Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +10.0 56
Expected Predictive Rating +11.2 52
Pace 64.6 289
Improvement -2.5 283

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 157 C- B- C+ B- C+
Defense A 11 A- B A+ D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 22 C 57% 190 +4.0 52
2 Pt. Jumpers 42% 124 C- 37% 225 +0.6 140
Three Pointers 31% 347 D+ 32% 275 -6.1 343
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 168 C- -1.7 235
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 218
Second Chance B 35.3% 52 C- 1.01 202 B- 0.36 90
Turnovers C+ 15.9% 119
Freethrows B- 0.33 85 C 72% 211 B- 0.24 114
Total Offense C +0.2 157

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B+ 59% 37 B- 8.9% 78
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 17% 293 C- 6.4% 272
Three Pointers A- 95% 8 C+ 0.7% 126
Total C+ 59% 103 C 5.8% 205

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 185 A 47% 8 -4.4 48
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 229 B+ 34% 38 -1.5 71
Three Pointers 43% 116 B- 32% 92 -0.2 165
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 213 A- -6.3 14
1st FG Attempt A- 0.90 31
Second Chance C+ 29.5% 145 B+ 0.90 28 B 0.26 63
Turnovers A+ 23.5% 2
Freethrows D 0.35 304 C+ 71% 120 D+ 0.25 288
Total Defense A +9.9 11

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 157 A+ 21.0% 5
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 36 A 10.4% 11
Three Pointers C+ 82% 114 A 2.4% 17
Total C 55% 165 A+ 11.1% 3

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.9 123 18.9 348
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 114 0.10 13
Improvement -2.4 #303 -0.1 #201

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 68 55 45
Conference Record 8 - 12 10 - 10 11 - 9
Conference Finish 6 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 10
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31% 36% 20%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 29% 33% 18%
Average Seed 10.6 10.6 10.7
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 55% 70% 21%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four19% 22% 14%
First Round20% 24% 12%
Second Round6% 7% 3%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 1%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Georgetown (Home) - 68.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 22 - 6
Quad 26 - 48 - 10
Quad 36 - 214 - 12
Quad 46 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 235 St. Peter's W 77 - 50 94% +16  97% 1 - 0 A +20 A +12 C- A A+ A+ +12 A+ A- A+
 Fri, Nov 7 324 Wagner W 68 - 61 98% +3  67% 2 - 0 D+ -6 F+ -9 F+ B- D- B- +3 F+ D+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 266 Fairfield W 82 - 59 95% +10  96% 3 - 0 B+ +14 C+ +2 F A- A A+ +12 B A A+
