American
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.2 250
Results Rating -6.8 271
Consistency 0.16 190
Pace 67.0 221
Improvement -2.1 256

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 252 C D- C D+ B-
Defense C- 244 D C- B- D- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 229 C- 56% 225 -1.7 243
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 315 C- 37% 226 -2.8 309
Three Pointers 49% 30 C 34% 197 +3.9 60
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 88 C- -1.2 221
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 188
Second Chance D 25.7% 307 D- 0.91 335 D- 0.23 336
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 196
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 148
Turnovers C 16.5% 169
Freethrows D 0.26 316 B- 75% 93 D+ 0.20 272
Total Offense C- -3.0 252

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 37% 336 D+ 13.0% 301
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 11% 351 D+ 6.3% 274
Three Pointers C 85% 176 D 1.5% 323
Total C- 52% 253 D+ 6.4% 278


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 66 D 62% 302 +4.5 328
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 162 D- 43% 328 +1.1 278
Three Pointers 36% 322 C- 35% 251 -1.8 109
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 222 D +3.4 316
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 310
Second Chance C- 31.2% 225 C 1.03 179 C- 0.32 220
Turnovers from Steals C+ 9.9% 151
Other Turnovers B 8.4% 47
Turnovers B- 18.3% 77
Freethrows D- 0.37 337 C+ 72% 138 D- 0.26 326
Total Defense C- -2.2 244

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 282 F 3.2% 365
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 15% 13 D 2.1% 323
Three Pointers C- 86% 248 D 0.3% 309
Total C 55% 164 F 1.9% 365

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 276 16.8 84
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 156 0.17 192
Consistency 0.12 142 0.12 182
Improvement -0.5 213 -1.5 268

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 250 250 250
Results Rating Rank 271 271 270
Conference Record 9 - 9 9 - 9 9 - 9
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 22 - 7
Quad 412 - 914 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 64 @Wake Forest L 74 - 88 6% -9  2% 0 - 1 C- -2 D+ -2 C+ B- F C+ +2 A- F C
 Sun, Nov 9 148 Penn W 84 - 78 40% +3  76% 1 - 1 C+ +4 C +1 B D C C+ +2 C B+ A+
 Wed, Nov 12 84 @George Washington L 67 - 107 9% -20  0% 1 - 2 F -30 F -11 C F F+ F -16 F F C-
 Tue, Nov 18 101 @Rutgers L 71 - 80 11% -1  44% 1 - 3 C -1 C- -1 D- D A+ C -0 B- F B-
