St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -15.0 355
Results Rating -15.9 354
Consistency 0.15 139
Pace 73.3 54
Improvement +2.3 104

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 331 D+ D D D D+
Defense F+ 359 F D- C+ D D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 263 C- 56% 207 -2.1 260
2 Pt. Jumpers 47% 82 D 33% 331 +0.2 169
Three Pointers 40% 201 C 33% 212 -0.7 207
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 273 D+ -2.2 257
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 268
Second Chance D+ 27.1% 275 D 0.95 305 D 0.26 306
Opponents' Steals C- 9.7% 215
Other Turnovers F+ 9.3% 347
Turnovers D 19.0% 318
Freethrows D 0.26 309 D 69% 287 D 0.18 322
Total Offense D -6.4 331

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 284 D 13.3% 318
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 161 C- 6.3% 266
Three Pointers C+ 86% 131 B- 0.6% 100
Total C- 53% 229 D+ 6.5% 283


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 114 F 69% 364 +6.2 351
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 345 C 38% 190 -2.4 20
Three Pointers 44% 83 F+ 39% 355 +4.9 345
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.0 340 F +7.5 363
1st FG Attempt F 1.20 364
Second Chance D+ 33.2% 292 D- 1.17 344 D- 0.39 339
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.1% 135
Other Turnovers C+ 7.6% 131
Turnovers C+ 17.7% 122
Freethrows D 0.35 316 C 72% 154 D 0.26 314
Total Defense F+ -8.5 359

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 217 F+ 4.3% 359
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 39% 344 C 5.4% 129
Three Pointers C- 85% 222 D- -0.1% 360
Total D+ 61% 295 F+ 2.5% 354

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 171 15.9 8
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 274 0.23 342
Consistency 0.12 169 0.14 306
Improvement +3.9 29 -1.6 267

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 355 355 354
Results Rating Rank 355 353 353
Conference Record 5 - 11 5 - 11 5 - 11
Conference Finish 10 9 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100% n/a n/a
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 45 - 155 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 46 @Oklahoma L 66 - 102 1% -11  6% 0 - 1 F -21 F+ -10 D D D F+ -9 F+ F B-
 Thu, Nov 6 49 @TCU L 63 - 104 1% -23  0% 0 - 2 F -27 F+ -9 C- F C F -13 F F A
 Tue, Nov 11 270 Mount St. Mary's L 66 - 74 29% -5  18% 0 - 3 F+ -17 F+ -10 D- F+ D+ D- -7 F B+ C+
 Tue, Nov 18 290 @Lehigh L 62 - 79 17% -9  1% 0 - 4 F -22 F -18 F C+ F C- -3 D- F B
 Mon, Nov 24 67 Belmont L 57 - 94 2% -16  2% 0 - 5 F -28 F -19 F F F F+ -9 F C- C
 Wed, Nov 26 149 Troy L 64 - 74 8% +2  62% 0 - 6 D -10 F -15 C- F F B+ +6 C C- A+
 Mon, Dec 1 83 @Xavier L 74 - 96 2% -13  0% 0 - 7 D- -12 D -5 C- C D D+ -5 C D D+
 Sun, Dec 7 245 @Radford L 56 - 89 11% -17  1% 0 - 8 F -35 F -20 F F D F -14 F F C
 Sun, Dec 14 165 @Temple L 67 - 95 6% -17  0% 0 - 9 F -25 F+ -8 D C+ D F -17 F A C-
 Wed, Dec 17 3 @Florida L 61 - 102 0% -25  0% 0 - 10 D- -13 C- -2 C C- C+ F -10 F F A
