Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.8 244
Results Rating -4.7 244
Consistency 0.13 48
Pace 68.1 188
Improvement +3.1 74

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 198 C D+ C+ C- C-
Defense D+ 279 D+ C+ D- C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 281 C- 56% 207 -2.4 271
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% 213 C+ 39% 125 +0.4 151
Three Pointers 44% 122 C 34% 182 +1.4 133
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.2 219 C -0.3 180
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 187
Second Chance D 25.2% 318 C 1.03 177 D+ 0.26 292
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.2% 155
Other Turnovers C+ 7.1% 152
Turnovers C+ 16.3% 144
Freethrows C- 0.29 227 C 73% 188 C- 0.21 216
Total Offense C- -1.2 198

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 37% 329 D+ 12.9% 300
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 308 C- 6.0% 254
Three Pointers C+ 87% 122 F+ 1.9% 347
Total D+ 50% 293 D+ 6.6% 300


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 273 D- 64% 329 +0.4 196
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 303 C- 40% 250 -1.2 91
Three Pointers 48% 19 C 34% 166 +3.2 318
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 224 D+ +2.1 270
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 264
Second Chance C+ 29.4% 147 C 1.03 170 C+ 0.30 155
Turnovers from Steals D 7.7% 309
Other Turnovers D 6.1% 322
Turnovers D- 13.8% 338
Freethrows C+ 0.29 154 C 73% 210 C+ 0.21 153
Total Defense D+ -3.6 279

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 249 C- 9.4% 231
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 137 B- 6.5% 78
Three Pointers C- 85% 231 D 0.1% 346
Total D+ 59% 262 D+ 4.5% 264

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 291 16.5 35
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 306 0.16 143
Consistency 0.13 207 0.12 129
Improvement +0.9 143 +2.2 78

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 257 241 226
Results Rating Rank 251 248 196
Conference Record 8 - 8 8 - 8 8 - 8
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Four

