Yale
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#135
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#186
Pace69.8#159
Improvement-3.1#337

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#112
First Shot+1.5#131
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#151
Layup/Dunks-1.3#218
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#287
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#89
Freethrows+2.1#61
Improvement+0.9#104

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#159
First Shot+1.5#125
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#249
Layups/Dunks+2.4#91
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#230
Freethrows+0.4#166
Improvement-4.1#357
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.5% 22.2% 16.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.9 14.4
.500 or above 83.0% 85.3% 64.7%
.500 or above in Conference 87.9% 88.6% 82.4%
Conference Champion 33.7% 34.6% 26.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.6% 1.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round21.5% 22.2% 15.9%
Second Round2.6% 2.7% 2.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Home) - 89.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 35 - 46 - 10
Quad 410 - 216 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 119   Massachusetts W 91-71 57%     1 - 0 +20.3 +5.9 +13.0
  Nov 14, 2021 26   @ Seton Hall L 44-80 10%     1 - 1 -19.6 -23.1 +6.1
  Nov 16, 2021 279   @ Siena W 82-54 71%     2 - 1 +24.6 +11.6 +14.1
  Nov 19, 2021 103   @ Vermont L 53-61 30%     2 - 2 -0.5 -10.1 +9.0
  Nov 23, 2021 133   Southern Utah L 85-88 OT 50%     2 - 3 -0.7 +0.7 -1.0
  Nov 24, 2021 272   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 69-56 78%     3 - 3 +7.0 +1.8 +6.8
  Nov 28, 2021 233   Stony Brook L 81-85 80%     3 - 4 -10.7 +2.9 -13.5
  Dec 01, 2021 316   Lehigh W 82-72 90%     4 - 4 -2.2 +0.6 -3.1
  Dec 04, 2021 16   @ Auburn L 64-86 8%     4 - 5 -4.0 -3.6 +0.7
  Dec 07, 2021 300   Albany W 75-62 89%    
  Dec 12, 2021 97   Iona L 70-73 39%    
  Dec 14, 2021 117   Monmouth W 73-71 56%    
  Dec 23, 2021 274   Howard W 83-72 85%    
  Dec 28, 2021 41   @ St. Mary's L 58-69 16%    
  Jan 02, 2022 339   Columbia W 82-64 96%    
  Jan 07, 2022 250   @ Dartmouth W 69-65 63%    
  Jan 09, 2022 151   @ Harvard L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 15, 2022 188   Cornell W 81-75 71%    
  Jan 17, 2022 180   @ Brown L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 22, 2022 206   @ Penn W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 29, 2022 152   @ Princeton L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 04, 2022 250   Dartmouth W 72-62 81%    
  Feb 05, 2022 151   Harvard W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 12, 2022 339   @ Columbia W 79-67 87%    
  Feb 18, 2022 206   Penn W 76-69 73%    
  Feb 19, 2022 152   Princeton W 75-71 65%    
  Feb 26, 2022 188   @ Cornell W 78-77 50%    
  Mar 05, 2022 180   Brown W 72-66 70%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.9 7.7 11.1 8.4 3.7 0.9 33.7 1st
2nd 0.0 1.8 8.7 8.4 2.8 0.3 22.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 7.4 6.5 1.1 0.0 16.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 5.0 5.1 0.8 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.1 0.7 0.0 8.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.5 0.5 0.0 5.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.4 6.7 10.7 15.0 17.9 17.2 13.9 8.7 3.7 0.9 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
13-1 100.0% 3.7    3.7 0.0
12-2 96.9% 8.4    7.4 1.0 0.0
11-3 79.7% 11.1    7.0 3.8 0.3
10-4 44.4% 7.7    2.4 3.7 1.4 0.1
9-5 10.6% 1.9    0.1 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 33.7% 33.7 21.5 9.1 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.9% 100.0% 100.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-1 3.7% 99.2% 99.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-2 8.7% 85.2% 85.2% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.3 1.4 0.1 1.3 0.2%
11-3 13.9% 50.4% 50.4% 14.2 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.1 2.5 0.2 6.9
10-4 17.2% 14.2% 14.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.3 14.8
9-5 17.9% 0.6% 0.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 17.8
8-6 15.0% 15.0
7-7 10.7% 10.7
6-8 6.7% 6.7
5-9 3.4% 3.4
4-10 1.4% 1.4
3-11 0.5% 0.5
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 21.5% 21.5% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 5.3 8.5 5.6 0.6 78.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 8.8 6.7 6.7 10.0 13.3 20.0 26.7 16.7