Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.5 257
Expected Predictive Rating -5.7 257
Pace 64.1 303
Improvement +1.3 142

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 307 D- C D+ B- D-
Defense C 182 C- C+ C- D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 288 D+ 53% 294 -3.7 307
2 Pt. Jumpers 52% 41 D 34% 315 +1.8 82
Three Pointers 36% 276 D 31% 307 -4.1 317
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.2 327 D- -4.8 329
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 343
Second Chance B- 33.7% 87 D 0.91 325 C 0.31 183
Turnovers D+ 18.6% 295
Freethrows B 0.34 69 C 72% 181 B- 0.25 85
Total Offense D -5.1 307

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 37% 326 D- 14.1% 331
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 37% 37 F+ 9.0% 345
Three Pointers C+ 87% 125 B+ 0.2% 33
Total D+ 51% 275 F+ 7.6% 339

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 71 F+ 66% 349 +6.0 349
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 154 B- 35% 85 -0.4 162
Three Pointers 36% 319 B- 32% 85 -3.7 41
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 217 C- +1.6 249
1st FG Attempt C- 1.06 241
Second Chance C+ 28.8% 114 C 1.03 183 C+ 0.30 133
Turnovers C- 16.4% 201
Freethrows F+ 0.38 342 A- 68% 12 D 0.25 311
Total Defense C -0.4 182

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 258 D+ 8.3% 288
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 164 B- 6.4% 83
Three Pointers C 84% 184 B- 1.4% 80
Total C 55% 173 C 5.4% 194

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.8 327 16.9 116
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 201 0.21 304
Improvement -2.2 #295 +3.4 #32

