Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -13.5 350
Results Rating -14.7 352
Consistency 0.16 245
Pace 61.1 349
Improvement -4.7 335

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 357 D D F F+ C-
Defense D+ 283 C- D C- D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 148 D+ 54% 277 -0.9 216
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 62 C 39% 149 +1.9 79
Three Pointers 35% 295 F+ 29% 348 -5.5 338
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 256 D -3.9 314
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 318
Second Chance C- 29.2% 211 F+ 0.87 352 D 0.25 310
Opponents' Steals F 14.1% 365
Other Turnovers F 9.4% 349
Turnovers F 23.5% 365
Freethrows F+ 0.23 355 C- 72% 220 F+ 0.17 356
Total Offense F+ -9.7 357

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 54% 93 C- 11.7% 231
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 30% 112 B 3.0% 52
Three Pointers B+ 93% 12 C- 1.1% 244
Total C+ 58% 133 C 5.8% 212


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 180 C- 60% 236 +0.9 213
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 303 B- 36% 108 -1.8 43
Three Pointers 45% 71 C 34% 174 +1.9 278
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 269 C +0.4 195
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 208
Second Chance D+ 32.7% 280 D 1.12 298 D 0.37 308
Turnovers from Steals D 7.7% 312
Other Turnovers B 8.4% 56
Turnovers C- 16.2% 215
Freethrows D 0.35 311 D+ 74% 268 D 0.26 318
Total Defense D+ -3.7 283

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 221 D 6.9% 326
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 277 D+ 3.0% 293
Three Pointers D 88% 306 D 0.2% 333
Total D+ 60% 293 D- 3.2% 342

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.9 361 16.8 86
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 361 0.19 257
Consistency 0.13 234 0.14 302
Improvement -1.9 290 -2.8 313

