Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#71
Expected Predictive Rating+12.7#45
Pace70.2#164
Improvement-2.8#332

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#68
First Shot+1.7#127
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#28
Layup/Dunks+2.2#99
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#166
Freethrows-0.9#243
Improvement-1.8#312

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#88
First Shot+3.4#74
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#224
Layups/Dunks-2.4#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#243
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#50
Freethrows+2.7#36
Improvement-1.0#257
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 1.1% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.7% 30.0% 13.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 19.3% 29.6% 13.5%
Average Seed 9.7 9.5 9.9
.500 or above 89.6% 96.9% 85.4%
.500 or above in Conference 31.4% 47.6% 22.1%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 1.3% 6.1%
First Four7.1% 9.3% 5.9%
First Round15.6% 24.7% 10.3%
Second Round5.5% 9.3% 3.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.6% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia (Home) - 36.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 9
Quad 25 - 37 - 12
Quad 35 - 112 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 240 Charleston Southern W 98-67 92%     1 - 0 +23.4 +12.0 +8.3
  Sat, Nov 8 78 Providence W 107-101 OT 53%     2 - 0 +13.1 +11.4 +0.4
  Wed, Nov 12 173 Saint Joseph's W 94-59 86%     3 - 0 +31.2 +16.5 +12.8
  Sun, Nov 16 185 Charlotte W 84-76 87%     4 - 0 +3.3 +12.0 -8.2
  Wed, Nov 19 297 Bryant W 78-61 94%     5 - 0 +6.6 +2.8 +4.1
  Wed, Nov 26 92 Colorado St. W 66-64 56%     6 - 0 +8.1 -0.3 +8.7
  Thu, Nov 27 43 St. Mary's L 66-77 34%     6 - 1 +1.1 +2.9 -2.2
  Fri, Nov 28 45 Virginia Commonwealth L 68-86 37%     6 - 2 -6.7 +0.3 -6.9
  Tue, Dec 2 90 @South Carolina W 86-83 OT 45%     7 - 2 +12.2 +10.0 +1.9
  Sat, Dec 6 89 George Mason W 73-62 67%     8 - 2 +14.3 +7.9 +7.4
  Thu, Dec 11 301 Western Carolina W 96-74 95%     9 - 2 +11.4 +15.3 -4.6
  Sun, Dec 14 346 Maryland Eastern Shore W 82-53 97%     10 - 2 +14.1 +9.6 +6.7
  Sat, Dec 20 166 Elon W 82-81 OT 85%     11 - 2 -2.5 +4.1 -6.6
  Wed, Dec 31 29 Virginia L 74-78 37%    
  Sat, Jan 3 61 @Wake Forest L 75-79 36%    
  Wed, Jan 7 82 Stanford W 79-75 64%    
  Sat, Jan 10 65 California W 76-74 59%    
  Wed, Jan 14 42 @SMU L 75-82 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 62 Notre Dame W 73-71 58%    
  Wed, Jan 21 75 @Syracuse L 74-77 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 12 @Louisville L 74-87 11%    
  Tue, Jan 27 126 Georgia Tech W 80-71 78%    
  Sat, Jan 31 4 Duke L 70-81 15%    
  Sat, Feb 7 26 @North Carolina St. L 74-84 18%    
  Wed, Feb 11 41 @Clemson L 68-75 25%    
  Sat, Feb 14 118 Florida St. W 85-77 75%    
  Tue, Feb 17 35 @Miami (FL) L 73-81 22%    
  Sat, Feb 21 61 Wake Forest W 78-76 58%    
  Sat, Feb 28 22 @North Carolina L 70-81 17%    
  Tue, Mar 3 152 Boston College W 76-66 82%    
  Sat, Mar 7 29 @Virginia L 71-81 20%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.7 0.7 0.0 2.9 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 3.1 0.8 0.0 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.7 2.3 0.1 6.7 8th
9th 0.1 2.8 4.6 0.8 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 5.4 2.5 0.1 9.2 10th
11th 0.3 4.0 4.7 0.7 0.0 9.7 11th
12th 0.1 2.2 6.2 2.1 0.1 10.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 5.0 4.0 0.3 10.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.0 1.1 0.0 9.6 14th
15th 0.1 1.5 4.2 1.9 0.1 0.0 7.8 15th
16th 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.1 0.3 5.7 16th
17th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.6 0.4 0.0 3.8 17th
18th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.7 18th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.9 6.3 10.8 14.8 16.7 15.9 13.3 8.7 5.2 2.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 57.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 22.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 10.5% 89.5% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.4% 97.6% 4.1% 93.5% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.5%
13-5 1.0% 98.7% 5.4% 93.3% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.7%
12-6 2.6% 90.9% 1.5% 89.4% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 90.8%
11-7 5.2% 76.8% 1.8% 75.0% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.4 0.6 1.2 76.4%
10-8 8.7% 56.3% 0.7% 55.7% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.0 1.7 0.0 3.8 56.0%
9-9 13.3% 33.4% 0.5% 32.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.5 2.4 0.1 8.9 33.0%
8-10 15.9% 12.0% 0.3% 11.8% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 0.2 13.9 11.8%
7-11 16.7% 2.4% 0.1% 2.4% 11.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 16.3 2.4%
6-12 14.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 14.7 0.3%
5-13 10.8% 10.8
4-14 6.3% 6.3
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 19.7% 0.4% 19.3% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.0 3.6 5.7 6.5 0.3 80.3 19.3%