Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -12.4 343
Expected Predictive Rating -11.5 336
Pace 62.7 331
Improvement +0.9 157

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 352 F+ D D- D+ D+
Defense D+ 276 D C- D+ C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 282 F 44% 365 -6.9 356
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 131 C- 36% 246 +0.7 137
Three Pointers 41% 173 C- 32% 252 -0.9 215
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 272 F+ -6.4 353
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.88 352
Second Chance D+ 26.8% 285 D- 0.88 342 D 0.24 330
Turnovers D- 19.7% 330
Freethrows D+ 0.28 259 D+ 70% 263 D+ 0.20 277
Total Offense F+ -8.9 352

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 52% 118 F+ 15.4% 352
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 30% 108 B 2.7% 37
Three Pointers D 77% 321 D+ 1.3% 286
Total C 56% 172 D+ 6.6% 284

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 220 D 64% 323 +1.4 226
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 284 D 42% 308 -0.6 137
Three Pointers 45% 52 C- 35% 233 +3.1 316
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 230 D +3.5 312
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 309
Second Chance C- 31.6% 225 C 1.03 181 C- 0.32 220
Turnovers D+ 15.3% 273
Freethrows C 0.31 209 C 72% 159 C 0.22 202
Total Defense D+ -3.5 276

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 264 D+ 8.1% 302
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 301 C- 4.1% 222
Three Pointers C 84% 164 C- 0.7% 191
Total D+ 60% 279 D 4.0% 306

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.1 335 17.2 161
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 296 0.18 211
Improvement -0.4 #207 +1.3 #116

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 350 343 331
Conference Record 4 - 16 5 - 15 6 - 14
Conference Finish 12 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 5% 0% 6%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Away) - 21.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 49 - 139 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 88 @Dayton L 48 - 88 3% -21  0% 0 - 1 F -31 F -16 F C+ F F -19 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 8 143 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 89 7% -10  11% 0 - 2 F+ -15 C +1 A- D- C F -18 C F F
 Wed, Nov 12 301 Mercyhurst W 58 - 55 45% +3  70% 1 - 2 D+ -8 F -13 C F D- B+ +5 C+ B+ B
 Mon, Nov 17 89 @High Point L 50 - 93 3% -25  2% 1 - 3 F -34 F -20 F C+ F F -16 F D- F
 Fri, Nov 21 348 Maryland Eastern Shore W 60 - 57 64% +3  87% 2 - 3 D- -13 F+ -9 C- B- F+ D+ -3 C D- D
 Sun, Nov 23 359 Binghamton W 75 - 66 74% +3  74% 3 - 3 D -10 C +1 D A+ C- F+ -9 C- F+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 213 Buffalo L 53 - 71 27% -8  21% 3 - 4 F -24 F -23 F C- D+ C- -2 B- C- D
 Fri, Dec 5 235 @St. Peter's L 57 - 69 15% -6  10% 3 - 5 0 - 1 D- -13 F -12 F D C- C- -2 A F D
 Sun, Dec 7 192 @Siena L 52 - 74 11% -14  4% 3 - 6 0 - 2 F -21 F -19 F D- F D+ -4 D A- F
