Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -1.8 195
Results Rating -2.8 213
Consistency 0.18 305
Pace 65.9 251
Improvement +8.4 4

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 185 C D- B- C- D+
Defense C- 205 C- C+ F+ A- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 276 C 59% 149 -1.4 238
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 181 C+ 39% 134 +1.3 108
Three Pointers 41% 171 C 33% 203 -0.1 181
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.5 263 C +0.2 158
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 182
Second Chance F+ 22.9% 347 C- 1.01 213 D- 0.23 338
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.2% 153
Other Turnovers B 6.2% 63
Turnovers B- 15.4% 100
Freethrows D+ 0.28 265 B 76% 54 C- 0.21 224
Total Offense C -0.8 185

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 37% 328 C+ 10.4% 152
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 309 B 3.3% 63
Three Pointers D 78% 305 B- 0.6% 106
Total D- 46% 341 B- 4.7% 78


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 94 C 58% 168 +1.7 233
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 202 C- 39% 229 -0.4 161
Three Pointers 38% 256 D+ 36% 279 -0.1 182
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 238 C- +1.2 228
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 230
Second Chance C+ 28.4% 106 C 1.05 206 C+ 0.30 143
Turnovers from Steals F 5.7% 362
Other Turnovers C+ 7.5% 132
Turnovers F+ 13.2% 346
Freethrows A- 0.24 16 B- 71% 98 A- 0.17 13
Total Defense C- -1.0 205

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A 35% 5 D- 6.4% 343
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 44 D- 1.8% 330
Three Pointers D+ 86% 263 C- 0.7% 210
Total B+ 48% 33 D- 3.3% 341

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 198 18.0 281
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 198 0.13 56
Consistency 0.13 261 0.11 61
Improvement +3.8 27 +4.5 17

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 208 195 181
Results Rating Rank 237 200 199
Conference Record 14 - 2 14 - 2 14 - 2
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 16 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 59% 100% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a 0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four19% 32% 0%
First Round50% 85% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 10 - 5
Quad 422 - 322 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 79 @Dayton L 71 - 77 13% -4  14% 0 - 1 C+ +5 B +7 C+ B+ D+ C- -3 D+ D F+
 Tue, Nov 11 350 @Morgan St. W 81 - 79 82% +6  77% 1 - 1 D -9 D+ -3 A+ F F D- -7 D F F
