Vermont
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#187
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#174
Pace61.9#351
Improvement-0.8#232

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#123
First Shot+5.0#58
After Offensive Rebound-3.2#346
Layup/Dunks+0.7#151
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#191
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#43
Freethrows-0.5#212
Improvement-2.5#341

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#291
First Shot-4.9#330
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#90
Layups/Dunks-1.6#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#276
Freethrows-0.8#235
Improvement+1.7#61
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 43.7% 46.1% 40.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 96.3% 98.3% 93.7%
.500 or above in Conference 97.8% 98.3% 97.0%
Conference Champion 64.6% 68.9% 59.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Four8.7% 6.8% 11.1%
First Round39.6% 42.9% 35.5%
Second Round0.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Home) - 55.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 32 - 42 - 6
Quad 419 - 521 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 218 @Brown W 89-84 2OT 45%     1 - 0 +4.6 +7.3 -3.5
  Sat, Nov 15 208 @Northeastern W 85-74 44%     2 - 0 +10.8 +14.5 -3.7
  Tue, Nov 18 216 @Buffalo L 90-94 45%     2 - 1 -4.4 +10.8 -15.0
  Mon, Nov 24 108 Liberty L 73-79 30%     2 - 2 -2.2 +3.8 -6.2
  Tue, Nov 25 115 Rhode Island L 65-80 31%     2 - 3 -11.7 +1.1 -14.2
  Wed, Nov 26 261 Princeton W 79-74 64%     3 - 3 -0.4 +12.8 -12.8
  Sun, Nov 30 79 Yale L 74-77 28%     3 - 4 +1.4 +8.0 -7.0
  Wed, Dec 3 159 @Oregon St. L 58-80 32%     3 - 5 -18.8 -5.8 -15.8
  Sat, Dec 6 292 @Pepperdine W 65-56 60%     4 - 5 +4.8 +0.5 +5.4
  Sun, Dec 14 269 Merrimack W 66-59 75%     5 - 5 -1.8 +2.9 -3.3
  Wed, Dec 17 164 Siena W 69-67 56%    
  Sat, Dec 20 171 Iona W 76-74 58%    
  Tue, Dec 30 261 @Princeton W 70-69 53%    
  Sat, Jan 3 334 @New Hampshire W 73-67 71%    
  Thu, Jan 8 356 Binghamton W 77-62 93%    
  Thu, Jan 15 336 Maine W 71-59 87%    
  Mon, Jan 19 328 @Albany W 75-70 69%    
  Thu, Jan 22 303 @Umass Lowell W 75-72 62%    
  Sat, Jan 24 298 @Bryant W 71-68 60%    
  Thu, Jan 29 286 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 75-67 77%    
  Sat, Jan 31 352 NJIT W 76-62 90%    
  Thu, Feb 5 336 @Maine W 68-62 71%    
  Sat, Feb 7 334 New Hampshire W 76-64 86%    
  Thu, Feb 12 356 @Binghamton W 74-65 80%    
  Sat, Feb 14 298 Bryant W 74-65 78%    
  Thu, Feb 19 286 @Maryland Baltimore Co. W 72-70 58%    
  Sat, Feb 21 352 @NJIT W 73-65 77%    
  Thu, Feb 26 303 Umass Lowell W 78-69 79%    
  Tue, Mar 3 328 Albany W 78-67 84%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 12 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.8 4.9 12.2 17.0 16.2 10.2 3.4 64.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.9 6.9 5.1 1.8 0.2 18.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.4 3.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 2.3 0.8 0.0 4.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.4 2.9 5.7 9.2 13.6 17.6 18.8 16.4 10.2 3.4 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 3.4    3.4
15-1 100.0% 10.2    10.1 0.1
14-2 98.6% 16.2    15.3 0.8 0.0
13-3 90.5% 17.0    13.7 3.2 0.1
12-4 69.4% 12.2    7.2 4.3 0.7 0.0
11-5 35.9% 4.9    1.5 2.4 0.9 0.1
10-6 9.0% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 64.6% 64.6 51.4 11.0 2.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 3.4% 65.6% 65.6% 13.3 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.2
15-1 10.2% 61.3% 61.3% 14.3 0.1 0.9 2.7 2.2 0.3 3.9
14-2 16.4% 53.9% 53.9% 14.9 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.8 1.6 7.6
13-3 18.8% 48.1% 48.1% 15.3 0.1 0.9 4.2 3.8 9.7
12-4 17.6% 41.6% 41.6% 15.6 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.6 10.3
11-5 13.6% 36.8% 36.8% 15.8 0.1 0.9 4.0 8.6
10-6 9.2% 29.7% 29.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.5 6.4
9-7 5.7% 24.8% 24.8% 16.0 0.0 1.4 4.3
8-8 2.9% 19.6% 19.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6 2.4
7-9 1.4% 18.2% 18.2% 16.0 0.3 1.1
6-10 0.5% 14.9% 14.9% 16.0 0.1 0.5
5-11 0.3% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
4-12 0.1% 0.1
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 43.7% 43.7% 0.0% 15.1 0.1 0.6 2.1 6.7 15.0 19.2 56.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 12.3 9.3 57.3 30.4 3.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%