Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#139
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#189
Pace62.0#332
Improvement+4.4#26

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#179
First Shot-2.5#259
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#34
Layup/Dunks-0.9#205
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#113
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#346
Freethrows+4.2#3
Improvement+3.2#27

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#121
First Shot+0.8#151
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#110
Layups/Dunks+1.1#143
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#268
Freethrows+0.9#107
Improvement+1.2#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 12.6 14.7
.500 or above 0.5% 1.7% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 1.4% 4.8% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 38.3% 20.4% 42.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 18.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 8
Quad 22 - 73 - 15
Quad 35 - 48 - 19
Quad 43 - 211 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 283   The Citadel L 63-78 85%     0 - 1 -24.5 -14.5 -10.5
  Nov 12, 2021 43   @ West Virginia L 59-74 15%     0 - 2 -2.1 -4.6 +2.2
  Nov 16, 2021 256   UNC Wilmington W 59-51 80%     1 - 2 +0.5 -13.0 +14.1
  Nov 19, 2021 114   Towson W 63-59 50%     2 - 2 +5.6 -3.0 +9.1
  Nov 24, 2021 85   Vanderbilt L 52-68 40%     2 - 3 -11.8 -10.8 -3.0
  Nov 27, 2021 254   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 77-87 80%     2 - 4 -17.4 +0.2 -17.6
  Nov 30, 2021 91   Minnesota L 53-54 41%     2 - 5 +2.8 -9.4 +12.0
  Dec 03, 2021 67   @ Virginia L 56-57 20%     2 - 6 0 - 1 +9.5 +7.5 +1.8
  Dec 09, 2021 129   Colgate W 71-68 56%     3 - 6 +3.0 -0.3 +3.4
  Dec 12, 2021 137   Monmouth L 52-56 59%     3 - 7 -4.9 -15.6 +10.3
  Dec 18, 2021 92   @ St. John's W 59-57 25%     4 - 7 +10.8 -9.1 +19.9
  Dec 21, 2021 238   Jacksonville W 64-55 78%     5 - 7 +2.3 +1.0 +2.6
  Dec 28, 2021 65   Notre Dame L 67-68 35%     5 - 8 0 - 2 +4.6 +2.9 +1.6
  Jan 05, 2022 86   @ Louisville L 72-75 24%     5 - 9 0 - 3 +6.1 +8.9 -3.0
  Jan 08, 2022 138   Boston College W 69-67 60%     6 - 9 1 - 3 +1.0 +0.0 +1.2
  Jan 11, 2022 61   @ Syracuse L 61-77 19%     6 - 10 1 - 4 -5.1 -1.6 -5.9
  Jan 15, 2022 86   Louisville W 65-53 40%     7 - 10 2 - 4 +16.1 -1.5 +18.0
  Jan 19, 2022 67   Virginia L 61-66 35%     7 - 11 2 - 5 +0.5 +4.5 -5.0
  Jan 22, 2022 68   @ Clemson L 61-70 19%    
  Jan 25, 2022 61   Syracuse L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 29, 2022 138   @ Boston College L 63-66 39%    
  Feb 02, 2022 49   @ Wake Forest L 62-73 15%    
  Feb 05, 2022 32   Virginia Tech L 58-66 26%    
  Feb 07, 2022 32   @ Virginia Tech L 56-69 11%    
  Feb 09, 2022 42   @ Florida St. L 60-71 14%    
  Feb 12, 2022 97   North Carolina St. L 67-69 46%    
  Feb 16, 2022 34   @ North Carolina L 65-77 12%    
  Feb 19, 2022 125   Georgia Tech W 64-63 57%    
  Feb 22, 2022 58   Miami (FL) L 67-72 36%    
  Mar 01, 2022 10   Duke L 62-75 13%    
  Mar 05, 2022 65   @ Notre Dame L 61-70 19%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 1.2 0.2 2.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 2.3 0.9 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 3.6 2.6 0.3 7.4 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 5.6 5.9 1.3 0.0 14.0 12th
13th 0.0 1.8 7.8 9.3 3.0 0.1 22.1 13th
14th 0.0 2.0 8.8 10.6 3.8 0.3 25.5 14th
15th 2.7 8.2 8.3 3.3 0.4 0.0 22.9 15th
Total 2.7 10.3 19.0 22.8 20.1 13.6 7.0 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.1% 10.7% 10.7% 10.0 0.0 0.1
11-9 0.3% 2.0% 2.0% 10.0 0.0 0.3
10-10 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 1.1
9-11 3.2% 0.4% 0.4% 13.1 0.0 0.0 3.2
8-12 7.0% 7.0
7-13 13.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 13.6
6-14 20.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.1
5-15 22.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 22.8
4-16 19.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 19.0
3-17 10.3% 10.3
2-18 2.7% 2.7
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.7%