Stonehill
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -12.6 345
Expected Predictive Rating -13.4 344
Pace 64.8 278
Improvement -1.0 222

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F 363 F+ D F F C+
Defense C 174 C C+ F B- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 164 F+ 49% 357 -3.5 298
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% 207 C- 36% 231 -0.9 228
Three Pointers 42% 156 F+ 29% 351 -2.8 276
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 166 F+ -7.2 361
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.88 355
Second Chance D+ 27.2% 274 F+ 0.87 348 D 0.24 328
Turnovers F 21.2% 357
Freethrows F 0.23 361 D 69% 298 F 0.16 362
Total Offense F -12.6 363

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 36% 337 F 16.3% 359
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 304 B- 3.6% 83
Three Pointers B+ 92% 27 F 2.3% 357
Total D+ 50% 293 F+ 8.0% 351

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 39 C+ 56% 115 +2.3 260
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 134 B 35% 75 -0.2 171
Three Pointers 34% 348 D+ 36% 273 -2.5 77
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 218 C+ -0.7 150
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 160
Second Chance B- 27.9% 82 C- 1.07 246 C+ 0.30 142
Turnovers F 11.9% 365
Freethrows B- 0.28 103 B- 71% 90 B- 0.20 88
Total Defense C +0.0 174

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 41% 44 C 11.7% 137
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 177 C 5.3% 142
Three Pointers A 74% 12 D+ 0.4% 293
Total B+ 48% 31 C+ 6.5% 114

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.7 316 16.9 117
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 303 0.18 197
Improvement -2.4 #304 +1.4 #101

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 352 343 328
Conference Record 6 - 10 8 - 8 9 - 7
Conference Finish 8 7 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 4% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 53% 83% 30%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 1% 0% 2%
First Four3% 4% 3%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Home) - 43.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 49 - 159 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 93 @DePaul L 64 - 72 3% -8  6% 0 - 1 C +1 F+ -9 D- C+ D+ A+ +11 A+ A F
 Tue, Nov 11 113 @Rhode Island L 57 - 80 5% -12  11% 0 - 2 F+ -17 F -15 F C- F C- -2 C B- F+
 Fri, Nov 14 266 @Fairfield L 71 - 73 OT 18% -2  20% 0 - 3 C- -5 F -14 F+ F B A +9 A A F
 Sat, Nov 15 317 Loyola Maryland L 63 - 74 38% -3  12% 0 - 4 F -21 F -14 C- F F D- -7 F D+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 7 @Iowa St. L 57 - 96 0% -18  0% 0 - 5 D- -14 D -6 A- F F F+ -8 D A F
 Fri, Nov 21 322 Lafayette W 74 - 70 53% +4  73% 1 - 5 D -9 F+ -8 B- F F C -1 B- C+ C
 Wed, Nov 26 310 Umass Lowell L 64 - 75 47% -5  3% 1 - 6 F -23 F -16 F D- C D- -7 C+ C F
 Sun, Nov 30 193 @Quinnipiac L 62 - 76 11% -8  17% 1 - 7 D- -13 F+ -9 F A F D+ -4 F A+ D
 Tue, Dec 2 354 @Bryant L 65 - 77 45% -4  33% 1 - 8 F -23 D- -7 D F+ D+ F -18 F F F
 Wed, Dec 17 344 @New Hampshire L 58 - 59 38% -1  23% 1 - 9 D -11 F -18 F F F A- +8 A B- F
 Mon, Dec 22 70 @Syracuse L 48 - 77 2% -12  0% 1 - 10 F -18 F -17 F B- F D -5 C C+ F
 Fri, Jan 2 325 New Haven L 55 - 70 54% -5  42% 1 - 11 0 - 1 F -29 F -20 F C- D F+ -9 F C- F
 Sun, Jan 4 324 @Wagner W 69 - 60 31% +2  53% 2 - 11 1 - 1 C +2 C- -1 C- D C+ B +4 B- C- D-
 Thu, Jan 8 292 @Central Connecticut St. L 69 - 76 22% -6  0% 2 - 12 1 - 2 D- -11 D- -7 B- F F D -5 D- F B
 Sat, Jan 10 351 Chicago St. W 85 - 82 OT 66% +3  65% 3 - 12 2 - 2 D- -14 D+ -3 C B- F F -11 D+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 301 @Mercyhurst W 62 - 57 OT 23% -2  11% 4 - 12 3 - 2 C -0 F -14 F+ D F+ A+ +14 B A+ D-
 Mon, Jan 19 355 @St. Francis (PA) L 61 - 63 46% +3  70% 4 - 13 3 - 3 D- -14 F -19 F F F B+ +6 A+ D+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 214 LIU Brooklyn L 63 - 66 26% +3  66% 4 - 14 3 - 4 D -9 F+ -8 C- C F C -1 B+ A F
 Mon, Jan 26 292 Central Connecticut St. W 61 - 59 42% -3  8% 5 - 14 4 - 4 D -8 F -17 D F F A +9 C- A- B+
 Thu, Jan 29 329 Fairleigh Dickinson W 58 - 57 56% +1  51% 6 - 14 5 - 4 D- -13 F -14 F C+ D+ C+ +1 A F F
 Sat, Jan 31 296 @Le Moyne W 65 - 54 23% +5  87% 7 - 14 6 - 4 B- +6 F -13 F+ F B+ A+ +19 A+ A+ D-
 Thu, Feb 5 329 @Fairleigh Dickinson L 58 - 74 33% -10  0% 7 - 15 6 - 5 F -24 F -15 F D F+ F -10 D- F F
 Sat, Feb 7 214 @LIU Brooklyn L 54 - 61 12% +1  55% 7 - 16 6 - 6 D+ -7 F -12 F D D- B +4 D+ A+ C-
 Thu, Feb 12 351 @Chicago St. L 55 - 68 43% -14  0% 7 - 17 6 - 7 F -24 F -13 B F F F -14 F F C
 Sat, Feb 14 324 Wagner L 57 - 68 53% -4  30% 7 - 18 6 - 8 F -24 F -22 F B+ F C- -3 A- F+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 325 @New Haven L 51 - 64 31% -6  1% 7 - 19 6 - 9 F -21 F -21 F F+ C+ C -1 C- C+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 296 Le Moyne L 66 - 68 43%
 Thu, Feb 26 355 St. Francis (PA) W 72 - 67 68%
 Sat, Feb 28 301 Mercyhurst L 60 - 62 45%
Totals 9 - 20 8 - 10 -13 F -13 F F+ C+ C +0 F+ D F