 Sat, Dec 13 346 @Maine W 70 - 43 39% +16  88% 4 - 6 A- +17 C +0 B- C- F+ A+ +19 A+ C A-
 Tue, Dec 16 113 @Rhode Island L 45 - 62 5% -3  44% 4 - 7 D -11 F -21 F F F A +9 B+ A C+
 Mon, Dec 22 110 @Duquesne L 59 - 103 5% -22  2% 4 - 8 F -37 F -15 D D+ F F -20 F D F+
 Fri, Jan 2 266 Fairfield W 85 - 81 36% +4  87% 5 - 8 1 - 2 C- -5 B+ +8 C+ B A+ F -12 C- D- F+
 Sun, Jan 4 290 Sacred Heart W 82 - 78 42% -4  8% 6 - 8 2 - 2 D+ -6 C +1 F+ B D D- -7 D C- D+
 Fri, Jan 9 321 @Manhattan W 70 - 64 31% -1  39% 7 - 8 3 - 2 C -1 F+ -9 F F+ B- A- +8 C- A+ C+
 Sun, Jan 11 249 @Iona L 48 - 74 16% -8  13% 7 - 9 3 - 3 F -28 F -20 F D- A+ F -11 F F A-
 Wed, Jan 14 337 Niagara L 54 - 59 59% -3  14% 7 - 10 3 - 4 F -20 F -17 F F+ F+ D+ -4 D+ A- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 285 Mount St. Mary's L 68 - 78 41% -1  50% 7 - 11 3 - 5 F -20 D- -7 B- F C- F -14 F C- C
 Thu, Jan 22 290 @Sacred Heart L 66 - 69 22% +2  58% 7 - 12 3 - 6 D+ -7 F -13 D+ F D+ B+ +6 D A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 266 @Fairfield L 55 - 61 18% -7  4% 7 - 13 3 - 7 D -9 F -15 F C- F B+ +6 D+ B- A-
 Fri, Jan 30 184 Marist L 86 - 88 OT 22% +1  41% 7 - 14 3 - 8 D+ -6 B+ +9 A B B- F -15 F B+ C
 Sun, Feb 1 192 Siena L 63 - 78 24% -8  24% 7 - 15 3 - 9 F -20 D -5 C- C- F F -18 F F D+
 Tue, Feb 3 337 @Niagara L 56 - 65 36% -8  0% 7 - 16 3 - 10 F -18 F -11 F F B- F+ -9 F C B-
 Thu, Feb 5 193 @Quinnipiac L 60 - 75 11% -13  1% 7 - 17 3 - 11 D- -14 F -15 F C+ D- C+ +1 D+ F A
 Fri, Feb 13 249 Iona L 63 - 69 33% -3  27% 7 - 18 3 - 12 D- -14 F+ -10 C- F F D+ -5 C+ C+ C
 Sun, Feb 15 321 Manhattan L 65 - 69 53% -6  18% 7 - 19 3 - 13 F+ -17 F -15 F F C+ C- -3 B- F D+
 Fri, Feb 20 356 @Rider W 72 - 66 48% +6  95% 8 - 19 4 - 13 D+ -6 D- -7 C- F F C+ +1 D A+ F
 Sun, Feb 22 285 @Mount St. Mary's L 62 - 70 22%
 Fri, Feb 27 162 Merrimack L 59 - 68 19%
 Sun, Mar 1 193 Quinnipiac L 65 - 72 24%
Totals 9 - 21 5 - 15 -12 F+ -9 D- F+ D+ D+ -3 C- D+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ F C- C- F+ 35% 41% 41% D+ F+ D+ D- D D- D+ D+ D+ D+ D D C- D 37% 17% 45% C- D C- C C- D+ C C C
0.96 44% 36% 32% -6 -1 0.88 27% 0.9 .24 20% .28 70% .20 1.14 64% 42% 35% +3 0 1.10 32% 1.0 .32 15% .31 72% .20
Nov
3		 Dayton F F A- D F 36% 26% 38% C- F B D+ C+ F D- F F F F A+ A+ D- 48% 11% 41% D+ D- F F F F F A F
0.76 27% 45% 31% -11 -1 0.79 33% 0.9 .30 30% .25 45% .11 1.39 95% 20% 17% +5 +2 1.16 35% 1.4 .48 6% .69 68% .47
Nov
8		 St. Bonaventure C B- A+ A+ A 29% 31% 40% F A- D F D- C B F+ C+ F C- D C C 33% 24% 43% C+ C F D- F F D- C- D-
1.10 62% 50% 44% +11 -2 1.20 24% 0.9 .21 17% .32 71% .23 1.39 61% 46% 35% +3 -1 1.07 57% 1.1 .63 13% .32 78% .25
Nov
12		 Mercyhurst F C- A+ F C 47% 21% 32% C- C F F F D- A+ F B+ B+ B F A+ C 17% 33% 50% B+ C+ B+ B- B+ B B+ D B-
0.94 56% 63% 25% 0 +1 1.03 19% 0.8 .15 21% .54 58% .31 0.89 50% 63% 21% -3 -3 0.90 21% 1.0 .21 18% .16 75% .12
Nov
17		 High Point F F F+ F F 38% 25% 38% D F A- D- C+ F A+ F A+ F F F D F 37% 11% 53% C F A- F D- F A+ D A+
