Longwood
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.4 #262
Expected Predictive Rating -6.1 #262
Pace 70.7 #131
Improvement +4.8 #19

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #242 D+ C D- B- C
Defense #262 D- B- C C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #158 1.14 #187 +0.2 #168
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #131 0.73 #208 +0.6 #152
Three Pointers 38% #242 0.90 #323 -3.8 #310
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #267 -3.1 #267
Freethrows 0.33 #108 76% #75 0.25 #85
Second Chance 33.6% #95 0.95 #309 0.32 #175
Turnovers 19.4% #337
Total Offense -2.6 #242

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #163 1.34 #352 -4.1 #314
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #329 0.81 #265 +1.7 #71
Three Pointers 46% #61 1.08 #266 -3.7 #317
1st FG Attempt 1.14 #341 -6.1 #341
Freethrows 0.34 #291 70% #77 0.24 #262
Second Chance 29.8% #145 0.92 #38 0.27 #75
Turnovers 17.0% #149
Total Defense -2.7 #262

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.4% #218 1.5% #307
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.6% #274 10.3% #340
Possession Length 17.1 #145 17.3 #170
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #232 0.18 #232
Improvement +1.9 #85 +2.9 #36

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.4% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 32.8% 46.8% 18.2%
.500 or above in Conference 69.9% 84.6% 54.8%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four1.2% 0.9% 1.4%
First Round2.5% 2.9% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Away) - 50.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 52 - 9
Quad 412 - 614 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 93 @Pittsburgh L 60 - 78 10% -5  0 - 1 -9 -10 F D- A+ +0 C- B A-
 Wed, Nov 12 211 James Madison W 82 - 72 53% +8  1 - 1 +4 +4 F+ D B- -0 C- A C-
 Sat, Nov 15 362 Binghamton W 90 - 82 90% +14  2 - 1 -11 +3 D C+ D -15 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 331 Maryland Eastern Shore L 82 - 83 2OT 78% -3  2 - 2 -15 -6 F B- F -9 F B- A+
 Sun, Nov 23 169 @Columbia L 70 - 95 23% -13  2 - 3 -23 -5 B+ F F -17 F D D+
 Fri, Nov 28 172 Siena L 63 - 70 34% -3  2 - 4 -8 -8 F+ B F -1 F A+ B
 Sat, Nov 29 335 Maine W 65 - 61 71% +3  3 - 4 -7 -2 A F+ F -5 C- F B-
 Sun, Nov 30 220 @American L 66 - 92 32% -8  3 - 5 -27 -8 F F A- -18 F D C
 Sat, Dec 6 358 @Morgan St. W 84 - 80 73% +1  4 - 5 -8 -0 D- B F -8 F+ B C
 Sat, Dec 13 356 Delaware St. L 76 - 81 86% -5  4 - 6 -22 +4 C D F -26 F A F
 Wed, Dec 17 66 @Wake Forest L 68 - 71 7% -2  4 - 7 +8 -2 F B- A- +10 B+ A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 20 344 @NC Central W 74 - 72 63% +2  5 - 7 -7 -4 D B F -3 C- B+ C-
 Wed, Dec 31 125 Winthrop W 82 - 70 33% +7  6 - 7 1 - 0 +11 +11 B+ A+ D +1 A+ B D
 Sat, Jan 3 95 @High Point L 67 - 80 10% -7  6 - 8 1 - 1 -4 -1 C C+ D- -4 C- C B-
 Wed, Jan 7 204 @UNC Asheville L 61 - 72 29% -6  6 - 9 1 - 2 -11 -5 D- D- C -7 F+ A- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 269 Presbyterian W 77 - 70 64% +10  7 - 9 2 - 2 -2 +9 B B C- -10 F A C+
 Sat, Jan 17 253 @Radford L 83 - 85 38% -11  7 - 10 2 - 3 -4 +7 C+ A+ F -11 F A D+
 Wed, Jan 21 363 Gardner-Webb W 91 - 56 92% +17  8 - 10 3 - 3 +14 +8 C+ A+ D- +6 C+ C+ A+
 Fri, Jan 23 232 Charleston Southern W 81 - 79 OT 57% +6  9 - 10 4 - 3 -5 -6 C- F+ F +1 D C+ A+
 Thu, Jan 29 306 @South Carolina Upstate W 74 - 73 51%
 Sat, Jan 31 95 High Point L 76 - 84 22%
 Wed, Feb 4 363 @Gardner-Webb W 83 - 73 82%
 Sat, Feb 7 125 @Winthrop L 73 - 83 16%
 Thu, Feb 12 204 UNC Asheville W 74 - 73 51%
 Sat, Feb 14 306 South Carolina Upstate W 77 - 71 72%
 Thu, Feb 19 269 @Presbyterian L 70 - 72 41%
 Sat, Feb 21 232 @Charleston Southern L 76 - 80 34%
 Sat, Feb 28 253 Radford W 83 - 80 60%
Totals 13 - 15 8 - 8 -5 -3 D+ C D- -3 D- B- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.8 0.1 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 3.5 13.3 12.7 4.3 0.4 34.2 3rd
4th 2.2 12.9 8.7 1.1 0.0 24.9 4th
5th 0.9 9.4 8.1 1.0 0.0 19.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.9 6.3 0.9 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 2.8 0.4 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.2 0.7 0.2 1.1 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.3 2.6 8.8 18.4 25.4 23.1 14.3 5.7 1.3 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 63.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-4 9.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-5 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.1% 7.4% 7.4% 14.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 1.3% 9.3% 9.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
11-5 5.7% 6.1% 6.1% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 5.4
10-6 14.3% 4.8% 4.8% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 13.7
9-7 23.1% 3.1% 3.1% 15.7 0.2 0.5 22.3
8-8 25.4% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.1 0.5 24.8
7-9 18.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.4 18.0
6-10 8.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 8.6
5-11 2.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.6
4-12 0.3% 0.3
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.7 97.0 0.0%