Yale
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +6.4 89
Results Rating +7.8 76
Consistency 0.18 301
Pace 63.3 321
Improvement -4.2 324

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense B 53 B+ B B- B- C+
Defense C 178 C C D+ B C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 85 C 58% 171 +2.2 101
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 176 B+ 45% 28 +1.2 113
Three Pointers 38% 246 A 40% 8 +2.0 110
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 143 B+ +4.9 40
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.13 47
Second Chance C+ 32.2% 119 A- 1.19 22 B 0.38 53
Opponents' Steals B- 8.6% 98
Other Turnovers B- 6.7% 103
Turnovers B- 15.3% 92
Freethrows C+ 0.32 137 B+ 77% 34 B- 0.25 88
Total Offense B +6.6 53

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 142 C+ 10.1% 126
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 27% 143 D+ 6.7% 289
Three Pointers B- 89% 76 C+ 0.7% 120
Total C+ 58% 124 C- 5.9% 217


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 268 C- 60% 220 -1.0 132
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 182 C- 39% 240 +0.2 206
Three Pointers 44% 90 C+ 33% 153 +1.1 243
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 138 C +0.4 200
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 188
Second Chance C+ 29.0% 124 C- 1.05 222 C 0.30 166
Turnovers from Steals F+ 6.5% 351
Other Turnovers B 8.5% 56
Turnovers D+ 15.0% 289
Freethrows B 0.26 48 C+ 72% 144 B 0.18 51
Total Defense C -0.2 178

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 38% 17 C- 9.7% 216
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 73 D 2.3% 324
Three Pointers B- 81% 98 D+ 0.3% 302
Total B 49% 48 D+ 4.1% 301

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.1 257 18.1 293
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 326 0.15 121
Consistency 0.13 238 0.15 330
Improvement -6.7 363 +2.5 67