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 287 260 229
Conference Record 6 - 12 8 - 10 9 - 9
Conference Finish 11 10 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 16.0
.500 or above 1% 2% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 16% 40% 5%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 1%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Away) - 30.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 410 - 612 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 269 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 86 - 90 41% -6  17% 0 - 1 D+ -7 D+ -3 D+ D+ F D+ -4 C- D+ F+
 Tue, Nov 11 22 @Virginia L 53 - 91 2% -24  0% 0 - 2 F -18 F+ -9 F B C+ F -10 D- F A-
 Fri, Nov 14 268 @Brown W 72 - 63 41% +4  68% 1 - 2 B- +6 B +7 F+ A+ C- C+ +0 F D+ A+
 Sun, Nov 16 326 Holy Cross L 61 - 67 69% -0  39% 1 - 3 F+ -17 F+ -9 F+ C F F+ -9 D- F A-
 Tue, Nov 18 135 @Boston College L 52 - 63 17% -12  0% 1 - 4 D+ -6 F -14 F B F B+ +6 A C- C
 Fri, Nov 21 306 @Norfolk St. L 60 - 62 51% -2  13% 1 - 5 D+ -8 F+ -9 C- D- D C+ +1 C- B+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 348 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 74 - 68 67% +10  90% 2 - 5 C- -4 B +6 C C- B F+ -10 C+ F+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 317 Loyola Maryland W 93 - 71 75% +15  98% 3 - 5 B +9 B +6 A+ F D B- +2 A+ F A
 Sat, Dec 13 215 Howard L 57 - 61 40% -3  11% 3 - 6 D+ -7 F -14 F F+ B- A- +7 C+ A+ D+
 Thu, Dec 18 332 Jackson St. W 84 - 77 71% +5  86% 4 - 6 C- -4 C +0 D A F D+ -4 F B- D
 Fri, Dec 19 293 Grambling St. L 72 - 81 58% -7  3% 4 - 7 F+ -16 C +0 B F D- F -17 F F B-
 Mon, Dec 29 216 Stony Brook W 62 - 59 53% -2  20% 5 - 7 1 - 0 C- -3 F -10 D- B D+ A- +7 F+ A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 167 Towson W 63 - 62 42% +1  52% 6 - 7 2 - 0 C- -2 C- -2 D+ B- F C -0 A- C D
 Sat, Jan 3 111 @UNC Wilmington L 45 - 49 13% -4  12% 6 - 8 2 - 1 C+ +3 F -20 F F C+ A+ +21 A- A A-
 Thu, Jan 8 191 @Campbell L 72 - 86 27% -13  6% 6 - 9 2 - 2 D- -13 F+ -9 D C+ F D+ -4 D+ A+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 151 @College of Charleston L 70 - 74 20% -5  0% 6 - 10 2 - 3 C -1 B +6 D- B+ B- D- -7 D- D+ F+
 Mon, Jan 19 288 N.C. A&T W 82 - 61 68% +5  64% 7 - 10 3 - 3 B +11 B+ +9 D A A+ B +4 C A+ D-
 Thu, Jan 22 189 Monmouth W 65 - 63 48% +3  80% 8 - 10 4 - 3 C- -3 D -6 F B C+ B- +3 D+ D A+
 Sat, Jan 24 111 UNC Wilmington L 67 - 75 28% -3  19% 8 - 11 4 - 4 D+ -7 C+ +3 C+ A- C+ F -12 D F D+
 Thu, Jan 29 222 @Drexel L 51 - 58 31% -3  21% 8 - 12 4 - 5 D+ -7 F -15 F+ F F A- +7 A D C
 Sat, Jan 31 167 @Towson L 50 - 82 22% -18  0% 8 - 13 4 - 6 F -29 F -19 F F B F -13 F A+ D-
 Thu, Feb 5 203 Elon W 87 - 79 2OT 51% +0  35% 9 - 13 5 - 6 C+ +2 D+ -4 F A B+ B+ +6 B A- C
 Sat, Feb 7 134 William & Mary W 77 - 74 35% -1  36% 10 - 13 6 - 6 C +2 C- -2 D+ A- B- B- +3 B B- C-
 Fri, Feb 13 288 N.C. A&T L 70 - 71 57% +4  92% 10 - 14 6 - 7 D -8 D -5 D A F D+ -3 C C F
 Thu, Feb 19 108 @Hofstra L 43 - 79 12% -14  7% 10 - 15 6 - 8 F -29 F -23 F F+ F F -11 F F D-
 Sat, Feb 21 216 @Stony Brook L 64 - 69 30%
 Thu, Feb 26 151 College of Charleston L 67 - 70 40%
 Sat, Feb 28 289 Northeastern W 76 - 71 68%
 Tue, Mar 3 134 @William & Mary L 71 - 81 17%
Totals 12 - 17 8 - 10 -5 D -5 A D- D- C +0 D C B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D+ D D D- 35% 52% 36% D- D- B- D C D+ B C B- C F+ B- B- C- 43% 21% 36% C- C- C+ C C+ C- F+ A- D
