South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#275
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#255
Pace79.8#12
Improvement+1.2#100

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#192
First Shot-3.7#281
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#37
Layup/Dunks-0.1#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#339
Freethrows+1.1#108
Improvement+1.7#60

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#333
First Shot-4.8#330
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#215
Layups/Dunks-10.3#365
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#111
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#13
Freethrows-2.0#305
Improvement-0.5#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 6.0% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 28.6% 54.4% 27.2%
.500 or above in Conference 49.8% 64.5% 49.0%
Conference Champion 3.1% 5.2% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 3.6% 7.4%
First Four2.0% 1.4% 2.0%
First Round3.2% 5.3% 3.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 5.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 412 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 263 Utah Tech L 79-81 OT 59%     0 - 1 -10.5 -8.9 -1.4
  Wed, Nov 5 59 @Creighton L 76-92 5%     0 - 2 -3.7 +5.1 -8.2
  Wed, Nov 12 317 Southern Indiana W 89-74 72%     1 - 2 +2.8 -2.5 +2.8
  Sun, Nov 16 250 Western Michigan W 83-78 58%     2 - 2 -3.1 +6.8 -9.8
  Thu, Nov 20 48 @Missouri L 68-102 4%     2 - 3 -19.9 -4.4 -13.6
  Sun, Nov 23 360 South Carolina St. W 82-81 86%     3 - 3 -16.8 +0.4 -17.2
  Sat, Nov 29 322 Air Force W 80-63 63%     4 - 3 +7.4 +6.1 +1.6
  Wed, Dec 3 178 Portland St. L 71-77 43%     4 - 4 -10.2 -7.2 -2.5
  Sat, Dec 6 148 @Northern Colorado L 87-89 OT 18%     4 - 5 +1.6 +7.4 -5.6
  Tue, Dec 9 89 @Wyoming L 79-106 9%     4 - 6 -18.1 +5.2 -21.7
  Sat, Dec 13 325 Prairie View W 97-85 74%     5 - 6 -0.8 +7.4 -9.5
  Sat, Dec 20 68 @Kansas St. L 80-97 5%    
  Wed, Dec 31 144 @North Dakota St. L 77-87 17%    
  Wed, Jan 7 132 @St. Thomas L 76-87 15%    
  Sat, Jan 10 313 Denver W 89-83 70%    
  Thu, Jan 15 346 UMKC W 84-75 79%    
  Sat, Jan 17 343 @North Dakota W 81-79 59%    
  Wed, Jan 21 235 @Nebraska Omaha L 80-85 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 132 St. Thomas L 79-84 33%    
  Thu, Jan 29 299 Oral Roberts W 86-82 65%    
  Sat, Jan 31 144 North Dakota St. L 80-84 36%    
  Wed, Feb 4 346 @UMKC W 81-78 60%    
  Sat, Feb 7 164 @South Dakota St. L 77-86 21%    
  Wed, Feb 11 343 North Dakota W 84-76 77%    
  Thu, Feb 19 313 @Denver L 86-87 49%    
  Sat, Feb 21 299 @Oral Roberts L 83-85 44%    
  Wed, Feb 25 235 Nebraska Omaha W 83-82 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 164 South Dakota St. L 80-83 40%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.7 2.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.6 5.1 2.3 0.2 0.0 11.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 5.8 7.6 3.0 0.2 18.1 4th
5th 0.1 2.2 7.8 7.7 2.3 0.2 0.0 20.1 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 7.2 5.9 1.5 0.0 17.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.2 4.1 0.8 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 3.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.1 5.9 10.0 13.9 16.0 15.6 13.6 10.0 5.8 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 93.2% 0.3    0.3 0.0 0.0
13-3 76.5% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.0
12-4 38.0% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-5 8.0% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 33.3% 33.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.3% 18.4% 18.4% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.3% 19.0% 19.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
12-4 2.9% 14.2% 14.2% 15.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 2.5
11-5 5.8% 10.4% 10.4% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 5.2
10-6 10.0% 7.8% 7.8% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 9.3
9-7 13.6% 5.1% 5.1% 15.9 0.1 0.6 12.9
8-8 15.6% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5 15.0
7-9 16.0% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 15.5
6-10 13.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.7
5-11 10.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 9.9
4-12 5.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.9
3-13 3.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.1
2-14 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.0
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.1 95.8 0.0%