Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#245
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#208
Pace75.7#37
Improvement+0.0#182

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#260
First Shot-4.1#293
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#125
Layup/Dunks-1.1#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#322
Freethrows-0.4#206
Improvement+2.1#38

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#211
First Shot-1.8#231
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#146
Layups/Dunks+1.6#118
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#270
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#297
Freethrows+1.0#122
Improvement-2.1#333
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.8% 12.6% 7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 53.7% 61.7% 37.5%
.500 or above in Conference 74.4% 81.8% 59.6%
Conference Champion 16.6% 21.0% 7.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 1.1% 4.2%
First Four3.1% 3.3% 2.8%
First Round9.3% 11.0% 5.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Home) - 66.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 414 - 816 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 107   @ Yale L 62-88 14%     0 - 1 -19.0 -12.1 -6.1
  Nov 09, 2024 20   @ St. John's L 73-96 3%     0 - 2 -5.5 +0.2 -3.0
  Nov 15, 2024 211   Maine W 58-55 54%     1 - 2 -2.4 -11.6 +9.4
  Nov 19, 2024 305   @ Navy W 74-63 50%     2 - 2 +6.6 +1.6 +5.4
  Nov 23, 2024 154   @ Umass Lowell L 70-80 23%     2 - 3 -6.7 -5.4 -0.9
  Nov 25, 2024 137   @ Saint Louis L 67-81 20%     2 - 4 -9.6 -14.6 +6.8
  Dec 01, 2024 336   @ Stonehill L 74-88 60%     2 - 5 -21.2 +2.8 -24.7
  Dec 06, 2024 257   @ Rider W 72-67 42%     3 - 5 1 - 0 +2.7 +4.8 -1.6
  Dec 08, 2024 269   Sacred Heart W 79-74 67%    
  Dec 17, 2024 326   Holy Cross W 78-70 76%    
  Dec 21, 2024 240   @ Central Connecticut St. L 69-72 39%    
  Dec 29, 2024 156   Hofstra L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 03, 2025 209   @ St. Peter's L 65-70 32%    
  Jan 05, 2025 242   @ Marist L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 10, 2025 302   Siena W 73-67 71%    
  Jan 12, 2025 274   @ Iona L 72-73 46%    
  Jan 16, 2025 222   Merrimack W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 18, 2025 254   @ Mount St. Mary's L 71-73 41%    
  Jan 25, 2025 257   Rider W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 31, 2025 283   Fairfield W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 02, 2025 302   @ Siena L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 06, 2025 345   Canisius W 80-69 83%    
  Feb 08, 2025 308   Niagara W 75-69 71%    
  Feb 14, 2025 269   @ Sacred Heart L 76-77 45%    
  Feb 16, 2025 274   Iona W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 23, 2025 313   @ Manhattan W 77-76 52%    
  Feb 28, 2025 209   St. Peter's W 68-67 53%    
  Mar 02, 2025 222   @ Merrimack L 66-70 36%    
  Mar 06, 2025 254   Mount St. Mary's W 74-70 62%    
  Mar 08, 2025 283   @ Fairfield L 73-74 46%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 3.3 4.7 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 16.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 4.2 4.6 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 13.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.4 4.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.3 3.1 5.0 1.7 0.1 10.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 4.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.0 3.1 0.3 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.2 2.5 3.9 0.7 0.0 7.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.8 1.3 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.1 0.2 5.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 4.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.8 0.6 0.0 3.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.5 4.8 6.8 9.5 11.2 12.6 13.0 12.2 9.8 7.4 4.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
18-2 99.6% 1.0    1.0 0.0
17-3 95.9% 2.2    2.0 0.2
16-4 84.3% 3.9    3.0 0.8 0.0
15-5 63.2% 4.7    2.6 1.8 0.3 0.0
14-6 33.5% 3.3    1.0 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-7 9.6% 1.2    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 16.6% 16.6 10.0 4.6 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 29.6% 29.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 39.2% 39.2% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.0% 38.2% 38.2% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
17-3 2.3% 29.1% 29.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.6
16-4 4.6% 27.0% 27.0% 14.8 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.2 3.4
15-5 7.4% 23.3% 23.3% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 5.7
14-6 9.8% 18.6% 18.6% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 8.0
13-7 12.2% 14.8% 14.8% 15.8 0.0 0.4 1.4 10.4
12-8 13.0% 10.2% 10.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.2 11.7
11-9 12.6% 6.3% 6.3% 15.9 0.0 0.8 11.8
10-10 11.2% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 10.8
9-11 9.5% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 9.2
8-12 6.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 6.7
7-13 4.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.8
6-14 2.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.5
5-15 1.3% 1.3
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.2 6.1 89.2 0.0%