Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.3 240
Expected Predictive Rating -4.5 241
Pace 68.5 185
Improvement +3.9 44

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 169 C D+ C C- C-
Defense D+ 294 D+ C D C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 274 C 58% 170 -1.7 244
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% 210 C+ 40% 121 +0.4 152
Three Pointers 44% 127 C 34% 161 +1.7 121
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.2 219 C +0.6 144
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 161
Second Chance D 25.9% 306 C 1.04 158 D+ 0.27 274
Turnovers C 17.0% 188
Freethrows C- 0.29 222 C 73% 179 C- 0.21 211
Total Offense C -0.3 169

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D 40% 301 D 13.3% 309
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 306 C- 6.3% 267
Three Pointers B- 88% 83 D- 1.8% 339
Total C- 52% 251 D 6.8% 299

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 277 D- 65% 339 +0.8 208
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 305 D+ 41% 285 -1.0 108
Three Pointers 48% 19 C 33% 155 +3.3 325
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 222 D+ +2.6 281
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 276
Second Chance C+ 29.4% 144 C 1.04 200 C 0.31 165
Turnovers D 14.3% 322
Freethrows C 0.30 174 D+ 74% 259 C 0.22 185
Total Defense D+ -4.0 294

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 52% 251 D+ 8.7% 261
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 147 B- 6.8% 72
Three Pointers C- 86% 252 D 0.1% 344
Total D+ 60% 272 D+ 4.3% 292

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 292 16.3 31
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 288 0.16 149
Improvement +2.5 #77 +1.5 #100

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 262 237 206
Conference Record 8 - 8 9 - 7 10 - 6
Conference Finish 5 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Four

