Umass Lowell
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#304
Expected Predictive Rating-11.1#327
Pace73.2#78
Improvement+1.2#105

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#253
First Shot-2.4#235
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#224
Layup/Dunks+0.4#173
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#241
Freethrows-1.5#275
Improvement-0.3#201

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#329
First Shot-3.6#303
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#285
Layups/Dunks-3.4#302
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#238
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#185
Freethrows+0.1#170
Improvement+1.6#78
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% 13.2% 10.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 13.0% 39.7% 12.8%
.500 or above in Conference 67.8% 84.8% 67.7%
Conference Champion 9.8% 20.5% 9.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 2.0% 4.9%
First Four9.2% 8.6% 9.2%
First Round5.7% 9.3% 5.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa (Away) - 0.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 411 - 1012 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 7 @Connecticut L 47-110 1%     0 - 1 -38.6 -15.7 -18.8
  Mon, Nov 10 340 New Haven L 67-73 73%     0 - 2 -20.4 -8.5 -12.0
  Thu, Nov 13 142 @Columbia L 72-86 13%     0 - 3 -9.8 +2.2 -12.1
  Sun, Nov 16 61 @Wake Forest L 75-109 4%     0 - 4 -22.2 +2.4 -22.0
  Wed, Nov 19 108 @Bradley L 77-87 9%     0 - 5 -3.1 +11.9 -15.4
  Sat, Nov 22 297 @St. Peter's L 66-68 36%     0 - 6 -6.3 -8.2 +1.9
  Wed, Nov 26 338 @Stonehill W 75-64 50%     1 - 6 +2.9 +3.3 -0.2
  Sat, Dec 6 164 @Massachusetts L 60-80 16%     1 - 7 -17.4 -14.4 -1.3
  Sat, Dec 13 160 @Quinnipiac L 71-75 15%     1 - 8 -1.0 -3.7 +2.9
  Tue, Dec 16 250 Sacred Heart W 87-82 50%     2 - 8 -3.1 +5.2 -8.5
  Sun, Dec 21 288 @Boston University L 76-88 34%     2 - 9 -15.7 +2.7 -19.3
  Mon, Dec 29 18 @Iowa L 59-87 1%    
  Sat, Jan 3 310 Albany W 79-75 63%    
  Thu, Jan 8 311 @Bryant L 72-74 42%    
  Sat, Jan 10 363 @Binghamton W 78-73 68%    
  Thu, Jan 15 353 NJIT W 78-70 78%    
  Thu, Jan 22 178 Vermont L 74-78 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 292 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 74-78 36%    
  Thu, Jan 29 335 @New Hampshire L 73-74 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 342 @Maine W 70-69 52%    
  Thu, Feb 5 353 @NJIT W 75-73 58%    
  Sat, Feb 7 310 @Albany L 76-78 42%    
  Thu, Feb 12 311 Bryant W 75-71 63%    
  Thu, Feb 19 335 New Hampshire W 77-71 69%    
  Sat, Feb 21 363 Binghamton W 81-70 84%    
  Thu, Feb 26 178 @Vermont L 71-81 19%    
  Sat, Feb 28 292 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 77-75 57%    
  Tue, Mar 3 342 @Maine W 70-69 52%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.1 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 9.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 5.2 6.8 3.7 0.9 0.1 18.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 6.5 6.9 2.2 0.2 0.0 17.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 6.3 6.3 1.4 0.1 15.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 5.1 6.0 1.3 0.1 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.9 4.9 1.1 0.1 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.9 1.0 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.2 0.8 0.0 5.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.4 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.0 5.6 9.5 12.3 15.0 15.3 13.9 10.9 7.0 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.5    0.4 0.0
14-2 91.7% 1.3    1.1 0.2
13-3 74.5% 2.8    1.8 0.9 0.1
12-4 43.8% 3.1    1.3 1.5 0.3 0.0
11-5 16.5% 1.8    0.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.8% 9.8 5.0 3.6 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.5% 33.6% 33.6% 15.5 0.1 0.1 0.3
14-2 1.5% 33.5% 33.5% 15.8 0.1 0.4 1.0
13-3 3.7% 25.5% 25.5% 15.9 0.1 0.9 2.8
12-4 7.0% 20.5% 20.5% 16.0 0.0 1.4 5.6
11-5 10.9% 17.0% 17.0% 16.0 0.0 1.9 9.1
10-6 13.9% 12.6% 12.6% 16.0 1.8 12.1
9-7 15.3% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 1.4 13.9
8-8 15.0% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 1.1 13.8
7-9 12.3% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.6 11.7
6-10 9.5% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.4 9.1
5-11 5.6% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 5.5
4-12 3.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-13 1.3% 1.3
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16
Total 100% 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.1 89.7 0.0%