Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.2 #236
Expected Predictive Rating -5.9 #254
Pace 64.5 #297
Improvement +3.7 #32

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #272 D C D+ B- D-
Defense #197 C- C C D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #314 1.12 #222 -3.6 #305
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% #36 0.70 #267 +2.3 #69
Three Pointers 38% #248 0.94 #271 -3.1 #288
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #305 -4.4 #306
Freethrows 0.34 #88 73% #155 0.25 #92
Second Chance 33.4% #101 0.97 #289 0.32 #166
Turnovers 17.9% #276
Total Offense -3.4 #272

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #72 1.31 #337 -5.7 #349
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #220 0.70 #100 +1.1 #109
Three Pointers 38% #255 0.96 #111 +2.4 #100
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #257 -2.2 #257
Freethrows 0.36 #330 67% #14 0.24 #287
Second Chance 29.9% #149 1.03 #159 0.31 #155
Turnovers 16.1% #206
Total Defense -0.8 #197

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.8% #332 1.0% #260
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.9% #279 3.3% #244
Possession Length 18.7 #306 17.3 #172
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #174 0.20 #287
Improvement +0.6 #150 +3.1 #30

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.7% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 15.6
.500 or above 10.4% 20.0% 5.7%
.500 or above in Conference 39.0% 59.3% 28.9%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 1.2% 5.9%
First Four0.5% 0.3% 0.6%
First Round1.7% 2.6% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Away) - 33.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 83 - 12
Quad 410 - 613 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 245 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 86 - 90 40% -6  0 - 1 -6 +1 C C- F -6 C- C- F+
 Tue, Nov 11 21 @Virginia L 53 - 91 2% -24  0 - 2 -18 -9 F C+ C- -11 D+ F A
 Fri, Nov 14 267 @Brown W 72 - 63 45% +4  1 - 2 +6 +9 D A D- -2 F D+ A+
 Sun, Nov 16 324 Holy Cross L 61 - 67 72% -0  1 - 3 -16 -5 F+ C+ F+ -12 D- F B
 Tue, Nov 18 132 @Boston College L 52 - 63 20% -12  1 - 4 -6 -10 D- C+ F +3 A- C- C
 Fri, Nov 21 294 @Norfolk St. L 60 - 62 52% -2  1 - 5 -7 -5 C D F+ -2 C- B+ F+
 Tue, Nov 25 331 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 74 - 68 63% +10  2 - 5 -2 +10 B- C- A- -11 C D- F
 Wed, Dec 3 320 Loyola Maryland W 93 - 71 80% +15  3 - 5 +9 +8 A+ F D -0 A F A
 Sat, Dec 13 275 Howard L 57 - 61 59% -3  3 - 6 -10 -13 F F B- +3 D+ A+ C-
 Thu, Dec 18 337 Jackson St. W 84 - 77 75% +5  4 - 6 -4 +4 D+ A- F -8 F C D+
 Fri, Dec 19 288 Grambling St. L 72 - 81 62% -7  4 - 7 -16 +1 B- F D -18 F F C+
 Mon, Dec 29 241 Stony Brook W 62 - 59 62% -2  5 - 7 1 - 0 -4 -9 F+ B- D +5 D- A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 164 Towson W 63 - 62 47% +1  6 - 7 2 - 0 -2 +1 C- C+ F -3 B+ D+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 121 @UNC Wilmington L 45 - 49 18% -4  6 - 8 2 - 1 +2 -17 F F C +18 B+ A B
 Thu, Jan 8 206 @Campbell L 72 - 86 33% -13  6 - 9 2 - 2 -14 -6 D- D+ F -7 D A+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 162 @College of Charleston L 70 - 74 25% -5  6 - 10 2 - 3 -1 +6 D- B C+ -8 D D+ D-
 Mon, Jan 19 292 N.C. A&T W 82 - 61 73% +5  7 - 10 3 - 3 +11 +11 D A+ A+ +2 C A+ D-
 Thu, Jan 22 184 Monmouth W 65 - 63 53% +3  8 - 10 4 - 3 -3 -2 F B+ C- -0 C- D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 121 UNC Wilmington L 67 - 75 36% -3  8 - 11 4 - 4 -8 +5 C+ B+ C -15 D- F+ D
 Thu, Jan 29 201 @Drexel L 62 - 67 33%
 Sat, Jan 31 164 @Towson L 60 - 67 27%
 Thu, Feb 5 191 Elon W 74 - 73 54%
 Sat, Feb 7 133 William & Mary L 74 - 77 40%
 Fri, Feb 13 292 N.C. A&T W 74 - 71 62%
 Thu, Feb 19 127 @Hofstra L 65 - 74 20%
 Sat, Feb 21 241 @Stony Brook L 66 - 69 40%
 Thu, Feb 26 162 College of Charleston L 71 - 72 46%
 Sat, Feb 28 261 Northeastern W 77 - 73 65%
 Tue, Mar 3 133 @William & Mary L 71 - 80 21%
Totals 12 - 17 8 - 10 -4 -3 D C D+ -1 C- C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 4.1 3rd
4th 0.4 4.1 1.5 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.1 3.2 4.4 0.3 8.0 5th
6th 0.8 7.7 1.8 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.1 4.9 6.4 0.2 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.6 9.5 1.8 0.0 13.0 8th
9th 0.4 6.6 6.6 0.2 13.8 9th
10th 0.2 3.5 8.5 1.3 13.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.8 6.4 2.9 0.1 11.2 11th
12th 0.3 2.2 2.0 0.2 4.7 12th
13th 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.2 13th
Total 0.8 4.7 12.5 19.8 23.3 19.8 11.8 5.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 88.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 39.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 12.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.3% 13.8% 13.8% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 1.7% 12.0% 12.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
11-7 5.4% 6.2% 6.2% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 5.0
10-8 11.8% 3.9% 3.9% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 11.4
9-9 19.8% 2.0% 2.0% 15.7 0.1 0.3 19.4
8-10 23.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 23.0
7-11 19.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 19.6
6-12 12.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.4
5-13 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.7
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.4 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%