Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -13.5 349
Results Rating -14.3 351
Consistency 0.17 265
Pace 60.6 353
Improvement -5.4 351

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 355 D D F F+ D+
Defense D+ 297 C- D D+ D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 174 D+ 54% 287 -1.5 235
2 Pt. Jumpers 47% 73 C 38% 171 +1.8 84
Three Pointers 36% 284 F+ 29% 344 -5.2 331
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 264 D -4.3 316
1st FG Attempt D 0.92 322
Second Chance C- 28.2% 241 D- 0.90 340 D 0.25 310
Turnovers F 23.1% 365
Freethrows F 0.23 363 C 72% 196 F+ 0.17 355
Total Offense F+ -9.4 355

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 52% 112 D+ 12.3% 265
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 28% 141 B 3.3% 61
Three Pointers B+ 93% 17 C- 1.1% 248
Total C+ 57% 144 C- 6.0% 226

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 193 D+ 61% 255 +0.9 211
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 281 C+ 36% 110 -1.6 65
Three Pointers 44% 79 C 34% 177 +1.7 269
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 242 C- +0.6 209
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 221
Second Chance D+ 32.6% 276 D 1.13 311 D 0.37 314
Turnovers D+ 15.6% 253
Freethrows D+ 0.34 289 D+ 74% 263 D+ 0.25 293
Total Defense D+ -4.1 297

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 233 D- 6.3% 341
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 285 D 2.6% 310
Three Pointers D 88% 302 D 0.2% 336
Total D+ 61% 293 D- 3.0% 350

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 20.0 361 16.7 85
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.08 362 0.19 236
Consistency 0.13 253 0.14 302
Improvement -1.7 272 -3.7 335

