Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#295
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#121
Pace74.3#49
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#210
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#350
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.5% 20.0% 11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.5 14.9 15.6
.500 or above 50.3% 79.5% 49.3%
.500 or above in Conference 63.6% 81.5% 62.9%
Conference Champion 13.1% 25.4% 12.6%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 2.2% 7.8%
First Four5.9% 5.2% 6.0%
First Round9.8% 18.8% 9.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 3.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 413 - 814 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2025 59   @ Dayton L 65-85 3%    
  Nov 11, 2025 356   @ Morgan St. W 81-78 61%    
  Nov 16, 2025 344   Wagner W 76-69 74%    
  Nov 19, 2025 79   @ George Washington L 68-85 6%    
  Nov 29, 2025 339   Delaware St. W 83-77 70%    
  Dec 03, 2025 76   @ Georgetown L 69-86 6%    
  Dec 06, 2025 273   @ Bucknell L 74-78 35%    
  Dec 09, 2025 321   Buffalo W 83-78 66%    
  Dec 12, 2025 343   Army W 80-73 72%    
  Dec 21, 2025 81   @ South Florida L 71-88 7%    
  Dec 29, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 77-72 67%    
  Jan 08, 2026 299   Maine W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 10, 2026 358   New Hampshire W 80-71 78%    
  Jan 15, 2026 277   @ Bryant L 81-85 36%    
  Jan 19, 2026 338   @ Binghamton W 74-73 50%    
  Jan 22, 2026 355   NJIT W 78-69 77%    
  Jan 24, 2026 307   Umass Lowell W 81-78 61%    
  Jan 29, 2026 189   @ Vermont L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 31, 2026 303   @ Albany L 75-78 41%    
  Feb 05, 2026 338   Binghamton W 76-70 69%    
  Feb 12, 2026 299   @ Maine L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 14, 2026 358   @ New Hampshire W 77-74 60%    
  Feb 19, 2026 189   Vermont L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 21, 2026 303   Albany W 78-75 61%    
  Feb 26, 2026 277   Bryant W 84-82 56%    
  Feb 28, 2026 307   @ Umass Lowell L 78-81 42%    
  Mar 03, 2026 355   @ NJIT W 75-72 58%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.3 3.9 2.4 1.3 0.3 13.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.3 5.5 3.8 1.4 0.2 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.3 6.3 3.0 0.4 0.0 14.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.8 5.7 2.0 0.2 13.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.3 5.3 1.6 0.1 12.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 4.0 4.5 1.2 0.1 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.4 3.6 1.0 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 2.2 0.6 0.0 6.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.6 9th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.8 4.9 6.8 9.1 10.8 12.0 12.3 11.9 10.2 7.5 5.4 2.6 1.3 0.3 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 1.3    1.3 0.1
14-2 90.7% 2.4    2.0 0.4 0.0
13-3 72.9% 3.9    2.7 1.2 0.1
12-4 43.5% 3.3    1.4 1.5 0.4 0.0
11-5 15.2% 1.5    0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
10-6 2.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 13.1% 13.1 8.0 3.9 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 58.5% 58.5% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.3% 47.2% 47.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.7
14-2 2.6% 41.6% 41.6% 16.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 1.5
13-3 5.4% 34.2% 34.2% 17.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.0 3.5
12-4 7.5% 25.2% 25.2% 18.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 5.6
11-5 10.2% 18.7% 18.7% 18.4 0.1 0.5 1.7 8.3
10-6 11.9% 11.6% 11.6% 18.6 0.0 0.2 1.4 10.5
9-7 12.3% 8.3% 8.3% 18.4 0.0 1.1 11.3
8-8 12.0% 6.4% 6.4% 17.5 0.0 0.8 11.3
7-9 10.8% 4.1% 4.1% 16.5 0.0 0.5 10.3
6-10 9.1% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 8.9
5-11 6.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 6.7
4-12 4.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.9
3-13 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
2-14 1.3% 1.3
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 11.5% 11.5% 0.0% 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.8 8.7 88.5 0.0%