 Fri, Nov 28 344 Maine W 74 - 61 85% +12  98% 2 - 3 C- -3 C- -1 B- F A+ C- -2 F C A+
 Sat, Nov 29 194 Siena L 55 - 59 49% -1  24% 2 - 4 D -9 F -22 F D- F A+ +13 B+ A A+
 Sun, Nov 30 263 Longwood W 92 - 66 63% +8  73% 3 - 4 A- +17 A- +11 B- B B- B+ +6 A+ A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 214 Drexel W 75 - 73 53% -1  42% 4 - 4 C- -4 C+ +3 B+ F A+ D- -7 F A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 352 Maryland Eastern Shore W 78 - 60 87% +10  71% 5 - 4 C +0 B +6 B+ F+ B D+ -4 F A+ A+
 Thu, Dec 18 49 @Virginia Commonwealth L 83 - 105 5% -12  2% 5 - 5 D+ -8 A +13 B+ D+ A F -20 F+ F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 17 @Virginia L 51 - 95 2% -22  0% 5 - 6 F -23 F+ -8 D C B- F -19 F F C-
 Wed, Dec 31 318 Loyola Maryland W 84 - 69 77% +10  86% 6 - 6 1 - 0 C+ +2 B- +4 A F+ C+ C- -2 F B A+
 Sat, Jan 3 260 @Boston University W 64 - 62 40% +5  77% 7 - 6 2 - 0 C -1 D -5 C+ F D+ B +5 A+ F+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 256 @Colgate L 62 - 64 39% +5  84% 7 - 7 2 - 1 C- -4 D -5 A- F F C +0 B- D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 328 Holy Cross L 73 - 84 80% -3  44% 7 - 8 2 - 2 F -25 F -10 F D+ C- F -14 F D D
 Mon, Jan 12 156 Navy W 65 - 51 40% +11  98% 8 - 8 3 - 2 B +11 C- -2 C- F A+ A+ +15 A+ A A
 Sun, Jan 18 340 @Army W 78 - 67 66% +7  93% 9 - 8 4 - 2 C +1 B +6 C+ A+ F D+ -4 D- C D
 Wed, Jan 21 256 Colgate W 70 - 66 62% +1  53% 10 - 8 5 - 2 C- -4 D- -8 D+ A+ F B +4 B- B A-
 Sat, Jan 24 328 @Holy Cross W 76 - 67 60% +8  96% 11 - 8 6 - 2 C +1 C+ +3 C D- B C -1 F B A
 Wed, Jan 28 318 @Loyola Maryland L 68 - 77 57% -8  8% 11 - 9 6 - 3 F+ -16 F -16 D- F D C+ +1 A- F C-
 Sat, Jan 31 325 Lafayette L 65 - 67 79% +1  62% 11 - 10 6 - 4 F+ -16 F+ -10 F+ C- D- D -6 F B+ C+
 Wed, Feb 4 330 Bucknell L 59 - 60 80% +2  63% 11 - 11 6 - 5 F+ -15 F -11 F D- D+ D+ -5 D+ F+ A-
 Sat, Feb 7 156 @Navy L 73 - 82 21% -3  14% 11 - 12 6 - 6 D+ -6 B +7 B+ D+ C- F -14 F C- F
 Wed, Feb 11 283 @Lehigh L 82 - 90 46% -11  5% 11 - 13 6 - 7 D- -12 C +1 D+ C B+ F -12 F C- B
 Sat, Feb 14 340 Army W 75 - 63 83% +6  73% 12 - 13 7 - 7 C- -4 D+ -3 A F D C+ +1 C F+ A
 Wed, Feb 18 330 @Bucknell W 75 - 57 62% +6  80% 13 - 13 8 - 7 B +10 C+ +4 D- D- A+ A- +8 C- C- B+
 Sun, Feb 22 325 @Lafayette W 75 - 61 59% +5  82% 14 - 13 9 - 7 B- +6 A- +11 B+ C+ B C- -2 D+ C+ F
 Wed, Feb 25 283 Lehigh L 73 - 78 69% -3  34% 14 - 14 9 - 8 F+ -15 D+ -3 D- C+ A+ F -13 F C+ D-
 Sat, Feb 28 260 Boston University L 65 - 68 63% -10  1% 14 - 15 9 - 9 D- -12 F -13 F F B- C+ +1 F A+ A
