IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.7	#136
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.7	#189
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.3	#153

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.4	#124

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.1%	2.4%	0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.4%	0.5%	0.0%
Average Seed	10.9	10.8	11.5

.500 or above	62.8%	68.4%	39.1%
.500 or above in Conference	50.4%	54.1%	34.8%
Conference Champion	1.9%	2.2%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	5.7%	4.7%	9.7%

First Four	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
First Round	2.0%	2.3%	0.7%
Second Round	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Washington (Home) - 80.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	2 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 3	6 - 6	8 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 2	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2025	247	Eastern Washington	W	75-66	81%
Nov 08, 2025	364	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	89-62	99%
Nov 11, 2025	157	@ UTEP	L	69-70	46%
Nov 14, 2025	130	Troy	W	69-66	60%
Nov 17, 2025	135	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	67-70	39%
Nov 24, 2025	139	Florida Atlantic	W	74-73	52%
Nov 28, 2025	288	Stony Brook	W	74-62	85%
Dec 02, 2025	72	Saint Louis	L	69-72	39%
Dec 16, 2025	117	UC San Diego	W	69-67	57%
Dec 19, 2025	195	North Alabama	W	73-66	72%
Dec 23, 2025	355	Morgan St.	W	83-65	94%
Dec 28, 2025	49	St. Mary's	L	60-66	29%
Dec 30, 2025	219	Pacific	W	74-66	75%
Jan 02, 2026	124	@ Washington St.	L	73-76	38%
Jan 04, 2026	19	@ Gonzaga	L	67-85	6%
Jan 08, 2026	75	San Francisco	L	69-72	42%
Jan 10, 2026	105	@ Santa Clara	L	70-76	31%
Jan 14, 2026	113	@ Oregon St.	L	65-70	34%
Jan 17, 2026	262	Portland	W	78-68	79%
Jan 21, 2026	121	@ Seattle	L	65-69	38%
Jan 28, 2026	113	Oregon St.	W	68-67	54%
Jan 31, 2026	105	Santa Clara	W	73-72	50%
Feb 03, 2026	75	@ San Francisco	L	66-75	24%
Feb 07, 2026	183	San Diego	W	78-72	70%
Feb 11, 2026	219	@ Pacific	W	71-69	57%
Feb 14, 2026	239	@ Pepperdine	W	74-71	60%
Feb 21, 2026	183	@ San Diego	W	76-75	51%
Feb 25, 2026	124	Washington St.	W	76-73	58%
Feb 28, 2026	121	Seattle	W	68-66	58%
Projected Record						16 - 13	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0		1.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.8	1.9	1.9	1.1	0.3	0.0			6.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	2.0	3.6	2.7	0.8	0.1	0.0				9.6	3rd
4th									0.0	0.5	3.0	4.7	2.5	0.6	0.0	0.0					11.3	4th
5th								0.0	0.6	3.3	5.0	2.3	0.4	0.0							11.6	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	3.2	5.1	2.3	0.2	0.0								11.4	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	3.0	5.4	2.4	0.2	0.0									11.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.7	5.1	2.3	0.3	0.0										10.7	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	2.3	4.2	2.2	0.3	0.0											9.2	9th
10th			0.0	0.4	2.1	3.4	1.9	0.3	0.0												8.0	10th
11th		0.1	0.5	1.7	2.2	1.2	0.2	0.0													5.9	11th
12th	0.1	0.5	1.0	0.9	0.4	0.0															3.0	12th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.5	3.1	5.0	7.2	9.3	11.1	11.8	11.6	11.0	9.4	7.3	5.3	3.1	1.8	0.8	0.2	0.0			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	91.7%	0.2		0.2	0.1
16-2	63.8%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0
15-3	33.1%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	14.0%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	2.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0
12-6	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.9%	1.9		0.8	0.8	0.2	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		83.2%	16.8%	66.4%	6.8					0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0	0.0						0.0		79.8%
17-1	0.2%		58.3%	21.7%	36.7%	8.5				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		46.8%
16-2	0.8%		36.7%	22.1%	14.6%	10.0							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1						0.5		18.7%
15-3	1.8%		21.2%	15.9%	5.4%	10.7								0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					1.4		6.4%
14-4	3.1%		11.5%	10.6%	0.9%	11.0										0.0	0.0	0.3	0.1					2.7		1.0%
13-5	5.3%		7.5%	7.2%	0.3%	11.4										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0				4.9		0.3%
12-6	7.3%		3.5%	3.5%	0.1%	11.6												0.1	0.1	0.0				7.0		0.1%
11-7	9.4%		1.3%	1.3%		11.7											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0				9.3
10-8	11.0%		0.9%	0.9%		12.2												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			10.9
9-9	11.6%		0.2%	0.2%		12.5												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		11.6
8-10	11.8%		0.2%	0.2%		12.4													0.0	0.0				11.8
7-11	11.1%																							11.1
6-12	9.3%																							9.3
5-13	7.2%																							7.2
4-14	5.0%																							5.0
3-15	3.1%																							3.1
2-16	1.5%																							1.5
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		2.1%	1.7%	0.4%	10.9				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0		97.9		0.4%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	4.0				100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	100.0%	4.5				49.4	49.4	1.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	50.0%	10.0										50.0