Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.2#347
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#290
Pace62.7#339
Improvement+0.4#154

Offense
Total Offense-8.9#356
First Shot-9.0#360
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#172
Layup/Dunks-8.7#360
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#247
Freethrows-1.6#285
Improvement-2.0#322

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#290
First Shot-2.0#239
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#282
Layups/Dunks+1.1#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#110
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#337
Freethrows+0.7#135
Improvement+2.4#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 1.6% 3.2% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 5.1% 9.4% 2.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 32.7% 20.2% 40.6%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Home) - 38.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 30 - 60 - 11
Quad 49 - 1010 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 68 @Dayton L 48-88 3%     0 - 1 -28.9 -13.1 -20.1
  Sat, Nov 8 116 @St. Bonaventure L 70-89 5%     0 - 2 -12.7 +6.8 -21.4
  Wed, Nov 12 318 Mercyhurst W 58-55 51%     1 - 2 -9.3 -11.4 +2.5
  Mon, Nov 17 101 @High Point L 50-93 4%     1 - 3 -34.7 -19.5 -17.6
  Fri, Nov 21 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 60-57 61%     2 - 3 -12.0 -6.8 -4.6
  Sun, Nov 23 363 Binghamton W 75-66 74%     3 - 3 -9.9 +2.3 -10.9
  Sat, Nov 29 196 Buffalo L 53-71 26%     3 - 4 -23.3 -20.7 -4.2
  Fri, Dec 5 297 @St. Peter's L 57-69 23%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -16.3 -11.0 -6.4
  Sun, Dec 7 179 @Siena L 52-74 10%     3 - 6 0 - 2 -20.4 -13.8 -8.5
  Sat, Dec 13 342 @Maine W 70-43 36%     4 - 6 +18.5 +3.2 +17.6
  Tue, Dec 16 119 @Rhode Island L 45-62 5%     4 - 7 -10.9 -19.6 +6.9
  Mon, Dec 22 121 @Duquesne L 59-103 6%     4 - 8 -38.5 -14.0 -22.8
  Fri, Jan 2 277 Fairfield L 66-69 39%    
  Sun, Jan 4 250 Sacred Heart L 68-72 35%    
  Fri, Jan 9 313 @Manhattan L 68-74 27%    
  Sun, Jan 11 165 @Iona L 63-78 8%    
  Wed, Jan 14 352 Niagara W 65-61 64%    
  Sat, Jan 17 300 Mount St. Mary's L 66-68 44%    
  Thu, Jan 22 250 @Sacred Heart L 65-75 18%    
  Sat, Jan 24 277 @Fairfield L 63-72 21%    
  Fri, Jan 30 157 Marist L 58-67 19%    
  Sun, Feb 1 179 Siena L 61-69 23%    
  Tue, Feb 3 352 @Niagara L 62-64 43%    
  Thu, Feb 5 160 @Quinnipiac L 62-77 8%    
  Fri, Feb 13 165 Iona L 66-75 21%    
  Sun, Feb 15 313 Manhattan L 70-71 49%    
  Fri, Feb 20 344 @Rider L 61-64 38%    
  Sun, Feb 22 300 @Mount St. Mary's L 63-71 25%    
  Fri, Feb 27 263 Merrimack L 61-65 38%    
  Sun, Mar 1 160 Quinnipiac L 65-74 21%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.5 0.0 2.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.1 0.1 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 2.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.7 3.4 0.7 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.2 1.6 5.1 5.1 1.5 0.1 13.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.9 7.0 6.8 2.0 0.2 19.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 4.3 8.0 6.4 2.1 0.2 0.0 22.1 12th
13th 0.7 2.8 5.7 6.7 4.3 1.3 0.1 0.0 21.7 13th
Total 0.7 2.9 6.8 11.4 15.4 16.5 15.2 12.0 8.8 5.1 2.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 25.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 9.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.1% 9.5% 9.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 0.2% 2.7% 2.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-8 0.6% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5
11-9 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.3
10-10 2.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.9
9-11 5.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.1
8-12 8.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.8
7-13 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
6-14 15.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.2
5-15 16.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.5
4-16 15.4% 15.4
3-17 11.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.4
2-18 6.8% 6.8
1-19 2.9% 2.9
0-20 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%