Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#145
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#136
Pace77.8#24
Improvement-1.0#251

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#151
First Shot+1.8#119
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#275
Layup/Dunks+1.4#123
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#284
Freethrows+2.9#30
Improvement-1.0#249

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#142
First Shot-2.8#276
After Offensive Rebounds+3.5#9
Layups/Dunks+5.3#31
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#357
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#308
Freethrows-0.9#252
Improvement+0.0#185
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.1% 11.8% 7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.1 13.5
.500 or above 74.4% 82.9% 62.0%
.500 or above in Conference 72.4% 81.3% 59.5%
Conference Champion 12.2% 16.4% 6.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 0.8% 4.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round10.1% 11.8% 7.6%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville St. (Away) - 59.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 36 - 77 - 11
Quad 410 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 285 Tennessee Tech W 82-70 84%     1 - 0 +2.4 -2.2 +3.6
  Mon, Nov 10 259 @Eastern Kentucky W 87-79 63%     2 - 0 +5.6 +5.7 -0.7
  Sun, Nov 16 237 Tennessee St. W 95-82 79%     3 - 0 +5.5 +12.4 -8.1
  Wed, Nov 26 9 Vanderbilt L 78-83 5%     3 - 1 +15.1 +3.5 +12.3
  Thu, Nov 27 79 South Florida L 91-97 OT 29%     3 - 2 +0.9 -0.4 +2.7
  Fri, Nov 28 98 Wichita St. W 75-70 33%     4 - 2 +10.5 +12.5 -1.5
  Sat, Dec 6 252 Evansville W 80-79 81%     5 - 2 -7.2 +2.0 -9.3
  Wed, Dec 10 161 @Marshall L 61-77 43%     5 - 3 -13.1 -9.0 -4.5
  Fri, Dec 19 92 Tulsa L 81-82 42%     5 - 4 +2.1 +5.7 -3.6
  Mon, Dec 29 236 @Jacksonville St. W 74-71 59%    
  Fri, Jan 2 122 Sam Houston St. W 84-82 56%    
  Sun, Jan 4 187 Louisiana Tech W 72-66 70%    
  Thu, Jan 8 127 @New Mexico St. L 73-77 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 202 @UTEP W 74-73 54%    
  Wed, Jan 14 254 Missouri St. W 76-67 80%    
  Sat, Jan 17 152 Kennesaw St. W 86-82 64%    
  Wed, Jan 21 102 Liberty L 75-76 47%    
  Sat, Jan 24 122 @Sam Houston St. L 81-85 35%    
  Wed, Jan 28 152 @Kennesaw St. L 83-85 41%    
  Sat, Jan 31 158 @Middle Tennessee L 76-78 43%    
  Thu, Feb 5 236 Jacksonville St. W 77-68 78%    
  Sat, Feb 7 182 Florida International W 85-79 70%    
  Sat, Feb 14 158 Middle Tennessee W 79-75 63%    
  Wed, Feb 18 284 @Delaware W 77-72 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 102 @Liberty L 72-79 27%    
  Thu, Feb 26 127 New Mexico St. W 76-74 57%    
  Sat, Feb 28 202 UTEP W 77-70 73%    
  Thu, Mar 5 254 @Missouri St. W 73-70 61%    
  Sat, Mar 7 182 @Florida International L 82-83 49%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.4 3.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 12.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 3.3 5.0 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 13.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.6 5.0 2.4 0.4 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.5 3.5 5.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.1 4.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.0 2.9 0.4 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 2.8 2.7 0.6 0.0 7.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.1 2.2 0.6 0.0 5.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.6 0.6 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.2 5.1 7.0 9.7 11.6 12.8 12.7 11.4 9.7 6.6 4.2 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 98.9% 0.9    0.9 0.0
17-3 91.1% 2.0    1.8 0.2 0.0
16-4 76.5% 3.2    2.3 0.9 0.1
15-5 50.7% 3.4    1.6 1.3 0.4 0.0
14-6 19.9% 1.9    0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.0% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.2% 12.2 7.4 3.4 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 47.6% 46.4% 1.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 2.2%
18-2 0.9% 36.8% 36.8% 12.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6
17-3 2.2% 29.9% 29.9% 12.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.5
16-4 4.2% 26.5% 26.5% 12.7 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 3.1
15-5 6.6% 20.7% 20.7% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.3
14-6 9.7% 18.0% 18.0% 13.1 0.2 1.0 0.4 0.0 8.0
13-7 11.4% 14.3% 14.3% 13.4 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.1 9.8
12-8 12.7% 10.4% 10.4% 13.6 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 11.3
11-9 12.8% 6.4% 6.4% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 12.0
10-10 11.6% 3.6% 3.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 11.2
9-11 9.7% 3.0% 3.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 9.4
8-12 7.0% 2.0% 2.0% 15.6 0.1 0.1 6.8
7-13 5.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 5.0
6-14 3.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.2
5-15 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-16 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.1% 10.1% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 4.5 2.6 0.7 0.2 89.9 0.0%