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 99 90 78
Results Rating Rank 91 71 64
Conference Record 10 - 4 11 - 3 11 - 3
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 13 12
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 56% 56% 54%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.1 12.3
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round56% 56% 54%
Second Round7% 7% 5%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 1%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Princeton (Home) - 90.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 22 - 02 - 1
Quad 311 - 313 - 4
Quad 49 - 122 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 140 @Navy W 97 - 68 59% +14  78% 1 - 0 A+ +33 A+ +19 A A+ A A+ +12 C+ A- A+
 Tue, Nov 11 214 @Quinnipiac W 97 - 60 73% +18  78% 2 - 0 A+ +37 A+ +22 A+ A+ D+ A+ +14 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 15 218 Stony Brook W 86 - 79 88% +7  91% 3 - 0 C +1 A+ +17 A+ B C+ F -15 F F+ B-
 Tue, Nov 18 136 Rhode Island L 77 - 86 77% -0  45% 3 - 1 D -10 B +7 C- A+ B- F -18 F D- D
 Fri, Nov 21 210 Green Bay W 73 - 67 81% +6  94% 4 - 1 C+ +3 C+ +3 C+ B- C- C+ +1 A+ F D-
 Sun, Nov 23 143 College of Charleston W 74 - 63 70% +9  99% 5 - 1 B+ +12 B +6 A D+ B A- +7 B A+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 69 Akron W 97 - 94 43% +6  91% 6 - 1 B +11 A+ +29 A+ A A+ F -17 F F C+
 Sun, Nov 30 237 @Vermont W 77 - 74 77% +3  66% 7 - 1 C+ +2 A- +11 C C+ A+ F+ -9 F C B-
 Sun, Dec 7 114 Illinois-Chicago W 80 - 66 72% +4  58% 8 - 1 B+ +14 A +12 D- A+ A+ B- +3 A A- F
 Wed, Dec 10 319 Albany W 93 - 82 93% +6  67% 9 - 1 C +1 B+ +8 B- D+ C+ D- -7 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 14 @Alabama L 78 - 102 8% -19  1% 9 - 2 C- -2 A- +10 C+ A+ B+ F -13 C+ F F
 Mon, Jan 5 280 @Brown W 70 - 53 83% +3  49% 10 - 2 1 - 0 B+ +13 D+ -3 C+ B- F+ A+ +16 A+ B+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 240 @Princeton L 60 - 76 77% -2  23% 10 - 3 1 - 1 F+ -17 F -12 F B+ B- D- -7 F D C+
 Sat, Jan 17 163 Cornell W 102 - 68 82% +21  91% 11 - 3 2 - 1 A+ +31 A+ +18 A+ A A+ A+ +13 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 190 Columbia W 91 - 74 85% +9  87% 12 - 3 3 - 1 B+ +12 A+ +21 A+ A+ B- D- -8 B- F D
 Sat, Jan 24 160 @Penn W 77 - 60 64% +5  75% 13 - 3 4 - 1 A +20 B+ +8 C+ B+ D- A+ +12 B A- C
 Fri, Jan 30 267 Dartmouth W 83 - 68 92% +3  58% 14 - 3 5 - 1 B- +6 A- +11 A+ C+ D+ D+ -3 C- B+ F+
 Sat, Jan 31 150 Harvard L 65 - 67 80% -3  29% 14 - 4 5 - 2 C- -5 B- +4 C+ D A+ F+ -9 D- A- F
 Fri, Feb 6 280 Brown W 81 - 69 92% +1  51% 15 - 4 6 - 2 C+ +2 A- +11 A+ F C+ D- -7 C- C F
 Mon, Feb 9 182 @Howard W 87 - 81 OT 69% +2  66% 16 - 4 B- +7 A +13 C+ A+ D+ D -6 D- D+ F
 Fri, Feb 13 267 @Dartmouth W 83 - 70 81% +9  93% 17 - 4 7 - 2 B +10 B+ +9 A C- A+ B- +2 B- F A
 Sat, Feb 14 150 @Harvard W 76 - 75 OT 62% -4  6% 18 - 4 8 - 2 C+ +4 A- +9 D A+ B- D -5 C C+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 160 Penn W 74 - 70 82% -2  43% 19 - 4 9 - 2 C +1 C+ +2 D- B+ B- C -1 C- A D-
 Fri, Feb 27 163 @Cornell L 69 - 72 64% -7  0% 19 - 5 9 - 3 C -0 D -5 C+ F B- B +4 C- D- C+
 Sat, Feb 28 190 @Columbia W 60 - 54 70% +7  99% 20 - 5 10 - 3 B- +7 D -6 A+ F F A+ +14 A+ B- B-
 Sat, Mar 7 240 Princeton W 78 - 64 91%
Totals 21 - 5 11 - 3 +6 B +7 C B+ C+ C +0 A B+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B C B+ A B+ 42% 38% 38% C+ B+ C+ A- B B- C+ B+ B- C C- C- C+ C 36% 20% 44% C C C+ C- C D+ B C+ B
1.18 58% 45% 40% +5 0 1.13 32% 1.2 .38 15% .32 77% .25 1.09 60% 39% 33% 0 0 1.03 29% 1.1 .30 15% .26 72% .23