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 354 350 338
Results Rating Rank 356 352 345
Conference Record 5 - 9 6 - 8 6 - 8
Conference Finish 7 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 4% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four4% 4% 3%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Delaware St. (Home) - 77.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 48 - 148 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 148 @Georgia Tech L 52 - 56 OT 6% -0  39% 0 - 1 C -0 F -20 F D+ F A+ +20 A+ D+ C+
 Wed, Nov 5 29 @Georgia L 29 - 94 1% -27  0% 0 - 2 F -47 F -42 F D F C -1 A+ F C
 Tue, Nov 11 12 @Nebraska L 50 - 69 0% -15  0% 0 - 3 C+ +3 F+ -10 D- D F+ A+ +12 A+ C- D-
 Fri, Nov 14 72 @Creighton L 45 - 84 2% -18  0% 0 - 4 F -28 F -23 F+ F F F+ -8 C- F C-
 Tue, Nov 18 253 @Longwood W 83 - 82 2OT 15% +3  69% 1 - 4 C -1 D+ -3 B+ C- F B- +2 A F A-
 Fri, Nov 21 340 @Canisius L 57 - 60 34% -3  7% 1 - 5 D- -12 F+ -9 F+ C F D+ -4 F+ F C-
 Sat, Nov 22 357 Binghamton W 63 - 52 59% +9  97% 2 - 5 D+ -5 F+ -10 D- B- F B+ +7 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 262 Hampton L 68 - 74 32% -10  7% 2 - 6 F+ -15 C -0 F+ B- A F -16 F+ D F
 Tue, Dec 2 232 @East Carolina L 56 - 68 12% -5  38% 2 - 7 D- -13 F+ -8 C F+ D+ D- -7 F C+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 254 @American L 60 - 78 15% -10  22% 2 - 8 F -20 F+ -8 A+ F F F -14 F D+ D
 Tue, Dec 9 21 @Virginia L 60 - 84 0% -16  0% 2 - 9 C- -3 C- -2 B C+ F C- -2 D+ A F
 Fri, Dec 12 275 @N.C. A&T L 79 - 82 17% +2  54% 2 - 10 D+ -6 C +1 D- A- B+ D- -8 C- F C
 Sun, Dec 14 56 @Virginia Tech L 53 - 82 2% -10  4% 2 - 11 F+ -16 F -12 D- D D- D -6 F B+ D
 Wed, Dec 17 318 @Wagner L 64 - 78 26% -6  0% 2 - 12 F -21 F+ -10 B+ F F F -12 C F F
 Mon, Dec 22 27 @Texas L 71 - 94 1% -11  0% 2 - 13 C- -5 C- -1 B- B- F D+ -4 D- A+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 349 Morgan St. W 66 - 49 61% +6  81% 3 - 13 1 - 0 C +1 F -15 F D- F+ A+ +17 A A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 10 182 Howard W 69 - 57 20% -2  33% 4 - 13 2 - 0 B- +7 F+ -9 C F+ F A+ +16 A B- A+
 Mon, Jan 12 311 @Norfolk St. W 74 - 70 24% +0  41% 5 - 13 3 - 0 C- -2 B- +4 D D+ B+ D -5 A F F
 Sat, Jan 17 363 Coppin St. W 70 - 67 78% -0  52% 6 - 13 4 - 0 F -18 D+ -3 F A+ F+ F -15 D- F A+
 Sat, Jan 31 361 @Delaware St. L 57 - 65 56% -6  22% 6 - 14 4 - 1 F -23 F -13 F F D+ F -11 F C F
 Mon, Feb 2 347 @NC Central L 63 - 65 37% -4  5% 6 - 15 4 - 2 D- -12 F -10 C- A+ F C- -2 F A+ C
 Wed, Feb 4 359 @South Carolina St. L 54 - 63 49% -10  9% 6 - 16 4 - 3 F -22 F -22 F+ C F C -1 F C- D
 Sat, Feb 7 349 @Morgan St. L 71 - 79 38% -2  13% 6 - 17 4 - 4 F -18 D- -7 F F C+ F -11 D- D F
 Sat, Feb 14 182 @Howard L 53 - 79 9% -13  1% 6 - 18 4 - 5 F -25 F -14 C- F F F -13 C- D F
 Mon, Feb 16 311 Norfolk St. L 66 - 70 45% -1  28% 6 - 19 4 - 6 F+ -16 D+ -3 C C+ F+ F -14 F F C
 Sat, Feb 21 363 @Coppin St. L 65 - 71 OT 58% -7  6% 6 - 20 4 - 7 F -21 F -19 F D- F C- -2 C- F B+
 Sat, Feb 28 359 South Carolina St. W 69 - 57 71% +1  47% 7 - 20 5 - 7 D+ -7 F -11 C F F B +4 A- F A+
 Mon, Mar 2 347 NC Central L 73 - 77 60% +3  59% 7 - 21 5 - 8 F -20 F+ -9 C A+ F F -11 F B C
 Thu, Mar 5 361 Delaware St. W 66 - 58 77%
Totals 8 - 21 6 - 8 -13 F+ -10 A D C- D+ -4 F+ C- F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ D+ C F+ D 40% 49% 35% C- D C- F+ D F F+ C- F+ D+ C- B- C C 39% 17% 45% D+ C- D+ D D C- D D+ D
0.95 54% 39% 29% -4 -1 0.93 29% 0.9 .25 23% .23 72% .17 1.14 60% 36% 34% 0 +1 1.04 33% 1.1 .37 16% .35 74% .17
Nov
