Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -3.3 220
Results Rating -3.4 224
Consistency 0.16 209
Pace 65.8 256
Improvement +5.5 26

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 229 C- D- B- C- C-
Defense C- 214 C- C+ F+ A- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 234 C 59% 149 -0.8 210
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 170 C 39% 156 +1.2 111
Three Pointers 40% 200 D+ 32% 269 -1.6 236
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 249 C- -0.8 201
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 216
Second Chance F+ 22.0% 350 C- 0.99 243 D- 0.22 352
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.0% 141
Other Turnovers B 6.3% 66
Turnovers B- 15.4% 96
Freethrows D+ 0.28 266 B- 75% 83 C- 0.21 221
Total Offense C- -2.1 229

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 36% 338 C+ 10.3% 140
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 309 B- 3.4% 67
Three Pointers D+ 80% 275 C+ 0.7% 123
Total F+ 45% 350 B- 4.8% 94


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 76 C 58% 180 +2.5 265
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 211 C 38% 198 -0.6 137
Three Pointers 38% 275 D+ 36% 291 -0.3 169
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 261 C- +1.3 236
1st FG Attempt C- 1.06 239
Second Chance B- 28.0% 90 C- 1.06 228 C+ 0.30 138
Turnovers from Steals F 5.1% 364
Other Turnovers C+ 7.8% 110
Turnovers F+ 12.8% 353
Freethrows A- 0.23 14 B- 70% 66 A- 0.16 12
Total Defense C- -1.2 214

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A 35% 5 D 6.7% 334
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 46 D 2.3% 319
Three Pointers D 88% 299 D+ 0.5% 259
Total B+ 48% 31 D 3.5% 330

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 198 18.1 291
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 217 0.13 61
Consistency 0.13 227 0.10 35
Improvement +1.4 116 +4.1 26