 Sun, Nov 16 310 Wagner W 71 - 70 OT 83% -1  38% 2 - 1 D -11 F -15 F A- F B +4 B C+ C+
 Wed, Nov 19 84 @George Washington L 52 - 89 14% -24  0% 2 - 2 F -27 F -21 F F D+ D -5 F A+ D
 Sat, Nov 29 360 Delaware St. W 71 - 57 95% +8  97% 3 - 2 D+ -7 D -5 C+ F C C -1 B- C- F
 Wed, Dec 3 72 @Georgetown L 81 - 90 11% -11  0% 3 - 3 C+ +2 A+ +15 B B+ A+ F -13 F D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 330 @Bucknell W 73 - 66 73% +1  53% 4 - 3 C -1 C +2 B F C- C- -2 C+ D F
 Tue, Dec 9 211 Buffalo L 79 - 83 66% +1  57% 4 - 4 D -10 C+ +2 B- C C+ F -13 F C+ D+
 Fri, Dec 12 341 Army L 60 - 63 90% -5  12% 4 - 5 F -19 F -20 F F B+ C+ +1 B B+ D-
 Sun, Dec 21 53 @South Florida L 69 - 94 8% -15  1% 4 - 6 D -11 D+ -3 D C C- D- -7 F+ F+ F+
 Mon, Dec 29 362 @Coppin St. W 93 - 59 90% +18  98% 5 - 6 A +18 A- +10 C- A+ B A- +7 C A- D-
 Thu, Jan 8 344 Maine W 69 - 62 90% +6  79% 6 - 6 1 - 0 D -9 D+ -3 D+ F A+ D -5 B F F
 Sat, Jan 10 348 New Hampshire W 75 - 74 92% -3  13% 7 - 6 2 - 0 F+ -16 C+ +2 B F A+ F -18 F F D
 Thu, Jan 15 353 @Bryant L 74 - 79 OT 82% -1  24% 7 - 7 2 - 1 F+ -17 D -5 C+ F D- F -11 F F C
 Mon, Jan 19 358 @Binghamton W 78 - 60 86% +9  81% 8 - 7 3 - 1 C+ +5 C+ +4 C+ D- A- B- +3 C+ C- F
 Thu, Jan 22 334 NJIT W 87 - 74 88% +14  98% 9 - 7 4 - 1 C- -2 B +7 B D A+ F+ -9 D- D F+
 Sat, Jan 24 315 Umass Lowell W 79 - 56 84% +12  98% 10 - 7 5 - 1 B +10 C +1 C- F+ C- A +10 A- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 231 @Vermont L 55 - 64 47% -2  22% 10 - 8 5 - 2 D -10 F -15 F D- B B +4 C- A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 31 321 @Albany W 68 - 65 70% -3  21% 11 - 8 6 - 2 C- -4 D -5 B- F C C+ +1 B- F C+
 Thu, Feb 5 358 Binghamton W 79 - 62 94% +11  99% 12 - 8 7 - 2 C- -2 C- -2 D- F A+ C+ +1 C+ A+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 344 @Maine W 78 - 62 79% +12  80% 13 - 8 8 - 2 B- +6 B- +5 D+ F+ A+ C+ +1 B+ C- F
 Sat, Feb 14 348 @New Hampshire W 85 - 63 81% +18  95% 14 - 8 9 - 2 B +11 B+ +8 A- F+ B+ B- +3 F+ A+ C+
 Thu, Feb 19 231 Vermont W 75 - 62 70% +10  96% 15 - 8 10 - 2 B- +6 C- -1 D- C- B- A- +7 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 321 Albany W 66 - 62 86% +1  55% 16 - 8 11 - 2 D -9 D -6 D+ F B+ C- -3 F A C
 Thu, Feb 26 353 Bryant W 70 - 58 92% +5  90% 17 - 8 12 - 2 D+ -6 D- -6 C- C+ F B- +2 C+ A- F
 Sat, Feb 28 315 @Umass Lowell W 84 - 60 68% +11  94% 18 - 8 13 - 2 A- +17 A- +11 A D- A+ A- +8 A+ C F
 Tue, Mar 3 334 @NJIT W 91 - 52 75% +20  95% 19 - 8 14 - 2 A+ +30 A +14 B+ A+ F A+ +16 A- A A
