Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#314
Expected Predictive Rating-13.0#331
Pace75.8#45
Improvement+1.1#101

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#300
First Shot-5.9#326
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#126
Layup/Dunks+0.2#167
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#146
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#293
Freethrows-2.5#304
Improvement-0.5#228

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#295
First Shot-2.2#249
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#286
Layups/Dunks+0.3#171
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#82
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#297
Freethrows-0.8#239
Improvement+1.6#56
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.9% 17.6% 11.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 19.2% 38.7% 15.0%
.500 or above in Conference 72.8% 81.7% 70.9%
Conference Champion 15.3% 21.4% 14.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 1.8% 3.9%
First Four12.4% 16.2% 11.6%
First Round5.8% 8.4% 5.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Away) - 17.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 410 - 910 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2021 139   @ George Mason L 53-90 10%     0 - 1 -32.1 -19.5 -11.1
  Nov 18, 2021 199   @ Seattle L 80-93 16%     0 - 2 -11.4 +0.6 -10.9
  Nov 20, 2021 269   @ Portland L 63-74 28%     0 - 3 -13.8 -13.8 +0.4
  Nov 22, 2021 42   @ San Francisco L 67-83 3%     0 - 4 -3.1 -4.2 +2.4
  Nov 28, 2021 320   Grambling St. L 59-74 51%     0 - 5 -24.4 -18.8 -5.0
  Nov 29, 2021 333   Hampton W 60-47 62%     1 - 5 +0.9 -13.3 +15.1
  Dec 11, 2021 218   @ Longwood L 65-75 18%    
  Dec 18, 2021 293   @ Mount St. Mary's L 63-68 33%    
  Dec 21, 2021 167   James Madison L 73-79 28%    
  Dec 23, 2021 28   @ Wisconsin L 56-81 1%    
  Dec 29, 2021 64   @ Kansas St. L 58-78 3%    
  Jan 08, 2022 334   @ NC Central W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 10, 2022 352   @ South Carolina St. W 80-76 65%    
  Jan 15, 2022 306   Coppin St. W 78-76 58%    
  Jan 22, 2022 274   Howard W 80-79 50%    
  Jan 24, 2022 252   @ Norfolk St. L 69-76 26%    
  Jan 29, 2022 356   Delaware St. W 82-69 88%    
  Jan 31, 2022 330   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 12, 2022 334   NC Central W 76-69 72%    
  Feb 14, 2022 352   South Carolina St. W 83-73 81%    
  Feb 19, 2022 274   @ Howard L 77-83 30%    
  Feb 21, 2022 252   Norfolk St. L 72-73 45%    
  Feb 26, 2022 356   @ Delaware St. W 79-72 74%    
  Feb 28, 2022 330   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-68 68%    
  Mar 03, 2022 306   @ Coppin St. L 75-79 37%    
Projected Record 10 - 15 8 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 3.4 5.5 3.7 1.4 0.3 15.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 6.4 7.1 2.6 0.3 17.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 7.9 7.0 1.6 0.1 18.6 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 7.9 6.3 1.0 0.0 17.5 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 6.6 4.9 0.6 0.0 14.4 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 4.4 3.1 0.3 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.6 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 4.3 7.8 12.0 15.2 16.3 15.2 12.1 8.2 4.0 1.4 0.3 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
13-1 100.0% 1.4    1.4 0.1
12-2 93.0% 3.7    3.1 0.6
11-3 67.3% 5.5    3.0 2.2 0.3
10-4 28.4% 3.4    0.9 1.6 0.8 0.1
9-5 5.3% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 15.3% 15.3 8.7 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.3% 45.9% 45.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
13-1 1.4% 41.1% 41.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6 0.8
12-2 4.0% 35.8% 35.8% 16.0 0.0 1.4 2.6
11-3 8.2% 30.1% 30.1% 16.0 2.5 5.7
10-4 12.1% 24.2% 24.2% 16.0 2.9 9.2
9-5 15.2% 15.9% 15.9% 16.0 2.4 12.8
8-6 16.3% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 1.4 14.9
7-7 15.2% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.9 14.3
6-8 12.0% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.5 11.5
5-9 7.8% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 7.7
4-10 4.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-11 2.2% 2.2
2-12 0.7% 0.7
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.9% 12.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.9 87.1 0.0%