Sam Houston St.
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#224
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#271
Pace68.0#214
Improvement+1.2#93

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#218
First Shot-5.4#319
After Offensive Rebound+4.0#12
Layup/Dunks+0.3#164
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#308
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#111
Freethrows-4.9#356
Improvement+1.2#82

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#204
First Shot+0.5#157
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#277
Layups/Dunks+4.7#40
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#328
Freethrows-1.5#279
Improvement+0.0#183
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 4.4% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 24.8% 31.5% 12.7%
.500 or above in Conference 56.1% 60.6% 48.1%
Conference Champion 3.5% 4.3% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.0% 1.8%
First Four0.7% 0.6% 0.8%
First Round3.4% 4.1% 2.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Neutral) - 64.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 13
Quad 48 - 412 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 109   @ Nebraska L 65-74 18%     0 - 1 -1.9 -5.7 +4.1
  Nov 16, 2021 101   Missouri St. L 55-77 34%     0 - 2 -20.3 -16.5 -4.9
  Nov 21, 2021 288   Arkansas Little Rock W 77-59 67%     1 - 2 +11.0 +2.3 +8.9
  Nov 22, 2021 156   Boston University L 59-72 38%     1 - 3 -12.3 -10.4 -2.8
  Nov 24, 2021 87   @ SMU L 66-75 14%     1 - 4 +0.0 -3.4 +3.2
  Nov 29, 2021 12   @ Texas L 57-73 3%     1 - 5 +2.8 +5.0 -5.5
  Dec 11, 2021 278   Texas San Antonio W 75-71 64%    
  Dec 14, 2021 106   @ North Texas L 57-67 18%    
  Dec 21, 2021 181   Bradley L 66-68 44%    
  Dec 30, 2021 313   Lamar W 76-67 81%    
  Jan 01, 2022 292   UT Rio Grande Valley W 80-72 77%    
  Jan 06, 2022 191   @ Tarleton St. L 59-63 35%    
  Jan 08, 2022 128   @ Abilene Christian L 65-73 24%    
  Jan 13, 2022 313   @ Lamar W 73-70 62%    
  Jan 15, 2022 162   Stephen F. Austin W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 20, 2022 104   New Mexico St. L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 22, 2022 123   Grand Canyon L 65-68 41%    
  Jan 26, 2022 219   @ California Baptist L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 29, 2022 199   @ Seattle L 70-74 35%    
  Feb 03, 2022 305   Dixie St. W 80-71 78%    
  Feb 05, 2022 132   Utah Valley L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 12, 2022 355   @ Chicago St. W 75-64 84%    
  Feb 17, 2022 128   Abilene Christian L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 19, 2022 292   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 77-75 57%    
  Feb 24, 2022 162   @ Stephen F. Austin L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 26, 2022 123   @ Grand Canyon L 62-71 23%    
  Mar 03, 2022 191   Tarleton St. W 62-60 56%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.5 3.2 0.5 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.5 4.2 0.8 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.4 1.6 0.1 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.8 2.7 0.2 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.9 3.6 0.4 0.0 13.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.6 3.6 0.7 0.0 13.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.9 2.3 0.5 0.0 9.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.2 5.5 8.5 11.1 13.1 13.9 13.0 10.7 8.1 5.4 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 92.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 72.9% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.0
14-4 40.4% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 10.6% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 44.3% 44.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 22.6% 22.6% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.4% 23.5% 23.5% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1
14-4 3.0% 20.2% 20.2% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.4
13-5 5.4% 12.7% 12.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 4.7
12-6 8.1% 7.7% 7.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 7.5
11-7 10.7% 5.3% 5.3% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 10.1
10-8 13.0% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.1 0.3 12.6
9-9 13.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.6
8-10 13.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.0
7-11 11.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.1
6-12 8.5% 8.5
5-13 5.5% 5.5
4-14 3.2% 3.2
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.3 96.3 0.0%