Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.5 #342
Expected Predictive Rating -12.1 #331
Pace 61.2 #355
Improvement -0.2 #183

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #351 D F D- F D-
Defense #280 C C D D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #264 1.16 #176 -1.9 #245
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #58 0.86 #60 +4.0 #26
Three Pointers 38% #250 0.80 #352 -5.7 #331
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #270 -3.5 #270
Freethrows 12.5 #347 65% #343 8.2 #359
Second Chance 29.7% #222 0.85 #348 0.25 #304
Turnovers 23.3% #365
Total Offense -8.2 #351

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #158 1.14 #150 -0.3 #191
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #305 0.67 #83 +2.3 #39
Three Pointers 44% #90 0.99 #166 -1.3 #232
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #153 +0.8 #151
Freethrows 16.3 #138 74% #245 12.1 #205
Second Chance 32.6% #257 1.14 #301 0.37 #299
Turnovers 15.4% #259
Total Defense -3.3 #280

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.2% #303 1.3% #287
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.8% #246 -2.7% #128
Possession Length 20.5 #363 16.2 #38
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 #361 0.18 #211
Improvement +1.2 #100 -1.5 #277

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.5% 12.9% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.5% 3.0% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 73.7% 86.2% 64.5%
Conference Champion 15.9% 26.8% 8.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 1.6% 5.8%
First Four10.4% 12.6% 8.7%
First Round4.1% 5.2% 3.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Home) - 42.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 410 - 1211 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 114 @Georgia Tech L 52-56 OT 6%     -0.3   0 - 1 +2.6 -15.2 +17.8
  Wed, Nov 5 24 @Georgia L 29-94 1%     -27.0   0 - 2 -46.4 -37.6 -5.4
  Tue, Nov 11 23 @Nebraska L 50-69 1%     -14.6   0 - 3 -0.3 -10.6 +9.4
  Fri, Nov 14 38 @Creighton L 45-84 1%     -18.0   0 - 4 -23.2 -16.3 -10.2
  Tue, Nov 18 275 @Longwood W 83-82 2OT 22%     2.9   1 - 4 -2.4 -2.7 +0.2
  Fri, Nov 21 337 @Canisius L 57-60 38%     -2.8   1 - 5 -11.3 -7.2 -4.8
  Sat, Nov 22 362 Binghamton W 63-52 68%     9.4   2 - 5 -5.4 -7.9 +4.4
  Tue, Nov 25 237 Hampton L 68-74 35%     -9.6   2 - 6 -13.5 +3.1 -17.4
  Tue, Dec 2 273 @East Carolina L 56-68 21%     -5.3   2 - 7 -15.2 -5.6 -11.8
  Sat, Dec 6 245 @American L 60-78 18%     -10.4   2 - 8 -19.8 -6.0 -16.1
  Tue, Dec 9 25 @Virginia L 60-84 1%     -11.7   2 - 9 -5.8 -2.6 -4.3
  Fri, Dec 12 305 @N.C. A&T L 79-82 27%     1.8   2 - 10 -8.2 +3.4 -11.7
  Sun, Dec 14 62 @Virginia Tech L 53-82 2%     -10.5   2 - 11 -17.0 -9.4 -9.9
  Wed, Dec 17 303 @Wagner L 64-78 27%     -6.5   2 - 12 -19.0 -6.5 -13.6
  Mon, Dec 22 48 @Texas L 71-94 2%     -11.1   2 - 13 -8.9 +1.8 -10.5
  Sat, Jan 3 361 Morgan St. W 66-49 77%     6.2   3 - 13 1 - 0 -2.1 -12.8 +11.5
  Sat, Jan 10 277 Howard L 63-65 42%    
  Mon, Jan 12 274 @Norfolk St. L 60-68 22%    
  Sat, Jan 17 364 Coppin St. W 72-60 86%    
  Sat, Jan 24 359 @South Carolina St. W 67-66 52%    
  Mon, Jan 26 347 @NC Central L 63-65 41%    
  Sat, Jan 31 351 @Delaware St. L 61-63 45%    
  Sat, Feb 7 361 @Morgan St. W 69-67 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 277 @Howard L 60-68 23%    
  Mon, Feb 16 274 Norfolk St. L 63-65 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 364 @Coppin St. W 69-63 70%    
  Sat, Feb 28 359 South Carolina St. W 69-63 73%    
  Mon, Mar 2 347 NC Central W 66-62 63%    
  Thu, Mar 5 351 Delaware St. W 64-60 66%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 2.1 5.5 5.1 2.4 0.5 0.1 15.9 1st
2nd 0.1 3.2 8.9 5.1 0.9 0.0 18.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.3 9.5 5.5 0.5 18.8 3rd
4th 0.0 2.7 9.9 5.4 0.5 18.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.8 7.4 4.5 0.3 14.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.3 3.2 0.3 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.7 0.1 4.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.5 8th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.5 7.9 13.5 18.1 18.5 17.0 11.1 5.9 2.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
12-2 99.4% 2.4    2.3 0.2
11-3 85.6% 5.1    3.3 1.7 0.1
10-4 50.0% 5.5    1.8 2.8 0.8 0.1
9-5 12.3% 2.1    0.2 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.0
8-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 15.9% 15.9 8.2 5.4 1.7 0.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-1 0.5% 38.0% 38.0% 16.0 0.2 0.3
12-2 2.4% 30.1% 30.1% 16.0 0.7 1.7
11-3 5.9% 26.3% 26.3% 16.0 1.6 4.4
10-4 11.1% 18.3% 18.3% 16.0 2.0 9.1
9-5 17.0% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 2.0 15.0
8-6 18.5% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 1.7 16.8
7-7 18.1% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 1.1 16.9
6-8 13.5% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.7 12.8
5-9 7.9% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.2 7.7
4-10 3.5% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.1 3.4
3-11 1.2% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-12 0.3% 0.3
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 10.5% 10.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.5 89.5 0.0%