Yale
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +7.0 81
Expected Predictive Rating +8.4 70
Pace 64.3 300
Improvement -2.9 302

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 33 B+ B+ B B C+
Defense C- 213 C- C D B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 64 C 57% 190 +2.2 99
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 169 B+ 45% 36 +1.0 120
Three Pointers 37% 264 A+ 42% 1 +2.6 93
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 134 B+ +5.2 35
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.14 35
Second Chance B- 33.5% 96 A- 1.21 17 B+ 0.41 29
Turnovers B 14.9% 66
Freethrows B- 0.33 117 B+ 77% 32 B 0.25 66
Total Offense B+ +8.2 33

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 51% 129 C 11.0% 183
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 155 C- 6.1% 253
Three Pointers B 89% 70 B- 0.6% 105
Total C+ 59% 109 C- 6.2% 241

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 262 C- 60% 228 -0.8 142
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 175 D+ 40% 271 +0.5 225
Three Pointers 43% 100 C 34% 167 +1.1 241
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 137 C- +1.0 221
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 206
Second Chance C+ 29.2% 136 C- 1.05 214 C 0.31 166
Turnovers D 14.7% 308
Freethrows B- 0.27 74 C+ 72% 136 B- 0.19 75
Total Defense C- -1.2 213

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 39% 23 D+ 8.3% 285
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 84 D 2.4% 316
Three Pointers B- 81% 70 D- 0.0% 105
Total B 49% 52 D- 3.5% 329

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.9 247 18.0 287
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 327 0.16 124
Improvement -3.7 #337 +0.8 #135

