Queens
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#210
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#233
Pace70.7#163
Improvement-0.7#242

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#115
First Shot+2.6#100
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#196
Layup/Dunks-0.7#211
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#228
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#38
Freethrows-0.9#229
Improvement+3.5#1

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#337
First Shot-5.1#328
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#200
Layups/Dunks-9.2#363
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#158
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#36
Freethrows-1.5#267
Improvement-4.3#364
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.8% 20.6% 12.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 52.1% 77.3% 50.9%
.500 or above in Conference 80.8% 90.2% 80.4%
Conference Champion 17.1% 25.4% 16.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.3% 1.6%
First Four2.2% 1.2% 2.3%
First Round11.7% 19.9% 11.3%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia (Away) - 4.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 414 - 516 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 105 Winthrop L 74-81 24%     0 - 1 -2.7 +0.2 -2.7
  Sat, Nov 8 41 @Villanova L 74-94 6%     0 - 2 -5.0 +9.3 -14.9
  Tue, Nov 11 126 @Duquesne L 81-87 OT 21%     0 - 3 -0.5 -4.2 +4.8
  Sat, Nov 15 261 Sacred Heart W 81-64 70%     1 - 3 +8.6 +1.7 +7.0
  Thu, Nov 20 287 UNC Greensboro W 101-94 74%     2 - 3 -2.8 +26.4 -29.0
  Sun, Nov 23 160 @Furman L 79-90 30%     2 - 4 -8.5 +15.7 -25.5
  Fri, Nov 28 39 @Virginia L 68-86 4%    
  Wed, Dec 3 356 Gardner-Webb W 88-75 88%    
  Fri, Dec 12 347 South Carolina St. W 84-72 86%    
  Sun, Dec 14 37 @Wake Forest L 71-89 5%    
  Tue, Dec 16 25 @Arkansas L 71-91 3%    
  Mon, Dec 29 23 @Auburn L 70-91 3%    
  Thu, Jan 1 258 Eastern Kentucky W 83-78 68%    
  Sat, Jan 3 294 Bellarmine W 83-76 75%    
  Thu, Jan 8 269 @Jacksonville L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 341 @North Florida W 88-83 67%    
  Thu, Jan 15 164 @Florida Gulf Coast L 78-83 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 344 @Stetson W 80-75 68%    
  Wed, Jan 21 242 North Alabama W 79-74 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 311 @West Georgia W 78-76 57%    
  Wed, Jan 28 317 Central Arkansas W 81-73 77%    
  Sat, Jan 31 294 @Bellarmine W 80-79 55%    
  Thu, Feb 5 269 Jacksonville W 77-71 70%    
  Sat, Feb 7 341 North Florida W 91-80 83%    
  Wed, Feb 11 165 Austin Peay W 76-75 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 176 Lipscomb W 77-76 54%    
  Wed, Feb 18 242 @North Alabama L 76-77 45%    
  Sat, Feb 21 311 West Georgia W 81-73 76%    
  Wed, Feb 25 258 @Eastern Kentucky L 80-81 48%    
  Sat, Feb 28 317 @Central Arkansas W 78-76 59%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.6 4.5 3.1 1.4 0.3 17.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 3.6 6.2 4.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 16.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.3 6.2 3.0 0.5 0.0 14.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 12.1 4th
5th 0.3 2.4 5.2 2.3 0.2 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.3 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.0 2.2 0.3 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.7 0.6 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 3.3 5.1 7.7 9.9 12.2 13.4 13.1 12.0 9.3 5.9 3.3 1.4 0.3 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 99.5% 1.4    1.4 0.0
16-2 93.8% 3.1    2.7 0.4 0.0
15-3 76.8% 4.5    3.0 1.5 0.1
14-4 49.2% 4.6    2.1 1.9 0.5 0.0
13-5 21.3% 2.6    0.6 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.8% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.1% 17.1 10.1 5.1 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 48.1% 48.1% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.4% 45.5% 45.5% 13.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-2 3.3% 37.0% 37.0% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 2.1
15-3 5.9% 28.2% 28.2% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.1 4.2
14-4 9.3% 22.2% 22.2% 14.8 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.3 7.2
13-5 12.0% 17.5% 17.5% 15.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.7 9.9
12-6 13.1% 14.2% 14.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 11.2
11-7 13.4% 11.0% 11.0% 15.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 11.9
10-8 12.2% 7.1% 7.1% 15.9 0.1 0.8 11.4
9-9 9.9% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 9.5
8-10 7.7% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 7.5
7-11 5.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 5.0
6-12 3.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
5-13 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 1.7
4-14 0.9% 0.9
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 12.8% 12.8% 0.0% 15.0 0.2 0.8 2.5 4.9 4.5 87.2 0.0%