Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.9 248
Expected Predictive Rating -6.2 261
Pace 68.5 192
Improvement +2.2 94

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #208 C- C- C C- C-
Defense D+ #282 D+ C+ D- C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 272 58% 181 -2.0 254
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 176 39% 126 +0.4 151
Three Pointers 44% 122 32% 240 +0.6 156
1st FG Attempt 1.00 205 -1.0 204
Second Chance 25.7% 311 1.10 85 0.28 248
Turnovers 17.1% 192
Freethrows 0.30 219 72% 203 0.21 211
Total Offense -1.5 208

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 256 64% 331 -1.0 210
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 318 39% 234 +1.6 68
Three Pointers 48% 22 33% 138 -3.0 308
1st FG Attempt 1.07 256 -2.3 257
Second Chance 29.3% 129 1.01 148 0.30 129
Turnovers 13.8% 338
Freethrows 0.31 212 75% 321 0.24 247
Total Defense -3.4 282

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.2 226 +0.4 250
Shot Type Accuracy -0.7 201 +1.8 246
Possession Length 18.3 279 16.4 34
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 295 0.17 174
Improvement -0.1 #184 +2.3 #68

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 6.4% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 1.5% 3.7% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 46.2% 77.5% 29.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.2% 4.7% 4.0%
First Round3.4% 4.5% 2.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Thomas (Home) - 34.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 32 - 63 - 11
Quad 48 - 611 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 112 Murray St. L 77 - 85 21% -5  33% 0 - 1 C- -5 F+ -9 C F+ F B +6 A+ C+ B
 Thu, Nov 6 262 @Abilene Christian L 71 - 73 41% -4  14% 0 - 2 C- -5 C- -2 C F D+ C- -3 D- C- C
 Sun, Nov 9 103 @Colorado St. L 74 - 97 12% -8  8% 0 - 3 F+ -15 B- +5 B- D A F -22 F+ F D+
 Sat, Nov 15 284 Southern Utah W 90 - 85 69% +3  76% 1 - 3 D+ -5 B +5 A- F C F+ -11 F B+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 56 @LSU L 73 - 99 6% -16  0% 1 - 4 D- -13 D -5 C F C+ D -6 F A+ C-
 Tue, Nov 25 220 James Madison L 77 - 88 43% -13  9% 1 - 5 D- -14 B- +5 A C+ F F -20 F F D-
 Wed, Nov 26 187 @Florida International L 61 - 74 28% -8  2% 1 - 6 D- -12 F -15 F A- F B- +4 B- B F
 Wed, Dec 3 175 Northern Colorado L 70 - 75 46% -1  37% 1 - 7 D -9 D -5 D+ B C- D+ -4 D+ A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 142 @Portland St. W 60 - 55 20% +2  59% 2 - 7 B +9 C+ +3 D- A+ C B+ +7 A C D
 Sat, Dec 20 197 @Lamar W 85 - 82 OT 30% +7  82% 3 - 7 C+ +4 B +7 B+ C+ D+ C- -3 B- F C-
