Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#237
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#258
Pace67.8#228
Improvement-1.5#283

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#216
First Shot-1.5#216
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#186
Layup/Dunks-0.6#198
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#81
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#294
Freethrows+0.8#126
Improvement-0.3#205

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#261
First Shot-4.6#325
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#55
Layups/Dunks-3.8#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#107
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#257
Freethrows+0.0#174
Improvement-1.2#274
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.7% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 19.3% 22.9% 8.6%
.500 or above in Conference 27.8% 29.9% 21.3%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 13.6% 12.3% 17.7%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round1.4% 1.5% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Home) - 74.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 410 - 613 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 238 @La Salle L 60-73 39%     0 - 1 -14.4 -8.2 -6.9
  Thu, Nov 13 58 @Seton Hall L 58-70 7%     0 - 2 +0.7 -3.6 +3.6
  Tue, Nov 18 72 @Syracuse L 73-78 9%     0 - 3 +5.8 +5.8 +0.1
  Sun, Nov 23 183 Robert Morris W 71-70 OT 51%     1 - 3 -3.6 -2.7 -0.9
  Fri, Nov 28 307 Ball St. W 80-73 65%     2 - 3 -1.3 +8.9 -9.8
  Sat, Nov 29 315 Le Moyne L 79-83 68%     2 - 4 -13.0 +0.5 -13.7
  Sun, Nov 30 320 @Lafayette W 88-74 58%     3 - 4 +7.5 +12.6 -5.2
  Wed, Dec 3 257 Princeton W 63-58 66%     4 - 4 -3.4 -9.4 +6.2
  Sat, Dec 6 128 @Georgia Tech L 67-79 19%     4 - 5 -7.0 -1.3 -5.5
  Sun, Dec 14 301 @Fairfield L 65-73 51%     4 - 6 -12.4 -3.2 -10.0
  Wed, Dec 17 157 Quinnipiac L 75-85 45%     4 - 7 -12.9 -0.2 -12.4
  Sun, Dec 21 308 Lehigh W 75-68 75%    
  Wed, Dec 31 229 Campbell W 78-75 60%    
  Sat, Jan 3 137 @Towson L 64-73 21%    
  Thu, Jan 8 120 William & Mary L 78-82 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 115 @Hofstra L 66-77 16%    
  Thu, Jan 15 287 Drexel W 72-67 69%    
  Sat, Jan 17 212 Northeastern W 73-71 57%    
  Thu, Jan 22 227 @Hampton L 68-71 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 229 @Campbell L 75-78 39%    
  Thu, Jan 29 304 N.C. A&T W 77-71 72%    
  Sat, Jan 31 115 Hofstra L 69-74 34%    
  Thu, Feb 5 239 @Stony Brook L 69-72 39%    
  Thu, Feb 12 287 @Drexel L 69-70 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 137 Towson L 67-70 41%    
  Thu, Feb 19 108 @UNC Wilmington L 66-77 16%    
  Sat, Feb 21 185 @College of Charleston L 70-76 30%    
  Thu, Feb 26 239 Stony Brook W 72-69 61%    
  Sat, Feb 28 180 Elon W 77-76 50%    
  Tue, Mar 3 212 @Northeastern L 70-74 37%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 4.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.3 0.9 0.1 6.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 4.4 2.0 0.2 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.9 3.3 0.4 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.8 5.2 0.9 0.0 11.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.9 2.0 0.1 11.8 9th
10th 0.2 2.5 5.9 2.9 0.3 11.8 10th
11th 0.2 2.0 5.3 3.8 0.4 0.0 11.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.3 3.5 0.7 0.0 10.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.5 1.8 0.6 0.1 7.3 13th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.6 8.4 12.2 14.5 15.2 14.6 11.0 8.0 4.8 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 93.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 56.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 19.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 12.5% 12.5% 13.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 13.8% 13.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 1.2% 9.6% 9.6% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1
12-6 2.3% 9.8% 9.8% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.1
11-7 4.8% 5.4% 5.4% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.5
10-8 8.0% 3.3% 3.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 7.7
9-9 11.0% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.8
8-10 14.6% 1.3% 1.3% 15.8 0.0 0.2 14.4
7-11 15.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 15.1
6-12 14.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 14.5
5-13 12.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.2
4-14 8.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.4
3-15 4.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.6
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 98.5 0.0%