Yale
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +6.8 86
Results Rating +7.9 76
Consistency 0.18 299
Pace 63.5 313
Improvement -3.1 296

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense B 56 B B B- B- C+
Defense C 152 C C+ D+ B C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 82 C 58% 169 +2.2 99
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 168 B+ 45% 28 +1.0 122
Three Pointers 38% 245 A 40% 9 +1.8 115
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 138 B+ +4.6 49
1st FG Attempt B 1.12 50
Second Chance C+ 32.2% 121 B+ 1.15 35 B 0.37 64
Opponents' Steals B- 8.5% 94
Other Turnovers B- 6.7% 106
Turnovers B- 15.2% 89
Freethrows C+ 0.32 135 B 77% 35 B- 0.25 85
Total Offense B +6.3 56

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 133 C+ 10.4% 148
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 154 D+ 6.6% 287
Three Pointers B 89% 73 B- 0.6% 114
Total C+ 58% 125 C- 5.9% 222


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 275 C- 60% 234 -1.0 137
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 180 C 39% 213 +0.1 199
Three Pointers 44% 89 C+ 33% 122 +0.8 228
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 129 C +0.1 184
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 170
Second Chance C+ 28.6% 121 C 1.04 202 C+ 0.30 144
Turnovers from Steals D- 6.7% 348
Other Turnovers B+ 8.5% 39
Turnovers D+ 15.1% 277
Freethrows B 0.26 50 C+ 72% 133 B 0.18 49
Total Defense C +0.5 152

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 38% 24 C- 9.7% 222
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 68 D 2.5% 312
Three Pointers B- 81% 92 D 0.3% 305
Total B 49% 49 D+ 4.1% 301

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 247 18.1 290
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 320 0.16 142
Consistency 0.13 215 0.15 347
Improvement -7.1 363 +4.0 23

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 91 85 73
Results Rating Rank 90 66 62
Conference Record 11 - 3 11 - 3 11 - 3
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 12 11
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 54% 74% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.9 11.9 11.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round54% 74% 0%
Second Round8% 11% 0%
Sweet Sixteen1% 2% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 01 - 1
Quad 311 - 313 - 4
Quad 410 - 122 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 156 @Navy W 97 - 68 63% +14  78% 1 - 0 A+ +32 A+ +18 A A+ A A+ +12 C+ A- A+
 Tue, Nov 11 214 @Quinnipiac W 97 - 60 75% +18  78% 2 - 0 A+ +37 A+ +22 A+ A+ D+ A+ +15 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 15 230 Stony Brook W 86 - 79 89% +7  91% 3 - 0 C +0 A+ +16 A B C+ F -15 F F+ B-
 Tue, Nov 18 133 Rhode Island L 77 - 86 78% -0  45% 3 - 1 D -10 B+ +8 C- A+ B F -19 F D- D-
 Fri, Nov 21 217 Green Bay W 73 - 67 83% +6  94% 4 - 1 C+ +3 C+ +2 C+ B- D+ C+ +1 A+ F D
 Sun, Nov 23 164 College of Charleston W 74 - 63 74% +9  99% 5 - 1 B +11 B- +5 A- D B B+ +7 B A+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 69 Akron W 97 - 94 43% +6  91% 6 - 1 B+ +12 A+ +29 A+ A A+ F -17 F F C
