Wright St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -0.1 161
Results Rating +0.0 155
Consistency 0.14 137
Pace 67.3 213
Improvement -2.1 262

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 126 C B- C C+ C
Defense C- 223 C- C C C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 61 C 59% 146 +3.0 76
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 96 C- 37% 201 +0.6 143
Three Pointers 34% 314 C 34% 193 -3.5 298
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 185 C +0.0 167
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 164
Second Chance C+ 31.6% 145 B- 1.10 82 B- 0.35 94
Opponents' Steals C- 9.9% 235
Other Turnovers B- 6.7% 104
Turnovers C 16.6% 172
Freethrows C 0.31 168 C+ 74% 156 C+ 0.23 148
Total Offense C+ +1.7 126

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 280 C- 11.6% 225
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 17% 294 C+ 4.6% 162
Three Pointers F+ 74% 344 C+ 0.8% 157
Total D- 46% 337 D+ 6.3% 272


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 33 C- 60% 235 +4.4 325
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 121 D- 43% 338 +1.8 318
Three Pointers 33% 356 B- 32% 86 -4.8 14
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 212 C- +1.1 218
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 223
Second Chance C 30.6% 199 C- 1.05 220 C 0.32 221
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.8% 78
Other Turnovers D- 5.9% 342
Turnovers C 16.7% 180
Freethrows C 0.31 201 C 73% 203 C 0.22 200
Total Defense C- -1.8 223

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 53 C+ 12.9% 92
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 39 C 5.3% 137
Three Pointers B- 80% 76 C- 0.8% 182
Total A- 46% 18 B- 7.2% 63

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 274 17.0 124
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 290 0.17 166
Consistency 0.12 116 0.12 127
Improvement +2.2 82 -4.3 343

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 171 163 146
Results Rating Rank 191 170 126
Conference Record 15 - 5 15 - 5 15 - 5
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21% 33% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.1 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round21% 33% 0%
Second Round0% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 35 - 65 - 9
Quad 414 - 319 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 73 @California L 67 - 77 15% -6  7% 0 - 1 C +1 C- -2 D- B A+ B- +3 B- A+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 155 Toledo L 71 - 81 60% -4  36% 0 - 2 D- -13 D -5 B+ B- F F+ -8 D F A+
 Sat, Nov 15 244 Radford W 92 - 59 67% +13  92% 1 - 2 A+ +28 A- +11 A- B B- A+ +17 B+ A+ B+
