St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -15.1 355
Results Rating -16.0 353
Consistency 0.15 140
Pace 73.6 48
Improvement +2.1 117

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 327 D+ D D D D+
Defense F+ 357 F D- C+ D D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 260 C- 56% 212 -2.1 261
2 Pt. Jumpers 47% 80 D 33% 326 +0.2 165
Three Pointers 40% 202 C 34% 201 -0.7 202
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 277 D+ -2.1 255
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 262
Second Chance D+ 27.1% 269 D 0.94 308 D 0.26 301
Opponents' Steals C 9.7% 216
Other Turnovers F 9.3% 350
Turnovers D 19.0% 325
Freethrows D 0.26 306 D 69% 299 D 0.18 324
Total Offense D -6.5 327

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 283 D 13.2% 314
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 162 C- 6.2% 267
Three Pointers C+ 86% 129 B- 0.6% 105
Total C- 53% 227 D+ 6.5% 284


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 114 F 69% 365 +6.2 352
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 349 C 39% 194 -2.4 16
Three Pointers 44% 75 F+ 39% 356 +5.0 350
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.0 340 F +7.5 364
1st FG Attempt F 1.20 364
Second Chance D+ 33.2% 297 D- 1.17 344 D- 0.39 338
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.2% 131
Other Turnovers C+ 7.5% 128
Turnovers C+ 17.7% 108
Freethrows D 0.35 318 C 72% 161 D 0.25 312
Total Defense F+ -8.6 357

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 217 F+ 4.3% 361
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 39% 342 C 5.1% 150
Three Pointers C- 85% 229 D- -0.1% 359
Total D+ 61% 294 F+ 2.5% 357

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 171 15.9 6
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 271 0.23 344
Consistency 0.12 166 0.14 313
Improvement +3.7 33 -1.7 272

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 355 355 355
Results Rating Rank 353 353 353
Conference Record 5 - 11 5 - 11 5 - 11
Conference Finish 9 9 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100% n/a n/a
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 45 - 155 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 33 @Oklahoma L 66 - 102 1% -11  6% 0 - 1 F -19 F+ -8 D D+ D F+ -9 D- F B-
 Thu, Nov 6 43 @TCU L 63 - 104 1% -23  0% 0 - 2 F -25 F+ -9 C- F C F -12 F F A
 Tue, Nov 11 274 Mount St. Mary's L 66 - 74 29% -5  18% 0 - 3 F+ -17 F+ -10 D- F+ D+ D- -8 F B+ C+
 Tue, Nov 18 283 @Lehigh L 62 - 79 15% -9  1% 0 - 4 F -21 F -18 F C F C- -3 D- F B
 Mon, Nov 24 77 Belmont L 57 - 94 3% -16  2% 0 - 5 F -29 F -20 F F F F+ -9 F C- C
 Wed, Nov 26 142 Troy L 64 - 74 8% +2  62% 0 - 6 D -9 F -14 C- F F B+ +5 C C- A+
 Mon, Dec 1 88 @Xavier L 74 - 96 2% -13  0% 0 - 7 D- -13 D- -7 D+ C- D D+ -4 C D D+
 Sun, Dec 7 252 @Radford L 56 - 89 12% -17  1% 0 - 8 F -35 F -21 F F D F -15 F F C
 Sun, Dec 14 150 @Temple L 67 - 95 5% -17  0% 0 - 9 F -24 D- -7 D B- D F -17 F A C-
 Wed, Dec 17 4 @Florida L 61 - 102 0% -25  0% 0 - 10 D- -12 C- -1 C+ C- C+ F -10 F F A