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 6% 5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 16.0
.500 or above 5% 9% 1%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four4% 3% 5%
First Round4% 5% 4%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Away) - 50.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 33 - 64 - 11
Quad 48 - 512 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 124 Murray St. L 77 - 85 25% -5  33% 0 - 1 D+ -5 F+ -9 C F+ F B +5 A B- B-
 Thu, Nov 6 243 @Abilene Christian L 71 - 73 39% -4  14% 0 - 2 C- -3 C -0 C F C- D+ -3 F+ C- C
 Sun, Nov 9 96 @Colorado St. L 74 - 97 12% -8  8% 0 - 3 F+ -15 B- +5 B- D A F -21 D- F D+
 Sat, Nov 15 273 Southern Utah W 90 - 85 69% +3  76% 1 - 3 C- -5 B- +5 A- F C F+ -9 F B+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 54 @LSU L 73 - 99 6% -16  0% 1 - 4 D- -13 D -5 C F C D -5 F A+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 210 James Madison L 77 - 88 44% -13  9% 1 - 5 D- -14 B- +5 A C+ F F -20 F F D-
 Wed, Nov 26 185 @Florida International L 61 - 74 29% -8  2% 1 - 6 D- -12 F -15 F A F B +4 B- B+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 156 Northern Colorado L 70 - 75 45% -1  37% 1 - 7 D+ -8 D+ -4 D+ B D+ D+ -4 D+ A+ F+
 Sat, Dec 6 142 @Portland St. W 60 - 55 21% +2  59% 2 - 7 B +9 C+ +3 D- A+ C- A- +7 A C+ D
 Sat, Dec 20 207 @Lamar W 85 - 82 OT 33% +7  82% 3 - 7 C+ +3 B +6 B+ C+ D D+ -3 B- F C-
 Sun, Dec 28 91 @Oregon L 57 - 80 11% -11  1% 3 - 8 D- -14 D- -8 F+ C+ B+ F+ -8 F+ A- F
 Thu, Jan 1 206 @South Dakota St. L 69 - 84 33% -6  2% 3 - 9 0 - 1 F+ -15 D- -6 F F A+ F+ -9 C F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 360 UMKC L 66 - 73 91% -2  41% 3 - 10 0 - 2 F -26 F -13 D+ D F F -13 D- B- F
 Thu, Jan 8 295 North Dakota W 90 - 79 73% +7  89% 4 - 10 1 - 2 C +0 A- +9 A+ D- C+ F+ -9 D+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 132 North Dakota St. L 76 - 78 39% +6  89% 4 - 11 1 - 3 C- -3 B+ +9 C+ A+ C- F -12 F B- D-
 Sat, Jan 17 338 @Oral Roberts W 73 - 62 67% +6  95% 5 - 11 2 - 3 C+ +2 D+ -3 B- F B+ B+ +6 B B- C-
 Wed, Jan 21 291 South Dakota L 64 - 68 72% +2  64% 5 - 12 2 - 4 D- -14 F -19 F F+ F+ B+ +5 D A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 360 @UMKC W 77 - 60 80% +8  92% 6 - 12 3 - 4 C+ +4 D -5 D B- F A- +8 C A C+
 Wed, Jan 28 206 South Dakota St. W 80 - 71 56% +2  71% 7 - 12 4 - 4 C+ +3 C +2 C- B- A- C+ +2 A B- C+
 Sat, Jan 31 236 @Denver W 84 - 82 38% -1  43% 8 - 12 5 - 4 C +1 C +0 C- F+ B- C+ +1 C- A F
 Thu, Feb 5 295 @North Dakota L 73 - 76 52% +5  86% 8 - 13 5 - 5 D+ -8 D -5 F B- B C- -3 C+ A- F
 Sat, Feb 7 132 @North Dakota St. L 84 - 92 20% -8  13% 8 - 14 5 - 6 C- -3 A +14 A+ B- B F -17 F C F
 Thu, Feb 12 121 St. Thomas W 98 - 94 35% +1  68% 9 - 14 6 - 6 C+ +4 A+ +15 A C- A+ F -12 F D B-
 Sun, Feb 15 236 Denver W 83 - 76 61% +7  96% 10 - 14 7 - 6 C -0 C+ +3 A- F B C- -3 B- F C+
 Wed, Feb 18 338 Oral Roberts W 80 - 71 84% +9  88% 11 - 14 8 - 6 D+ -6 C+ +3 A+ F F D- -8 F B- B-
 Wed, Feb 25 291 @South Dakota W 80 - 79 50%
 Sat, Feb 28 121 @St. Thomas L 75 - 85 17%
Totals 12 - 15 9 - 7 -4 C +0 A C C- D+ -4 C C C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C C+ C C 35% 35% 44% C- C D C D+ C C- C C- D+ D- D+ C D+ 35% 17% 48% C- D+ C+ C C D C D+ C
