Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#201
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#183
Pace71.6#110
Improvement+2.6#30

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#188
First Shot+1.3#138
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#267
Layup/Dunks-3.2#281
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#83
Freethrows+1.5#91
Improvement+1.7#51

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#220
First Shot-1.1#211
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#202
Layups/Dunks-3.1#281
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#91
Freethrows+1.6#99
Improvement+0.9#92
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.4% 15.6% 11.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 77.1% 88.9% 72.3%
.500 or above in Conference 81.8% 87.3% 79.6%
Conference Champion 13.2% 17.9% 11.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.4% 0.7%
First Four2.5% 1.9% 2.7%
First Round11.2% 14.8% 9.8%
Second Round0.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgetown (Away) - 29.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 64 - 8
Quad 415 - 518 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 119   @ Massachusetts L 60-77 23%     0 - 1 -10.7 -18.4 +8.4
  Nov 19, 2021 296   Western Carolina W 91-75 72%     1 - 1 +8.4 +8.2 -0.5
  Nov 20, 2021 218   @ Longwood L 55-82 41%     1 - 2 -26.3 -13.7 -14.3
  Nov 23, 2021 329   American W 98-67 88%     2 - 2 +16.7 +19.8 -2.4
  Nov 27, 2021 179   @ Pittsburgh W 87-77 35%     3 - 2 +12.4 +16.1 -3.7
  Dec 01, 2021 339   Columbia W 98-60 91%     4 - 2 +21.9 +8.8 +10.3
  Dec 05, 2021 155   @ Delaware L 60-70 31%     4 - 3 -6.3 -14.1 +8.0
  Dec 08, 2021 147   @ Georgetown L 72-78 29%    
  Dec 13, 2021 152   @ Princeton L 71-76 30%    
  Dec 16, 2021 174   UNC Greensboro W 66-64 57%    
  Dec 22, 2021 293   @ Mount St. Mary's W 67-64 60%    
  Dec 29, 2021 253   Radford W 71-65 72%    
  Jan 02, 2022 187   @ New Hampshire L 65-69 37%    
  Jan 06, 2022 233   @ Stony Brook L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 08, 2022 225   Umass Lowell W 74-70 65%    
  Jan 12, 2022 256   @ NJIT W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 15, 2022 103   Vermont L 66-69 39%    
  Jan 19, 2022 300   Albany W 74-65 80%    
  Jan 22, 2022 353   @ Maine W 72-60 85%    
  Jan 26, 2022 256   NJIT W 72-66 72%    
  Jan 29, 2022 317   @ Binghamton W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 02, 2022 300   @ Albany W 71-68 62%    
  Feb 05, 2022 187   New Hampshire W 68-66 59%    
  Feb 09, 2022 254   Hartford W 75-69 71%    
  Feb 12, 2022 225   @ Umass Lowell L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 16, 2022 233   Stony Brook W 74-69 68%    
  Feb 19, 2022 103   @ Vermont L 63-72 21%    
  Feb 23, 2022 254   @ Hartford W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 26, 2022 353   Maine W 75-57 94%    
  Mar 01, 2022 317   Binghamton W 76-65 82%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.8 3.8 2.3 0.8 0.2 13.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.7 7.3 4.4 1.4 0.2 20.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 6.3 6.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 18.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 6.2 5.3 1.5 0.1 15.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.9 4.3 1.0 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.7 3.3 0.6 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.6 2.3 0.5 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.9 5.1 7.8 10.9 13.4 14.2 14.4 11.7 8.6 5.2 2.5 0.8 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 92.9% 2.3    1.9 0.4
15-3 73.6% 3.8    2.6 1.1 0.1
14-4 44.4% 3.8    1.8 1.7 0.3 0.0
13-5 16.2% 1.9    0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.2% 13.2 7.8 4.2 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 45.8% 45.8% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.8% 43.7% 43.7% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-2 2.5% 34.4% 34.4% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.6
15-3 5.2% 28.3% 28.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 3.7
14-4 8.6% 22.4% 22.4% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.4 6.7
13-5 11.7% 19.1% 19.1% 15.3 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.9 9.4
12-6 14.4% 12.9% 12.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.0 12.6
11-7 14.2% 9.8% 9.8% 15.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 12.9
10-8 13.4% 7.5% 7.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 12.4
9-9 10.9% 6.8% 6.8% 15.9 0.0 0.7 10.1
8-10 7.8% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.5
7-11 5.1% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 5.0
6-12 2.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.8
5-13 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.4% 12.4% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.4 5.5 87.6 0.0%