Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -10.1 319
Results Rating -11.8 336
Consistency 0.15 190
Pace 70.1 135
Improvement +3.4 55

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 278 D+ D+ C- D B
Defense D- 329 D D- D C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 235 C- 56% 214 -1.8 247
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 326 D 33% 332 -3.8 344
Three Pointers 51% 19 D 31% 294 +3.0 82
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +0.9 68 D -3.3 297
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 261
Second Chance D+ 26.5% 292 C- 0.98 252 D+ 0.26 295
Opponents' Steals C- 10.1% 248
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 173
Turnovers C- 17.3% 213
Freethrows D 0.26 318 C- 71% 240 D 0.19 314
Total Offense D+ -4.2 278

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots F+ 33% 352 C 10.8% 169
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 30% 103 D- 8.1% 331
Three Pointers C- 82% 237 C 0.8% 175
Total D+ 52% 263 C+ 5.4% 163

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 131 F+ 66% 354 +4.5 327
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 148 F+ 45% 350 +2.0 329
Three Pointers 38% 264 C+ 33% 108 -2.2 85
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 171 D +3.9 322
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 314
Second Chance C- 31.6% 238 F+ 1.20 358 D- 0.38 328
Turnovers from Steals D 7.6% 313
Other Turnovers D+ 6.5% 290
Turnovers D 14.1% 330
Freethrows C+ 0.30 162 D 75% 309 C 0.22 171
Total Defense D- -6.0 329

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 264 D+ 8.5% 276
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 281 C 5.2% 148
Three Pointers F+ 91% 352 C+ 1.3% 90
Total C- 58% 238 C- 5.0% 220

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 210 16.6 55
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 300 0.21 301
Consistency 0.11 106 0.15 326
Improvement +0.2 176 +3.2 39

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 331 321 309
Results Rating Rank 344 335 319
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 8 - 10
Conference Finish 7 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 2% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 2% 1%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Holy Cross (Away) - 40.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 410 - 1310 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 175 Towson L 56 - 67 20% -4  32% 0 - 1 D- -12 F -13 F F D+ C -0 C- C+ D+
 Tue, Nov 11 315 NJIT L 64 - 66 60% +1  54% 0 - 2 F+ -15 F -14 F+ B- F C -1 B+ F B-
 Sat, Nov 15 336 Stonehill W 74 - 63 56% +3  82% 1 - 2 C -1 C+ +3 B+ C B- C- -3 F C A
 Sun, Nov 16 258 @Fairfield L 82 - 85 23% -4  1% 1 - 3 D+ -5 C+ +2 A F D- D- -7 C F F
 Wed, Nov 19 119 @Duquesne L 78 - 92 8% -12  0% 1 - 4 D+ -8 C +1 B D+ B- F+ -8 D- F A
 Fri, Nov 21 23 @Kentucky L 46 - 88 1% -26  1% 1 - 5 F -23 F -21 F C- F C -1 C C+ D
 Sun, Nov 30 364 Coppin St. W 95 - 84 85% +7  94% 2 - 5 D -10 A- +11 A+ A+ F F -22 F C F
 Wed, Dec 3 266 @Hampton L 71 - 93 25% -15  0% 2 - 6 F -25 D- -7 F A+ F F -17 F A D