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F F+ C- F+ F+ 39% 35% 42% C+ F+ D+ F+ D F F D F C C+ B D+ C+ 44% 22% 34% C- C B- C- C+ F B- B- B-
0.91 49% 36% 29% -7 0 0.88 27% 0.9 .24 21% .23 69% .16 1.09 56% 35% 36% -1 0 1.01 28% 1.1 .30 12% .28 71% .16
Nov
7		 DePaul F+ F A- C- D- 35% 25% 40% C D- F A+ C+ D+ F+ F F A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 17% 41% D A+ A+ D A F F A+ F
0.84 33% 46% 33% -7 -1 0.87 16% 1.7 .27 21% .25 60% .15 0.95 64% 10% 21% -10 +1 0.83 20% 1.3 .25 9% .51 60% .30
Nov
11		 Rhode Island F F F F F 28% 14% 58% C- F C+ D C- F A- C+ B+ C- D F A+ B- 55% 14% 31% F+ C B- C+ B- F+ C F D
0.80 42% 17% 28% -13 0 0.77 32% 0.9 .29 29% .42 71% .30 1.12 64% 57% 19% -1 +2 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 15% .37 82% .30
Nov
14		 Fairfield F F+ F A F 49% 16% 35% C F+ F F F B F C- F A A+ A+ B+ A+ 34% 20% 46% C A A+ F A F F D- F
0.92 48% 10% 41% -6 +1 0.94 13% 0.8 .10 13% .16 73% .12 0.94 40% 25% 30% -12 0 0.78 17% 1.1 .19 8% .34 75% .25
Nov
15		 Loyola Maryland F C A+ F D+ 46% 15% 38% B+ C- C- F F F F C+ F D- B- F F+ F+ 55% 7% 38% F F A- F D+ F A+ A+ A+
0.96 63% 63% 25% +1 +1 1.06 31% 0.8 .25 26% .08 75% .06 1.12 53% 75% 38% +2 +3 1.13 21% 1.4 .30 11% .14 38% .05
Nov
17		 Iowa St. D A+ B A- A+ 14% 39% 47% F A- F+ F F F F F F F+ F+ F C D- 42% 23% 36% B- D A+ B A F F B F
0.81 71% 40% 38% +5 -4 1.04 19% 0.5 .09 28% .04 50% .02 1.36 73% 67% 37% +14 0 1.30 30% 1.0 .30 10% .47 63% .30
Nov
21		 Lafayette F+ B B+ C+ B- 45% 22% 33% B- B- B- F F F C+ F D C A- A D B 54% 17% 29% D B- F A+ C+ C F B- F
1.04 65% 45% 35% +5 0 1.14 34% 0.6 .20 21% .30 59% .18 0.98 46% 25% 36% -8 +2 0.90 38% 0.6 .21 17% .49 66% .32
Nov
26		 Umass Lowell F F F D- F 34% 20% 46% D F C- F D- C F B F D- D+ A+ B+ B- 42% 13% 45% D- C+ C- C+ C F F A+ C
0.93 37% 27% 31% -12 0 0.79 31% 0.9 .27 13% .15 78% .12 1.09 59% 29% 29% -4 +1 0.96 32% 1.0 .32 10% .41 48% .19
Nov
30		 Quinnipiac F+ F B F+ F 26% 26% 48% F F B+ A A F F F F D+ D- A F F 51% 22% 27% F+ F A A+ A+ D A F B
0.90 38% 38% 29% -8 -2 0.82 39% 1.2 .47 22% .15 50% .07 1.10 64% 25% 53% +8 +1 1.20 23% 0.7 .17 14% .20 83% .17
Dec
2		 Bryant D- D B D+ D- 57% 14% 29% B D C- F F+ D+ F B+ F F F D B- F 43% 10% 47% D F F F F F F+ A+ C+
1.05 52% 43% 33% -3 +2 1.00 33% 0.7 .24 15% .17 78% .13 1.25 67% 40% 30% +1 +2 1.08 35% 1.5 .52 15% .32 59% .19
Dec
