Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#330
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#222
Pace66.8#242
Improvement+1.4#81

Offense
Total Offense-7.2#343
First Shot-4.1#288
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#328
Layup/Dunks-1.7#236
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#140
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#200
Freethrows-2.2#288
Improvement+3.6#3

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#298
First Shot-4.4#310
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#161
Layups/Dunks-2.7#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#294
Freethrows+0.7#153
Improvement-2.2#322
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 9.5% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 19.5% 39.4% 16.5%
.500 or above in Conference 54.0% 65.3% 52.3%
Conference Champion 7.1% 11.8% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.7% 4.4% 8.2%
First Four6.1% 8.7% 5.8%
First Round2.5% 3.9% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Away) - 13.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 410 - 910 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 207   @ Saint Joseph's L 67-69 12%     0 - 1 -0.8 -9.1 +8.3
  Nov 10, 2021 140   @ Temple L 49-72 7%     0 - 2 -18.2 -20.4 +1.5
  Nov 19, 2021 235   @ Fordham W 75-73 2OT 17%     1 - 2 +1.0 -4.7 +5.4
  Nov 24, 2021 171   @ Campbell L 55-66 10%     1 - 3 -8.2 -6.4 -3.7
  Nov 27, 2021 134   @ Liberty L 61-73 7%     1 - 4 -6.8 -3.7 -4.0
  Nov 30, 2021 23   @ Connecticut L 63-72 1%     1 - 5 +7.5 +5.9 +0.4
  Dec 04, 2021 316   @ Lehigh W 81-75 31%     2 - 5 -0.2 +6.2 -6.4
  Dec 20, 2021 220   @ Charlotte L 60-72 13%    
  Dec 22, 2021 264   @ George Washington L 62-71 21%    
  Dec 28, 2021 339   @ Columbia L 68-69 46%    
  Dec 30, 2021 218   Longwood L 62-68 29%    
  Jan 08, 2022 252   Norfolk St. L 65-69 37%    
  Jan 10, 2022 274   @ Howard L 70-78 23%    
  Jan 15, 2022 356   @ Delaware St. W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 22, 2022 352   South Carolina St. W 76-68 76%    
  Jan 24, 2022 334   NC Central W 69-65 65%    
  Jan 29, 2022 306   @ Coppin St. L 68-74 29%    
  Jan 31, 2022 314   Morgan St. W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 12, 2022 252   @ Norfolk St. L 62-72 20%    
  Feb 14, 2022 274   Howard L 73-75 42%    
  Feb 19, 2022 352   @ South Carolina St. W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 21, 2022 334   @ NC Central L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 26, 2022 306   Coppin St. L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 28, 2022 314   @ Morgan St. L 68-73 32%    
  Mar 03, 2022 356   Delaware St. W 75-64 83%    
Projected Record 10 - 15 7 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 7.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 4.6 4.0 1.0 0.1 10.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 6.9 4.8 0.8 0.0 14.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 8.2 5.6 0.8 0.0 17.3 4th
5th 0.3 3.5 9.0 5.9 0.6 0.0 19.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 4.1 7.5 4.1 0.5 0.0 16.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.0 4.3 1.9 0.1 10.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.3 0.5 0.0 4.0 8th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.1 4.9 9.3 13.1 15.9 16.6 14.3 10.8 7.0 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
12-2 93.5% 1.3    1.1 0.2 0.0
11-3 71.5% 2.5    1.4 0.9 0.1
10-4 32.1% 2.3    0.6 1.1 0.5 0.1
9-5 5.5% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 3.6 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.4% 31.8% 31.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.3
12-2 1.4% 27.4% 27.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 1.0
11-3 3.5% 25.5% 25.5% 16.0 0.0 0.9 2.6
10-4 7.0% 19.9% 19.9% 16.0 1.4 5.6
9-5 10.8% 11.8% 11.8% 16.0 1.3 9.5
8-6 14.3% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 1.0 13.3
7-7 16.6% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.8 15.8
6-8 15.9% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 15.5
5-9 13.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.0
4-10 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.3
3-11 4.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.9
2-12 2.1% 2.1
1-13 0.6% 0.6
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 6.4 93.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%