N.C. A&T
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#311
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#306
Pace80.0#11
Improvement-2.0#307

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#254
First Shot+0.1#171
After Offensive Rebound-3.2#330
Layup/Dunks-0.4#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#92
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#187
Freethrows-0.6#223
Improvement-0.8#241

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#324
First Shot-6.3#351
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#89
Layups/Dunks-6.8#352
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#167
Freethrows+0.1#188
Improvement-1.2#280
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.5% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.6
.500 or above 3.6% 7.5% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 13.6% 18.4% 11.4%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 27.6% 21.8% 30.3%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Greensboro (Home) - 31.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 82 - 14
Quad 48 - 810 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 89   @ Wake Forest L 64-80 6%     0 - 1 -7.0 -10.0 +5.2
  Nov 12, 2024 151   @ George Washington L 80-85 14%     0 - 2 -1.4 +3.0 -4.1
  Nov 17, 2024 325   @ The Citadel W 82-73 42%     1 - 2 +2.9 +7.5 -4.7
  Nov 20, 2024 340   Morgan St. W 86-83 72%     2 - 2 -11.2 -4.1 -7.5
  Nov 25, 2024 331   @ Buffalo L 81-82 45%     2 - 3 -7.8 -5.5 -2.1
  Nov 29, 2024 159   @ East Carolina L 69-93 15%     2 - 4 -20.8 -0.2 -21.0
  Dec 03, 2024 264   @ Hampton L 71-82 31%     2 - 5 0 - 1 -13.8 -5.1 -8.4
  Dec 07, 2024 160   UNC Greensboro L 71-76 32%    
  Dec 12, 2024 129   @ Virginia Tech L 70-83 12%    
  Dec 14, 2024 70   @ Liberty L 63-82 4%    
  Dec 17, 2024 272   Coastal Carolina W 72-71 54%    
  Dec 21, 2024 33   @ Arkansas L 69-93 1%    
  Dec 28, 2024 281   NC Central W 79-78 55%    
  Jan 02, 2025 173   Elon L 75-79 35%    
  Jan 04, 2025 167   Drexel L 73-77 34%    
  Jan 09, 2025 213   Delaware L 82-85 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 219   @ William & Mary L 82-90 23%    
  Jan 16, 2025 287   Monmouth W 79-78 55%    
  Jan 20, 2025 264   Hampton W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 23, 2025 147   @ Towson L 64-76 14%    
  Jan 25, 2025 327   @ Stony Brook L 77-79 44%    
  Jan 30, 2025 140   UNC Wilmington L 74-80 29%    
  Feb 06, 2025 127   @ College of Charleston L 76-89 13%    
  Feb 08, 2025 278   @ Campbell L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 13, 2025 173   @ Elon L 72-82 18%    
  Feb 15, 2025 127   College of Charleston L 79-86 27%    
  Feb 20, 2025 278   Campbell W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 327   Stony Brook W 80-76 65%    
  Feb 27, 2025 152   @ Northeastern L 70-82 15%    
  Mar 01, 2025 156   @ Hofstra L 68-79 16%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 2.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 1.4 0.1 3.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.3 0.6 0.0 4.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.7 1.5 0.1 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.8 3.1 0.4 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.0 1.2 0.0 10.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.6 6.1 2.3 0.1 12.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.5 7.0 3.6 0.4 0.0 14.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 4.0 7.0 4.1 0.8 0.0 16.7 13th
14th 0.6 2.5 5.3 5.7 2.9 0.6 0.0 17.6 14th
Total 0.6 2.5 6.1 10.2 13.9 15.9 15.0 12.6 9.6 6.5 3.8 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 67.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 27.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 8.2% 8.2% 14.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.3% 9.9% 9.9% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 0.9% 7.0% 7.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
11-7 1.9% 3.4% 3.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
10-8 3.8% 1.8% 1.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 3.8
9-9 6.5% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.4
8-10 9.6% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.5
7-11 12.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.5
6-12 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
5-13 15.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.9
4-14 13.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.9
3-15 10.2% 10.2
2-16 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.1
1-17 2.5% 2.5
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%