Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#153
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#125
Pace65.4#280
Improvement-0.4#209

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#153
First Shot+0.6#161
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#175
Layup/Dunks+2.8#89
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#337
Freethrows+2.4#65
Improvement+0.2#161

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#184
First Shot+1.0#139
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#274
Layups/Dunks+4.6#54
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.3#357
Freethrows+0.0#191
Improvement-0.7#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 54.8% 57.5% 50.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 97.0% 98.7% 94.3%
.500 or above in Conference 99.4% 99.6% 99.1%
Conference Champion 73.3% 76.2% 68.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.1% 2.7% 6.2%
First Round53.0% 56.3% 47.8%
Second Round3.2% 3.8% 2.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Home) - 61.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 23 - 6
Quad 417 - 421 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 114   James Madison W 83-69 50%     1 - 0 +14.3 +10.5 +4.0
  Nov 12, 2024 219   @ William & Mary L 73-84 52%     1 - 1 -11.1 -4.8 -6.0
  Nov 16, 2024 264   @ Hampton W 67-58 62%     2 - 1 +6.2 +3.0 +4.5
  Nov 20, 2024 93   @ Stanford L 63-70 21%     2 - 2 +1.7 +0.4 +0.6
  Nov 22, 2024 100   @ Grand Canyon L 73-91 23%     2 - 3 -9.8 +3.6 -13.2
  Nov 25, 2024 204   @ UC Davis W 76-55 47%     3 - 3 +22.1 +7.9 +14.3
  Dec 01, 2024 327   @ Stony Brook W 77-66 74%     4 - 3 +4.7 +7.4 -1.8
  Dec 09, 2024 156   Hofstra W 68-65 61%    
  Dec 11, 2024 13   @ Baylor L 63-81 5%    
  Dec 15, 2024 216   @ Northern Kentucky W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 19, 2024 285   Alabama St. W 75-68 73%    
  Dec 20, 2024 226   Grambling St. W 70-66 63%    
  Dec 29, 2024 141   @ High Point L 71-75 36%    
  Dec 31, 2024 4   @ Tennessee L 57-80 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 358   Maryland Eastern Shore W 79-61 95%    
  Jan 06, 2025 348   @ Delaware St. W 76-66 81%    
  Jan 11, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 78-55 98%    
  Jan 13, 2025 340   @ Morgan St. W 78-69 78%    
  Jan 25, 2025 284   Howard W 77-67 82%    
  Feb 01, 2025 303   South Carolina St. W 76-65 83%    
  Feb 03, 2025 281   NC Central W 76-66 81%    
  Feb 15, 2025 358   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-64 86%    
  Feb 17, 2025 348   Delaware St. W 79-63 92%    
  Feb 22, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 75-58 94%    
  Feb 24, 2025 340   Morgan St. W 81-66 90%    
  Mar 01, 2025 303   @ South Carolina St. W 73-68 66%    
  Mar 03, 2025 281   @ NC Central W 73-69 64%    
  Mar 06, 2025 284   @ Howard W 74-70 63%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 12 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 4.5 14.2 22.6 21.2 10.4 73.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.9 5.4 1.2 17.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 2.9 1.3 0.1 6.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.4 6.8 12.6 19.7 23.8 21.2 10.4 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 10.4    10.4
13-1 100.0% 21.2    20.7 0.5
12-2 94.8% 22.6    19.0 3.5 0.0
11-3 71.9% 14.2    8.1 5.5 0.6
10-4 35.4% 4.5    1.2 2.2 0.9 0.1
9-5 6.7% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 73.3% 73.3 59.4 11.9 1.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 10.4% 74.0% 74.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.7 0.9 0.1 2.7
13-1 21.2% 67.5% 67.5% 14.1 0.0 0.5 3.0 6.0 4.1 0.6 6.9
12-2 23.8% 59.5% 59.5% 14.6 0.1 1.2 4.6 6.3 2.0 9.6
11-3 19.7% 49.5% 49.5% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.6 3.4 10.0
10-4 12.6% 42.0% 42.0% 15.5 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.0 7.3
9-5 6.8% 33.8% 33.8% 15.8 0.1 0.4 1.8 4.5
8-6 3.4% 25.2% 25.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6
7-7 1.4% 20.8% 20.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.1
6-8 0.4% 15.6% 15.6% 16.0 0.1 0.4
5-9 0.1% 12.9% 12.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1
4-10 0.0% 0.0 0.0
3-11 0.0% 0.0
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 54.8% 54.8% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 1.6 7.5 15.2 18.5 11.9 45.2 0.0%