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 356 350 337
Results Rating Rank 355 349 337
Conference Record 5 - 9 6 - 8 7 - 7
Conference Finish 7 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 4% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 32% 47% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 1% 0% 3%
First Four3% 4% 3%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: South Carolina St. (Home) - 68.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 30 - 9
Quad 49 - 139 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 141 @Georgia Tech L 52 - 56 OT 6% -0  39% 0 - 1 C +0 F -20 F D+ F A+ +20 A+ D+ C+
 Wed, Nov 5 32 @Georgia L 29 - 94 1% -27  0% 0 - 2 F -47 F -42 F D F C- -2 A+ F C-
 Tue, Nov 11 12 @Nebraska L 50 - 69 0% -15  0% 0 - 3 C+ +3 F+ -10 D D- D- A+ +12 A+ C- D-
 Fri, Nov 14 63 @Creighton L 45 - 84 2% -18  0% 0 - 4 F -27 F -23 F+ F F F+ -8 C- F C-
 Tue, Nov 18 264 @Longwood W 83 - 82 2OT 16% +3  69% 1 - 4 C- -2 D+ -4 B+ D+ F C+ +2 A- F A-
 Fri, Nov 21 345 @Canisius L 57 - 60 36% -3  7% 1 - 5 D- -13 F+ -9 F+ C F D+ -5 F F C-
 Sat, Nov 22 359 Binghamton W 63 - 52 60% +9  97% 2 - 5 D+ -5 F+ -10 D- C+ F B+ +6 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 259 Hampton L 68 - 74 32% -10  7% 2 - 6 F+ -15 C +0 F+ B A F -16 F+ D+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 247 @East Carolina L 56 - 68 14% -5  38% 2 - 7 D- -14 F+ -8 C F+ D+ D- -8 F C C
 Sat, Dec 6 246 @American L 60 - 78 13% -10  22% 2 - 8 F -20 F+ -8 A+ F F F -13 F D+ D
 Tue, Dec 9 22 @Virginia L 60 - 84 1% -16  0% 2 - 9 C- -4 D+ -3 B C F C- -2 D+ A F
 Fri, Dec 12 270 @N.C. A&T L 79 - 82 17% +2  54% 2 - 10 D+ -6 C+ +2 D- A- B+ D- -8 D+ F C
 Sun, Dec 14 56 @Virginia Tech L 53 - 82 2% -10  4% 2 - 11 F+ -16 F -12 D- D F+ D -6 F A- D
 Wed, Dec 17 319 @Wagner L 64 - 78 27% -6  0% 2 - 12 F -21 F -10 B F F F -12 C F F
 Mon, Dec 22 30 @Texas L 71 - 94 1% -11  0% 2 - 13 D+ -5 C- -1 B- B- F D+ -4 D- A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 350 Morgan St. W 66 - 49 62% +6  81% 3 - 13 1 - 0 C +0 F -15 F D- D- A+ +16 A A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 10 202 Howard W 69 - 57 22% -2  33% 4 - 13 2 - 0 B- +7 F+ -9 C- F+ F A+ +15 A B- A+
 Mon, Jan 12 303 @Norfolk St. W 74 - 70 22% +0  41% 5 - 13 3 - 0 C -1 B- +5 D+ D+ B+ D -6 A F F
 Sat, Jan 17 363 Coppin St. W 70 - 67 77% -0  52% 6 - 13 4 - 0 F -18 D+ -3 F A+ D- F -15 D- F A+
 Sat, Jan 31 361 @Delaware St. L 57 - 65 53% -6  22% 6 - 14 4 - 1 F -22 F -13 F F D+ F -11 F C F
 Mon, Feb 2 352 @NC Central L 63 - 65 40% -4  5% 6 - 15 4 - 2 D- -13 F -10 C- A+ F C- -3 F A+ C-
 Wed, Feb 4 357 @South Carolina St. L 54 - 63 46% -10  9% 6 - 16 4 - 3 F -22 F -21 F+ C- F C -1 F C- D
 Sat, Feb 7 350 @Morgan St. L 71 - 79 39% -2  13% 6 - 17 4 - 4 F -19 D- -7 F F B- F -12 D- D F
 Sat, Feb 14 202 @Howard L 53 - 79 10% -13  1% 6 - 18 4 - 5 F -25 F -14 C- F F F -13 C- D F
 Mon, Feb 16 303 Norfolk St. L 66 - 70 42% -1  28% 6 - 19 4 - 6 F+ -15 C- -2 C C+ D- F -14 F F C-
 Sat, Feb 21 363 @Coppin St. L 65 - 71 OT 57% -7  6% 6 - 20 4 - 7 F -21 F -18 F D- F C- -3 C- F B+
 Sat, Feb 28 357 South Carolina St. W 69 - 64 68%
 Mon, Mar 2 352 NC Central W 68 - 65 63%
 Thu, Mar 5 361 Delaware St. W 66 - 59 73%
Totals 8 - 21 6 - 8 -14 F+ -9 F D D+ D+ -4 F+ C F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ D+ C F+ D 39% 47% 36% D+ D C- D- D F F C F+ D+ D+ C+ C C- 38% 17% 44% C- C- D+ D D D+ D+ D+ D+
0.95 54% 38% 29% -4 -1 0.92 28% 0.9 .25 23% .23 72% .17 1.14 61% 36% 34% +1 0 1.04 33% 1.1 .37 16% .34 74% .17
