Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.2#360
Expected Predictive Rating-19.6#360
Pace72.7#91
Improvement-1.9#302

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#336
First Shot-4.0#294
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#331
Layup/Dunks-5.0#333
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#336
Freethrows+2.4#55
Improvement-1.0#250

Defense
Total Defense-8.7#362
First Shot-5.5#340
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#345
Layups/Dunks-2.6#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#63
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#181
Freethrows-4.6#359
Improvement-1.0#258
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 4.1% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 1.4% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 28.6% 41.8% 28.2%
Conference Champion 1.4% 3.1% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 22.5% 13.9% 22.7%
First Four2.2% 4.1% 2.1%
First Round0.6% 1.3% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Marymount (Away) - 2.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 47 - 147 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 100 @Georgetown L 70-87 2%     0 - 1 -8.7 -4.6 -2.9
  Tue, Nov 11 290 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 79-81 31%     0 - 2 -12.0 -1.7 -10.3
  Sat, Nov 15 318 @Mercyhurst L 72-86 20%     0 - 3 -20.2 +0.2 -20.8
  Tue, Nov 18 302 N.C. A&T L 73-79 33%     0 - 4 -16.7 -3.4 -13.3
  Fri, Nov 21 214 @Old Dominion L 56-88 9%     0 - 5 -32.6 -14.3 -19.8
  Tue, Nov 25 273 Drexel L 66-71 27%     0 - 6 -13.9 -5.9 -8.4
  Sat, Dec 6 298 Longwood L 80-84 32%     0 - 7 -14.4 -3.2 -11.0
  Tue, Dec 9 113 @DePaul L 49-92 3%     0 - 8 -36.6 -16.8 -21.3
  Sat, Dec 13 353 Niagara W 81-73 54%     1 - 8 -8.2 +5.2 -13.0
  Fri, Dec 19 65 @California L 50-97 2%     1 - 9 -35.7 -16.8 -19.3
  Sun, Dec 21 94 @San Francisco L 64-94 2%     1 - 10 -21.2 -3.2 -18.9
  Tue, Dec 23 127 @Loyola Marymount L 62-82 3%    
  Sat, Jan 3 346 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 67-73 28%    
  Sat, Jan 10 357 South Carolina St. W 79-76 60%    
  Mon, Jan 12 349 NC Central W 74-73 50%    
  Sat, Jan 17 348 @Delaware St. L 70-76 28%    
  Sat, Jan 24 262 @Howard L 69-82 12%    
  Mon, Jan 26 229 @Norfolk St. L 66-80 10%    
  Sat, Jan 31 364 @Coppin St. W 77-76 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 346 Maryland Eastern Shore L 69-70 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 357 @South Carolina St. L 76-79 38%    
  Mon, Feb 16 349 @NC Central L 70-76 30%    
  Sat, Feb 21 348 Delaware St. L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Feb 28 262 Howard L 72-79 28%    
  Mon, Mar 2 229 Norfolk St. L 69-77 24%    
  Thu, Mar 5 364 Coppin St. W 80-73 73%    
Projected Record 6 - 20 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.8 4.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.3 4.1 6.9 2.4 0.2 13.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 5.0 8.7 3.1 0.1 17.3 5th
6th 0.7 5.5 9.9 3.3 0.2 19.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 6.6 8.7 3.1 0.2 20.1 7th
8th 0.4 2.1 4.9 4.3 1.3 0.0 13.1 8th
Total 0.4 2.2 6.4 11.6 15.9 18.3 16.6 13.0 8.2 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-2 94.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
11-3 60.8% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
10-4 25.8% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-5 4.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.2% 18.0% 18.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.7% 15.8% 15.8% 16.0 0.1 0.6
10-4 2.0% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.2 1.8
9-5 4.5% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 0.3 4.2
8-6 8.2% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.3 7.8
7-7 13.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 12.7
6-8 16.6% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 16.3
5-9 18.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.3 18.1
4-10 15.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 15.8
3-11 11.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.5
2-12 6.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.4
1-13 2.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.1
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 16.0 2.2 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%