 Thu, Nov 13 189 Monmouth W 70 - 58 91% +2  53% 4 - 0 B- +7 D+ -3 D- F+ A+ A +10 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 325 New Haven W 68 - 45 98% +14  98% 5 - 0 B +9 C- -1 C+ D+ C A+ +14 A B- B+
 Mon, Nov 24 24 North Carolina St. W 85 - 74 29% +8  96% 6 - 0 A+ +27 A- +11 B A+ B A+ +15 A A+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 53 USC L 81 - 83 49% +2  54% 6 - 1 B +8 A +13 A+ F+ A D+ -4 C- D+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 122 Washington St. W 75 - 61 76% +11  97% 7 - 1 A- +17 C+ +3 B A+ F A+ +15 A+ A- A
 Wed, Dec 3 292 Central Connecticut St. W 77 - 61 96% +9  96% 8 - 1 B- +6 C+ +3 A- F C B +5 F+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 92 @Kansas St. W 78 - 67 54% +8  92% 9 - 1 A +20 C- -1 F+ C+ A- A+ +20 A+ A+ A-
 Sat, Dec 13 109 Rutgers W 81 - 59 81% +11  97% 10 - 1 A +23 B+ +9 A A+ F A+ +15 A+ F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 64 @Providence W 72 - 67 43% +3  83% 11 - 1 1 - 0 A- +17 C- -2 C B- F+ A+ +18 A+ A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 23 31 Villanova L 56 - 64 43% -8  5% 11 - 2 1 - 1 C+ +4 F+ -8 F D- A+ A+ +11 C- C A+
 Tue, Dec 30 87 @Marquette W 79 - 73 52% -2  37% 12 - 2 2 - 1 A- +15 B +7 F A+ B A- +8 A+ B+ D-
 Sun, Jan 4 60 Creighton W 56 - 54 65% -5  6% 13 - 2 3 - 1 B +8 F -13 F F B+ A+ +21 A+ B+ B+
 Sat, Jan 10 74 @Georgetown W 76 - 67 47% -2  17% 14 - 2 4 - 1 A +20 B- +5 D- A C+ A+ +15 A+ B B+
 Tue, Jan 13 9 Connecticut L 64 - 69 26% -7  19% 14 - 3 4 - 2 B+ +12 C+ +2 D+ A+ D A +9 A- D A+
 Sat, Jan 17 78 Butler L 66 - 77 70% -6  19% 14 - 4 4 - 3 D+ -6 D- -6 F B+ D C -1 B- A+ D
 Tue, Jan 20 20 @St. John's L 60 - 65 16% +4  84% 14 - 5 4 - 4 A- +16 C +1 C+ B C+ A+ +14 A+ C+ A
 Sat, Jan 24 93 @DePaul L 60 - 67 54% -8  0% 14 - 6 4 - 5 C+ +2 D -5 F+ B- A A- +7 C+ A B
 Wed, Jan 28 82 Xavier W 86 - 68 72% -2  41% 15 - 6 5 - 5 A +22 B+ +9 C- A- A- A+ +13 B D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 87 Marquette W 69 - 64 74% -2  26% 16 - 6 6 - 5 B +8 B- +4 C+ A+ D B +5 A F A+
 Wed, Feb 4 31 @Villanova L 60 - 72 23% -10  0% 16 - 7 6 - 6 B- +6 C- -1 D D- A B+ +5 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 7 60 @Creighton L 68 - 69 42% +2  52% 16 - 8 6 - 7 B +11 C -0 B+ A- F A+ +11 B+ F A+
 Wed, Feb 11 64 Providence W 87 - 80 66% -1  31% 17 - 8 7 - 7 B+ +13 A +12 B+ B A+ C+ +1 F A- A+
 Sun, Feb 15 78 @Butler W 63 - 56 48% -1  33% 18 - 8 8 - 7 A- +18 D- -6 C+ D+ F+ A+ +24 A+ A+ C-
 Wed, Feb 18 93 DePaul L 57 - 69 75% -1  32% 18 - 9 8 - 8 D -9 F+ -10 B F F+ C -0 B- C+ B+
 Sat, Feb 21 74 Georgetown W 70 - 65 69%
 Sat, Feb 28 9 @Connecticut L 59 - 72 12%
 Tue, Mar 3 82 @Xavier W 71 - 70 50%
 Fri, Mar 6 20 St. John's L 66 - 71 33%
