Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#306
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#302
Pace67.9#212
Improvement-1.5#273

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#252
First Shot-1.3#214
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#276
Layup/Dunks-2.7#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#229
Freethrows+2.0#72
Improvement-1.2#270

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#314
First Shot-5.9#346
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#85
Layups/Dunks-2.2#252
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#196
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#291
Freethrows-0.5#224
Improvement-0.3#208
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.7% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 3.5% 6.1% 1.4%
.500 or above in Conference 26.5% 31.5% 22.4%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.9% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 24.8% 20.6% 28.1%
First Four1.6% 1.8% 1.5%
First Round1.4% 1.8% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacramento St. (Away) - 44.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 31 - 81 - 12
Quad 48 - 910 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 329   @ Stetson W 79-76 47%     1 - 0 -3.6 +0.7 -4.4
  Nov 09, 2024 112   @ Minnesota L 64-68 10%     1 - 1 +2.5 -0.5 +2.8
  Nov 14, 2024 104   @ UNLV L 69-80 9%     1 - 2 -3.6 -3.8 +0.7
  Nov 16, 2024 199   @ Southern Utah L 73-79 21%     1 - 3 -4.8 +0.3 -5.1
  Nov 22, 2024 285   Alabama St. L 67-85 46%     1 - 4 -24.5 -10.6 -13.3
  Nov 23, 2024 131   @ Akron L 84-92 13%     1 - 5 -3.5 +16.6 -20.6
  Nov 24, 2024 280   Lamar W 65-59 46%     2 - 5 -0.4 -5.3 +5.4
  Nov 30, 2024 178   Abilene Christian L 55-71 37%     2 - 6 -20.0 -16.8 -4.2
  Dec 04, 2024 122   Montana St. L 65-76 26%     2 - 7 -11.7 -3.1 -9.5
  Dec 07, 2024 320   @ Sacramento St. L 66-67 45%    
  Dec 13, 2024 113   @ Northern Iowa L 64-78 10%    
  Dec 15, 2024 8   @ Iowa St. L 60-89 0.3%   
  Dec 21, 2024 228   Cal Poly L 78-79 47%    
  Jan 02, 2025 289   @ North Dakota L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 04, 2025 187   @ North Dakota St. L 68-77 20%    
  Jan 08, 2025 292   UMKC W 70-68 58%    
  Jan 11, 2025 120   South Dakota St. L 71-78 26%    
  Jan 15, 2025 321   @ Denver L 74-75 44%    
  Jan 23, 2025 133   St. Thomas L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 25, 2025 261   @ Oral Roberts L 73-78 33%    
  Jan 29, 2025 224   @ South Dakota L 77-84 26%    
  Feb 01, 2025 321   Denver W 77-72 65%    
  Feb 06, 2025 289   North Dakota W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 187   North Dakota St. L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 13, 2025 120   @ South Dakota St. L 68-81 12%    
  Feb 15, 2025 133   @ St. Thomas L 68-80 14%    
  Feb 19, 2025 292   @ UMKC L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 22, 2025 224   South Dakota L 80-81 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 261   Oral Roberts W 76-75 54%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 3.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.7 2.3 0.7 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 4.5 3.4 0.7 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 6.1 4.8 0.8 0.0 13.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 7.0 5.7 0.9 0.0 15.7 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 7.3 5.8 1.1 0.0 17.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.2 6.9 5.2 1.2 0.0 17.2 8th
9th 0.3 1.8 4.1 5.4 3.1 0.7 0.0 15.5 9th
Total 0.3 1.9 4.7 8.9 12.8 15.3 15.6 14.2 11.0 7.3 4.4 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 85.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 46.3% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0
11-5 15.3% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 18.0% 18.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.4% 19.9% 19.9% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 1.0% 13.4% 13.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
11-5 2.2% 8.6% 8.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.0
10-6 4.4% 6.5% 6.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.1
9-7 7.3% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.0
8-8 11.0% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.3 10.7
7-9 14.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 13.8
6-10 15.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 15.4
5-11 15.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 15.1
4-12 12.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.8
3-13 8.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.8
2-14 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.7
1-15 1.9% 1.9
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.8 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%