South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#224
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#176
Pace74.9#49
Improvement+0.1#177

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#90
First Shot+2.5#102
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#135
Layup/Dunks+0.5#167
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#236
Freethrows+3.2#47
Improvement+1.3#84

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#351
First Shot-3.1#278
After Offensive Rebounds-3.6#354
Layups/Dunks-1.0#205
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#217
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#306
Freethrows+1.9#72
Improvement-1.2#281
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 8.9% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 58.7% 61.5% 37.7%
.500 or above in Conference 62.9% 64.1% 53.5%
Conference Champion 8.5% 8.9% 5.7%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 6.1% 10.0%
First Four1.3% 1.2% 1.5%
First Round8.0% 8.3% 5.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M - Commerce (Home) - 88.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 413 - 616 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 234   Southern W 93-79 63%     1 - 0 +7.1 +9.1 -3.6
  Nov 06, 2024 355   Texas A&M - Commerce W 85-72 89%    
  Nov 12, 2024 50   @ Iowa L 77-96 7%     1 - 1 -5.7 +5.6 -10.5
  Nov 20, 2024 271   @ Western Michigan W 80-76 48%     2 - 1 +1.0 +2.2 -1.4
  Nov 22, 2024 293   @ Southern Indiana L 83-92 51%     2 - 2 -12.8 +3.5 -15.8
  Nov 27, 2024 44   @ Nebraska L 79-96 6%     2 - 3 -3.0 +7.9 -9.6
  Dec 04, 2024 252   Idaho St. W 94-80 67%     3 - 3 +6.1 +22.0 -15.3
  Dec 07, 2024 301   @ Northern Arizona W 80-79 53%    
  Dec 10, 2024 177   Wyoming W 80-79 52%    
  Dec 14, 2024 324   Western Illinois W 80-71 79%    
  Dec 19, 2024 291   @ Utah Tech W 80-79 51%    
  Dec 21, 2024 84   @ Santa Clara L 75-88 12%    
  Jan 02, 2025 292   @ UMKC W 77-76 51%    
  Jan 04, 2025 321   Denver W 87-79 78%    
  Jan 11, 2025 133   @ St. Thomas L 78-86 23%    
  Jan 16, 2025 261   Oral Roberts W 86-81 68%    
  Jan 18, 2025 187   North Dakota St. W 80-79 53%    
  Jan 23, 2025 289   @ North Dakota W 81-80 51%    
  Jan 25, 2025 120   @ South Dakota St. L 78-87 21%    
  Jan 29, 2025 306   Nebraska Omaha W 84-77 74%    
  Feb 06, 2025 321   @ Denver W 84-82 59%    
  Feb 08, 2025 261   @ Oral Roberts L 83-84 47%    
  Feb 13, 2025 292   UMKC W 80-74 71%    
  Feb 15, 2025 120   South Dakota St. L 81-84 40%    
  Feb 19, 2025 133   St. Thomas L 81-83 43%    
  Feb 22, 2025 306   @ Nebraska Omaha W 81-80 54%    
  Feb 26, 2025 187   @ North Dakota St. L 77-82 32%    
  Mar 01, 2025 289   North Dakota W 84-78 70%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.6 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 8.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.4 5.2 3.3 0.8 0.0 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 5.3 6.7 2.9 0.4 0.0 16.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 6.5 7.0 2.2 0.2 17.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 5.6 5.9 1.4 0.1 14.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.8 4.7 1.1 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.4 3.6 0.9 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.4 0.6 0.0 6.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.3 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.0 7.0 10.5 12.6 14.8 14.5 12.6 9.6 6.2 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 97.3% 1.3    1.1 0.2
13-3 75.2% 2.6    1.7 0.8 0.1
12-4 41.3% 2.6    1.0 1.2 0.3 0.0
11-5 13.9% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1
10-6 2.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 8.5% 8.5 4.6 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 31.6% 31.6% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.4% 31.7% 31.7% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.3% 33.2% 33.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.9
13-3 3.5% 24.0% 24.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.6
12-4 6.2% 19.7% 19.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 5.0
11-5 9.6% 15.8% 15.8% 14.8 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 8.1
10-6 12.6% 11.4% 11.4% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 11.2
9-7 14.5% 8.1% 8.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 13.3
8-8 14.8% 5.9% 5.9% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 13.9
7-9 12.6% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.5 12.1
6-10 10.5% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.2
5-11 7.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 6.9
4-12 4.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.0
3-13 1.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.9
2-14 0.8% 0.8
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 3.3 2.8 91.4 0.0%