Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#252
Expected Predictive Rating+2.1#147
Pace72.2#97
Improvement-0.8#241

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#283
First Shot-1.1#215
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#326
Layup/Dunks+2.6#82
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.5#350
Freethrows+2.8#38
Improvement+0.0#179

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#191
First Shot-0.8#195
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#177
Layups/Dunks+3.3#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#347
Freethrows+0.3#169
Improvement-0.8#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.8% 41.8% 34.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 93.9% 98.8% 93.5%
.500 or above in Conference 94.5% 97.4% 94.3%
Conference Champion 46.3% 56.6% 45.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.2% 0.4%
First Four22.6% 17.4% 23.0%
First Round22.4% 32.4% 21.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wichita St. (Away) - 6.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 12 - 5
Quad 416 - 518 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 327   Tennessee St. W 66-59 71%     1 - 0 -3.4 -20.1 +15.8
  Nov 16, 2021 331   William & Mary W 91-74 82%     2 - 0 +2.5 +7.1 -5.6
  Nov 19, 2021 202   @ Bowling Green W 90-84 28%     3 - 0 +7.5 +9.4 -2.3
  Nov 21, 2021 35   @ Xavier L 48-88 5%     3 - 1 -25.5 -20.9 -1.0
  Nov 28, 2021 333   Hampton W 70-61 76%     4 - 1 -3.1 -6.3 +3.3
  Nov 30, 2021 320   Grambling St. W 70-63 67%     5 - 1 -2.4 -6.9 +4.4
  Dec 01, 2021 287   @ UNC Wilmington W 74-69 47%     6 - 1 +1.1 +0.0 +1.1
  Dec 04, 2021 333   @ Hampton L 57-58 67%     6 - 2 -10.1 -12.9 +2.7
  Dec 11, 2021 54   @ Wichita St. L 58-74 7%    
  Dec 19, 2021 33   @ Loyola Chicago L 56-76 3%    
  Dec 21, 2021 200   @ New Mexico L 75-81 28%    
  Dec 29, 2021 171   @ Campbell L 60-68 24%    
  Jan 08, 2022 330   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-65 63%    
  Jan 10, 2022 356   Delaware St. W 81-63 95%    
  Jan 15, 2022 274   @ Howard L 76-78 44%    
  Jan 22, 2022 306   Coppin St. W 77-71 72%    
  Jan 24, 2022 314   Morgan St. W 76-69 74%    
  Jan 29, 2022 352   @ South Carolina St. W 79-71 77%    
  Jan 31, 2022 334   @ NC Central W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 12, 2022 330   Maryland Eastern Shore W 72-62 80%    
  Feb 14, 2022 356   @ Delaware St. W 78-66 85%    
  Feb 19, 2022 306   @ Coppin St. W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 21, 2022 314   @ Morgan St. W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 26, 2022 352   South Carolina St. W 82-68 90%    
  Feb 28, 2022 334   NC Central W 75-64 83%    
  Mar 03, 2022 274   Howard W 79-75 65%    
Projected Record 17 - 9 10 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.2 6.5 14.0 14.0 8.2 2.4 46.3 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 6.9 10.2 5.0 0.8 24.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 5.2 6.1 1.7 0.1 14.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.7 0.7 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.8 1.9 0.4 4.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.2 2.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 3.4 6.2 10.5 15.0 18.4 19.0 14.8 8.2 2.4 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 2.4    2.4
13-1 100.0% 8.2    8.0 0.2
12-2 94.8% 14.0    12.0 2.0 0.0
11-3 73.6% 14.0    8.4 5.1 0.5
10-4 35.1% 6.5    2.0 3.0 1.3 0.1
9-5 8.0% 1.2    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 46.3% 46.3 32.8 10.7 2.4 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 2.4% 66.6% 66.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.8
13-1 8.2% 56.6% 56.6% 15.6 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.8 3.5
12-2 14.8% 49.4% 49.4% 15.8 0.1 1.2 6.1 7.5
11-3 19.0% 42.5% 42.5% 15.9 0.0 0.4 7.7 11.0
10-4 18.4% 34.6% 34.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.3 12.0
9-5 15.0% 26.0% 26.0% 16.0 0.0 3.9 11.1
8-6 10.5% 16.5% 16.5% 16.0 0.0 1.7 8.7
7-7 6.2% 13.2% 13.2% 16.0 0.8 5.4
6-8 3.4% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.3 3.1
5-9 1.3% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.1 1.3
4-10 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-11 0.2% 0.2
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 34.8% 34.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 4.0 30.3 65.2 0.0%