Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#234
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#274
Pace70.8#144
Improvement+3.4#28

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#254
First Shot-1.5#213
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#289
Layup/Dunks-1.2#228
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#304
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#84
Freethrows-0.9#237
Improvement+3.7#5

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#209
First Shot-1.6#221
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#165
Layups/Dunks-1.2#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#194
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#112
Freethrows-2.2#323
Improvement-0.2#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 3.4% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 8.9% 15.6% 5.1%
.500 or above in Conference 54.5% 70.8% 45.3%
Conference Champion 1.8% 3.4% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 1.9% 6.4%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.5%
First Round2.0% 3.2% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TX A&M Corpus Christi (Away) - 36.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 32 - 73 - 14
Quad 49 - 611 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 20 @Kentucky L 51-77 2%     0 - 1 -6.8 -12.2 +5.5
  Fri, Nov 7 325 @Eastern Illinois L 57-65 59%     0 - 2 -14.8 -16.9 +2.1
  Wed, Nov 12 219 @Valparaiso L 63-68 36%     0 - 3 -5.7 -1.9 -4.4
  Sat, Nov 15 100 @Murray St. L 79-99 12%     0 - 4 -11.7 +1.5 -11.6
  Sat, Nov 22 55 @Oklahoma St. L 81-95 7%     0 - 5 -1.8 +1.1 -1.0
  Fri, Nov 28 194 @Tulane L 72-82 31%     0 - 6 -9.2 -0.7 -8.6
  Tue, Dec 2 36 @Creighton L 76-96 4%     0 - 7 -3.8 +12.7 -16.9
  Sat, Dec 6 162 Incarnate Word W 74-67 46%     1 - 7 1 - 0 +3.7 +2.1 +2.1
  Wed, Dec 17 279 Houston Christian W 79-64 68%     2 - 7 2 - 0 +5.7 +0.5 +5.3
  Sun, Dec 21 138 @Pacific L 82-95 20%     2 - 8 -8.3 +9.1 -17.1
  Mon, Dec 29 218 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-72 36%    
  Wed, Dec 31 191 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-77 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 302 East Texas A&M W 78-71 73%    
  Mon, Jan 5 273 Northwestern St. W 75-70 67%    
  Sat, Jan 10 241 @New Orleans L 75-78 40%    
  Mon, Jan 12 70 @McNeese St. L 64-79 8%    
  Sat, Jan 17 253 Lamar W 71-67 63%    
  Mon, Jan 19 132 Stephen F. Austin L 70-73 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 266 @SE Louisiana L 69-71 44%    
  Mon, Jan 26 241 New Orleans W 78-75 61%    
  Sat, Jan 31 302 @East Texas A&M W 75-74 53%    
  Mon, Feb 2 273 @Northwestern St. L 72-73 45%    
  Sat, Feb 7 218 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-69 57%    
  Mon, Feb 9 191 UT Rio Grande Valley W 75-74 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 162 @Incarnate Word L 69-76 26%    
  Mon, Feb 16 279 @Houston Christian L 71-72 47%    
  Sat, Feb 21 132 @Stephen F. Austin L 67-76 20%    
  Mon, Feb 23 253 @Lamar L 68-70 42%    
  Sat, Feb 28 266 SE Louisiana W 72-68 65%    
  Mon, Mar 2 70 McNeese St. L 67-76 20%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 11 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.1 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.0 3.8 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 11.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.2 4.6 2.4 0.5 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 4.6 5.3 2.0 0.3 0.0 13.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.6 5.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.0 1.7 0.1 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.8 2.1 0.2 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.8 2.0 0.3 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.3 6.0 8.9 11.5 13.3 13.1 12.5 10.2 7.8 5.2 3.0 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 83.5% 0.2    0.2 0.1
18-4 61.6% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
17-5 33.4% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
16-6 11.6% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-7 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.0% 0.0
21-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.3% 24.7% 24.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-4 0.7% 18.3% 18.3% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6
17-5 1.6% 16.4% 16.4% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
16-6 3.0% 10.6% 10.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.7
15-7 5.2% 8.2% 8.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 4.8
14-8 7.8% 4.8% 4.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 7.4
13-9 10.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.9
12-10 12.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 12.3
11-11 13.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.0
10-12 13.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.2
9-13 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.5
8-14 8.9% 8.9
7-15 6.0% 6.0
6-16 3.3% 3.3
5-17 1.6% 1.6
4-18 0.7% 0.7
3-19 0.2% 0.2
2-20 0.0% 0.0
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.9 97.8 0.0%