 Sat, Mar 7 348 New Hampshire W 84 - 69 92% +12  99% 20 - 8 C- -2 B+ +9 A- D+ A- F+ -10 F B- D-
 Tue, Mar 10 315 Umass Lowell W 91 - 69 84% +12  96% 21 - 8 B +9 A +12 A- B A- C- -2 A+ F D+
 Sat, Mar 14 231 Vermont W 72 - 67 70%
Totals 22 - 8 14 - 2 -2 C -1 A- C D+ C- -1 C B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C C+ C C 35% 38% 41% D+ C F+ C- D- B- D+ B C- C- C C- D+ C- 42% 20% 38% C- C- C+ C C+ F+ A- B- A-
1.08 59% 39% 33% 0 -1 1.01 23% 1.0 .23 15% .28 76% .21 1.10 58% 39% 36% +1 0 1.05 28% 1.0 .30 13% .24 71% .20
Nov
8		 Dayton B D C+ A- B- 28% 26% 46% D+ C+ B+ B B+ D+ F A+ F+ C- F C- B+ D- 39% 24% 37% A D+ B+ F D F+ C- D D+
1.07 50% 38% 39% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.1 .38 23% .20 80% .16 1.17 78% 36% 29% +5 0 1.11 23% 1.7 .38 14% .42 79% .33
Nov
11		 Morgan St. D+ A+ A A+ A+ 45% 5% 50% B A+ F F F F B- D- C D- A A+ F D+ 45% 22% 33% F+ D F+ F+ F F A+ D+ A+
1.13 75% 50% 41% +13 +3 1.34 24% 1.0 .24 25% .45 67% .30 1.10 42% 23% 47% -4 0 0.95 34% 1.0 .34 13% .21 77% .16
Nov
16		 Wagner F D+ C F F 35% 27% 38% F F C+ A+ A- F A+ D A+ B A- F A+ B+ 50% 24% 26% D- B B+ D- C+ C+ C+ A+ B
0.94 53% 38% 17% -11 -1 0.77 32% 1.3 .42 24% .55 69% .38 0.92 44% 54% 21% -8 0 0.87 27% 1.2 .32 20% .26 63% .16
Nov
19		 George Washington F B- F F F 39% 20% 41% C F F D+ F D+ B- F C- D D A+ F F 47% 7% 47% C- F A+ A+ A+ D A+ A- A+
0.73 63% 0% 20% -14 0 0.73 15% 1.0 .15 20% .32 61% .19 1.25 67% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.33 26% 0.8 .19 15% .20 67% .13
Nov
29		 Delaware St. D B F B+ C+ 47% 13% 40% B- C+ D F F C F D- F C C A- B C 35% 52% 13% A+ B- C D+ C- F A+ F A
1.07 68% 14% 38% +4 +2 1.13 27% 0.7 .18 18% .17 67% .11 0.86 53% 29% 29% -8 -4 0.78 25% 0.8 .20 14% .16 78% .12
Dec
3		 Georgetown A+ B- A+ C B+ 34% 29% 38% C- B C+ A B+ A+ C- A+ C+ F F A+ F F 42% 18% 40% D- F A+ F D+ F A+ B+ A+
1.21 58% 50% 33% +3 -1 1.05 30% 1.2 .36 10% .27 81% .22 1.34 71% 20% 48% +11 +1 1.25 24% 1.7 .41 9% .16 70% .11
Dec
6		 Bucknell C B- B+ A+ B+ 37% 28% 35% D+ B F C- F C- D B+ C- C- C- A+ B+ C+ 38% 20% 42% C+ C+ F B+ D F D B+ C-
1.13 65% 46% 44% +10 -1 1.20 23% 1.0 .23 19% .29 80% .23 1.02 58% 20% 29% -7 0 0.88 35% 0.9 .33 14% .31 71% .22
Dec
9		 Buffalo C+ C+ A+ C+ B+ 30% 23% 47% F+ B- D- A- C C+ F A+ F F F+ F F F 50% 21% 29% C- F D- A+ C+ D+ C+ F D-
1.19 63% 67% 36% +9 -1 1.19 27% 1.1 .31 17% .14 100% .14 1.25 67% 60% 43% +13 +1 1.29 31% 0.9 .27 15% .32 89% .28
Dec
12		 Army F B F+ F F 28% 25% 47% D- F F F F B+ F F F C+ A+ A+ D- A- 55% 4% 40% F B B B+ B+ D- F F F
0.91 67% 31% 28% -4 -1 0.92 20% 0.8 .15 12% .28 38% .10 0.95 38% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.87 26% 0.8 .21 15% .36 80% .29
