Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -14.0 350
Results Rating -16.0 354
Consistency 0.16 216
Pace 60.8 353
Improvement -5.3 344

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 358 D D+ F F+ D+
Defense D+ 291 C- D C- D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 149 D+ 53% 297 -1.3 230
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 58 C 39% 145 +2.0 78
Three Pointers 35% 299 F+ 29% 352 -5.8 340
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.5 259 D -4.4 323
1st FG Attempt D 0.92 328
Second Chance C 29.7% 195 D- 0.89 342 D+ 0.27 285
Opponents' Steals F 14.0% 365
Other Turnovers F 9.5% 355
Turnovers F 23.6% 365
Freethrows F+ 0.23 357 C- 71% 225 F+ 0.16 356
Total Offense F+ -10.1 358

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 54% 86 C- 11.8% 234
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 32% 89 B 3.0% 49
Three Pointers A- 93% 12 C- 1.0% 234
Total C+ 58% 115 C 5.8% 210


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 169 C- 60% 233 +1.1 219
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 319 C+ 37% 113 -1.9 36
Three Pointers 45% 67 C 34% 197 +2.1 286
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 279 C- +0.6 205
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 220
Second Chance D 33.2% 298 D 1.11 295 D 0.37 313
Turnovers from Steals D 7.8% 298
Other Turnovers B 8.4% 47
Turnovers C- 16.3% 204
Freethrows D 0.35 308 D+ 74% 262 D 0.26 311
Total Defense D+ -3.9 291

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 236 D 7.6% 315
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 268 D 2.6% 311
Three Pointers D 89% 325 D+ 0.4% 277
Total D 61% 304 D 3.6% 328

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.9 361 16.9 114
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 359 0.19 260
Consistency 0.13 206 0.14 288
Improvement -2.3 297 -3.0 316

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 353 350 344
Results Rating Rank 358 356 350
Conference Record 5 - 9 5 - 9 5 - 9
Conference Finish 6 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 9% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four5% 9% 0%
First Round1% 3% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 48 - 158 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 148 @Georgia Tech L 52 - 56 OT 6% -0  39% 0 - 1 C -0 F -20 F D F A+ +20 A+ D+ C+
 Wed, Nov 5 26 @Georgia L 29 - 94 1% -27  0% 0 - 2 F -46 F -42 F D F C -1 A+ F C-
 Tue, Nov 11 15 @Nebraska L 50 - 69 0% -15  0% 0 - 3 C+ +3 F+ -10 D- D- F+ A+ +12 A+ C- D-
