UNC Greensboro
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#294
Expected Predictive Rating-10.6#324
Pace68.2#222
Improvement-0.8#236

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#237
First Shot-2.6#244
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#175
Layup/Dunks-5.7#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#225
Freethrows+2.6#42
Improvement+0.6#125

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#320
First Shot-3.5#297
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#265
Layups/Dunks+0.3#164
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#260
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#326
Freethrows+1.6#78
Improvement-1.4#292
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 3.4% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 4.4% 7.2% 1.5%
.500 or above in Conference 36.4% 49.0% 23.5%
Conference Champion 1.9% 3.1% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 9.0% 4.6% 13.6%
First Four1.9% 2.2% 1.6%
First Round1.8% 2.4% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chattanooga (Home) - 50.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 48 - 1010 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 58 @Kansas St. L 64-93 5%     0 - 1 -17.1 -12.7 -0.7
  Sat, Nov 8 166 Elon L 90-92 OT 36%     0 - 2 -5.5 +6.0 -11.4
  Wed, Nov 12 28 @North Carolina St. L 64-110 2%     0 - 3 -28.2 -5.2 -20.4
  Sat, Nov 15 195 Austin Peay L 63-69 43%     0 - 4 -11.3 -12.2 +1.1
  Thu, Nov 20 211 @Queens L 94-101 26%     0 - 5 -7.3 +18.6 -26.1
  Sun, Nov 23 163 Youngstown St. W 68-62 26%     1 - 5 +5.6 -5.6 +11.0
  Tue, Nov 25 284 Delaware L 60-73 48%     1 - 6 -19.6 -9.9 -10.9
  Wed, Nov 26 106 Miami (OH) L 71-82 14%     1 - 7 -6.7 -3.7 -2.7
  Tue, Dec 2 232 UNC Asheville L 77-82 39%     1 - 8 -9.4 +7.9 -17.7
  Sat, Dec 6 271 @East Carolina W 82-78 34%     2 - 8 +1.1 +11.0 -10.0
  Tue, Dec 16 301 N.C. A&T L 65-71 64%     2 - 9 -16.7 -7.3 -9.9
  Thu, Jan 1 235 Chattanooga W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Jan 3 227 Samford L 75-76 50%    
  Wed, Jan 7 220 @Wofford L 71-77 28%    
  Sat, Jan 10 141 @East Tennessee St. L 68-79 14%    
  Thu, Jan 15 355 The Citadel W 77-67 81%    
  Sat, Jan 17 174 Mercer L 76-79 39%    
  Wed, Jan 21 332 @VMI W 76-75 52%    
  Sat, Jan 24 148 Furman L 71-76 33%    
  Thu, Jan 29 174 @Mercer L 73-82 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 355 @The Citadel W 74-70 63%    
  Wed, Feb 4 299 Western Carolina W 78-75 62%    
  Sun, Feb 8 148 @Furman L 68-79 16%    
  Wed, Feb 11 332 VMI W 79-73 71%    
  Sat, Feb 14 220 Wofford L 73-74 49%    
  Wed, Feb 18 299 @Western Carolina L 75-78 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 141 East Tennessee St. L 71-76 32%    
  Thu, Feb 26 235 @Chattanooga L 70-76 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 227 @Samford L 72-78 29%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 3.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.5 2.5 0.4 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.7 4.1 0.6 0.0 15.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.2 7.3 4.3 0.6 0.0 17.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.8 6.7 3.5 0.6 0.0 17.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.9 4.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.8 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.4 6.4 10.1 13.2 14.6 14.3 12.4 10.1 6.9 3.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 95.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 92.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 66.9% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 30.1% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 33.3% 33.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 18.8% 18.8% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.9% 12.9% 12.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-5 1.9% 9.7% 9.7% 15.6 0.1 0.1 1.7
12-6 3.9% 7.7% 7.7% 15.8 0.1 0.2 3.6
11-7 6.9% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 6.5
10-8 10.1% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.5 9.6
9-9 12.4% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.4 12.0
8-10 14.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 14.0
7-11 14.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 14.5
6-12 13.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.1
5-13 10.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.0
4-14 6.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.3
3-15 3.4% 3.4
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.3 97.4 0.0%