17		 New Hampshire F B- F F F 49% 21% 30% C+ F C F F F B+ A A A- A+ A F A 47% 15% 38% D+ A B C+ B- F D+ B C-
0.85 62% 11% 23% -9 +1 0.86 30% 0.6 .18 31% .38 83% .32 0.86 24% 25% 40% -15 +1 0.75 22% 0.9 .20 13% .29 65% .19
Dec
22		 Syracuse F F F D F 32% 23% 45% D+ F C+ B- B- F A- F B- D C- A+ F C+ 45% 14% 41% D C C- B C+ F F A+ D+
0.78 14% 10% 30% -23 -1 0.55 33% 1.2 .40 24% .36 65% .23 1.24 64% 0% 45% +4 +1 1.12 33% 0.9 .31 8% .51 48% .25
Jan
2		 New Haven F F F F F 55% 10% 35% A- F C- C C- D D C D F+ C A+ F F 36% 23% 42% C F A+ F C- F A B+ A
0.83 44% 20% 24% -15 +3 0.78 26% 1.1 .29 18% .22 75% .17 1.06 58% 25% 45% +4 0 1.09 13% 1.8 .23 12% .16 67% .10
Jan
4		 Wagner C- F A A- D+ 47% 17% 36% C+ C- C- F D C+ C- F D- B A B F B 52% 24% 24% D B- C C- C- D- A+ F C+
1.13 45% 50% 41% 0 +1 1.04 29% 0.9 .26 13% .36 63% .23 0.98 42% 33% 42% -7 +1 0.90 32% 1.1 .35 16% .18 100% .18
Jan
8		 Central Connecticut St. D- D- A+ A- C 55% 6% 39% A B- C F F F D- F F D D- D+ F F+ 28% 40% 33% B+ D- B- F F B F D- F
1.04 50% 67% 40% +1 +3 1.10 32% 0.5 .18 20% .21 64% .13 1.15 67% 41% 43% +8 -3 1.12 24% 1.8 .44 20% .45 83% .38
Jan
10		 Chicago St. D+ A F B- C+ 33% 10% 58% C C A F+ B- F B- D C+ F B+ C- F D+ 39% 35% 26% D+ D+ A+ F F F D- F+ F+
1.16 76% 20% 37% +7 +1 1.17 46% 0.9 .43 23% .37 71% .27 1.12 45% 40% 40% -2 -2 0.95 15% 2.6 .39 8% .31 81% .25
Jan
17		 Mercyhurst F C F F F 53% 13% 33% B F+ F+ B D F+ A- F D A+ C A A+ B 41% 43% 16% B- B D+ A+ A+ D- C A+ B
0.89 58% 0% 27% -9 +2 0.89 25% 1.1 .28 21% .44 54% .24 0.82 57% 29% 22% -7 -3 0.82 28% 0.3 .09 13% .21 54% .12
Jan
19		 St. Francis (PA) F D- F D+ F 50% 5% 45% A F F+ F F F A B A+ B+ A A+ C+ A+ 45% 25% 29% D+ A+ B F D+ F F A F
0.90 55% 0% 33% -4 +3 1.00 25% 1.0 .25 31% .45 76% .34 0.93 43% 15% 33% -13 0 0.76 23% 1.2 .28 10% .46 61% .28
Jan
23		 LIU Brooklyn F+ C+ A+ F D 55% 9% 36% A C- C- B C F F F F C B+ B+ C B+ 31% 29% 40% A B+ A+ F A F C- F+ D+
0.97 58% 50% 24% -5 +3 0.98 32% 1.1 .35 23% .20 60% .12 1.02 50% 33% 33% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.1 .22 9% .29 71% .20
Jan
26		 Central Connecticut St. F A+ A F D- 47% 9% 44% B D D+ F F F A+ F A+ A B C F C 47% 31% 22% F+ C- A+ C- A- B+ A+ A+ A+
0.93 71% 50% 15% -5 +2 0.96 29% 0.6 .17 20% .46 67% .30 0.90 54% 38% 45% +2 -1 1.04 17% 1.0 .17 20% .08 50% .04
Jan