Nov
7
Navy A+ C D A+ A 39% 16% 45% A- A B- A+ A+ A A+ A A+ A+ F A- A+ C 41% 30% 30% B- C+ A+ D- A- A+ F C- F
1.28 59% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 13% .35 83% .29 0.90 72% 31% 23% -1 -1 0.98 19% 1.2 .23 25% .49 75% .37
Nov
11
Quinnipiac A+ B A+ A+ A+ 48% 19% 33% B- A+ A+ A A+ D+ D A- D+ A+ F A A+ B 35% 23% 42% C+ B D B C A+ A B+ A
1.36 64% 60% 59% +19 +1 1.42 46% 1.3 .58 18% .24 79% .19 0.84 67% 25% 23% -7 -1 0.87 35% 0.9 .32 24% .20 64% .13
Nov
15
Stony Brook A+ C- D+ A+ A+ 40% 23% 38% C A+ A- C B C+ A+ A+ A+ F F D+ F F 33% 16% 51% C F B+ F F+ B- F+ C+ D-
1.35 56% 33% 60% +13 0 1.28 40% 0.9 .36 16% .61 85% .52 1.24 73% 43% 43% +13 0 1.29 23% 1.5 .35 19% .33 71% .23
Nov
18
Rhode Island B D+ A- D D+ 52% 15% 33% B+ C- A A+ A+ B- B+ A+ A+ F A F F F 46% 14% 40% D F F C D- D C D+ C-
1.16 52% 43% 31% -4 +2 0.98 42% 1.3 .55 20% .41 86% .36 1.29 48% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 40% 0.9 .37 17% .36 75% .27
Nov
21
Green Bay C+ D- A+ A- C+ 41% 26% 33% C- C+ C- A B- C- C+ C- C+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ 29% 16% 56% B- A+ F F F D- F A+ C-
1.18 53% 50% 40% +4 -1 1.09 29% 1.4 .39 15% .36 74% .27 1.09 38% 71% 24% -9 0 0.84 34% 1.4 .49 13% .45 63% .28
Nov
23
College of Charleston B D- B+ A+ A 39% 29% 33% C- A D+ D+ D+ B A F B A- C+ A A+ A- 42% 17% 42% D- B C+ A+ A+ D F A D+
1.14 53% 43% 50% +7 -1 1.14 29% 0.9 .26 12% .32 61% .19 0.97 60% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 29% 0.5 .14 14% .43 67% .29
Nov
24
Akron A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 22% 33% C A+ B+ A- A A+ A A+ A+ F F F F F 43% 17% 40% C- F C- F F C+ A+ A+ A+
1.47 77% 64% 50% +22 0 1.47 39% 1.1 .44 12% .36 100% .36 1.42 74% 56% 48% +18 +1 1.40 35% 1.9 .65 17% .16 67% .11
Nov
30
Vermont A- B- B D+ C 44% 25% 31% C+ C D+ A+ C+ A+ B+ B A- F+ F F D+ F 28% 14% 58% C F F A+ C B- F D F
1.24 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.06 23% 1.3 .30 5% .37 77% .29 1.19 83% 50% 36% +10 0 1.23 31% 0.8 .23 18% .43 77% .33
Dec
7
Illinois-Chicago A F+ F A- D- 35% 27% 38% D D- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ B- A+ A- F+ A+ 37% 27% 37% B+ A C A+ A- F B- F D
1.23 47% 15% 39% -7 -1 0.85 38% 1.5 .56 14% .50 82% .41 1.01 28% 31% 39% -10 -1 0.80 36% 0.8 .27 12% .30 88% .26
Dec
10
Albany B+ B- F B C 60% 10% 31% A B- B F D+ C+ A+ C+ A+ D- C- D+ F F 37% 24% 39% B F A+ F A+ F D- A+ A-
1.27 61% 20% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 0.9 .37 14% .54 76% .41 1.12 59% 43% 48% +10 0 1.20 13% 1.2 .16 10% .29 37% .11
Dec
29
Alabama A- F A A- C 40% 21% 40% B+ C+ A- A+ A+ B+ A+ A- A+ F B- D+ D- C+ 23% 3% 73% C+ C+ F B- F F A B- A
1.13 33% 45% 38% -6 0 0.91 36% 1.4 .51 12% .43 73% .31 1.48 57% 50% 39% +5 +1 1.15 47% 1.1 .51 7% .25 75% .19
Jan
5
Brown D+ D+ A+ D+ C 47% 19% 34% B- C+ D+ A+ B- F+ B- F D A+ A+ A A+ A+ 41% 15% 44% C- A+ C+ A B+ D A A+ A
1.01 55% 56% 31% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.2 .34 22% .37 60% .22 0.76 41% 25% 21% -18 +1 0.69 27% 0.8 .23 19% .18 60% .11
Jan
10
Princeton F F A+ F F 29% 25% 46% F+ F B- A- B+ B- D F F+ D- D- D+ F F 26% 16% 58% C+ F D- C- D C+ F F F
0.92 33% 85% 13% -10 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .39 12% .26 60% .16 1.17 64% 43% 40% +7 0 1.16 32% 1.0 .32 18% .43 91% .40
Jan
17
Cornell A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% D+ A+ D A+ A A+ D- D D- A+ A- A+ A A+ 25% 7% 68% B A+ B A+ A+ F B C+ B
1.44 74% 58% 43% +16 0 1.34 26% 1.9 .48 7% .27 67% .18 0.96 50% 25% 28% -9 +1 0.86 27% 0.8 .21 13% .24 73% .18
Jan