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 60% 61% 53%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.0 12.3
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 97% 99% 87%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round60% 61% 53%
Second Round9% 9% 6%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 1%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Penn (Home) - 85.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 01 - 1
Quad 312 - 313 - 4
Quad 410 - 123 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 154 @Navy W 97 - 68 65% +14  78% 1 - 0 A+ +32 A+ +18 A A+ A A+ +12 C A- A+
 Tue, Nov 11 194 @Quinnipiac W 97 - 60 72% +18  78% 2 - 0 A+ +38 A+ +23 A+ A+ C- A+ +14 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 15 218 Stony Brook W 86 - 79 89% +7  91% 3 - 0 C +1 A+ +16 A+ B C F -15 F F+ B-
 Tue, Nov 18 113 Rhode Island L 77 - 86 74% -0  45% 3 - 1 D -9 B+ +7 C- A+ B F -17 F D D-
 Fri, Nov 21 233 Green Bay W 73 - 67 85% +6  94% 4 - 1 C+ +2 C+ +2 C B- C- C+ +1 A+ F D-
 Sun, Nov 23 159 College of Charleston W 74 - 63 75% +9  99% 5 - 1 B +11 B +6 A D+ B- B+ +6 B A+ D-
 Mon, Nov 24 77 Akron W 97 - 94 48% +6  91% 6 - 1 B +11 A+ +28 A+ A- A+ F -17 F F C+
 Sun, Nov 30 220 @Vermont W 77 - 74 76% +3  66% 7 - 1 C+ +3 A- +11 C C+ A+ D- -8 F C B-
 Sun, Dec 7 107 Illinois-Chicago W 80 - 66 72% +4  58% 8 - 1 A- +15 A +13 D A+ A+ B- +3 A A- F
 Wed, Dec 10 326 Albany W 93 - 82 94% +6  67% 9 - 1 C +0 B+ +8 B- D C+ D- -8 F A F
 Mon, Dec 29 19 @Alabama L 78 - 102 10% -19  1% 9 - 2 C- -3 A- +10 C A+ B+ F -13 C+ F F
 Mon, Jan 5 271 @Brown W 70 - 53 83% +3  49% 10 - 2 1 - 0 B+ +14 C- -2 C+ B- F+ A+ +15 A+ B+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 246 @Princeton L 60 - 76 79% -2  23% 10 - 3 1 - 1 F+ -18 F -12 F B B- D- -7 F D C+
 Sat, Jan 17 149 Cornell W 102 - 68 82% +21  91% 11 - 3 2 - 1 A+ +31 A+ +17 A+ A A+ A+ +14 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 198 Columbia W 91 - 74 87% +9  87% 12 - 3 3 - 1 B+ +12 A+ +20 A+ A+ C+ D- -7 B F D
 Sat, Jan 24 174 @Penn W 77 - 60 68% +5  75% 13 - 3 4 - 1 A +19 B+ +7 C B D- A+ +13 B A- C
 Fri, Jan 30 256 Dartmouth W 83 - 68 92% +3  58% 14 - 3 5 - 1 B- +7 A- +11 A+ C+ D+ C- -3 C A- F+
 Sat, Jan 31 162 Harvard L 65 - 67 83% -3  29% 14 - 4 5 - 2 D+ -5 C+ +2 C+ D A+ F+ -8 D- A F
 Fri, Feb 6 271 Brown W 81 - 69 93% +1  51% 15 - 4 6 - 2 C+ +3 A +12 A+ F C+ F+ -8 D+ C F
 Mon, Feb 9 214 @Howard W 87 - 81 OT 75% +2  66% 16 - 4 B- +6 A +13 C A+ D+ D- -7 D- D F
 Fri, Feb 13 256 @Dartmouth W 83 - 70 81% +9  93% 17 - 4 7 - 2 B +11 B+ +9 A C- A+ B- +2 B- F A-
 Sat, Feb 14 162 @Harvard W 76 - 75 OT 66% -4  6% 18 - 4 8 - 2 C+ +4 B+ +8 D A+ B- D+ -4 C B- F
 Sat, Feb 21 174 Penn W 82 - 71 85%
 Fri, Feb 27 149 @Cornell W 90 - 86 64%
 Sat, Feb 28 198 @Columbia W 80 - 74 72%
 Sat, Mar 7 246 Princeton W 80 - 65 91%
Totals 21 - 5 11 - 3 +7 B+ +8 B- B+ C+ C- -1 A+ B+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ C B+ A+ B+ 43% 38% 37% C+ B+ B- A- B+ B B- B+ B C- C- D+ C C- 36% 21% 43% C+ C- C+ C- C D B- C+ B-
1.20 57% 45% 42% +5 0 1.14 33% 1.2 .41 15% .33 77% .25 1.10 60% 40% 34% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.0 .31 15% .27 72% .23
Nov
7		 Navy A+ C D A+ A 39% 16% 45% A- A B- A+ A+ A A+ A A+ A+ F A- A+ C 41% 30% 30% B- C A+ D- A- A+ F C- F
