Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#116
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#180
Pace59.7#357
Improvement-1.8#293

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#297
First Shot-8.5#356
After Offensive Rebound+4.0#20
Layup/Dunks-4.3#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#131
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#217
Freethrows-3.6#342
Improvement+0.5#137

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#14
First Shot+5.8#30
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#65
Layups/Dunks+2.0#109
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#205
Freethrows+3.4#21
Improvement-2.3#341
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.3% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.1 11.0 11.6
.500 or above 7.2% 11.3% 3.4%
.500 or above in Conference 6.8% 8.6% 5.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 45.1% 40.6% 49.3%
First Four0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma St. (Home) - 48.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 10
Quad 24 - 76 - 16
Quad 33 - 39 - 19
Quad 43 - 212 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 209   St. Peter's W 57-53 78%     1 - 0 -1.3 -10.6 +9.7
  Nov 09, 2024 201   Fordham L 56-57 77%     1 - 1 -5.9 -13.8 +7.9
  Nov 13, 2024 156   Hofstra L 48-49 60%     1 - 2 -0.7 -12.9 +12.0
  Nov 16, 2024 300   Wagner W 54-28 89%     2 - 2 +15.7 -2.5 +26.4
  Nov 21, 2024 55   Virginia Commonwealth W 69-66 OT 26%     3 - 2 +12.6 -2.4 +14.8
  Nov 22, 2024 67   Vanderbilt L 60-76 28%     3 - 3 -7.1 -7.0 -0.9
  Nov 24, 2024 92   Florida Atlantic W 63-61 39%     4 - 3 +7.8 -5.6 +13.6
  Nov 30, 2024 287   Monmouth L 51-63 88%     4 - 4 -21.5 -18.6 -4.9
  Dec 04, 2024 347   NJIT W 67-56 95%     5 - 4 -4.3 -2.0 -0.6
  Dec 08, 2024 81   Oklahoma St. L 63-64 49%    
  Dec 14, 2024 58   @ Rutgers L 58-68 19%    
  Dec 17, 2024 56   @ Villanova L 55-65 18%    
  Dec 22, 2024 98   Georgetown W 63-62 52%    
  Dec 31, 2024 68   @ Xavier L 59-68 21%    
  Jan 08, 2025 97   DePaul W 63-62 52%    
  Jan 11, 2025 79   @ Providence L 55-62 26%    
  Jan 15, 2025 54   @ Butler L 57-67 19%    
  Jan 18, 2025 20   St. John's L 58-67 22%    
  Jan 21, 2025 12   Marquette L 58-67 19%    
  Jan 25, 2025 40   @ Creighton L 56-68 15%    
  Jan 28, 2025 79   Providence L 58-59 46%    
  Feb 02, 2025 97   @ DePaul L 59-65 31%    
  Feb 05, 2025 54   Butler L 60-64 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 98   @ Georgetown L 60-65 32%    
  Feb 15, 2025 11   Connecticut L 57-67 20%    
  Feb 18, 2025 12   @ Marquette L 55-70 8%    
  Feb 23, 2025 68   Xavier L 62-65 41%    
  Feb 26, 2025 56   Villanova L 58-62 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 20   @ St. John's L 55-70 10%    
  Mar 04, 2025 40   Creighton L 59-65 31%    
  Mar 08, 2025 11   @ Connecticut L 54-70 9%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 2.2 1.2 0.2 4.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.5 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.3 2.2 4.5 3.0 0.6 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.4 6.2 4.2 0.9 0.1 15.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.3 5.8 7.5 4.8 1.1 0.1 22.1 10th
11th 1.0 3.3 7.2 9.6 8.0 3.9 0.7 0.0 33.6 11th
Total 1.0 3.3 7.6 11.9 14.5 15.0 14.1 11.4 8.5 5.8 3.5 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 44.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 14.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 8.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 81.6% 5.3% 76.3% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.6%
14-6 0.2% 55.1% 7.7% 47.4% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 51.4%
13-7 0.3% 39.0% 7.9% 31.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 33.8%
12-8 0.9% 17.4% 2.1% 15.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8 15.7%
11-9 1.8% 8.5% 2.5% 6.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.7 6.1%
10-10 3.5% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 0.8%
9-11 5.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8 0.1%
8-12 8.5% 0.3% 0.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
7-13 11.4% 0.3% 0.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.4
6-14 14.1% 0.2% 0.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 14.0
5-15 15.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.0
4-16 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.5
3-17 11.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.9
2-18 7.6% 7.6
1-19 3.3% 3.3
0-20 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.9% 0.3% 0.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.1 0.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%