Creighton
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.2#37
Expected Predictive Rating+9.4#62
Pace67.8#230
Improvement+3.4#24

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#45
First Shot+6.7#31
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#167
Layup/Dunks+0.9#147
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#261
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.6#6
Freethrows-1.2#262
Improvement+1.3#85

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#34
First Shot+6.3#29
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#187
Layups/Dunks-2.5#271
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#228
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#48
Freethrows+5.4#3
Improvement+2.2#46
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.8% 2.4% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 9.1% 11.1% 4.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 60.5% 66.5% 46.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 56.8% 63.0% 42.4%
Average Seed 8.4 8.3 8.9
.500 or above 91.3% 94.9% 82.6%
.500 or above in Conference 90.2% 94.1% 80.8%
Conference Champion 6.9% 8.6% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
First Four9.1% 8.9% 9.7%
First Round56.4% 62.6% 41.5%
Second Round30.6% 34.6% 21.0%
Sweet Sixteen8.2% 9.5% 5.1%
Elite Eight2.9% 3.4% 1.8%
Final Four1.0% 1.2% 0.5%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Butler (Home) - 70.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 10
Quad 26 - 310 - 12
Quad 35 - 115 - 13
Quad 45 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 291 South Dakota W 92-76 97%     1 - 0 +6.2 +8.4 -2.9
  Tue, Nov 11 4 @Gonzaga L 63-90 14%     1 - 1 -2.1 -1.8 +0.8
  Fri, Nov 14 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 84-45 99%     2 - 1 +24.0 +12.2 +15.1
  Wed, Nov 19 333 North Dakota W 75-60 98%     3 - 1 +1.6 +2.8 +0.0
  Mon, Nov 24 27 Baylor L 74-81 44%     3 - 2 +7.8 +7.2 +0.3
  Tue, Nov 25 3 Iowa St. L 60-78 20%     3 - 3 +4.2 +0.6 +3.0
  Thu, Nov 27 55 Oregon W 76-66 65%     4 - 3 +19.3 +9.1 +10.6
  Tue, Dec 2 238 Nicholls St. W 96-76 96%     5 - 3 +12.5 +22.6 -9.6
  Sun, Dec 7 26 @Nebraska L 50-71 32%     5 - 4 -3.0 -9.6 +4.6
  Sat, Dec 13 71 Kansas St. L 76-83 78%     5 - 5 -2.1 +7.5 -9.9
  Wed, Dec 17 96 @Xavier W 98-57 67%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +49.6 +25.1 +22.4
  Sat, Dec 20 104 Marquette W 84-63 86%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +22.4 +5.3 +15.1
  Mon, Dec 22 249 Utah Tech W 92-69 96%     8 - 5 +15.0 +12.8 +1.5
  Tue, Dec 30 50 Butler W 79-73 71%    
  Sun, Jan 4 54 @Seton Hall W 68-67 52%    
  Wed, Jan 7 32 @Villanova L 67-71 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 19 St. John's L 75-76 48%    
  Tue, Jan 13 99 Georgetown W 80-69 85%    
  Fri, Jan 16 78 @Providence W 82-79 62%    
  Wed, Jan 21 96 Xavier W 80-69 84%    
  Tue, Jan 27 104 @Marquette W 77-71 70%    
  Sat, Jan 31 7 Connecticut L 67-72 32%    
  Wed, Feb 4 99 @Georgetown W 77-72 67%    
  Sat, Feb 7 54 Seton Hall W 71-64 73%    
  Wed, Feb 11 112 @DePaul W 74-67 74%    
  Sat, Feb 14 32 Villanova W 70-68 58%    
  Wed, Feb 18 7 @Connecticut L 64-75 15%    
  Sat, Feb 21 19 @St. John's L 73-79 29%    
  Wed, Feb 25 112 DePaul W 77-64 88%    
  Sat, Feb 28 78 Providence W 85-76 80%    
  Wed, Mar 4 50 @Butler L 76-77 49%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 6.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.0 6.9 4.5 1.4 0.2 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 4.0 8.1 7.7 3.6 0.6 0.0 24.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 5.1 8.0 5.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 22.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.1 5.2 2.6 0.5 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 2.6 2.6 1.0 0.1 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.0 5.0 8.6 12.3 15.0 15.8 14.5 11.6 7.2 3.6 1.4 0.3 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 86.7% 1.2    0.9 0.3
17-3 61.2% 2.2    1.3 0.9 0.1
16-4 29.7% 2.1    0.8 1.1 0.3 0.0
15-5 8.0% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0
14-6 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.4 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 24.7% 75.3% 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.4% 100.0% 27.4% 72.6% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 3.6% 99.9% 19.1% 80.8% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 99.9%
16-4 7.2% 98.7% 16.8% 81.9% 6.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.2 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.4%
15-5 11.6% 95.3% 13.8% 81.5% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 3.4 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.6 94.5%
14-6 14.5% 88.0% 11.1% 76.9% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.5 3.8 2.5 0.6 1.7 86.5%
13-7 15.8% 75.2% 7.7% 67.5% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 3.5 3.9 1.8 0.0 3.9 73.2%
12-8 15.0% 52.7% 6.1% 46.6% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.6 3.1 0.1 7.1 49.6%
11-9 12.3% 28.2% 4.2% 24.0% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.8 25.0%
10-10 8.6% 10.5% 3.3% 7.3% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.1 7.7 7.5%
9-11 5.0% 2.6% 2.2% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.9 0.4%
8-12 3.0% 1.2% 1.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0
7-13 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 14.0 0.0 1.2
6-14 0.4% 1.6% 1.6% 15.0 0.0 0.4
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 60.5% 8.6% 51.9% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.6 4.7 8.4 11.5 12.0 10.8 8.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 39.5 56.8%