Lamar
Western Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#335
Expected Predictive Rating-23.7#357
Pace65.3#282
Improvement-0.3#191

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#285
First Shot-5.1#315
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#110
Layup/Dunks-1.3#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#336
Freethrows-2.9#340
Improvement-0.9#239

Defense
Total Defense-7.3#343
First Shot-6.8#343
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#213
Layups/Dunks+1.8#112
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#282
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#341
Freethrows-2.2#304
Improvement+0.6#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 73.4% 49.5% 82.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dixie St. (Away) - 26.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 100 - 14
Quad 42 - 112 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 163   @ Miami (OH) L 75-104 10%     0 - 1 -26.4 -2.5 -22.8
  Nov 15, 2021 125   @ Georgia Tech L 66-75 7%     0 - 2 -3.7 +0.7 -4.8
  Nov 19, 2021 293   Stetson L 59-60 45%     0 - 3 -11.3 -8.9 -2.5
  Nov 21, 2021 309   @ Southern Miss L 75-82 30%     0 - 4 -13.0 -0.9 -11.9
  Nov 24, 2021 318   @ Texas San Antonio L 73-79 33%     0 - 5 -13.1 -1.9 -11.2
  Nov 27, 2021 14   @ Texas Tech L 57-89 1%     0 - 6 -14.1 -2.2 -12.8
  Dec 02, 2021 48   @ Mississippi St. L 60-75 2%     0 - 7 -2.6 -1.1 -3.4
  Dec 11, 2021 220   @ Texas Arlington L 47-56 15%     0 - 8 -9.3 -20.4 +10.5
  Dec 15, 2021 150   @ Texas St. L 47-67 9%     0 - 9 -16.7 -14.9 -6.0
  Dec 18, 2021 251   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 53-57 19%     0 - 10 -6.2 -13.8 +7.1
  Dec 20, 2021 258   Louisiana Monroe L 77-80 35%     0 - 11 -10.5 -2.3 -8.2
  Dec 30, 2021 212   @ Sam Houston St. L 64-75 14%     0 - 12 0 - 1 -10.8 -0.1 -12.0
  Jan 13, 2022 212   Sam Houston St. L 56-73 26%     0 - 13 0 - 2 -21.8 -13.3 -10.1
  Jan 15, 2022 350   Chicago St. L 56-67 70%     0 - 14 0 - 3 -28.0 -15.6 -14.0
  Jan 17, 2022 162   @ Stephen F. Austin L 78-86 10%     0 - 15 0 - 4 -5.3 +8.1 -13.5
  Jan 20, 2022 297   @ Dixie St. L 72-78 27%    
  Jan 22, 2022 128   @ Utah Valley L 60-76 5%    
  Jan 26, 2022 171   Tarleton St. L 59-68 22%    
  Jan 29, 2022 141   Abilene Christian L 64-74 18%    
  Feb 02, 2022 276   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-79 23%    
  Feb 10, 2022 236   @ California Baptist L 66-76 16%    
  Feb 12, 2022 160   @ Seattle L 64-78 9%    
  Feb 19, 2022 162   Stephen F. Austin L 65-74 21%    
  Feb 24, 2022 141   @ Abilene Christian L 61-76 7%    
  Feb 26, 2022 171   @ Tarleton St. L 57-71 10%    
  Mar 02, 2022 276   UT Rio Grande Valley L 74-76 42%    
  Mar 05, 2022 236   California Baptist L 69-74 34%    
Projected Record 2 - 25 2 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 2.4 9th
10th 0.2 2.2 2.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.4 4.5 5.8 2.2 0.2 13.1 11th
12th 0.1 8.4 11.2 3.5 0.3 0.0 23.5 12th
13th 9.9 22.5 17.0 4.4 0.4 0.0 54.1 13th
Total 9.9 22.6 25.7 20.4 11.9 6.1 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.0% 0.0
8-10 0.2% 0.2
7-11 0.7% 0.7
6-12 2.4% 2.4
5-13 6.1% 6.1
4-14 11.9% 11.9
3-15 20.4% 20.4
2-16 25.7% 25.7
1-17 22.6% 22.6
0-18 9.9% 9.9
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 9.9%