9% 2.7%
.500 or above in Conference 31.5% 50.9% 25.3%
Conference Champion 2.3% 5.8% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 23.1% 11.4% 26.8%
First Four2.7% 3.5% 2.5%
First Round1.5% 1.9% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Away) - 24.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 410 - 1410 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 138 Towson L 56-67 14%     -3.8   0 - 1 -9.6 -11.1 +0.7
  Tue, Nov 11 354 NJIT L 64-66 73%     1.3   0 - 2 -18.4 -11.4 -7.0
  Sat, Nov 15 337 Stonehill W 74-63 54%     3.4   1 - 2 -0.2 +3.8 -3.3
  Sun, Nov 16 289 @Fairfield L 82-85 27%     -4.4   1 - 3 -6.8 +5.4 -12.1
  Wed, Nov 19 118 @Duquesne L 78-92 7%     -12.0   1 - 4 -7.9 +2.5 -9.6
  Fri, Nov 21 20 @Kentucky L 46-88 1%     -26.1   1 - 5 -22.9 -18.5 -3.1
  Sun, Nov 30 364 Coppin St. W 95-84 89%     6.9   2 - 5 -12.6 +10.9 -23.6
  Wed, Dec 3 247 @Hampton L 71-93 21%     -14.7   2 - 6 -23.7 -5.2 -17.5
  Tue, Dec 9 332 @VMI L 70-86 40%     -14.7   2 - 7 -23.5 -0.6 -24.7
  Sat, Dec 13 291 Mount St. Mary's L 73-81 49%     -4.5   2 - 8 -17.9 -7.1 -10.3
  Sun, Dec 21 96 @George Mason L 79-86 5%     0.5   2 - 9 +1.5 +13.0 -11.7
  Wed, Dec 31 264 @American L 73-80 24%    
  Sat, Jan 3 319 Lafayette W 76-74 59%    
  Wed, Jan 7 330 @Army L 74-77 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 309 @Bucknell L 71-76 34%    
  Wed, Jan 14 198 Colgate L 73-78 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 282 Boston University L 74-75 48%    
  Mon, Jan 19 313 @Lehigh L 72-76 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 309 Bucknell W 74-73 54%    
  Wed, Jan 28 264 American L 76-77 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 204 @Navy L 69-79 17%    
  Wed, Feb 4 313 Lehigh W 75-73 57%    
  Sat, Feb 7 282 @Boston University L 71-78 28%    
  Wed, Feb 11 319 @Lafayette L 73-77 36%    
  Sun, Feb 15 324 Holy Cross W 76-73 60%    
  Wed, Feb 18 330 Army W 77-74 61%    
  Sat, Feb 21 198 @Colgate L 70-81 17%    
  Wed, Feb 25 204 Navy L 72-76 35%    
  Sat, Feb 28 324 @Holy Cross L 73-76 39%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.3 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.5 2.3 2.4 1.1 0.1 6.5 3rd
4th 0.3 3.3 3.7 1.2 0.1 8.6 4th
5th 0.3 3.2 5.2 1.4 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.3 2.6 5.9 2.6 0.2 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.6 3.1 0.3 12.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.5 4.0 0.5 14.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.8 5.6 4.6 0.6 0.0 14.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 1.8 4.1 4.6 2.9 0.5 14.8 10th
Total 0.1 0.8 1.8 4.8 7.7 11.8 14.2 14.2 13.1 11.8 8.0 5.4 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 84.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-4 76.3% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 43.8% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1
12-6 13.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.1
15-3 0.3% 20.5% 20.5% 16.0 0.1 0.2
14-4 0.8% 15.9% 15.9% 16.0 0.1 0.7
13-5 1.8% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.2 1.6
12-6 3.3% 9.7% 9.7% 16.0 0.3 3.0
11-7 5.4% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.5 4.9
10-8 8.0% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.4 7.6
9-9 11.8% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.5 11.3
8-10 13.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 12.8
7-11 14.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 14.0
6-12 14.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.1
5-13 11.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.7
4-14 7.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.7
3-15 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.8
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 16.0 2.8 97.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%