 Sun, Nov 16 160 Kent St. L 72 - 76 OT 50% +2  65% 1 - 3 C- -4 F+ -8 D+ C B- B +4 A F+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 321 @Stetson W 79 - 62 74% +15  87% 2 - 3 B +10 B- +5 A B F B+ +6 B F+ B-
 Fri, Nov 28 79 @Butler L 69 - 94 16% -5  43% 2 - 4 D- -14 D- -8 D+ C C D+ -5 F+ F C
 Wed, Dec 3 215 @Youngstown St. L 68 - 69 50% -0  47% 2 - 5 0 - 1 C -1 D -5 C D+ C- B +4 B F A+
 Sun, Dec 7 210 Green Bay W 86 - 58 71% +12  95% 3 - 5 1 - 1 A +22 B +7 C- A+ B- A+ +16 A D+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 186 @Marshall L 74 - 76 45% +1  45% 3 - 6 C -1 B- +4 B- F A+ D+ -5 C F C
 Tue, Dec 16 87 Miami (OH) L 76 - 83 36% -8  2% 3 - 7 C- -4 C- -2 D C- A- C- -2 F A+ C
 Mon, Dec 22 248 Eastern Michigan W 70 - 64 77% +1  47% 4 - 7 C- -2 D -4 C+ F F+ B- +3 B- A- D+
 Mon, Dec 29 169 Oakland W 88 - 73 64% +14  97% 5 - 7 2 - 1 B +11 B +6 A+ C- D- B+ +5 A- A- A-
 Thu, Jan 1 261 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76 - 70 79% +7  86% 6 - 7 3 - 1 C- -3 C +1 F B+ A- C- -3 C B- F
 Sun, Jan 4 328 @IU Indianapolis W 81 - 77 77% +5  82% 7 - 7 4 - 1 C- -4 B- +4 D+ A+ F D- -7 D D+ C
 Fri, Jan 9 239 @Detroit Mercy W 84 - 82 55% +6  73% 8 - 7 5 - 1 C +1 B +6 B D D- D -5 C F D+
 Sun, Jan 11 169 @Oakland W 94 - 84 41% +17  99% 9 - 7 6 - 1 B+ +12 A +12 A+ D- F C +0 C A- F
 Thu, Jan 15 215 Youngstown St. W 93 - 83 72% +5  90% 10 - 7 7 - 1 C+ +4 A+ +22 C A+ A+ F -17 C F F+
 Wed, Jan 21 320 Cleveland St. L 79 - 85 88% +0  55% 10 - 8 7 - 2 F -19 D- -7 F B A F -12 D- C F
 Sat, Jan 24 187 Northern Kentucky W 88 - 80 68% +9  88% 11 - 8 8 - 2 C+ +3 A- +10 B C- A D- -7 F C B+
 Fri, Jan 30 261 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76 - 69 60% +5  79% 12 - 8 9 - 2 C+ +4 D -5 D- B+ D- A +9 B- B+ D+
 Sun, Feb 1 210 @Green Bay W 83 - 75 49% +9  100% 13 - 8 10 - 2 B- +8 A +13 C+ C+ A+ D+ -4 C F C
 Wed, Feb 4 158 @Robert Morris L 66 - 72 38% -5  21% 13 - 9 10 - 3 C- -3 D- -7 F C- B- B +4 D A D+
 Sat, Feb 7 257 Purdue Fort Wayne W 73 - 68 78% +8  91% 14 - 9 11 - 3 C- -3 C+ +2 C- A- D+ D -5 D- B B
 Thu, Feb 12 239 Detroit Mercy L 74 - 77 76% -0  53% 14 - 10 11 - 4 D -10 C- -2 D D+ A- F+ -9 F C- C-
 Sun, Feb 15 320 @Cleveland St. W 102 - 90 74% +10  95% 15 - 10 12 - 4 B- +5 A +12 A+ D D D- -8 F C+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 328 IU Indianapolis W 85 - 73 89% +4  82% 16 - 10 13 - 4 C- -2 C- -0 B- F D C- -2 D+ A+ F+
 Sun, Feb 22 158 Robert Morris L 68 - 81 61% -8  0% 16 - 11 13 - 5 F+ -16 D- -7 C- F+ F F+ -9 F B D-
 Wed, Feb 25 257 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 74 - 70 58% +4  72% 17 - 11 14 - 5 C+ +2 D+ -4 F B+ B B+ +5 A+ F B-
