Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#290
Expected Predictive Rating-12.3#326
Pace74.1#65
Improvement-0.1#189

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#254
First Shot-2.2#236
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#206
Layup/Dunks-5.8#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#103
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#108
Freethrows+0.1#183
Improvement+1.8#43

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#307
First Shot-0.1#167
After Offensive Rebounds-4.4#347
Layups/Dunks-7.8#350
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#234
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#14
Freethrows+2.1#70
Improvement-1.9#312
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.4% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.8
.500 or above 2.7% 6.1% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 13.8% 19.0% 12.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 30.9% 24.7% 33.2%
First Four0.7% 0.9% 0.6%
First Round0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Away) - 26.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 31 - 82 - 13
Quad 48 - 99 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 100   @ Miami (FL) L 67-77 9%     0 - 1 -2.2 -7.8 +6.1
  Nov 12, 2021 172   @ East Carolina L 71-83 18%     0 - 2 -9.2 -6.8 -1.4
  Nov 14, 2021 45   @ St. Bonaventure L 60-69 4%     0 - 3 +3.8 -7.9 +11.9
  Nov 20, 2021 154   @ Cleveland St. L 70-80 15%     0 - 4 -6.2 -1.0 -5.3
  Nov 24, 2021 306   Coppin St. W 76-75 65%     1 - 4 -10.2 -3.6 -6.6
  Nov 29, 2021 188   Cornell L 75-89 38%     1 - 5 -18.0 -2.9 -14.8
  Dec 03, 2021 210   Fairfield L 68-74 41%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -10.9 -1.0 -10.7
  Dec 05, 2021 117   Monmouth L 65-79 23%     1 - 7 0 - 2 -13.5 -10.4 -2.3
  Dec 08, 2021 232   @ Northern Kentucky L 67-74 26%    
  Dec 11, 2021 236   @ Youngstown St. L 72-78 28%    
  Dec 18, 2021 69   Buffalo L 76-87 15%    
  Dec 22, 2021 213   Florida Gulf Coast L 77-79 42%    
  Dec 31, 2021 208   @ St. Peter's L 65-73 22%    
  Jan 02, 2022 279   @ Siena L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 07, 2022 273   Quinnipiac W 78-76 57%    
  Jan 14, 2022 221   @ Niagara L 65-73 24%    
  Jan 16, 2022 270   @ Manhattan L 69-73 35%    
  Jan 21, 2022 298   Rider W 74-71 63%    
  Jan 23, 2022 208   St. Peter's L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 28, 2022 117   @ Monmouth L 68-82 11%    
  Jan 30, 2022 298   @ Rider L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 04, 2022 97   Iona L 70-79 20%    
  Feb 06, 2022 270   Manhattan W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 12, 2022 241   @ Marist L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 14, 2022 210   @ Fairfield L 68-76 24%    
  Feb 19, 2022 221   Niagara L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 25, 2022 97   @ Iona L 67-82 8%    
  Feb 27, 2022 273   @ Quinnipiac L 75-79 36%    
  Mar 03, 2022 241   Marist W 72-71 51%    
  Mar 05, 2022 279   Siena W 71-69 58%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.2 1.9 0.2 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 5.2 2.8 0.4 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.5 6.1 3.7 0.5 0.0 13.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.2 4.5 0.8 0.0 14.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.9 7.2 4.6 0.9 0.0 17.9 10th
11th 0.3 1.3 3.5 5.8 6.1 3.3 0.7 0.0 21.2 11th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.6 6.9 10.4 13.6 14.2 14.2 11.9 9.6 6.2 4.0 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 68.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 18.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 13.6% 13.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.4% 11.1% 11.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-7 0.9% 8.2% 8.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.9
12-8 2.2% 5.3% 5.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 2.0
11-9 4.0% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.8
10-10 6.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 6.1
9-11 9.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 9.5
8-12 11.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.8
7-13 14.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.1
6-14 14.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.2
5-15 13.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.6
4-16 10.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.4
3-17 6.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.9
2-18 3.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.6
1-19 1.3% 1.3
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%