IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Marquette
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+11.6	#45
Expected Predictive Rating	+2.3	#98

Pace	69.4	#154
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.5	#61

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+7.1	#20

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.7%	0.7%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	2.0%	2.1%	0.3%
Top 4 Seed	8.5%	8.9%	2.2%
Top 6 Seed	19.5%	20.3%	5.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid	51.1%	52.5%	27.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	48.4%	49.8%	25.9%
Average Seed	7.2	7.2	8.1

.500 or above	72.6%	74.4%	42.9%
.500 or above in Conference	62.1%	63.4%	41.1%
Conference Champion	4.4%	4.6%	1.2%
Last Place in Conference	4.0%	3.8%	8.1%

First Four	6.5%	6.6%	4.6%
First Round	47.7%	49.1%	25.2%
Second Round	28.9%	29.9%	12.9%
Sweet Sixteen	10.9%	11.3%	3.5%
Elite Eight	4.0%	4.2%	0.9%
Final Four	1.5%	1.6%	0.3%
Championship Game	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Southern (Home) - 94.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 6	2 - 6
Quad 1b	2 - 3	4 - 10
Quad 2	6 - 3	10 - 13
Quad 3	5 - 1	14 - 14
Quad 4	4 - 0	19 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	303	Albany	W	80-53	97%	1 - 0			+16.3	-4.8	+18.8
Nov 05, 2025	196	Southern	W	79-62	94%
Nov 09, 2025	33	Indiana	L	71-72	44%
Nov 12, 2025	149	Arkansas Little Rock	W	76-62	91%
Nov 15, 2025	46	Maryland	W	73-70	61%
Nov 19, 2025	59	Dayton	W	71-66	69%
Nov 22, 2025	275	Central Michigan	W	80-60	97%
Nov 28, 2025	48	Oklahoma	W	74-73	50%
Dec 02, 2025	279	Valparaiso	W	82-61	96%
Dec 06, 2025	21	@ Wisconsin	L	69-75	29%
Dec 13, 2025	2	@ Purdue	L	64-78	10%
Dec 17, 2025	76	Georgetown	W	75-68	74%
Dec 20, 2025	25	@ Creighton	L	69-75	31%
Dec 30, 2025	100	Seton Hall	W	71-61	81%
Jan 04, 2026	4	@ Connecticut	L	62-75	13%
Jan 07, 2026	65	Xavier	W	75-69	70%
Jan 10, 2026	44	Villanova	W	67-64	59%
Jan 13, 2026	11	@ St. John's	L	69-79	20%
Jan 16, 2026	80	@ DePaul	W	72-70	57%
Jan 19, 2026	68	Providence	W	76-69	71%
Jan 23, 2026	69	@ Butler	W	72-71	53%
Jan 27, 2026	25	Creighton	W	72-71	51%
Jan 31, 2026	100	@ Seton Hall	W	68-64	63%
Feb 07, 2026	69	Butler	W	75-68	71%
Feb 10, 2026	44	@ Villanova	L	64-67	39%
Feb 14, 2026	65	@ Xavier	W	72-71	51%
Feb 18, 2026	11	St. John's	L	72-76	37%
Feb 24, 2026	76	@ Georgetown	W	72-71	55%
Mar 01, 2026	80	DePaul	W	75-67	75%
Mar 04, 2026	68	@ Providence	W	73-72	52%
Mar 07, 2026	4	Connecticut	L	65-72	29%
Projected Record						18 - 13	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big East Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.3	0.8	1.3	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.0		4.4	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	1.2	2.5	2.8	2.0	0.6	0.1				9.4	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.9	2.6	4.6	3.7	1.7	0.3	0.0					13.9	3rd
4th										0.2	1.5	4.4	5.4	3.3	0.9	0.1							15.8	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	1.8	4.9	5.0	2.1	0.4	0.0								14.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.9	4.7	3.9	1.4	0.2	0.0									12.4	6th
7th							0.2	1.6	4.1	3.1	0.8	0.1											9.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.5	3.0	2.3	0.6	0.0												7.7	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	1.2	2.5	1.6	0.3	0.0													5.9	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	1.1	1.5	1.0	0.2															4.0	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0															2.2	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	2.1	3.2	5.3	6.7	8.8	10.5	11.3	11.7	10.6	9.6	7.3	5.3	3.5	1.8	0.8	0.2	0.0			Total

Big East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	87.0%	0.7		0.6	0.1
17-3	62.1%	1.1		0.7	0.4	0.0
16-4	35.9%	1.3		0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0
15-5	14.2%	0.8		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1
14-6	3.8%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-7	0.4%	0.0				0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	4.4%	4.4		2.3	1.6	0.5	0.1

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0	0.0
19-1	0.2%		100.0%	40.8%	59.2%	1.8		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.0												100.0%
18-2	0.8%		100.0%	31.5%	68.5%	2.3		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0														100.0%
17-3	1.8%		100.0%	24.2%	75.8%	3.0		0.2	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
16-4	3.5%		100.0%	20.9%	79.1%	4.1		0.1	0.3	0.8	1.0	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0										100.0%
15-5	5.3%		99.2%	14.1%	85.1%	5.2		0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	1.3	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.0%
14-6	7.3%		98.5%	11.0%	87.5%	6.2			0.0	0.3	0.9	1.3	1.7	1.3	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0						0.1		98.3%
13-7	9.6%		93.7%	8.2%	85.6%	7.2			0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0	1.7	1.9	1.7	1.4	0.8	0.1						0.6		93.2%
12-8	10.6%		82.7%	5.1%	77.7%	8.3				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.3	1.9	1.9	1.7	0.6						1.8		81.8%
11-9	11.7%		66.4%	3.5%	63.0%	9.0					0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.4	1.9	2.1	1.2	0.0					3.9		65.2%
10-10	11.3%		40.6%	1.6%	39.0%	9.7							0.1	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.5	1.2	0.0					6.7		39.6%
9-11	10.5%		16.8%	1.5%	15.2%	10.2							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.1					8.7		15.5%
8-12	8.8%		3.8%	0.7%	3.1%	10.9										0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0			8.5		3.1%
7-13	6.7%		0.8%	0.4%	0.4%	11.1										0.0		0.0	0.0					6.6		0.5%
6-14	5.3%		0.2%	0.2%		13.0													0.0		0.0			5.2
5-15	3.2%																							3.2
4-16	2.1%																							2.1
3-17	0.9%																							0.9
2-18	0.4%																							0.4
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		51.1%	5.3%	45.8%	7.2		0.7	1.3	2.6	3.8	4.9	6.1	6.3	6.8	7.0	7.2	4.1	0.2	0.0	0.0			48.9		48.4%