Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#226
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#298
Pace66.0#274
Improvement-1.0#253

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#314
First Shot-4.2#294
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#256
Layup/Dunks-4.4#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#287
Freethrows-3.6#346
Improvement-0.3#209

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#118
First Shot+3.5#72
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#317
Layups/Dunks+1.1#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#121
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#85
Freethrows-1.2#263
Improvement-0.7#237
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46.2% 49.0% 42.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 76.3% 84.6% 64.0%
.500 or above in Conference 97.7% 98.2% 97.0%
Conference Champion 62.2% 65.4% 57.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four32.0% 30.4% 34.2%
First Round31.6% 35.0% 26.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grambling St. (Neutral) - 59.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 415 - 516 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 120 William & Mary L 78-81 35%     0 - 1 -3.1 -1.7 -1.1
  Tue, Nov 11 205 @Old Dominion L 57-60 35%     0 - 2 -3.0 -6.1 +2.6
  Fri, Nov 14 137 @Towson L 41-51 21%     0 - 3 -5.6 -22.3 +14.9
  Fri, Nov 21 227 Hampton W 62-60 62%     1 - 3 -5.0 -4.9 +0.2
  Sun, Nov 23 90 @Wyoming L 67-75 12%     1 - 4 +0.9 +1.0 -0.5
  Sat, Nov 29 3 @Arizona L 61-98 1%     1 - 5 -11.4 -3.8 -4.8
  Sat, Dec 6 193 @James Madison L 67-68 32%     1 - 6 -0.1 -2.4 +2.3
  Wed, Dec 10 32 @Baylor L 67-97 4%     1 - 7 -13.5 -6.4 -4.7
  Thu, Dec 18 282 Grambling St. W 66-63 60%    
  Fri, Dec 19 317 Jackson St. W 69-64 68%    
  Sun, Dec 21 216 @UTEP L 61-65 37%    
  Sun, Dec 28 327 @Louisiana W 64-61 60%    
  Sat, Jan 3 350 @NC Central W 68-63 68%    
  Sat, Jan 10 349 @Delaware St. W 68-63 67%    
  Mon, Jan 12 346 Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-57 84%    
  Sat, Jan 17 361 @South Carolina St. W 73-65 77%    
  Sat, Jan 24 364 Coppin St. W 77-59 95%    
  Mon, Jan 26 358 Morgan St. W 78-65 89%    
  Sat, Jan 31 283 @Howard L 67-68 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 350 NC Central W 71-60 84%    
  Sat, Feb 14 349 Delaware St. W 71-60 84%    
  Mon, Feb 16 346 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 65-60 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 361 South Carolina St. W 76-62 89%    
  Sat, Feb 28 364 @Coppin St. W 74-62 85%    
  Mon, Mar 2 358 @Morgan St. W 75-68 74%    
  Thu, Mar 5 283 Howard W 71-65 69%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 11 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.5 7.2 15.2 18.5 14.0 5.7 62.2 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 6.2 9.2 4.9 1.1 22.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.3 3.5 0.9 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.6 0.2 3.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 1.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 3.3 6.3 11.4 17.3 20.1 19.6 14.0 5.7 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 5.7    5.7
13-1 100.0% 14.0    13.6 0.4
12-2 94.5% 18.5    16.0 2.5 0.0
11-3 75.5% 15.2    9.5 5.3 0.4
10-4 41.6% 7.2    2.6 3.5 1.1 0.1
9-5 13.1% 1.5    0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
8-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 62.2% 62.2 47.6 12.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 5.7% 67.8% 67.8% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.3 1.8
13-1 14.0% 64.1% 64.1% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.9 6.7 5.0
12-2 19.6% 57.1% 57.1% 15.9 0.0 0.8 10.4 8.4
11-3 20.1% 48.6% 48.6% 16.0 0.2 9.6 10.3
10-4 17.3% 37.8% 37.8% 16.0 0.0 6.5 10.7
9-5 11.4% 29.3% 29.3% 16.0 0.0 3.3 8.1
8-6 6.3% 24.8% 24.8% 16.0 1.6 4.7
7-7 3.3% 18.8% 18.8% 16.0 0.6 2.7
6-8 1.5% 17.4% 17.4% 16.0 0.3 1.3
5-9 0.5% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5
4-10 0.2% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-11 0.0% 0.0 0.0
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 46.2% 46.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.4 1.2 4.3 40.2 53.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 13.5 8.4 37.5 46.6 7.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%