 Sat, Dec 20 162 Robert Morris L 70 - 79 13% -2  38% 0 - 11 D- -12 C- -0 C- A A F -12 F A+ C+
 Fri, Jan 2 300 Le Moyne L 58 - 84 37% -9  23% 0 - 12 0 - 1 F -38 F -20 F F C- F -19 F F C+
 Sun, Jan 4 336 Fairleigh Dickinson W 85 - 82 51% -0  30% 1 - 12 1 - 1 D- -12 C- -0 D A C F -12 D F+ F
 Thu, Jan 8 310 @Wagner W 71 - 69 20% -1  33% 2 - 12 2 - 1 C- -4 C- -1 C C D- C- -3 C- F+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 223 @LIU Brooklyn L 63 - 67 9% -1  31% 2 - 13 2 - 2 C- -4 F -12 C F D- A- +8 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 17 308 Central Connecticut St. L 90 - 98 39% -7  0% 2 - 14 2 - 3 F -20 A- +10 B- A- A- F -30 F B F
 Mon, Jan 19 331 Stonehill W 63 - 61 47% -3  16% 3 - 14 3 - 3 D- -12 F -11 F C- B C -1 D- C- A+
 Fri, Jan 23 347 Chicago St. W 81 - 60 55% +13  97% 4 - 14 4 - 3 C+ +5 C +1 A+ F C- B +5 C+ C A-
 Sat, Jan 31 326 New Haven L 69 - 81 44% -5  17% 4 - 15 4 - 4 F -26 D -6 D- C- C+ F -20 F C- D-
 Thu, Feb 5 292 @Mercyhurst L 89 - 98 OT 16% -3  23% 4 - 16 4 - 5 D- -14 B- +4 B+ D- D F -17 C+ F B-
 Sat, Feb 7 300 @Le Moyne L 84 - 86 18% +3  72% 4 - 17 4 - 6 D+ -8 C- -0 C+ C D+ D- -7 F B A+
 Mon, Feb 9 347 @Chicago St. L 75 - 80 32% -7  10% 4 - 18 4 - 7 F+ -15 D- -7 D- C F F+ -8 C- F B
 Thu, Feb 12 336 @Fairleigh Dickinson L 59 - 66 29% -5  3% 4 - 19 4 - 8 F+ -16 F -17 F C- C C+ +0 D- F A
 Sat, Feb 14 292 Mercyhurst L 79 - 94 33% -9  7% 4 - 20 4 - 9 F -26 C +2 A- F B+ F -27 F F D
 Thu, Feb 19 223 LIU Brooklyn L 89 - 91 20% -1  37% 4 - 21 4 - 10 D -8 C+ +4 A+ F F F -12 F A F
 Sat, Feb 21 310 Wagner L 56 - 65 39% -3  7% 4 - 22 4 - 11 F -21 F -21 F F+ F C -1 C B- A-
 Tue, Feb 24 326 @New Haven W 73 - 67 24% +3  66% 5 - 22 5 - 11 C -2 B- +5 B B- F D -6 F A+ F
 Thu, Feb 26 331 @Stonehill L 77 - 103 26% -17  3% 5 - 23 5 - 12 F -34 C +0 D- A D- F -34 F F F
 Sat, Feb 28 308 @Central Connecticut St. L 64 - 69 20% -1  27% 5 - 24 5 - 13 D -11 F -11 D D F C -1 F A B+
Totals 5 - 24 5 - 13 -15 D -6 C+ D+ D+ F+ -9 C D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- D C D+ 36% 47% 40% D+ D+ D+ D D D D D D F+ F C F+ F 41% 15% 44% D- F D+ D- D- C+ D C D
0.99 56% 33% 34% -2 -1 0.97 27% 0.9 .26 19% .26 69% .18 1.21 69% 39% 39% +8 +1 1.20 33% 1.2 .39 18% .35 72% .19
Nov
3		 Oklahoma F+ A- F D D+ 34% 38% 28% F+ D C F+ D+ D F D+ F F+ F+ F B- D+ 57% 2% 41% F D- D- F F B- B B- B+
0.89 65% 23% 31% -5 -2 0.88 30% 0.8 .25 19% .17 70% .12 1.38 70% 100% 33% +7 +4 1.24 40% 1.4 .57 15% .29 72% .21
Nov
6		 TCU F+ D F B D+ 46% 21% 33% B- C- F D+ F C F A+ F F F F D- F 35% 9% 56% D F F D- F A F F F
0.81 50% 25% 37% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.0 .13 21% .10 83% .08 1.34 74% 60% 39% +11 +1 1.27 47% 1.2 .56 19% .45 86% .38
Nov
11		 Mount St. Mary's F+ C D+ F D- 28% 30% 42% F+ D- A- F F+ D+ D+ D+ D+ D- F F F F 29% 15% 56% B+ F A- B- B+ C+ D A+ A
0.96 56% 35% 25% -7 -2 0.84 38% 0.5 .19 16% .31 72% .22 1.07 79% 43% 41% +12 0 1.27 23% 1.0 .23 23% .34 39% .13
Nov
