Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.2 154
Expected Predictive Rating -1.1 177
Pace 68.8 174
Improvement -4.2 333

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 215 C+ C- D+ D- D
Defense C+ 118 B C C- C B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 327 B- 61% 102 -2.3 268
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 174 C+ 39% 133 +1.8 85
Three Pointers 43% 144 C+ 35% 129 +1.6 119
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -0.9 301 C+ +2.0 108
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 139
Second Chance D+ 27.4% 267 C+ 1.05 143 C- 0.29 235
Turnovers D+ 18.2% 268
Freethrows D 0.27 305 D- 68% 323 D- 0.18 329
Total Offense C- -1.7 215

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 176 B+ 51% 34 -2.5 98
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 38 C+ 37% 139 +1.9 323
Three Pointers 35% 339 B- 32% 103 -3.9 36
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.7 66 B -3.7 50
1st FG Attempt B 0.93 47
Second Chance C- 31.6% 227 C+ 1.01 150 C 0.32 200
Turnovers C- 15.9% 236
Freethrows C+ 0.29 147 D+ 74% 285 C 0.22 173
Total Defense C+ +1.9 118

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.3 169 17.3 194
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 155 0.13 61
Improvement +1.2 #125 -5.5 #357

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.3 n/a
.500 or above 9% 17% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 4% 1% 8%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: San Diego (Away) - 52.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 31 - 7
Quad 36 - 57 - 13
Quad 47 - 414 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 208 Eastern Washington W 70 - 62 71% +1  55% 1 - 0 C+ +2 F -11 F+ B+ D+ A+ +13 A- A+ C
 Sat, Nov 8 316 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94 - 72 88% +9  89% 2 - 0 B +9 A +11 A+ F A+ C- -2 C- D+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 239 @UTEP W 71 - 58 56% +3  63% 3 - 0 B+ +12 B- +4 A A+ F A- +9 A- B+ F+
 Fri, Nov 14 142 Troy W 74 - 63 57% +3  78% 4 - 0 B +9 C- -2 A- F B- A +11 B+ B A+
 Mon, Nov 17 143 @UC Santa Barbara W 78 - 74 OT 35% -3  27% 5 - 0 B +8 D+ -3 C- D D+ A +11 A+ C F
 Mon, Nov 24 116 Florida Atlantic L 65 - 76 39% -7  2% 5 - 1 D+ -8 D+ -3 C- D- C+ D -6 D C+ B
 Tue, Nov 25 211 Ohio W 70 - 58 62% +4  51% 6 - 1 B +9 F+ -9 D- C- F A+ +18 A+ B A+
 Fri, Nov 28 217 Stony Brook L 68 - 71 73% -6  26% 6 - 2 D -9 D- -8 D+ B F C- -2 C+ C- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 22 Saint Louis L 70 - 91 10% -12  3% 6 - 3 D+ -7 D -5 C+ C+ D C -0 B+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 138 UC San Diego L 57 - 67 57% -3  25% 6 - 4 D- -12 F -18 C F F B+ +6 B- D A+
 Fri, Dec 19 339 North Alabama W 91 - 57 91% +22  99% 7 - 4 A +19 B+ +9 B+ A+ B- A +11 A+ A- F
 Tue, Dec 23 352 Morgan St. W 83 - 56 93% +16  99% 8 - 4 B +10 C- -1 B+ C- F+ A +11 A+ F A
 Sun, Dec 28 41 St. Mary's L 73 - 78 17% -1  24% 8 - 5 0 - 1 B- +5 A+ +17 A A+ A+ F -12 D+ F F