 Sun, Dec 28 80 @Oregon L 57 - 80 9% -11  1% 3 - 8 D- -13 F+ -8 F+ C+ B+ D -7 F+ A- F+
 Thu, Jan 1 192 @South Dakota St. L 69 - 84 29% -6  2% 3 - 9 0 - 1 D- -14 D- -6 F F A+ D- -8 C F D
 Sat, Jan 3 357 UMKC L 66 - 73 88% -2  41% 3 - 10 0 - 2 F -25 F -13 D+ D F F -12 D B- F
 Thu, Jan 8 293 North Dakota W 90 - 79 71% +7  89% 4 - 10 1 - 2 C +0 B+ +9 A+ D B- D- -8 C- C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 148 North Dakota St. L 76 - 78 39% +6  89% 4 - 11 1 - 3 C- -4 B+ +8 C+ A C F -13 F B- F+
 Sat, Jan 17 338 @Oral Roberts W 73 - 62 63% +6  95% 5 - 11 2 - 3 C+ +3 D+ -3 B- F B+ B +6 B B- C
 Wed, Jan 21 275 South Dakota L 64 - 68 68% +2  64% 5 - 12 2 - 4 D- -14 F -19 F F D- B +6 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 357 @UMKC W 77 - 60 75% +8  92% 6 - 12 3 - 4 B- +5 D -5 D B F A- +9 C+ A C+
 Wed, Jan 28 192 South Dakota St. W 80 - 71 51% +2  71% 7 - 12 4 - 4 C+ +4 C+ +2 C- B A C+ +2 A C+ C+
 Sat, Jan 31 257 @Denver W 84 - 82 41% -1  43% 8 - 12 5 - 4 C -0 C- -0 C- F B- C -0 C- A F
 Thu, Feb 5 293 @North Dakota L 73 - 76 49% +5  86% 8 - 13 5 - 5 D+ -8 D -5 F B B C- -3 C+ B+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 148 @North Dakota St. L 84 - 92 20% -8  13% 8 - 14 5 - 6 C- -4 A +13 A+ B- B+ F -17 F C F
 Thu, Feb 12 122 St. Thomas L 75 - 79 35%
 Sun, Feb 15 257 Denver W 83 - 79 63%
 Wed, Feb 18 338 Oral Roberts W 79 - 70 82%
 Wed, Feb 25 275 @South Dakota L 79 - 80 45%
 Sat, Feb 28 122 @St. Thomas L 72 - 82 16%
Totals 10 - 17 7 - 9 -5 C- -2 C- C- C D+ -3 D+ C+ D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C C+ C- C- 35% 21% 44% C- C- D B- C- C C- C C- D+ D- C- C+ D+ 36% 16% 48% D+ D+ C+ C+ C+ D- C D C-
1.06 58% 39% 32% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.1 .28 17% .30 72% .21 1.13 64% 39% 33% +2 0 1.07 29% 1.0 .30 14% .31 75% .22
Nov
3		 Murray St. F+ C- C A- C+ 50% 32% 18% C- C D F F+ F C C- C B C- A+ A+ A+ 35% 12% 53% D+ A+ B D+ C+ B F F F
0.97 54% 39% 40% 0 -1 1.00 28% 0.8 .22 21% .29 72% .21 1.07 61% 17% 26% -8 +1 0.88 29% 1.2 .34 18% .51 91% .46
Nov
6		 Abilene Christian C- C A+ C C+ 37% 22% 41% D- C F F F D+ A+ C+ A+ C- D C C- D- 39% 17% 43% D- D- D- B- C- C D- F+ F
1.03 60% 56% 35% +5 0 1.12 20% 0.4 .08 23% .59 74% .44 1.06 61% 38% 35% +2 0 1.07 38% 0.8 .31 20% .38 76% .29
Nov
9		 Colorado St. B- C+ C- B B- 24% 15% 61% C+ B- D C- D A D+ B+ C F F+ F D+ D- 38% 4% 58% F F+ F F F D+ F F F
1.13 62% 38% 36% +3 0 1.07 22% 1.1 .24 11% .26 73% .19 1.48 71% 100% 38% +11 +2 1.29 52% 1.4 .70 17% .61 85% .51
Nov
15		 Southern Utah B C B- A+ A 44% 22% 35% C A- D- F F C A+ A+ A+ F+ F F B+ F 45% 14% 41% F+ F C A+ B+ F D+ C+ C-