3		 Georgia Tech F F+ C+ F F 33% 28% 39% D+ F D+ D+ D+ F F+ F F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 37% 12% 51% F+ A+ B+ F D+ C+ C- A+ A-
0.74 47% 38% 22% -11 -1 0.78 26% 1.0 .26 27% .22 55% .12 0.80 37% 67% 19% -16 +1 0.73 28% 1.4 .40 19% .32 50% .16
Nov
5		 Georgia F F+ F F F 28% 30% 43% F+ F A- F D F B+ F D C C A+ A+ A+ 40% 2% 58% F+ A+ F D- F C F F F
0.39 45% 8% 6% -30 -2 0.38 40% 0.5 .21 42% .30 46% .14 1.27 63% 0% 20% -11 +3 0.85 54% 1.2 .65 14% .45 83% .38
Nov
11		 Nebraska F+ A+ F D D+ 12% 45% 43% F D- C+ F D F+ D A C- A+ F A+ A+ A+ 38% 10% 52% C- A+ C- C C- D- D F D-
0.75 83% 23% 29% -7 -5 0.78 26% 0.5 .13 24% .18 78% .14 1.03 80% 0% 15% -10 +1 0.85 29% 1.1 .32 10% .30 83% .25
Nov
14		 Creighton F D A+ F D- 27% 39% 34% F F+ F+ F F F F A+ D F+ F B B C- 38% 12% 50% D- C- F B- F C- A- B- A-
0.70 50% 53% 13% -7 -3 0.82 19% 0.7 .13 28% .13 83% .11 1.30 80% 33% 31% +5 +1 1.15 46% 1.0 .46 14% .20 73% .14
Nov
18		 Longwood D+ A+ D B A 33% 22% 44% D- B+ A+ F C- F F F F B- B+ B+ A+ A 46% 27% 27% C A F D- F A- F F F
1.03 89% 33% 38% +12 -1 1.24 44% 0.5 .23 30% .26 47% .12 1.02 50% 31% 23% -10 0 0.81 41% 1.1 .43 24% .55 88% .49
Nov
21		 Canisius F+ F C B- D 19% 30% 51% F F+ C+ C- C F D- D- F+ D+ B A- F F 30% 23% 48% C+ F+ C- F F C- A- C+ B+
0.98 38% 38% 36% -2 -3 0.93 32% 1.0 .32 21% .26 67% .17 1.03 46% 30% 43% +1 -1 1.02 28% 1.5 .41 19% .21 70% .15
Nov
22		 Binghamton F+ D- A+ D- F+ 48% 16% 36% C+ D- A+ F+ B- F D+ F F B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 54% 15% 31% F A+ F D+ F A+ F D+ F
1.06 52% 57% 31% -1 +1 1.02 44% 0.9 .38 20% .29 50% .15 0.87 38% 33% 17% -20 +2 0.67 41% 0.9 .35 27% .51 77% .39
Nov
25		 Hampton C F D- B- F+ 40% 29% 31% D F+ D+ A+ B- A B A- A- F D+ C F+ F 38% 28% 33% C- F+ A F D F F D+ F
1.11 50% 31% 36% -5 -1 0.91 26% 1.3 .35 11% .42 74% .31 1.21 60% 36% 38% +2 -1 1.05 24% 1.4 .34 13% .62 76% .47
Dec
2		 East Carolina F+ A A+ F B- 22% 42% 36% F C D- F+ F+ D+ F F F D- D+ A+ F F 43% 20% 38% D- F D B+ C+ C F C+ F
0.95 70% 53% 25% +4 -4 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 19% .15 57% .08 1.15 59% 25% 47% +5 0 1.13 36% 0.9 .32 17% .47 70% .33
Dec
6		 American F+ A+ B- A+ A+ 45% 35% 20% F+ A+ F C F F F D- F F A F F F 47% 4% 49% F F F A- D+ D A+ C A+
0.96 83% 43% 50% +18 -1 1.35 11% 1.0 .11 30% .14 67% .09 1.25 44% 50% 50% +6 +3 1.19 35% 0.8 .26 14% .15 75% .11
Dec
9		 Virginia C- D- A+ F B- 56% 21% 23% A B D A+ C+ F F A+ F C- B- A F C- 49% 5% 45% F D+ A+ D A F B+ C B+
0.90 45% 64% 25% -5 +1 0.94 21% 1.2 .24 22% .15 88% .13 1.25 56% 33% 44% +5 +3 1.18 28% 1.2 .34 10% .25 73% .18
Dec
12		 N.C. A&T C D- A+ F D- 35% 32% 33% F+ D- B A A- B+ D A C D- F A+ C C- 31% 22% 47% D+ C- D- F F C F F F
1.14 50% 61% 21% -2 -2 0.95 33% 1.2 .40 10% .27 76% .21 1.18 71% 20% 33% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.4 .47 19% .67 82% .55
Dec
14		 Virginia Tech F F A+ F F+ 28% 20% 52% C D- B- F D D- C F D D F A+ F F 36% 21% 43% C+ F A+ F B+ D A B+ A
0.82 46% 78% 17% -9 -1 0.83 33% 0.7 .23 22% .24 58% .14 1.26 79% 18% 48% +12 0 1.26 18% 1.6 .29 12% .23 69% .16
Dec
17		 Wagner F+ A A+ F+ A- 42% 20% 38% D+ B+ D+ F F F F F F F B- D- B- C 34% 19% 47% D+ C A- F F F F A+ F
0.98 68% 67% 29% +7 0 1.18 27% 0.3 .07 23% .28 64% .18 1.20 50% 44% 32% -3 0 0.96 26% 2.0 .51 8% .47 61% .28
Dec
22		 Texas C- C- B- C+ C+ 50% 21% 29% A- B- C- A+ B- F B+ C- B D+ D- F D+ F+ 43% 17% 40% D+ D- D+ A+ A+ D F B- F
1.01 54% 40% 36% -1 +1 1.02 22% 1.3 .28 20% .37 71% .27 1.33 70% 63% 37% +11 +1 1.26 41% 0.8 .31 13% .68 74% .50
Jan
3		 Morgan St. F C F F F 55% 13% 32% B- F D+ D- D- F+ A- D B A+ A D+ A+ A 26% 32% 43% B+ A A+ A+ A+ A- B- A- B+
