Marquette
Big East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#67
Expected Predictive Rating+13.4#35
Pace84.2#2
Improvement-0.2#201

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#90
First Shot+1.4#134
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#73
Layup/Dunks-0.3#188
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#130
Freethrows+2.7#43
Improvement+0.5#138

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#67
First Shot+3.9#61
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#175
Layups/Dunks-4.3#307
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#39
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#56
Freethrows+1.6#98
Improvement-0.7#242
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.6% 2.9% 0.9%
Top 6 Seed 6.4% 10.1% 4.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.0% 49.4% 29.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 35.4% 47.7% 27.7%
Average Seed 8.6 8.3 8.9
.500 or above 64.4% 77.8% 56.0%
.500 or above in Conference 42.7% 49.6% 38.4%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.1% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.5% 5.4% 8.8%
First Four6.0% 6.7% 5.6%
First Round33.6% 45.7% 26.0%
Second Round14.7% 20.7% 10.9%
Sweet Sixteen4.0% 5.9% 2.7%
Elite Eight1.2% 1.8% 0.9%
Final Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 38.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 45 - 10
Quad 25 - 49 - 14
Quad 34 - 113 - 15
Quad 44 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 324   SIU Edwardsville W 88-77 96%     1 - 0 -1.9 -4.1 +0.5
  Nov 12, 2021 187   New Hampshire W 75-70 86%     2 - 0 +1.1 -0.5 +1.5
  Nov 15, 2021 17   Illinois W 67-66 35%     3 - 0 +12.4 -7.9 +20.3
  Nov 18, 2021 61   Mississippi W 78-72 49%     4 - 0 +13.7 +13.6 +0.2
  Nov 19, 2021 43   West Virginia W 82-71 41%     5 - 0 +20.8 +13.9 +6.9
  Nov 21, 2021 45   St. Bonaventure L 54-70 41%     5 - 1 -6.2 -16.7 +11.3
  Nov 27, 2021 319   Northern Illinois W 80-66 96%     6 - 1 +1.7 -2.4 +2.9
  Nov 30, 2021 244   Jackson St. W 83-54 91%     7 - 1 +21.6 +2.2 +16.4
  Dec 04, 2021 28   @ Wisconsin L 76-89 22%     7 - 2 +2.7 +6.4 -2.7
  Dec 08, 2021 64   @ Kansas St. L 70-73 39%    
  Dec 11, 2021 9   UCLA L 76-83 26%    
  Dec 18, 2021 35   @ Xavier L 73-80 25%    
  Dec 21, 2021 23   Connecticut L 76-79 39%    
  Dec 29, 2021 79   @ St. John's L 84-86 43%    
  Jan 01, 2022 75   Creighton W 79-75 63%    
  Jan 04, 2022 47   Providence W 76-75 54%    
  Jan 07, 2022 147   @ Georgetown W 81-78 61%    
  Jan 11, 2022 90   DePaul W 84-79 66%    
  Jan 15, 2022 26   Seton Hall L 77-80 40%    
  Jan 19, 2022 7   @ Villanova L 68-81 11%    
  Jan 23, 2022 35   Xavier L 76-77 46%    
  Jan 26, 2022 26   @ Seton Hall L 74-83 21%    
  Jan 29, 2022 47   @ Providence L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 02, 2022 7   Villanova L 71-78 25%    
  Feb 08, 2022 23   @ Connecticut L 73-82 21%    
  Feb 12, 2022 107   @ Butler W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 16, 2022 147   Georgetown W 84-75 79%    
  Feb 20, 2022 75   @ Creighton L 76-78 41%    
  Feb 26, 2022 107   Butler W 73-67 71%    
  Mar 02, 2022 90   @ DePaul L 81-82 45%    
  Mar 05, 2022 79   St. John's W 87-83 64%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.7 3.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.0 4.6 1.4 0.1 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.5 5.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 14.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.4 4.8 1.3 0.1 14.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.9 4.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.0 3.5 0.9 0.1 10.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.0 2.1 0.7 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.3 5.9 8.3 11.3 12.8 13.3 12.8 10.6 8.0 5.3 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 84.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
16-4 56.1% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
15-5 29.4% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 9.3% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 18.8% 81.3% 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 21.4% 78.6% 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.7% 100.0% 14.7% 85.3% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.8% 100.0% 14.6% 85.4% 5.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 3.1% 98.9% 9.1% 89.8% 6.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8%
13-7 5.3% 97.9% 6.5% 91.4% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.7%
12-8 8.0% 91.9% 5.6% 86.3% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.0 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.7 91.4%
11-9 10.6% 76.7% 3.1% 73.6% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.2 1.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.5 75.9%
10-10 12.8% 52.9% 2.1% 50.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.3 1.0 0.1 6.0 51.9%
9-11 13.3% 21.3% 1.2% 20.1% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.5 20.4%
8-12 12.8% 4.4% 0.6% 3.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 12.3 3.8%
7-13 11.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2 0.3%
6-14 8.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2 0.0%
5-15 5.9% 0.1% 0.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 5.9
4-16 3.3% 3.3
3-17 1.6% 1.6
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 37.0% 2.5% 34.5% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.8 3.0 4.6 5.8 6.2 5.2 5.7 2.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 63.0 35.4%