1.28 59% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 13% .35 83% .29 0.90 72% 31% 23% -1 -1 0.98 19% 1.2 .23 25% .49 75% .37
Nov
11		 Quinnipiac A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 19% 33% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- D A- C- A+ F A A+ B+ 35% 23% 42% C B D B+ C A+ A A- A
1.36 64% 60% 59% +19 +1 1.42 46% 1.3 .58 18% .24 79% .19 0.84 67% 25% 23% -7 -1 0.87 35% 0.9 .32 24% .20 64% .13
Nov
15		 Stony Brook A+ C- C- A+ A+ 40% 23% 38% C A+ A- C B C A+ A+ A+ F F D+ F F 33% 16% 51% C F B+ F F+ B- F+ C+ D-
1.35 56% 33% 60% +13 0 1.28 40% 0.9 .36 16% .61 85% .52 1.24 73% 43% 43% +13 0 1.29 23% 1.5 .35 19% .33 71% .23
Nov
18		 Rhode Island B+ D+ B+ D D+ 52% 15% 33% B+ C- A A+ A+ B B+ A+ A+ F A F F F 46% 14% 40% D+ F F C D D- C D+ C-
1.16 52% 43% 31% -4 +2 0.98 42% 1.3 .55 20% .41 86% .36 1.29 48% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 40% 0.9 .37 17% .36 75% .27
Nov
21		 Green Bay C+ D- A+ A- C+ 41% 26% 33% C- C C- A B- C- C+ C C+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ 29% 16% 56% B- A+ F F F D- F A+ C-
1.18 53% 50% 40% +4 0 1.09 29% 1.4 .39 15% .36 74% .27 1.09 38% 71% 24% -9 0 0.84 34% 1.4 .49 13% .45 63% .28
Nov
23		 College of Charleston B D- B+ A+ A 39% 29% 33% C A D+ C- D+ B- A F B B+ C+ A+ A B+ 42% 17% 42% D- B C A+ A+ D- F A D+
1.14 53% 43% 50% +7 -1 1.14 29% 0.9 .26 12% .32 61% .19 0.97 60% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 29% 0.5 .14 14% .43 67% .29
Nov
24		 Akron A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 22% 33% C A+ B+ B+ A- A+ A A+ A+ F F F F F 43% 17% 40% C- F C- F F C+ A A+ A+
1.47 77% 64% 50% +22 0 1.47 39% 1.1 .44 12% .36 100% .36 1.42 74% 56% 48% +18 +1 1.40 35% 1.9 .65 17% .16 67% .11
Nov
30		 Vermont A- C+ B D+ C 44% 25% 31% C+ C D+ A C+ A+ B+ B A- D- F F D+ F 28% 14% 58% C F F A C B- F D F
1.24 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.06 23% 1.3 .30 5% .37 77% .29 1.19 83% 50% 36% +11 0 1.23 31% 0.8 .23 18% .43 77% .33
Dec
7		 Illinois-Chicago A F+ F A- D 35% 27% 38% D D B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ B- A+ A- F+ A+ 37% 27% 37% B A C A+ A- F C+ F D
1.23 47% 15% 39% -7 -1 0.85 38% 1.5 .56 14% .50 82% .41 1.01 28% 31% 39% -10 -1 0.80 36% 0.8 .27 12% .30 88% .26
Dec
10		 Albany B+ B- F B C 60% 10% 31% A+ B- B F D C+ A+ C A+ D- C- D+ F F 37% 24% 39% B F A+ F A F D A+ A-
1.27 61% 20% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 0.9 .37 14% .54 76% .41 1.12 59% 43% 48% +10 0 1.20 13% 1.2 .16 10% .29 37% .11
Dec
29		 Alabama A- F A A- C 40% 21% 40% B C A A+ A+ B+ A+ A- A+ F B D D- C+ 23% 3% 73% C+ C+ F B- F F A C+ A
1.13 33% 45% 38% -6 0 0.91 36% 1.4 .51 12% .43 73% .31 1.48 57% 50% 39% +5 +1 1.15 47% 1.1 .51 7% .25 75% .19
Jan
5		 Brown C- D+ A+ D+ C+ 47% 19% 34% B- C+ C- A+ B- F+ B F D+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ 41% 15% 44% C- A+ C+ A+ B+ D+ A- A+ A
1.01 55% 56% 31% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.2 .34 22% .37 60% .22 0.76 41% 25% 21% -18 +1 0.69 27% 0.8 .23 19% .18 60% .11
Jan
10		 Princeton F F A+ F F 29% 25% 46% F+ F B- B B B- D F F+ D- D- D+ F F 26% 16% 58% B- F D- C D C+ F F F
0.92 33% 85% 13% -10 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .39 12% .26 60% .16 1.17 64% 43% 40% +7 0 1.16 32% 1.0 .32 18% .43 91% .40
Jan
17		 Cornell A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% D+ A+ D A+ A A+ D- D- F+ A+ A A+ A A+ 25% 7% 68% B A+ B+ A+ A+ F B+ C B
