IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.4	#220
Expected Predictive Rating	+8.5	#24

Pace	77.4	#17
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.3	#235

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.0	#194

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	10.7%	12.1%	5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.3	14.7

.500 or above	58.6%	65.0%	37.0%
.500 or above in Conference	73.4%	77.0%	61.5%
Conference Champion	13.1%	14.8%	7.6%
Last Place in Conference	2.4%	1.8%	4.1%

First Four	1.1%	1.1%	0.9%
First Round	10.7%	12.2%	6.0%
Second Round	0.4%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Home) - 77.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 5	3 - 9
Quad 4	14 - 6	17 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	11	@ St. John's	L	74-108	2%	0 - 1			-12.5	+0.1	-7.1
Nov 06, 2025	310	Central Connecticut St.	W	74-66	77%
Nov 11, 2025	91	Yale	L	73-79	29%
Nov 16, 2025	299	@ Maine	W	70-69	54%
Nov 23, 2025	64	@ Pittsburgh	L	67-82	9%
Nov 25, 2025	83	@ Central Florida	L	75-88	13%
Nov 30, 2025	334	Stonehill	W	77-67	81%
Dec 05, 2025	213	@ Iona	L	74-78	37%
Dec 07, 2025	314	Rider	W	76-68	76%
Dec 13, 2025	307	Umass Lowell	W	81-74	74%
Dec 17, 2025	204	@ Monmouth	L	73-77	37%
Dec 21, 2025	163	@ Hofstra	L	66-72	31%
Dec 29, 2025	188	Marist	W	68-67	55%
Jan 02, 2026	239	@ Manhattan	L	76-78	43%
Jan 04, 2026	253	Mount St. Mary's	W	76-71	65%
Jan 11, 2026	235	@ Sacred Heart	L	79-81	43%
Jan 14, 2026	302	St. Peter's	W	72-65	73%
Jan 17, 2026	261	@ Merrimack	L	68-69	46%
Jan 19, 2026	239	Manhattan	W	79-75	63%
Jan 22, 2026	253	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	73-74	45%
Jan 24, 2026	188	@ Marist	L	65-70	34%
Jan 30, 2026	235	Sacred Heart	W	82-78	61%
Feb 01, 2026	300	@ Fairfield	W	74-73	53%
Feb 05, 2026	351	Canisius	W	80-68	84%
Feb 07, 2026	336	Niagara	W	77-67	79%
Feb 13, 2026	185	@ Siena	L	71-76	35%
Feb 15, 2026	261	Merrimack	W	71-66	66%
Feb 22, 2026	300	Fairfield	W	77-70	72%
Feb 27, 2026	336	@ Niagara	W	74-70	63%
Mar 01, 2026	351	@ Canisius	W	77-71	69%
Projected Record						16 - 14	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	1.0	2.2	3.3	3.3	2.0	1.0	0.2		13.1	1st
2nd													0.3	1.6	3.9	4.2	2.1	0.6	0.1				12.7	2nd
3rd												0.2	1.8	4.1	3.8	1.6	0.3	0.0					11.8	3rd
4th											0.1	1.6	4.4	3.6	1.1	0.2	0.0						11.0	4th
5th										0.1	1.1	4.0	3.7	1.1	0.1								10.0	5th
6th									0.0	0.9	3.5	4.0	1.1	0.1	0.0								9.5	6th
7th								0.0	0.5	2.7	3.6	1.2	0.1	0.0									8.1	7th
8th							0.0	0.3	2.0	3.1	1.2	0.1											6.8	8th
9th						0.0	0.3	1.4	2.5	1.4	0.1												5.7	9th
10th					0.0	0.2	1.0	1.8	1.2	0.2													4.5	10th
11th				0.0	0.3	0.8	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.0													3.4	11th
12th			0.0	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.0														2.3	12th
13th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0															1.2	13th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.1	2.0	3.3	4.5	6.4	8.4	9.6	11.0	11.4	10.6	10.0	8.1	5.7	3.9	2.1	1.0	0.2			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
19-1	100.0%	1.0		1.0	0.0
18-2	95.1%	2.0		1.8	0.2	0.0
17-3	84.5%	3.3		2.5	0.7	0.1
16-4	58.1%	3.3		1.9	1.2	0.2	0.0
15-5	27.0%	2.2		0.7	1.0	0.4	0.1
14-6	10.2%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-7	1.7%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0				0.0		0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	13.1%	13.1		8.3	3.6	1.0	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.2%		46.2%	46.2%		11.3							0.0					0.1	0.0	0.0				0.1
19-1	1.0%		42.1%	42.1%		12.4												0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.6
18-2	2.1%		40.0%	40.0%		12.9												0.0	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0		1.2
17-3	3.9%		32.5%	32.5%		13.6												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0	2.6
16-4	5.7%		25.4%	25.4%		14.0												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	4.3
15-5	8.1%		20.4%	20.4%		14.8													0.0	0.3	0.7	0.5	0.2	6.4
14-6	10.0%		16.3%	16.3%		15.8													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.4	8.4
13-7	10.6%		12.1%	12.1%		16.7													0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	0.5	9.3
12-8	11.4%		8.2%	8.2%		17.6														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	10.5
11-9	11.0%		5.7%	5.7%		18.0															0.0	0.3	0.4	10.4
10-10	9.6%		2.8%	2.8%		18.4																0.1	0.2	9.3
9-11	8.4%		1.5%	1.5%		16.6																0.0	0.1	8.3
8-12	6.4%		1.5%	1.5%		16.8																	0.1	6.3
7-13	4.5%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
6-14	3.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
5-15	2.0%																							2.0
4-16	1.1%																							1.1
3-17	0.5%																							0.5
2-18	0.2%																							0.2
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		10.7%	10.7%	0.0%	15.2							0.0					0.2	0.8	1.8	2.9	3.1	2.5	89.3		0.0%