Presbyterian
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#248
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#217
Pace66.2#263
Improvement-1.1#250

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#228
First Shot-3.8#286
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#92
Layup/Dunks-1.8#251
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#135
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#169
Freethrows-2.6#314
Improvement-5.0#364

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#254
First Shot-1.6#221
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#244
Layups/Dunks-1.5#222
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#79
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#257
Freethrows+0.5#153
Improvement+3.9#5
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 7.8% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 25.8% 49.0% 23.3%
.500 or above in Conference 45.5% 58.4% 44.1%
Conference Champion 5.7% 9.5% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 6.3% 11.2%
First Four1.9% 1.1% 2.0%
First Round4.9% 7.4% 4.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (FL) (Away) - 9.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 74 - 11
Quad 49 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 205   @ Charlotte L 79-88 29%     0 - 1 -8.0 +17.3 -26.5
  Nov 08, 2024 72   @ North Carolina St. L 72-81 8%     0 - 2 +1.8 +7.7 -6.2
  Nov 13, 2024 142   Wofford W 71-68 40%     1 - 2 +1.0 +2.1 -0.8
  Nov 16, 2024 146   @ Kennesaw St. L 67-85 21%     1 - 3 -14.2 -1.9 -12.9
  Nov 21, 2024 197   @ Stephen F. Austin W 58-55 OT 28%     2 - 3 +4.3 -13.8 +17.9
  Nov 22, 2024 229   Youngstown St. W 67-42 47%     3 - 3 +21.2 -1.5 +23.6
  Nov 23, 2024 287   Monmouth W 71-61 57%     4 - 3 +3.5 +2.1 +2.5
  Nov 27, 2024 330   @ Tennessee Tech L 75-90 58%     4 - 4 -21.8 +1.5 -23.9
  Dec 03, 2024 353   @ Florida A&M L 63-66 70%     4 - 5 -12.9 -14.0 +1.1
  Dec 15, 2024 87   @ Miami (FL) L 68-82 10%    
  Dec 21, 2024 313   Manhattan W 76-70 73%    
  Dec 30, 2024 69   @ South Carolina L 61-77 7%    
  Jan 02, 2025 202   Longwood W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 04, 2025 221   @ Gardner-Webb L 70-74 34%    
  Jan 08, 2025 343   @ South Carolina Upstate W 78-74 64%    
  Jan 11, 2025 193   UNC Asheville L 71-72 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 141   @ High Point L 68-77 21%    
  Jan 22, 2025 276   Charleston Southern W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 25, 2025 189   Radford L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 29, 2025 179   @ Winthrop L 70-77 28%    
  Feb 01, 2025 141   High Point L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 05, 2025 343   South Carolina Upstate W 81-71 81%    
  Feb 12, 2025 276   @ Charleston Southern L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 15, 2025 202   @ Longwood L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 19, 2025 179   Winthrop L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 22, 2025 189   @ Radford L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 26, 2025 193   @ UNC Asheville L 69-75 29%    
  Mar 01, 2025 221   Gardner-Webb W 73-71 56%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.0 3.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.2 3.9 0.8 0.0 9.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.6 5.4 1.2 0.1 11.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.8 6.8 1.6 0.1 13.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.8 7.3 2.2 0.1 15.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 5.0 6.6 2.6 0.1 15.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.0 4.6 5.0 1.7 0.1 13.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 6.0 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.1 7.4 11.4 13.7 15.4 14.4 12.0 8.7 5.6 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 96.5% 0.4    0.4 0.0
13-3 91.0% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
12-4 65.0% 1.9    1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0
11-5 28.8% 1.6    0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
10-6 5.5% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 2.8 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 40.4% 40.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.5% 27.3% 27.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.3% 22.7% 22.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0
12-4 3.0% 19.7% 19.7% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.4
11-5 5.6% 14.1% 14.1% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 4.8
10-6 8.7% 10.1% 10.1% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 7.8
9-7 12.0% 7.8% 7.8% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.5 11.1
8-8 14.4% 6.5% 6.5% 15.9 0.1 0.8 13.5
7-9 15.4% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6 14.8
6-10 13.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 13.3
5-11 11.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 11.2
4-12 7.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.3
3-13 4.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.1
2-14 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.0 94.2 0.0%