 Sun, Nov 30 231 @Vermont W 77 - 74 77% +3  66% 7 - 1 C+ +2 A- +11 C C+ A+ F+ -9 F C B-
 Sun, Dec 7 107 Illinois-Chicago W 80 - 66 71% +4  58% 8 - 1 A- +15 A +12 D- A+ A+ B +4 A+ A F
 Wed, Dec 10 321 Albany W 93 - 82 93% +6  67% 9 - 1 C +1 B +7 B- D C+ D- -7 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 14 @Alabama L 78 - 102 9% -19  1% 9 - 2 C- -2 A- +10 C+ A+ B+ F -12 C+ F F
 Mon, Jan 5 288 @Brown W 70 - 53 85% +3  49% 10 - 2 1 - 0 B+ +13 D+ -3 C+ B- F+ A+ +16 A+ B+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 238 @Princeton L 60 - 76 79% -2  23% 10 - 3 1 - 1 F+ -18 F -12 F B+ B- D- -7 F D- C+
 Sat, Jan 17 154 Cornell W 102 - 68 81% +21  91% 11 - 3 2 - 1 A+ +31 A+ +17 A+ A A+ A+ +14 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 197 Columbia W 91 - 74 86% +9  87% 12 - 3 3 - 1 B+ +12 A+ +21 A+ A+ B- D- -7 B- F D
 Sat, Jan 24 149 @Penn W 77 - 60 63% +5  75% 13 - 3 4 - 1 A +21 B+ +9 C+ B+ D- A+ +13 B A- C
 Fri, Jan 30 278 Dartmouth W 83 - 68 93% +3  58% 14 - 3 5 - 1 B- +5 A- +10 A+ C+ D+ D+ -4 C- B+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 146 Harvard L 65 - 67 81% -3  29% 14 - 4 5 - 2 C- -4 B- +4 C+ D A+ F+ -9 D- A- F
 Fri, Feb 6 288 Brown W 81 - 69 94% +1  51% 15 - 4 6 - 2 C +2 A- +10 A+ F C+ D- -8 C- C F
 Mon, Feb 9 189 @Howard W 87 - 81 OT 70% +2  66% 16 - 4 B- +7 A +13 C A+ D D -5 D D+ F
 Fri, Feb 13 278 @Dartmouth W 83 - 70 84% +9  93% 17 - 4 7 - 2 B +9 B+ +8 A- C A+ C+ +2 C+ F A
 Sat, Feb 14 146 @Harvard W 76 - 75 OT 62% -4  6% 18 - 4 8 - 2 C+ +5 B+ +9 D+ A+ C+ D+ -5 C C+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 149 Penn W 74 - 70 81% -2  43% 19 - 4 9 - 2 C +2 C+ +3 F+ B+ B- C -1 C- A D-
 Fri, Feb 27 154 @Cornell L 69 - 72 63% -7  0% 19 - 5 9 - 3 C +0 D -5 C+ F B- B+ +5 C- D- C+
 Sat, Feb 28 197 @Columbia W 60 - 54 71% +7  99% 20 - 5 10 - 3 B- +7 D -6 A+ F F A+ +14 A+ B- B
 Sat, Mar 7 238 Princeton W 78 - 53 90% +12  96% 21 - 5 11 - 3 A- +17 C+ +3 B- F B+ A+ +16 B+ A+ B+
 Sat, Mar 14 154 Cornell W 89 - 83 73%
Totals 22 - 5 11 - 3 +7 B +6 F B+ C+ C +0 A B B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B C B+ A B+ 42% 38% 38% C+ B C+ B+ B B- C+ B B- C C- C C+ C 36% 20% 44% C+ C C+ C C+ D+ B C+ B
1.18 58% 45% 40% +5 0 1.12 32% 1.2 .37 15% .32 77% .25 1.08 60% 39% 33% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.0 .30 15% .26 72% .23
Nov
7
Navy A+ C- D A+ A 39% 16% 45% A- A B- A+ A+ A A+ A A+ A+ F A- A+ C 41% 30% 30% B- C+ A+ D- A- A+ F D+ F
1.28 59% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 13% .35 83% .29 0.90 72% 31% 23% -1 -1 0.98 19% 1.2 .23 25% .49 75% .37
Nov
11
Quinnipiac A+ B A+ A+ A+ 48% 19% 33% B- A+ A+ A A+ D+ D- A- D+ A+ F A A+ B+ 35% 23% 42% C+ B D B C A+ A+ B+ A
1.36 64% 60% 59% +19 +1 1.42 46% 1.3 .58 18% .24 79% .19 0.84 67% 25% 23% -7 -1 0.87 35% 0.9 .32 24% .20 64% .13
Nov
15
Stony Brook A+ D+ D+ A+ A+ 40% 23% 38% C- A A- C- B C+ A+ A+ A+ F F D+ F F 33% 16% 51% C F B+ F F+ B- F C+ D-
1.35 56% 33% 60% +13 0 1.28 40% 0.9 .36 16% .61 85% .52 1.24 73% 43% 43% +13 0 1.29 23% 1.5 .35 19% .33 71% .23
Nov
18
Rhode Island B+ D+ A- D D+ 52% 15% 33% B+ C- A A+ A+ B B+ A+ A+ F A F F F 46% 14% 40% D F F C D- D- C- D+ D+
