Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#329
Expected Predictive Rating-16.8#349
Pace69.4#189
Improvement-1.4#271

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#245
First Shot-2.4#236
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#211
Layup/Dunks+0.5#165
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#267
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#124
Freethrows-3.1#330
Improvement+1.3#93

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#349
First Shot-6.4#351
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#249
Layups/Dunks-6.0#351
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#139
Freethrows-1.1#271
Improvement-2.6#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 4.7% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.2% 9.4% 2.5%
.500 or above in Conference 32.0% 51.6% 25.4%
Conference Champion 2.1% 5.0% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 22.0% 10.1% 26.0%
First Four2.9% 4.3% 2.5%
First Round1.6% 2.5% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Away) - 25.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 7
Quad 410 - 1310 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 128 Towson L 56-67 13%     0 - 1 -8.8 -10.6 +1.0
  Tue, Nov 11 353 NJIT L 64-66 73%     0 - 2 -18.3 -11.5 -6.9
  Sat, Nov 15 338 Stonehill W 74-63 54%     1 - 2 -0.1 +3.9 -3.3
  Sun, Nov 16 277 @Fairfield L 82-85 26%     1 - 3 -6.3 +5.4 -11.7
  Wed, Nov 19 121 @Duquesne L 78-92 8%     1 - 4 -8.5 +2.4 -10.1
  Fri, Nov 21 20 @Kentucky L 46-88 1%     1 - 5 -22.8 -18.6 -3.0
  Sun, Nov 30 364 Coppin St. W 95-84 87%     2 - 5 -11.2 +11.6 -22.8
  Wed, Dec 3 238 @Hampton L 71-93 21%     2 - 6 -23.6 -5.6 -16.9
  Tue, Dec 9 332 @VMI L 70-86 40%     2 - 7 -23.3 -0.6 -24.6
  Sat, Dec 13 300 Mount St. Mary's L 73-81 52%     2 - 8 -18.6 -8.5 -9.6
  Sun, Dec 21 88 @George Mason L 79-86 5%     2 - 9 +2.3 +14.0 -12.0
  Wed, Dec 31 268 @American L 73-80 25%    
  Sat, Jan 3 321 Lafayette W 76-73 60%    
  Wed, Jan 7 331 @Army L 74-77 41%    
  Sat, Jan 10 308 @Bucknell L 71-76 34%    
  Wed, Jan 14 181 Colgate L 73-78 31%    
  Sat, Jan 17 288 Boston University L 74-75 48%    
  Mon, Jan 19 315 @Lehigh L 72-76 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 308 Bucknell W 74-73 55%    
  Wed, Jan 28 268 American L 76-77 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 203 @Navy L 68-78 18%    
  Wed, Feb 4 315 Lehigh W 75-73 58%    
  Sat, Feb 7 288 @Boston University L 72-78 28%    
  Wed, Feb 11 321 @Lafayette L 73-76 38%    
  Sun, Feb 15 326 Holy Cross W 76-73 61%    
  Wed, Feb 18 331 Army W 77-74 62%    
  Sat, Feb 21 181 @Colgate L 70-81 15%    
  Wed, Feb 25 203 Navy L 71-75 35%    
  Sat, Feb 28 326 @Holy Cross L 73-76 39%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.3 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.5 3.3 3.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.3 5.1 1.6 0.1 10.5 5th
6th 0.2 3.0 6.4 2.2 0.1 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.8 6.5 3.1 0.2 12.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.6 6.3 3.9 0.4 0.0 13.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.9 5.6 4.0 0.6 0.0 13.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 2.0 3.9 4.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 14.0 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.7 7.7 10.8 13.8 14.5 13.7 11.3 8.7 6.0 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 91.7% 0.3    0.2 0.0
14-4 66.7% 0.5    0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 37.9% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 14.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 28.6% 28.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
14-4 0.7% 15.7% 15.7% 16.0 0.1 0.6
13-5 1.7% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.5
12-6 3.2% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.3 2.9
11-7 6.0% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.5 5.5
10-8 8.7% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.6 8.2
9-9 11.3% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.5 10.7
8-10 13.7% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.4 13.3
7-11 14.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 14.3
6-12 13.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.7
5-13 10.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.8
4-14 7.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.7
3-15 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.6
2-16 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.0
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.1 96.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%