Totals 20 - 11 10 - 10 +10 C +0 D C- C+ A +10 D+ C B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C C- D+ C- 46% 42% 31% C+ C- B C- B- C+ B- C B- A A B+ B- A- 38% 19% 43% C- A- C+ B+ B A+ D C+ D+
1.09 57% 37% 32% -2 0 0.99 35% 1.0 .36 16% .33 72% .24 0.95 47% 34% 32% -6 0 0.90 29% 0.9 .26 24% .35 71% .24
Nov
3		 St. Peter's A C+ F C D+ 45% 16% 39% B- C- B- A+ A A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 27% 24% 49% B A+ D A+ A- A+ F B- F
1.28 59% 17% 33% -3 +1 0.97 39% 1.4 .54 13% .69 83% .57 0.83 36% 10% 30% -16 -1 0.68 38% 0.7 .26 25% .49 73% .35
Nov
7		 Wagner F+ B- F F F 46% 17% 37% C F+ A+ F B- D- A- F D- B- A+ F F F+ 33% 14% 53% D F+ C+ F+ D+ A+ C A+ A
1.05 62% 13% 29% -5 +1 0.93 50% 0.8 .38 17% .45 50% .22 0.95 29% 50% 48% +3 0 1.09 31% 1.2 .38 31% .27 42% .11
Nov
10		 Fairfield C+ F A+ F F 59% 16% 25% B- F B+ B+ A- A A+ A A+ A+ A+ C+ F B- 30% 26% 44% B+ B B A+ A A+ F F F
1.20 43% 50% 23% -11 +2 0.84 37% 1.2 .44 10% .45 82% .37 0.86 23% 36% 42% -6 -1 0.88 29% 0.6 .18 25% .45 78% .35
Nov
13		 Monmouth D+ F A+ B- F 51% 12% 37% B+ D- B F F+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A A+ D- A A+ 51% 19% 30% F A+ C+ F F A+ F D F
1.05 38% 50% 37% -7 +2 0.92 37% 0.6 .21 12% .46 78% .36 0.87 26% 43% 27% -18 +1 0.68 30% 1.7 .50 30% .58 78% .45
Nov
18		 New Haven C- B F A- B- 41% 18% 41% C C+ D C+ D+ C F B+ D- A+ A A+ B- A 28% 28% 43% A- A A F B- B+ A A+ A
1.10 65% 22% 40% +4 0 1.10 23% 1.1 .27 16% .19 80% .15 0.73 46% 23% 30% -10 -2 0.78 15% 1.2 .18 23% .17 63% .10
Nov
24		 North Carolina St. A- B+ B+ D B 45% 14% 41% B- B C- A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F B- A 40% 13% 46% C- A A A+ A+ A D B C-
1.15 64% 43% 30% +1 +1 1.06 25% 1.9 .46 19% .40 83% .33 1.00 43% 71% 33% -2 +1 1.00 23% 0.9 .21 18% .36 73% .26
Nov
25		 USC A A A+ B A+ 43% 31% 26% D+ A+ F D F+ A C+ F C- D+ C A+ F C- 50% 28% 23% C- C- D- C+ D+ A+ F F F
1.17 65% 65% 36% +12 -1 1.24 17% 0.8 .14 13% .30 67% .20 1.20 60% 27% 56% +5 0 1.13 41% 1.0 .41 23% .71 82% .58
Nov
26		 Washington St. C+ A+ F D B+ 45% 34% 21% D B B- A+ A+ F D A+ C A+ C+ F A+ A+ 43% 7% 50% F A+ C A+ A- A D+ C- D+
1.13 81% 25% 30% +5 -1 1.09 29% 1.9 .54 21% .25 85% .21 0.92 60% 67% 22% -6 +2 0.93 30% 0.7 .20 23% .31 75% .23
Dec
3		 Central Connecticut St. C+ F C- A+ A- 49% 16% 35% C+ A- C F F C C C C+ B C- A+ F D 41% 18% 41% F F+ C+ A+ A+ A+ C+ B- C+
1.21 44% 38% 61% +7 +1 1.20 32% 0.5 .18 13% .27 80% .22 0.96 61% 25% 44% +5 0 1.14 26% 0.3 .06 24% .25 75% .19
Dec
6		 Kansas St. C- C- F F F 49% 19% 32% B F+ C+ C+ C+ A- B A- A- A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 37% 12% 51% C- A+ F+ A+ A+ A- F A+ F+
1.01 54% 18% 22% -12 +1 0.81 35% 1.2 .42 15% .34 77% .26 0.86 63% 17% 23% -9 +1 0.86 40% 0.5 .21 21% .57 43% .24