1.16 52% 43% 31% -4 +2 0.98 42% 1.3 .55 20% .41 86% .36 1.29 48% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 40% 0.9 .37 17% .36 75% .27
Nov
21
Green Bay C+ D- A+ A- C+ 41% 26% 33% C- C+ C- A+ B- D+ B- C- C+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ 29% 16% 56% B A+ F F F D F A+ C-
1.18 53% 50% 40% +4 0 1.09 29% 1.4 .39 15% .36 74% .27 1.09 38% 71% 24% -9 0 0.84 34% 1.4 .49 13% .45 63% .28
Nov
23
College of Charleston B- D- B+ A+ A 39% 29% 33% C A- D+ D D B A F B B+ C+ A A A- 42% 17% 42% D- B C+ A+ A+ D F A D
1.14 53% 43% 50% +7 -1 1.14 29% 0.9 .26 12% .32 61% .19 0.97 60% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 29% 0.5 .14 14% .43 67% .29
Nov
24
Akron A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 22% 33% C A+ A- A- A A+ A A+ A+ F F F F F 43% 17% 40% C- F D+ F F C A A+ A+
1.47 77% 64% 50% +22 0 1.47 39% 1.1 .44 12% .36 100% .36 1.42 74% 56% 48% +18 +1 1.40 35% 1.9 .65 17% .16 67% .11
Nov
30
Vermont A- C+ B+ D+ C 44% 25% 31% C+ C D+ A+ C+ A+ B+ B B+ F+ F F D+ F 28% 14% 58% C F F A+ C B- F D- F
1.24 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.06 23% 1.3 .30 5% .37 77% .29 1.19 83% 50% 36% +10 0 1.23 31% 0.8 .23 18% .43 77% .33
Dec
7
Illinois-Chicago A F+ F A- D- 35% 27% 38% D D- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ B A+ A- F+ A+ 37% 27% 37% B A+ C A+ A F B- F D
1.23 47% 15% 39% -7 -1 0.85 38% 1.5 .56 14% .50 82% .41 1.01 28% 31% 39% -10 -1 0.80 36% 0.8 .27 12% .30 88% .26
Dec
10
Albany B B- F B C 60% 10% 31% A B- B F D C+ A+ C+ A+ D- C- D+ F F 37% 24% 39% B F A+ F A+ F F+ A+ B+
1.27 61% 20% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 0.9 .37 14% .54 76% .41 1.12 59% 43% 48% +10 0 1.20 13% 1.2 .16 10% .29 37% .11
Dec
29
Alabama A- F A A- C 40% 21% 40% B+ C+ A- A+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ F B- D D- C+ 23% 3% 73% C+ C+ F B- F F A B- A
1.13 33% 45% 38% -6 0 0.91 36% 1.4 .51 12% .43 73% .31 1.48 57% 50% 39% +5 +1 1.15 47% 1.1 .51 7% .25 75% .19
Jan
5
Brown D+ D+ A+ D+ C 47% 19% 34% B- C+ D+ A+ B- F+ B- F D A+ A+ A A+ A+ 41% 15% 44% C A+ C+ A B+ D A A+ A
1.01 55% 56% 31% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.2 .34 22% .37 60% .22 0.76 41% 25% 21% -18 +1 0.69 27% 0.8 .23 19% .18 60% .11
Jan
10
Princeton F F A+ F F 29% 25% 46% F+ F B- A- B+ B- D F F D- D- D+ F F 26% 16% 58% C+ F D- C- D- C+ F F F
0.92 33% 85% 13% -10 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .39 12% .26 60% .16 1.17 64% 43% 40% +7 0 1.16 32% 1.0 .32 18% .43 91% .40
Jan
17
Cornell A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% D+ A+ D A+ A A+ D- D- F+ A+ A A+ A A+ 25% 7% 68% B A+ B A+ A+ F B C+ B
1.44 74% 58% 43% +16 0 1.34 26% 1.9 .48 7% .27 67% .18 0.96 50% 25% 28% -9 +1 0.86 27% 0.8 .21 13% .24 73% .18
Jan
19
Columbia A+ C C- A+ A+ 43% 16% 41% B- A+ A+ A- A+ B- B- A+ A D- F D+ A+ C+ 37% 24% 39% A B- B F F D F F F
1.41 59% 38% 52% +12 +1 1.27 44% 1.1 .50 12% .34 89% .30 1.15 80% 40% 19% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 19% .48 84% .40
Jan
24
Penn B+ C F A+ C 56% 19% 25% B C+ A+ D+ B+ D- B A+ A+ A+ A F A- B+ 29% 24% 47% C+ B A- B A- C C A B-
