Stonehill
Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#336
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#258
Pace66.7#246
Improvement+2.7#29

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#335
First Shot-3.4#275
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#321
Layup/Dunks-5.1#329
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#244
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#71
Freethrows-1.0#242
Improvement+4.2#3

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#302
First Shot-2.8#269
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#256
Layups/Dunks-2.2#250
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#176
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#157
Freethrows-1.7#284
Improvement-1.5#302
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.1% 12.3% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 38.3% 62.5% 35.8%
.500 or above in Conference 61.4% 72.3% 60.2%
Conference Champion 9.9% 15.0% 9.4%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 4.7% 8.7%
First Four8.4% 10.4% 8.2%
First Round4.1% 6.4% 3.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 9.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 413 - 1014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 80   @ Notre Dame L 60-89 4%     0 - 1 -19.1 -7.3 -12.7
  Nov 09, 2024 79   @ Providence L 49-76 4%     0 - 2 -16.9 -19.9 +3.8
  Nov 14, 2024 275   @ Robert Morris L 51-63 25%     0 - 3 -15.2 -19.6 +4.1
  Nov 15, 2024 344   New Orleans W 80-54 58%     1 - 3 +13.8 +0.2 +13.3
  Nov 17, 2024 354   Lindenwood L 74-75 62%     1 - 4 -14.3 -1.6 -12.8
  Nov 21, 2024 176   Bryant W 67-66 27%     2 - 4 -2.8 -6.5 +3.7
  Nov 25, 2024 355   Texas A&M - Commerce W 67-65 72%     3 - 4 -14.3 -3.9 -10.1
  Nov 27, 2024 12   @ Marquette L 59-94 1%     3 - 5 -16.6 -2.8 -14.7
  Dec 01, 2024 245   Quinnipiac W 88-74 40%     4 - 5 +6.6 +17.2 -9.9
  Dec 15, 2024 145   @ Boston College L 61-75 9%    
  Dec 18, 2024 154   @ Umass Lowell L 67-80 11%    
  Dec 22, 2024 350   New Hampshire W 71-66 70%    
  Dec 29, 2024 231   @ Lafayette L 61-70 19%    
  Jan 03, 2025 361   @ Mercyhurst W 66-64 56%    
  Jan 05, 2025 339   @ St. Francis (PA) L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 10, 2025 342   LIU Brooklyn W 72-68 66%    
  Jan 12, 2025 359   @ Chicago St. W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 20, 2025 334   @ Le Moyne L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 24, 2025 359   Chicago St. W 74-67 74%    
  Jan 26, 2025 341   Fairleigh Dickinson W 79-75 65%    
  Jan 30, 2025 300   Wagner W 60-59 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 240   Central Connecticut St. L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 342   @ LIU Brooklyn L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 13, 2025 339   St. Francis (PA) W 73-69 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 361   Mercyhurst W 69-61 75%    
  Feb 20, 2025 300   @ Wagner L 56-62 30%    
  Feb 22, 2025 240   @ Central Connecticut St. L 61-70 22%    
  Feb 27, 2025 341   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 76-78 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 334   Le Moyne W 72-69 61%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 2.1 3.0 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 9.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 4.7 5.1 2.4 0.6 0.0 14.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 6.2 5.9 1.7 0.2 15.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 6.5 5.6 1.3 0.1 14.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.5 5.7 1.2 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.2 5.3 1.3 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.3 1.4 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 2.4 2.9 1.1 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 4.6 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 4.6 7.1 10.5 13.4 15.1 14.4 12.6 8.9 5.5 3.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 96.8% 1.1    1.0 0.1
13-3 82.3% 2.7    1.9 0.8 0.0
12-4 53.7% 3.0    1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0
11-5 23.3% 2.1    0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.9% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.9% 9.9 5.5 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 33.3% 33.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 37.2% 37.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
14-2 1.1% 31.9% 31.9% 15.8 0.1 0.3 0.8
13-3 3.3% 25.3% 25.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8 2.4
12-4 5.5% 19.9% 19.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1 4.4
11-5 8.9% 15.8% 15.8% 16.0 0.0 1.4 7.5
10-6 12.6% 12.6% 12.6% 16.0 1.6 11.0
9-7 14.4% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 1.3 13.1
8-8 15.1% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 1.1 14.1
7-9 13.4% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.7 12.7
6-10 10.5% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.4 10.1
5-11 7.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 6.9
4-12 4.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.5
3-13 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1
2-14 0.7% 0.7
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.0 90.9 0.0%