 Thu, Mar 5 260 @Boston University L 73 - 75 40% -2  18% 14 - 16 C- -5 B- +4 C+ B- D+ F+ -9 F F B+
Totals 14 - 16 9 - 9 -5 C- -3 C+ C- B- C- -2 C B- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- C- C C- 37% 25% 49% B- C D D- D- C D B- D+ C- D D- C- D 43% 21% 36% C- D C- C C- B- D- C+ D-
1.04 56% 37% 34% -1 +1 1.01 26% 0.9 .23 16% .26 75% .20 1.12 62% 43% 35% +3 0 1.10 31% 1.0 .32 18% .37 72% .19
Nov
3		 Wake Forest D+ A D F C- 38% 6% 56% A- C+ D+ A+ B- F C+ A+ A- C+ F A+ A+ A 53% 12% 35% F A- C- F F C D- C- D-
0.98 68% 33% 25% -4 +2 0.98 26% 1.3 .34 24% .31 89% .28 1.17 70% 14% 20% -4 +2 0.98 33% 1.4 .47 15% .37 79% .29
Nov
9		 Penn C D+ A+ C- B- 41% 9% 50% B+ B D+ D- D C A+ C+ A C+ D A+ F C- 31% 27% 42% B- C A C- B+ A+ F F F
1.09 57% 100% 32% +4 +2 1.13 27% 0.8 .22 17% .36 65% .23 1.01 60% 15% 45% +1 -1 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 23% .54 78% .42
Nov
12		 George Washington F A+ C+ F C 34% 19% 47% C C F D+ F F+ F F F F C+ F F F 46% 6% 48% D+ F F F F C- F F+ F
0.88 75% 36% 26% 0 0 1.02 13% 1.0 .13 21% .13 50% .07 1.41 58% 67% 52% +15 +2 1.37 45% 1.4 .62 17% .53 79% .41
Nov
18		 Rutgers C- F F B F 39% 15% 46% B D- D- C- D A+ D+ B+ C- C D+ A+ C+ B 44% 29% 27% D- B- B- F F B- F F+ F
1.01 39% 22% 37% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.9 .23 11% .22 79% .18 1.14 60% 23% 33% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.8 .53 16% .50 80% .40
Nov
28		 Maine C- C+ C- A- B- 33% 17% 50% C B- F F F A+ A+ D+ A- C- F F C+ F 41% 26% 33% B- F F+ A+ C A+ F A+ F
1.11 63% 38% 38% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.8 .16 12% .41 67% .27 0.92 69% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 24% 0.7 .17 27% .60 52% .31
Nov
29		 Siena F C- F F F 39% 32% 29% D F F+ D D- F A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ B 37% 39% 24% A- B+ F+ A+ A A+ F A+ F
0.79 56% 23% 17% -13 -1 0.73 24% 0.9 .21 27% .41 76% .31 0.85 43% 53% 22% -4 -3 0.89 35% 0.5 .18 29% .70 60% .42
Nov
30		 Longwood A- B+ D A- B 33% 12% 55% C B- D+ A+ B B- A+ A+ A+ B+ C A+ A+ A+ 45% 19% 36% D- A+ B A+ A+ F F D+ F
1.28 71% 33% 39% +8 +1 1.20 25% 1.3 .32 17% .50 90% .45 0.92 57% 11% 12% -18 +1 0.68 30% 0.5 .15 14% .68 76% .52
Dec
3		 Drexel C+ D- A+ A B+ 37% 16% 47% B B+ D F F A+ A+ F A D- F A- F F 54% 19% 27% F+ F B- A+ A+ D- C A B-
1.12 50% 50% 39% +3 0 1.08 26% 0.4 .10 9% .44 67% .30 1.09 68% 30% 43% +7 +1 1.19 26% 0.3 .09 16% .27 60% .16
Dec
6		 Maryland Eastern Shore B F A+ A+ B 47% 4% 49% A B+ C+ F F+ B F C+ F D+ F D F F 45% 35% 20% B F A+ D A+ A+ A+ B+ A