 Fri, Nov 14 67 @Creighton L 45 - 84 2% -18  0% 0 - 4 F -27 F -22 F+ F F F+ -9 D+ F C-
 Tue, Nov 18 261 @Longwood W 83 - 82 2OT 14% +3  69% 1 - 4 C -1 D+ -4 B+ C- F B- +2 A- F A-
 Fri, Nov 21 338 @Canisius L 57 - 60 33% -3  7% 1 - 5 D- -12 F+ -9 F+ C F D+ -4 F+ F C-
 Sat, Nov 22 358 Binghamton W 63 - 52 58% +9  97% 2 - 5 D+ -5 F+ -10 D- B- F B+ +7 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 267 Hampton L 68 - 74 31% -10  7% 2 - 6 F+ -15 C- -1 F+ B- A F -15 F+ D F
 Tue, Dec 2 236 @East Carolina L 56 - 68 12% -5  38% 2 - 7 D- -14 F+ -9 C F+ D+ D- -7 F C+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 255 @American L 60 - 78 14% -10  22% 2 - 8 F -20 F+ -9 A+ F F F -14 F D+ D
 Tue, Dec 9 20 @Virginia L 60 - 84 0% -16  0% 2 - 9 C- -3 C- -2 B C+ F C- -3 D+ A- F
 Fri, Dec 12 288 @N.C. A&T L 79 - 82 18% +2  54% 2 - 10 D+ -7 C +1 F+ A- B+ F+ -8 C- F C
 Sun, Dec 14 56 @Virginia Tech L 53 - 82 1% -10  4% 2 - 11 F+ -16 F -12 D- D F+ D -6 F A- D
 Wed, Dec 17 313 @Wagner L 64 - 78 23% -6  0% 2 - 12 F -20 F+ -9 B+ F F F -12 C F F
 Mon, Dec 22 31 @Texas L 71 - 94 1% -11  0% 2 - 13 D+ -5 C- -1 B- B F D+ -4 D- A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 348 Morgan St. W 66 - 49 61% +6  81% 3 - 13 1 - 0 C +0 F -15 F D F+ A+ +16 A A+ A
 Sat, Jan 10 183 Howard W 69 - 57 19% -2  33% 4 - 13 2 - 0 B- +7 F+ -10 C F+ F A+ +16 A B- A+
 Mon, Jan 12 316 @Norfolk St. W 74 - 70 24% +0  41% 5 - 13 3 - 0 C- -2 C+ +3 D D+ B D -5 A F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 362 Coppin St. W 70 - 67 76% -0  52% 6 - 13 4 - 0 F -18 D+ -3 F A+ F+ F -15 D- F A+
 Sat, Jan 31 361 @Delaware St. L 57 - 65 54% -6  22% 6 - 14 4 - 1 F -23 F -13 F F D+ F -11 F C F
 Mon, Feb 2 352 @NC Central L 63 - 65 40% -4  5% 6 - 15 4 - 2 D- -13 F -11 D+ A+ F C- -3 F A+ C
 Wed, Feb 4 357 @South Carolina St. L 54 - 63 45% -10  9% 6 - 16 4 - 3 F -22 F -21 F+ C F C -1 F D+ D
 Sat, Feb 7 348 @Morgan St. L 71 - 79 38% -2  13% 6 - 17 4 - 4 F -19 D- -7 F F C+ F -12 D- D F
 Sat, Feb 14 183 @Howard L 53 - 79 8% -13  1% 6 - 18 4 - 5 F -25 F -14 C- F F F -13 C- D F
 Mon, Feb 16 316 Norfolk St. L 66 - 70 44% -1  28% 6 - 19 4 - 6 F+ -16 D+ -3 C B- F+ F -14 F F C+
 Sat, Feb 21 362 @Coppin St. L 65 - 71 OT 56% -7  6% 6 - 20 4 - 7 F -21 F -18 F F+ F C- -3 C- F B+
 Sat, Feb 28 357 South Carolina St. W 69 - 57 67% +1  47% 7 - 20 5 - 7 D+ -7 F -10 C+ F F B +4 A F A+
 Mon, Mar 2 352 NC Central L 73 - 77 63% +3  59% 7 - 21 5 - 8 F -21 F+ -10 C- A+ F F -11 F B C-
 Thu, Mar 5 361 Delaware St. L 56 - 57 75% -3  14% 7 - 22 5 - 9 F -22 F -15 F A+ F D- -7 F F+ B-