 Tue, Dec 9 359 @VMI L 70 - 86 63% -15  0% 2 - 7 F -29 D -5 F B- D+ F -26 F F F
 Sat, Dec 13 281 Mount St. Mary's L 73 - 81 49% -5  3% 2 - 8 F -18 F+ -9 B F D F+ -8 F F B+
 Sun, Dec 21 109 @George Mason L 79 - 86 7% +1  48% 2 - 9 C -0 A- +10 C+ A C+ F -10 B F F
 Wed, Dec 31 251 @American L 69 - 84 22% -10  13% 2 - 10 0 - 1 F+ -17 D+ -4 C+ F+ F F -13 F D+ D-
 Sat, Jan 3 324 Lafayette L 64 - 79 62% -15  0% 2 - 11 0 - 2 F -28 F -12 F+ F C F -17 F+ F F+
 Wed, Jan 7 340 @Army W 84 - 76 OT 46% +3  74% 3 - 11 1 - 2 C -1 C +0 F+ B- C C- -2 B- D- F
 Sat, Jan 10 334 @Bucknell L 67 - 70 44% -1  41% 3 - 12 1 - 3 D- -12 F+ -9 C F F C- -3 C F C
 Wed, Jan 14 247 Colgate L 80 - 86 41% -3  11% 3 - 13 1 - 4 D- -14 D+ -3 C- F+ A+ F -11 C- D- D-
 Sat, Jan 17 256 Boston University W 74 - 57 43% +1  42% 4 - 13 2 - 4 B +9 F -10 F A+ C+ A+ +19 A+ A A
 Mon, Jan 19 296 @Lehigh L 81 - 88 31% +2  62% 4 - 14 2 - 5 D- -12 B +6 A- D- A- F -18 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 334 Bucknell W 67 - 62 67% +2  62% 5 - 14 3 - 5 D -10 D- -6 F+ C+ F C- -3 B F F
 Wed, Jan 28 251 American W 77 - 68 42% +8  85% 6 - 14 4 - 5 C +1 D- -6 F B- B A- +7 C+ A+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 145 @Navy L 71 - 87 10% -8  9% 6 - 15 4 - 6 D- -12 B- +5 B C- C- F -19 F F D+
 Wed, Feb 4 296 Lehigh W 89 - 84 2OT 53% +4  58% 7 - 15 5 - 6 D+ -6 D+ -3 C+ F+ B D+ -4 D+ C- D
 Sat, Feb 7 256 @Boston University L 69 - 78 23% -6  11% 7 - 16 5 - 7 D- -11 F -11 C- F C+ C +0 D F+ A+
 Wed, Feb 11 324 @Lafayette W 68 - 54 39% +9  96% 8 - 16 6 - 7 B- +7 D -5 C F D+ A+ +13 A A- F
 Sun, Feb 15 327 Holy Cross W 83 - 73 63% -0  51% 9 - 16 7 - 7 C- -4 B +7 C+ C+ A+ F -10 D+ C F
 Wed, Feb 18 340 Army L 77 - 87 68% -10  2% 9 - 17 7 - 8 F -25 D -5 D C+ C F -20 D+ F F
 Sat, Feb 21 247 @Colgate L 98 - 101 OT 22% -5  0% 9 - 18 7 - 9 C- -5 C +1 C- F A+ D -6 D+ A F
 Wed, Feb 25 145 Navy L 51 - 78 22% -14  14% 9 - 19 7 - 10 F -29 F -15 F D- C+ F -18 F C- F+
 Sat, Feb 28 327 @Holy Cross L 73 - 76 40%
Totals 9 - 20 7 - 11 -10 D+ -4 C D B D- -6 D C- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- D D D 37% 24% 51% B D+ D+ C- D+ C- D C- D D- F+ F+ C+ D 40% 21% 38% C D C- F+ D- D C+ D C
1.03 56% 33% 31% -3 +1 0.97 26% 1.0 .26 17% .26 71% .19 1.17 66% 45% 33% +4 0 1.10 32% 1.2 .38 14% .30 75% .20
Nov
3		 Towson F C F F F 45% 11% 45% A- F F F F D+ A+ B- A+ C C B- B- C 49% 30% 21% D- C- C+ C C+ D+ D F F
0.86 57% 20% 19% -12 +2 0.81 18% 0.2 .03 17% .46 72% .33 1.03 57% 36% 30% -3 0 0.96 34% 0.8 .29 15% .33 78% .25
Nov
11		 NJIT F B F+ F F 35% 15% 50% C F+ B- C B- F C+ F D+ C B D A+ B+ 33% 29% 39% B- B+ F D F B- F F F
0.94 65% 29% 21% -9 +1 0.85 38% 1.1 .41 21% .37 60% .22 0.97 50% 43% 21% -9 -1 0.82 36% 1.0 .36 19% .47 81% .38
Nov
15		 Stonehill C+ D+ A+ B B- 55% 7% 38% A+ B+ F+ A+ C B- F F F C- F+ F A F 46% 15% 38% D- F D B C A A+ F+ A+
1.12 53% 75% 38% +2 +3 1.13 21% 1.4 .30 11% .14 38% .05 0.96 63% 63% 25% +1 +1 1.06 31% 0.8 .25 26% .08 75% .06
Nov
16		 Fairfield C+ A+ A+ F+ A 49% 13% 38% C+ A F F F D- D+ C+ C- D- C- D+ A C 44% 25% 32% C- C D+ F F F D A+ C+