 Sat, Dec 20 156 Robert Morris L 70 - 79 13% -2  38% 0 - 11 D- -12 C- -1 C- A A F -12 F A+ C+
 Fri, Jan 2 296 Le Moyne L 58 - 84 35% -9  23% 0 - 12 0 - 1 F -37 F -19 F F C- F -19 F F C+
 Sun, Jan 4 337 Fairleigh Dickinson W 85 - 82 50% -0  30% 1 - 12 1 - 1 D- -12 C- -0 D A C F -12 D D- F
 Thu, Jan 8 318 @Wagner W 71 - 69 22% -1  33% 2 - 12 2 - 1 C- -5 C- -2 C C D- C- -2 C F+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 216 @LIU Brooklyn L 63 - 67 9% -1  31% 2 - 13 2 - 2 C- -4 F -12 C F D- A- +8 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 17 306 Central Connecticut St. L 90 - 98 37% -7  0% 2 - 14 2 - 3 F -20 A- +10 B- A- A F -30 F B F
 Mon, Jan 19 335 Stonehill W 63 - 61 49% -3  16% 3 - 14 3 - 3 D- -13 F -12 F C- B- C -1 D- C A+
 Fri, Jan 23 350 Chicago St. W 81 - 60 56% +13  97% 4 - 14 4 - 3 C+ +4 C +1 A+ F C B +4 C+ C A-
 Sat, Jan 31 326 New Haven L 69 - 81 44% -5  17% 4 - 15 4 - 4 F -26 D -6 D- C- C+ F -20 F C- D-
 Thu, Feb 5 289 @Mercyhurst L 89 - 98 OT 16% -3  23% 4 - 16 4 - 5 D- -13 B- +4 B+ F+ D+ F -17 C+ F B-
 Sat, Feb 7 296 @Le Moyne L 84 - 86 18% +3  72% 4 - 17 4 - 6 D+ -7 C +0 C+ C D+ D- -7 F B A+
 Mon, Feb 9 350 @Chicago St. L 75 - 80 34% -7  10% 4 - 18 4 - 7 F+ -16 D- -6 D- C+ F F+ -9 C- F B
 Thu, Feb 12 337 @Fairleigh Dickinson L 59 - 66 28% -5  3% 4 - 19 4 - 8 F+ -16 F -17 F C- C C+ +1 D- F A
 Sat, Feb 14 289 Mercyhurst L 79 - 94 33% -9  7% 4 - 20 4 - 9 F -25 C +1 A- F B+ F -27 F F D
 Thu, Feb 19 216 LIU Brooklyn L 89 - 91 20% -1  37% 4 - 21 4 - 10 D -8 B- +4 A+ F F F -12 F A F
 Sat, Feb 21 318 Wagner L 56 - 65 41% -3  7% 4 - 22 4 - 11 F -22 F -21 F F+ F C -1 C+ B- A-
 Tue, Feb 24 326 @New Haven W 73 - 67 24% +3  66% 5 - 22 5 - 11 C -2 B- +5 B B- F D -6 F A+ F
 Thu, Feb 26 335 @Stonehill L 77 - 103 28% -17  3% 5 - 23 5 - 12 F -35 C -0 D- A D- F -33 F F F
 Sat, Feb 28 306 @Central Connecticut St. L 64 - 69 19% -1  27% 5 - 24 5 - 13 D -11 F -10 D D F C -1 F A B+
Totals 5 - 24 5 - 13 -15 D -6 D+ D+ D+ F+ -9 C D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- D C D+ 36% 47% 40% D+ D+ D+ D D D D D D F+ F C F+ F 41% 15% 44% D- F D+ D- D- C+ D C D
0.99 56% 33% 33% -2 -1 0.96 27% 0.9 .26 19% .26 69% .18 1.21 69% 38% 39% +7 +1 1.20 33% 1.2 .39 18% .35 72% .19
Nov
3		 Oklahoma F+ A- F D D+ 34% 38% 28% F+ D C- F D D F D F F+ F F B- D 57% 2% 41% F F+ D- F+ F B- B B B
0.89 65% 23% 31% -5 -3 0.88 30% 0.8 .25 19% .17 70% .12 1.38 70% 100% 33% +7 +4 1.24 40% 1.4 .57 15% .29 72% .21
Nov
6		 TCU F+ D F B D+ 46% 21% 33% C+ C- F C- F C F A+ F F F F D- F 35% 9% 56% D F F D- F A F F F
0.81 50% 25% 37% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.0 .13 21% .10 83% .08 1.34 74% 60% 39% +11 +1 1.27 47% 1.2 .56 19% .45 86% .38
Nov
11		 Mount St. Mary's F+ C D+ F D- 28% 30% 42% F+ D- A- F F+ D+ D+ D+ D+ D- F F+ F F 29% 15% 56% B F A- B- B+ C+ D A+ A
0.96 56% 35% 25% -7 -2 0.84 38% 0.5 .19 16% .31 72% .22 1.07 79% 43% 41% +12 0 1.27 23% 1.0 .23 23% .34 39% .13
Nov
18		 Lehigh F F B C- F 43% 27% 31% D+ F D- A+ C+ F F+ D F+ C- D+ F C D 43% 16% 41% F D- F F+ F B F A F