Dec
21		 South Florida D+ C- B F D+ 35% 35% 30% D- D D- A C C- D A- C- D- C- A+ F F+ 54% 4% 42% D- F+ B+ F F+ F+ A B- A
0.94 53% 42% 25% -5 -2 0.89 24% 1.1 .26 21% .28 75% .21 1.29 58% 0% 42% +4 +3 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 11% .28 72% .20
Dec
29		 Coppin St. A- F C+ A+ D+ 43% 10% 47% B C- C A+ A+ B C+ F F+ A- D A+ C+ C+ 38% 19% 42% D- C A+ F A- D- B+ C+ B+
1.29 45% 40% 46% +3 +2 1.12 35% 1.9 .68 14% .37 57% .21 0.82 60% 0% 32% -8 0 0.87 15% 1.2 .18 19% .26 67% .17
Jan
8		 Maine D+ B- F A D+ 51% 29% 20% C- D+ D- F F A+ A+ B+ A+ D A F A+ B 42% 25% 33% C+ B F F F F A+ A+ A+
1.07 64% 14% 40% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.6 .18 12% .41 74% .30 0.96 45% 62% 18% -7 0 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 14% .20 55% .11
Jan
10		 New Hampshire C+ C+ B+ A+ B+ 43% 21% 36% C B F F F A+ D- B+ D+ F F+ F C+ F 62% 6% 32% F F F F F D B+ A+ A+
1.19 61% 45% 42% +7 0 1.17 11% 0.7 .07 6% .27 81% .22 1.18 65% 67% 31% +4 +4 1.18 35% 1.1 .39 16% .21 45% .09
Jan
15		 Bryant D B- F B+ B- 31% 14% 55% D+ C+ F F F D- B A+ A F F C+ D- F 52% 10% 38% F F F D- F C B A+ A-
1.08 63% 29% 39% +4 0 1.12 16% 0.8 .13 16% .35 85% .30 1.15 70% 33% 36% +7 +2 1.21 38% 1.1 .41 22% .22 67% .15
Jan
19		 Binghamton C+ B- B+ B+ B- 47% 25% 28% D+ C+ F A+ D- A- F B F B- D+ A+ C C 41% 29% 31% B- C+ C D+ C- F A A+ A+
1.23 64% 46% 40% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.8 .26 8% .21 75% .15 0.95 60% 29% 33% -2 -1 0.96 19% 0.9 .17 13% .27 47% .13
Jan
22		 NJIT B A+ A F B+ 36% 26% 38% D- B F A+ D A+ A+ B+ A+ F+ F+ A D F+ 42% 26% 32% D+ D- F B- D F+ F A+ C+
1.24 78% 46% 26% +5 -1 1.10 19% 1.5 .29 9% .47 77% .36 1.06 64% 29% 35% 0 -1 1.02 35% 0.8 .28 14% .38 52% .20
Jan
24		 Umass Lowell C B- D+ C- C- 50% 21% 29% C C- F C F+ C- A A+ A+ A A F A+ A 40% 19% 42% C A- A- A+ A+ F A+ D+ A+
1.19 62% 36% 33% +1 +1 1.06 22% 1.2 .26 14% .35 95% .33 0.84 43% 70% 18% -10 0 0.83 26% 0.7 .18 14% .16 67% .10
Jan
29		 Vermont F C F F F 26% 21% 53% C- F F A+ D- B B+ D+ B B A+ F D C- 27% 13% 60% C+ C- A A+ A+ D+ F A+ D
0.86 58% 20% 20% -15 -1 0.70 14% 1.4 .19 11% .37 71% .26 1.00 42% 67% 37% +2 0 1.07 15% 0.6 .09 14% .40 59% .24
Jan
31		 Albany D D- A+ A+ C+ 54% 12% 34% A- B- F F F C A+ A- A+ C+ C A B B 39% 14% 47% D+ B- D F F C+ A- A+ A
1.07 50% 60% 43% +3 +2 1.12 19% 0.0 .00 14% .50 81% .41 1.03 58% 29% 30% -4 +1 0.96 35% 1.2 .41 21% .16 50% .08
Feb
5		 Binghamton C- F+ B B- D- 42% 16% 42% C D- F+ F F A+ D+ B- C- C+ A F A+ C 28% 32% 40% A C+ A+ A+ A+ F B F C+
