Texas
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +14.7 28
Results Rating +13.4 41
Consistency 0.15 149
Pace 66.7 232
Improvement +1.6 129

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense A 6 B+ A B A+ C+
Defense C+ 113 B- A- D+ C- B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 90 A- 67% 28 +5.7 20
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% 218 B+ 45% 33 +1.0 123
Three Pointers 38% 233 B- 36% 110 -0.4 192
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 135 B+ +5.7 27
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.15 31
Second Chance A- 38.5% 13 A- 1.22 15 A 0.47 5
Turnovers from Steals B 8.1% 59
Other Turnovers B- 6.7% 101
Turnovers B 14.9% 63
Freethrows A+ 0.40 3 B 76% 62 A+ 0.31 2
Total Offense A +12.7 6

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 46% 234 C+ 9.9% 114
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 14% 335 B+ 2.6% 32
Three Pointers F 71% 358 B 0.3% 48
Total D- 47% 329 B- 4.8% 87

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 175 B 53% 50 -1.9 112
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 29 B- 35% 77 +1.8 317
Three Pointers 34% 350 D 37% 306 -2.2 90
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.8 56 C+ -1.5 123
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 106
Second Chance A- 23.7% 13 B- 0.95 66 A- 0.23 18
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.0% 218
Other Turnovers D- 5.9% 344
Turnovers D+ 14.9% 290
Freethrows C- 0.32 240 C 72% 173 C- 0.23 238
Total Defense C+ +2.1 113

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 43% 68 C 10.6% 185
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 19% 56 C- 4.0% 223
Three Pointers A+ 68% 4 D+ 0.4% 295
Total A- 45% 15 C 5.3% 190

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.2 148 18.1 300
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 24 0.12 36
Consistency 0.10 27 0.13 248
Improvement +2.3 77 -0.8 234

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Likely In
Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 40 31 24
Results Rating Rank 55 40 29
Conference Record 8 - 10 9 - 9 11 - 7
Conference Finish 10 8 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None 10 6
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round Sweet 16

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 7% 15% 2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 76% 91% 67%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 76% 91% 66%
Average Seed 8.9 8.0 9.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 88% 100% 79%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four17% 6% 25%
First Round70% 89% 57%
Second Round37% 51% 27%
Sweet Sixteen9% 13% 7%
Elite Eight3% 5% 2%