0.85 33% 46% 33% -9 0 0.84 28% 1.3 .36 25% .24 69% .16 1.08 62% 50% 35% +4 +1 1.12 32% 1.1 .35 20% .45 65% .29
Nov
24		 Belmont F F A+ F F 33% 15% 52% B- F D F F F C D+ C F+ D B F F 42% 6% 53% D F B F C- C A- F B-
0.79 41% 50% 22% -13 0 0.77 27% 0.7 .20 24% .27 73% .20 1.31 68% 33% 50% +17 +2 1.40 24% 1.5 .36 18% .24 79% .19
Nov
26		 Troy F F B- A+ C 30% 28% 41% D- C- C F F F B- B B B+ C- A B- 57% 0% 43% F C F+ B C- A+ F A+ F
0.87 36% 46% 42% 0 -2 1.00 31% 0.6 .20 30% .31 75% .23 1.01 58% 28% -4 +4 1.02 40% 0.9 .34 26% .55 63% .35
Dec
1		 Xavier D C- F B- C- 37% 25% 39% C- C- F+ A+ C D D A+ C D+ D- F A B- 43% 12% 46% F C F+ C D D+ B A B+
0.95 57% 29% 36% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.3 .23 19% .24 80% .19 1.24 69% 50% 29% +3 +1 1.10 33% 1.0 .33 10% .22 67% .14
Dec
7		 Radford F F B- D+ F 31% 23% 46% F+ F F+ F F D F C- F F D- C- F F 35% 9% 56% D- F D F F C A+ C+ A+
0.81 38% 42% 33% -6 -1 0.88 24% 0.7 .17 20% .13 71% .09 1.28 63% 40% 40% +7 +1 1.19 32% 1.6 .52 17% .24 71% .17
Dec
14		 Temple F+ C F D- D- 46% 15% 38% B D C- A- C+ D F F F F D+ F F F 48% 6% 46% F F A+ F A C- A+ F A
0.97 58% 25% 30% -4 +1 0.96 27% 1.2 .32 17% .23 54% .12 1.37 62% 67% 60% +21 +3 1.50 14% 1.3 .18 13% .23 86% .20
Dec
17		 Florida C- C+ A- F B- 30% 44% 26% F C C D+ C- C+ F B F+ F F F F+ F 41% 8% 51% C F F F F A F+ F F
0.84 53% 44% 20% -4 -4 0.86 21% 0.6 .13 17% .18 73% .13 1.41 81% 75% 38% +16 +2 1.37 54% 1.3 .71 21% .42 83% .35
Dec
20		 Robert Morris C- B- F A- C 31% 24% 45% D- C- D A+ A A F F F F C- A+ F F 42% 11% 47% F F A+ B A+ C+ F D- F
1.10 63% 17% 39% 0 -1 1.00 25% 1.7 .42 11% .18 50% .09 1.24 58% 20% 52% +11 +2 1.27 24% 1.0 .24 19% .44 74% .33
Jan
2		 Le Moyne F D- F D+ F+ 24% 28% 48% F F D+ F F C- B- F D- F D- C F F 38% 17% 45% C F F F F C+ A- A+ A+
0.86 50% 21% 33% -7 -2 0.84 28% 0.5 .14 15% .35 55% .19 1.25 67% 38% 52% +16 0 1.34 38% 1.3 .48 21% .26 57% .15
Jan
4		 Fairleigh Dickinson C- F A B D+ 22% 24% 53% F+ D D A+ A C A+ A+ A+ F F F A+ D- 33% 24% 43% B- D A F D- F F F F
1.18 45% 50% 38% +4 -2 1.06 23% 1.7 .40 15% .49 83% .41 1.14 69% 50% 24% 0 -1 1.00 23% 1.6 .37 13% .52 79% .41
Jan
8		 Wagner C- B C- D+ C 40% 17% 44% C- C C- C+ C D- C- A+ B C- F A+ A+ C- 35% 26% 39% B- C F B- F+ C+ F A D
1.09 63% 38% 33% +1 +1 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 17% .35 84% .30 1.06 88% 17% 22% -2 -1 0.96 42% 1.0 .42 20% .37 63% .23
Jan
10		 LIU Brooklyn F F F+ A+ C+ 38% 26% 36% D- C F A+ F D- F F F A- A B+ A+ A+ 47% 33% 20% B A+ F F F A+ F A- F
0.88 42% 31% 50% +1 -1 1.02 10% 1.3 .13 21% .25 57% .14 0.94 48% 33% 0% -17 -1 0.67 51% 1.2 .61 27% .48 60% .29
Jan
17		 Central Connecticut St. A- C+ C+ A A- 18% 30% 52% F B- A C+ A- A A F B+ F F D F F 28% 34% 38% C+ F A+ F B F F C- F
1.32 60% 41% 41% +7 -3 1.11 41% 1.1 .44 9% .35 73% .26 1.43 85% 44% 56% +22 -3 1.40 16% 1.3 .20 10% .55 79% .44
Jan
19		 Stonehill F F F C- F 45% 25% 29% C- F D B+ C- B- A+ F A C C- A+ C- D 50% 5% 45% F D- B- D C A+ F F F
