Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#292
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#271
Pace67.0#251
Improvement-0.4#205

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#239
First Shot-0.5#183
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#314
Layup/Dunks-0.1#196
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#193
Freethrows-2.8#326
Improvement+0.5#137

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#318
First Shot-5.7#345
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#82
Layups/Dunks-5.9#349
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#320
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#249
Freethrows+4.0#7
Improvement-0.9#253
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.1% 14.9% 10.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 66.1% 71.1% 45.8%
.500 or above in Conference 78.9% 80.7% 71.8%
Conference Champion 15.7% 16.8% 11.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 2.2% 4.6%
First Four9.8% 10.0% 9.1%
First Round8.9% 9.6% 5.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Away) - 80.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 415 - 815 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 68 @Dayton L 71-77 6%     0 - 1 +5.1 +9.1 -4.4
  Tue, Nov 11 360 @Morgan St. W 81-79 70%     1 - 1 -10.5 -1.0 -9.5
  Sun, Nov 16 295 Wagner W 71-70 OT 62%     2 - 1 -9.1 -11.5 +2.3
  Wed, Nov 19 77 @George Washington L 52-89 6%     2 - 2 -26.8 -19.4 -6.8
  Sat, Nov 29 346 Delaware St. W 71-57 78%     3 - 2 -1.1 -1.8 +1.5
  Wed, Dec 3 99 @Georgetown L 81-90 8%     3 - 3 -0.6 +14.8 -15.8
  Sat, Dec 6 308 @Bucknell W 73-66 44%     4 - 3 +1.6 +5.4 -3.2
  Tue, Dec 9 196 Buffalo L 79-83 43%     4 - 4 -9.3 +5.3 -14.8
  Fri, Dec 12 331 Army L 60-63 73%     4 - 5 -16.3 -15.6 -0.9
  Sun, Dec 21 79 @South Florida L 69-94 7%     4 - 6 -15.1 -2.5 -11.5
  Mon, Dec 29 364 @Coppin St. W 78-69 80%    
  Thu, Jan 8 342 Maine W 70-63 76%    
  Sat, Jan 10 335 New Hampshire W 74-67 73%    
  Thu, Jan 15 311 @Bryant L 70-71 46%    
  Mon, Jan 19 363 @Binghamton W 75-69 71%    
  Thu, Jan 22 353 NJIT W 75-66 80%    
  Sat, Jan 24 304 Umass Lowell W 78-74 64%    
  Thu, Jan 29 178 @Vermont L 68-77 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 310 @Albany L 73-74 45%    
  Thu, Feb 5 363 Binghamton W 78-66 86%    
  Thu, Feb 12 342 @Maine W 67-66 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 335 @New Hampshire W 71-70 52%    
  Thu, Feb 19 178 Vermont L 71-74 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 310 Albany W 76-71 66%    
  Thu, Feb 26 311 Bryant W 73-68 66%    
  Sat, Feb 28 304 @Umass Lowell L 75-77 43%    
  Tue, Mar 3 353 @NJIT W 72-69 62%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.6 4.5 2.8 1.0 0.2 15.7 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 6.1 9.0 5.5 1.9 0.2 24.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 6.5 7.6 2.8 0.3 0.0 18.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.4 6.3 1.6 0.1 14.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.9 5.0 1.1 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.8 1.0 0.0 7.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.6 0.8 0.0 5.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.1 6.1 9.5 13.0 15.4 15.7 14.0 10.4 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 1.0    0.9 0.0
14-2 93.6% 2.8    2.4 0.4
13-3 70.8% 4.5    3.0 1.4 0.1
12-4 44.1% 4.6    2.2 1.9 0.5 0.0
11-5 15.8% 2.2    0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 15.7% 15.7 9.3 4.9 1.2 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 32.6% 32.6% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.0% 43.0% 43.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6
14-2 3.0% 34.2% 34.2% 15.6 0.1 0.3 0.6 2.0
13-3 6.4% 26.4% 26.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.7
12-4 10.4% 23.6% 23.6% 15.9 0.2 2.3 7.9
11-5 14.0% 17.8% 17.8% 16.0 0.1 2.4 11.5
10-6 15.7% 14.6% 14.6% 16.0 0.0 2.3 13.4
9-7 15.4% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.0 1.7 13.7
8-8 13.0% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 1.1 11.9
7-9 9.5% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.5 8.9
6-10 6.1% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.3 5.8
5-11 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 3.0
4-12 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5
3-13 0.6% 0.6
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 14.1% 14.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.1 12.8 85.9 0.0%