Final Four1% 2% 1%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 39.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 92 - 9
Quad 1b4 - 16 - 10
Quad 23 - 29 - 13
Quad 32 - 111 - 14
Quad 47 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 2 Duke L 60 - 75 16% -5  22% 0 - 1 B +11 C +1 D- A F A +9 A A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 8 322 Lafayette W 97 - 60 99% +18  99% 1 - 1 A+ +24 A+ +17 C+ A+ C+ B+ +7 B+ D- A
 Wed, Nov 12 332 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 58 99% +17  87% 2 - 1 A +21 B +6 B- B B+ A+ +13 B+ A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 360 UMKC W 71 - 55 100% +11  97% 3 - 1 C- -4 D+ -3 F C A+ C+ +1 A B- F
 Tue, Nov 18 356 Rider W 99 - 65 99% +18  99% 4 - 1 A- +16 B+ +9 A- F A+ B+ +5 B- A- D+
 Mon, Nov 24 69 Arizona St. L 86 - 87 72% +2  77% 4 - 2 B- +8 B+ +8 A A+ F C -1 C- B C-
 Wed, Nov 26 27 North Carolina St. W 102 - 97 49% +4  81% 5 - 2 A +20 A+ +30 A+ A+ A+ F -10 C- D F+
 Wed, Dec 3 20 Virginia L 69 - 88 48% -16  8% 5 - 3 C- -4 B +6 C A+ A+ F -11 D B- F
 Mon, Dec 8 261 Southern W 95 - 69 97% +17  94% 6 - 3 A- +17 A +14 A- A+ C+ B- +3 D A+ B
 Fri, Dec 12 9 @Connecticut L 63 - 71 19% -6  5% 6 - 4 A- +16 C+ +3 D+ A B- A+ +12 D+ A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 16 301 Le Moyne W 95 - 53 98% +18  99% 7 - 4 A+ +31 A- +10 B- A+ F+ A+ +19 A+ B- D
 Mon, Dec 22 351 Maryland Eastern Shore W 94 - 71 99% +11  100% 8 - 4 B- +6 A +12 A+ D B+ D -6 D- C- D-
 Sat, Jan 3 80 Mississippi St. L 98 - 101 OT 84% -1  24% 8 - 5 0 - 1 C +1 A- +10 B A+ B F+ -8 C+ F D+
 Tue, Jan 6 19 @Tennessee L 71 - 85 26% -11  4% 8 - 6 0 - 2 B- +7 A- +10 C+ A+ F D+ -3 F+ C+ B-
 Sat, Jan 10 16 @Alabama W 92 - 88 25% +5  86% 9 - 6 1 - 2 A+ +26 A+ +21 A- A+ A B +5 B A D-
 Wed, Jan 14 17 Vanderbilt W 80 - 64 46% +6  88% 10 - 6 2 - 2 A+ +32 A+ +15 A+ A F+ A+ +17 A+ A+ B
 Sat, Jan 17 34 Texas A&M L 70 - 74 63% -3  28% 10 - 7 2 - 3 B- +7 B+ +8 C D A+ C -1 C+ B- F
 Wed, Jan 21 23 @Kentucky L 80 - 85 35% -3  18% 10 - 8 2 - 4 B+ +14 A+ +15 C A+ A+ C -1 B A D-
 Sat, Jan 24 29 Georgia W 87 - 67 62% +3  46% 11 - 8 3 - 4 A+ +32 A+ +20 A+ A+ B- A+ +13 A+ B A+
 Wed, Jan 28 37 @Auburn L 82 - 88 41% +3  66% 11 - 9 3 - 5 B +11 A+ +19 A+ B- B- F+ -9 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 51 @Oklahoma W 79 - 69 53% -4  16% 12 - 9 4 - 5 A+ +24 A- +10 A+ C+ F A+ +14 A+ C+ C
 Tue, Feb 3 91 South Carolina W 84 - 75 86% +1  53% 13 - 9 5 - 5 B+ +12 A +13 C A+ C C -1 B- B+ C
 Sat, Feb 7 79 Mississippi W 79 - 68 84% +6  76% 14 - 9 6 - 5 A- +15 A +14 C+ A+ B B- +3 A- B+ D-
 Sat, Feb 14 47 @Missouri W 85 - 68 51% +3  59% 15 - 9 7 - 5 A+ +31 A+ +22 A A+ A+ A +11 A+ D F+
 Tue, Feb 17 53 LSU W 88 - 85 75% +6  73% 16 - 9 8 - 5 B +11 A+ +16 A+ A+ A- D -5 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 29 @Georgia L 80 - 91 39% -9  1% 16 - 10 8 - 6 B- +7 A+ +20 A+ F A F -15 F C- F
