Presbyterian
Big South
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#283
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#104
Pace63.3#314
Improvement-0.3#202

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#321
First Shot-10.5#357
After Offensive Rebound+4.9#4
Layup/Dunks-2.3#249
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#178
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.9#349
Freethrows-0.1#193
Improvement+0.3#132

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#207
First Shot-1.7#237
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#131
Layups/Dunks-2.5#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#73
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#90
Freethrows-3.3#330
Improvement-0.6#248
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 5.2% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 14.3 15.5
.500 or above 42.3% 76.7% 41.9%
.500 or above in Conference 53.5% 74.1% 53.3%
Conference Champion 3.4% 11.2% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 0.9% 4.5%
First Four1.0% 0.9% 1.0%
First Round2.9% 4.3% 2.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee (Away) - 1.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 412 - 614 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 47   @ Clemson L 53-64 5%     0 - 1 +1.7 -10.2 +11.3
  Nov 12, 2021 257   VMI W 73-72 OT 57%     1 - 1 -7.3 -4.3 -3.0
  Nov 15, 2021 240   The Citadel W 74-70 2OT 51%     2 - 1 -2.9 -13.4 +10.1
  Nov 18, 2021 55   @ Cincinnati L 45-79 6%     2 - 2 -22.7 -18.7 -4.7
  Nov 24, 2021 257   VMI W 59-54 45%     3 - 2 -0.3 -11.1 +11.5
  Nov 25, 2021 274   @ New Orleans W 68-66 37%     4 - 2 -1.1 -9.5 +8.4
  Nov 26, 2021 340   Central Arkansas W 75-66 73%     5 - 2 -3.9 +1.6 -4.7
  Nov 30, 2021 23   @ Tennessee L 54-77 1%    
  Dec 06, 2021 133   @ Morehead St. L 56-68 13%    
  Dec 12, 2021 202   @ College of Charleston L 69-77 24%    
  Dec 18, 2021 118   Wofford L 60-67 26%    
  Dec 21, 2021 101   @ Furman L 61-75 10%    
  Jan 05, 2022 279   @ N.C. A&T L 64-67 39%    
  Jan 08, 2022 334   South Carolina Upstate W 70-62 76%    
  Jan 12, 2022 187   @ Gardner-Webb L 60-68 23%    
  Jan 15, 2022 338   @ Hampton W 67-64 60%    
  Jan 19, 2022 146   Winthrop L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 22, 2022 209   Longwood L 61-62 45%    
  Jan 26, 2022 348   @ Charleston Southern W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 29, 2022 271   UNC Asheville W 66-64 59%    
  Feb 02, 2022 182   Campbell L 57-60 41%    
  Feb 05, 2022 247   @ Radford L 58-63 32%    
  Feb 09, 2022 285   High Point W 63-60 62%    
  Feb 12, 2022 146   @ Winthrop L 65-76 16%    
  Feb 16, 2022 334   @ South Carolina Upstate W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 19, 2022 187   Gardner-Webb L 63-65 42%    
  Feb 23, 2022 348   Charleston Southern W 76-65 83%    
  Feb 26, 2022 271   @ UNC Asheville L 63-67 38%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.2 0.5 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.9 3.2 0.8 0.1 7.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.9 1.3 0.1 9.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.9 6.2 2.0 0.1 11.4 5th
6th 0.3 2.6 7.2 3.2 0.2 13.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 6.3 4.0 0.6 12.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.3 4.7 0.8 0.0 12.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 4.0 4.1 1.0 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.9 0.9 0.0 7.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.8 0.5 0.0 4.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.2 2.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 3.1 5.8 8.9 12.4 14.8 15.3 14.0 10.5 6.9 4.1 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 95.5% 0.6    0.5 0.1
13-3 67.9% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.0
12-4 23.3% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1
11-5 3.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.2% 18.2% 18.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 0.7% 22.7% 22.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
13-3 1.9% 17.6% 17.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.5
12-4 4.1% 10.6% 10.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 3.6
11-5 6.9% 9.0% 9.0% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 6.3
10-6 10.5% 5.0% 5.0% 15.7 0.2 0.4 10.0
9-7 14.0% 3.9% 3.9% 15.8 0.1 0.4 13.4
8-8 15.3% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 14.8
7-9 14.8% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 14.7
6-10 12.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.3
5-11 8.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.9
4-12 5.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.8
3-13 3.1% 3.1
2-14 1.1% 1.1
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.5 0.1 0.2 1.2 2.0 96.6 0.0%