1.25 44% 50% 50% +6 +3 1.19 35% 0.8 .26 14% .15 75% .11 0.96 83% 43% 50% +18 -1 1.35 11% 1.0 .11 30% .14 67% .09
Dec
18		 Virginia Commonwealth A D F A+ B+ 37% 11% 52% B- B+ C- F+ D+ A A A+ A+ F F C- D F 43% 13% 44% C F+ F F F C- A F C
1.18 50% 17% 43% +2 +1 1.07 28% 0.8 .23 13% .36 86% .31 1.49 74% 43% 38% +10 +1 1.24 50% 1.5 .77 14% .30 94% .28
Dec
22		 Virginia F+ B+ F F D- 19% 23% 58% C- D C- C+ C B- F A F F F F D F 52% 4% 44% F F F F F C- D+ A+ B+
0.80 60% 25% 23% -12 -2 0.75 24% 0.9 .22 16% .11 83% .09 1.49 72% 100% 38% +13 +3 1.33 52% 1.5 .78 14% .33 56% .18
Dec
31		 Loyola Maryland B- B A+ A+ A 51% 18% 31% B A F A F+ C+ F F F C- A+ F F F 38% 10% 52% D+ F F A+ B A+ F F F
1.25 68% 60% 41% +12 +1 1.29 19% 1.4 .27 13% .15 67% .10 1.03 44% 75% 41% +4 +1 1.12 38% 0.5 .21 28% .44 86% .37
Jan
3		 Boston University D F A+ A C+ 39% 20% 41% C C+ F F F D+ D A+ C- B C A+ B- A+ 27% 18% 55% B A+ D+ F F+ F F+ C+ D
1.09 44% 67% 42% +5 0 1.13 14% 0.8 .11 14% .24 83% .20 1.05 58% 0% 33% -7 0 0.86 29% 1.3 .37 14% .33 71% .24
Jan
7		 Colgate D D- D+ A+ B+ 57% 6% 36% A+ A- F F F F F F F C C A D+ B 50% 24% 26% D- B- F A D+ C+ F A+ F
1.04 52% 33% 53% +6 +3 1.21 21% 0.5 .10 19% .12 50% .06 1.08 57% 30% 36% -1 0 1.00 38% 0.8 .29 17% .47 61% .28
Jan
10		 Holy Cross F A A F F 37% 20% 43% C- F C- D D+ C- A+ A+ A+ F F F A+ F 32% 34% 34% B F C F D D F B F
1.03 74% 50% 9% -8 0 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 14% .43 88% .38 1.18 73% 69% 25% +11 -2 1.19 20% 1.2 .24 14% .54 73% .39
Jan
12		 Navy C- B+ A+ F D- 35% 6% 59% A+ C- B F F A+ F B- F A+ A- B A+ A+ 38% 23% 40% C- A+ A- A+ A A F B- F
1.04 68% 67% 22% -6 +2 0.94 37% 0.5 .17 11% .16 78% .13 0.82 47% 33% 19% -14 0 0.73 25% 0.8 .19 22% .50 71% .35
Jan
18		 Army B C B B+ C+ 30% 16% 53% C- C+ B+ A+ A+ F A- B- A- D+ D+ F B D- 51% 8% 41% F D- F A C D A F B-
1.24 62% 43% 39% +6 0 1.14 37% 1.7 .63 22% .43 76% .33 1.06 60% 50% 30% 0 +3 1.06 35% 0.8 .26 16% .17 89% .15
Jan
21		 Colgate D- C F C+ D 45% 16% 39% B- D+ A- A+ A+ F D+ A+ B- B D- C B C 30% 36% 34% A+ B- C+ A B A- F A F
1.04 60% 14% 35% -2 +1 1.00 38% 1.3 .48 28% .29 86% .25 0.98 64% 41% 31% +2 -3 1.00 25% 0.8 .19 19% .42 65% .28
Jan
24		 Holy Cross C+ B- C+ D- C- 49% 13% 38% B+ C D+ F D- B D- A+ D+ C B C- F F 35% 26% 39% D+ F D+ A+ B A C F D+
1.18 65% 43% 30% +2 +2 1.09 26% 1.0 .26 11% .21 83% .17 1.04 50% 42% 50% +8 -1 1.15 23% 0.6 .13 22% .28 86% .24
Jan
28		 Loyola Maryland F F F A F+ 43% 13% 45% B+ D- F F F D D- C D C+ A+ F A A- 39% 22% 39% B+ A- C+ F F C- F F F
