Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#223
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#195
Pace68.4#196
Improvement-1.3#261

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#238
First Shot-5.6#323
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#42
Layup/Dunks-1.1#217
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#246
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#199
Freethrows-2.6#312
Improvement-1.2#275

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#204
First Shot-0.3#182
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#234
Layups/Dunks+3.0#84
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#161
Freethrows-3.6#342
Improvement-0.1#180
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 6.8% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 49.2% 52.8% 25.9%
.500 or above in Conference 76.6% 80.1% 54.1%
Conference Champion 5.9% 6.5% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.4% 2.8%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round6.1% 6.6% 2.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 86.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 9
Quad 412 - 614 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 65   @ New Mexico L 84-91 8%     0 - 1 +5.1 +2.3 +4.0
  Nov 08, 2024 206   South Alabama L 64-70 57%     0 - 2 -11.1 -5.4 -6.2
  Nov 14, 2024 216   @ Northern Kentucky W 61-59 36%     1 - 2 +2.3 -8.1 +10.5
  Nov 15, 2024 25   @ Cincinnati L 49-86 4%     1 - 3 -20.1 -11.7 -10.9
  Nov 20, 2024 147   Towson L 64-70 45%     1 - 4 -8.2 -1.5 -7.4
  Nov 30, 2024 262   @ Louisiana W 76-75 48%     2 - 4 -1.8 +5.4 -7.1
  Dec 05, 2024 227   SE Louisiana W 67-64 62%     3 - 4 1 - 0 -3.6 -9.8 +6.0
  Dec 07, 2024 344   New Orleans W 80-68 87%    
  Dec 18, 2024 1   @ Gonzaga L 62-90 0.4%   
  Dec 30, 2024 123   @ Seattle L 65-74 21%    
  Jan 04, 2025 297   @ Northwestern St. W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 06, 2025 355   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 73-66 74%    
  Jan 11, 2025 95   @ McNeese St. L 64-76 13%    
  Jan 13, 2025 314   @ Incarnate Word W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 18, 2025 197   Stephen F. Austin W 65-64 55%    
  Jan 20, 2025 280   Lamar W 74-68 71%    
  Jan 25, 2025 215   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 27, 2025 166   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 74-80 30%    
  Feb 01, 2025 95   McNeese St. L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 03, 2025 351   Houston Christian W 78-66 86%    
  Feb 08, 2025 355   Texas A&M - Commerce W 76-63 87%    
  Feb 10, 2025 297   Northwestern St. W 72-65 72%    
  Feb 15, 2025 227   @ SE Louisiana L 67-70 40%    
  Feb 17, 2025 344   @ New Orleans W 77-71 69%    
  Feb 22, 2025 166   UT Rio Grande Valley W 77-76 50%    
  Feb 24, 2025 215   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-72 58%    
  Mar 01, 2025 197   @ Stephen F. Austin L 62-67 34%    
  Mar 03, 2025 280   @ Lamar L 71-72 50%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 5.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.6 4.6 2.4 0.7 0.1 14.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.0 6.2 4.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 15.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.4 6.1 3.8 0.8 0.1 14.7 4th
5th 0.3 2.9 5.9 3.5 0.6 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 5.2 3.5 0.5 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.1 2.8 0.6 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.2 1.1 3.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 7.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.0 6.4 9.4 12.0 13.8 13.5 12.6 10.0 7.2 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 92.6% 0.6    0.5 0.1
17-3 68.6% 1.5    1.0 0.4 0.0
16-4 41.9% 1.8    0.9 0.8 0.1
15-5 17.5% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 3.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.9% 5.9 3.1 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 39.0% 39.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
18-2 0.7% 32.9% 32.9% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
17-3 2.1% 28.7% 28.7% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5
16-4 4.4% 22.8% 22.8% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 3.4
15-5 7.2% 17.4% 17.4% 14.6 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.1 6.0
14-6 10.0% 12.1% 12.1% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 8.8
13-7 12.6% 6.9% 6.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 11.8
12-8 13.5% 3.5% 3.5% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 13.0
11-9 13.8% 1.8% 1.8% 15.6 0.1 0.2 13.5
10-10 12.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.8
9-11 9.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.3
8-12 6.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.4
7-13 4.0% 4.0
6-14 2.3% 2.3
5-15 0.9% 0.9
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.6 1.2 93.7 0.0%