IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.0	#211
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.8	#186
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.1	#205

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.9	#235

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.0%	7.3%	3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.1	13.4	14.0

.500 or above	48.6%	65.9%	38.9%
.500 or above in Conference	47.6%	59.2%	41.1%
Conference Champion	3.1%	5.3%	1.9%
Last Place in Conference	5.9%	3.1%	7.4%

First Four	0.3%	0.2%	0.3%
First Round	5.0%	7.3%	3.7%
Second Round	0.3%	0.5%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Away) - 36.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 6	4 - 11
Quad 4	12 - 6	16 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2025	196	@ La Salle	L	70-74	36%
Nov 13, 2025	101	@ Seton Hall	L	61-72	16%
Nov 18, 2025	64	@ Syracuse	L	66-81	9%
Nov 25, 2025	207	Robert Morris	W	73-70	60%
Nov 28, 2025	244	Ball St.	W	72-70	56%
Nov 29, 2025	347	Le Moyne	W	79-70	78%
Nov 30, 2025	308	@ Lafayette	W	69-67	58%
Dec 03, 2025	171	Princeton	W	70-69	53%
Dec 06, 2025	83	@ Georgia Tech	L	66-79	14%
Dec 14, 2025	319	@ Fairfield	W	71-68	61%
Dec 17, 2025	215	Quinnipiac	W	77-74	61%
Dec 21, 2025	306	Lehigh	W	74-66	76%
Dec 31, 2025	203	Campbell	W	70-68	58%
Jan 03, 2026	131	@ Towson	L	63-71	25%
Jan 08, 2026	229	William & Mary	W	79-75	62%
Jan 10, 2026	178	@ Hofstra	L	62-67	35%
Jan 15, 2026	227	Drexel	W	67-63	62%
Jan 17, 2026	226	Northeastern	W	73-69	62%
Jan 22, 2026	236	@ Hampton	L	67-69	44%
Jan 24, 2026	203	@ Campbell	L	67-71	39%
Jan 29, 2026	351	N.C. A&T	W	79-67	85%
Jan 31, 2026	178	Hofstra	W	65-64	55%
Feb 05, 2026	288	@ Stony Brook	W	69-68	53%
Feb 12, 2026	227	@ Drexel	L	64-66	43%
Feb 14, 2026	131	Towson	L	66-68	44%
Feb 19, 2026	118	@ UNC Wilmington	L	66-75	24%
Feb 21, 2026	123	@ College of Charleston	L	71-79	25%
Feb 26, 2026	288	Stony Brook	W	72-65	72%
Feb 28, 2026	228	Elon	W	71-67	62%
Mar 03, 2026	226	@ Northeastern	L	70-72	42%
Projected Record						15 - 15	8 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	0.8	0.4	0.1			3.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.4	2.0	1.3	0.4	0.0				5.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.9	2.9	1.5	0.3	0.0					7.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.0	3.9	1.9	0.3	0.0						8.2	4th
5th									0.1	1.7	4.6	2.3	0.4	0.0							9.1	5th
6th								0.1	1.2	4.6	3.2	0.5	0.0								9.6	6th
7th							0.0	0.7	4.0	4.4	0.8	0.0									9.9	7th
8th						0.0	0.6	3.3	4.5	1.3	0.1										9.7	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	2.8	4.6	1.9	0.2											9.8	9th
10th			0.0	0.0	0.4	2.3	4.3	2.1	0.2	0.0											9.4	10th
11th			0.0	0.5	1.9	3.6	2.2	0.3	0.0												8.6	11th
12th		0.1	0.7	1.9	2.6	1.5	0.3	0.0													7.1	12th
13th	0.1	0.5	0.9	1.0	0.4	0.1															3.1	13th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.6	3.4	5.4	8.0	10.1	11.2	11.9	12.4	10.9	8.8	6.7	4.4	2.7	1.3	0.4	0.1				Total

Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	97.1%	0.4		0.3	0.1
15-3	65.0%	0.8		0.5	0.3	0.0
14-4	40.7%	1.1		0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0
13-5	13.1%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0			0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.1%	3.1		1.5	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.1%		30.5%	30.5%		10.3						0.0				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1
16-2	0.4%		41.1%	41.1%		11.8										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.2
15-3	1.3%		29.9%	29.9%		12.4												0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.9
14-4	2.7%		24.3%	24.3%		12.8												0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		2.1
13-5	4.4%		17.1%	17.1%		13.1												0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0		3.7
12-6	6.7%		13.9%	13.9%		14.0													0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	5.7
11-7	8.8%		8.6%	8.6%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.1	8.0
10-8	10.9%		5.5%	5.5%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	10.3
9-9	12.4%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	12.0
8-10	11.9%		1.3%	1.3%		16.2														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	11.8
7-11	11.2%		1.1%	1.1%		17.2														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	11.0
6-12	10.1%		0.8%	0.8%		18.1															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.1
5-13	8.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.1																	0.0	8.0
4-14	5.4%																							5.4
3-15	3.4%																							3.4
2-16	1.6%																							1.6
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		5.0%	5.0%	0.0%	14.1						0.0				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	1.3	1.5	0.9	0.5	95.0		0.0%