1.01 53% 34% 31% -5 -1 0.90 34% 0.9 .31 19% .34 72% .25 1.09 66% 35% 32% +2 0 1.06 29% 1.0 .30 16% .38 68% .23
Nov
3		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D+ F B+ A- C- 40% 21% 38% D+ D+ B+ F D+ F A+ C A+ D+ D- A+ B- C 40% 18% 42% D- C- F A D+ F+ F A+ F
1.08 48% 45% 40% +1 0 1.04 37% 0.8 .30 23% .55 74% .41 1.13 64% 20% 30% -3 0 0.96 41% 0.9 .37 11% .60 55% .33
Nov
11		 Virginia F+ F D- F F 38% 19% 43% B+ F C- A+ B C+ F F F F C- C+ F D 53% 10% 37% F+ D- F C- F A- C F D
0.79 35% 30% 22% -18 0 0.66 24% 1.2 .29 16% .20 64% .12 1.36 62% 40% 44% +8 +2 1.22 52% 1.1 .59 19% .31 82% .26
Nov
14		 Brown B F A+ F F+ 43% 32% 25% D F+ A+ D+ A+ C- A+ B A+ C+ F A F+ F 50% 10% 40% F F D- B D+ A+ F A+ D+
1.13 37% 64% 18% -7 -1 0.86 53% 0.9 .47 19% .54 79% .43 0.99 70% 25% 38% +7 +2 1.20 33% 1.0 .33 30% .34 60% .20
Nov
16		 Holy Cross F+ D D+ D- F 44% 18% 38% C+ F+ A+ F C F A A+ A+ F+ F A- B- D- 39% 22% 39% D- D- C+ F F A- D F F
1.03 55% 38% 29% -4 +1 0.96 43% 0.8 .34 19% .35 94% .33 1.13 75% 33% 31% +4 0 1.10 19% 1.8 .33 20% .32 100% .32
Nov
18		 Boston College F B F+ F F+ 27% 29% 44% F+ F A- C- B F C- F F B+ B- F A+ A+ 31% 20% 49% C- A C- C C- C D- F F
0.80 62% 29% 19% -12 -2 0.75 36% 0.9 .31 22% .28 43% .12 0.97 53% 60% 17% -10 -1 0.82 31% 1.0 .31 15% .35 74% .26
Nov
21		 Norfolk St. F+ A+ D B C+ 21% 28% 51% F C- D+ D- D- D F+ F F C+ B C- F C- 43% 30% 27% C C- B- A B+ F F+ A+ B-
0.97 78% 33% 36% +5 -2 1.07 29% 0.9 .26 19% .30 53% .16 1.00 47% 38% 42% -1 -1 0.98 28% 0.8 .22 15% .42 50% .21
Nov
25		 Maryland Eastern Shore B C C B+ C+ 38% 28% 33% D- C F+ A+ C- B A+ B- A+ F+ B A- D C+ 40% 29% 31% C+ C+ B- F F+ F F C- F
1.21 60% 36% 38% +3 -1 1.05 24% 1.4 .34 13% .62 76% .47 1.11 50% 31% 36% -5 -1 0.91 26% 1.3 .35 11% .42 74% .31
Dec
3		 Loyola Maryland B A+ F A+ A+ 35% 33% 33% F+ A+ C- F F D A+ D- A+ B- F A+ A+ A+ 25% 20% 55% A A+ F F F A F A+ F
1.27 81% 27% 67% +20 -2 1.39 31% 0.6 .19 16% .59 69% .41 0.97 91% 11% 17% -11 -1 0.77 37% 1.3 .47 23% .59 61% .35
Dec
13		 Howard F D- F F F 43% 17% 40% C- F C F F+ B- A+ C- A+ A- D A+ A+ B 66% 7% 27% F C+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F A+ F
0.84 50% 14% 6% -24 +1 0.55 33% 0.7 .24 18% .77 70% .54 0.90 59% 0% 17% -9 +4 0.91 23% 0.1 .03 19% .60 64% .38
Dec
18		 Jackson St. C F D A+ C- 30% 30% 41% F D C- A+ A F A+ A+ A+ D+ F F B F 33% 22% 44% D F A F+ B- D C D- C-
1.17 38% 31% 50% +2 -2 1.02 34% 1.5 .52 21% .55 84% .46 1.07 67% 58% 29% +4 -1 1.09 19% 1.2 .22 17% .27 81% .22
Dec
19		 Grambling St. C A D- A B+ 39% 28% 33% F+ B A- F F D- A+ B+ A+ F F F A+ F 61% 15% 24% F F F F F B- F D F
1.08 72% 31% 40% +6 -1 1.13 42% 0.4 .16 23% .45 78% .35 1.22 72% 50% 20% +5 +2 1.17 36% 1.3 .48 23% .58 77% .45
Dec
29		 Stony Brook F A A+ F D- 31% 27% 42% D- D- D- A+ B D+ A- F C- A- C+ B+ F D- 50% 7% 43% F F+ A- A+ A+ A+ F A+ C
0.96 71% 50% 16% -4 -1 0.91 26% 1.4 .35 17% .36 58% .21 0.92 52% 33% 44% +4 +3 1.14 23% 0.3 .06 25% .41 45% .19
Dec
31		 Towson C- A+ F F C- 33% 30% 37% D- D+ A- D+ B- F A+ B+ A+ C D- C A+ A- 32% 34% 34% B A- D+ C+ C D F B- F
1.04 79% 23% 25% -3 -2 0.93 34% 0.9 .31 20% .41 75% .31 1.03 64% 40% 13% -8 -2 0.82 38% 0.8 .31 15% .51 65% .33
Jan
3		 UNC Wilmington F F+ D+ F F 33% 35% 33% D F D F F C+ F B F+ A+ F+ C A+ A- 29% 33% 38% A A- B+ A A A- F+ A+ A+
0.75 50% 35% 13% -14 -2 0.69 22% 0.7 .15 13% .17 78% .14 0.82 67% 36% 19% -7 -2 0.83 28% 0.9 .26 18% .43 38% .16
Jan
