N.C. A&T
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#349
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#291
Pace72.4#82
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#346
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#339
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 18.0 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 4.0% 6.3% 1.5%
.500 or above in Conference 5.4% 7.3% 3.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 53.6% 47.7% 60.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Home) - 52.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 31 - 81 - 12
Quad 46 - 107 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2025 79   @ South Carolina L 72-91 3%     0 - 1 -9.2 -1.1 -6.7
  Nov 10, 2025 326   South Carolina St. W 74-73 52%    
  Nov 18, 2025 355   @ Morgan St. L 74-76 44%    
  Nov 28, 2025 140   @ Davidson L 63-79 8%    
  Dec 03, 2025 172   @ Charlotte L 65-79 11%    
  Dec 06, 2025 335   @ NC Central L 70-75 35%    
  Dec 09, 2025 325   Howard L 75-77 42%    
  Dec 12, 2025 358   Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-66 66%    
  Dec 16, 2025 245   @ UNC Greensboro L 68-78 19%    
  Dec 29, 2025 121   UNC Wilmington L 66-77 16%    
  Dec 31, 2025 238   Northeastern L 70-75 35%    
  Jan 03, 2026 295   @ Stony Brook L 66-74 26%    
  Jan 08, 2026 232   Elon L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 15, 2026 225   @ William & Mary L 73-84 17%    
  Jan 19, 2026 228   @ Hampton L 69-80 18%    
  Jan 22, 2026 161   Hofstra L 63-71 24%    
  Jan 24, 2026 125   Towson L 63-74 19%    
  Jan 29, 2026 200   @ Monmouth L 67-79 15%    
  Jan 31, 2026 219   @ Drexel L 61-72 18%    
  Feb 05, 2026 124   @ College of Charleston L 67-84 8%    
  Feb 07, 2026 229   Campbell L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 13, 2026 228   Hampton L 70-78 25%    
  Feb 19, 2026 124   College of Charleston L 70-81 19%    
  Feb 21, 2026 232   @ Elon L 65-76 19%    
  Feb 26, 2026 121   @ UNC Wilmington L 63-80 8%    
  Feb 28, 2026 225   William & Mary L 76-81 34%    
  Mar 03, 2026 229   @ Campbell L 65-76 18%    
Projected Record 7 - 20 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.3 0.2 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.3 0.5 0.0 5.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.4 1.2 0.1 8.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 3.8 5.5 2.2 0.2 12.9 11th
12th 0.6 3.3 7.0 6.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 21.2 12th
13th 6.1 11.8 12.2 8.0 2.9 0.3 0.0 41.3 13th
Total 6.1 12.3 15.6 16.2 14.3 11.8 8.5 6.0 3.9 2.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 52.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 10.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 19.0% 19.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 8.8% 8.8% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.3% 9.3% 9.3% 16.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-7 0.8% 3.3% 3.3% 19.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
10-8 1.5% 2.0% 2.0% 22.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
9-9 2.5% 0.8% 0.8% 18.3 0.0 0.0 2.5
8-10 3.9% 0.4% 0.4% 22.4 0.0 3.9
7-11 6.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.9
6-12 8.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.5
5-13 11.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.8
4-14 14.3% 14.3
3-15 16.2% 16.2
2-16 15.6% 15.6
1-17 12.3% 12.3
0-18 6.1% 6.1
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%