1.44 74% 58% 43% +16 0 1.34 26% 1.9 .48 7% .27 67% .18 0.96 50% 25% 28% -9 +1 0.86 27% 0.8 .21 13% .24 73% .18
Jan
19		 Columbia A+ C+ C- A+ A+ 43% 16% 41% B- A+ A+ A- A+ C+ B- A+ A D- F D+ A+ B- 37% 24% 39% A B B F F D F F F
1.41 59% 38% 52% +12 +1 1.27 44% 1.1 .50 12% .34 89% .30 1.15 80% 40% 19% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 19% .48 84% .40
Jan
24		 Penn B+ C F A+ C 56% 19% 25% B C A D+ B D- B A+ A+ A+ A F A- B+ 29% 24% 47% C+ B A B A- C C A B
1.16 59% 22% 42% +1 +2 1.06 42% 0.9 .36 20% .30 88% .26 0.90 43% 50% 30% -4 -1 0.92 24% 0.9 .22 17% .32 61% .20
Jan
30		 Dartmouth A- A+ D A+ A+ 47% 18% 35% C+ A+ C- B+ C+ D+ F A+ D C- C+ F+ C- C 33% 16% 51% C C D+ A+ A- F+ A+ A+ A+
1.29 75% 33% 44% +13 +1 1.29 27% 1.1 .31 14% .16 100% .16 1.06 56% 44% 36% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 16% .13 57% .07
Jan
31		 Harvard C+ F A+ A+ C 48% 13% 40% B C+ D+ D- D A+ D- A D+ F+ D- C+ F F+ 36% 26% 38% A- D- B A+ A F F D+ F
1.12 43% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 10% .21 82% .17 1.16 67% 36% 44% +8 -1 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 14% .36 83% .30
Feb
6		 Brown A A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C+ A+ F F F C+ A+ F A F+ C+ A+ C- D+ 44% 11% 44% D- D+ A+ F C F A F B
1.24 71% 67% 52% +23 0 1.49 20% 0.0 .00 17% .52 61% .31 1.06 54% 17% 33% -5 +2 0.96 18% 1.7 .30 14% .16 89% .14
Feb
9		 Howard A C+ C- D- C 49% 13% 38% B- C A+ A- A+ D+ A+ B- A+ D- A+ F F F+ 47% 16% 37% D+ D- A F D F B- A- B
1.21 59% 33% 29% -3 +2 1.00 49% 1.2 .60 21% .60 74% .44 1.12 29% 75% 47% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.5 .42 15% .31 68% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
13		 Dartmouth B+ C+ B+ A+ A 58% 17% 25% B+ A F A+ C- A+ A- F B- B- D+ A+ C+ B+ 47% 16% 37% D- B- C+ F F A- A- F B-
1.22 61% 44% 46% +7 +2 1.21 17% 1.6 .28 7% .35 64% .22 1.02 61% 13% 33% -3 +1 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 23% .25 85% .21
Feb
14		 Harvard B+ F F+ A- D+ 32% 25% 43% F+ D B- A+ A+ B- A A+ A+ D+ F D A+ C- 37% 28% 35% A- C B C- B- F A+ F+ A+
1.16 41% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 34% 1.5 .51 15% .36 85% .31 1.14 76% 44% 25% +4 -1 1.07 23% 1.0 .23 12% .14 88% .12



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1.6 16.6 42.1 36.8 97.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 1.2 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 0.2 3.1 17.8 42.1 36.8 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 36.8    36.8
11-3 100.0% 42.1    39.3 2.8
10-4 93.1% 16.6    10.4 5.9 0.3
9-5 49.4% 1.6    0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total 97.0% 97.0 86.6 9.3 1.0 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 36.8% 64.5% 64.5% 0.0% 11.8 0.0 5.1 17.7 1.0 13.0 0.1%
11-3 42.1% 59.1% 59.1% 12.2 1.1 18.5 5.2 0.1 17.2
10-4 17.8% 52.8% 52.8% 12.4 0.1 6.0 3.1 0.2 8.4
9-5 3.1% 49.2% 49.2% 12.5 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.6
8-6 0.2% 36.6% 36.6% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 59.6% 59.6% 0.0% 12.1 40.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 23.7% 100.0% 11.8 0.1 21.3 74.4 4.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.3% 0.1% 11.0 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.7% 0.1% 11.0 0.1