1.21 58% 42% 53% +11 0 1.24 25% 0.3 .06 13% .39 80% .31 1.14 73% 50% 29% +5 +1 1.16 28% 0.7 .21 13% .26 71% .19
Nov
21		 LSU D C A+ D- C+ 28% 21% 52% C- C D+ F F C+ A F C- D F+ F F F 38% 7% 55% D- F A+ A+ A+ C- C C+ C
0.94 56% 50% 30% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 15% .38 48% .18 1.28 71% 50% 45% +15 +2 1.36 23% 0.9 .20 14% .36 75% .27
Nov
25		 James Madison B- A+ C+ B+ A+ 32% 16% 52% C- A C B- C+ F F D+ F F D+ A+ F F 35% 12% 53% D+ F C- F F D- A+ F A
1.19 75% 38% 38% +9 0 1.20 31% 1.1 .34 17% .19 70% .13 1.36 61% 17% 56% +16 +1 1.35 30% 1.8 .52 14% .14 88% .13
Nov
26		 Florida International F F A+ F F 34% 15% 51% C F D+ A+ A- F A- D+ B+ B- C- A+ C- C+ 27% 23% 50% A B- A D+ B F C- A+ B+
0.85 38% 57% 21% -14 0 0.74 32% 1.5 .49 28% .38 70% .27 1.03 60% 23% 36% -2 -1 0.96 25% 1.1 .28 10% .34 50% .17
Dec
3		 Northern Colorado D F+ F C+ D 48% 15% 38% B D+ D+ A+ B C- B+ F C+ D+ A- F F+ C- 43% 8% 49% F D+ C A+ A+ D- D+ F F+
1.06 48% 29% 33% -7 +1 0.92 23% 1.6 .37 14% .38 68% .26 1.13 50% 75% 40% +4 +2 1.14 29% 0.5 .14 14% .26 87% .23
Dec
6		 Portland St. C+ D F C- F+ 45% 15% 40% B D- A- A+ A+ C D A+ C+ B+ F F A+ A+ 33% 7% 60% D+ A B- D+ C D D A+ B-
1.04 50% 0% 31% -11 +1 0.83 37% 1.4 .50 19% .34 88% .30 0.95 71% 67% 15% -10 +1 0.84 29% 1.0 .29 17% .36 53% .19
Dec
20		 Lamar B B A+ C+ A- 34% 16% 50% C+ B+ D- A+ C+ D+ B A+ A C- D B A+ B 44% 32% 25% F+ B- F F F C- F D+ F
1.16 65% 63% 36% +8 0 1.18 24% 1.4 .34 19% .42 80% .34 1.12 60% 33% 21% -5 -1 0.89 42% 1.3 .55 15% .32 75% .24
Dec
28		 Oregon F+ F A+ F F+ 27% 25% 47% C- F+ D+ A C+ B+ C F F D D- A+ F F 32% 13% 55% C F+ F A+ A- F+ A+ A+ A+
0.90 29% 62% 25% -8 -1 0.82 26% 1.1 .28 14% .27 47% .13 1.26 65% 29% 41% +7 0 1.17 44% 0.7 .32 13% .23 46% .11
Jan
1		 South Dakota St. D- F C D- F 31% 17% 53% C F F D+ F A+ C- C C- D- D- A+ A B- 55% 9% 36% F C F F F D F+ F F
0.99 44% 40% 29% -8 0 0.86 16% 1.0 .16 6% .29 74% .21 1.20 66% 20% 26% -2 +3 1.04 41% 1.2 .49 14% .35 81% .28
Jan
3		 UMKC F B- F B C- 42% 25% 33% D D+ F A+ D F F+ F+ F+ F B B- F D 38% 29% 33% C- D A+ F B- F F F F
0.97 65% 25% 38% +1 0 1.04 20% 1.5 .30 22% .21 64% .13 1.08 50% 33% 41% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.2 .20 10% .36 82% .30
Jan
8		 North Dakota B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 12% 41% B- A+ D+ D- D B- A+ A A+ D- C+ C+ C D+ 34% 12% 54% C C- D+ C+ C- F F C F
1.32 68% 60% 47% +16 +2 1.37 32% 1.0 .32 19% .63 80% .51 1.15 53% 33% 33% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.0 .31 10% .49 70% .34
Jan
10		 North Dakota St. B+ A F A- C+ 40% 17% 43% B- C+ A- A A C B- A+ A F F F B+ F 38% 16% 46% F F A+ F B- F+ A- F C+
1.23 74% 13% 40% +6 +1 1.15 38% 1.1 .42 19% .28 93% .26 1.26 79% 63% 30% +10 +1 1.22 20% 1.4 .28 13% .20 91% .19