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 26% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four6% 24% 0%
First Round4% 16% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 49 - 612 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 128 Murray St. L 77 - 85 25% -5  33% 0 - 1 D+ -6 F+ -9 C- F+ F B +5 A C+ B
 Thu, Nov 6 252 @Abilene Christian L 71 - 73 39% -4  14% 0 - 2 C- -4 C- -1 C- F C- C- -3 F+ D+ C-
 Sun, Nov 9 86 @Colorado St. L 74 - 97 9% -8  8% 0 - 3 D- -13 B- +5 B- D A F -20 D- F D+
 Sat, Nov 15 262 Southern Utah W 90 - 85 64% +3  76% 1 - 3 C- -4 B- +4 A- F C D- -8 F+ A- F
 Fri, Nov 21 58 @LSU L 73 - 99 6% -16  0% 1 - 4 D- -13 D -6 C F C D -5 F A+ C-
 Tue, Nov 25 207 James Madison L 77 - 88 41% -13  9% 1 - 5 D- -13 B +6 A C+ F F -20 F F D-
 Wed, Nov 26 205 @Florida International L 61 - 74 30% -8  2% 1 - 6 D- -12 F -15 F A F B- +3 B- B+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 150 Northern Colorado L 70 - 75 41% -1  37% 1 - 7 D+ -7 D+ -3 D+ B+ D+ D+ -4 D+ A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 153 @Portland St. W 60 - 55 22% +2  59% 2 - 7 B +8 C+ +3 D- A+ C- B+ +6 A C+ D+
 Sat, Dec 20 240 @Lamar W 85 - 82 OT 38% +7  82% 3 - 7 C +1 B +7 B+ C+ D+ D -6 C+ F D+
 Sun, Dec 28 82 @Oregon L 57 - 80 9% -11  1% 3 - 8 D- -13 D- -6 D- C+ B+ F+ -9 F+ A- F
 Thu, Jan 1 215 @South Dakota St. L 69 - 84 33% -6  2% 3 - 9 0 - 1 F+ -15 D- -7 F F A+ D- -8 C- F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 363 UMKC L 66 - 73 93% -2  41% 3 - 10 0 - 2 F -28 F -15 D+ D- F F -14 D- B- F
 Thu, Jan 8 294 North Dakota W 90 - 79 71% +7  89% 4 - 10 1 - 2 C +0 B+ +9 A+ D C+ F+ -8 C- C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 130 North Dakota St. L 76 - 78 36% +6  89% 4 - 11 1 - 3 C- -3 B+ +9 B- A C- F -13 F B D-
 Sat, Jan 17 314 @Oral Roberts W 73 - 62 56% +6  95% 5 - 11 2 - 3 C+ +5 C- -2 B- F B+ A- +7 B+ B C-
 Wed, Jan 21 283 South Dakota L 64 - 68 70% +2  64% 5 - 12 2 - 4 D- -14 F -18 F F+ F+ B +4 D A A+
 Sat, Jan 24 363 @UMKC W 77 - 60 84% +8  92% 6 - 12 3 - 4 C +2 D- -7 D B- F A- +7 C A B-
 Wed, Jan 28 215 South Dakota St. W 80 - 71 55% +2  71% 7 - 12 4 - 4 C+ +3 C +1 D+ B A- B- +2 A B- C+
 Sat, Jan 31 257 @Denver W 84 - 82 40% -1  43% 8 - 12 5 - 4 C -0 C- -1 C- F+ B C+ +0 C- A- F
 Thu, Feb 5 294 @North Dakota L 73 - 76 49% +5  86% 8 - 13 5 - 5 D+ -8 D -5 F B B C- -3 B- B+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 130 @North Dakota St. L 84 - 92 18% -8  13% 8 - 14 5 - 6 C- -3 A +14 A+ C+ B F -17 F C F
 Thu, Feb 12 109 St. Thomas W 98 - 94 30% +1  68% 9 - 14 6 - 6 C+ +5 A+ +16 A C A F -12 F D B-
 Sun, Feb 15 257 Denver W 83 - 76 63% +7  96% 10 - 14 7 - 6 C -1 C+ +3 A- F B D+ -3 B F C+
 Wed, Feb 18 314 Oral Roberts W 80 - 71 76% +9  88% 11 - 14 8 - 6 C- -3 B- +4 A+ F F D- -7 F B B-
 Wed, Feb 25 283 @South Dakota L 72 - 89 48% -11  0% 11 - 15 8 - 7 F -21 F+ -8 F C- B F -12 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 109 @St. Thomas L 53 - 68 14% -5  39% 11 - 16 8 - 8 D -8 F -17 F F A+ A- +7 B+ C D
 Fri, Mar 6 283 South Dakota W 76 - 62 59% +4  87% 12 - 16 B- +7 C+ +3 D+ F+ A+ B +5 A+ D- F
 Sat, Mar 7 130 North Dakota St. L 71 - 78 26%
Totals 12 - 17 8 - 8 -5 C- -1 B- C C- D+ -4 C C C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- C+ C C 35% 35% 44% C- C D C D+ C+ C- C C- D+ D- C- C D+ 36% 17% 48% C- D+ C+ C C+ D- C+ C C+
1.07 56% 39% 34% 0 0 1.01 25% 1.0 .26 16% .29 73% .21 1.14 64% 40% 34% +2 0 1.07 29% 1.0 .30 14% .29 73% .21
