Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#235
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#142
Pace74.6#61
Improvement-1.6#298

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#255
First Shot-3.2#271
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#139
Layup/Dunks+2.0#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#220
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#208
Freethrows-3.1#333
Improvement+0.2#151

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#203
First Shot-0.7#198
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#211
Layups/Dunks+1.3#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#89
Freethrows-3.8#340
Improvement-1.8#321
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 39.4% 39.9% 26.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 88.6% 89.6% 67.7%
.500 or above in Conference 94.9% 95.2% 87.1%
Conference Champion 48.2% 48.9% 32.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.7% 1.6%
First Four20.9% 20.9% 21.0%
First Round28.9% 29.5% 15.3%
Second Round0.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Away) - 95.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 31 - 21 - 6
Quad 415 - 416 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 112   @ Northern Iowa W 62-58 17%     1 - 0 +10.6 -5.6 +16.4
  Nov 15, 2021 3   @ Baylor L 60-89 2%     1 - 1 -7.2 -8.9 +4.5
  Nov 18, 2021 90   @ TCU L 50-63 13%     1 - 2 -4.0 -15.1 +10.4
  Nov 22, 2021 314   Cal Poly W 75-72 OT 69%     2 - 2 -5.7 -7.1 +1.1
  Nov 24, 2021 151   Utah Valley L 63-74 34%     2 - 3 -10.1 -7.2 -3.3
  Dec 09, 2021 358   @ Mississippi Valley W 86-68 96%    
  Dec 15, 2021 31   @ Wisconsin L 57-76 4%    
  Dec 18, 2021 358   Mississippi Valley W 89-65 99%    
  Dec 21, 2021 127   @ Oregon St. L 64-73 20%    
  Dec 29, 2021 2   @ Purdue L 62-88 1%    
  Jan 15, 2022 274   @ New Orleans L 79-80 48%    
  Jan 20, 2022 343   Northwestern St. W 83-70 87%    
  Jan 22, 2022 326   SE Louisiana W 78-68 81%    
  Jan 27, 2022 327   @ McNeese St. W 79-75 63%    
  Jan 29, 2022 353   @ Houston Baptist W 80-71 79%    
  Feb 03, 2022 350   @ Incarnate Word W 76-68 77%    
  Feb 10, 2022 350   Incarnate Word W 79-65 90%    
  Feb 12, 2022 318   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 76-68 77%    
  Feb 17, 2022 327   McNeese St. W 82-72 80%    
  Feb 19, 2022 353   Houston Baptist W 83-68 91%    
  Feb 24, 2022 343   @ Northwestern St. W 80-73 72%    
  Feb 26, 2022 326   @ SE Louisiana W 75-71 62%    
  Mar 02, 2022 318   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-71 58%    
  Mar 05, 2022 274   New Orleans W 82-76 68%    
Projected Record 15 - 9 10 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 4.7 11.8 15.2 11.3 4.4 48.2 1st
2nd 0.9 5.3 10.0 6.1 1.5 0.0 23.9 2nd
3rd 0.6 4.3 5.5 2.4 0.3 13.0 3rd
4th 0.3 2.2 3.7 1.1 0.1 7.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.0 0.4 0.0 4.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.2 2.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 1.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.9 5.0 9.3 12.7 17.2 18.2 16.7 11.4 4.4 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 4.4    4.4
13-1 99.7% 11.3    10.8 0.5
12-2 90.9% 15.2    11.9 3.2 0.1
11-3 64.9% 11.8    6.6 4.6 0.6 0.0
10-4 27.5% 4.7    1.4 2.1 1.1 0.1
9-5 5.4% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 48.2% 48.2 35.2 10.6 2.1 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 4.4% 66.2% 66.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 0.7 1.5
13-1 11.4% 61.9% 61.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.0 4.3
12-2 16.7% 54.0% 54.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.8 7.1 7.7
11-3 18.2% 47.2% 47.2% 15.9 0.0 0.5 8.1 9.6
10-4 17.2% 36.4% 36.4% 16.0 0.2 6.1 10.9
9-5 12.7% 26.2% 26.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3 9.4
8-6 9.3% 15.4% 15.4% 16.0 1.4 7.9
7-7 5.0% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 0.5 4.5
6-8 2.9% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.2 2.7
5-9 1.5% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.1 1.4
4-10 0.5% 0.5
3-11 0.2% 0.2
2-12 0.1% 0.0 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 39.4% 39.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.1 6.7 31.5 60.7 0.0%