Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#139
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#178
Pace71.2#120
Improvement-3.0#338

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#118
First Shot+2.3#109
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#198
Layup/Dunks-2.6#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#44
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#144
Freethrows+0.8#134
Improvement-2.8#355

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#194
First Shot+1.8#120
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#332
Layups/Dunks+0.9#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#199
Freethrows+1.2#108
Improvement-0.1#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 7.6% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 14.2
.500 or above 38.9% 42.2% 19.5%
.500 or above in Conference 58.6% 60.5% 47.7%
Conference Champion 7.1% 7.6% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 5.7% 9.7%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.6%
First Round7.0% 7.5% 4.2%
Second Round0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Southern (Home) - 85.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 35 - 66 - 14
Quad 47 - 214 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 48   @ Nevada L 75-91 13%     0 - 1 -2.7 +10.0 -13.0
  Nov 09, 2024 323   @ Tarleton St. W 91-62 76%     1 - 1 +23.0 +10.3 +10.4
  Nov 12, 2024 13   @ Baylor L 67-104 6%     1 - 2 -18.6 -3.0 -14.0
  Nov 17, 2024 280   @ Lamar W 85-72 67%     2 - 2 +9.6 +14.6 -4.4
  Nov 27, 2024 163   Appalachian St. L 63-66 57%     2 - 3 -3.5 -4.3 +0.6
  Nov 29, 2024 140   @ UNC Wilmington L 60-69 39%     2 - 4 -4.7 -6.2 +0.6
  Nov 30, 2024 246   Colgate W 82-78 71%     3 - 4 -0.5 +12.7 -12.9
  Dec 03, 2024 39   @ Indiana L 71-97 11%     3 - 5 -11.2 -1.6 -7.2
  Dec 07, 2024 294   Texas Southern W 79-68 85%    
  Dec 21, 2024 36   @ Pittsburgh L 69-83 10%    
  Jan 02, 2025 218   @ New Mexico St. W 73-72 55%    
  Jan 04, 2025 158   @ UTEP L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 09, 2025 70   Liberty L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 11, 2025 253   Florida International W 80-71 80%    
  Jan 16, 2025 146   @ Kennesaw St. L 79-82 40%    
  Jan 18, 2025 174   @ Jacksonville St. L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 23, 2025 128   Middle Tennessee W 76-73 60%    
  Jan 25, 2025 115   Western Kentucky W 81-80 53%    
  Feb 01, 2025 103   @ Louisiana Tech L 70-76 29%    
  Feb 06, 2025 253   @ Florida International W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 08, 2025 70   @ Liberty L 64-74 19%    
  Feb 13, 2025 174   Jacksonville St. W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 15, 2025 146   Kennesaw St. W 82-79 62%    
  Feb 20, 2025 115   @ Western Kentucky L 78-83 33%    
  Feb 22, 2025 128   @ Middle Tennessee L 73-76 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 103   Louisiana Tech L 72-73 50%    
  Mar 06, 2025 158   UTEP W 76-72 64%    
  Mar 08, 2025 218   New Mexico St. W 76-69 75%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 2.1 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.1 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 11.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.4 3.3 0.9 0.1 12.9 3rd
4th 0.3 3.2 6.2 3.3 0.6 0.0 13.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.2 3.3 0.5 13.2 5th
6th 0.3 2.4 6.0 3.4 0.4 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.1 3.1 0.4 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.7 2.5 0.4 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.7 1.7 0.2 0.0 6.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.9 5.4 7.9 10.5 12.8 13.6 13.1 11.3 8.7 6.0 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 97.6% 0.6    0.6 0.1
15-3 86.6% 1.5    1.1 0.4 0.0
14-4 62.0% 2.1    1.2 0.8 0.1
13-5 31.4% 1.9    0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0
12-6 8.6% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 3.9 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 44.6% 41.5% 3.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.3%
16-2 0.7% 29.8% 29.8% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.7% 27.0% 27.0% 12.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.2
14-4 3.4% 20.2% 20.2% 12.4 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.7
13-5 6.0% 17.6% 17.6% 12.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.9
12-6 8.7% 12.5% 12.5% 12.8 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 7.6
11-7 11.3% 9.8% 9.8% 13.3 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 10.1
10-8 13.1% 7.4% 7.4% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 12.1
9-9 13.6% 5.6% 5.6% 14.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 12.9
8-10 12.8% 3.4% 3.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 12.3
7-11 10.5% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.3
6-12 7.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.8
5-13 5.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.4
4-14 2.9% 2.9
3-15 1.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.0 2.0 1.2 1.2 0.6 92.9 0.0%