18		 Lehigh F F B+ C- F 43% 27% 31% D+ F D- A+ C F F D- F C- D F C D 43% 16% 41% F D- F D- F B F A F
0.85 33% 46% 33% -9 0 0.84 28% 1.3 .36 25% .24 69% .16 1.08 62% 50% 35% +4 +1 1.12 32% 1.1 .35 20% .45 65% .29
Nov
24		 Belmont F F A+ F F 33% 15% 52% B- F D F F F C D+ C- F+ D B F F 42% 6% 53% D F B F C- C A- F B-
0.79 41% 50% 22% -13 0 0.77 27% 0.7 .20 24% .27 73% .20 1.31 68% 33% 50% +17 +2 1.40 24% 1.5 .36 18% .24 79% .19
Nov
26		 Troy F F B- A+ C 30% 28% 41% F+ C- C F F F B B B B+ C- A- B- 57% 0% 43% F C F+ B C- A+ F A+ F
0.87 36% 46% 42% +1 -2 1.00 31% 0.6 .20 30% .31 75% .23 1.01 58% 28% -4 +4 1.02 40% 0.9 .34 26% .55 63% .35
Dec
1		 Xavier D- C- F B- D+ 37% 25% 39% C- D+ F A+ C- D D+ A+ C D+ D- F A B- 43% 12% 46% F C F+ C+ D D+ B+ A A-
0.95 57% 29% 36% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.3 .23 19% .24 80% .19 1.24 69% 50% 29% +3 +1 1.10 33% 1.0 .33 10% .22 67% .14
Dec
7		 Radford F F B- D+ F 31% 23% 46% F+ F F+ F F D F C- F F D- C- F F 35% 9% 56% D- F D F F C A+ C A+
0.81 38% 42% 33% -6 -1 0.88 24% 0.7 .17 20% .13 71% .09 1.28 63% 40% 40% +7 +1 1.19 32% 1.6 .52 17% .24 71% .17
Dec
14		 Temple D- C F D- D- 46% 15% 38% B+ D C- A B- D F F F F D+ F F F 48% 6% 46% F F A+ F A C- A+ F A
0.97 58% 25% 30% -4 +1 0.96 27% 1.2 .32 17% .23 54% .12 1.37 62% 67% 60% +21 +3 1.50 14% 1.3 .18 13% .23 86% .20
Dec
17		 Florida C- C+ A- F B- 30% 44% 26% F C+ C D+ C- C+ F B- F+ F F F F+ F 41% 8% 51% C- F F F F A F+ F F
0.84 53% 44% 20% -4 -4 0.86 21% 0.6 .13 17% .18 73% .13 1.41 81% 75% 38% +16 +2 1.37 54% 1.3 .71 21% .42 83% .35
Dec
20		 Robert Morris C- B- F A- C 31% 24% 45% D- C- D A+ A A F F F F C A+ F F 42% 11% 47% F F A+ B A+ C+ F F+ F
1.10 63% 17% 39% 0 -1 1.00 25% 1.7 .42 11% .18 50% .09 1.24 58% 20% 52% +11 +2 1.27 24% 1.0 .24 19% .44 74% .33
Jan
2		 Le Moyne F D- F D+ F+ 24% 28% 48% F F D+ F F C- B- F D- F D- C F F 38% 17% 45% C F F F F C+ A- A+ A+
0.86 50% 21% 33% -7 -2 0.84 28% 0.5 .14 15% .35 55% .19 1.25 67% 38% 52% +16 0 1.34 38% 1.3 .48 21% .26 57% .15
Jan
4		 Fairleigh Dickinson C- F A B D+ 22% 24% 53% F+ D D A+ A C A+ A+ A+ F F F A+ D- 33% 24% 43% B- D A F F+ F F F F
1.18 45% 50% 38% +4 -2 1.06 23% 1.7 .40 15% .49 83% .41 1.14 69% 50% 24% 0 -1 1.00 23% 1.6 .37 13% .52 79% .41
Jan
8		 Wagner C- B C- C- C+ 40% 17% 44% C- C C- B- C D- C- A+ B- C- F A+ A+ C- 35% 26% 39% B- C- F B- F+ C+ F A D
1.09 63% 38% 33% +1 +1 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 17% .35 84% .30 1.06 88% 17% 22% -2 -1 0.96 42% 1.0 .42 20% .37 63% .23
Jan
10		 LIU Brooklyn F F F+ A+ C+ 38% 26% 36% F+ C F A+ F D- F F F A- A B+ A+ A+ 47% 33% 20% B A+ F F F A+ F A- F
0.88 42% 31% 50% +1 -1 1.02 10% 1.3 .13 21% .25 57% .14 0.94 48% 33% 0% -17 -1 0.67 51% 1.2 .61 27% .48 60% .29
Jan
17		 Central Connecticut St. A- C+ C+ A A- 18% 30% 52% F B- A C+ A- A- A F B+ F F D F F 28% 34% 38% C+ F A+ F B F F D+ F
1.32 60% 41% 41% +7 -3 1.11 41% 1.1 .44 9% .35 73% .26 1.43 85% 44% 56% +22 -2 1.40 16% 1.3 .20 10% .55 79% .44
Jan
19		 Stonehill F F F C- F 45% 25% 29% C- F D- B+ C- B A+ F A C C- A+ C- D 50% 5% 45% F D- C+ D C- A+ F F F
