Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.0 193
Expected Predictive Rating -0.3 164
Pace 74.9 33
Improvement -1.4 238

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 275 D+ C+ C D+ C-
Defense C+ 117 C C- C C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 165 D+ 54% 279 -1.2 229
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 97 D- 31% 346 -0.1 185
Three Pointers 37% 273 C 34% 166 -2.1 252
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 250 D+ -2.9 286
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 286
Second Chance C+ 31.7% 143 C 1.03 170 C+ 0.33 137
Turnovers C 17.0% 191
Freethrows D+ 0.28 253 D+ 70% 272 D+ 0.20 268
Total Offense D+ -3.9 275

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 51% 127 F+ 15.7% 354
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 197 C 5.6% 222
Three Pointers D- 76% 326 B- 0.5% 85
Total C- 54% 218 F+ 7.7% 342

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 92 C+ 56% 133 +1.5 229
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 206 A 30% 8 -1.9 41
Three Pointers 38% 260 D 37% 311 +0.4 201
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 242 C -0.4 167
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 175
Second Chance D+ 32.8% 280 C+ 1.00 139 C- 0.33 228
Turnovers C 17.2% 156
Freethrows C+ 0.28 123 C 72% 182 C+ 0.21 122
Total Defense C+ +1.9 117

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 223 C+ 12.7% 103
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 91 C+ 6.3% 86
Three Pointers C- 86% 229 C 1.0% 128
Total C- 58% 230 B- 7.0% 74

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 67 17.5 228
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 93 0.17 166
Improvement -2.8 #316 +1.4 #102

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 221 192 163
Conference Record 12 - 8 13 - 7 14 - 6
Conference Finish 5 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18% 19% 13%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round17% 19% 13%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Home) - 73.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 34 - 7
Quad 416 - 520 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 20 @St. John's L 74 - 108 3% -22  0% 0 - 1 D- -13 D+ -2 C D+ F D -5 F C+ B+
 Thu, Nov 6 292 Central Connecticut St. W 71 - 49 79% +12  90% 1 - 1 B+ +12 F -10 D+ F A+ A+ +22 A+ C- F+
 Tue, Nov 11 81 Yale L 60 - 97 28% -18  17% 1 - 2 F -33 F -19 F C+ F F -13 F F B+
 Sun, Nov 16 346 @Maine W 70 - 64 77% -2  40% 2 - 2 C- -4 D -5 F B- C+ B- +2 D- A+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 101 @Pittsburgh W 83 - 75 17% +5  87% 3 - 2 A- +16 A +13 A+ A- F B- +3 D D+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 52 @Central Florida L 91 - 102 8% -2  39% 3 - 3 C+ +3 A- +10 A F B+ D- -7 D+ C D
 Sun, Nov 30 345 Stonehill W 76 - 62 89% +8  76% 4 - 3 C -2 C -0 A F D C -1 B- F C+
 Fri, Dec 5 249 @Iona W 89 - 68 49% +7  89% 5 - 3 1 - 0 A +19 A- +10 C+ A+ C A- +8 A+ F C-
 Sun, Dec 7 356 Rider W 72 - 58 92% +15  99% 6 - 3 2 - 0 C- -4 F -11 F B B A- +7 C C+ B-