Nov
3		 Murray St. F+ D+ C A- C 50% 32% 18% C- C- D F F+ F C- C C- B C- A+ A+ A+ 35% 12% 53% D+ A B D+ C+ B F F F
0.97 54% 39% 40% 0 -1 1.00 28% 0.8 .22 21% .29 72% .21 1.07 61% 17% 26% -8 +1 0.88 29% 1.2 .34 18% .51 91% .46
Nov
6		 Abilene Christian C- C A+ C- C 37% 22% 41% D- C- D- F F C- A+ B- A+ C- D C- D+ F+ 39% 17% 43% D F+ F+ B- D+ C- D D- F+
1.03 60% 56% 35% +5 0 1.12 20% 0.4 .08 23% .59 74% .44 1.06 61% 38% 35% +2 0 1.07 38% 0.8 .31 20% .38 76% .29
Nov
9		 Colorado St. B- B- C- B B- 24% 15% 61% C+ B- D- C- D A D+ B+ C- F F+ F D+ D 38% 4% 58% F D- F F F D+ F F F
1.13 62% 38% 36% +3 0 1.07 22% 1.1 .24 11% .26 73% .19 1.48 71% 100% 38% +11 +2 1.29 52% 1.4 .70 17% .61 85% .51
Nov
15		 Southern Utah B- C C+ A+ A- 44% 22% 35% C+ A- D- F F C A+ A A+ D- F F A- F+ 45% 14% 41% F+ F+ C+ A+ A- F C C C
1.21 58% 42% 53% +11 0 1.24 25% 0.3 .06 13% .39 80% .31 1.14 73% 50% 29% +5 +1 1.16 28% 0.7 .21 13% .26 71% .19
Nov
21		 LSU D C A+ D- C+ 28% 21% 52% C- C D+ F F C A F D+ D F+ F F F 38% 7% 55% F+ F A+ A+ A+ C- C B- C
0.94 56% 50% 30% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 15% .38 48% .18 1.28 71% 50% 45% +15 +2 1.36 23% 0.9 .20 14% .36 75% .27
Nov
25		 James Madison B A+ C A- A+ 32% 16% 52% C A C+ B- C+ F F D+ F F C- A+ F F 35% 12% 53% C- F C- F F D- A+ F A+
1.19 75% 38% 38% +9 0 1.20 31% 1.1 .34 17% .19 70% .13 1.36 61% 17% 56% +16 +1 1.35 30% 1.8 .52 14% .14 88% .13
Nov
26		 Florida International F F A+ F F 34% 15% 51% C- F D+ A+ A F A- D+ B B- D+ A+ C- C 27% 23% 50% A B- A D+ B+ F D+ A+ B+
0.85 38% 57% 21% -14 0 0.74 32% 1.5 .49 28% .38 70% .27 1.03 60% 23% 36% -2 -1 0.96 25% 1.1 .28 10% .34 50% .17
Dec
3		 Northern Colorado D+ F+ F C+ D 48% 15% 38% B- D+ D+ A+ B+ D+ B+ F C+ D+ A- F F+ C- 43% 8% 49% F D+ D+ A+ A+ D- D+ F F+
1.06 48% 29% 33% -7 +1 0.92 23% 1.6 .37 14% .38 68% .26 1.13 50% 75% 40% +4 +2 1.14 29% 0.5 .14 14% .26 87% .23
Dec
6		 Portland St. C+ D- F C- F 45% 15% 40% B D- A- A+ A+ C- C- A+ B B+ F F A+ A+ 33% 7% 60% D A B- C- C+ D+ D- A+ C+
1.04 50% 0% 31% -11 +1 0.83 37% 1.4 .50 19% .34 88% .30 0.95 71% 67% 15% -11 +1 0.84 29% 1.0 .29 17% .36 53% .19
Dec
20		 Lamar B B A+ C+ A- 34% 16% 50% C B+ D- A+ C+ D+ B A+ A D D B+ A+ B- 44% 32% 25% F+ C+ F F F D+ F D- F
1.16 65% 63% 36% +8 0 1.18 24% 1.4 .34 19% .42 80% .34 1.12 60% 33% 21% -5 -1 0.89 42% 1.3 .55 15% .32 75% .24
Dec
28		 Oregon D- F A+ F F+ 27% 25% 47% C- D- D+ A C+ B+ C+ F F F+ D- A F F 32% 13% 55% C+ F+ F A+ A- F A+ A+ A+
0.90 29% 62% 25% -8 -1 0.82 26% 1.1 .28 14% .27 47% .13 1.26 65% 29% 41% +7 +1 1.17 44% 0.7 .32 13% .23 46% .11
Jan
1		 South Dakota St. D- F C F+ F 31% 17% 53% C- F F D F A+ C- C- C- D- D- A+ A+ C+ 55% 9% 36% F C- F F F D+ F F F
0.99 44% 40% 29% -8 0 0.86 16% 1.0 .16 6% .29 74% .21 1.20 66% 20% 26% -2 +3 1.04 41% 1.2 .49 14% .35 81% .28
Jan
3		 UMKC F B F B- D+ 42% 25% 33% D D+ F A+ D- F F+ F+ F+ F B- B- F F+ 38% 29% 33% C D- A+ F B- F F F F
0.97 65% 25% 38% +1 0 1.04 20% 1.5 .30 22% .21 64% .13 1.08 50% 33% 41% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.2 .20 10% .36 82% .30
Jan
8		 North Dakota B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 12% 41% C+ A+ D+ D- D C+ A+ A A+ F+ C+ B- C D+ 34% 12% 54% C+ C- D C+ C- F F C F
1.32 68% 60% 47% +16 +2 1.37 32% 1.0 .32 19% .63 80% .51 1.15 53% 33% 33% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.0 .31 10% .49 70% .34
Jan
10		 North Dakota St. B+ A F A- C+ 40% 17% 43% B- B- A A A C- B- A+ A F F F B+ F 38% 16% 46% F+ F A+ F B D- A- F C