 Sat, Feb 28 187 @Northern Kentucky W 92 - 91 45% -9  11% 18 - 11 15 - 5 C+ +2 A+ +18 C+ A+ A- F -15 F D- F
 Wed, Mar 4 320 Cleveland St. W 89 - 76 88%
Totals 19 - 11 15 - 5 +0 C+ +2 C C C C- -2 C C+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C C- C C 43% 45% 34% C C C+ B- B- C C C+ C+ C- C- D- B- C- 45% 22% 33% C- C- C C- C C C C C
1.11 59% 37% 34% 0 0 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 17% .31 74% .23 1.11 60% 43% 32% +1 0 1.05 31% 1.0 .32 17% .31 73% .23
Nov
6		 California C- F A+ F F+ 31% 17% 52% C D- D+ A+ B A+ C F D B- F+ F A+ B- 36% 23% 41% C- B- C- A+ A+ C F F+ F
0.96 35% 67% 21% -12 0 0.78 25% 1.4 .34 11% .29 56% .16 1.11 69% 60% 22% +2 0 1.05 29% 0.5 .15 14% .52 84% .44
Nov
11		 Toledo D A+ C- B A- 36% 26% 38% F+ B+ D- A+ B- F A- A+ A+ F+ F B F F+ 44% 36% 20% B D F F+ F A+ F B- F
1.07 80% 36% 38% +9 -1 1.19 29% 1.3 .38 29% .32 87% .27 1.22 70% 38% 44% +8 -2 1.16 46% 1.2 .54 23% .37 74% .27
Nov
15		 Radford A- F A+ A+ A 40% 24% 36% D A- C A B B- A+ D+ A A+ B A A A 49% 14% 37% F+ B+ A- A+ A+ B+ C- A- C+
1.27 40% 50% 61% +10 0 1.22 33% 1.3 .42 17% .45 70% .31 0.81 50% 29% 28% -9 +2 0.88 23% 0.2 .05 21% .37 67% .24
Nov
16		 Kent St. F+ A B- F D+ 37% 28% 35% D- D+ D- A+ C B- D+ F D- B C+ C A+ A+ 46% 15% 38% D- A F C F+ A+ F F+ F
0.98 70% 40% 21% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.3 .32 15% .30 63% .19 1.03 54% 38% 20% -10 +1 0.85 43% 1.1 .45 24% .47 81% .38
Nov
25		 Stetson B- F A A+ A 39% 16% 45% C+ A C+ B+ B F F F F B+ B+ F+ A- B+ 40% 18% 42% D B D F F+ B- A+ A+ A+
1.22 42% 50% 59% +13 +1 1.29 34% 1.3 .45 20% .12 50% .06 0.96 50% 44% 29% -6 0 0.92 29% 1.2 .35 20% .17 56% .10
Nov
28		 Butler D- D- C- D- D- 54% 18% 28% A- D+ D+ B- C C F D F D+ F+ F A- F+ 52% 17% 31% C- F+ C F F C D+ A+ B
0.92 52% 36% 29% -6 +1 0.93 25% 1.0 .25 17% .05 67% .03 1.25 68% 67% 29% +8 +1 1.20 35% 1.5 .52 15% .40 58% .23
Dec
3		 Youngstown St. D C+ A+ F C- 56% 19% 26% B+ C F A+ D+ C- A+ F B- B C+ B- A B+ 52% 14% 34% D- B F F F A+ F A+ D-
0.99 63% 63% 18% +1 +1 1.07 17% 1.6 .27 19% .50 54% .27 1.00 57% 33% 27% -5 +2 0.95 44% 1.2 .53 25% .39 60% .23
Dec
7		 Green Bay B A+ F F D 39% 8% 53% A- C- C+ A+ A+ B- A B+ A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 58% 16% 27% F+ A C F D+ A+ C- B C
1.27 80% 25% 22% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.9 .59 12% .42 80% .33 0.86 54% 14% 25% -10 +2 0.87 23% 1.3 .30 27% .36 72% .26
Dec
13		 Marshall B- B D- A+ B 24% 29% 47% F+ B- B+ F F A+ F F+ F D+ F F+ B+ C 25% 27% 48% B- C F C- F C D- F F
1.17 64% 29% 43% +5 -2 1.08 41% 0.5 .20 8% .10 67% .07 1.20 75% 46% 30% +4 -2 1.06 39% 1.2 .45 17% .31 81% .25