 Sat, Dec 13 310 Umass Lowell W 75 - 71 82% -1  30% 7 - 3 D+ -8 F -11 F B C B- +3 F A+ A
 Wed, Dec 17 189 @Monmouth W 85 - 75 38% +15  99% 8 - 3 B +11 A- +10 B B- A- C+ +1 C- A C+
 Sun, Dec 21 108 @Hofstra L 66 - 74 20% -2  19% 8 - 4 C -1 D+ -4 F A B+ B- +2 A+ F B+
 Mon, Dec 29 184 Marist W 64 - 58 59% +3  79% 9 - 4 3 - 0 C +2 D- -7 F A D- A +9 A D A-
 Fri, Jan 2 321 @Manhattan L 79 - 80 69% +8  91% 9 - 5 3 - 1 D -8 D -5 F A+ F D+ -3 F A C-
 Sun, Jan 4 285 Mount St. Mary's W 80 - 69 78% +6  87% 10 - 5 4 - 1 C +1 C +1 A- D+ D+ C -0 A F F+
 Sun, Jan 11 290 @Sacred Heart W 70 - 60 59% +0  49% 11 - 5 5 - 1 B- +6 D -4 D- F A- A +11 B- C- A-
 Wed, Jan 14 235 St. Peter's L 70 - 74 69% -4  22% 11 - 6 5 - 2 D -11 D- -7 D+ C- A+ D+ -4 F A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 162 @Merrimack L 71 - 83 32% -12  2% 11 - 7 5 - 3 D -9 C+ +2 D- C A+ F -11 F F B-
 Mon, Jan 19 321 Manhattan W 98 - 92 OT 85% -1  49% 12 - 7 6 - 3 D+ -7 C +1 C- A+ D+ F+ -8 D D- D
 Thu, Jan 22 285 @Mount St. Mary's W 77 - 62 58% +12  92% 13 - 7 7 - 3 B +11 C+ +2 B F+ C+ A +9 C- A+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 184 @Marist L 64 - 71 36% -8  3% 13 - 8 7 - 4 D+ -5 C- -2 D+ D- A+ D+ -4 F C+ C
 Fri, Jan 30 290 Sacred Heart L 91 - 98 79% -1  39% 13 - 9 7 - 5 F+ -17 C +1 D B B F -18 F B- F
 Sun, Feb 1 266 @Fairfield W 72 - 65 53% -2  27% 14 - 9 8 - 5 C+ +4 D -5 C- B F+ A +9 A C F+
 Thu, Feb 5 343 Canisius W 75 - 60 89% +13  97% 15 - 9 9 - 5 C -0 F+ -9 D A+ F A- +8 A- F C+
 Sat, Feb 7 337 Niagara W 56 - 55 88% +5  81% 16 - 9 10 - 5 D- -14 F -16 F F F B- +2 C F A+
 Fri, Feb 13 192 @Siena W 74 - 62 38% +6  94% 17 - 9 11 - 5 B+ +13 C+ +2 C- C+ A+ A+ +12 A+ C- D+
 Sun, Feb 15 162 Merrimack L 49 - 56 55% -0  35% 17 - 10 11 - 6 D -10 F -23 F B- F A+ +12 A- A C+
 Sun, Feb 22 266 Fairfield W 79 - 72 74%
 Fri, Feb 27 337 @Niagara W 71 - 64 74%
 Sun, Mar 1 343 @Canisius W 72 - 65 76%
Totals 19 - 11 13 - 7 -2 D+ -4 A- D+ C- C+ +2 C D+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ D- C D+ 39% 45% 37% C- D+ C+ C C+ C D+ D+ D+ C+ C+ A D C 42% 20% 38% C- C D+ C+ C- C C+ C C+
1.03 54% 31% 34% -3 0 0.95 32% 1.0 .33 17% .28 70% .20 1.06 56% 30% 37% 0 0 1.02 33% 1.0 .33 17% .28 72% .20
Nov
3		 St. John's D+ D- B D+ C+ 42% 30% 28% D+ C B- F D+ F B- D C+ D D- A+ F F 64% 7% 29% F F D- A C+ B+ F A D+
0.89 46% 41% 31% -5 -1 0.89 33% 0.7 .23 26% .31 68% .21 1.29 65% 25% 47% +9 +4 1.28 43% 1.0 .43 17% .49 65% .32
Nov
6		 Central Connecticut St. F D- C+ B- D+ 47% 17% 37% C D+ D F F A+ F F F A+ A+ A A+ A+ 26% 34% 40% B- A+ C- C- C- F+ B- A+ B+
1.03 50% 40% 36% -2 +1 1.00 26% 0.6 .16 7% .11 71% .08 0.71 36% 28% 19% -18 -3 0.60 28% 1.0 .28 13% .23 64% .15
Nov
11		 Yale F B+ F F F 35% 23% 42% C- F B+ D- C+ F F+ F F F D F F F 48% 19% 33% D+ F F C- F B+ A C- A
0.84 67% 25% 23% -7 -1 0.87 35% 0.9 .32 24% .20 64% .13 1.36 64% 60% 59% +19 +1 1.42 46% 1.3 .58 18% .24 79% .19
Nov
16		 Maine D F F F F 44% 26% 30% D+ F B+ C- B- C+ A+ D+ A+ B- B- D- D D 45% 19% 36% D D- D- A+ A+ F D D+ D
1.00 45% 23% 20% -16 0 0.70 44% 1.0 .44 17% .54 68% .36 0.92 52% 44% 35% -1 +1 1.02 24% 0.2 .05 16% .36 67% .24
