Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#351
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#279
Pace65.9#252
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#341
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.2#353
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 1.3% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 5.7% 19.5% 5.1%
.500 or above in Conference 11.5% 24.0% 11.0%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 38.6% 22.2% 39.2%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round0.4% 1.0% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Away) - 3.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 48 - 129 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 59   @ Dayton L 48-88 2%     0 - 1 -27.8 -13.7 -18.3
  Nov 08, 2025 115   @ St. Bonaventure L 57-75 4%    
  Nov 12, 2025 361   Mercyhurst W 68-63 69%    
  Nov 17, 2025 88   @ High Point L 61-82 3%    
  Nov 21, 2025 353   Maryland Eastern Shore W 67-64 61%    
  Nov 23, 2025 338   Binghamton W 68-67 54%    
  Nov 29, 2025 321   Buffalo L 73-74 49%    
  Dec 05, 2025 302   @ St. Peter's L 60-68 25%    
  Dec 07, 2025 185   @ Siena L 62-76 12%    
  Dec 13, 2025 299   @ Maine L 61-69 25%    
  Dec 16, 2025 128   @ Rhode Island L 64-81 7%    
  Dec 22, 2025 110   @ Duquesne L 58-77 5%    
  Jan 02, 2026 300   Fairfield L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 04, 2026 235   Sacred Heart L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 09, 2026 239   @ Manhattan L 67-78 18%    
  Jan 11, 2026 213   @ Iona L 64-77 14%    
  Jan 14, 2026 336   Niagara W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 17, 2026 253   Mount St. Mary's L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 22, 2026 235   @ Sacred Heart L 69-80 17%    
  Jan 24, 2026 300   @ Fairfield L 64-72 25%    
  Jan 30, 2026 188   Marist L 60-67 27%    
  Feb 01, 2026 185   Siena L 65-73 27%    
  Feb 03, 2026 336   @ Niagara L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 05, 2026 220   @ Quinnipiac L 68-80 16%    
  Feb 13, 2026 213   Iona L 67-74 29%    
  Feb 15, 2026 239   Manhattan L 70-75 35%    
  Feb 20, 2026 314   @ Rider L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 22, 2026 253   @ Mount St. Mary's L 64-74 20%    
  Feb 27, 2026 261   Merrimack L 62-66 37%    
  Mar 01, 2026 220   Quinnipiac L 71-77 31%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 1.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 1.6 0.9 0.2 3.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.3 2.1 0.5 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 2.8 3.3 1.1 0.1 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.4 4.2 1.6 0.1 10.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.5 5.0 2.2 0.2 0.0 14.3 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 3.7 6.2 5.4 2.2 0.3 0.0 18.9 12th
13th 1.8 5.0 7.5 7.5 4.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 28.5 13th
Total 1.8 5.0 8.6 11.6 13.0 12.8 11.7 10.1 8.0 5.9 4.4 3.1 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 81.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 61.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 30.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 20.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 14.3% 14.3% 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.1% 14.3% 14.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.3% 7.9% 7.9% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-6 0.5% 8.3% 8.3% 18.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-7 1.1% 7.3% 7.3% 16.6 0.0 0.1 1.0
12-8 1.9% 4.3% 4.3% 19.8 0.0 0.1 1.8
11-9 3.1% 2.3% 2.3% 19.2 0.0 0.1 3.0
10-10 4.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.4
9-11 5.9% 0.9% 0.9% 17.6 0.1 5.8
8-12 8.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.9
7-13 10.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.1
6-14 11.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.7
5-15 12.8% 12.8
4-16 13.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.0
3-17 11.6% 11.6
2-18 8.6% 8.6
1-19 5.0% 5.0
0-20 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 17.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%