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 243 220 194
Results Rating Rank 245 223 172
Conference Record 13 - 3 14 - 2 14 - 2
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 41% 42% 39%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four15% 10% 25%
First Round34% 38% 28%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: NJIT (Away) - 65.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 10 - 5
Quad 421 - 421 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 77 @Dayton L 71 - 77 10% -4  14% 0 - 1 C+ +5 B +7 C+ B+ C- C- -3 D+ D D-
 Tue, Nov 11 352 @Morgan St. W 81 - 79 76% +6  77% 1 - 1 D -9 D+ -3 A+ F F D -6 D F+ F
 Sun, Nov 16 318 Wagner W 71 - 70 OT 81% -1  38% 2 - 1 D- -12 F -16 F A- F B +4 B C+ C+
 Wed, Nov 19 80 @George Washington L 52 - 89 10% -24  0% 2 - 2 F -26 F -22 F F D+ D+ -4 F A+ D
 Sat, Nov 29 361 Delaware St. W 71 - 57 94% +8  97% 3 - 2 D+ -7 D -6 C F C C -0 B- C- F
 Wed, Dec 3 82 @Georgetown L 81 - 90 11% -11  0% 3 - 3 C +1 A +13 B B A+ F -13 F D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 334 @Bucknell W 73 - 66 70% +1  53% 4 - 3 C- -2 C +1 B F D+ C- -2 C+ D F
 Tue, Dec 9 212 Buffalo L 79 - 83 60% +1  57% 4 - 4 D -10 C+ +2 B- C B- F -12 F C+ D+
 Fri, Dec 12 339 Army L 60 - 63 86% -5  12% 4 - 5 F -18 F -20 F F B+ C+ +2 B B+ D-
 Sun, Dec 21 54 @South Florida L 69 - 94 7% -15  1% 4 - 6 D- -12 D+ -3 D C- C- D- -8 F D- F
 Mon, Dec 29 363 @Coppin St. W 93 - 59 87% +18  98% 5 - 6 A +19 A- +10 C- A+ B A- +8 C A- D-
 Thu, Jan 8 342 Maine W 69 - 62 87% +6  79% 6 - 6 1 - 0 D -8 D+ -4 D+ F A+ D+ -4 B F F
 Sat, Jan 10 353 New Hampshire W 75 - 74 89% -3  13% 7 - 6 2 - 0 F+ -16 C+ +2 B+ F A+ F -18 F F D-
 Thu, Jan 15 351 @Bryant L 74 - 79 OT 76% -1  24% 7 - 7 2 - 1 F+ -16 D -4 C+ F D F -12 F F C
 Mon, Jan 19 357 @Binghamton W 78 - 60 82% +9  81% 8 - 7 3 - 1 B- +5 B- +4 C+ D- A- B- +3 C+ C- F
 Thu, Jan 22 323 NJIT W 87 - 74 83% +14  98% 9 - 7 4 - 1 C -0 B +7 B D A+ D- -7 D- D D-
 Sat, Jan 24 315 Umass Lowell W 79 - 56 81% +12  98% 10 - 7 5 - 1 B +10 C +1 C- F+ C- A +10 A- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 237 @Vermont L 55 - 64 42% -2  22% 10 - 8 5 - 2 D -10 F -16 F D- B- B +5 C- A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 31 319 @Albany W 68 - 65 63% -3  21% 11 - 8 6 - 2 C- -4 D -5 B- F C C+ +1 B- F C+
 Thu, Feb 5 357 Binghamton W 79 - 62 92% +11  99% 12 - 8 7 - 2 C- -2 C- -2 D- F A+ C+ +1 C+ A+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 342 @Maine W 78 - 62 72% +12  80% 13 - 8 8 - 2 B- +7 B- +5 D+ F+ A+ B- +2 B+ C F
 Sat, Feb 14 353 @New Hampshire W 85 - 63 77% +18  95% 14 - 8 9 - 2 B +11 B+ +9 A- F+ B+ B- +3 F+ A+ C
 Thu, Feb 19 237 Vermont W 75 - 62 65% +10  96% 15 - 8 10 - 2 B- +6 C- -1 D- C- C+ A- +7 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 319 Albany W 66 - 62 81% +1  55% 16 - 8 11 - 2 D -9 D -5 D+ F B+ C- -3 F A C
 Thu, Feb 26 351 Bryant W 70 - 58 89% +5  90% 17 - 8 12 - 2 C- -5 D -5 C C+ F B- +2 C A- F
 Sat, Feb 28 315 @Umass Lowell W 84 - 60 62% +11  94% 18 - 8 13 - 2 A- +17 A- +11 A D- A+ A- +8 A+ C- F
 Tue, Mar 3 323 @NJIT W 73 - 69 65%
Totals 19 - 8 14 - 2 -3 C- -2 F C- C- C- -1 D+ B- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C C D+ C- 37% 38% 40% C- C- F+ C- D- B- D+ B- C- C- C C D+ C- 43% 19% 38% D+ C- B- C- C+ F+ A- B- A-
1.06 59% 39% 32% -1 0 1.00 22% 1.0 .22 15% .28 75% .21 1.10 58% 38% 36% +1 0 1.06 28% 1.1 .30 13% .23 70% .19
Nov
