Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#273
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#272
Pace76.7#36
Improvement+1.8#57

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#268
First Shot-3.3#276
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#170
Layup/Dunks-1.6#228
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#100
Freethrows-0.8#227
Improvement+0.3#154

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#270
First Shot-0.2#171
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#316
Layups/Dunks+1.0#147
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#235
Freethrows-0.8#238
Improvement+1.5#60
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.3% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 20.7% 34.3% 13.9%
.500 or above in Conference 30.7% 38.5% 26.8%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 14.2% 10.6% 16.0%
First Four0.7% 0.9% 0.7%
First Round1.3% 1.9% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Away) - 33.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 410 - 812 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 60   @ Maryland L 69-83 7%     0 - 1 -3.3 +0.2 -2.7
  Nov 15, 2021 346   Holy Cross W 76-68 84%     1 - 1 -8.8 -11.7 +2.3
  Nov 20, 2021 347   Central Connecticut St. W 76-65 85%     2 - 1 -6.1 -3.0 -2.6
  Nov 23, 2021 187   @ New Hampshire L 69-84 22%     2 - 2 -12.9 -0.6 -12.9
  Nov 28, 2021 180   Brown L 61-72 41%     2 - 3 -14.8 -14.9 +0.9
  Dec 03, 2021 208   St. Peter's L 59-69 45%     2 - 4 0 - 1 -14.9 -12.4 -2.3
  Dec 05, 2021 270   @ Manhattan W 90-73 38%     3 - 4 1 - 1 +14.1 +10.7 +2.3
  Dec 08, 2021 250   @ Dartmouth L 67-71 33%    
  Dec 11, 2021 353   Maine W 74-61 89%    
  Dec 22, 2021 92   @ Penn St. L 60-75 8%    
  Dec 31, 2021 221   Niagara L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 02, 2022 298   Rider W 75-70 66%    
  Jan 07, 2022 290   @ Canisius L 76-78 43%    
  Jan 09, 2022 221   @ Niagara L 66-73 27%    
  Jan 14, 2022 298   @ Rider L 72-73 45%    
  Jan 16, 2022 210   Fairfield L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 23, 2022 97   Iona L 70-78 23%    
  Jan 28, 2022 241   Marist W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 30, 2022 279   @ Siena L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 04, 2022 208   @ St. Peter's L 65-72 27%    
  Feb 06, 2022 117   Monmouth L 71-78 28%    
  Feb 09, 2022 210   @ Fairfield L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 13, 2022 270   Manhattan W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 20, 2022 241   @ Marist L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 24, 2022 279   Siena W 72-69 61%    
  Feb 27, 2022 290   Canisius W 79-75 64%    
  Mar 03, 2022 117   @ Monmouth L 68-81 13%    
  Mar 05, 2022 97   @ Iona L 67-81 10%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.6 2.5 0.8 0.1 9.0 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 4.7 3.0 0.6 0.1 11.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.8 3.6 0.7 0.0 12.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.3 6.0 3.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 13.0 7th
8th 0.2 2.1 5.9 4.1 0.8 0.1 13.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.2 4.1 0.9 0.0 12.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.4 3.6 0.8 0.0 11.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 2.1 2.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 8.3 11th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.5 5.3 8.4 11.5 13.3 13.8 13.3 11.0 8.2 5.4 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 82.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 50.0% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 25.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 7.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 19.6% 19.6% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.3% 14.8% 14.8% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.7% 9.7% 9.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
14-6 1.7% 10.6% 10.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.5
13-7 3.4% 6.2% 6.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.2
12-8 5.4% 5.4% 5.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.1
11-9 8.2% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 7.9
10-10 11.0% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.7
9-11 13.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.2
8-12 13.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.8
7-13 13.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.2
6-14 11.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.5
5-15 8.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.4
4-16 5.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-17 2.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 98.3 0.0%