Stonehill
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.9#339
Expected Predictive Rating-17.6#357
Pace66.8#255
Improvement-0.8#233

Offense
Total Offense-8.7#357
First Shot-5.6#330
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#344
Layup/Dunks-3.8#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#127
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#109
Freethrows-5.0#362
Improvement+0.1#166

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#247
First Shot-3.7#300
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#81
Layups/Dunks-4.8#329
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#204
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#135
Freethrows-0.2#198
Improvement-0.9#253
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 9.6% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.1 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.1% 15.5% 3.9%
.500 or above in Conference 58.9% 74.4% 58.6%
Conference Champion 6.1% 11.0% 6.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.5% 4.6% 8.6%
First Four5.7% 9.4% 5.6%
First Round2.6% 5.1% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Syracuse (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 410 - 1410 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 109 @DePaul L 64-72 6%     0 - 1 -1.4 -8.8 +8.0
  Tue, Nov 11 116 @Rhode Island L 57-80 6%     0 - 2 -16.6 -12.0 -4.2
  Fri, Nov 14 301 @Fairfield L 71-73 OT 27%     0 - 3 -6.4 -10.8 +4.5
  Sat, Nov 15 340 Loyola Maryland L 63-74 51%     0 - 4 -22.1 -12.9 -9.8
  Mon, Nov 17 4 @Iowa St. L 57-96 0.4%    0 - 5 -14.0 -3.5 -10.2
  Fri, Nov 21 320 Lafayette W 74-70 56%     1 - 5 -8.5 -5.2 -3.4
  Wed, Nov 26 303 Umass Lowell L 64-75 48%     1 - 6 -21.5 -12.9 -8.8
  Sun, Nov 30 157 @Quinnipiac L 62-76 10%     1 - 7 -10.9 -7.4 -3.6
  Tue, Dec 2 299 @Bryant L 65-77 27%     1 - 8 -16.4 +0.3 -18.3
  Wed, Dec 17 338 @New Hampshire L 58-59 38%     1 - 9 -8.8 -14.2 +5.4
  Mon, Dec 22 72 @Syracuse L 57-79 2%    
  Fri, Jan 2 336 New Haven W 65-62 61%    
  Sun, Jan 4 292 @Wagner L 65-72 26%    
  Thu, Jan 8 240 @Central Connecticut St. L 61-70 19%    
  Sat, Jan 10 341 Chicago St. W 72-69 62%    
  Sat, Jan 17 328 @Mercyhurst L 63-67 36%    
  Mon, Jan 19 363 @St. Francis (PA) W 70-68 56%    
  Fri, Jan 23 201 LIU Brooklyn L 69-74 32%    
  Sun, Jan 25 240 Central Connecticut St. L 64-67 39%    
  Thu, Jan 29 359 Fairleigh Dickinson W 75-68 73%    
  Sat, Jan 31 315 @Le Moyne L 70-75 32%    
  Thu, Feb 5 359 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 201 @LIU Brooklyn L 66-77 15%    
  Thu, Feb 12 341 @Chicago St. L 69-72 40%    
  Sat, Feb 14 292 Wagner L 68-69 47%    
  Thu, Feb 19 336 @New Haven L 62-65 39%    
  Sat, Feb 21 315 Le Moyne W 73-72 54%    
  Thu, Feb 26 363 St. Francis (PA) W 73-65 76%    
  Sat, Feb 28 328 Mercyhurst W 66-64 57%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.4 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 6.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 3.4 3.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 5.1 3.5 1.0 0.1 11.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 5.8 4.7 0.9 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 6.0 5.0 0.8 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 5.2 5.0 1.0 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 4.4 5.4 1.1 0.1 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.6 4.4 1.3 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 2.6 3.0 1.0 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.7 4.8 8.0 11.0 13.2 13.9 13.5 11.7 8.4 5.6 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 91.9% 0.5    0.5 0.1
14-2 83.8% 1.4    1.0 0.4
13-3 59.7% 2.0    1.0 0.8 0.2
12-4 24.7% 1.4    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
11-5 6.1% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 3.1 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 34.7% 34.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.1
15-1 0.6% 32.0% 32.0% 16.0 0.2 0.4
14-2 1.7% 25.7% 25.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4 1.2
13-3 3.4% 17.9% 17.9% 16.0 0.6 2.8
12-4 5.6% 15.4% 15.4% 16.0 0.9 4.7
11-5 8.4% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 1.0 7.5
10-6 11.7% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.8 10.9
9-7 13.5% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.7 12.8
8-8 13.9% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.5 13.4
7-9 13.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 12.9
6-10 11.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 10.8
5-11 8.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 7.9
4-12 4.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.8
3-13 2.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.6
2-14 1.1% 1.1
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.8 94.2 0.0%