0.75 33% 30% 20% -19 -1 0.63 39% 0.9 .37 32% .55 64% .35 1.40 81% 67% 37% +14 +1 1.32 26% 1.7 .44 9% .17 80% .13
Nov
21		 Maryland Eastern Shore F+ F D- A+ C 30% 23% 48% D- C- D A+ B- F+ F D F D+ A+ C D- D+ 19% 30% 51% A+ C D D D- D D B+ C-
1.03 46% 30% 43% +1 -1 1.02 28% 1.5 .41 19% .21 70% .15 0.98 38% 38% 36% -2 -3 0.93 32% 1.0 .32 21% .26 67% .17
Nov
23		 Binghamton C F+ F A+ D 41% 20% 39% D+ D F+ A+ A+ C- A- A+ A+ F+ F F A+ D+ 26% 24% 50% B+ C- F+ F F+ F F D+ F
1.22 50% 22% 47% +1 0 1.05 24% 2.2 .52 13% .39 86% .34 1.07 80% 67% 16% -1 -1 0.97 26% 1.0 .26 16% .62 78% .48
Nov
29		 Buffalo F F B+ F F 40% 23% 36% D F F A+ C- D+ C D C- C- B- C C+ B- 23% 10% 67% C+ B- A F C- D B- F C
0.82 47% 45% 12% -15 0 0.72 23% 1.3 .29 19% .27 71% .19 1.10 55% 40% 34% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.7 .31 14% .31 82% .25
Dec
5		 St. Peter's F F F F F 40% 17% 43% C F B F D C- A+ F B+ C- A+ F A+ A+ 42% 12% 47% F A C+ F F D F F+ F
0.89 41% 14% 22% -18 +1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .55 64% .35 1.07 39% 60% 20% -15 +1 0.74 33% 1.3 .44 16% .48 81% .39
Dec
7		 Siena F F C- F F 42% 18% 40% B F C- F D- F A B- A D+ F A+ C- D+ 27% 15% 58% D- D B- A+ A- F D+ A+ B-
0.81 37% 38% 22% -16 +1 0.71 30% 0.8 .23 22% .38 74% .28 1.15 79% 25% 33% +3 0 1.08 27% 0.7 .19 9% .31 61% .19
Dec
13		 Maine C F A+ A+ B- 38% 22% 40% D+ B- C C- C- F+ C+ D- C A+ A+ B A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% C- A+ F+ A+ C A- B- A+ A-
1.09 35% 50% 50% +4 0 1.09 37% 1.0 .37 22% .34 65% .22 0.67 35% 33% 24% -16 0 0.70 26% 0.8 .21 25% .29 50% .14
Dec
16		 Rhode Island F F D+ C- F 43% 29% 29% D F D F F F D C+ D+ A B A+ B- A- 37% 8% 56% D B+ F A+ A C+ A+ F B+
0.71 33% 33% 33% -12 -1 0.76 26% 0.6 .14 30% .32 71% .23 0.98 53% 25% 31% -5 +2 0.94 40% 0.5 .19 21% .26 85% .22
Dec
22		 Duquesne F D- C B- C 22% 47% 31% F D F A+ D+ F C F F+ F F F F F 38% 4% 58% D+ F B+ F D F+ A D- B+
0.81 50% 38% 36% -1 -5 0.91 18% 1.3 .24 29% .35 56% .19 1.41 76% 100% 47% +20 +2 1.47 25% 1.4 .36 14% .27 76% .21
Jan
2		 Fairfield B+ F F A+ B- 34% 16% 50% D C+ D+ A+ B A+ A+ C A+ F D+ A- B- C 43% 20% 37% D C- F C- D- F+ F D- F
1.27 35% 25% 52% +4 0 1.10 29% 1.4 .40 9% .44 74% .33 1.21 59% 30% 32% -2 0 0.98 40% 0.9 .38 12% .39 74% .29
Jan
4		 Sacred Heart C A+ D F D- 35% 23% 43% D- F+ F A+ B D A+ A+ A+ D- F D B+ D 27% 11% 61% D+ D B+ F C- D+ F F F
1.20 79% 33% 24% -1 0 1.00 23% 1.8 .42 16% .64 84% .54 1.14 83% 40% 30% +3 0 1.09 21% 1.3 .29 18% .50 86% .43
Jan
9		 Manhattan F+ D C F F 42% 29% 29% D F C- F F+ B- A- A A A- D- A+ D C- 36% 28% 36% B C- B- A+ A+ C+ A+ F A
1.05 55% 40% 27% -4 -1 0.92 35% 0.9 .30 14% .31 83% .26 0.96 63% 20% 37% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.4 .11 17% .18 90% .16
Jan
11		 Iona F F F B- F 48% 25% 27% C F F B+ D- A+ F B F F C- F F F 38% 9% 53% F+ F D F F A- A+ A+ A+
0.78 24% 23% 36% -19 0 0.63 23% 1.1 .25 10% .14 75% .11 1.21 59% 75% 50% +16 +1 1.38 29% 1.3 .36 21% .12 50% .06
Jan
14		 Niagara F F B- F F 25% 16% 59% C- F A- F F+ F+ B D+ B- D+ C- A- D+ C- 56% 17% 27% D D+ D A+ A- D+ F F+ F