 Thu, Mar 12 352 NC Central W 67 - 66 51%
Totals 8 - 22 5 - 9 -14 F+ -10 D+ D D+ D+ -4 F+ C- F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ D+ C F+ D 40% 49% 35% D+ D C D- D+ F F+ C- F+ D+ C- C+ C C- 39% 16% 45% D+ C- D D D C- D D+ D
0.94 53% 39% 29% -4 -1 0.92 30% 0.9 .27 24% .23 71% .16 1.14 60% 37% 34% +1 +1 1.05 33% 1.1 .37 16% .35 74% .17
Nov
3		 Georgia Tech F F+ B- F F 33% 28% 39% D+ F D+ D D F F+ F F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 37% 12% 51% F+ A+ B F D+ C+ C- A+ A-
0.74 47% 38% 22% -11 -1 0.78 26% 1.0 .26 27% .22 55% .12 0.80 37% 67% 19% -16 +1 0.73 28% 1.4 .40 19% .32 50% .16
Nov
5		 Georgia F F+ F F F 28% 30% 43% F+ F A- F D F B F D C C A+ A+ A+ 40% 2% 58% F+ A+ F D F C- F F F
0.39 45% 8% 6% -30 -2 0.38 40% 0.5 .21 42% .30 46% .14 1.27 63% 0% 20% -11 +3 0.85 54% 1.2 .65 14% .45 83% .38
Nov
11		 Nebraska F+ A+ F D D+ 12% 45% 43% F D- C+ F D- F+ D A C- A+ F A+ A+ A+ 38% 10% 52% D+ A+ C- C C- D- D+ F D-
0.75 83% 23% 29% -7 -5 0.78 26% 0.5 .13 24% .18 78% .14 1.03 80% 0% 15% -10 +1 0.85 29% 1.1 .32 10% .30 83% .25
Nov
14		 Creighton F D A+ F D- 27% 39% 34% F F+ F+ F F F F+ A+ D F+ F B B C- 38% 12% 50% D- D+ F C+ F C- A- B A-
0.70 50% 53% 13% -7 -3 0.82 19% 0.7 .13 28% .13 83% .11 1.30 80% 33% 31% +5 +1 1.15 46% 1.0 .46 14% .20 73% .14
Nov
18		 Longwood D+ A+ D B A- 33% 22% 44% D- B+ A+ F C- F F F F B- B+ B+ A+ A 46% 27% 27% C A- F D- F A- F F F
1.03 89% 33% 38% +12 -1 1.24 44% 0.5 .23 30% .26 47% .12 1.02 50% 31% 23% -10 0 0.81 41% 1.1 .43 24% .55 88% .49
Nov
21		 Canisius F+ F C B- D 19% 30% 51% F F+ C+ C- C F D- D- F+ D+ B A- F F 30% 23% 48% C+ F+ D+ F F C- A- C+ B+
0.98 38% 38% 36% -2 -3 0.93 32% 1.0 .32 21% .26 67% .17 1.03 46% 30% 43% +1 -1 1.02 28% 1.5 .41 19% .21 70% .15
Nov
22		 Binghamton F+ D- A+ D- F+ 48% 16% 36% C+ D- A+ F+ B- F D+ F F B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 54% 15% 31% F A+ F D+ F A+ F D+ F
1.06 52% 57% 31% -1 +1 1.02 44% 0.9 .38 20% .29 50% .15 0.87 38% 33% 17% -20 +2 0.67 41% 0.9 .35 27% .51 77% .39
Nov
25		 Hampton C- F D- B- F+ 40% 29% 31% D- F+ D+ A+ B- A B B+ B+ F D+ C F F 38% 28% 33% C F+ A F D F F D+ F
1.11 50% 31% 36% -5 -1 0.91 26% 1.3 .35 11% .42 74% .31 1.21 60% 36% 38% +2 -1 1.05 24% 1.4 .34 13% .62 76% .47
Dec
2		 East Carolina F+ A A+ F B- 22% 42% 36% F C D- F+ F+ D+ F F F D- D+ A+ F F 43% 20% 38% F+ F D+ A- C+ C- F C+ F
0.95 70% 53% 25% +4 -4 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 19% .15 57% .08 1.15 59% 25% 47% +5 0 1.13 36% 0.9 .32 17% .47 70% .33
Dec
