N.C. A&T
Big South
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#278
Expected Predictive Rating-11.5#318
Pace74.4#63
Improvement-0.5#234

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#316
First Shot-5.9#330
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#148
Layup/Dunks-3.6#304
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#171
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#177
Freethrows-2.2#299
Improvement+1.4#51

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#202
First Shot-2.4#254
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#91
Layups/Dunks+0.9#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#77
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#278
Freethrows-2.4#301
Improvement-2.0#327
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 6.6% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 11.1% 23.5% 7.9%
.500 or above in Conference 52.5% 61.5% 50.1%
Conference Champion 3.4% 5.6% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 2.8% 5.5%
First Four3.1% 4.2% 2.8%
First Round2.9% 4.8% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 20.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 11
Quad 49 - 710 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 171   @ UNC Greensboro L 53-57 20%     0 - 1 -1.4 -14.0 +12.4
  Nov 13, 2021 261   @ Jacksonville L 54-63 35%     0 - 2 -11.4 -16.7 +5.1
  Nov 15, 2021 207   @ South Florida L 54-56 24%     0 - 3 -1.1 -10.4 +9.2
  Nov 20, 2021 85   @ Wake Forest L 63-87 8%     0 - 4 -14.8 -6.0 -8.5
  Nov 23, 2021 97   @ Stanford L 65-79 9%     0 - 5 -5.8 -6.2 +1.2
  Nov 26, 2021 239   Samford L 75-77 41%     0 - 6 -5.9 -3.4 -2.5
  Nov 27, 2021 333   St. Francis Brooklyn W 73-67 68%     1 - 6 -5.1 -6.5 +1.4
  Dec 07, 2021 177   @ East Carolina L 67-76 21%    
  Dec 11, 2021 66   @ Central Florida L 61-78 6%    
  Dec 14, 2021 124   @ East Tennessee St. L 62-74 13%    
  Dec 18, 2021 314   Howard W 78-76 57%    
  Jan 05, 2022 281   Presbyterian W 67-64 62%    
  Jan 08, 2022 270   @ Radford L 63-66 38%    
  Jan 12, 2022 335   Hampton W 78-70 76%    
  Jan 15, 2022 285   @ High Point L 65-68 41%    
  Jan 19, 2022 268   @ UNC Asheville L 69-72 38%    
  Jan 22, 2022 181   Campbell L 62-64 42%    
  Jan 26, 2022 209   @ Longwood L 63-70 25%    
  Jan 29, 2022 337   South Carolina Upstate W 76-68 76%    
  Feb 02, 2022 161   @ Winthrop L 73-83 19%    
  Feb 05, 2022 204   @ Gardner-Webb L 66-73 26%    
  Feb 09, 2022 340   Charleston Southern W 82-73 78%    
  Feb 12, 2022 209   Longwood L 66-67 45%    
  Feb 16, 2022 335   @ Hampton W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 19, 2022 181   @ Campbell L 59-67 23%    
  Feb 23, 2022 285   High Point W 68-65 62%    
  Feb 26, 2022 270   Radford W 66-63 59%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 2.4 2.1 0.7 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.5 3.3 0.6 0.1 8.3 3rd
4th 0.8 3.9 4.4 1.1 0.1 10.2 4th
5th 0.4 3.5 5.7 1.6 0.1 11.2 5th
6th 0.3 3.1 6.4 2.5 0.1 12.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 6.4 3.7 0.4 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 5.2 4.4 0.6 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.0 4.3 0.9 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.5 1.0 0.0 7.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.1 1.0 0.1 5.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 2.5 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.9 5.8 9.7 12.6 15.1 15.0 13.3 10.5 7.2 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 96.6% 0.6    0.4 0.1 0.0
13-3 62.4% 1.2    0.7 0.4 0.1
12-4 28.4% 1.1    0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1
11-5 5.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.6% 25.4% 25.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
13-3 1.9% 17.2% 17.2% 15.8 0.1 0.2 1.5
12-4 3.9% 15.2% 15.2% 15.9 0.1 0.5 3.3
11-5 7.2% 11.3% 11.3% 15.9 0.1 0.7 6.4
10-6 10.5% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8 9.7
9-7 13.3% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.7 12.6
8-8 15.0% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.5 14.5
7-9 15.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 14.9
6-10 12.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.5
5-11 9.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 9.7
4-12 5.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.8
3-13 2.9% 2.9
2-14 1.1% 1.1
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.8 95.8 0.0%