Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#286
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#276
Pace68.0#220
Improvement+0.9#99

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#294
First Shot-1.9#225
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#315
Layup/Dunks-0.3#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#163
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#150
Freethrows-2.3#303
Improvement+1.6#37

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#250
First Shot-5.5#327
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#22
Layups/Dunks-3.6#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#104
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#254
Freethrows-1.5#268
Improvement-0.7#258
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 1.8% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 21.3% 22.7% 6.5%
.500 or above in Conference 36.1% 37.5% 20.6%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.2% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 9.8% 9.1% 17.7%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 0.8%
First Round1.3% 1.4% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Home) - 91.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 411 - 813 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 43   @ North Carolina L 67-83 4%     0 - 1 -2.8 -6.7 +4.8
  Nov 12, 2021 354   South Carolina St. W 75-65 84%     1 - 1 -7.5 -10.1 +2.1
  Nov 13, 2021 202   @ College of Charleston L 72-79 23%     1 - 2 -5.9 -5.9 +0.5
  Nov 14, 2021 220   Lipscomb L 65-70 34%     1 - 3 -7.5 -14.1 +6.8
  Nov 17, 2021 303   @ Coppin St. L 49-71 43%     1 - 4 -26.9 -24.5 -2.1
  Nov 28, 2021 239   @ Fairfield W 75-70 28%     2 - 4 +4.2 +8.1 -3.5
  Dec 01, 2021 355   Chicago St. W 76-62 92%    
  Dec 04, 2021 293   Mount St. Mary's W 64-61 63%    
  Dec 08, 2021 40   @ St. Bonaventure L 56-76 3%    
  Dec 12, 2021 338   Hampton W 73-64 79%    
  Dec 28, 2021 51   @ Maryland L 58-77 5%    
  Jan 01, 2022 223   @ Army L 65-72 26%    
  Jan 04, 2022 342   Holy Cross W 74-65 81%    
  Jan 07, 2022 141   @ Boston University L 61-73 15%    
  Jan 10, 2022 292   Bucknell W 74-71 62%    
  Jan 13, 2022 276   Lafayette W 70-68 58%    
  Jan 16, 2022 313   @ Lehigh L 68-69 45%    
  Jan 19, 2022 141   Boston University L 64-70 30%    
  Jan 22, 2022 321   American W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 24, 2022 113   @ Colgate L 67-80 12%    
  Jan 29, 2022 292   @ Bucknell L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 02, 2022 223   Army L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 05, 2022 102   Navy L 61-69 24%    
  Feb 09, 2022 342   @ Holy Cross W 71-68 63%    
  Feb 12, 2022 113   Colgate L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 16, 2022 276   @ Lafayette L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 20, 2022 313   Lehigh W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 23, 2022 102   @ Navy L 58-72 10%    
  Feb 26, 2022 321   @ American L 69-70 47%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.2 2.2 2.0 0.7 0.1 6.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.6 3.3 0.9 0.1 11.7 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 4.9 6.6 3.2 0.8 0.0 16.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 5.8 6.6 3.1 0.5 0.0 17.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.4 5.9 2.2 0.2 0.0 15.4 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 5.0 4.7 1.5 0.1 0.0 13.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.9 3.2 0.8 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.0 1.2 0.3 5.5 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.0 6.6 10.0 12.4 14.2 14.3 12.4 9.6 6.5 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 90.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 84.1% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 34.7% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1
13-5 10.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 18.2% 18.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.0% 7.1% 7.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
13-5 2.0% 10.9% 10.9% 15.4 0.1 0.1 1.8
12-6 4.0% 5.7% 5.7% 15.7 0.1 0.2 3.8
11-7 6.5% 4.3% 4.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 6.2
10-8 9.6% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 9.4
9-9 12.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 12.2
8-10 14.3% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.4 13.9
7-11 14.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.2
6-12 12.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.4
5-13 10.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.9
4-14 6.6% 6.6
3-15 4.0% 4.0
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.7 0.1 0.4 1.4 98.2 0.0%