Jan
17		 Oral Roberts D+ D- A+ A+ C+ 52% 13% 35% B- B- F D- F B+ D+ F D- B A F A+ A- 43% 7% 50% F B B+ C- B- C F D F
1.09 48% 57% 44% +3 +2 1.12 13% 1.0 .13 12% .30 61% .19 0.92 42% 100% 23% -11 +2 0.84 21% 1.0 .21 18% .45 76% .34
Jan
21		 South Dakota F A- C F F 46% 20% 34% D F F+ D F D- A F C+ B F A+ C D 30% 17% 52% B- D+ A+ F A+ A+ C- C- C-
0.89 70% 40% 6% -9 +1 0.86 24% 1.1 .27 19% .38 59% .22 0.94 71% 25% 33% +1 0 1.04 11% 1.3 .14 24% .38 76% .29
Jan
24		 UMKC D B- A+ F+ D+ 28% 24% 48% F+ D B- B- B F A+ C- A A- B F A C- 15% 32% 53% A C+ A- A+ A C+ C+ A+ B+
1.04 64% 50% 29% +1 -1 1.02 39% 1.1 .42 23% .39 68% .26 0.81 50% 53% 25% -3 -3 0.89 23% 0.6 .13 20% .26 53% .14
Jan
28		 South Dakota St. C+ B+ A+ F C- 34% 25% 42% D+ C- D A+ B A B+ A A C+ F A+ A+ A 35% 22% 43% B- A D- A C+ C+ F D+ F
1.14 67% 54% 23% 0 -1 1.00 24% 1.5 .36 11% .35 82% .29 1.01 72% 27% 18% -7 0 0.86 34% 0.8 .27 17% .43 72% .31
Jan
31		 Denver C- B C- C C 38% 25% 36% D- C- D F F B- B- A B+ C B C+ F C- 26% 26% 48% C+ C- A+ D- A F A+ C A
1.17 67% 36% 35% +3 -1 1.07 30% 0.9 .27 11% .34 77% .27 1.14 50% 38% 41% +3 -2 1.05 18% 1.3 .23 7% .19 77% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 North Dakota D A+ F F F 28% 24% 48% F F C A- B B C F D+ C- F A A+ C+ 37% 15% 48% C+ C+ D+ A+ B+ F F B F
1.07 77% 9% 27% -6 -1 0.87 35% 1.3 .45 18% .39 64% .25 1.11 74% 25% 20% -6 +1 0.90 30% 0.7 .21 4% .58 66% .38
Feb
7		 North Dakota St. A B+ D- A+ A+ 31% 12% 57% B- A+ F+ A+ B- B+ D C- D F D- D F F 34% 26% 40% C F C C- C F F F F
1.25 69% 33% 48% +15 +1 1.33 23% 1.3 .30 16% .21 75% .16 1.37 67% 43% 48% +12 -1 1.25 32% 1.0 .32 7% .35 91% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.3 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.8 1.5 5.5 3rd
4th 0.2 9.3 7.5 0.4 17.4 4th
5th 0.1 7.2 17.4 1.1 25.8 5th
6th 0.1 3.7 19.9 4.7 0.0 28.4 6th
7th 2.6 12.9 6.9 0.1 22.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 9th
Total 2.8 16.7 34.2 31.7 12.4 2.2 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 2.2% 9.3% 9.3% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.0
9-7 12.4% 7.4% 7.4% 15.9 0.1 0.9 11.5
8-8 31.7% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.0 2.0 29.7
7-9 34.2% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 1.5 32.7
6-10 16.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.4 16.4
5-11 2.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.8
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 15.9 95.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 14.9 15.0 80.0 5.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%
Lose Out 1.9%