Dec
16		 Miami (OH) C- A- D F F+ 46% 21% 32% B- D C+ D- C- A- A+ B+ A+ C- F A+ F F 48% 15% 38% D- F A+ A+ A+ C F A+ D
1.05 69% 33% 17% -4 0 0.95 31% 0.8 .23 14% .38 79% .30 1.15 74% 14% 56% +16 +1 1.38 10% 0.0 .00 15% .46 61% .28
Dec
22		 Eastern Michigan D B+ C- F C 49% 18% 33% B C+ B- F F F+ A+ F A+ B- B+ A+ F+ B+ 57% 19% 25% F B- B+ A+ A- D+ D+ B C-
1.03 64% 38% 27% -1 +1 1.02 32% 0.5 .18 19% .58 63% .36 0.94 50% 20% 38% -6 +2 0.92 23% 0.8 .17 16% .28 69% .19
Dec
29		 Oakland B C D+ A+ A+ 48% 21% 31% B- A+ D+ C+ C- D- A+ B+ A+ B+ A F+ A A- 41% 22% 37% B- A- F A+ A- A- F C+ F
1.24 61% 40% 60% +14 +1 1.31 32% 1.0 .32 18% .38 77% .29 1.03 45% 45% 28% -7 0 0.88 38% 0.7 .25 18% .52 73% .38
Jan
1		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee C F C C- F 47% 28% 26% D F A- C B+ A- A+ A+ A+ C- B+ C- F+ D+ 35% 41% 24% A+ C B C B- F A B A
1.17 45% 38% 33% -6 0 0.89 37% 1.2 .43 12% .44 84% .37 1.08 47% 41% 38% -1 -3 0.94 28% 1.1 .31 9% .19 64% .12
Jan
4		 IU Indianapolis B- F+ A+ A D- 62% 5% 32% A D+ C+ A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ D- A+ F F F+ 35% 33% 33% A- D F B+ D+ C C- A C
1.21 52% 50% 42% +1 +4 1.11 38% 2.2 .83 25% .50 80% .40 1.15 42% 56% 44% +5 -2 1.09 35% 0.9 .32 16% .20 64% .12
Jan
9		 Detroit Mercy B C+ D- A+ B 47% 20% 33% C B D- C+ D D- A+ A+ A+ D F C- A+ C 34% 42% 25% B- C F F F D+ F B F
1.19 61% 30% 44% +4 +1 1.12 25% 1.1 .29 17% .48 82% .39 1.16 67% 41% 23% 0 -3 0.96 40% 1.2 .49 14% .51 74% .38
Jan
11		 Oakland A B+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 32% 32% D- A+ B+ F D- F B- A+ A+ C C D- C D+ 40% 31% 29% A C A+ F A- F F B- F
1.28 68% 59% 53% +19 -2 1.38 42% 0.6 .25 25% .27 100% .27 1.15 57% 44% 33% +1 -1 1.02 19% 1.3 .24 8% .48 72% .34
Jan
15		 Youngstown St. A+ A+ F A+ B- 46% 42% 12% F C A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A F D+ C 39% 10% 51% D+ C F F F F+ C+ F C-
1.42 74% 24% 50% +4 -2 1.06 52% 1.3 .69 11% .48 86% .41 1.27 47% 60% 36% 0 +1 1.04 36% 1.6 .58 15% .25 79% .20
Jan
21		 Cleveland St. D- F A+ F F 45% 20% 36% C+ F D- A+ B A D+ F D- F C+ B- F D 44% 12% 44% F D- A+ F C F D- F F
1.14 52% 82% 15% -4 +1 0.95 30% 1.5 .45 10% .29 67% .19 1.23 55% 33% 45% +5 +2 1.16 15% 1.8 .26 13% .37 91% .33
Jan
24		 Northern Kentucky A- B+ D B+ B 51% 20% 29% B- B B+ F C- A A+ A+ A+ D- F F A+ F 44% 20% 36% C+ F B- D C B+ C+ B- C+
1.25 65% 33% 38% +5 +1 1.13 40% 0.9 .37 14% .60 81% .48 1.14 77% 70% 22% +8 0 1.20 28% 1.1 .31 20% .28 69% .20
Jan
30		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D A F F F 47% 8% 45% B+ D- C A+ B+ D- A- F D+ A C- F A+ B 43% 14% 43% F B- C A+ B+ D+ A A+ A+
