Presbyterian
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.9 #287
Expected Predictive Rating -7.2 #271
Pace 61.4 #353
Improvement -2.1 #297

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #306 F C- B- F C+
Defense #224 D+ C+ C+ C- F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #47 1.06 #288 +1.1 #139
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #147 0.66 #284 -0.6 #208
Three Pointers 34% #317 0.81 #348 -7.0 #345
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #339 -6.5 #339
Freethrows 16.5 #227 71% #237 11.6 #244
Second Chance 34.7% #73 1.04 #179 0.36 #97
Turnovers 20.9% #353
Total Offense -5.2 #306

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #14 1.19 #215 -5.7 #339
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #328 0.92 #348 +0.7 #141
Three Pointers 38% #263 1.00 #177 +1.8 #113
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #281 -3.2 #281
Freethrows 17.4 #197 68% #50 11.9 #150
Second Chance 30.7% #181 0.95 #79 0.29 #118
Turnovers 15.7% #243
Total Defense -1.8 #224

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.6% #153 2.7% #357
Shot Type Make % Effect -13.3% #345 3.5% #238
Possession Length 18.7 #324 17.8 #270
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #301 0.15 #110
Improvement -0.9 #251 -1.2 #274

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.6% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 9.3% 13.4% 3.2%
.500 or above in Conference 38.3% 48.6% 22.7%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.6% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 3.1% 11.9%
First Four1.6% 1.6% 1.5%
First Round1.6% 1.8% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Home) - 60.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 410 - 911 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 204 Navy L 55-76 47%     -15.7   0 - 1 -27.0 -15.0 -13.8
  Sat, Nov 8 129 East Tennessee St. W 68-64 29%     2.5   1 - 1 +2.9 -0.5 +3.8
  Mon, Nov 10 315 @Georgia St. W 63-61 48%     -4.9   2 - 1 -4.3 -0.4 -3.6
  Wed, Nov 12 84 @South Carolina L 61-81 7%     -17.9   2 - 2 -10.1 -2.2 -9.5
  Sun, Nov 16 286 @Sacramento St. L 62-64 38%     3.9   2 - 3 -5.9 -8.8 +2.8
  Tue, Nov 18 76 @California L 57-67 6%     -2.8   2 - 4 +0.6 +1.7 -3.2
  Fri, Nov 21 29 @UCLA L 46-86 2%     -24.0   2 - 5 -22.6 -17.7 -6.4
  Sun, Nov 30 358 The Citadel W 69-41 77%     19.1   3 - 5 +13.5 +8.1 +13.6
  Wed, Dec 3 220 @Wofford L 56-63 27%     -4.2   3 - 6 -7.5 -10.8 +2.5
  Sat, Dec 6 308 Morehead St. W 80-72 68%     2.7   4 - 6 -3.7 +5.4 -8.8
  Wed, Dec 17 275 @East Carolina L 53-74 36%     -9.5   4 - 7 -24.3 -17.9 -6.9
  Sun, Dec 21 305 @Manhattan L 81-87 45%     -3.2   4 - 8 -11.5 +1.3 -12.8
  Sat, Jan 3 283 South Carolina Upstate W 68-65 60%    
  Wed, Jan 7 243 @Radford L 70-75 32%    
  Sat, Jan 10 282 @Longwood L 67-70 38%    
  Wed, Jan 14 249 UNC Asheville W 67-66 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 362 @Gardner-Webb W 74-68 71%    
  Wed, Jan 21 222 Charleston Southern L 69-70 50%    
  Sat, Jan 24 150 Winthrop L 70-74 34%    
  Thu, Jan 29 93 @High Point L 65-81 7%    
  Sat, Jan 31 243 Radford W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 362 Gardner-Webb W 77-65 86%    
  Thu, Feb 12 222 @Charleston Southern L 67-73 28%    
  Sat, Feb 14 249 @UNC Asheville L 64-69 32%    
  Thu, Feb 19 282 Longwood W 70-67 60%    
  Sat, Feb 21 283 @South Carolina Upstate L 65-68 38%    
  Thu, Feb 26 93 High Point L 68-78 18%    
  Sat, Feb 28 150 @Winthrop L 67-77 18%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 2.5 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 4.7 3.4 0.8 0.1 10.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 6.9 4.5 0.6 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 7.1 5.7 0.8 14.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 6.6 6.3 1.0 0.0 15.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 6.6 7.1 1.2 0.0 17.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.6 6.5 5.0 1.1 0.0 17.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 3.2 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.1 4.6 9.1 12.9 16.2 16.2 15.1 11.1 6.5 3.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 86.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 60.3% 0.4    0.2 0.2
12-4 25.2% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1
11-5 4.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.2% 27.3% 27.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.6% 12.1% 12.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.5
12-4 1.3% 4.7% 4.7% 15.2 0.1 0.0 1.2
11-5 3.5% 5.9% 5.9% 15.4 0.1 0.1 3.3
10-6 6.5% 3.9% 3.9% 15.6 0.1 0.2 6.2
9-7 11.1% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 10.8
8-8 15.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.5 14.6
7-9 16.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.4 15.8
6-10 16.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 16.0
5-11 12.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 12.8
4-12 9.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.1
3-13 4.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.6
2-14 2.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.1
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.4 1.9 97.7 0.0%