Nov
23		 Pittsburgh A C A+ A+ A+ 37% 26% 37% D+ A+ B A A- F A+ F A+ B- F A+ C D+ 39% 9% 52% D- D F B+ D+ A F A- D
1.21 56% 55% 63% +19 -1 1.40 30% 1.1 .35 22% .45 67% .30 1.10 78% 0% 33% +4 +2 1.13 45% 0.9 .39 22% .37 60% .22
Nov
25		 Central Florida A- C F A+ A+ 31% 24% 45% D+ A F+ F F B+ A+ A+ A+ D- F A+ D- D+ 50% 19% 31% D- D+ C- B- C D F B- F
1.16 56% 25% 52% +9 -1 1.18 17% 0.7 .11 14% .52 83% .43 1.30 72% 18% 39% +6 +1 1.16 38% 1.1 .43 13% .40 74% .29
Nov
30		 Stonehill C B+ F A+ A 51% 22% 27% C+ A D F F D F A+ D C A+ C- B C+ 26% 26% 48% A B- F F F C+ A A+ A
1.10 64% 25% 53% +8 +1 1.20 23% 0.7 .17 14% .20 83% .17 0.90 38% 38% 29% -8 -2 0.82 39% 1.2 .47 22% .15 50% .07
Dec
5		 Iona A- A D D C+ 41% 20% 39% C C+ A+ B+ A+ C D C+ D+ A- A- B A+ A+ 43% 17% 40% D+ A+ F D- F C- F C+ F
1.22 71% 33% 30% +2 0 1.07 47% 1.1 .53 16% .23 71% .16 0.93 48% 33% 14% -17 +1 0.70 33% 1.1 .37 16% .36 68% .25
Dec
7		 Rider F F F+ C- F 59% 11% 30% B F C A B B F D+ F A- A+ B- F D 26% 50% 24% A+ C C+ C C+ B- A+ A+ A+
1.05 45% 33% 35% -7 +3 0.93 33% 1.2 .41 12% .15 67% .10 0.85 36% 33% 46% -4 -5 0.85 30% 0.9 .27 19% .14 50% .07
Dec
13		 Umass Lowell F B F F F 43% 29% 27% D- F B- B B C A+ F A+ B- B B- F F 50% 15% 35% F+ F A+ A+ A+ A A- A+ A
1.00 64% 27% 21% -6 -1 0.88 34% 1.2 .42 13% .45 66% .29 0.95 50% 38% 56% +7 +2 1.19 22% 0.5 .11 25% .23 54% .13
Dec
17		 Monmouth A- A+ F B- B+ 44% 22% 35% C- B B- C+ B- A- C F+ C- C+ F A+ A+ C+ 57% 18% 24% F C- D- A+ A C+ F+ F F
1.18 75% 25% 37% +6 0 1.15 35% 1.0 .35 15% .30 67% .20 1.04 68% 11% 25% -3 +2 1.00 36% 0.5 .19 18% .37 86% .32
Dec
21		 Hofstra D+ D- C F F 37% 21% 42% B- F D+ A+ A B+ B- B- B B- A+ C+ A+ A+ 38% 12% 50% F A+ F F F B+ F B- F
0.98 47% 36% 14% -17 0 0.67 27% 1.6 .44 12% .34 75% .25 1.10 42% 33% 24% -14 +1 0.76 48% 1.3 .64 19% .42 74% .31
Dec
29		 Marist D- F D- D F 31% 33% 35% D- F A B- A D- C+ D- C A B- A+ A+ A+ 50% 23% 27% F A F+ C+ D A- A C+ A
0.94 40% 31% 29% -10 -2 0.77 40% 1.1 .43 22% .37 65% .24 0.85 54% 25% 14% -13 +1 0.77 32% 1.1 .34 22% .17 78% .13
Jan
2		 Manhattan D A F C+ F+ 26% 38% 36% F F C+ A+ A+ F F+ A+ C- D+ C- F D+ F 40% 23% 38% C- F C A+ A C- B- F C-
1.10 71% 20% 37% -2 -3 0.92 38% 1.7 .65 21% .18 100% .18 1.12 57% 58% 35% +5 0 1.11 26% 0.7 .18 15% .26 94% .25
Jan
4		 Mount St. Mary's C D A+ A+ A 34% 30% 36% D A- A F D+ D+ A+ B A+ C B- A+ C+ A- 28% 20% 52% A A F F F F+ A+ F A
1.13 50% 57% 41% +7 -1 1.13 41% 0.6 .26 16% .45 78% .35 0.97 53% 9% 32% -9 -1 0.83 39% 1.4 .53 18% .17 80% .14
Jan
11		 Sacred Heart D B- D- A- D+ 37% 35% 28% F D- D F F A- D+ F D A F+ A+ D+ B- 26% 20% 54% B- B- D- B+ C- A- C A+ A-
1.08 65% 32% 40% +3 -2 1.04 28% 0.8 .22 11% .24 64% .16 0.93 67% 0% 36% -4 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 23% .28 57% .16
Jan
14		 St. Peter's D- D D B C- 40% 27% 33% D- D+ F+ A+ C- A+ C F D- D+ B- F+ F F 41% 25% 34% C F A- A+ A+ C+ F F+ F
1.00 53% 31% 38% -2 -1 0.96 27% 1.3 .36 14% .40 63% .25 1.06 50% 45% 47% +5 0 1.11 28% 0.7 .20 19% .46 81% .37
Jan
17		 Merrimack C+ F+ D- F+ F+ 53% 24% 22% B- D- F A+ C A+ A+ C+ A F A A+ F F 37% 9% 53% C- F F+ F F B- F B+ F