1.15 77% 57% 30% +9 +2 1.25 19% 0.8 .15 18% .27 75% .21 1.19 56% 43% 28% -3 0 0.96 35% 1.4 .50 10% .30 58% .17
Nov
19		 Duquesne C B+ F D C+ 49% 8% 43% A+ B F A+ D+ B- C F D F+ F A+ C- F+ 41% 12% 47% C+ D- F F F A F D- F
1.04 65% 25% 30% 0 +2 1.08 18% 1.3 .24 16% .34 62% .21 1.23 80% 17% 35% +7 +1 1.18 39% 1.4 .55 23% .45 77% .35
Nov
21		 Kentucky F F F F F 25% 21% 54% C F D- A C- F F F F C B- C F+ C+ 44% 17% 39% D+ C F+ A C+ D A+ A+ A+
0.64 43% 25% 20% -18 -1 0.64 19% 1.0 .19 22% .14 38% .05 1.22 57% 36% 40% +3 +1 1.09 43% 0.9 .40 12% .14 44% .06
Nov
30		 Coppin St. A- A+ A+ A+ 43% 0% 57% A A+ A- B+ A+ F A- A+ A+ F F F D F 42% 29% 29% C F C C- C F F F+ F
1.35 75% 44% +16 +3 1.40 44% 1.3 .56 21% .43 88% .38 1.19 65% 57% 36% +9 -1 1.19 28% 1.0 .28 18% .54 74% .40
Dec
3		 Hampton D- A+ F F F 25% 20% 55% D- F A- A+ A+ F A+ F A+ F F A F F 35% 33% 33% B- F B- A+ A D F B F
0.97 91% 11% 17% -11 -1 0.77 37% 1.3 .47 23% .59 61% .35 1.27 81% 27% 67% +20 -2 1.39 31% 0.6 .19 16% .59 69% .41
Dec
9		 VMI D F A+ C F 47% 16% 38% B F C+ B B- D+ A+ F C+ F D- F F F 35% 13% 52% C- F F F F F C B- C+
1.12 43% 57% 35% -3 +1 0.98 39% 1.1 .45 18% .44 52% .23 1.37 61% 71% 41% +11 +1 1.25 32% 1.2 .39 8% .28 69% .19
Dec
13		 Mount St. Mary's F+ D- D- A B- 32% 11% 58% B B D- F F D F+ D F+ F+ F+ F C F 46% 15% 39% C- F F F+ F B+ F D F
0.98 50% 33% 39% +2 +1 1.07 23% 0.4 .09 16% .27 71% .19 1.08 67% 57% 33% +6 +1 1.17 36% 1.2 .43 25% .43 71% .31
Dec
21		 George Mason A- F C+ A+ C 37% 15% 48% B+ C+ B+ A+ A C+ B+ A+ A F F+ D- A+ B- 33% 31% 35% A B F+ F F F F F+ F
1.18 40% 38% 42% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.3 .41 15% .30 82% .25 1.28 71% 44% 22% 0 -2 0.98 36% 1.2 .42 10% .57 79% .45
Dec
31		 American D+ F A+ A C 38% 10% 52% B C+ B+ F F+ F B+ A+ A+ F F F F F 51% 18% 31% D+ F A- F D+ D- A+ A A+
1.03 44% 75% 41% +3 +1 1.12 38% 0.5 .21 28% .44 86% .37 1.25 68% 60% 41% +12 +1 1.29 19% 1.4 .27 13% .15 67% .10
Jan
3		 Lafayette F F C D F 39% 15% 46% B F+ F+ F F C F C- F F D F A- F+ 49% 14% 37% D F+ D+ F F F+ C+ A+ A-
0.98 48% 38% 32% -6 +1 0.93 24% 0.8 .18 14% .20 73% .14 1.21 63% 57% 28% +1 +2 1.08 28% 2.0 .56 12% .26 53% .14
Jan
7		 Army C D F F F 47% 8% 45% A F+ A- D- B- C C+ D C C- F+ A A B- 28% 15% 57% B+ B- C+ F D- F B A+ A
1.15 56% 25% 29% -5 +2 0.96 40% 1.1 .42 15% .37 70% .26 1.04 65% 22% 26% -7 0 0.88 28% 1.2 .34 10% .21 50% .11
Jan
10		 Bucknell F+ C+ F B+ C- 25% 12% 63% B- C C- F F F F B F C- D+ A A C 44% 16% 40% D C F F F C C- C+ C-
0.98 62% 17% 39% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.5 .17 22% .17 78% .13 1.02 59% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 75% .22
Jan
14		 Colgate D+ B C D+ C 29% 19% 53% D+ C- D F F+ A+ B- F+ C F F C D+ D 29% 36% 35% A+ C- B+ F D- D- F F F
1.11 65% 36% 32% 0 0 1.02 25% 0.8 .20 8% .35 65% .23 1.19 69% 40% 37% +5 -3 1.07 21% 1.6 .33 12% .35 82% .28
Jan
17		 Boston University F C- C F F 42% 13% 45% B F D A+ A+ C+ B+ F C A+ A+ A A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C A+ B A+ A A D+ F F
1.05 55% 43% 25% -7 +1 0.91 26% 1.9 .49 11% .34 62% .21 0.81 44% 29% 23% -15 0 0.73 22% 0.8 .17 23% .31 88% .28