6		 American F+ A+ B- A+ A+ 45% 35% 20% F+ A+ F C- F F F D- F F A F F F 47% 4% 49% F F F A- D+ D A+ C A+
0.96 83% 43% 50% +18 -1 1.35 11% 1.0 .11 30% .14 67% .09 1.25 44% 50% 50% +6 +3 1.19 35% 0.8 .26 14% .15 75% .11
Dec
9		 Virginia C- D- A+ F B- 56% 21% 23% A B D A+ C+ F F A+ F C- B- A F C- 49% 5% 45% F D+ A+ D A- F B+ C- B+
0.90 45% 64% 25% -5 +1 0.94 21% 1.2 .24 22% .15 88% .13 1.25 56% 33% 44% +5 +3 1.18 28% 1.2 .34 10% .25 73% .18
Dec
12		 N.C. A&T C F+ A+ F D- 35% 32% 33% F+ F+ B A A- B+ D A C F+ F A+ C C- 31% 22% 47% D C- D F F C F F F
1.14 50% 61% 21% -2 -2 0.95 33% 1.2 .40 10% .27 76% .21 1.18 71% 20% 33% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.4 .47 19% .67 82% .55
Dec
14		 Virginia Tech F F A+ F F+ 28% 20% 52% C D- C+ F D F+ C F D D F A+ F F 36% 21% 43% C F A+ F A- D A B+ A
0.82 46% 78% 17% -9 -1 0.83 33% 0.7 .23 22% .24 58% .14 1.26 79% 18% 48% +12 0 1.26 18% 1.6 .29 12% .23 69% .16
Dec
17		 Wagner F+ A A+ F+ A- 42% 20% 38% D+ B+ D+ F F F F F F F B- D- B- C 34% 19% 47% D+ C A- F F F F A+ F
0.98 68% 67% 29% +7 0 1.18 27% 0.3 .07 23% .28 64% .18 1.20 50% 44% 32% -3 0 0.96 26% 2.0 .51 8% .47 61% .28
Dec
22		 Texas C- C- B- C+ C+ 50% 21% 29% A- B- C- A+ B F B+ C- B D+ D- F D+ F+ 43% 17% 40% D+ D- D A+ A+ D+ F C+ F
1.01 54% 40% 36% -1 +1 1.02 22% 1.3 .28 20% .37 71% .27 1.33 70% 63% 37% +11 +1 1.26 41% 0.8 .31 13% .68 74% .50
Jan
3		 Morgan St. F C+ F F F 55% 13% 32% C+ F D+ D D F+ A D- B A+ A D+ A+ A 26% 32% 43% B+ A A+ A+ A+ A C+ A- B
0.99 62% 0% 20% -10 +2 0.87 32% 1.1 .35 18% .49 67% .33 0.73 42% 40% 20% -13 -2 0.72 19% 0.6 .11 22% .31 69% .21
Jan
10		 Howard F+ D F B+ C- 46% 13% 41% C+ C F A+ F+ F A- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C+ A+ 54% 16% 30% D A A- D B- A+ A+ A+ A+
0.93 52% 17% 37% -4 +2 0.98 16% 1.6 .25 24% .39 82% .32 0.77 44% 0% 33% -14 +2 0.78 28% 1.2 .33 30% .21 64% .14
Jan
12		 Norfolk St. C+ B+ F C- D 44% 14% 42% C D B- F D+ B A+ B A+ D C+ A- A+ A+ 44% 26% 31% D+ A D- F F F+ F D+ F
1.16 68% 0% 33% -1 +1 1.02 35% 0.8 .29 14% .68 76% .51 1.10 53% 30% 17% -12 0 0.77 34% 2.0 .69 14% .60 70% .42
Jan
17		 Coppin St. D+ F C- D- F 34% 27% 39% F+ F B- A+ A+ F+ B- A+ A+ F D D C+ F+ 26% 26% 49% B- D- F A F A+ F F F
1.15 50% 36% 31% -5 -1 0.90 38% 1.5 .58 20% .39 95% .37 1.10 60% 40% 32% -1 -2 0.97 57% 0.8 .43 33% .51 95% .49
Jan
31		 Delaware St. F C- C+ F F 58% 29% 13% D+ F F A- F D+ D- A+ B- F D C F F 33% 40% 26% B F A+ F C F F A F
0.93 62% 38% 0% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.3 .17 20% .28 93% .26 1.06 57% 35% 64% +10 -3 1.17 14% 1.3 .18 15% .44 61% .27