1.08 58% 40% 34% +1 0 1.03 26% 1.0 .27 17% .29 73% .21 1.14 65% 41% 33% +3 0 1.08 29% 1.0 .31 14% .30 74% .21
Nov
3		 Murray St. F+ C- C A- C 50% 32% 18% C- C D F F+ F C C C B C- A+ A+ A+ 35% 12% 53% D+ A B D+ B- B- F F F
0.97 54% 39% 40% 0 -1 1.00 28% 0.8 .22 21% .29 72% .21 1.07 61% 17% 26% -8 +1 0.88 29% 1.2 .34 18% .51 91% .46
Nov
6		 Abilene Christian C C A+ C C+ 37% 22% 41% D C F+ F F C- A+ B- A+ D+ D C- C- F+ 39% 17% 43% D- F+ D- C+ C- C D- F+ F
1.03 60% 56% 35% +5 0 1.12 20% 0.4 .08 23% .59 74% .44 1.06 61% 38% 35% +2 0 1.07 38% 0.8 .31 20% .38 76% .29
Nov
9		 Colorado St. B- C+ C- B B- 24% 15% 61% C+ B- D C- D A D+ B+ C F F+ F D+ D- 38% 4% 58% F D- F F F D+ F F F
1.13 62% 38% 36% +3 0 1.07 22% 1.1 .24 11% .26 73% .19 1.48 71% 100% 38% +11 +2 1.29 52% 1.4 .70 17% .61 85% .51
Nov
15		 Southern Utah B- C C+ A+ A 44% 22% 35% C+ A- D- F F C A+ A+ A+ F+ F F B+ F 45% 14% 41% F+ F C+ A+ B+ F C- C C-
1.21 58% 42% 53% +11 0 1.24 25% 0.3 .06 13% .39 80% .31 1.14 73% 50% 29% +5 +1 1.16 28% 0.7 .21 13% .26 71% .19
Nov
21		 LSU D C A+ D- C+ 28% 21% 52% C- C D+ F F C A F C- D F+ F F F 38% 7% 55% D- F A+ A+ A+ C C- C+ C
0.94 56% 50% 30% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 15% .38 48% .18 1.28 71% 50% 45% +15 +2 1.36 23% 0.9 .20 14% .36 75% .27
Nov
25		 James Madison B- A+ C B+ A+ 32% 16% 52% C A C+ B- C+ F F C- F F D+ A+ F F 35% 12% 53% D+ F C- F F D- A+ F A
1.19 75% 38% 38% +9 0 1.20 31% 1.1 .34 17% .19 70% .13 1.36 61% 17% 56% +16 +1 1.35 30% 1.8 .52 14% .14 88% .13
Nov
26		 Florida International F F A+ F F 34% 15% 51% C- F C- A+ A F A- D+ B+ B D+ A+ C- C+ 27% 23% 50% A B- A D+ B+ F D+ A+ B+
0.85 38% 57% 21% -14 0 0.74 32% 1.5 .49 28% .38 70% .27 1.03 60% 23% 36% -2 -1 0.96 25% 1.1 .28 10% .34 50% .17
Dec
3		 Northern Colorado D+ F+ F C+ D 48% 15% 38% B- D+ D+ A+ B D+ B+ F C+ D+ A F F+ C- 43% 8% 49% F D+ C- A+ A+ F+ D+ F F+
1.06 48% 29% 33% -7 +1 0.92 23% 1.6 .37 14% .38 68% .26 1.13 50% 75% 40% +4 +2 1.14 29% 0.5 .14 14% .26 87% .23
Dec
6		 Portland St. C+ D F C- F+ 45% 15% 40% B D- B+ A+ A+ C- D+ A+ B- A- F F A+ A+ 33% 7% 60% D+ A B- C- C+ D D A+ B
1.04 50% 0% 31% -11 +1 0.83 37% 1.4 .50 19% .34 88% .30 0.95 71% 67% 15% -11 +1 0.84 29% 1.0 .29 17% .36 53% .19
Dec
20		 Lamar B B A+ C+ A- 34% 16% 50% C+ B+ D- A+ C+ D B- A+ A D+ D B+ A+ B 44% 32% 25% F+ B- F F F C- F D F
1.16 65% 63% 36% +8 0 1.18 24% 1.4 .34 19% .42 80% .34 1.12 60% 33% 21% -5 -1 0.89 42% 1.3 .55 15% .32 75% .24
Dec
28		 Oregon D- F A+ F F+ 27% 25% 47% C- F+ D+ A C+ B+ C+ F F F+ D- A+ F F 32% 13% 55% C+ F+ F A+ A- F A+ A+ A+
0.90 29% 62% 25% -8 -1 0.82 26% 1.1 .28 14% .27 47% .13 1.26 65% 29% 41% +7 +1 1.17 44% 0.7 .32 13% .23 46% .11
Jan
1		 South Dakota St. D- F C D- F 31% 17% 53% C F F D F A+ C- C C- F+ D- A+ A C+ 55% 9% 36% F C F F+ F D+ F F F
0.99 44% 40% 29% -8 0 0.86 16% 1.0 .16 6% .29 74% .21 1.20 66% 20% 26% -2 +3 1.04 41% 1.2 .49 14% .35 81% .28
Jan
3		 UMKC F B F B C- 42% 25% 33% D D+ F A+ D F F+ F+ F+ F B B- F D- 38% 29% 33% C D- A+ F B- F F F F
0.97 65% 25% 38% +1 0 1.04 20% 1.5 .30 22% .21 64% .13 1.08 50% 33% 41% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.2 .20 10% .36 82% .30
Jan
8		 North Dakota A- B+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 12% 41% C+ A+ D+ D- D- C+ A+ A A+ F+ C+ C+ C D+ 34% 12% 54% C+ D+ D+ C+ C- F F C F