 Tue, Dec 30 118 Pacific W 80 - 71 51% -1  34% 9 - 5 1 - 1 B +9 B +6 A+ F+ C+ B- +3 A+ C- D+
 Fri, Jan 2 126 @Washington St. L 76 - 78 31% +1  49% 9 - 6 1 - 2 C+ +3 C +1 C- D+ A- C+ +2 D A+ C-
 Sun, Jan 4 11 @Gonzaga L 47 - 82 3% -15  19% 9 - 7 1 - 3 D- -13 F -17 F D B- B- +4 C+ C+ D
 Thu, Jan 8 112 San Francisco W 84 - 82 2OT 50% +1  45% 10 - 7 2 - 3 C+ +2 D+ -4 C D- B+ B +5 A+ D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 44 @Santa Clara L 72 - 103 9% -17  0% 10 - 8 2 - 4 F+ -16 D -4 D- C+ C D- -9 B- F F
 Wed, Jan 14 157 @Oregon St. L 70 - 76 39% -1  39% 10 - 9 2 - 5 C- -3 D+ -4 F A F C+ +1 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 205 Portland L 58 - 71 71% -11  5% 10 - 10 2 - 6 F -19 F -18 F D+ F C -0 C+ A- D
 Wed, Jan 21 127 @Seattle L 59 - 69 31% -12  7% 10 - 11 2 - 7 C- -5 D- -6 A- F F C+ +1 A- D+ F
 Wed, Jan 28 157 Oregon St. L 69 - 72 62% -0  42% 10 - 12 2 - 8 D+ -6 D+ -4 B- D C+ C- -3 F+ D- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 44 Santa Clara L 73 - 104 20% -17  0% 10 - 13 2 - 9 F -22 D- -7 C- D+ F F -12 D+ F C
 Wed, Feb 4 112 @San Francisco W 84 - 75 28% +9  99% 11 - 13 3 - 9 A- +15 A +11 A D D+ B- +4 A+ B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 7 219 San Diego W 83 - 63 73% +17  99% 12 - 13 4 - 9 B+ +14 A +13 A D+ A+ B- +3 A- C+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 118 @Pacific L 59 - 65 29% -2  50% 12 - 14 4 - 10 C +0 D- -6 C+ D- F+ B +5 C+ B- F+
 Sat, Feb 14 290 @Pepperdine L 89 - 90 67% +2  67% 12 - 15 4 - 11 D+ -5 A- +11 B B+ A+ F -16 F D D-
 Sat, Feb 21 219 @San Diego W 76 - 75 52%
 Wed, Feb 25 126 Washington St. W 76 - 75 53%
 Sat, Feb 28 127 Seattle W 67 - 66 54%
Totals 14 - 16 6 - 12 +0 C- -2 A+ C+ D C+ +2 C+ D- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- B- C+ C+ C+ 33% 38% 43% D C+ D+ C+ C- D+ D D- D- C+ B+ C+ B- B 39% 26% 35% B B C- C+ C C- C+ D+ C
1.06 61% 39% 35% +2 -1 1.04 27% 1.1 .29 18% .27 68% .18 1.06 51% 37% 32% -4 -1 0.93 32% 1.0 .32 16% .29 74% .20
Nov
5		 Eastern Washington F D C+ F+ F+ 36% 19% 45% D+ F+ D- A+ B+ D+ B F D+ A+ C B- A+ B+ 40% 36% 23% A A- A+ A+ A+ C F A F
0.99 53% 44% 29% -4 0 0.94 26% 1.8 .47 18% .37 62% .23 0.88 58% 35% 27% -3 -2 0.91 18% 0.5 .09 18% .44 68% .30
Nov
8		 Arkansas Pine Bluff A A+ F A+ A+ 23% 11% 66% D+ A+ D F F A+ B+ F D C- D C- B D+ 40% 30% 30% C+ C- F B+ D+ C A+ F B+
1.33 83% 0% 49% +16 0 1.34 31% 0.9 .28 8% .43 57% .25 1.02 62% 38% 31% 0 -1 1.00 33% 0.8 .28 18% .19 100% .19
Nov
11		 UTEP B- A D- A+ A+ 30% 20% 50% C A C+ A+ A+ F F A F A- A+ B+ F B+ 22% 43% 35% A+ A- B A B+ F+ B+ F+ B-
1.13 69% 33% 45% +11 -1 1.23 36% 1.4 .52 30% .11 80% .09 0.92 27% 27% 44% -6 -4 0.82 23% 0.8 .18 13% .22 75% .16
Nov
14		 Troy C- A- A+ B A 33% 33% 35% F+ A- F D+ F B- F F F A A+ F C+ B+ 40% 10% 50% C B+ B B B A+ F F+ F
1.07 67% 56% 37% +10 -2 1.18 19% 1.0 .19 16% .19 45% .09 0.91 41% 50% 33% -6 +2 0.93 30% 0.9 .27 29% .41 80% .32
Nov