8		 Campbell F+ B- D- D- D 47% 30% 23% D+ D B D C+ F A+ B A+ D+ A+ C+ F D+ 42% 13% 46% C D+ C+ A+ A+ C F F F
0.97 65% 31% 30% 0 -1 1.00 35% 1.1 .39 28% .49 77% .38 1.16 40% 33% 45% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.4 .14 18% .62 84% .52
Jan
10		 College of Charleston B C+ B+ F D+ 25% 37% 37% F D- A+ D B+ B- B- C+ B- D- F D B+ F 32% 24% 44% B- D- A+ F D+ F+ F C+ F
1.11 62% 42% 21% -5 -3 0.86 45% 0.9 .39 13% .25 71% .18 1.18 85% 40% 28% +5 -1 1.10 17% 2.0 .35 13% .55 73% .40
Jan
19		 N.C. A&T B+ A+ D+ F C 19% 42% 40% F D B+ A A A+ D- A+ C+ B A- A- F C 41% 33% 25% C+ C A- A+ A+ D- A+ B+ A+
1.27 90% 36% 29% +2 -4 0.98 34% 1.2 .42 6% .26 88% .23 0.95 48% 29% 46% -3 -1 0.94 24% 0.6 .13 16% .24 69% .17
Jan
22		 Monmouth D F F A+ F 35% 28% 37% F+ F D+ A+ B C+ A+ B A+ B- F+ A+ D D 33% 26% 41% C+ D+ D+ D D A+ B+ A+ A+
1.01 40% 17% 44% -7 -1 0.86 29% 1.3 .38 19% .42 77% .32 0.98 67% 25% 37% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.1 .38 25% .25 42% .10
Jan
24		 UNC Wilmington C+ B C+ C- B- 24% 31% 45% D C+ B- A+ A- C+ F F F F F B- A D 44% 29% 27% C D C F F D+ F C F
1.12 67% 40% 32% +1 -2 1.00 30% 1.3 .39 13% .15 63% .10 1.25 72% 33% 27% +2 -1 1.05 33% 1.4 .47 13% .52 70% .37
Jan
29		 Drexel F F A F D- 39% 37% 24% F+ F+ B+ F F F F+ A D A- B- C+ A+ A 45% 33% 21% A- A C+ F D C F F+ F
0.82 37% 50% 25% -7 -2 0.84 37% 0.1 .05 21% .24 83% .20 0.93 53% 36% 22% -7 -1 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 19% .44 73% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Towson F F F B- F 40% 25% 35% C- F D+ F F B B F D F F D- F F 40% 30% 30% C- F A+ A+ A+ D- F A F
0.76 32% 25% 35% -13 0 0.75 24% 0.5 .11 14% .32 50% .16 1.25 75% 47% 47% +15 -1 1.30 26% 0.5 .13 14% .44 60% .26
Feb
5		 Elon D+ F F F F 33% 30% 37% D- F B- A+ A B+ A+ C- A+ B+ F A+ C+ C 31% 31% 38% A+ B B- A+ A- C F A+ F+
1.10 42% 29% 29% -11 -2 0.77 36% 1.5 .53 13% .54 70% .38 1.00 76% 24% 33% +1 -2 1.00 30% 0.8 .23 16% .46 60% .27
Feb
7		 William & Mary C- D+ F A+ C- 35% 28% 37% F+ D+ B- A A- B- A+ C A+ B- F+ F A+ B+ 55% 13% 32% D B A+ F B- C- F B- F
1.08 56% 23% 41% -1 -1 0.98 33% 1.3 .42 17% .52 71% .37 1.04 69% 67% 7% -3 +2 1.00 17% 1.6 .27 17% .54 72% .39
Feb
13		 N.C. A&T D C C- D- D 44% 19% 37% C+ D B- A+ A F A+ C- A+ D+ C A+ F C 48% 39% 14% B- C B F+ C F F B+ F
1.06 58% 38% 31% -2 +1 1.00 31% 1.3 .41 21% .54 68% .36 1.07 57% 24% 50% -3 -2 0.93 26% 1.3 .32 11% .51 70% .35
Feb
19		 Hofstra F F F F F 34% 28% 38% C- F A- F F+ F F F F F F C+ B F+ 45% 18% 37% F F B F F D- A+ C+ A+
0.70 41% 21% 16% -21 -1 0.58 38% 0.5 .19 21% .23 64% .15 1.29 78% 33% 32% +7 +1 1.18 31% 1.6 .50 13% .15 75% .11



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.2 0.9 1.1 4th
5th 2.2 0.7 2.9 5th
6th 0.0 5.8 0.1 5.9 6th
7th 1.1 4.5 5.7 7th
8th 0.0 8.7 1.0 9.7 8th
9th 2.7 17.5 0.1 20.3 9th
10th 1.3 18.4 7.2 26.8 10th
11th 11.1 15.9 0.4 27.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 12.5 37.0 35.0 13.8 1.7 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 1.7% 1.5% 1.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 1.7
9-9 13.8% 1.2% 1.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.6
8-10 35.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 34.7
7-11 37.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.2 36.8
6-12 12.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.4
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.8 99.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 8.8%