Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#160
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#88
Pace77.3#28
Improvement+1.6#87

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#202
First Shot-1.9#222
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#147
Layup/Dunks+1.7#114
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#122
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#267
Freethrows-2.0#301
Improvement+1.2#96

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#127
First Shot+3.7#67
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#329
Layups/Dunks-1.6#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#48
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#109
Freethrows+1.9#67
Improvement+0.4#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.5% 25.5% 18.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.1
.500 or above 99.2% 99.7% 98.3%
.500 or above in Conference 98.6% 99.5% 97.1%
Conference Champion 37.8% 49.6% 20.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round22.5% 25.5% 18.0%
Second Round1.0% 1.3% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marist (Home) - 60.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 35 - 7
Quad 418 - 322 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 19 @St. John's L 74-108 5%     0 - 1 -14.6 -1.2 -7.9
  Thu, Nov 6 278 Central Connecticut St. W 71-49 81%     1 - 1 +12.7 -4.2 +17.2
  Tue, Nov 11 76 Yale L 60-97 34%     1 - 2 -32.7 -16.7 -15.3
  Sun, Nov 16 342 @Maine W 70-64 79%     2 - 2 -2.5 -2.7 +0.2
  Sun, Nov 23 84 @Pittsburgh W 83-75 18%     3 - 2 +17.6 +15.8 +2.0
  Tue, Nov 25 49 @Central Florida L 91-102 11%     3 - 3 +2.4 +13.0 -9.4
  Sun, Nov 30 338 Stonehill W 76-62 90%     4 - 3 -0.1 +0.6 -0.6
  Fri, Dec 5 165 @Iona W 89-68 40%     5 - 3 1 - 0 +23.6 +13.4 +9.3
  Sun, Dec 7 344 Rider W 72-58 91%     6 - 3 2 - 0 -0.8 -3.1 +2.5
  Sat, Dec 13 304 Umass Lowell W 75-71 85%     7 - 3 -7.0 -9.2 +1.9
  Wed, Dec 17 224 @Monmouth W 85-75 53%     8 - 3 +9.1 +9.4 -0.5
  Sun, Dec 21 110 @Hofstra L 66-74 26%     8 - 4 -1.3 -0.4 -1.2
  Mon, Dec 29 157 Marist W 72-69 60%    
  Fri, Jan 2 313 @Manhattan W 83-77 71%    
  Sun, Jan 4 300 Mount St. Mary's W 81-70 84%    
  Sun, Jan 11 250 @Sacred Heart W 80-78 58%    
  Wed, Jan 14 297 St. Peter's W 75-65 83%    
  Sat, Jan 17 263 @Merrimack W 73-70 59%    
  Mon, Jan 19 313 Manhattan W 86-74 86%    
  Thu, Jan 22 300 @Mount St. Mary's W 78-73 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 157 @Marist L 69-72 38%    
  Fri, Jan 30 250 Sacred Heart W 83-75 77%    
  Sun, Feb 1 277 @Fairfield W 78-75 62%    
  Thu, Feb 5 347 Canisius W 77-62 92%    
  Sat, Feb 7 352 Niagara W 79-63 93%    
  Fri, Feb 13 179 @Siena L 72-74 44%    
  Sun, Feb 15 263 Merrimack W 76-67 78%    
  Sun, Feb 22 277 Fairfield W 81-72 80%    
  Fri, Feb 27 352 @Niagara W 76-66 82%    
  Sun, Mar 1 347 @Canisius W 74-65 79%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.2 9.3 10.8 7.8 3.6 0.9 37.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 5.2 8.6 6.5 2.3 0.3 24.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.9 4.7 6.6 3.6 0.8 0.0 16.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.2 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.6 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.2 4.1 7.0 11.2 14.9 16.8 16.6 13.1 8.1 3.6 0.9 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
19-1 100.0% 3.6    3.5 0.1
18-2 96.7% 7.8    6.9 0.9 0.0
17-3 82.2% 10.8    7.7 2.9 0.2 0.0
16-4 56.0% 9.3    4.7 3.7 0.8 0.1
15-5 25.1% 4.2    1.2 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 6.9% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 37.8% 37.8 25.0 9.9 2.3 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.9% 50.8% 50.8% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.4
19-1 3.6% 41.3% 41.3% 12.6 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.1 2.1
18-2 8.1% 36.0% 36.0% 13.1 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.8 0.0 5.2
17-3 13.1% 30.9% 30.9% 13.6 0.2 1.6 1.9 0.3 9.1
16-4 16.6% 28.0% 28.0% 13.9 0.1 1.3 2.6 0.7 0.0 12.0
15-5 16.8% 23.0% 23.0% 14.1 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.1 0.0 12.9
14-6 14.9% 16.5% 16.5% 14.4 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.0 0.1 12.5
13-7 11.2% 14.3% 14.3% 14.7 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.1 9.6
12-8 7.0% 9.4% 9.4% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 6.4
11-9 4.1% 6.5% 6.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.9
10-10 2.2% 4.1% 4.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1
9-11 0.9% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.9
8-12 0.4% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3
7-13 0.1% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
6-14 0.0% 0.0
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 22.5% 22.5% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.2 1.6 6.2 9.3 4.7 0.5 77.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 11.7 0.7 34.8 57.0 7.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%