Dec
13		 Rutgers B+ A+ D+ C- A 54% 23% 23% B A A+ C+ A+ F D+ C+ C- A+ A+ A+ C A+ 45% 26% 29% F A+ F+ D- F A+ F B+ D-
1.20 75% 33% 33% +8 +1 1.19 50% 1.0 .50 22% .23 75% .17 0.87 37% 18% 33% -15 0 0.71 41% 1.3 .51 27% .44 68% .30
Dec
19		 Providence C- C- C+ C- C- 46% 22% 33% B C B C B- F+ A+ F A+ A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ 44% 7% 49% F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- F D+ F
1.04 52% 40% 33% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.0 .32 19% .48 63% .30 0.96 60% 33% 23% -8 +2 0.91 20% 0.8 .17 19% .53 80% .42
Dec
23		 Villanova F+ B+ F F F 46% 31% 23% C F B F D- A+ A- C B+ A+ A+ B F C- 38% 8% 54% F+ C- A- F C A+ D A C
0.89 64% 0% 27% -12 -1 0.77 35% 0.6 .20 14% .30 69% .20 1.01 47% 33% 48% +6 +2 1.18 30% 1.3 .37 29% .35 63% .22
Dec
30		 Marquette B D- F F+ F 48% 19% 33% B F A+ A+ A+ B A+ C+ A+ A- A+ B B- A+ 46% 6% 48% C- A+ B A- B+ D- F C- F
1.11 50% 10% 28% -12 +1 0.80 49% 1.3 .61 18% .50 76% .38 1.02 40% 33% 31% -11 +3 0.85 28% 0.8 .23 11% .43 70% .30
Jan
4		 Creighton F F F C F 42% 46% 13% F F F F F B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A A+ A+ 33% 22% 46% B A+ C A B+ B+ D A+ C+
0.88 45% 27% 33% -10 -3 0.75 17% 0.7 .11 13% .34 84% .29 0.85 60% 30% 19% -11 -1 0.78 28% 0.8 .23 17% .31 63% .19
Jan
10		 Georgetown B- F A F+ F+ 42% 29% 29% C+ D- A- A- A C+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ 37% 29% 35% B A+ C A B B+ C- F D-
1.09 35% 50% 29% -8 -1 0.83 37% 1.1 .42 16% .56 73% .41 0.96 32% 27% 39% -10 -1 0.79 34% 0.9 .32 17% .36 86% .31
Jan
13		 Connecticut C+ A A F C- 40% 30% 30% D+ D+ A+ C+ A+ D A+ F A- A C F A+ A 51% 11% 38% D- A- F+ B- D A+ F A+ F
0.99 65% 46% 0% -10 -1 0.79 49% 1.0 .46 22% .49 60% .30 1.07 63% 75% 21% -1 +2 1.05 43% 1.1 .47 26% .55 62% .34
Jan
17		 Butler D- C F F F 34% 32% 34% F+ F A+ F B+ D A+ C- A+ C D- F A+ B- 42% 16% 42% C+ B- A+ A+ A+ D F F F
0.98 59% 25% 18% -12 -2 0.74 49% 0.7 .35 19% .46 68% .31 1.15 67% 57% 22% -1 +1 1.02 17% 0.6 .10 12% .69 80% .56
Jan
20		 St. John's C F B- A+ D+ 60% 12% 28% A+ C+ A+ F B C+ A+ F C+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 58% 21% 21% C A+ F A+ C+ A F B- F
0.94 38% 40% 42% -8 +3 0.91 46% 0.7 .33 20% .39 55% .22 1.02 48% 22% 11% -16 +1 0.72 47% 1.0 .44 19% .58 70% .40
Jan
24		 DePaul D F D C+ F+ 48% 30% 22% C+ F+ C A B- A C- F D- A- F A+ C C+ 28% 18% 54% C+ C+ A A- A B F D F
0.90 42% 33% 36% -8 -1 0.84 28% 1.1 .31 15% .30 59% .18 1.01 73% 14% 33% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.0 .24 20% .63 74% .47
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Xavier B+ F A+ A D 64% 18% 18% A+ C- A+ F+ A- A- A+ A- A+ A+ D- D- A B 25% 21% 54% C B C+ F D+ A+ A- F B