1.32 68% 60% 47% +16 +2 1.37 32% 1.0 .32 19% .63 80% .51 1.15 53% 33% 33% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.0 .31 10% .49 70% .34
Jan
10		 North Dakota St. B+ A F A- C+ 40% 17% 43% B- C+ A- A A+ C- B- A+ A F F F B F 38% 16% 46% F+ F A+ F B- D- A- F C+
1.23 74% 13% 40% +6 +1 1.15 38% 1.1 .42 19% .28 93% .26 1.26 79% 63% 30% +9 +1 1.22 20% 1.4 .28 13% .20 91% .19
Jan
17		 Oral Roberts D+ D- A+ A+ C+ 52% 13% 35% B- B- F D- F B+ C- F D- B+ A F A+ A- 43% 7% 50% F B B+ C- B- C- F D+ F
1.09 48% 57% 44% +3 +2 1.12 13% 1.0 .13 12% .30 61% .19 0.92 42% 100% 23% -11 +2 0.84 21% 1.0 .21 18% .45 76% .34
Jan
21		 South Dakota F A- C- F F 46% 20% 34% D F F+ D+ F+ F+ A F C+ B+ F A C D- 30% 17% 52% B- D A+ F A+ A+ C- C- C-
0.89 70% 40% 6% -9 +1 0.86 24% 1.1 .27 19% .38 59% .22 0.94 71% 25% 33% +1 0 1.04 11% 1.3 .14 24% .38 76% .29
Jan
24		 UMKC D B- A+ F+ D+ 28% 24% 48% F+ D B- B- B- F A+ D+ A A- B F A D+ 15% 32% 53% A+ C B+ A+ A C+ C A+ B
1.04 64% 50% 29% +1 -1 1.02 39% 1.1 .42 23% .39 68% .26 0.81 50% 53% 25% -4 -3 0.89 23% 0.6 .13 20% .26 53% .14
Jan
28		 South Dakota St. C B+ A+ F C- 34% 25% 42% D+ C- D A+ B- A- B+ A A C+ F A+ A+ A 35% 22% 43% B- A F+ A+ B- C+ F D+ F
1.14 67% 54% 23% 0 -1 1.00 24% 1.5 .36 11% .35 82% .29 1.01 72% 27% 18% -8 0 0.86 34% 0.8 .27 17% .43 72% .31
Jan
31		 Denver C B C- C C 38% 25% 36% D- C- D+ F F+ B- B- A- B+ C+ B B- F C- 26% 26% 48% C C- A+ F+ A F A+ C A
1.17 67% 36% 35% +3 -1 1.07 30% 0.9 .27 11% .34 77% .27 1.14 50% 38% 41% +3 -2 1.05 18% 1.3 .23 7% .19 77% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 North Dakota D A+ F F F 28% 24% 48% F F C B+ B- B C+ F D+ C- F A A+ C+ 37% 15% 48% B- C+ D+ A+ A- F F B F
1.07 77% 9% 27% -6 -1 0.87 35% 1.3 .45 18% .39 64% .25 1.11 74% 25% 20% -6 +1 0.90 30% 0.7 .21 4% .58 66% .38
Feb
7		 North Dakota St. A B+ D A+ A+ 31% 12% 57% B- A+ D- A+ B- B D C D F D- D F F 34% 26% 40% C+ F C C C F F F F
1.25 69% 33% 48% +15 +1 1.33 23% 1.3 .30 16% .21 75% .16 1.37 67% 43% 48% +12 -1 1.25 32% 1.0 .32 7% .35 91% .32
Feb
12		 St. Thomas A+ A D+ A A 45% 17% 38% C+ A B- F+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ F F A F F 38% 7% 55% C- F D+ F D B- A- A+ A+
1.32 71% 33% 40% +8 +1 1.21 33% 1.0 .33 12% .43 89% .38 1.27 81% 25% 45% +17 +2 1.39 23% 1.1 .26 16% .23 43% .10
Feb
15		 Denver C+ D A A+ A 44% 24% 31% D+ A- F A+ F B F A+ F+ C- A F A B- 25% 31% 44% B B- F F F C+ A+ F A+
1.26 54% 46% 59% +12 0 1.26 14% 1.5 .21 11% .20 83% .17 1.15 43% 59% 29% -1 -2 0.96 39% 1.4 .53 15% .12 86% .11
Feb
18		 Oral Roberts C+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 6% 51% B A+ C+ F F F F F F D- F F C- F 30% 16% 54% B- F A+ F B- B- A+ B- A
1.21 59% 67% 50% +14 +2 1.35 35% 0.5 .16 20% .21 64% .13 1.08 73% 63% 33% +8 0 1.18 14% 1.5 .21 20% .19 70% .13



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.8 0.8 2nd
3rd 5.4 5.4 3rd
4th 23.4 49.3 2.7 75.5 4th
5th 15.7 15.7 5th
6th 2.7 2.7 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 41.7 49.3 8.9 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 8.9% 8.4% 8.4% 15.0 0.0 0.6 0.1 8.2
9-7 49.3% 5.7% 5.7% 15.9 0.2 2.7 46.5
8-8 41.7% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2 39.6
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 15.8 94.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 15.0 5.8 86.6 7.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.0%
Lose Out 19.9%