Yale
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#107
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#224
Pace69.0#179
Improvement-0.1#191

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#62
First Shot+2.6#101
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#64
Layup/Dunks+1.8#121
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#63
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#277
Freethrows+1.7#82
Improvement+0.6#132

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#201
First Shot+0.2#171
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#253
Layups/Dunks+5.8#30
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#125
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#271
Freethrows-4.0#347
Improvement-0.7#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.7% 33.1% 26.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.2 13.8
.500 or above 86.1% 89.7% 73.2%
.500 or above in Conference 93.0% 94.0% 89.4%
Conference Champion 42.7% 44.8% 35.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.5% 1.0%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.6%
First Round31.6% 33.1% 26.3%
Second Round4.6% 5.1% 3.0%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.2% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Home) - 78.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 35 - 45 - 8
Quad 411 - 216 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 245   Quinnipiac W 88-62 86%     1 - 0 +18.6 +9.8 +8.0
  Nov 08, 2024 217   @ Illinois-Chicago L 79-91 66%     1 - 1 -12.1 -2.7 -8.4
  Nov 11, 2024 21   @ Purdue L 84-92 11%     1 - 2 +9.5 +14.3 -4.5
  Nov 16, 2024 112   @ Minnesota L 56-59 40%     1 - 3 +3.5 +4.3 -1.6
  Nov 20, 2024 327   @ Stony Brook W 86-64 83%     2 - 3 +15.7 +9.1 +6.4
  Nov 23, 2024 283   Fairfield W 91-66 84%     3 - 3 +18.6 +28.6 -6.2
  Nov 24, 2024 213   Delaware L 94-100 73%     3 - 4 -8.5 +11.7 -19.8
  Dec 02, 2024 91   @ Rhode Island L 78-84 32%     3 - 5 +2.9 +3.1 +0.2
  Dec 07, 2024 183   Vermont W 72-64 78%    
  Dec 20, 2024 131   Akron W 80-78 59%    
  Jan 01, 2025 284   Howard W 83-70 90%    
  Jan 11, 2025 164   Brown W 77-69 76%    
  Jan 18, 2025 192   @ Columbia W 80-78 59%    
  Jan 20, 2025 319   Dartmouth W 83-67 93%    
  Jan 25, 2025 241   Harvard W 79-68 85%    
  Jan 31, 2025 108   @ Princeton L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 01, 2025 279   @ Penn W 79-72 75%    
  Feb 08, 2025 149   @ Cornell W 82-81 51%    
  Feb 14, 2025 279   Penn W 82-69 88%    
  Feb 15, 2025 108   Princeton W 78-75 61%    
  Feb 21, 2025 149   Cornell W 84-78 71%    
  Feb 22, 2025 192   Columbia W 83-75 78%    
  Feb 28, 2025 319   @ Dartmouth W 80-70 81%    
  Mar 01, 2025 241   @ Harvard W 76-71 68%    
  Mar 08, 2025 164   @ Brown W 74-72 55%    
Projected Record 15 - 10 10 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.4 6.9 12.8 12.6 6.8 2.2 42.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 7.8 9.9 4.8 0.7 25.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 5.9 5.9 1.6 0.0 14.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.7 3.5 0.7 0.0 8.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.0 0.3 5.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.2 2.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.1 7.3 11.5 15.8 18.5 17.7 13.2 6.8 2.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 2.2    2.2
13-1 100.0% 6.8    6.6 0.2
12-2 94.8% 12.6    10.5 2.0 0.0
11-3 72.5% 12.8    7.7 4.8 0.4
10-4 37.5% 6.9    2.1 3.4 1.2 0.1
9-5 8.9% 1.4    0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 42.7% 42.7 29.2 10.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 2.2% 61.6% 61.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-1 6.8% 53.4% 53.4% 12.3 0.3 2.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.1
12-2 13.2% 46.7% 46.7% 12.7 0.1 2.3 3.0 0.8 0.0 7.1
11-3 17.7% 39.2% 39.2% 13.2 0.0 1.0 3.6 2.0 0.2 0.0 10.8
10-4 18.5% 33.6% 33.6% 13.7 0.3 2.2 2.8 0.8 0.0 12.3
9-5 15.8% 28.5% 28.5% 14.2 0.0 0.8 1.9 1.7 0.1 11.3
8-6 11.5% 20.9% 20.9% 14.8 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.3 9.1
7-7 7.3% 6.3% 6.3% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 6.9
6-8 4.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.0
5-9 2.0% 2.0
4-10 0.7% 0.7
3-11 0.2% 0.2
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 31.7% 31.7% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 6.3 10.9 8.3 4.4 0.7 68.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 10.6 0.5 1.5 3.4 2.7 2.7 4.9 12.3 47.2 23.8 1.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%