1.19 43% 60% 40% -4 +2 0.98 49% 0.7 .35 14% .45 75% .34 0.94 69% 45% 29% 0 -1 1.00 26% 1.3 .32 26% .19 80% .15
Jan
31		 Marquette B- C+ D A C+ 46% 33% 21% D C+ A+ A+ A+ D F B- F+ B A+ A+ F A 50% 14% 36% B- A D+ F F A+ A+ A+ A+
1.11 59% 31% 40% 0 -1 1.00 44% 1.3 .56 22% .19 78% .15 1.03 33% 17% 47% -9 +2 0.88 33% 2.2 .73 26% .19 56% .11
Feb
4		 Villanova C- C+ A- F D- 48% 22% 30% B+ D D F+ D- A D+ A+ B- B+ F F C D+ 29% 13% 58% C+ C- D- A+ A+ A+ F F+ F
0.95 58% 45% 13% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.8 .19 16% .21 91% .19 1.14 77% 50% 35% +8 0 1.18 41% 0.5 .19 24% .46 77% .35
Feb
7		 Creighton C A- D A+ A- 43% 40% 17% D- B+ C+ A+ A- F B+ D- B- A+ A+ C D+ A- 29% 11% 60% C- B+ C- F F A+ B- F C
1.02 65% 32% 50% +4 -2 1.06 30% 1.3 .40 21% .27 64% .17 1.03 46% 40% 37% 0 +1 1.02 30% 1.4 .43 27% .25 83% .21
Feb
11		 Providence A F A+ C- A- 40% 31% 29% D+ B+ C- A+ B A+ A+ B A+ C+ C+ F F F 24% 10% 67% B- F C A+ A- A+ C+ F D-
1.27 43% 75% 33% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.3 .35 7% .39 76% .30 1.17 60% 75% 46% +16 0 1.36 35% 0.9 .31 26% .34 94% .32
Feb
15		 Butler D- A B- F+ B- 36% 33% 31% F+ C+ D B- D+ F+ A+ F B A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 38% 23% 38% A- A+ A A+ A+ C- C+ A- B
0.94 69% 40% 29% +2 -2 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 21% .42 45% .19 0.84 45% 33% 25% -11 0 0.79 29% 0.4 .10 13% .34 65% .22
Feb
18		 DePaul F+ C B+ A- B 51% 26% 23% B B F F F F+ C- B- C C A F B- B 40% 16% 44% D B- F A+ C+ B+ F D+ F
0.88 55% 45% 40% +2 0 1.07 12% 0.0 .00 23% .30 73% .22 1.07 47% 57% 32% -3 +1 0.98 41% 0.8 .34 20% .50 73% .37



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 9.1 26.9 14.9 1.7 52.7 4th
5th 4.1 23.8 10.7 0.6 39.2 5th
6th 4.7 2.1 0.0 6.8 6th
7th 1.2 0.0 1.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 10.1 35.1 37.6 15.5 1.7 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 1.7% 76.5% 6.1% 70.4% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 74.9%
11-9 15.5% 56.8% 5.1% 51.7% 10.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.0 4.6 0.0 6.7 54.5%
10-10 37.6% 38.5% 3.8% 34.7% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.3 10.3 0.2 23.2 36.0%
9-11 35.1% 16.9% 1.8% 15.1% 11.0 0.0 0.5 5.1 0.3 29.1 15.4%
8-12 10.1% 3.9% 0.7% 3.3% 11.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 9.7 3.3%
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 30.9% 3.0% 27.9% 10.6 69.1 28.7%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 7.7 12.9 25.8 45.2 9.7 6.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3% 90.7% 9.1 3.5 17.4 41.9 19.8 8.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6% 79.5% 9.7 0.6 7.2 20.5 36.7 14.5
Lose Out 4.3% 0.2% 11.3 0.2 0.1