 Wed, Feb 25 4 Florida L 71 - 84 27% -1  46% 16 - 11 8 - 7 B- +8 A +13 A+ B+ D+ D -6 F B+ D+
 Sat, Feb 28 34 @Texas A&M L 83 - 85 40%
 Wed, Mar 4 15 @Arkansas L 82 - 89 26%
 Sat, Mar 7 51 Oklahoma W 85 - 78 73%
Totals 17 - 13 9 - 9 +15 A +13 C+ B+ C+ C+ +2 B- B A+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A A- B+ B- B+ 42% 35% 38% C+ B+ A- A- A B A+ B A+ C+ B B- D C+ 39% 27% 34% B B- A- B- A- D+ C- C C-
1.27 67% 45% 36% +6 0 1.15 39% 1.2 .47 15% .40 76% .31 1.06 53% 35% 37% -1 -1 0.97 24% 1.0 .23 15% .32 72% .29
Nov
4
Duke C F F B D- 40% 29% 31% C+ D- A+ C A F A+ B+ A+ A B A+ F A 46% 13% 41% B- A A A+ A+ C- F C F
0.90 33% 23% 36% -13 -1 0.73 41% 0.8 .32 24% .45 74% .34 1.13 57% 0% 42% 0 +2 1.04 32% 0.7 .24 15% .53 73% .39
Nov
8
Lafayette A+ B A- C- C+ 38% 21% 40% C+ C+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B- A+ B+ A C+ B B+ 38% 26% 36% A B+ C- F D- A D B C-
1.41 65% 45% 33% +4 0 1.10 52% 1.7 .87 13% .48 76% .37 0.87 44% 33% 29% -9 -1 0.83 27% 1.1 .30 22% .32 65% .20
Nov
12
Fairleigh Dickinson B A+ A+ F C+ 50% 10% 40% A B- A D B B+ A+ F B+ A+ A+ C- B A- 41% 17% 41% D B+ A+ A+ A+ F A- A A
1.27 81% 60% 24% +7 +2 1.21 39% 0.9 .34 12% .53 56% .30 0.79 38% 40% 29% -11 +1 0.81 21% 0.3 .06 12% .20 62% .12
Nov
15
UMKC D+ C F F F 47% 12% 41% B F A- F C A+ A+ F A+ C+ B D+ A+ B+ 29% 48% 23% A+ A B- B- B- F A+ F A
1.13 61% 17% 15% -13 +2 0.80 44% 0.8 .37 8% .48 61% .29 0.87 50% 41% 8% -10 -4 0.73 24% 0.8 .20 10% .14 75% .11
Nov
18
Rider B+ A+ A+ C+ A 39% 9% 53% C A- F C F A+ A+ D A+ B+ A+ B- C- C+ 25% 43% 32% A+ B- A+ C A- D+ D+ F F
1.32 82% 60% 37% +13 +2 1.32 18% 1.0 .18 8% .49 65% .32 0.87 36% 33% 33% -8 -4 0.79 21% 0.9 .19 16% .29 89% .25
Nov
24
Arizona St. B+ A+ F F A- 57% 11% 33% A+ A A A+ A+ F A+ C A+ C C- A+ F D+ 39% 24% 37% B- C- A+ F B C- F D+ F
1.15 81% 0% 27% +5 +3 1.17 41% 1.5 .63 25% .48 74% .36 1.16 61% 9% 53% +5 0 1.11 21% 1.7 .34 15% .56 78% .44
Nov
26
North Carolina St. A+ A A+ A+ A+ 26% 11% 64% C A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F F+ A+ F D+ 44% 25% 31% B+ C- A- F D F+ F B+ F+
1.42 67% 60% 47% +17 0 1.36 23% 2.0 .46 10% .51 85% .43 1.35 71% 21% 47% +7 0 1.16 24% 1.8 .42 8% .42 71% .30
Dec
3
Virginia B C+ F F D+ 44% 22% 34% B+ C B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ F D+ A+ F D 40% 15% 46% C+ D A+ F B- F F B F
1.06 55% 27% 24% -9 0 0.84 33% 1.2 .40 11% .43 68% .29 1.35 63% 29% 45% +8 +1 1.21 24% 1.7 .41 11% .50 69% .34
Dec
8
Southern A B+ B A+ A- 42% 16% 42% B A- B A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ B- C B F D 46% 32% 22% C- D C- A+ A+ B F B+ F+
1.33 67% 43% 44% +11 +1 1.26 38% 1.6 .58 18% .55 91% .50 0.96 57% 31% 45% +1 -1 1.02 30% 0.3 .08 20% .43 64% .28
Dec
12
