Bradley
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.6 #121
Expected Predictive Rating +3.0 #115
Pace 68.6 #183
Improvement -0.4 #204

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #114 C C- B+ B- C-
Defense #145 C C+ B C- A

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #293 1.20 #116 -1.6 #244
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #122 0.64 #336 -0.4 #199
Three Pointers 43% #149 1.07 #100 +1.9 #114
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #180 -0.1 #180
Freethrows 0.33 #117 75% #97 0.24 #103
Second Chance 27.6% #267 1.07 #111 0.30 #213
Turnovers 14.0% #28
Total Offense +2.1 #114

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% #346 1.16 #182 +4.8 #45
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #15 0.78 #224 -3.3 #357
Three Pointers 41% #167 1.11 #309 -2.1 #281
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #201 -0.6 #202
Freethrows 0.33 #274 72% #202 0.24 #267
Second Chance 30.6% #184 0.95 #74 0.29 #119
Turnovers 19.4% #56
Total Defense +0.5 #145

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.2% #264 -3.2% #14
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.0% #159 4.6% #270
Possession Length 16.9 #127 17.4 #203
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #194 0.16 #146
Improvement +3.5 #33 -3.9 #345

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 8.8% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.6 12.8
.500 or above 97.2% 99.1% 92.4%
.500 or above in Conference 94.5% 97.9% 85.9%
Conference Champion 5.0% 6.4% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round8.2% 8.8% 6.8%
Second Round0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Valparaiso (Home) - 71.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 53 - 7
Quad 38 - 510 - 12
Quad 48 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 142 St. Bonaventure L 63 - 69 55% -4  0 - 1 -5 -7 C F A +2 B+ B B
 Sat, Nov 8 293 Central Michigan W 85 - 54 89% +14  1 - 1 +20 +9 A+ F B- +12 A B+ A-
 Wed, Nov 12 202 Tennessee Martin L 67 - 78 78% -2  1 - 2 -17 -9 F C+ C- -7 F F+ A+
 Sat, Nov 15 97 @San Francisco L 64 - 75 29% -2  1 - 3 -3 -3 F D C +0 F A+ A+
 Wed, Nov 19 314 Umass Lowell W 87 - 77 91% -0  2 - 3 -2 +12 B- A D+ -14 D- B D+
 Mon, Nov 24 214 Princeton W 88 - 64 71% +8  3 - 3 +21 +15 A+ F B- +6 D+ F+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 138 UC San Diego L 77 - 87 55% -3  3 - 4 -9 +6 C A+ F+ -15 C F D
 Wed, Nov 26 89 Liberty W 74 - 64 37% +10  4 - 4 +16 +8 B A+ F +9 B+ B A+
 Tue, Dec 2 122 Washington St. W 64 - 60 62% -3  5 - 4 +4 -10 F C A +14 B+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 308 Northern Illinois W 84 - 55 90% +14  6 - 4 +17 +4 B D- A- +12 A+ D+ B-
 Thu, Dec 18 199 @Indiana St. W 108 - 99 3OT 58% +1  7 - 4 1 - 0 +9 +8 C- C A+ -1 B- B+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 137 Southern Illinois W 73 - 69 66% +4  8 - 4 2 - 0 +2 +1 C B- D+ +1 B+ C C+
 Mon, Dec 29 270 Evansville W 76 - 68 86% -2  9 - 4 3 - 0 -1 +2 D+ F A+ -3 B- D F+
 Thu, Jan 1 74 @Belmont L 78 - 88 22% -3  9 - 5 3 - 1 +1 +9 A C F+ -8 C- F+ A-
 Sun, Jan 4 106 @Murray St. L 66 - 86 33% -14  9 - 6 3 - 2 -13 -5 F C- A+ -8 F B B
 Wed, Jan 7 163 Drake W 93 - 66 72% +20  10 - 6 4 - 2 +24 +13 B+ B- A +9 B- A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 10 110 Northern Iowa W 75 - 69 58% +2  11 - 6 5 - 2 +7 +11 B C A+ -4 B C F
 Tue, Jan 13 270 @Evansville W 94 - 90 OT 71% -3  12 - 6 6 - 2 +1 +15 B- D A+ -14 F C- C-
 Sat, Jan 17 86 @Illinois St. L 62 - 88 26% -13  12 - 7 6 - 3 -17 -2 F C- C- -16 D- D- F+
 Wed, Jan 21 199 Indiana St. W 75 - 68 78% -3  13 - 7 7 - 3 +1 -1 F C A+ +2 D- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 135 Illinois-Chicago L 70 - 85 65% -8  13 - 8 7 - 4 -16 +2 C+ D A+ -20 F B+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 163 @Drake W 87 - 73 50% +8  14 - 8 8 - 4 +17 +22 A+ A- B- -4 B D D+
 Tue, Feb 3 160 Valparaiso W 74 - 68 72%
 Fri, Feb 6 110 @Northern Iowa L 63 - 67 35%
 Mon, Feb 9 74 Belmont L 78 - 80 42%
 Sun, Feb 15 137 @Southern Illinois L 72 - 74 43%
 Wed, Feb 18 160 @Valparaiso L 71 - 72 49%
 Sat, Feb 21 86 Illinois St. L 72 - 73 48%
 Tue, Feb 24 135 @Illinois-Chicago L 72 - 74 42%
 Sun, Mar 1 106 Murray St. W 83 - 82 55%
Totals 18 - 12 12 - 8 +3 +2 C C- B+ +1 C C+ B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.8 2.3 0.6 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 7.6 6.8 1.4 0.1 17.3 2nd
3rd 1.0 9.4 9.4 1.5 0.0 21.3 3rd
4th 0.4 7.0 11.4 1.9 20.8 4th
5th 0.1 3.8 11.3 2.9 0.0 18.2 5th
6th 0.9 6.4 2.9 0.1 10.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.8 2.6 0.1 5.8 7th
8th 0.4 0.9 0.1 1.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.7 4.8 13.3 22.4 25.1 19.3 10.1 3.7 0.6 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 91.9% 0.6    0.4 0.2
15-5 62.9% 2.3    1.1 1.1 0.1
14-6 17.4% 1.8    0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 1.7 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.6% 14.5% 14.5% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.5
15-5 3.7% 17.7% 17.7% 12.0 0.0 0.6 0.1 3.1
14-6 10.1% 14.5% 14.5% 12.3 0.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 8.6
13-7 19.3% 11.1% 11.1% 12.5 0.0 1.2 0.8 0.1 17.2
12-8 25.1% 8.2% 8.2% 12.8 0.7 1.2 0.2 23.1
11-9 22.4% 5.2% 5.2% 13.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 21.2
10-10 13.3% 4.2% 4.2% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 12.8
9-11 4.8% 1.5% 1.5% 14.3 0.1 0.0 4.7
8-12 0.7% 4.3% 4.3% 15.0 0.0 0.7
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 12.6 91.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 0.3%