Nov
3		 Georgia Tech F D- C+ F F 33% 28% 39% D+ F D+ D+ D+ F F+ F F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 37% 12% 51% F+ A+ B F D+ C+ D+ A+ A-
0.74 47% 38% 22% -11 -1 0.78 26% 1.0 .26 27% .22 55% .12 0.80 37% 67% 19% -16 +1 0.73 28% 1.4 .40 19% .32 50% .16
Nov
5		 Georgia F F+ F F F 28% 30% 43% F+ F A- F D F B+ F D C- C A+ A+ A+ 40% 2% 58% F+ A+ F D- F C- F F F
0.39 45% 8% 6% -30 -2 0.38 40% 0.5 .21 42% .30 46% .14 1.27 63% 0% 20% -11 +3 0.85 54% 1.2 .65 14% .45 83% .38
Nov
11		 Nebraska F+ A+ F D D+ 12% 45% 43% F D C F D- D- D A+ C- A+ F A+ A+ A+ 38% 10% 52% D+ A+ C- C+ C- D- D F D-
0.75 83% 23% 29% -7 -5 0.78 26% 0.5 .13 24% .18 78% .14 1.03 80% 0% 15% -10 +1 0.85 29% 1.1 .32 10% .30 83% .25
Nov
14		 Creighton F D A+ F D- 27% 39% 34% F F+ F+ F F F F A+ D- F+ F B+ B C- 38% 12% 50% D- C- F C+ F C- A- B- A-
0.70 50% 53% 13% -7 -3 0.82 19% 0.7 .13 28% .13 83% .11 1.30 80% 33% 31% +5 +1 1.15 46% 1.0 .46 14% .20 73% .14
Nov
18		 Longwood D+ A+ D B A- 33% 22% 44% D- B+ A+ F D+ F F F F C+ B+ B+ A+ A 46% 27% 27% C A- F D- F A- F F F
1.03 89% 33% 38% +12 -1 1.24 44% 0.5 .23 30% .26 47% .12 1.02 50% 31% 23% -10 0 0.81 41% 1.1 .43 24% .55 88% .49
Nov
21		 Canisius F+ F C- B- D- 19% 30% 51% F F+ C C- C F D D- D- D+ B B+ F F 30% 23% 48% C+ F C- F F C- A- C B+
0.98 38% 38% 36% -2 -3 0.93 32% 1.0 .32 21% .26 67% .17 1.03 46% 30% 43% +1 -1 1.02 28% 1.5 .41 19% .21 70% .15
Nov
22		 Binghamton F+ D- A+ D- F+ 48% 16% 36% C+ D- A F C+ F D+ F F B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 54% 15% 31% F A+ F D+ F A+ F D+ F
1.06 52% 57% 31% -1 +1 1.02 44% 0.9 .38 20% .29 50% .15 0.87 38% 33% 17% -19 +2 0.67 41% 0.9 .35 27% .51 77% .39
Nov
25		 Hampton C F D- B- F+ 40% 29% 31% D- F+ C- A+ B A B A- A- F D+ C F+ F 38% 28% 33% C- F+ A+ F D+ F F D F
1.11 50% 31% 36% -5 -1 0.91 26% 1.3 .35 11% .42 74% .31 1.21 60% 36% 38% +3 -1 1.05 24% 1.4 .34 13% .62 76% .47
Dec
2		 East Carolina F+ A A+ F B 22% 42% 36% F C D- D- F+ D+ F F F D- D+ A+ F F 43% 20% 38% D- F D B+ C C F C F
0.95 70% 53% 25% +4 -4 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 19% .15 57% .08 1.15 59% 25% 47% +5 0 1.13 36% 0.9 .32 17% .47 70% .33
Dec
6		 American F+ A+ B- A+ A+ 45% 35% 20% F+ A+ F C F F F D- F F A F F F 47% 4% 49% F F F A- D+ D A+ C+ A+
0.96 83% 43% 50% +18 -1 1.35 11% 1.0 .11 30% .14 67% .09 1.25 44% 50% 50% +6 +3 1.19 35% 0.8 .26 14% .15 75% .11
Dec
9		 Virginia D+ D- A+ F C+ 56% 21% 23% A+ B D A+ C F F A+ F C- B- A- F C- 49% 5% 45% F D+ A+ D- A F B+ C- B
0.90 45% 64% 25% -5 +1 0.94 21% 1.2 .24 22% .15 88% .13 1.25 56% 33% 44% +5 +3 1.18 28% 1.2 .34 10% .25 73% .18
Dec
12		 N.C. A&T C+ D- A+ F D 35% 32% 33% F+ D- B A A- B+ D A C- D- F A+ C D+ 31% 22% 47% D+ D+ D F F C F F+ F
1.14 50% 61% 21% -2 -2 0.95 33% 1.2 .40 10% .27 76% .21 1.18 71% 20% 33% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.4 .47 19% .67 82% .55
Dec
14		 Virginia Tech F F A+ F D- 28% 20% 52% C D- B- F D F+ C F D D F A+ F F 36% 21% 43% C+ F A+ F A- D A B A
0.82 46% 78% 17% -9 -1 0.83 33% 0.7 .23 22% .24 58% .14 1.26 79% 18% 48% +12 0 1.26 18% 1.6 .29 12% .23 69% .16
Dec
17		 Wagner F A A+ F B+ 42% 20% 38% D+ B D F F F F F F F B- D- B- C 34% 19% 47% C- C A- F F F F A+ F
0.98 68% 67% 29% +7 0 1.18 27% 0.3 .07 23% .28 64% .18 1.20 50% 44% 32% -3 0 0.96 26% 2.0 .51 8% .47 61% .28
Dec
22		 Texas C- C- B- C+ C+ 50% 21% 29% A- B- C- A+ B- F B C B D+ D- F D F+ 43% 17% 40% D+ D- D A+ A+ D+ F B- F