29		 Fairleigh Dickinson F F A+ F F 40% 29% 31% D F B- D+ C+ D+ F B F+ C+ A+ C A+ A 36% 34% 30% A A D+ F F F A+ F A+
0.97 44% 54% 21% -7 -1 0.87 32% 0.9 .29 17% .26 77% .20 0.95 42% 39% 19% -12 -2 0.74 34% 1.2 .42 12% .04 100% .04
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Le Moyne F F A+ D- F 45% 13% 42% B F+ F+ F F B+ D+ B C- A+ A+ F+ A A+ 43% 19% 38% C A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+
0.91 32% 71% 30% -10 +2 0.85 23% 0.4 .09 11% .28 78% .22 0.76 36% 45% 27% -12 +1 0.79 14% 0.5 .07 17% .22 62% .13
Feb
5		 Fairleigh Dickinson F D D- F F 26% 35% 40% F F D- C+ D F+ A+ F A- F D+ C D+ F+ 37% 27% 37% B D- D+ F F F D+ F F+
0.91 55% 33% 24% -9 -3 0.79 22% 1.0 .22 19% .50 62% .31 1.16 61% 38% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.3 .44 13% .31 82% .25
Feb
7		 LIU Brooklyn F D F F F 43% 17% 39% C F C+ F D D- F+ A+ B- B B- D- F D+ 57% 28% 15% C- D+ D A+ A+ C- B+ F B-
0.88 50% 25% 22% -13 +1 0.78 36% 0.8 .27 21% .27 92% .25 1.00 54% 46% 43% +2 0 1.07 38% 0.4 .15 20% .22 73% .16
Feb
12		 Chicago St. F D+ A+ A+ B- 39% 5% 55% B B F F F F F D+ F F F F B- F 35% 35% 30% C- F F+ F F C C+ F C-
0.98 60% 50% 43% +9 +2 1.24 21% 0.6 .13 25% .26 73% .19 1.22 67% 53% 31% +7 -2 1.12 35% 1.5 .52 16% .26 83% .21
Feb
14		 Wagner F F C- F F 36% 16% 48% C- F C- A+ B+ F F B F C- C- A+ D+ B+ 36% 36% 28% A A- F B F+ F D F F+
0.87 28% 38% 25% -17 0 0.68 28% 1.5 .41 21% .25 77% .19 1.03 56% 17% 36% -8 -2 0.82 45% 0.9 .43 14% .32 78% .25
Feb
19		 New Haven F F B+ D- F 42% 18% 40% C F F C+ F+ C+ F+ F F C C+ F+ A+ C+ 55% 18% 27% F C- F A+ C+ F+ B D C+
0.78 29% 44% 30% -14 +1 0.76 18% 1.1 .21 15% .20 45% .09 0.98 57% 44% 21% -5 +2 0.96 31% 0.6 .19 15% .22 75% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.2 6.8 7.0 4th
5th 5.3 6.0 11.3 5th
6th 1.1 19.4 1.0 21.5 6th
7th 2.4 26.4 14.0 0.0 42.8 7th
8th 7.1 8.8 15.9 8th
9th 1.3 1.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 10.8 36.4 38.9 13.9 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 13.9% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.6 13.3
8-8 38.9% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 1.3 37.7
7-9 36.4% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 1.0 35.4
6-10 10.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 10.5
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 16.0 96.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.3%
Lose Out 6.4%