1.04 72% 0% 21% -5 +2 0.96 30% 1.5 .43 19% .39 57% .22 0.95 58% 50% 21% -7 +1 0.91 32% 0.9 .27 14% .19 50% .10
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Green Bay A A+ F C- C+ 33% 20% 47% C C+ B- C- C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A- C F C 48% 23% 30% C+ C F+ F+ F C F F F
1.31 80% 22% 33% +4 0 1.09 33% 1.1 .37 8% .48 89% .43 1.18 48% 40% 46% +1 0 1.05 30% 1.3 .37 16% .49 85% .41
Feb
4		 Robert Morris D- F F D- F 55% 12% 33% A F B+ F C- B- C+ F D+ B C- A+ F D 41% 22% 37% C- D A+ F A D+ B- A+ B+
0.96 46% 17% 29% -11 +2 0.84 35% 0.8 .27 15% .38 68% .26 1.05 59% 25% 45% +4 0 1.09 18% 1.5 .27 16% .21 58% .12
Feb
7		 Purdue Fort Wayne C+ A+ C+ F C- 44% 19% 37% C- C- A+ D+ A- D+ A+ F A+ D C- F C+ F 32% 23% 45% A D- C- A+ B B C F D+
1.17 74% 38% 25% +2 +1 1.07 48% 1.0 .48 21% .49 58% .28 1.09 60% 64% 33% +6 -1 1.13 23% 0.7 .17 18% .25 77% .19
Feb
12		 Detroit Mercy C- D+ A+ F D 44% 19% 37% C D C+ F D+ A- D+ A- C F+ F+ F D+ F 33% 46% 21% A- F D+ C C- C- A+ F A
1.12 54% 50% 25% -5 +1 0.94 33% 0.9 .30 11% .32 79% .25 1.16 65% 54% 36% +10 -4 1.15 34% 0.9 .31 15% .16 89% .14
Feb
15		 Cleveland St. A A F A+ A+ 50% 15% 35% B+ A+ C+ F+ D D A+ C A+ D- F B F F 36% 21% 43% C+ F A F C+ F A+ F A
1.37 75% 14% 71% +24 +2 1.54 38% 0.9 .33 18% .47 76% .36 1.21 77% 31% 42% +11 0 1.23 18% 1.3 .24 13% .19 83% .16
Feb
19		 IU Indianapolis C- C+ A+ A- B 54% 24% 22% D+ B- C+ F F D A A+ A+ C- F F A+ D 38% 29% 33% B- D+ A+ A+ A+ F+ D F D-
1.19 64% 55% 40% +9 +1 1.22 37% 0.6 .22 21% .48 85% .41 1.02 71% 50% 22% +3 -1 1.05 17% 0.8 .13 13% .22 79% .18
Feb
22		 Robert Morris D- A F D+ C 41% 27% 33% D C- C- F F+ F D A+ C F+ D F+ F F 42% 26% 32% C F A+ F B D- D- F F
1.01 70% 23% 31% 0 -1 1.00 27% 0.7 .18 21% .32 88% .28 1.20 62% 46% 44% +8 0 1.18 25% 1.3 .33 15% .30 94% .28
Feb
25		 Purdue Fort Wayne D+ F F A+ F 46% 23% 31% D+ F C- A+ B+ B C F+ D+ B+ B- A+ A+ A+ 53% 8% 39% F A+ F F F B- F A- F
1.04 42% 25% 44% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.4 .46 17% .27 69% .19 0.99 54% 25% 16% -14 +3 0.80 33% 1.3 .42 17% .51 63% .32
Feb
28		 Northern Kentucky A+ A F B+ C+ 53% 23% 25% C+ C+ A A+ A+ A- C D- D+ F F F A- F 54% 6% 41% F F C+ F D- F D+ F F+
1.31 71% 8% 38% +2 +1 1.08 44% 2.0 .88 16% .34 65% .22 1.30 72% 67% 27% +5 +3 1.19 28% 1.3 .38 11% .32 80% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 21.2% 21.2% 14.1 0.1 3.0 13.2 4.9 0.1 78.8
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 21.2% 21.2% 0.0% 14.1 78.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 21.2% 100.0% 14.1 0.4 13.9 62.2 23.2 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 15.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 28.7%
Lose Out 34.9%