8		 Dayton B D C+ B+ B- 28% 26% 46% D+ C+ B B B+ C- F A+ F+ C- F D+ B+ D- 39% 24% 37% A D+ B+ F D D- C D D+
1.07 50% 38% 39% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.1 .38 23% .20 80% .16 1.17 78% 36% 29% +5 0 1.11 23% 1.7 .38 14% .42 79% .33
Nov
11		 Morgan St. D+ A+ A A A+ 45% 5% 50% B A+ F F F F C+ D C- D A A+ F D+ 45% 22% 33% F D D- F+ F+ F A+ D+ A+
1.13 75% 50% 41% +13 +3 1.34 24% 1.0 .24 25% .45 67% .30 1.10 42% 23% 47% -4 0 0.95 34% 1.0 .34 13% .21 77% .16
Nov
16		 Wagner F D+ C F F 35% 27% 38% F F C+ A+ A- F A+ D A+ B A- F A+ B+ 50% 24% 26% D B B+ D- C+ C+ C+ A B
0.94 53% 38% 17% -11 -1 0.77 32% 1.3 .42 24% .55 69% .38 0.92 44% 54% 21% -8 0 0.87 27% 1.2 .32 20% .26 63% .16
Nov
19		 George Washington F B- F F F 39% 20% 41% C F F C- F D+ B F C- D+ D A+ F F 47% 7% 47% C- F A+ A+ A+ D A+ A- A+
0.73 63% 0% 20% -14 0 0.73 15% 1.0 .15 20% .32 61% .19 1.25 67% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.33 26% 0.8 .19 15% .20 67% .13
Nov
29		 Delaware St. D B- F B+ C- 47% 13% 40% B- C D F F C F D- F C C A- B C 35% 52% 13% A+ B- C- D+ C- F A+ F A
1.07 68% 14% 38% +4 +2 1.13 27% 0.7 .18 18% .17 67% .11 0.86 53% 29% 29% -8 -4 0.78 25% 0.8 .20 14% .16 78% .12
Dec
3		 Georgetown A C+ A+ C B+ 34% 29% 38% C- B C+ A B A+ D+ A C F F A+ F F 42% 18% 40% D- F A+ F D+ F A+ B+ A+
1.21 58% 50% 33% +3 -1 1.05 30% 1.2 .36 10% .27 81% .22 1.34 71% 20% 48% +11 +1 1.25 24% 1.7 .41 9% .16 70% .11
Dec
6		 Bucknell C B B+ A+ B+ 37% 28% 35% D+ B F D+ F D+ D B+ C- C- C- A+ B+ C+ 38% 20% 42% C+ C+ F A- D F D B+ C-
1.13 65% 46% 44% +10 -1 1.20 23% 1.0 .23 19% .29 80% .23 1.02 58% 20% 29% -7 0 0.88 35% 0.9 .33 14% .31 71% .22
Dec
9		 Buffalo C+ C+ A+ C+ B 30% 23% 47% D- B- D- A C B- F A+ F F F+ F F F 50% 21% 29% C- F D- A C+ D+ C+ F D
1.19 63% 67% 36% +9 -1 1.19 27% 1.1 .31 17% .14 100% .14 1.25 67% 60% 43% +13 +1 1.29 31% 0.9 .27 15% .32 89% .28
Dec
12		 Army F B D- F F 28% 25% 47% D- F F F F B+ F F F C+ A+ A+ D- A 55% 4% 40% F B B- A- B+ D- F F F
0.91 67% 31% 28% -4 -1 0.92 20% 0.8 .15 12% .28 38% .10 0.95 38% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.87 26% 0.8 .21 15% .36 80% .29
Dec
21		 South Florida D+ C- B F D+ 35% 35% 30% D- D D- A- C- C- D A- C- D- C- A+ F F 54% 4% 42% D- F B+ F D- F A B- A
0.94 53% 42% 25% -4 -2 0.89 24% 1.1 .26 21% .28 75% .21 1.29 58% 0% 42% +3 +3 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 11% .28 72% .20
Dec
29		 Coppin St. A- F C+ A+ D+ 43% 10% 47% B C- C A+ A+ B C F F A- D A+ C+ C+ 38% 19% 42% D- C A+ F A- D- A- C+ B+
1.29 45% 40% 46% +3 +2 1.12 35% 1.9 .68 14% .37 57% .21 0.82 60% 0% 32% -8 0 0.87 15% 1.2 .18 19% .26 67% .17
Jan
8		 Maine D+ B- F A D+ 51% 29% 20% C- D+ F+ F F A+ A B+ A+ D+ A F A+ B 42% 25% 33% C+ B F F F F A+ A+ A+
1.07 64% 14% 40% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.6 .18 12% .41 74% .30 0.96 45% 62% 18% -7 0 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 14% .20 55% .11
Jan
10		 New Hampshire C+ C+ B+ A+ B+ 43% 21% 36% C B+ F F F A+ D- A- D+ F F+ F C+ F 62% 6% 32% F F F F F D- B+ A+ A+
1.19 61% 45% 42% +7 0 1.17 11% 0.7 .07 6% .27 81% .22 1.18 65% 67% 31% +4 +4 1.18 35% 1.1 .39 16% .21 45% .09
Jan
15		 Bryant D B F B+ B- 31% 14% 55% D+ C+ F F+ F D B A+ A F F C+ D- F 52% 10% 38% F F F D- F C B A+ A-
1.08 63% 29% 39% +4 0 1.12 16% 0.8 .13 16% .35 85% .30 1.15 70% 33% 36% +7 +2 1.21 38% 1.1 .41 22% .22 67% .15
Jan
19		 Binghamton B- B- B+ B+ B- 47% 25% 28% D+ C+ F A+ D- A- F B F B- D+ A C C 41% 29% 31% B- C+ C- D+ C- F A A+ A+