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 NC Central F F C- A+ D+ 44% 21% 36% C- D+ A- A+ A+ F F+ F+ F C- F F D F 43% 14% 43% F F C+ A+ A+ C C- A+ B
1.02 41% 38% 57% +5 0 1.13 46% 1.3 .58 36% .23 67% .15 1.05 74% 50% 37% +10 +1 1.25 27% 0.1 .03 18% .31 63% .20
Feb
4		 South Carolina St. F F+ F+ C- F 49% 9% 43% B- F+ C- B- C F F F F C F F B F 21% 38% 41% A F B- F D+ D F D F
0.84 53% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 36% 1.2 .44 33% .30 62% .18 0.98 75% 47% 31% +5 -4 1.05 26% 1.2 .30 19% .51 70% .36
Feb
7		 Morgan St. D- D+ F F F 51% 22% 27% D F C+ F F C+ D- A+ C+ F F A- C F+ 41% 29% 31% C- D- C- D- D F F D- F
1.06 56% 27% 23% -8 +1 0.88 38% 0.7 .25 13% .36 86% .31 1.18 65% 29% 33% 0 -1 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 9% .41 80% .33
Feb
14		 Howard F C- F C+ D+ 58% 21% 21% C+ C- D F F F F B- F+ F C+ F+ B D+ 41% 22% 37% B C- F A- D F D- F F
0.82 56% 22% 33% -5 +1 0.95 28% 0.5 .14 30% .24 73% .18 1.23 52% 45% 32% -2 0 0.98 45% 0.9 .42 12% .39 82% .32
Feb
16		 Norfolk St. D+ F+ F A C- 40% 9% 51% C+ C C+ C+ B- F+ F F F F D- C+ F F 33% 28% 40% B- F F D- F C+ F B+ D-
1.12 53% 25% 41% +2 +2 1.09 34% 1.1 .38 20% .28 54% .15 1.18 62% 36% 50% +10 -1 1.20 39% 1.1 .43 19% .44 62% .27
Feb
21		 Coppin St. F F F D- F 48% 7% 45% A- F F A+ F+ F A+ C+ A+ C- C C- A- C- 33% 21% 46% D+ C- F D- F B+ F D+ F
0.88 50% 0% 32% -8 +2 0.90 21% 1.5 .31 29% .57 77% .44 0.96 54% 38% 28% -6 0 0.90 36% 1.1 .39 26% .73 70% .51
Feb
28		 South Carolina St. F C+ A- D C 62% 9% 29% B+ C+ B F F F A- F C B A- A+ A+ A+ 45% 15% 40% F A F D- F A+ F F F
1.04 64% 50% 31% +3 +3 1.16 43% 0.3 .11 23% .47 63% .29 0.86 44% 17% 25% -15 +1 0.75 38% 1.1 .41 29% .63 77% .49
Mar
2		 NC Central F+ B- A C C 41% 27% 32% D- C- A+ D+ A+ F F B- F F B+ F F F 42% 13% 44% F F A- C B C- F D+ F
1.07 67% 50% 36% +8 -1 1.16 59% 0.9 .53 34% .18 75% .13 1.13 47% 50% 45% +4 +1 1.13 22% 1.0 .22 18% .52 76% .39
Mar
5		 Delaware St. F F D+ F F 48% 23% 30% D+ F A- A+ A+ F F+ D- F D- A- C- F D- 49% 19% 33% F F F C+ F+ B- C C C
0.94 47% 33% 17% -14 0 0.75 41% 1.5 .59 25% .27 67% .18 0.96 43% 38% 43% -3 +1 0.98 39% 0.7 .27 22% .28 69% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9 100.0% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 4.6 95.4
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 16.0 95.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.6% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 24.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 22.6%
Lose Out 48.8%