1.06 46% 33% 27% -10 +1 0.84 29% 1.4 .42 13% .45 73% .33 1.24 44% 25% 52% +8 +1 1.21 30% 1.4 .41 18% .49 74% .36
Jan
19		 Manhattan C D C+ A+ C- 40% 22% 38% C- C- B+ A A+ D+ A+ F A+ F+ B+ A- F D+ 47% 22% 32% D- D F+ C D- D D F F
1.22 55% 42% 43% +4 0 1.11 44% 1.3 .59 16% .48 66% .31 1.15 46% 31% 47% -1 0 1.02 33% 1.1 .36 14% .33 91% .30
Jan
22		 Mount St. Mary's C+ C F A+ B 45% 22% 33% B- B F C- F+ C+ D+ F F A D- A+ D+ C- 43% 13% 43% C- C- A+ A+ A+ C F D F
1.10 56% 17% 50% +2 0 1.07 19% 1.0 .19 13% .31 58% .18 0.89 65% 0% 35% -1 +1 1.02 17% 0.4 .07 23% .39 71% .28
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Marist C- F+ F+ D D- 51% 18% 31% A D+ C F D- A+ D- B- D+ D+ F+ D- C+ F 45% 28% 28% D+ F A+ F C+ C D B D+
0.97 50% 30% 29% -8 +1 0.89 29% 0.7 .20 11% .30 72% .22 1.07 67% 46% 31% +5 0 1.11 15% 1.8 .27 18% .30 75% .22
Jan
30		 Sacred Heart C C A+ D- D 32% 12% 56% C- D B- B+ B B A C- A F C+ F F F 29% 11% 60% D F A- D- B- F F D+ F
1.20 61% 57% 31% +1 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .43 12% .36 71% .26 1.30 56% 50% 42% +8 +1 1.20 20% 1.2 .23 9% .45 81% .36
Feb
1		 Fairfield D B- B+ F D+ 62% 17% 21% B- C- C- A+ B F+ F F F A A+ B F A+ 52% 21% 27% D- A F+ A- C F+ B A+ A-
1.05 63% 44% 18% -1 +2 1.04 29% 1.3 .39 19% .16 67% .11 0.95 31% 33% 40% -13 +1 0.79 39% 0.8 .30 12% .21 54% .12
Feb
5		 Canisius F+ F B B- D 30% 20% 50% D D C A+ A+ F A+ C A+ A- A+ A+ F A 41% 24% 35% C- A- C+ F F C+ F B+ F+
1.02 46% 44% 36% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 22% .51 72% .37 0.82 35% 8% 41% -13 0 0.76 26% 1.3 .34 20% .39 65% .26
Feb
7		 Niagara F F F A- F 36% 18% 45% C+ F A- F F F B D+ B- B- D B- B- C- 32% 22% 46% A C F C+ F A+ C C+ C+
0.95 38% 13% 40% -8 0 0.86 42% 0.4 .18 20% .34 75% .25 0.93 62% 33% 32% -2 -1 0.98 35% 0.8 .29 25% .23 70% .16
Feb
13		 Siena C+ F C+ A- C- 30% 20% 50% C C- C C+ C+ A+ A- F C A+ A+ A A- A+ 47% 24% 29% F+ A+ C+ D- C- D+ C F D
1.11 40% 40% 40% -1 -1 1.00 33% 1.0 .33 10% .35 57% .20 0.93 38% 33% 27% -14 0 0.75 28% 1.1 .31 15% .28 88% .25
Feb
15		 Merrimack F F+ F F F 30% 41% 30% F F A+ D- B- F B B- B A+ B C+ A+ A 48% 19% 33% C+ A- A+ C A C+ D+ F F+
0.75 46% 11% 8% -26 -3 0.43 52% 0.9 .45 25% .39 74% .28 0.86 50% 38% 21% -10 +1 0.83 11% 1.0 .11 17% .37 90% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 12.3 38.6 50.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 25.4 3.7 30.6 3rd
4th 0.1 7.6 3.2 10.9 4th
5th 1.1 5.8 6.9 5th
6th 0.8 0.8 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 1.9 15.0 40.9 42.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 42.2% 21.1% 21.1% 14.3 0.0 0.8 4.9 3.1 0.1 33.3
13-7 40.9% 16.7% 16.7% 14.9 0.0 1.4 4.4 1.0 34.0
12-8 15.0% 11.3% 11.3% 15.3 0.1 0.9 0.6 13.3
11-9 1.9% 6.0% 6.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.8
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 17.5% 17.5% 0.0% 14.6 82.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.9% 100.0% 14.3 0.1 9.3 55.3 34.6 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 8.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 12.0%
Lose Out 0.6%