Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#126
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#239
Pace72.6#90
Improvement+0.7#121

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#135
First Shot+3.9#69
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#322
Layup/Dunks+4.1#58
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#205
Freethrows+0.3#164
Improvement+0.1#171

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#113
First Shot+1.2#133
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#148
Layups/Dunks+3.9#52
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#128
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#325
Freethrows+1.0#129
Improvement+0.5#119
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 10.6% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 13.8
.500 or above 73.8% 80.4% 58.9%
.500 or above in Conference 80.5% 83.7% 73.4%
Conference Champion 12.2% 13.9% 8.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.6% 1.7%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round9.3% 10.5% 6.4%
Second Round1.5% 1.8% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Kentucky (Home) - 69.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 36 - 57 - 11
Quad 410 - 217 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 339   Alabama St. W 79-74 95%     1 - 0 -10.6 -8.7 -2.5
  Nov 12, 2021 86   Minnesota L 69-73 36%     1 - 1 +2.2 +1.5 +0.7
  Nov 14, 2021 99   South Carolina L 64-75 41%     1 - 2 -6.0 -9.6 +4.6
  Nov 19, 2021 24   @ Memphis L 62-74 10%     1 - 3 +4.7 -7.2 +13.4
  Nov 24, 2021 341   Alabama A&M W 88-62 95%     2 - 3 +10.0 +5.8 +2.9
  Nov 27, 2021 345   Tennessee Martin W 81-66 95%     3 - 3 -1.6 -2.1 +0.4
  Dec 04, 2021 161   Eastern Kentucky W 83-78 69%    
  Dec 08, 2021 70   Buffalo L 80-81 46%    
  Dec 11, 2021 77   Mississippi L 65-69 35%    
  Dec 18, 2021 36   Louisville L 67-73 29%    
  Dec 22, 2021 263   @ Austin Peay W 73-68 68%    
  Dec 30, 2021 246   @ Southern Miss W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 01, 2022 108   @ Louisiana Tech L 73-78 35%    
  Jan 08, 2022 225   Florida International W 72-64 77%    
  Jan 13, 2022 170   Rice W 80-74 70%    
  Jan 15, 2022 107   North Texas W 64-63 55%    
  Jan 20, 2022 222   @ Florida Atlantic W 75-73 58%    
  Jan 22, 2022 225   @ Florida International W 69-67 59%    
  Jan 27, 2022 52   UAB L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 29, 2022 181   Middle Tennessee W 74-67 71%    
  Feb 03, 2022 198   @ Charlotte W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 05, 2022 234   @ Old Dominion W 68-65 61%    
  Feb 10, 2022 222   Florida Atlantic W 78-70 77%    
  Feb 13, 2022 299   @ Texas San Antonio W 79-72 74%    
  Feb 17, 2022 198   Charlotte W 71-64 75%    
  Feb 19, 2022 234   Old Dominion W 71-62 79%    
  Feb 26, 2022 181   @ Middle Tennessee W 71-70 52%    
  Mar 02, 2022 114   @ Marshall L 80-84 37%    
  Mar 05, 2022 114   Marshall W 83-81 57%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.2 2.9 3.8 2.7 1.2 0.2 12.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.5 4.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 14.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.3 4.6 1.2 0.1 13.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 6.0 4.3 0.9 0.1 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.1 4.6 1.1 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.3 2.9 4.2 1.2 0.1 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 4.0 1.3 0.1 7.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 3.1 2.0 0.2 6.0 8th
9th 0.2 1.9 2.3 0.5 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 1.8 0.7 0.0 3.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.7 0.1 2.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.3 5.2 8.1 10.3 11.8 14.6 13.4 12.2 8.4 5.5 2.9 1.2 0.2 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.1% 1.2    1.1 0.1
16-2 90.5% 2.7    2.0 0.7 0.1
15-3 69.6% 3.8    2.2 1.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 34.2% 2.9    0.9 1.3 0.6 0.1
13-5 9.7% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.2% 12.2 6.6 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 52.2% 47.8% 4.3% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.3%
17-1 1.2% 28.4% 26.7% 1.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 2.4%
16-2 2.9% 32.3% 31.0% 1.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 2.0%
15-3 5.5% 27.1% 26.9% 0.2% 12.7 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.0 0.2%
14-4 8.4% 19.1% 19.0% 0.1% 13.2 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.8 0.1%
13-5 12.2% 14.1% 14.1% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 10.5
12-6 13.4% 9.1% 9.1% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 12.2
11-7 14.6% 6.8% 6.8% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 13.6
10-8 11.8% 4.2% 4.2% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 11.3
9-9 10.3% 2.7% 2.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 10.0
8-10 8.1% 1.6% 1.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.9
7-11 5.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.2
6-12 3.3% 3.3
5-13 1.8% 1.8
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 9.4% 9.3% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.9 2.7 1.4 0.4 90.6 0.1%