Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.7 #333
Expected Predictive Rating -10.4 #323
Pace 62.3 #345
Improvement +2.2 #78

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #353 D D- F F D
Defense #241 C+ D C- C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #261 1.15 #189 -1.8 #248
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #68 0.86 #61 +3.6 #35
Three Pointers 38% #252 0.82 #349 -5.3 #332
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #277 -3.5 #277
Freethrows 12.5 #348 67% #319 8.4 #359
Second Chance 28.9% #233 0.88 #340 0.25 #303
Turnovers 23.0% #365
Total Offense -8.5 #353

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #142 1.13 #143 -0.4 #193
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #308 0.63 #34 +2.6 #18
Three Pointers 44% #102 0.99 #163 -1.0 #221
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #138 +1.2 #137
Freethrows 16.0 #119 73% #210 11.7 #232
Second Chance 32.0% #236 1.16 #307 0.37 #297
Turnovers 16.0% #214
Total Defense -2.2 #241

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.9% #296 1.4% #295
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.0% #249 -3.7% #108
Possession Length 20.2 #362 16.1 #25
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 #360 0.18 #193
Improvement +1.5 #95 +0.6 #144

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.6% 20.0% 12.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.4% 8.7% 1.7%
.500 or above in Conference 87.5% 96.8% 84.4%
Conference Champion 26.3% 49.7% 18.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.3% 1.9%
First Four14.3% 19.3% 12.7%
First Round6.1% 8.4% 5.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Away) - 25.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 10 - 8
Quad 411 - 1112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 114 @Georgia Tech L 52 - 56 OT 6%  -0  0 - 1 +3 -16 F D F +18 A+ D C+
 Wed, Nov 5 22 @Georgia L 29 - 94 1%  -27  0 - 2 -46 -37 F D- F -6 A+ F C
 Tue, Nov 11 19 @Nebraska L 50 - 69 1%  -15  0 - 3 +0 -11 F F F +10 A+ C- F
 Fri, Nov 14 41 @Creighton L 45 - 84 2%  -18  0 - 4 -23 -17 D F F -9 D+ F C
 Tue, Nov 18 271 @Longwood W 83 - 82 2OT 24%  +3  1 - 4 -2 -3 B+ D F +0 A F A-
 Fri, Nov 21 330 @Canisius L 57 - 60 38%  -3  1 - 5 -11 -6 F C F -5 F F C
 Sat, Nov 22 359 Binghamton W 63 - 52 66%  +9  2 - 5 -4 -6 F C+ F +4 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 241 Hampton L 68 - 74 38%  -10  2 - 6 -14 +3 F C+ A+ -17 F D+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 269 @East Carolina L 56 - 68 23%  -5  2 - 7 -15 -5 C- F D+ -12 F C- D
 Sat, Dec 6 251 @American L 60 - 78 21%  -10  2 - 8 -20 -6 A+ F F -16 F D+ D
 Tue, Dec 9 21 @Virginia L 60 - 84 1%  -12  2 - 9 -5 -1 A- C- F -4 C- A+ F
 Fri, Dec 12 304 @N.C. A&T L 79 - 82 30%  +2  2 - 10 -8 +4 F A+ A- -13 D F C
 Sun, Dec 14 67 @Virginia Tech L 53 - 82 3%  -10  2 - 11 -17 -10 F F F -9 F A- D
 Wed, Dec 17 320 @Wagner L 64 - 78 34%  -6  2 - 12 -20 -7 A- F F -14 C F F
 Mon, Dec 22 42 @Texas L 71 - 94 2%  -11  2 - 13 -8 +2 B- B- F -10 F A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 362 Morgan St. W 66 - 49 78%  +6  3 - 13 1 - 0 -2 -13 F F D +12 A- A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 10 289 Howard W 69 - 57 49%  -2  4 - 13 2 - 0 +2 -9 C- F F +10 A C- A+
 Mon, Jan 12 276 @Norfolk St. L 60 - 67 25% 
 Sat, Jan 17 364 Coppin St. W 73 - 60 88% 
 Sat, Jan 24 361 @South Carolina St. W 68 - 66 56% 
 Mon, Jan 26 345 @NC Central L 65 - 67 43% 
 Sat, Jan 31 349 @Delaware St. L 61 - 62 46% 
 Sat, Feb 7 362 @Morgan St. W 69 - 67 57% 
 Sat, Feb 14 289 @Howard L 61 - 67 28% 
 Mon, Feb 16 276 Norfolk St. L 63 - 64 46% 
 Sat, Feb 21 364 @Coppin St. W 70 - 63 73% 
 Sat, Feb 28 361 South Carolina St. W 71 - 63 76% 
 Mon, Mar 2 345 NC Central W 68 - 64 64% 
 Thu, Mar 5 349 Delaware St. W 64 - 59 68% 
Totals 11 - 18 9 - 5 -11 -8 D D- F -2 C+ D C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 2.4 8.2 9.0 5.0 1.4 0.2 26.3 1st
2nd 0.2 3.4 11.2 7.9 1.4 0.1 24.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.7 9.9 6.7 0.7 0.0 20.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 7.8 5.2 0.5 15.1 4th
5th 0.6 4.3 3.2 0.2 8.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 2.0 0.2 4.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 1.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.1 8.0 14.0 18.8 20.7 16.8 10.4 5.1 1.4 0.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-1 100.0% 1.4    1.4
12-2 99.0% 5.0    4.6 0.4
11-3 86.1% 9.0    6.0 2.8 0.2
10-4 48.7% 8.2    2.7 4.0 1.4 0.1
9-5 11.5% 2.4    0.2 0.8 1.1 0.3 0.0
8-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 26.3% 26.3 15.1 8.1 2.7 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 50.0% 50.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
13-1 1.4% 37.1% 37.1% 16.0 0.5 0.9
12-2 5.1% 29.8% 29.8% 16.0 1.5 3.6
11-3 10.4% 27.6% 27.6% 16.0 2.9 7.5
10-4 16.8% 19.3% 19.3% 16.0 3.2 13.5
9-5 20.7% 14.4% 14.4% 16.0 3.0 17.8
8-6 18.8% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 1.6 17.2
7-7 14.0% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 1.1 12.9
6-8 8.0% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.5 7.6
5-9 3.1% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.1 3.0
4-10 1.2% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.1 1.1
3-11 0.2% 0.2
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 14.6% 14.6% 0.0% 16.0 85.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 15.4 4.8 47.6 47.6