0.92 46% 29% 40% -2 +1 1.00 6% 0.0 .00 16% .26 75% .19 1.04 42% 45% 26% -9 0 0.84 26% 1.4 .37 16% .47 83% .39
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Lafayette F+ A+ F F F+ 33% 23% 44% C- F+ B- F C- D- C C- C D D+ F D+ F 38% 13% 49% C- F F A+ B+ C+ F A+ C-
1.02 75% 27% 24% -4 -1 0.94 35% 0.9 .32 17% .29 73% .21 1.05 61% 50% 35% +3 +1 1.11 35% 0.4 .15 17% .36 58% .21
Feb
4		 Bucknell F F C D F 23% 11% 66% B- F B F D- D+ F F F D+ A- F C- D+ 38% 18% 45% C D+ B F F+ A- F F F
1.00 45% 40% 32% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.7 .27 19% .23 64% .15 1.01 47% 43% 33% -4 0 0.95 22% 1.7 .37 24% .38 88% .33
Feb
7		 Navy B A B+ C+ B+ 21% 17% 62% C+ B+ B- F D+ C- D F F+ F D+ F F F 45% 25% 30% D+ F C+ D+ C- F F B F
1.13 73% 44% 34% +5 -1 1.10 34% 0.8 .26 19% .21 64% .13 1.27 60% 55% 46% +10 0 1.23 30% 1.1 .33 14% .52 69% .36
Feb
11		 Lehigh C D F B- D 42% 10% 47% B+ D+ D- A+ C B+ C+ B- B- F D F F F 34% 23% 43% C F B F C- B F B F
1.11 52% 17% 36% -4 +2 0.98 28% 1.3 .36 12% .32 76% .25 1.21 63% 64% 55% +21 -1 1.43 18% 1.3 .23 20% .44 69% .30
Feb
14		 Army D+ A A+ B- A 39% 20% 41% C A F F F D B- B- B- C+ A+ A+ F C+ 41% 9% 50% D C D- F+ F+ A F B F
1.14 72% 67% 37% +13 0 1.28 20% 0.4 .08 17% .38 76% .29 0.96 42% 0% 39% -6 +2 0.93 33% 1.1 .36 23% .35 67% .24
Feb
18		 Bucknell C+ D- F B F 38% 16% 47% B D- F B- D- A+ A+ A- A+ A- C F A+ D+ 37% 26% 37% B+ C- D B- C- B+ C- B C
1.16 53% 14% 38% -3 +1 0.98 24% 1.1 .26 11% .54 81% .43 0.88 56% 73% 13% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.0 .30 23% .28 71% .20
Feb
22		 Lafayette A- C- F A+ B+ 35% 21% 44% C B+ D A+ C+ B F+ C- F+ C- D F A+ C- 60% 13% 27% F D+ A F C+ F D+ C C-
1.27 59% 20% 52% +9 0 1.19 26% 1.4 .37 12% .21 73% .15 1.04 63% 50% 17% -2 +3 1.02 17% 1.2 .21 12% .31 69% .21
Feb
25		 Lehigh D+ F A+ F F 42% 4% 55% A D- D+ A C+ A+ B+ F C F F C- D F 43% 22% 35% D F B- C- C+ D- F C+ F
1.10 45% 100% 28% -8 +2 0.91 31% 1.3 .38 8% .36 64% .23 1.18 70% 40% 38% +7 0 1.17 19% 1.0 .19 15% .50 71% .35
Feb
28		 Boston University F F B+ D F 40% 4% 56% A F D- F F B- B- B+ B+ C+ F F D F 39% 14% 48% D+ F A+ A+ A+ A D+ F D-
1.01 40% 50% 32% -8 +2 0.90 26% 0.6 .15 11% .31 78% .24 1.06 76% 50% 38% +12 +1 1.27 13% 0.3 .04 23% .30 80% .24
Mar
5		 Boston University B- A+ A+ F B- 35% 25% 40% D C+ A D- B- D+ F F+ F F+ C F F F 47% 15% 38% D- F D+ F F B+ A+ A+ A+
1.21 71% 67% 26% +7 -1 1.15 42% 0.9 .39 13% .17 67% .12 1.25 59% 71% 50% +15 +1 1.34 29% 2.0 .57 22% .04 50% .02



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%