Oregon St.
Pac-12
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#147
Expected Predictive Rating+4.5#114
Pace65.0#292
Improvement-0.2#194

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#222
First Shot+1.0#150
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#309
Layup/Dunks-2.2#251
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#220
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#251
Freethrows+6.0#5
Improvement-0.3#205

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#98
First Shot+5.7#34
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#335
Layups/Dunks-2.0#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#3
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#111
Freethrows+0.6#146
Improvement+0.1#175
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.7 15.0
.500 or above 12.7% 13.6% 3.3%
.500 or above in Conference 5.3% 5.6% 2.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 46.1% 44.7% 61.5%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Home) - 91.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 10
Quad 22 - 73 - 16
Quad 33 - 26 - 18
Quad 45 - 111 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 189   Troy W 81-80 2OT 70%     1 - 0 -3.3 -11.6 +8.1
  Nov 14, 2023 114   Appalachian St. W 81-71 OT 51%     2 - 0 +10.7 +6.7 +3.6
  Nov 18, 2023 48   Nebraska L 63-84 20%     2 - 1 -11.0 -2.7 -9.9
  Nov 22, 2023 7   Baylor L 72-88 8%     2 - 2 +0.5 +1.0 -0.1
  Nov 24, 2023 50   Pittsburgh L 51-76 21%     2 - 3 -15.3 -14.7 -1.9
  Nov 30, 2023 211   UC Davis W 71-59 72%     3 - 3 +6.8 -4.6 +11.2
  Dec 04, 2023 332   Cal Poly W 71-56 92%    
  Dec 09, 2023 181   Utah Valley W 68-63 67%    
  Dec 17, 2023 304   Texas San Antonio W 78-66 87%    
  Dec 21, 2023 274   Idaho St. W 69-59 83%    
  Dec 28, 2023 41   UCLA L 59-66 25%    
  Dec 30, 2023 32   USC L 64-72 23%    
  Jan 04, 2024 62   @ Washington St. L 60-70 17%    
  Jan 06, 2024 57   @ Washington L 66-77 17%    
  Jan 11, 2024 101   Stanford L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 18, 2024 38   @ Utah L 62-75 12%    
  Jan 20, 2024 40   @ Colorado L 62-75 11%    
  Jan 25, 2024 2   Arizona L 65-81 8%    
  Jan 27, 2024 81   Arizona St. L 64-66 42%    
  Feb 01, 2024 41   @ UCLA L 56-69 12%    
  Feb 03, 2024 32   @ USC L 61-75 11%    
  Feb 08, 2024 62   Washington St. L 63-67 35%    
  Feb 10, 2024 57   Washington L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 14, 2024 81   @ Arizona St. L 61-69 23%    
  Feb 17, 2024 49   Oregon L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 22, 2024 140   @ California L 65-68 38%    
  Feb 24, 2024 101   @ Stanford L 65-72 27%    
  Feb 28, 2024 49   @ Oregon L 64-76 15%    
  Mar 07, 2024 38   Utah L 65-72 25%    
  Mar 09, 2024 40   Colorado L 65-72 26%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 4.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.4 1.0 0.1 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.9 4.3 1.6 0.2 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.0 5.4 2.4 0.2 0.0 15.3 10th
11th 0.2 1.8 4.9 8.3 7.1 2.6 0.4 0.0 25.3 11th
12th 2.1 6.2 9.7 9.5 5.0 1.6 0.2 34.4 12th
Total 2.1 6.4 11.4 14.6 15.3 14.4 11.5 9.0 5.9 4.0 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0%
15-5 26.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 5.6% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 73.9% 73.9% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 73.9%
14-6 0.2% 52.2% 6.7% 45.6% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 48.8%
13-7 0.3% 32.6% 3.9% 28.7% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 29.8%
12-8 0.6% 14.9% 2.2% 12.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 13.0%
11-9 1.4% 7.1% 4.0% 3.1% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.3 3.3%
10-10 2.8% 2.0% 2.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
9-11 4.0% 2.5% 2.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9
8-12 5.9% 1.1% 1.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.9
7-13 9.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 8.9
6-14 11.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 11.4
5-15 14.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.3
4-16 15.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.3
3-17 14.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.5
2-18 11.4% 11.4
1-19 6.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.4
0-20 2.1% 2.1
Total 100% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 99.1 0.3%