0.99 62% 0% 20% -10 +2 0.87 32% 1.1 .35 18% .49 67% .33 0.73 42% 40% 20% -13 -2 0.72 19% 0.6 .11 22% .31 69% .21
Jan
10		 Howard F+ D F B+ C 46% 13% 41% C+ C F A+ F+ F A- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C+ A+ 54% 16% 30% D A A D- B- A+ A+ A+ A+
0.93 52% 17% 37% -4 +1 0.98 16% 1.6 .25 24% .39 82% .32 0.77 44% 0% 33% -14 +2 0.78 28% 1.2 .33 30% .21 64% .14
Jan
12		 Norfolk St. B- B+ F C D 44% 14% 42% C D B- F D+ B+ A+ B A+ D C+ A- A+ A+ 44% 26% 31% D+ A D- F F F F D+ F
1.16 68% 0% 33% -1 +1 1.02 35% 0.8 .29 14% .68 76% .51 1.10 53% 30% 17% -12 0 0.77 34% 2.0 .69 14% .60 70% .42
Jan
17		 Coppin St. D+ F D+ D- F 34% 27% 39% F+ F B- A+ A+ F+ B- A+ A+ F D D C+ F+ 26% 26% 49% B- D- F A+ F A+ F F F
1.15 50% 36% 31% -5 -1 0.90 38% 1.5 .58 20% .39 95% .37 1.10 60% 40% 32% -1 -2 0.97 57% 0.8 .43 33% .51 95% .49
Jan
31		 Delaware St. F C- C+ F F 58% 29% 13% D+ F F A- F D+ D- A+ B- F D C F F 33% 40% 26% B F A+ F C F F A F
0.93 62% 38% 0% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.3 .17 20% .28 93% .26 1.06 57% 35% 64% +10 -3 1.17 14% 1.3 .18 15% .44 61% .27
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 NC Central F F C- A+ C- 44% 21% 36% C C- A- A+ A+ F F+ F+ F+ C- F F D F 43% 14% 43% F F C+ A+ A+ C C- A+ B-
1.02 41% 38% 57% +5 0 1.13 46% 1.3 .58 36% .23 67% .15 1.05 74% 50% 37% +10 +1 1.25 27% 0.1 .03 18% .31 63% .20
Feb
4		 South Carolina St. F F+ F+ C- F 49% 9% 43% C+ F+ C- C+ C F F F F C F F B- F 21% 38% 41% A- F B F C- D F D F
0.84 53% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 36% 1.2 .44 33% .30 62% .18 0.98 75% 47% 31% +5 -4 1.05 26% 1.2 .30 19% .51 70% .36
Feb
7		 Morgan St. D- D F F F 51% 22% 27% D F C+ F F C+ F+ A+ C+ F F A- C D- 41% 29% 31% C- D- C- F+ D F F+ D- F
1.06 56% 27% 23% -8 +1 0.88 38% 0.7 .25 13% .36 86% .31 1.18 65% 29% 33% 0 -1 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 9% .41 80% .33
Feb
14		 Howard F C- F C C- 58% 21% 21% C+ C- D F F F F B- F+ F C+ F+ B- D+ 41% 22% 37% B C- F B+ D F D- F F
0.82 56% 22% 33% -5 +1 0.95 28% 0.5 .14 30% .24 73% .18 1.23 52% 45% 32% -2 0 0.98 45% 0.9 .42 12% .39 82% .32
Feb
16		 Norfolk St. D+ F+ F A C- 40% 9% 51% C+ C C+ C+ C+ F+ F F F F D- C+ F F 33% 28% 40% B- F F D- F C F B+ D-
1.12 53% 25% 41% +2 +2 1.09 34% 1.1 .38 20% .28 54% .15 1.18 62% 36% 50% +10 -1 1.20 39% 1.1 .43 19% .44 62% .27
Feb
21		 Coppin St. F F F D- F 48% 7% 45% A- F F A+ D- F A+ C+ A+ C- C C- A- C- 33% 21% 46% D+ C- F D F B+ F D+ F
0.88 50% 0% 32% -8 +2 0.90 21% 1.5 .31 29% .57 77% .44 0.96 54% 38% 28% -6 0 0.90 36% 1.1 .39 26% .73 70% .51
Feb
28		 South Carolina St. F C+ A- D C- 62% 9% 29% B+ C B F F F A- F C B A- A+ A+ A+ 45% 15% 40% F A- F D F A+ F F F
1.04 64% 50% 31% +4 +3 1.16 43% 0.3 .11 23% .47 63% .29 0.86 44% 17% 25% -15 +1 0.75 38% 1.1 .41 29% .63 77% .49
Mar
2		 NC Central F+ B- A C C+ 41% 27% 32% D C A+ D+ A+ F F B- F F B+ F F F 42% 13% 44% F F A- C B C F C- F
1.07 67% 50% 36% +8 -1 1.16 59% 0.9 .53 34% .18 75% .13 1.13 47% 50% 45% +4 +1 1.13 22% 1.0 .22 18% .52 76% .39



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 55.4 55.4 5th
6th 17.9 21.7 39.6 6th
7th 5.0 5.0 7th
8th 8th
Total 23.0 77.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8 77.0% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 3.0 74.0
5-9 23.0% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.7 22.3
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 16.0 96.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 13.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 18.4%
Lose Out 14.1%