Presbyterian
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.8 #263
Expected Predictive Rating -6.4 #267
Pace 62.6 #334
Improvement +1.5 #119

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #259 C- C D C C-
Defense #256 C- C D+ C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #64 1.14 #195 +2.3 #109
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #60 0.74 #195 +2.2 #70
Three Pointers 30% #353 0.93 #292 -7.0 #352
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #254 -2.5 #254
Freethrows 0.33 #98 68% #315 0.22 #160
Second Chance 31.7% #151 1.02 #183 0.32 #148
Turnovers 19.3% #324
Total Offense -3.2 #259

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #43 1.15 #156 -3.0 #284
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #236 0.83 #295 +0.1 #185
Three Pointers 37% #283 1.05 #234 +1.2 #132
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #233 -1.7 #233
Freethrows 0.30 #177 69% #51 0.21 #138
Second Chance 30.6% #176 1.00 #130 0.31 #157
Turnovers 14.7% #302
Total Defense -2.6 #256

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.0% #253 1.3% #291
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.9% #245 2.0% #219
Possession Length 18.0 #253 17.8 #274
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #268 0.15 #107
Improvement +3.1 #46 -1.7 #276

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.2% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 1.8% 1.9% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 34.4% 36.3% 10.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 1.1%
First Four1.5% 1.6% 1.1%
First Round1.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Home) - 92.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 410 - 812 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 177 Navy L 55 - 76 44% -16  0 - 1 -25 -13 D- F F -14 F+ C F
 Sat, Nov 8 140 East Tennessee St. W 68 - 64 35% +2  1 - 1 +2 -1 D- A+ F +3 A+ F B+
 Mon, Nov 10 272 @Georgia St. W 63 - 61 40% -5  2 - 1 -1 +1 C- A+ F -2 D+ C C-
 Wed, Nov 12 93 @South Carolina L 61 - 81 9% -18  2 - 2 -11 -3 D- B- C -10 C B F
 Sun, Nov 16 276 @Sacramento St. L 62 - 64 40% +4  2 - 3 -5 -10 F F+ C +5 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 64 @California L 57 - 67 6% -3  2 - 4 +2 +3 F+ A+ D -3 D C A
 Fri, Nov 21 35 @UCLA L 46 - 86 3% -24  2 - 5 -23 -17 F F F -8 F F+ B-
 Sun, Nov 30 345 The Citadel W 69 - 41 71% +19  3 - 5 +16 +10 B- A+ D +14 A+ C+ B-
 Wed, Dec 3 188 @Wofford L 56 - 63 25% -4  3 - 6 -6 -12 F B- D +5 A- B F
 Sat, Dec 6 299 Morehead St. W 80 - 72 69% +3  4 - 6 -3 +3 C A- F -5 F A+ D
 Wed, Dec 17 258 @East Carolina L 53 - 74 37% -10  4 - 7 -24 -17 F C F -7 F B A+
 Sun, Dec 21 327 @Manhattan L 81 - 87 56% -3  4 - 8 -13 +1 D C C -14 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 301 South Carolina Upstate W 86 - 77 70% +4  5 - 8 1 - 0 -2 +10 B+ B B -13 F C+ C
 Wed, Jan 7 234 @Radford L 61 - 80 32% -6  5 - 9 1 - 1 -20 -6 F C- B+ -17 F A- F
 Sat, Jan 10 266 @Longwood L 70 - 77 39% -10  5 - 10 1 - 2 -10 +4 B D+ D -15 F D- F
 Wed, Jan 14 209 UNC Asheville W 71 - 70 51% +6  6 - 10 2 - 2 -5 +0 B+ D+ D- -5 A- C D-
 Sat, Jan 17 363 @Gardner-Webb W 92 - 55 81% +20  7 - 10 3 - 2 +22 +12 B- C C+ +10 B- C+ B+
 Wed, Jan 21 245 Charleston Southern W 87 - 83 57% +8  8 - 10 4 - 2 -4 +8 A+ D C- -11 D+ F D
 Sat, Jan 24 123 Winthrop L 72 - 82 31% -5  8 - 11 4 - 3 -11 -4 F+ D- D- -7 B+ D+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 98 @High Point L 81 - 84 10% -2  8 - 12 4 - 4 +5 +10 B+ B+ D+ -5 A D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 234 Radford L 84 - 93 2OT 55% -0  8 - 13 4 - 5 -16 -7 B- F F -8 C+ C F
 Sat, Feb 7 363 Gardner-Webb W 80 - 65 93%
 Thu, Feb 12 245 @Charleston Southern L 71 - 75 35%
 Sat, Feb 14 209 @UNC Asheville L 65 - 71 30%
 Thu, Feb 19 266 Longwood W 72 - 69 62%
 Sat, Feb 21 301 @South Carolina Upstate L 68 - 69 48%
 Thu, Feb 26 98 High Point L 71 - 79 23%
 Sat, Feb 28 123 @Winthrop L 68 - 79 15%
Totals 11 - 17 7 - 9 -6 -3 C- C D -3 C- C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 3.6 1.7 0.2 6.8 3rd
4th 0.0 2.3 11.1 5.1 0.5 0.0 19.1 4th
5th 0.0 2.1 17.0 9.7 0.4 0.0 29.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 14.0 11.9 0.7 27.6 6th
7th 0.2 5.3 7.8 0.8 0.0 14.0 7th
8th 0.5 2.2 0.5 3.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
Total 0.7 8.5 24.4 31.9 22.9 9.1 2.3 0.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 2.7% 0.0    0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.2% 5.4% 5.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
10-6 2.3% 5.1% 5.1% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.2
9-7 9.1% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 8.8
8-8 22.9% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6 22.2
7-9 31.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.6 31.3
6-10 24.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.3 24.2
5-11 8.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.5
4-12 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.9 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%