0.93 43% 15% 33% -13 0 0.76 23% 1.2 .28 10% .46 61% .28 0.90 55% 0% 33% -4 +3 1.00 25% 1.0 .25 31% .45 76% .34
Jan
23		 Chicago St. C A+ F+ A+ A+ 28% 22% 50% F A+ F+ F F C D A+ C B B- A+ D- C 26% 38% 36% B C+ F A+ C A- B A+ A+
1.21 92% 30% 48% +18 -1 1.37 27% 0.7 .18 19% .30 88% .26 0.90 50% 25% 37% -6 -3 0.85 37% 0.7 .26 19% .20 45% .09
Jan
31		 New Haven D B- F D+ D- 44% 18% 38% C D- D B+ C- C+ B+ F C F F A+ F F 36% 20% 43% C- F B- F C- D- F F+ F
1.04 64% 11% 32% -4 +1 0.96 23% 1.3 .29 15% .32 67% .21 1.22 81% 0% 53% +13 0 1.27 19% 1.2 .22 15% .48 78% .37
Feb
5		 Mercyhurst B- C- B- A+ A- 44% 18% 39% C B+ C- F F+ D+ D+ D D F A- F A B 41% 22% 37% F C+ F F F B- F F F
1.15 56% 40% 45% +6 +1 1.16 32% 0.8 .24 19% .35 68% .24 1.27 45% 58% 25% -6 0 0.91 49% 1.4 .67 17% .47 80% .37
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Le Moyne C F F+ A+ B 29% 29% 43% F C+ C- B C D+ A F B- D- F B F F 55% 7% 38% F F C+ A B A+ F B F
1.09 38% 25% 54% +3 -2 1.05 29% 1.2 .34 16% .42 63% .26 1.12 87% 33% 44% +21 +3 1.50 23% 0.8 .18 27% .56 68% .38
Feb
9		 Chicago St. D- A+ A+ F F+ 32% 7% 61% C+ D- C C+ C+ F A+ C- A+ F+ D A B C 38% 24% 38% F C- F F F B F D F
1.06 93% 67% 19% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.2 .41 25% .53 75% .40 1.13 59% 27% 29% -5 -1 0.91 40% 1.2 .49 18% .57 79% .45
Feb
12		 Fairleigh Dickinson F F F F F 37% 16% 47% C+ F A- F C- C B- D+ C+ C+ F F A+ F 28% 28% 44% A- D- B F F A F A+ F
0.90 50% 25% 22% -14 0 0.76 36% 0.7 .24 15% .36 70% .25 1.01 80% 60% 19% +2 -2 1.03 28% 1.8 .48 23% .56 57% .32
Feb
14		 Mercyhurst C B+ F+ A+ A- 55% 15% 30% B A- F C- F B+ A+ F A F F F F F 38% 22% 40% F F F F F D F F F
1.15 65% 29% 43% +7 +2 1.19 19% 1.0 .19 15% .56 61% .34 1.37 79% 55% 40% +15 0 1.32 33% 1.5 .50 13% .30 89% .27
Feb
19		 LIU Brooklyn B- D+ A+ A+ A+ 55% 12% 33% B+ A+ B- F F F B- A+ A- F F C F F 60% 24% 16% F+ F C+ A+ A F D- A+ C
1.16 54% 50% 65% +14 +2 1.35 38% 0.5 .21 27% .36 80% .29 1.18 73% 38% 56% +14 +1 1.33 32% 0.6 .21 16% .34 55% .18
Feb
21		 Wagner F D F D F 44% 17% 40% C F B- F F+ F D- F F C F A+ A C+ 25% 18% 57% C C+ D A+ B- A- F F F
0.86 52% 13% 32% -8 +1 0.88 33% 0.6 .21 18% .32 47% .15 1.00 73% 25% 28% -4 -1 0.93 35% 0.8 .29 23% .46 78% .36
Feb
24		 New Haven B- A+ A+ F B+ 48% 19% 33% C+ B F+ A+ B- F A- A+ A+ D F C- D+ F 26% 16% 58% C F A A+ A+ F D+ A+ B-
1.16 75% 63% 21% +6 +1 1.17 20% 1.8 .35 21% .34 100% .34 1.07 85% 38% 34% +7 0 1.16 12% 0.5 .06 10% .28 56% .16
Feb
26		 Stonehill C D- F C+ F+ 54% 21% 25% B- D- C+ A+ A D- A- F D+ F F A+ F F 46% 7% 47% F F F F F F C- F D-
1.05 48% 25% 36% -7 +1 0.89 30% 1.5 .44 15% .35 50% .18 1.41 69% 25% 44% +12 +2 1.30 34% 1.7 .59 11% .25 81% .20
Feb
28		 Central Connecticut St. F A F F D- 51% 18% 31% C D C- F D F A F B+ C D F D+ F 43% 28% 30% F F D+ A+ A B+ B F C
0.99 70% 13% 21% -5 +1 0.96 31% 0.8 .25 20% .35 72% .25 1.06 65% 54% 36% +8 -1 1.17 29% 0.5 .14 20% .21 91% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 89.7 89.7 9th
10th 10.3 10.3 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%