1.01 54% 40% 36% -1 +1 1.02 22% 1.3 .28 20% .37 71% .27 1.33 70% 63% 37% +11 +1 1.26 41% 0.8 .31 13% .68 74% .50
Jan
3		 Morgan St. F C F F F 55% 13% 32% B- F D+ D- D- D- B+ D- B- A+ A D+ A+ A 26% 32% 43% B A A+ A+ A+ A- B- B+ B
0.99 62% 0% 20% -10 +2 0.87 32% 1.1 .35 18% .49 67% .33 0.73 42% 40% 20% -12 -2 0.72 19% 0.6 .11 22% .31 69% .21
Jan
10		 Howard F+ D F B C- 46% 13% 41% C+ C- F A+ F+ F B+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C A+ 54% 16% 30% D A A- D B- A+ A+ A+ A+
0.93 52% 17% 37% -4 +2 0.98 16% 1.6 .25 24% .39 82% .32 0.77 44% 0% 33% -14 +2 0.78 28% 1.2 .33 30% .21 64% .14
Jan
12		 Norfolk St. B- B F C D 44% 14% 42% C D+ C+ F D+ B+ A+ B A+ D C+ A- A+ A+ 44% 26% 31% D+ A D- F F F F D F
1.16 68% 0% 33% -1 +1 1.02 35% 0.8 .29 14% .68 76% .51 1.10 53% 30% 17% -12 0 0.77 34% 2.0 .69 14% .60 70% .42
Jan
17		 Coppin St. D+ F D+ D- F 34% 27% 39% F+ F B- A+ A+ D- B- A+ A+ F D D C+ F+ 26% 26% 49% B- D- F A F A+ F F F
1.15 50% 36% 31% -5 -1 0.90 38% 1.5 .58 20% .39 95% .37 1.10 60% 40% 32% -1 -2 0.97 57% 0.8 .43 33% .51 95% .49
Jan
31		 Delaware St. F C- C F F 58% 29% 13% D+ F F A F D+ D- A+ B- F D C F F 33% 40% 26% B F A+ F C F F A F
0.93 62% 38% 0% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.3 .17 20% .28 93% .26 1.06 57% 35% 64% +10 -3 1.17 14% 1.3 .18 15% .44 61% .27
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 NC Central F F C- A+ C- 44% 21% 36% C- C- A- A+ A+ F F F+ F C- F F D- F 43% 14% 43% F F C+ A+ A+ C- C- A+ B-
1.02 41% 38% 57% +5 0 1.13 46% 1.3 .58 36% .23 67% .15 1.05 74% 50% 37% +10 +1 1.25 27% 0.1 .03 18% .31 63% .20
Feb
4		 South Carolina St. F F+ F+ C- F 49% 9% 43% B- F+ C- C C- F F F F C F F B F 21% 38% 41% A- F B- F C- D F D- F
0.84 53% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 36% 1.2 .44 33% .30 62% .18 0.98 75% 47% 31% +5 -4 1.05 26% 1.2 .30 19% .51 70% .36
Feb
7		 Morgan St. D- D F F F 51% 22% 27% D+ F B- F F B- F+ A+ C F F+ A- C- F+ 41% 29% 31% D+ D- C F+ D F F+ F+ F
1.06 56% 27% 23% -8 +1 0.88 38% 0.7 .25 13% .36 86% .31 1.18 65% 29% 33% 0 -1 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 9% .41 80% .33
Feb
14		 Howard F C- F C D+ 58% 21% 21% C+ C- D F F F F B- F+ F C+ F+ B- D+ 41% 22% 37% B C- F B+ D F D- F F
0.82 56% 22% 33% -5 +1 0.95 28% 0.5 .14 30% .24 73% .18 1.23 52% 45% 32% -2 0 0.98 45% 0.9 .42 12% .39 82% .32
Feb
16		 Norfolk St. C- F+ F A C 40% 9% 51% C+ C C+ B- C+ D- F F F F D- C+ F F 33% 28% 40% B- F F D- F C- F B+ D-
1.12 53% 25% 41% +2 +2 1.09 34% 1.1 .38 20% .28 54% .15 1.18 62% 36% 50% +10 -1 1.20 39% 1.1 .43 19% .44 62% .27
Feb
21		 Coppin St. F F F D- F 48% 7% 45% A- F F A+ D- F A+ C+ A+ C- C D+ A- C- 33% 21% 46% D+ C- F D- F B+ F C- F
0.88 50% 0% 32% -8 +2 0.90 21% 1.5 .31 29% .57 77% .44 0.96 54% 38% 28% -6 0 0.90 36% 1.1 .39 26% .73 70% .51



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 2.4 2.4 3rd
4th 0.5 18.0 18.5 4th
5th 0.9 21.8 12.0 34.6 5th
6th 11.1 19.6 0.0 30.7 6th
7th 3.7 8.6 1.5 13.8 7th
8th 8th
Total 3.7 20.6 43.3 32.4 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 32.4% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 1.3 31.1
6-8 43.3% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 1.5 41.9
5-9 20.6% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.6 20.0
4-10 3.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 3.6
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 16.0 96.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.3% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 12.1%
Lose Out 2.5%