1.19 50% 44% 38% 0 +1 1.04 25% 0.8 .20 5% .30 74% .22 0.94 43% 63% 25% -2 -2 0.94 6% 0.0 .00 12% .31 83% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Maine B- C- A+ F D+ 42% 29% 29% D D+ D D- F+ A+ B A+ A+ C+ A A B+ A- 42% 15% 44% D- B+ B+ F C- F F D F
1.15 59% 53% 20% -1 -1 0.98 31% 0.9 .29 9% .36 86% .31 0.92 45% 29% 29% -10 +1 0.83 14% 1.4 .19 15% .43 68% .29
Feb
14		 New Hampshire B+ A- A+ A- A 31% 25% 44% D- A- F C- F+ B+ C A B- B- F A+ B- F 33% 13% 54% C F+ C A+ A+ C+ F C+ F+
1.24 69% 54% 39% +11 -1 1.21 21% 1.0 .21 12% .31 84% .26 0.92 75% 17% 31% 0 +1 1.04 24% 0.1 .03 19% .36 65% .23
Feb
19		 Vermont C- C+ F B+ D- 27% 27% 47% D D- C- C- C- B- A+ A- A+ A- A+ A+ D+ A+ 34% 17% 48% C A+ A C B+ F A+ F A
1.11 62% 8% 39% -4 -2 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 12% .42 80% .34 0.92 40% 10% 36% -10 0 0.83 17% 1.0 .17 10% .17 80% .13
Feb
21		 Albany D D F A- D+ 44% 17% 38% C+ D+ D F F B+ F+ B- D- C- C+ F F F 53% 13% 34% F F A+ D+ A C A+ F A+
1.11 52% 22% 40% -2 +1 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 12% .25 77% .19 1.04 56% 67% 44% +8 +2 1.21 20% 1.0 .20 20% .08 75% .06
Feb
26		 Bryant D- B A+ F C- 45% 14% 40% C C- C+ C C+ F A- A+ A+ B- A+ D- D- C+ 43% 11% 47% D C+ A+ C- A- F F A- F+
1.11 63% 50% 29% +1 +1 1.07 37% 1.0 .37 19% .37 89% .33 0.92 35% 40% 36% -8 +2 0.89 17% 1.0 .17 16% .38 70% .26
Feb
28		 Umass Lowell A- A A+ F A+ 49% 34% 17% F+ A F A D- A+ C- D C- A- A A+ A+ A+ 48% 14% 38% F+ A+ B+ F C F A+ C+ A
1.28 69% 67% 22% +12 -1 1.25 20% 1.4 .28 6% .26 69% .18 0.92 44% 13% 24% -16 +2 0.73 27% 1.3 .34 9% .19 64% .12
Mar
3		 NJIT A D B A+ A 29% 23% 48% D- B+ A+ B+ A+ F D B+ C- A+ A- F A+ A 28% 26% 47% B- A- C- A+ A A C- C C-
1.30 53% 42% 44% +7 -1 1.13 47% 1.2 .56 20% .30 76% .23 0.74 46% 50% 18% -11 -1 0.77 27% 0.4 .10 23% .31 71% .22
Mar
7		 New Hampshire B+ B- B+ A+ A+ 22% 22% 55% F+ A- F A+ D+ A- C- A+ A- F+ D D D F 40% 10% 50% D F B C B- D- D+ A+ B
1.29 64% 45% 44% +12 -1 1.22 15% 1.8 .26 11% .31 94% .29 1.06 60% 40% 36% +2 +1 1.10 21% 0.9 .18 15% .29 50% .15
Mar
10		 Umass Lowell A B+ A A A 44% 23% 33% D+ A- B- B B A- A C A C- A+ C+ D- A+ 33% 31% 37% A+ A+ F F F D+ A+ F C+
1.34 65% 50% 41% +9 0 1.21 35% 1.3 .45 9% .36 73% .26 1.02 18% 38% 37% -12 -2 0.75 40% 1.2 .49 18% .20 91% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 59.1% 59.1% 15.6 1.7 17.6 39.8 40.9
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 59.1% 59.1% 0.0% 15.6 40.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 59.1% 100.0% 15.6 2.9 29.8 67.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 40.9%