1.16 59% 22% 42% +1 +2 1.06 42% 0.9 .36 20% .30 88% .26 0.90 43% 50% 30% -4 -1 0.92 24% 0.9 .22 17% .32 61% .20
Jan
30
Dartmouth A- A+ D A+ A+ 47% 18% 35% C+ A+ C- B+ C+ D+ F A+ D D+ C+ F C- D+ 33% 16% 51% C C- D A+ B+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.29 75% 33% 44% +13 +1 1.29 27% 1.1 .31 14% .16 100% .16 1.06 56% 44% 36% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 16% .13 57% .07
Jan
31
Harvard B- F A A+ C+ 48% 13% 40% B C+ C- F+ D A+ D A C- F+ D- C+ F F 36% 26% 38% B+ D- B A+ A- F F D+ F
1.12 43% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 10% .21 82% .17 1.16 67% 36% 44% +8 -1 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 14% .36 83% .30
Feb
6
Brown A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C+ A+ F F F C+ A+ F A D- C+ A+ C- C- 44% 11% 44% D C- A+ F C F A+ F B
1.24 71% 67% 52% +23 0 1.49 20% 0.0 .00 17% .52 61% .31 1.06 54% 17% 33% -5 +2 0.96 18% 1.7 .30 14% .16 89% .14
Feb
9
Howard A C C- D C 49% 13% 38% B- C A+ B+ A+ D A+ B- A+ D A+ F F D 47% 16% 37% D+ D A F D+ F B- B+ B
1.21 59% 33% 29% -3 +2 1.00 49% 1.2 .60 21% .60 74% .44 1.12 29% 75% 47% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.5 .42 15% .31 68% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
13
Dartmouth B+ C+ B+ A+ A- 58% 17% 25% B+ A- F A+ C A+ A- F B- C+ D+ A+ C+ B 47% 16% 37% D- C+ C F F A A F B
1.22 61% 44% 46% +7 +2 1.21 17% 1.6 .28 7% .35 64% .22 1.02 61% 13% 33% -3 +1 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 23% .25 85% .21
Feb
14
Harvard B+ F F+ A D+ 32% 25% 43% F+ D+ B A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F D A+ C- 37% 28% 35% A- C B D+ C+ F A+ F+ A
1.16 41% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 34% 1.5 .51 15% .36 85% .31 1.14 76% 44% 25% +4 -1 1.07 23% 1.0 .23 12% .14 88% .12
Feb
21
Penn C+ D+ A+ F D 27% 29% 44% F F+ C+ A+ B+ B- B+ A+ A C A- B+ F C- 39% 25% 35% C- C- B+ A A D- A D+ A-
1.11 57% 53% 22% -4 -2 0.90 32% 1.2 .37 15% .32 78% .25 1.05 45% 31% 50% +1 -1 1.04 26% 0.8 .20 14% .24 71% .17
Feb
27
Cornell D B- D B- C 53% 11% 36% B+ C+ F+ F F B- F F F B+ C- F D- C- 29% 4% 67% C C- B- F D- C+ A A+ A+
1.07 64% 33% 37% +4 +2 1.15 23% 0.4 .10 12% .18 60% .11 1.12 62% 50% 40% +8 +1 1.20 28% 1.5 .41 19% .19 60% .11
Feb
28
Columbia D A+ A+ C A+ 47% 19% 33% B- A+ F F F F B+ D+ B A+ D A+ A+ A+ 42% 16% 42% C A+ C- B+ B- B A- F C+
0.99 76% 57% 33% +12 +1 1.28 19% 0.5 .10 23% .36 71% .26 0.89 63% 14% 16% -13 +1 0.78 37% 0.8 .31 23% .19 89% .17
Mar
7
Princeton C+ A- C F+ B- 45% 20% 35% C+ B- C F F B+ A B A+ A+ F A+ A+ B 19% 23% 58% A B+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A A A
1.17 70% 40% 28% +2 +1 1.08 29% 0.5 .15 11% .40 75% .30 0.80 89% 27% 25% -5 -2 0.90 15% 0.4 .06 21% .23 67% .15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 54.3% 54.3% 0.0% 11.9 0.0 9.6 41.2 3.5 0.0 45.7 0.1%
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 54.3% 54.3% 0.0% 11.9 45.7 0.1%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 54.3% 100.0% 11.9 0.0 17.6 75.8 6.5 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 19.3% 0.1% 12.0 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 26.4% 0.0% 11.0 0.0