1.23 64% 46% 40% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.8 .26 8% .21 75% .15 0.95 60% 29% 33% -2 -1 0.96 19% 0.9 .17 13% .27 47% .13
Jan
22		 NJIT B A+ A F B+ 36% 26% 38% D- B F A+ D A+ A+ B+ A+ D- D- A D D- 42% 26% 32% D+ D- F B D D- F+ A+ B-
1.24 78% 46% 26% +5 -1 1.10 19% 1.5 .29 9% .47 77% .36 1.06 64% 29% 35% 0 -1 1.02 35% 0.8 .28 14% .38 52% .20
Jan
24		 Umass Lowell C C+ D+ C- C- 50% 21% 29% C C- F C F+ C- A A+ A+ A A F A+ A 40% 19% 42% C A- A- A+ A+ F A+ D+ A+
1.19 62% 36% 33% +1 +1 1.06 22% 1.2 .26 14% .35 95% .33 0.84 43% 70% 18% -10 0 0.83 26% 0.7 .18 14% .16 67% .10
Jan
29		 Vermont F C F F F 26% 21% 53% C- F F A+ D- B- B D+ B- B A+ F D C- 27% 13% 60% C C- A+ A+ A+ D+ F A+ D
0.86 58% 20% 20% -15 -1 0.70 14% 1.4 .19 11% .37 71% .26 1.00 42% 67% 37% +2 0 1.07 15% 0.6 .09 14% .40 59% .24
Jan
31		 Albany D D- A+ A+ C+ 54% 12% 34% A- B- F F F C A+ A- A+ C+ C A B B 39% 14% 47% D+ B- D F F C+ A A+ A
1.07 50% 60% 43% +3 +2 1.12 19% 0.0 .00 14% .50 81% .41 1.03 58% 29% 30% -4 +1 0.96 35% 1.2 .41 21% .16 50% .08
Feb
5		 Binghamton C- F+ B B- D- 42% 16% 42% C D- F+ F F A+ D+ B- C- C+ A F A+ C 28% 32% 40% A C+ A+ A+ A+ F B F C+
1.19 50% 44% 38% 0 +1 1.04 25% 0.8 .20 5% .30 74% .22 0.94 43% 63% 25% -2 -2 0.94 6% 0.0 .00 12% .31 83% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Maine B- C- A+ F D+ 42% 29% 29% D D+ D D- F+ A+ B A+ A+ B- A A B+ A 42% 15% 44% D- B+ B+ F C F F D F
1.15 59% 53% 20% -1 -1 0.98 31% 0.9 .29 9% .36 86% .31 0.92 45% 29% 29% -10 +1 0.83 14% 1.4 .19 15% .43 68% .29
Feb
14		 New Hampshire B+ A- A+ A- A 31% 25% 44% D- A- F C- F+ B+ C- A B- B- F A+ B- F 33% 13% 54% C F+ C+ A+ A+ C F B- F+
1.24 69% 54% 39% +11 -1 1.21 21% 1.0 .21 12% .31 84% .26 0.92 75% 17% 31% 0 +1 1.04 24% 0.1 .03 19% .36 65% .23
Feb
19		 Vermont C- C+ F B+ D- 27% 27% 47% D D- C- C- C- C+ A+ A- A+ A- A+ A+ D+ A+ 34% 17% 48% C A+ A C B+ F A+ F+ A
1.11 62% 8% 39% -4 -2 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 12% .42 80% .34 0.92 40% 10% 36% -10 0 0.83 17% 1.0 .17 10% .17 80% .13
Feb
21		 Albany D D F A- D 44% 17% 38% C+ D+ D F F B+ D- B- D- C- C+ F F F 53% 13% 34% F F A+ C- A C A+ F A+
1.11 52% 22% 40% -2 +1 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 12% .25 77% .19 1.04 56% 67% 44% +8 +2 1.21 20% 1.0 .20 20% .08 75% .06
Feb
26		 Bryant D B A+ F C 45% 14% 40% C C C+ C+ C+ F A- A+ A+ B- A+ D D- C+ 43% 11% 47% D C A+ C- A- F F A- F+
1.11 63% 50% 29% +1 +1 1.07 37% 1.0 .37 19% .37 89% .33 0.92 35% 40% 36% -8 +2 0.89 17% 1.0 .17 16% .38 70% .26
Feb
28		 Umass Lowell A- A A+ F A+ 49% 34% 17% F+ A F A+ D- A+ C D C- A- A A+ A+ A+ 48% 14% 38% F+ A+ B F C- F A+ C A
1.28 69% 67% 22% +12 -1 1.25 20% 1.4 .28 6% .26 69% .18 0.92 44% 13% 24% -16 +2 0.73 27% 1.3 .34 9% .19 64% .12



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 34.6 65.5 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 34.6 65.5 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 65.5    65.5
13-3 100.0% 34.6    34.6
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 65.5% 42.2% 42.2% 15.6 0.0 0.5 8.7 18.4 37.8
13-3 34.6% 39.3% 39.3% 15.9 0.7 12.8 21.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 41.2% 41.2% 0.0% 15.7 58.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 27.6% 100.0% 15.6 0.0 1.8 31.5 66.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 15.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 14.1%
Lose Out 4.7%