Connecticut C+ F C D- C- 44% 31% 24% D+ D+ A+ B+ A B- A+ D A+ A+ F C- D- D- 43% 28% 28% A D+ A+ B+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+
0.95 40% 36% 27% -11 -1 0.78 37% 1.0 .37 18% .52 68% .35 1.07 75% 46% 38% +12 -1 1.24 28% 1.0 .28 23% .25 54% .14
Dec
16
Le Moyne A- C+ A+ D- C+ 41% 6% 54% A- B- A+ B- A+ F+ A- C B+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 29% 38% 33% A+ A+ B- B B- D D D D-
1.29 59% 100% 31% +1 +2 1.09 49% 1.2 .57 18% .38 74% .28 0.72 40% 30% 12% -19 -3 0.58 22% 0.9 .20 18% .38 74% .28
Dec
22
Maryland Eastern Shore A A A+ B A+ 43% 17% 40% C+ A+ A F D B+ A+ C A+ D C+ C- D D 50% 21% 29% F+ D- A- F C- D- F C F
1.33 70% 63% 37% +11 +1 1.26 41% 0.8 .31 13% .68 74% .50 1.01 54% 40% 36% -1 +1 1.02 22% 1.3 .28 20% .37 71% .27
Jan
3
Mississippi St. A- A+ B+ F B+ 28% 32% 40% D+ B B A+ A+ B A+ C- A+ F+ C- B+ C- B- 32% 20% 48% C C+ F D+ F D+ F F+ F
1.19 81% 44% 22% +1 -2 1.00 30% 1.4 .43 12% .55 73% .40 1.23 63% 33% 34% +1 0 1.03 41% 1.1 .46 13% .43 74% .32
Jan
6
Tennessee A- F A+ B- C 34% 14% 52% B C+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ D+ F A+ F F+ 50% 18% 32% D+ F+ D+ B- C+ B- F D+ F
1.06 33% 50% 35% -6 +1 0.91 41% 1.4 .57 24% .39 80% .31 1.27 73% 25% 43% +9 +1 1.23 48% 1.0 .48 19% .54 72% .39
Jan
10
Alabama A+ D+ F+ A+ A 31% 27% 42% C- A- A+ A- A+ A A+ B- A+ B A+ A+ F B 41% 17% 43% B B B+ A+ A D- F A- D
1.29 50% 29% 45% +2 -1 1.04 42% 1.1 .47 10% .50 69% .34 1.23 45% 33% 48% +3 +1 1.09 30% 0.9 .28 10% .42 70% .29
Jan
14
Vanderbilt A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 24% 38% C+ A+ A+ C- A F+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ A F A 27% 33% 40% A+ A+ A A+ A+ B A- B+ A
1.21 63% 60% 44% +12 0 1.26 44% 0.9 .40 23% .43 86% .37 0.97 43% 29% 43% -2 -2 0.94 24% 0.4 .10 15% .27 73% .20
Jan
17
Texas A&M B+ B+ C D C+ 30% 28% 43% D C C+ F D A+ A+ B A+ C B F D- B 55% 6% 38% D- C+ A+ F B- F C- A+ B
1.13 64% 38% 30% -1 -2 0.98 31% 0.6 .20 13% .48 77% .37 1.19 54% 67% 39% +2 +3 1.13 19% 1.5 .28 10% .34 63% .21
Jan
21
Kentucky A+ A+ B F C 41% 31% 28% C C A A+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ C C F B C 27% 40% 33% A+ B C- A+ A D- F F F
1.16 73% 41% 7% -4 -1 0.91 36% 1.2 .44 12% .33 90% .29 1.23 62% 47% 31% +3 -3 1.02 38% 0.8 .32 12% .57 86% .49
Jan
24
Georgia A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 33% 35% 31% F A+ A+ A+ A+ B- D+ A- C- A+ C- A+ B+ A+ 43% 18% 39% B- A+ B B B A+ F A F
1.32 82% 56% 31% +13 -2 1.24 44% 1.4 .60 18% .22 75% .17 1.02 63% 13% 29% -5 +1 0.93 34% 1.0 .34 20% .47 68% .32
Jan
28
Auburn A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 16% 53% B- A+ C B+ B- B- A+ B+ A+ F+ B- F F F 39% 12% 49% C F A+ B- A+ F F C+ F
1.29 57% 71% 46% +14 0 1.31 29% 1.1 .33 17% .44 78% .34 1.38 56% 60% 50% +14 +1 1.32 24% 1.0 .24 5% .64 74% .48
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31