Jan
19		 Lehigh B A- F A A- 35% 10% 56% B A- D- D D- A- D F F+ F F F D+ F 38% 25% 37% C- F B F F F F+ F F
1.19 67% 20% 41% +7 +1 1.19 29% 0.9 .26 12% .27 63% .17 1.29 75% 54% 37% +12 -1 1.25 17% 1.8 .30 13% .34 95% .32
Jan
24		 Bucknell D- A B F D- 18% 28% 55% F F+ C- B+ C+ F A+ A+ A+ C- D- A+ A+ B+ 43% 10% 47% F+ B C- F F F A- B A
1.06 71% 45% 27% -1 -2 0.95 31% 1.2 .38 22% .45 91% .41 0.98 64% 20% 17% -12 +2 0.82 27% 1.4 .38 14% .20 73% .15
Jan
28		 American D- F B+ F F 39% 22% 39% C- F D- A+ B- B A A+ A+ A- A A- F C+ 43% 13% 45% D+ C+ A+ A+ A+ C C C C+
1.04 42% 45% 26% -9 0 0.84 26% 1.4 .37 16% .47 83% .39 0.92 46% 29% 40% -2 +1 1.00 6% 0.0 .00 16% .26 75% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Navy B- D F+ A+ B 22% 20% 59% C B C+ D- C- C- F+ A+ D+ F F F F F 41% 35% 24% B+ F F F F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.09 55% 30% 40% +3 -1 1.06 32% 0.8 .26 18% .19 90% .17 1.33 80% 65% 42% +21 -2 1.41 45% 1.4 .64 17% .18 50% .09
Feb
4		 Lehigh D+ C+ D- A B- 33% 28% 39% D- C+ C- F F+ B D- A+ C- D+ F C- B- D 30% 25% 46% C+ D+ D+ C+ C- D D A+ B
1.11 60% 35% 42% +4 -1 1.08 33% 0.7 .23 14% .26 83% .22 1.05 72% 40% 32% +3 -1 1.07 24% 0.9 .21 16% .31 52% .16
Feb
7		 Boston University F A+ F F D 37% 7% 56% B+ C- F F F C+ F F F C A- F F D 30% 9% 62% D+ D F C+ F+ A+ F+ F+ F
0.99 86% 25% 25% +2 +2 1.09 12% 0.0 .00 11% .19 58% .11 1.12 50% 75% 41% +8 +1 1.19 37% 1.0 .37 26% .35 78% .27
Feb
11		 Lafayette D C C+ C C- 37% 9% 54% A- C F F F D+ F C+ F A+ D- F A+ A+ 35% 11% 54% C- A C- A+ A- F B A+ A+
1.04 60% 40% 34% +1 +1 1.07 18% 0.8 .15 15% .14 75% .11 0.82 63% 50% 14% -13 +1 0.78 27% 0.5 .14 6% .24 40% .10
Feb
15		 Holy Cross B F A A+ C+ 36% 11% 53% B- C+ D A+ C+ A+ C+ B B- F C- F A D+ 35% 30% 35% C D+ B F C F C- C C-
1.28 50% 50% 41% +4 +1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 6% .28 76% .21 1.12 58% 56% 26% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.2 .19 8% .28 76% .22
Feb
18		 Army D B+ F F F+ 49% 6% 45% A D D- A+ C+ C B- B B+ F F F+ A+ D 38% 19% 43% B D+ F+ F F F D- F F
1.12 68% 0% 26% -3 +3 1.02 25% 1.6 .41 14% .39 78% .31 1.26 75% 40% 22% -1 0 1.00 34% 1.5 .51 10% .31 84% .26
Feb
21		 Colgate C F+ F B D 46% 6% 49% A C- F+ F F A+ D+ A- C D C- F A C+ 48% 10% 42% F D+ A+ C- A F F F F
1.12 48% 25% 37% -3 +2 1.01 22% 0.8 .18 9% .29 78% .23 1.16 59% 83% 28% +1 +2 1.08 14% 1.0 .14 11% .45 89% .40
Feb
25		 Navy F D+ F F F 30% 11% 59% A- F C- F D- C+ C+ F D F F D F F 30% 30% 39% A- F C D C- F+ B A A-
0.84 57% 0% 22% -15 +1 0.74 30% 0.7 .20 16% .28 57% .16 1.28 86% 43% 44% +16 -2 1.30 30% 1.1 .33 15% .29 67% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 19.3 40.5 59.8 6th
7th 40.3 40.3 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 59.5 40.5 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 40.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.8 39.6
7-11 59.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.8 58.7
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 16.0 98.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.1%
Lose Out 28.0%