Bradley
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.9#107
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#143
Pace67.5#235
Improvement+2.4#52

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#133
First Shot+3.0#90
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#301
Layup/Dunks-1.8#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#79
Freethrows+1.7#91
Improvement+1.8#55

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#92
First Shot+1.0#133
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#60
Layups/Dunks+5.1#35
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#167
Freethrows-2.5#325
Improvement+0.6#138
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.5% 12.9% 8.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.4 12.4 12.7
.500 or above 88.3% 92.5% 78.9%
.500 or above in Conference 82.9% 88.4% 70.4%
Conference Champion 13.4% 16.6% 6.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 1.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round11.5% 12.9% 8.4%
Second Round1.5% 1.8% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Illinois (Home) - 69.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 52 - 6
Quad 37 - 49 - 11
Quad 410 - 219 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 112 St. Bonaventure L 63-69 51%     0 - 1 -2.5 -4.1 +1.3
  Sat, Nov 8 326 Central Michigan W 85-54 93%     1 - 1 +18.2 +7.2 +11.8
  Wed, Nov 12 256 Tennessee Martin L 67-78 87%     1 - 2 -19.4 -11.6 -7.3
  Sat, Nov 15 94 @San Francisco L 64-75 32%     1 - 3 -2.4 -3.4 +0.7
  Wed, Nov 19 303 Umass Lowell W 87-77 90%     2 - 3 -0.4 +12.3 -12.3
  Mon, Nov 24 254 Princeton W 88-64 81%     3 - 3 +18.7 +14.8 +4.0
  Tue, Nov 25 84 UC San Diego L 77-87 39%     3 - 4 -3.4 +7.2 -10.5
  Wed, Nov 26 108 Liberty W 74-64 50%     4 - 4 +13.9 +8.5 +6.2
  Tue, Dec 2 150 Washington St. W 64-60 72%     5 - 4 +1.8 -9.0 +10.8
  Sat, Dec 6 322 Northern Illinois W 84-55 93%     6 - 4 +16.4 +1.0 +14.3
  Thu, Dec 18 194 @Indiana St. W 108-99 3OT 62%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +9.8 +9.0 -1.5
  Sun, Dec 21 135 Southern Illinois W 75-70 69%    
  Mon, Dec 29 268 Evansville W 76-63 88%    
  Thu, Jan 1 87 @Belmont L 73-78 31%    
  Sun, Jan 4 96 @Murray St. L 77-81 34%    
  Wed, Jan 7 136 Drake W 73-67 70%    
  Sat, Jan 10 93 Northern Iowa W 64-63 55%    
  Tue, Jan 13 268 @Evansville W 73-66 73%    
  Sat, Jan 17 88 @Illinois St. L 69-74 32%    
  Wed, Jan 21 194 Indiana St. W 78-69 80%    
  Sat, Jan 24 192 Illinois-Chicago W 77-68 80%    
  Sat, Jan 31 136 @Drake L 70-71 48%    
  Tue, Feb 3 213 Valparaiso W 74-64 83%    
  Fri, Feb 6 93 @Northern Iowa L 61-66 33%    
  Mon, Feb 9 87 Belmont W 76-75 52%    
  Sun, Feb 15 135 @Southern Illinois L 72-73 48%    
  Wed, Feb 18 213 @Valparaiso W 71-67 65%    
  Sat, Feb 21 88 Illinois St. W 72-71 53%    
  Tue, Feb 24 192 @Illinois-Chicago W 74-71 61%    
  Sun, Mar 1 96 Murray St. W 80-78 56%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.4 4.2 2.6 1.2 0.3 0.1 13.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.6 4.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 15.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.6 6.5 4.1 1.0 0.1 15.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.8 6.7 4.0 0.8 0.0 16.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.6 5.9 3.2 0.5 0.0 14.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.8 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.9 4.9 7.5 10.4 13.0 14.4 14.0 11.9 8.9 5.8 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 99.7% 1.2    1.1 0.1
17-3 90.9% 2.6    2.1 0.4 0.0
16-4 71.3% 4.2    2.6 1.4 0.2
15-5 38.1% 3.4    1.2 1.5 0.6 0.1
14-6 12.4% 1.5    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-7 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.4% 13.4 7.7 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 30.3% 29.3% 1.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.4%
18-2 1.2% 32.2% 31.9% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.4%
17-3 2.9% 29.5% 29.5% 11.8 0.3 0.6 0.0 2.0
16-4 5.8% 23.9% 23.9% 11.9 0.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.4
15-5 8.9% 20.3% 20.3% 12.2 0.1 1.2 0.5 0.0 7.1
14-6 11.9% 16.7% 16.7% 12.4 0.1 1.1 0.7 0.1 9.9
13-7 14.0% 13.2% 13.2% 12.6 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 12.2
12-8 14.4% 9.6% 9.6% 12.8 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 13.0
11-9 13.0% 6.9% 6.9% 13.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 12.1
10-10 10.4% 4.5% 4.5% 13.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 9.9
9-11 7.5% 2.9% 2.9% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.3
8-12 4.9% 2.5% 2.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.8
7-13 2.9% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.8
6-14 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
5-15 0.5% 0.5
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 11.5% 11.5% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 5.5 3.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 88.5 0.0%