Oklahoma A- A+ A+ B A+ 37% 22% 41% B- A+ F A+ C+ F C C C A+ A+ F+ A A+ 25% 27% 48% A+ A+ A F C+ C B A+ A
1.18 82% 60% 37% +16 0 1.33 22% 1.6 .35 21% .28 73% .21 1.03 38% 50% 28% -6 -2 0.87 27% 1.6 .43 13% .28 63% .17
Feb
3
South Carolina A C+ F+ C+ C 32% 30% 38% D C A+ A A+ C A+ A+ A+ C F A+ A+ B- 51% 29% 20% C+ B- A D B+ C F C F
1.23 60% 29% 33% -3 -2 0.94 47% 1.2 .56 16% .63 81% .51 1.10 80% 21% 10% -1 0 1.00 21% 1.2 .24 15% .41 79% .33
Feb
7
Mississippi A C- A+ F B 34% 39% 27% F+ C+ B A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ B- B+ F A+ B+ 17% 38% 44% A- A- B+ B B+ D- C+ C- C
1.24 53% 53% 25% 0 -3 0.98 33% 2.2 .74 16% .43 87% .37 1.07 56% 50% 26% -1 -4 0.92 25% 1.0 .25 9% .30 76% .23
Feb
14
Missouri A+ A+ F+ B A+ 35% 33% 31% D+ A A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ C+ A+ 55% 23% 23% C A+ A+ F D F+ F C F
1.32 83% 29% 38% +8 -2 1.14 44% 1.0 .44 11% .40 91% .37 1.05 45% 22% 33% -11 +1 0.83 27% 1.8 .47 14% .68 68% .47
Feb
17
LSU A+ B- D+ A+ A+ 44% 27% 29% C A+ C A+ A+ A- A+ C A+ D A- F F D 53% 29% 17% B- D+ A+ A+ A+ F B+ F B-
1.28 60% 33% 54% +8 0 1.18 29% 1.9 .54 12% .56 68% .38 1.24 52% 59% 50% +7 0 1.16 21% 0.6 .12 7% .30 84% .25
Feb
21
Georgia A+ A+ C A+ A+ 58% 18% 24% A- A+ D F F A A+ A- A+ F C+ F F F 49% 12% 39% D+ F B F+ C- F A F B
1.29 69% 38% 55% +14 +2 1.33 27% 0.5 .14 15% .45 75% .34 1.47 60% 67% 55% +17 +2 1.39 33% 1.3 .42 8% .25 86% .21
Feb
25
Florida A D C A+ A 59% 25% 16% A A+ A+ D B+ D+ A+ A- A+ D D- F F F 43% 21% 36% A F A+ F B+ D+ A F B
1.10 46% 36% 71% +1 +1 1.07 39% 0.6 .22 19% .40 76% .30 1.30 70% 60% 47% +17 0 1.36 30% 1.3 .39 14% .27 80% .22




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.4 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 2.5 2.5 4th
5th 1.8 4.4 6.3 5th
6th 0.0 11.4 0.9 12.4 6th
7th 1.8 15.0 16.8 7th
8th 12.8 6.4 19.2 8th
9th 2.9 22.7 0.5 26.1 9th
10th 8.3 6.8 15.1 10th
11th 1.3 1.3 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 12.5 44.2 35.1 8.2 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 8.2% 99.1% 2.9% 96.2% 6.6 0.1 0.1 0.8 2.4 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 99.1%
10-8 35.1% 92.7% 2.0% 90.7% 8.2 0.1 0.5 2.7 7.2 9.0 7.4 4.3 1.3 0.0 2.6 92.6%
9-9 44.2% 72.0% 1.1% 70.9% 10.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.4 4.7 9.2 13.1 0.5 12.4 71.7%
8-10 12.5% 30.8% 1.0% 29.8% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.6 0.4 8.6 30.1%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 76.4% 1.6% 74.8% 8.9 23.6 76.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 4.5 25.0 16.7 41.7 16.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6% 100.0% 5.7 3.4 39.0 45.8 8.5 3.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.2% 99.1% 6.2 0.5 15.0 49.1 29.5 4.5 0.5
Lose Out 5.9% 9.4% 11.3 6.1 3.2