0.93 45% 43% 23% -12 0 0.77 41% 0.6 .26 19% .34 75% .25 1.02 57% 29% 36% -2 +2 1.02 26% 0.4 .10 17% .37 78% .29
Jan
17		 Mount St. Mary's D- D D+ A B 25% 20% 55% D+ B- F F F C- F A+ F F F F F F 32% 28% 40% A+ F C D C- C C- D D+
1.01 50% 36% 40% +3 -1 1.05 17% 0.5 .08 15% .12 100% .12 1.16 73% 46% 42% +12 -1 1.23 29% 1.1 .32 22% .33 71% .23
Jan
22		 Sacred Heart F F A+ A+ D 45% 9% 45% B D+ F F F D+ F F F B+ A- A+ F D+ 39% 6% 56% F D A- A+ A+ D+ A- A+ A+
0.96 36% 60% 48% +2 +2 1.09 21% 0.3 .05 16% .12 57% .07 1.00 48% 0% 43% +2 +2 1.09 19% 0.6 .11 17% .21 50% .11
Jan
24		 Fairfield F F F F F 58% 8% 34% A- F A+ F C- F F F F B+ C- D- B D+ 43% 26% 31% C+ D+ F A+ B- A- F+ A+ C-
0.90 45% 25% 24% -14 +3 0.80 45% 0.7 .30 23% .17 38% .06 1.00 56% 45% 31% -1 0 1.00 41% 0.7 .27 20% .33 56% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Marist B+ B B+ B+ A 38% 13% 48% A- A B- B- B B- A- F C+ F F F C- F 44% 25% 31% D F D+ A+ B+ C F D F
1.16 65% 43% 36% +5 +1 1.13 33% 1.1 .36 18% .43 62% .26 1.19 81% 50% 33% +13 0 1.27 29% 0.8 .21 18% .46 82% .38
Feb
1		 Siena D F F A+ B- 9% 33% 58% F C- A+ F C- F F+ C- D- F F F+ F+ F 38% 24% 38% D F F D- F D+ F A- F
1.06 25% 27% 46% +4 -4 1.02 47% 0.6 .28 23% .22 70% .15 1.31 81% 50% 38% +14 0 1.29 38% 1.1 .42 15% .43 68% .30
Feb
3		 Niagara F C- A+ F F 40% 17% 44% B- F F A+ F B- F A+ F F+ F F F F 50% 5% 45% F F C- C+ C B- B- F+ C+
0.97 58% 63% 19% -6 +1 0.92 16% 1.4 .23 14% .16 88% .14 1.13 70% 50% 44% +14 +3 1.35 23% 0.8 .18 21% .20 78% .15
Feb
5		 Quinnipiac F F F A F 41% 24% 35% D+ F D- A+ C+ D- A+ F+ A- C+ A- F D+ D+ 30% 20% 50% C D+ C F F A F D+ F
0.82 35% 8% 41% -13 0 0.76 26% 1.3 .34 20% .39 65% .26 1.02 46% 44% 36% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 22% .51 72% .37
Feb
13		 Iona F+ B+ D B C+ 24% 31% 45% F C- C- F F F D- F F D+ A+ C- F+ B 45% 12% 43% F+ C+ B F+ C+ C F F F
0.98 67% 33% 36% +2 -2 1.02 32% 0.6 .19 23% .20 60% .12 1.07 42% 40% 39% -4 +2 0.98 21% 1.2 .24 17% .47 88% .41
Feb
15		 Manhattan F A+ F F F+ 33% 27% 39% D- F F F F C+ B- A+ A C- A B F+ B 46% 26% 28% C- B- D F F D+ F A+ D+
1.00 76% 29% 25% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.5 .12 14% .27 93% .25 1.07 43% 33% 38% -6 0 0.89 30% 1.8 .55 14% .43 58% .25
Feb
20		 Rider D- D+ A+ B C- 51% 7% 42% B C- B- F F F A+ A+ A+ C+ C+ C+ B- C- 47% 24% 29% F D A A+ A+ F D+ A C
1.07 55% 67% 39% +3 +3 1.14 38% 0.4 .14 24% .43 86% .37 0.98 52% 36% 29% -5 0 0.91 24% 0.4 .10 7% .29 61% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 14.5 29.5 10.9 1.4 56.2 11th
12th 34.2 9.1 0.4 43.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 13th
Total 48.8 38.6 11.2 1.4 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 1.4% 1.4
6-14 11.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.2
5-15 38.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 38.6
4-16 48.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 48.8
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 99.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 45.9%