1.23 74% 13% 40% +6 +1 1.15 38% 1.1 .42 19% .28 93% .26 1.26 79% 63% 30% +9 +1 1.22 20% 1.4 .28 13% .20 91% .19
Jan
17		 Oral Roberts C- D- A+ A+ B- 52% 13% 35% B- B- F D- F B+ D+ F D- A- A F A+ A 43% 7% 50% F B+ A- C- B C- F D+ F
1.09 48% 57% 44% +3 +2 1.12 13% 1.0 .13 12% .30 61% .19 0.92 42% 100% 23% -11 +2 0.84 21% 1.0 .21 18% .45 76% .34
Jan
21		 South Dakota F A C- F F 46% 20% 34% D+ F F+ C- F+ F+ A F C+ B F A C D- 30% 17% 52% B- D A+ F A A+ C- C- C-
0.89 70% 40% 6% -9 +1 0.86 24% 1.1 .27 19% .38 59% .22 0.94 71% 25% 33% +1 0 1.04 11% 1.3 .14 24% .38 76% .29
Jan
24		 UMKC D- B- A+ F D+ 28% 24% 48% F D B- C+ B- F A+ C- A A- B- F A D+ 15% 32% 53% A+ C B A+ A B- C A+ B
1.04 64% 50% 29% +1 -1 1.02 39% 1.1 .42 23% .39 68% .26 0.81 50% 53% 25% -4 -3 0.89 23% 0.6 .13 20% .26 53% .14
Jan
28		 South Dakota St. C B+ A+ F C- 34% 25% 42% D D+ D+ A+ B A- B+ A A B- F A A+ A 35% 22% 43% B- A D- A+ B- C+ F C F
1.14 67% 54% 23% 0 -1 1.00 24% 1.5 .36 11% .35 82% .29 1.01 72% 27% 18% -8 0 0.86 34% 0.8 .27 17% .43 72% .31
Jan
31		 Denver C- B C- C C- 38% 25% 36% D- C- D F F+ B B- A B+ C+ B B- F C- 26% 26% 48% C C- A+ F A- F A+ C A+
1.17 67% 36% 35% +3 -1 1.07 30% 0.9 .27 11% .34 77% .27 1.14 50% 38% 41% +3 -2 1.05 18% 1.3 .23 7% .19 77% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 North Dakota D A+ F F F 28% 24% 48% F F C B+ B B C+ F D+ C- F A A+ C+ 37% 15% 48% B- B- D+ A+ B+ F F B F
1.07 77% 9% 27% -6 -1 0.87 35% 1.3 .45 18% .39 64% .25 1.11 74% 25% 20% -6 +1 0.90 30% 0.7 .21 4% .58 66% .38
Feb
7		 North Dakota St. A B+ D- A+ A+ 31% 12% 57% B- A+ D- A+ C+ B D C D F D- D F F 34% 26% 40% B- F C C+ C F F F F
1.25 69% 33% 48% +15 +1 1.33 23% 1.3 .30 16% .21 75% .16 1.37 67% 43% 48% +12 -1 1.25 32% 1.0 .32 7% .35 91% .32
Feb
12		 St. Thomas A+ A D+ A A+ 45% 17% 38% C+ A B- D- C A A+ A+ A+ F F A F F 38% 7% 55% C F D+ F D B- A- A+ A+
1.32 71% 33% 40% +8 +1 1.21 33% 1.0 .33 12% .43 89% .38 1.27 81% 25% 45% +17 +2 1.39 23% 1.1 .26 16% .23 43% .10
Feb
15		 Denver C+ D A- A+ A 44% 24% 31% D+ A- F A+ F B F A+ F+ D+ A F A B- 25% 31% 44% B B F F F C+ A+ F A+
1.26 54% 46% 59% +12 0 1.26 14% 1.5 .21 11% .20 83% .17 1.15 43% 59% 29% -1 -2 0.96 39% 1.4 .53 15% .12 86% .11
Feb
18		 Oral Roberts B- C+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 6% 51% B A+ B- F F F F F+ F D- F F C F 30% 16% 54% B- F A+ F B B- A+ B A+
1.21 59% 67% 50% +14 +2 1.35 35% 0.5 .16 20% .21 64% .13 1.08 73% 63% 33% +8 0 1.18 14% 1.5 .21 20% .19 70% .13
Feb
25		 South Dakota F+ F F+ B- F 56% 17% 27% C+ F F A+ C- B A+ F A+ F C F F F 44% 12% 44% D- F A+ A A+ F F D+ F
0.98 45% 33% 36% -8 +2 0.90 22% 1.6 .36 14% .44 68% .30 1.21 57% 50% 43% +7 +2 1.19 16% 0.8 .13 11% .46 77% .35
Feb
28		 St. Thomas F F A- F F 40% 21% 40% D+ F F F F A+ D C+ D A- C A+ B- A- 45% 4% 51% D- B+ D+ B C D A- A+ A+
0.81 38% 45% 24% -12 0 0.77 17% 0.6 .10 11% .22 77% .17 1.04 63% 0% 33% 0 +3 1.08 23% 0.9 .20 12% .23 46% .10
Mar
6		 South Dakota C+ B A+ F C- 34% 22% 44% F+ D+ F+ C- F+ A+ B- B B B A- A+ B+ A+ 35% 21% 44% B- A+ F C+ D- F C A+ A-
1.17 65% 55% 27% +1 0 1.04 24% 1.1 .27 8% .32 79% .25 0.96 47% 10% 29% -13 0 0.75 35% 0.9 .33 9% .37 59% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 6.3 93.7
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 16.0 93.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.3% 100.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 18.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 75.4%