19
Columbia A+ C+ C- A+ A+ 43% 16% 41% B- A+ A+ A A+ B- B- A+ A D- F D+ A+ C+ 37% 24% 39% A B- B F F D F F F
1.41 59% 38% 52% +12 +1 1.27 44% 1.1 .50 12% .34 89% .30 1.15 80% 40% 19% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 19% .48 84% .40
Jan
24
Penn B+ C F A+ C 56% 19% 25% B+ C+ A+ D+ B+ D- B A+ A+ A+ A F A- B+ 29% 24% 47% C+ B A- B A- C C A B
1.16 59% 22% 42% +1 +2 1.06 42% 0.9 .36 20% .30 88% .26 0.90 43% 50% 30% -4 -1 0.92 24% 0.9 .22 17% .32 61% .20
Jan
30
Dartmouth A- A+ D A+ A+ 47% 18% 35% C+ A+ C- B+ C+ D+ F A+ D D+ C+ F C- C- 33% 16% 51% C- C- D A+ B+ F+ A+ A+ A+
1.29 75% 33% 44% +13 +1 1.29 27% 1.1 .31 14% .16 100% .16 1.06 56% 44% 36% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 16% .13 57% .07
Jan
31
Harvard B- F A A+ C+ 48% 13% 40% B C+ D+ D- D A+ D A C- F+ F+ C+ F F 36% 26% 38% B+ D- B A+ A- F F D+ F
1.12 43% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 10% .21 82% .17 1.16 67% 36% 44% +8 -1 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 14% .36 83% .30
Feb
6
Brown A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C+ A+ F F F C+ A+ F A D- C+ A+ C- C- 44% 11% 44% D C- A+ F C F A+ F B
1.24 71% 67% 52% +23 0 1.49 20% 0.0 .00 17% .52 61% .31 1.06 54% 17% 33% -5 +2 0.96 18% 1.7 .30 14% .16 89% .14
Feb
9
Howard A C+ C- D C 49% 13% 38% B- C+ A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ B- A+ D A+ F F D- 47% 16% 37% D+ D- A F D+ F B- B+ B
1.21 59% 33% 29% -3 +2 1.00 49% 1.2 .60 21% .60 74% .44 1.12 29% 75% 47% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.5 .42 15% .31 68% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
13
Dartmouth B+ C+ B+ A+ A 58% 17% 25% B+ A F A+ C- A+ A- F B- B- D+ A+ C+ B 47% 16% 37% D- B- C F F A A F B
1.22 61% 44% 46% +7 +2 1.21 17% 1.6 .28 7% .35 64% .22 1.02 61% 13% 33% -3 +1 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 23% .25 85% .21
Feb
14
Harvard A- F F+ A D+ 32% 25% 43% F+ D B A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ D F D A+ D+ 37% 28% 35% A- C B D C+ F A+ F+ A
1.16 41% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 34% 1.5 .51 15% .36 85% .31 1.14 76% 44% 25% +4 -1 1.07 23% 1.0 .23 12% .14 88% .12
Feb
21
Penn C+ D+ A+ F D 27% 29% 44% F D- C+ A B+ B- A- A+ A+ C A- B+ F C- 39% 25% 35% D+ C- B+ A A D- A D+ A-
1.11 57% 53% 22% -4 -2 0.90 32% 1.2 .37 15% .32 78% .25 1.05 45% 31% 50% +1 -1 1.04 26% 0.8 .20 14% .24 71% .17
Feb
27
Cornell D B- D- B- C 53% 11% 36% B+ C+ F+ F F B- F F F B C- F D- D+ 29% 4% 67% C C- B F D- C+ A+ A+ A+
1.07 64% 33% 37% +4 +2 1.15 23% 0.4 .10 12% .18 60% .11 1.12 62% 50% 40% +8 +1 1.20 28% 1.5 .41 19% .19 60% .11
Feb
28
Columbia D A+ A+ C A+ 47% 19% 33% B- A+ F F F F B+ D+ B A+ D A+ A+ A+ 42% 16% 42% C A+ C- B+ B- B- A F B-
0.99 76% 57% 33% +12 +1 1.28 19% 0.5 .10 23% .36 71% .26 0.89 63% 14% 16% -13 +1 0.78 37% 0.8 .31 23% .19 89% .17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 9.5 90.5 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 9.5 90.5 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 90.5    90.5
10-4 100.0% 9.5    2.8 6.7
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 93.3 6.7



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 90.5% 55.9% 55.9% 12.1 3.4 40.1 7.0 0.1 39.9
10-4 9.5% 53.6% 53.6% 12.3 0.1 3.2 1.7 0.1 4.4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 55.7% 55.7% 0.0% 12.1 44.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 50.6% 100.0% 12.1 6.8 79.2 13.9 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 18.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 21.6%