0.93 43% 15% 33% -13 0 0.76 23% 1.2 .28 10% .46 61% .28 0.90 55% 0% 33% -4 +3 1.00 25% 1.0 .25 31% .45 76% .34
Jan
23		 Chicago St. C A+ F+ A+ A+ 28% 22% 50% F A+ F+ F F C- D A+ C B B- A+ D- C+ 26% 38% 36% B C+ F A+ C A- B+ A+ A+
1.21 92% 30% 48% +18 -1 1.37 27% 0.7 .18 19% .30 88% .26 0.90 50% 25% 37% -6 -3 0.85 37% 0.7 .26 19% .20 45% .09
Jan
31		 New Haven D B- F D D- 44% 18% 38% C D- D B+ C- C+ B+ F C F F A+ F F 36% 20% 43% C- F B- F C- D- F F+ F
1.04 64% 11% 32% -4 +1 0.96 23% 1.3 .29 15% .32 67% .21 1.22 81% 0% 53% +13 0 1.27 19% 1.2 .22 15% .48 78% .37
Feb
5		 Mercyhurst B- C- B- A+ B+ 44% 18% 39% C B+ C F D- D D+ D+ D F A- F A B 41% 22% 37% F C+ F F F B- F F+ F
1.15 56% 40% 45% +6 +1 1.16 32% 0.8 .24 19% .35 68% .24 1.27 45% 58% 25% -6 0 0.91 49% 1.4 .67 17% .47 80% .37
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Le Moyne C- F F+ A+ B 29% 29% 43% F C+ C- B C D+ A+ F B- D- F B F F 55% 7% 38% F F C+ A B A+ F B F
1.09 38% 25% 54% +3 -2 1.05 29% 1.2 .34 16% .42 63% .26 1.12 87% 33% 44% +21 +3 1.50 23% 0.8 .18 27% .56 68% .38
Feb
9		 Chicago St. D- A+ A+ F F+ 32% 7% 61% C+ D- C C+ C F A+ C- A+ F+ D A B C 38% 24% 38% F C- F F F B F D F
1.06 93% 67% 19% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.2 .41 25% .53 75% .40 1.13 59% 27% 29% -5 -1 0.91 40% 1.2 .49 18% .57 79% .45
Feb
12		 Fairleigh Dickinson F F F F F 37% 16% 47% C+ F A- F C- C B- D+ C C+ F F A+ F 28% 28% 44% A- D- B F F A F A+ F
0.90 50% 25% 22% -14 0 0.76 36% 0.7 .24 15% .36 70% .25 1.01 80% 60% 19% +2 -2 1.03 28% 1.8 .48 23% .56 57% .32
Feb
14		 Mercyhurst C B+ F+ A+ A- 55% 15% 30% B+ A- F C- F B+ A+ F A F F F F F 38% 22% 40% F F F F F D F F F
1.15 65% 29% 43% +7 +2 1.19 19% 1.0 .19 15% .56 61% .34 1.37 79% 55% 40% +15 0 1.32 33% 1.5 .50 13% .30 89% .27
Feb
19		 LIU Brooklyn C+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 55% 12% 33% B+ A+ B- F F F B- A+ A- F F C F F 60% 24% 16% F+ F C+ A+ A F D- A+ C
1.16 54% 50% 65% +14 +2 1.35 38% 0.5 .21 27% .36 80% .29 1.18 73% 38% 56% +14 +1 1.33 32% 0.6 .21 16% .34 55% .18
Feb
21		 Wagner F D F D F 44% 17% 40% C F B- F F+ F D- F F C F A+ A C 25% 18% 57% C C D A+ B- A- F F+ F
0.86 52% 13% 32% -8 +1 0.88 33% 0.6 .21 18% .32 47% .15 1.00 73% 25% 28% -4 -1 0.93 35% 0.8 .29 23% .46 78% .36
Feb
24		 New Haven B- A+ A+ F B+ 48% 19% 33% C+ B F+ A+ B- F A- A+ A+ D F C- D+ F 26% 16% 58% C F A+ A+ A+ F D+ A+ B-
1.16 75% 63% 21% +6 +1 1.17 20% 1.8 .35 21% .34 100% .34 1.07 85% 38% 34% +7 0 1.16 12% 0.5 .06 10% .28 56% .16
Feb
26		 Stonehill C D- F C+ F+ 54% 21% 25% B D- C+ A+ A D- A- F D+ F F A+ F F 46% 7% 47% F F F F F F C- F D-
1.05 48% 25% 36% -7 +1 0.89 30% 1.5 .44 15% .35 50% .18 1.41 69% 25% 44% +12 +2 1.30 34% 1.7 .59 11% .25 81% .20
Feb
28		 Central Connecticut St. F A F F D- 51% 18% 31% C D C- F D F A F B+ C D F D+ F 43% 28% 30% F F D+ A+ A B+ B F C
0.99 70% 13% 21% -5 +1 0.96 31% 0.8 .25 20% .35 72% .25 1.06 65% 54% 36% +8 -1 1.17 29% 0.5 .14 20% .21 91% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%