17		 UC Santa Barbara D+ F D A+ C- 37% 21% 42% C- C- B- F D D+ A+ F C A B A+ A+ A+ 39% 24% 37% B A+ A- F C F B+ A- A-
1.06 47% 36% 45% +3 0 1.08 31% 0.7 .21 19% .48 52% .25 1.00 54% 27% 26% -9 0 0.84 27% 1.3 .33 8% .25 71% .18
Nov
24		 Florida Atlantic D+ D+ F A C- 43% 22% 35% D+ C- C+ F D- C+ F B- F+ D C- F D- F+ 30% 22% 48% B+ D F A+ C+ B B- F C-
1.01 52% 18% 41% -3 0 0.96 29% 0.6 .18 15% .22 75% .16 1.18 60% 55% 38% +7 -1 1.14 45% 0.8 .36 20% .27 86% .23
Nov
25		 Ohio F+ C- A F F+ 38% 19% 42% C D- B- F+ C- F C- D+ D+ A+ A+ A B- A+ 37% 20% 43% D+ A+ C- A B A+ F A+ F
0.97 55% 50% 23% -6 0 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 22% .30 71% .21 0.81 29% 33% 30% -14 0 0.74 29% 0.8 .22 24% .53 59% .31
Nov
28		 Stony Brook D- B+ F F+ D 38% 13% 50% B D+ A- C+ B F A A A+ C- A+ F B C+ 38% 21% 40% C+ C+ B F C- D- F F F
1.00 67% 17% 29% -3 +1 0.98 39% 0.9 .35 22% .38 80% .30 1.04 33% 80% 32% -2 0 0.98 24% 1.1 .27 15% .38 82% .31
Dec
2		 Saint Louis D C+ A- F C 40% 20% 40% B- C+ C- B+ C+ D D D+ D- C D+ F B+ A- 52% 4% 45% D B+ F C- F A+ B F+ C+
0.91 55% 45% 23% -7 0 0.89 23% 1.0 .23 18% .27 71% .19 1.18 66% 50% 32% +3 +3 1.14 49% 1.1 .54 23% .25 80% .20
Dec
16		 UC San Diego F D A+ D+ C+ 24% 20% 57% D C F+ F F F F F F B+ D A+ A+ B 57% 16% 27% D B- F A- D A+ F+ A+ B-
0.80 50% 50% 31% -2 -1 0.96 21% 0.5 .11 25% .19 40% .08 0.95 64% 25% 23% -3 +2 1.00 37% 0.8 .31 23% .35 47% .16
Dec
19		 North Alabama B+ D+ A+ A+ B+ 40% 9% 51% B- B+ C+ A+ A+ B- C F D+ A A+ C- A+ A+ 43% 31% 25% A A+ C A+ A- F F B D-
1.32 55% 60% 43% +7 +2 1.20 38% 1.6 .59 13% .28 65% .18 0.83 32% 38% 23% -16 -1 0.69 30% 0.7 .21 12% .41 64% .26
Dec
23		 Morgan St. C- B- A+ B+ A- 44% 9% 47% C+ B+ C+ D- C- F+ B F D+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 49% 19% A+ A+ F D+ F A C- A+ B-
1.19 65% 75% 38% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.1 .41 19% .49 61% .30 0.80 33% 22% 22% -19 -4 0.55 43% 1.0 .41 24% .36 63% .23
Dec
28		 St. Mary's A+ D- A+ A A+ 28% 34% 38% F A A- A+ A+ A+ B- F C F B- C- F D 40% 29% 31% B+ D+ C F F F D+ A+ B-
1.23 46% 56% 39% +6 -3 1.09 32% 1.4 .46 10% .26 64% .17 1.31 56% 38% 50% +7 -1 1.13 38% 1.5 .55 10% .36 68% .24
Dec
30		 Pacific B D- A+ A+ A+ 20% 33% 47% F+ A+ D F F+ C+ B+ C- B B- A+ C+ F A+ 52% 22% 26% D A+ D- B- C- D+ F C- F
1.15 50% 59% 42% +11 -3 1.18 21% 0.7 .14 14% .39 70% .27 1.02 29% 40% 42% -12 +1 0.80 39% 0.9 .37 19% .46 77% .35
Jan
2		 Washington St. C D- C B- D+ 44% 19% 37% B C- F+ A- D+ A- B- D C+ C+ C+ F F F+ 35% 25% 39% B+ D A+ A+ A+ C- A- F C+
1.09 50% 40% 35% -3 +1 0.98 19% 1.3 .24 11% .32 70% .23 1.12 61% 54% 45% +12 -1 1.24 19% 0.6 .11 17% .22 92% .21
Jan
4		 Gonzaga F C+ F D+ F+ 13% 52% 36% F F C F D B- F F F B- F D A C 31% 38% 31% A+ C+ B+ D C+ D A+ A+ A+
0.68 57% 21% 30% -11 -6 0.68 22% 0.6 .13 19% .12 43% .05 1.19 83% 45% 28% +8 -3 1.12 32% 1.3 .41 12% .16 40% .07
Jan
8		 San Francisco D+ D+ B- C C 47% 22% 31% B- C F A+ D- B+ F A+ F B A A+ A- A+ 37% 23% 40% B A+ C D D+ C+ D F F+
