UNC Asheville
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#218
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#265
Pace67.5#233
Improvement+0.2#168

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#195
First Shot-2.7#251
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#82
Layup/Dunks-4.4#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#18
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#288
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement-0.3#202

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#250
First Shot-1.0#209
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#295
Layups/Dunks-3.6#302
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#329
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#27
Freethrows+0.0#180
Improvement+0.4#148
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 9.4% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 28.7% 49.1% 24.5%
.500 or above in Conference 67.8% 75.9% 66.1%
Conference Champion 6.2% 9.1% 5.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.7% 1.9%
First Four2.5% 1.7% 2.6%
First Round6.3% 8.6% 5.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 17.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 410 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 101 @Wichita St. L 58-75 15%     0 - 1 -9.3 -8.8 -1.0
  Sat, Nov 8 211 @Georgia Southern L 90-93 38%     0 - 2 -3.3 +3.3 -6.2
  Tue, Nov 11 143 Lipscomb W 69-64 43%     1 - 2 +3.2 +2.1 +1.5
  Wed, Nov 19 302 @Western Carolina L 73-80 54%     1 - 3 -11.5 +5.1 -17.2
  Tue, Nov 25 237 Tennessee St. L 73-75 65%     1 - 4 -9.5 -4.9 -4.4
  Sun, Nov 30 229 Appalachian St. W 67-55 64%     2 - 4 +4.8 -1.6 +7.4
  Tue, Dec 2 292 UNC Greensboro W 82-77 63%     3 - 4 -2.0 +11.1 -12.7
  Sat, Dec 6 28 @North Carolina St. L 63-75 4%     3 - 5 +5.3 -1.2 +6.0
  Wed, Dec 10 103 Miami (OH) L 87-90 OT 31%     3 - 6 -1.5 +4.0 -5.2
  Sat, Dec 13 128 St. Thomas L 59-80 41%     3 - 7 -22.2 -12.3 -10.9
  Sun, Dec 21 114 @UAB L 71-81 17%    
  Wed, Dec 31 108 High Point L 77-82 33%    
  Sat, Jan 3 240 @Charleston Southern L 74-76 42%    
  Wed, Jan 7 297 Longwood W 78-71 73%    
  Sat, Jan 10 259 @Radford L 78-79 46%    
  Wed, Jan 14 280 @Presbyterian L 66-67 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 124 Winthrop L 77-80 40%    
  Wed, Jan 21 269 @South Carolina Upstate L 73-74 47%    
  Thu, Jan 29 362 Gardner-Webb W 84-69 91%    
  Sat, Jan 31 124 @Winthrop L 74-83 21%    
  Wed, Feb 4 269 South Carolina Upstate W 76-71 68%    
  Thu, Feb 12 297 @Longwood W 75-74 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 280 Presbyterian W 70-64 70%    
  Thu, Feb 19 108 @High Point L 74-85 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 259 Radford W 81-76 67%    
  Thu, Feb 26 362 @Gardner-Webb W 81-72 79%    
  Sat, Feb 28 240 Charleston Southern W 77-73 64%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 6.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.4 5.5 3.7 1.2 0.1 14.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 2.2 7.7 9.0 4.1 0.7 0.0 23.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 8.0 6.7 1.7 0.2 18.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.7 6.2 5.1 1.0 0.0 14.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.4 3.9 0.6 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.8 2.9 0.5 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.8 5.5 9.4 13.0 15.8 16.1 14.3 10.6 6.4 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
14-2 91.3% 1.1    0.8 0.2 0.0
13-3 64.0% 2.1    1.1 0.9 0.1
12-4 30.0% 1.9    0.6 1.0 0.3 0.0
11-5 7.5% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.2% 6.2 3.0 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 37.3% 37.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.2% 25.7% 25.7% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-3 3.2% 21.7% 21.7% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 2.5
12-4 6.4% 16.0% 16.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 5.3
11-5 10.6% 12.8% 12.8% 15.3 0.1 0.8 0.5 9.2
10-6 14.3% 9.4% 9.4% 15.5 0.0 0.6 0.7 12.9
9-7 16.1% 6.8% 6.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 15.0
8-8 15.8% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8 15.0
7-9 13.0% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.6
6-10 9.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 9.2
5-11 5.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.4
4-12 2.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-13 1.1% 1.1
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 3.8 92.6 0.0%