UNC Greensboro
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#295
Expected Predictive Rating-11.0#325
Pace67.9#228
Improvement-0.6#223

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#243
First Shot-3.0#253
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#154
Layup/Dunks-5.6#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#89
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#232
Freethrows+2.5#42
Improvement+0.7#125

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#322
First Shot-3.5#299
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#275
Layups/Dunks+0.4#161
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#334
Freethrows+1.7#70
Improvement-1.4#283
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.4% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 3.6% 5.7% 1.4%
.500 or above in Conference 34.5% 47.1% 21.6%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 4.7% 12.1%
First Four1.5% 1.6% 1.4%
First Round1.5% 1.8% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chattanooga (Home) - 50.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 48 - 1010 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 69 @Kansas St. L 64-93 6%     -7.0   0 - 1 -18.1 -13.3 -1.2
  Sat, Nov 8 162 Elon L 90-92 OT 34%     -0.8   0 - 2 -5.2 +5.2 -10.2
  Wed, Nov 12 27 @North Carolina St. L 64-110 2%     -14.6   0 - 3 -28.2 -5.2 -20.3
  Sat, Nov 15 196 Austin Peay L 63-69 42%     -2.8   0 - 4 -11.4 -12.3 +1.2
  Thu, Nov 20 235 @Queens L 94-101 27%     -8.3   0 - 5 -8.1 +18.3 -26.6
  Sun, Nov 23 182 Youngstown St. W 68-62 28%     -9.2   1 - 5 +4.6 -5.9 +10.3
  Tue, Nov 25 300 Delaware L 60-73 52%     -0.8   1 - 6 -21.0 -9.7 -12.4
  Wed, Nov 26 100 Miami (OH) L 71-82 12%     0.9   1 - 7 -5.8 -3.8 -1.6
  Tue, Dec 2 241 UNC Asheville L 77-82 38%     -0.1   1 - 8 -9.3 +8.1 -17.7
  Sat, Dec 6 271 @East Carolina W 82-78 34%     2.2   2 - 8 +1.0 +11.0 -10.0
  Tue, Dec 16 302 N.C. A&T L 65-71 64%     -6.4   2 - 9 -17.0 -7.6 -9.8
  Thu, Jan 1 242 Chattanooga L 73-74 50%    
  Sat, Jan 3 232 Samford L 74-75 49%    
  Wed, Jan 7 221 @Wofford L 70-77 26%    
  Sat, Jan 10 129 @East Tennessee St. L 67-79 12%    
  Thu, Jan 15 358 The Citadel W 76-66 83%    
  Sat, Jan 17 176 Mercer L 76-79 40%    
  Wed, Jan 21 332 @VMI W 76-75 51%    
  Sat, Jan 24 143 Furman L 71-76 32%    
  Thu, Jan 29 176 @Mercer L 73-82 20%    
  Sat, Jan 31 358 @The Citadel W 73-69 65%    
  Wed, Feb 4 297 Western Carolina W 77-74 62%    
  Sun, Feb 8 143 @Furman L 68-79 15%    
  Wed, Feb 11 332 VMI W 79-73 71%    
  Sat, Feb 14 221 Wofford L 73-74 48%    
  Wed, Feb 18 297 @Western Carolina L 74-77 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 129 East Tennessee St. L 70-76 28%    
  Thu, Feb 26 242 @Chattanooga L 70-76 29%    
  Sat, Feb 28 232 @Samford L 72-78 28%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.0 3.0 1.5 0.4 6.0 3rd
4th 0.2 1.5 4.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 5.5 3.9 0.6 12.8 5th
6th 0.4 3.1 6.7 4.2 0.8 0.0 15.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.7 8.2 4.6 0.8 0.1 19.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 5.2 6.4 3.4 0.5 0.0 17.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.7 3.9 4.4 1.7 0.3 12.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.4 6.5 10.6 13.1 15.3 14.5 12.2 10.0 6.4 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 89.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1
14-4 45.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1
13-5 22.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 23.8% 23.8% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 14.9% 14.9% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 10.9% 10.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.6
13-5 1.7% 12.6% 12.6% 15.4 0.1 0.1 1.5
12-6 3.3% 5.9% 5.9% 15.7 0.1 0.1 3.1
11-7 6.4% 3.8% 3.8% 15.8 0.1 0.2 6.2
10-8 10.0% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.4 9.6
9-9 12.2% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.4 11.8
8-10 14.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 14.2
7-11 15.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 15.2
6-12 13.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.0
5-13 10.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.6
4-14 6.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.5
3-15 3.4% 3.4
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.8 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%