1.05 53% 40% 33% -2 0 0.99 15% 1.3 .21 10% .12 100% .12 1.02 45% 21% 29% -11 0 0.78 33% 1.2 .40 16% .37 80% .30
Jan
10		 Santa Clara D A F+ F D 31% 28% 41% F D- F+ A+ C+ C C F D D- A F F C+ 37% 19% 43% B- B- D- D- F F D- D F+
0.94 71% 27% 23% -6 -1 0.87 22% 1.5 .33 21% .33 65% .21 1.34 48% 54% 41% +4 0 1.10 42% 1.2 .51 9% .30 76% .23
Jan
14		 Oregon St. D+ B- F F F 39% 28% 33% F+ F C A+ A F A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ D- A+ A+ 36% 19% 45% C A+ D- F F F F F F
1.00 61% 8% 27% -11 -1 0.78 32% 1.5 .47 21% .45 96% .43 1.08 35% 44% 24% -14 0 0.74 31% 1.5 .46 13% .51 94% .47
Jan
17		 Portland F D- F F F 21% 31% 48% F F F+ A- D+ F B- B+ B C A B F C 38% 30% 32% A C+ B A- A- D D- C- D-
0.83 50% 13% 26% -15 -3 0.67 24% 1.2 .29 22% .33 78% .26 1.02 47% 33% 44% -1 -1 0.98 26% 1.0 .26 17% .35 75% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
21		 Seattle D- A+ D- B- A 36% 20% 44% C A- F F F F B F C C+ D+ A A+ A 44% 22% 33% C+ A- B F D+ F C+ F D+
0.86 69% 33% 35% +4 0 1.09 18% 0.0 .00 29% .33 63% .20 1.00 63% 25% 22% -7 0 0.89 22% 1.1 .24 10% .27 82% .23
Jan
28		 Oregon St. D+ A A+ D- A- 25% 35% 40% F B- F+ B+ D C+ F F F C- C+ F D- F 33% 27% 40% A- F+ F+ C+ D- A+ A C- A
1.05 69% 50% 29% +4 -3 1.04 24% 1.1 .26 14% .19 64% .12 1.09 53% 58% 39% +7 -1 1.13 32% 1.2 .39 24% .28 79% .22
Jan
31		 Santa Clara D- A- A F C- 45% 21% 33% C- C- D C D+ F A+ B+ A+ F C D- F D+ 36% 14% 50% C- D+ F D F C F F F
0.94 68% 44% 14% -4 0 0.95 26% 1.0 .26 28% .63 77% .49 1.34 62% 50% 41% +9 +1 1.21 46% 1.2 .54 15% .34 82% .27
Feb
4		 San Francisco A B+ D- A+ A+ 38% 25% 37% C- A C+ F D D+ A B- A B- B A+ B A+ 34% 23% 43% B A+ B+ B B+ F+ F F F
1.22 65% 31% 47% +8 -1 1.17 29% 0.8 .24 15% .36 76% .27 1.09 53% 0% 32% -12 -1 0.77 28% 1.0 .28 12% .69 88% .61
Feb
7		 San Diego A A+ A+ F A 39% 22% 39% D+ A C+ F+ D+ A+ B- B B B- A- F A B 27% 37% 35% A+ A- A- D- C+ F B C+ B
1.32 79% 73% 26% +11 0 1.24 36% 0.9 .32 11% .37 76% .29 1.00 50% 47% 28% -2 -3 0.92 24% 1.1 .26 13% .20 73% .15
Feb
11		 Pacific D- A- A+ F B 12% 43% 45% F C+ F A D- F+ F A+ F+ B F+ B- A+ C+ 49% 27% 24% C C+ C B B- F+ A A- A
0.94 67% 52% 27% +3 -5 0.98 14% 1.3 .17 19% .22 82% .18 1.03 67% 38% 25% +1 0 1.04 34% 0.9 .31 16% .19 70% .13
Feb
14		 Pepperdine A- C- B+ A+ A- 40% 23% 37% D- B D+ A+ B+ A+ B F C+ F D+ C- F F 44% 25% 31% C- F C- D D D- F B F
1.25 57% 46% 43% +6 0 1.14 29% 1.5 .44 10% .31 65% .20 1.26 61% 38% 56% +12 0 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 15% .42 72% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 2.3 2.3 6th
7th 0.0 6.5 6.6 7th
8th 2.2 5.4 7.7 8th
9th 16.0 1.1 17.1 9th
10th 7.8 20.1 0.0 27.9 10th
11th 11.0 25.6 1.3 37.8 11th
12th 0.4 0.1 0.5 12th
Total 11.4 33.5 39.6 15.6 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 15.6% 0.1% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 15.5
6-12 39.6% 39.6
5-13 33.5% 33.5
4-14 11.4% 11.4
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.3 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2%
Lose Out 11.4%