South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-17.5#354
Expected Predictive Rating-20.8#356
Pace78.4#23
Improvement+0.2#151

Offense
Total Offense-9.1#351
First Shot-8.3#348
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#231
Layup/Dunks-5.5#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#72
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#298
Freethrows-0.8#238
Improvement+1.1#72

Defense
Total Defense-8.4#353
First Shot-7.2#346
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#255
Layups/Dunks-5.4#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#117
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#169
Freethrows-3.3#331
Improvement-0.9#274
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.6% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 14.4% 25.2% 13.9%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.2% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 36.0% 28.5% 36.4%
First Four0.7% 1.6% 0.7%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Away) - 4.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 7
Quad 45 - 165 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 178   @ East Carolina L 62-70 4%     0 - 1 -5.6 -17.5 +12.8
  Nov 11, 2021 202   @ College of Charleston L 74-106 5%     0 - 2 -30.9 -15.3 -8.3
  Nov 12, 2021 286   Loyola Maryland L 65-75 16%     0 - 3 -16.8 -13.4 -2.9
  Nov 13, 2021 220   Lipscomb L 81-93 9%     0 - 4 -14.5 +1.0 -15.0
  Nov 16, 2021 159   @ Georgia L 60-76 4%     0 - 5 -12.5 -11.8 -0.6
  Nov 23, 2021 334   South Carolina Upstate L 78-82 39%     0 - 6 -18.6 -7.2 -11.2
  Nov 28, 2021 240   The Citadel L 79-91 OT 16%     0 - 7 -18.9 -12.7 -4.2
  Dec 03, 2021 224   @ South Florida L 54-72 5%    
  Dec 10, 2021 285   High Point L 65-76 16%    
  Dec 14, 2021 4   @ Duke L 59-98 0.1%   
  Dec 18, 2021 319   Tennessee St. L 75-81 30%    
  Dec 20, 2021 240   @ The Citadel L 70-87 7%    
  Dec 21, 2021 348   Charleston Southern L 80-83 40%    
  Dec 29, 2021 99   @ South Carolina L 65-91 1%    
  Jan 08, 2022 303   Coppin St. L 74-81 28%    
  Jan 10, 2022 315   Morgan St. L 75-81 30%    
  Jan 15, 2022 337   NC Central L 73-75 42%    
  Jan 22, 2022 351   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 24, 2022 356   @ Delaware St. L 80-81 44%    
  Jan 29, 2022 251   Norfolk St. L 70-80 20%    
  Jan 31, 2022 312   Howard L 78-84 29%    
  Feb 12, 2022 303   @ Coppin St. L 71-84 14%    
  Feb 14, 2022 315   @ Morgan St. L 72-84 15%    
  Feb 19, 2022 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 21, 2022 356   Delaware St. W 83-78 66%    
  Feb 26, 2022 251   @ Norfolk St. L 67-83 9%    
  Feb 28, 2022 312   @ Howard L 75-87 15%    
  Mar 03, 2022 337   @ NC Central L 70-78 24%    
Projected Record 5 - 23 4 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 1.9 0.9 0.1 3.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 3.6 1.5 0.1 7.3 4th
5th 0.6 4.2 6.4 2.7 0.2 14.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.6 7.6 8.8 3.3 0.2 21.5 6th
7th 0.4 4.1 10.6 9.1 2.5 0.2 26.8 7th
8th 2.0 6.5 9.0 5.1 1.4 0.1 24.1 8th
Total 2.0 6.9 13.2 17.3 18.7 15.7 11.9 7.3 4.1 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 88.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
11-3 85.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
10-4 27.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-5 6.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0
12-2 0.1% 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.2% 35.0% 35.0% 16.0 0.1 0.1
10-4 0.8% 15.2% 15.2% 16.0 0.1 0.7
9-5 2.0% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.1 1.9
8-6 4.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 4.0
7-7 7.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.1
6-8 11.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.8
5-9 15.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 15.6
4-10 18.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 18.6
3-11 17.3% 17.3
2-12 13.2% 13.2
1-13 6.9% 6.9
0-14 2.0% 2.0
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.7 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%